this is the briefing, i'm sally bundock. our top stories: feeling the heat. a new climate report reveals why hot weather could overwhelm health services around the world. thousands evacuate their homes as australia's fire and flood warning levels are raised to catastrophic for the first time. a warning from the bank of england that a no—deal brexit could mean recession and a collapse in the pound. it could also impact counterterrorism with the countries it partners. globalisation‘s new champion. presidency promises a new open china forforeign firms presidency promises a new open china for foreign firms ahead of a 620 showdown with president trump. 6ood

good to have you with us. a packed programme as ever. we will brief you on all you need to know in global news, business and sport. and you can be part of the conversation today we'd like to get your take on the economic scenarios presented by the bank of england and the treasury, has this changed your view on brexit? get in touch, just use #bbcthebriefing. heatwaves linked to climate change pose an increasing danger, which threatens to overwhelm health services around the world, that's according to a new report published in the lancet medical journal. researchers found vulnerability to extreme hot weather has risen steadily across the planet since 1990. and the report suggests that people in europe and the eastern mediterranean are particularly

at risk, as caroline rigby reports. we already know extreme temperatures can have a devastating impact on the environment and economy, but new research published in the lancet highlights the growing medical challenge posed by climate change. right now for all other. researchers warn rising temperatures linked to global warning threatened to overwhelm hospitals and undermine 50 yea rs of overwhelm hospitals and undermine 50 years of advancements of mental health —— medical health. humans have been increasingly vulnerable to heat waves and since 1990 and no country is immune. those at risk aren't necessarily living where temperatures are highest. those in the uk, europe, east mediterranean are most vulnerable to the extremes of heat as a result of climate change. they are ageing, we are

migrating, growing into the areas worst affected by climate change. heatwaves can be dangerous to our health because there's limits to what the body is able to cope with. continued exposure can lead to heat exhaustion and symptoms including headaches, tiredness, vomiting and confusion. but heatstroke can cause organ failure and even death. the report also warns of the knock—on effect for the economy. it says 157 million more people experienced heatwaves in 27, 2017 compared to the year 2000. that resulted in 153 billion hours of labour being lost to heat exposure. an increase of 62 billion hours compared to at the turn—of—the—century. rising temperatures and unseasonably warm weather also aided the spread of infectious diseases, such as cholera and dengue fever, and had a negative impact on food security. but despite the dire warnings, scientists said

there is still time to act and health systems can adapt to the challenge. but ultimately, our response to climate change now will bea response to climate change now will be a key factor in shaping the health of nations for centuries to come. caroline rush b, bbc news. —— caroline rigby. let's stay on that subject but let's moved to australia. —— let's move to australia. it's known as the land of fire and flood, and this week australia is experiencing both weather extremes. two people died in sydney when the city experienced its heaviest rainfall in decades. meanwhile, further north in queensland, the warning has been raised to catastrophic, the highest level, for the first time. thousands of people are evacuating their homes as more than 130 bushfires threaten properties and regional communities near rockhampton. 6eorgina smyth has the story. it's hot, dry and windy, the perfect conditions for a bushfire. this is queensland's coastline. the flames are out of control, and the smoke is so thick

it's blocking out the sun. more than 8,000 residents have been forced to leave their homes after the state issued a catastrophic fire warning, for the first time in its history. these are unprecedented fire conditions. there are no surprises here, we expected fires to be developing rapidly. but there is one surprising element to these fires — their location. authorities are battling to contain over 100 blazes burning through a region that should be experiencing its wet season. the unprecedented conditions, exacerbated by a heatwave and the ongoing australian drought, are being barely contained by waterbombing aircraft and crews brought in from other states. further south, sydney went under, as two months‘ worth of rain fell injust two hours. flash—flooding, traffic chaos and power cuts ensued. at least two deaths have been blamed on the storm. 6eorgina smyth, bbc news. let's brief you on some

of the other stories making the news. ukraine's president has asked nato to send naval ships to the sea around crimea after a confrontation with russia. petro poroshenko made the comments in a german newspaper. the european union has condemned russia's seizure of three ukrainian vessels on sunday, but moscow says the ships were a provocation. we'll have more on that in our newsbriefing. more on that story later. we will look at the german media reports. a rare bipartisan vote in the us congress has highlighted its growing concern over white house policy on saudi arabia. senators voted in favour of taking forward a motion on withdrawing support from the saudi—led coalition fighting in yemen. the secretaries of state and defence had urged the senate not to support the motion, arguing that it would make the situation in yemen worse. let's turn to brexit now.

on wednesday, we had stark warnings from the british government's own advisers and the bank of england about the economic impact. today the focus turns to security. later today at a conference in london, ben wallace, the uk's security minister, is expected to warn that a no—deal brexit would seriously impact counter—terrorism co—operation with the country's european partners. he's due to say that the deal secured by prime minister theresa may will lead to the most comprehensive security relationship in the eu's history. but the labour opposition‘s diane abbott says the plan fails on guarantees for security. in a moment, i'll be speaking tojonathan portes, economics and public policy professor from king's college london. first, i'm joined by oliver cornock, the middle east managing editor of the oxford business

group in the studio. 6ood good to see you. let's talk security to begin with. this report today will tell us the relationship with the eu and the uk, what it will be like, what that will mean for security. the basis of a future agreement. this is one of the great problems, while we're talking in such calamitous terms about a final deal, this is the basis of any future deal. the transition period will ensur, and during that period the relationship will continue to carry on “— the relationship will continue to carry on —— ensue. beyond that, who knows. for diane abbott to comment, she's right, there aren't many

guarantees about anything. step back, security is a vital part of a country's infrastructure and the uk has been at the forefront of global security and intelligence. intelligence sharing is the basis of security and basically this minister is saying a deterioration in that relationship will impact that. that's a given. i don't know why anybody is surprised here. why do we assume there will be a deterioration in the race and went it comes to the sharing of security information because it is in everyone's interests across europe, whether you're in or out of the european union, the single market, whatever, to keep us safe whatever country you're in —— relationship when it comes. in germany, there is federal law that they don't share intelligence with novak djokovic eu members. this is the detail that needs to be ironed out —— non—eu members. you can see from the intelligence and police and everyone's bond of view, these

details are important. the uk intelligence service is very complicated because of northern ireland years ago —— point of view. internationally we're at the forefront in this area, so it would be in the interests of germany and others to that relationship in intact. i couldn't agree more but we need more given and positively on both sides of this. addressing to see a cabinet minister pushing this as part of theresa may's team. she's really gunning for this deal to be pushed through. it's very questionable whether the mathematics in the house of commons would allow that. let's bring in jonathan. jonathan, in terms of the economics, thatis jonathan, in terms of the economics, that is totally dominating the headlines are still today on the back of what mark carney said, the governor of the bank of england, the treasury had to say. you at king's couege treasury had to say. you at king's college london came up with your own prognosis going forward for the economy. what did you make of what

was said yesterday?” economy. what did you make of what was said yesterday? i felt the cross government analysis produced by the treasury and other departments was actually good, professional and thorough despite the political pressure, no doubt, it came under. what it said was theresa may's deal would cost us over the long run about to— 4% of gdp, to— 4% of our incomes, and that's not very far off what my report with colleagues at the lse came outwith, which is it might cost between 2% and 5.5% of gdp. similarly, in terms of the impact on public spending and finances, the government analysis said it might cost us about £24 billion a year. taxes would have to go billion a year. taxes would have to 9° up billion a year. taxes would have to 9° up by billion a year. taxes would have to go up by £24 billion, or spending would have to be cut by £24 billion, the equivalent of theresa may's entire promised for the nhs. that would be the rough consequence of theresa may's deal for the economy

—— promise. that's in line with the consensus of independent economists. what both the cost government analysis and our analysis and the bank of england said is that might be bad, but no deal would be much worse “— be bad, but no deal would be much worse —— cross government. that again is most certainly correct. in terms of how this feeds into that decision on december the 11th, what do you think will happen in terms of those who are going to make that call on december the 11th, members of parliament? will this information that's been released by the treasury, by the bank of england, today on security, cause them to rethink how they were going to vote? i think what both the economics and what 0liver was saying about security mean is that the prospect of no deal really looks very unattractive indeed, not to put it mildly. no deal looks like a quite disastrous scenario for the economy,

and pretty difficult in a number of other areas. 0n the other hand, there's absolutely nothing in the economic analysis produced yesterday that suggests theresa may's deal is good for the economy. in fact, it's quite bad for the economy over the long runs. so it's really a question of how the parliamentary debate and the public debate is framed —— long run. is it theresa may's deal, what you might describe as a bad deal, certainly economically, or a no deal, which is really bad, or are there other alternatives? that's the question parliament and the public have to answer, is this the toys with facing or are there other choices? we actually don't know the a nswer to choices? we actually don't know the answer to that yet —— the choice. jonathan porters, economics and public policy director from king's couege public policy director from king's college london. editor—in—chief of 0xford business group, we didn't have your title earlier, 0liver. you will be back with us for the news briefing, we will talk about brexit

and other stories later in the programme. stay with us on bbc news, still to come: the struggle for survival in argentina as it prepares to welcome the heads of the world's 20 richest economies for the 620 summit. president kennedy was shot down and died almost immediately. the murder ofjohn kennedy is a disaster for the whole free world. he caught the imagination of the world. the first of a new generation of leaders. margaret thatcher is resigning as leader of the conservative party and prime minister. before leaving number 10 to see the queen, she told her cabinet, "it's a funny old world." angela merkel is germany's first woman chancellor, easily securing the majority she needed. attempts to fly a hot air balloon had to be abandoned after a few minutes, but nobody seemed to mind very much. as one local comic put it, "it's not hot air we need, it's hard cash." cuba has declared nine days of mourning following the death

of fidel castro at the age of 90. castro developed close ties with the soviet union in the 1960s. it was an alliance that brought the world to the brink of nuclear war with the cuban missile crisis. you're watching the briefing. 0ur headlines: thousands evacuate their homes in northeastern australia as fire risk levels are raised to catastrophic for the first time in history. and our top story: a new climate report warns that heatwaves and increasingly hot weather, could overwhelm health services around the world. more on climate change now. the un secretary general antonio guterres has warned that the rise of nationalism around the world has reduced the political will of some countries to work collectively to tackle global warming.

ahead of the 620 summit in argentina, and also a un climate change conference in poland next week, the so—called cop24, he urged all political leaders to make reducing climate change a priority. he was speaking exclusively to our new york correspondent, nick bryant. things are getting worse than predicted but the political will to date is, unfortunately, not as high as it should be. we have a very important landmark agreement, the paris agreement, but countries are not doing what they committed what they committed to do in paris and what was committed in paris was not enough because it will lead to an increase in temperature which will bea increase in temperature which will be a total disaster. we need a more

ambitious commitment by country to reduce emissions. the world came together in paris that historic agreement. the gap between where we are and where we need to be has gotten wider. what has gone wrong it? it is clear to me at the world is more polarised. we have more and more nationalists approaches being popular and winning elections and winning strong election results. we see the trust between public opinion and institutions, government, international organisations, being eroded and this has led in my opinion to a lack of necessary political will. name opinion to a lack of necessary politicalwill. name some names, which nations are letting you down was back it is not only at the top

level. if you look at the us, it is clear the government has decided to leave the paris agreement. but you see a fantastic reaction of the cities, businesses, governments so it is not only heads of government it is not only heads of government it is not only heads of government it is the whole set of leaders of opinion, vertical leaders at all levels that we need to mobilise. you mentioned the us government rather than donald trump. is it a huge problem that the world is strongest man isa problem that the world is strongest man is a climate sceptic? we need to make sure that the american society is able, independent of the president, to make sure the reaction of the cities, businesses with a conscious by far the most developed in the world, that the country is able to meet the engagements they

we re able to meet the engagements they were to agree to in paris. as argentina prepares to welcome the heads of the world's 20 richest economies for the 620 summit, it's having to deal with a crippling financial crisis. and with unemployment reaching record levels, the poorest struggle to survive, as tim wilcox reports. ba rely barely 15 minutes drive from the heart of the argentina government areas of poverty. here practically no one has a full—time job. people are so poor they cannot afford to buy food and a government run soup kitchen, in existence since the 19905, kitchen, in existence since the 1990s, has been set up. some families without this would go without. people bring in their containers to be served the dish of the day. the cooks are volunteers and they get paid with food that is left over. she has two children. i

askedif left over. she has two children. i asked if there wasn't this service, what would she do? she is saying she doesn't know what she would do because she tries to cook but there is enough money. she has four children. she comes here monday — friday. she has one child, never had a job friday. she has one child, never had ajob and friday. she has one child, never had a job and this is why she comes here. the man in charge of the soup kitchen is luca. i'm going to asking

how long he has been doing this and how long he has been doing this and how many people come here. about 350 people come here every day monday— friday. i will ask in if there are other people who want to come but cannot because of the limit in numbers. he is saying that in the past few years, the number of people has increased dramatically. the people here decades of economic instability have left their mark on many are not at all optimistic about the future. tim willcox reporting. and we will have full coverage of the 620 summit and plenty more from tim over the next couple of days. we will be discussing that summit in

is this briefing in around seven minutes' time. now it's time to get all the latest from the bbc sports centre. hello, i'm holly hamilton and this is your thursday sport briefing. 0n the way we look back at an eventful night in the uefa champions league. we'll tell you why arsenal's europa league match has moved location. and deontay wilder and tyson fury square up before their fight. arsenal's europa league match against vorskla poltava on thursday has been relocated to kiev because of security concerns following ukraine's decision to impose martial law amid rising tensions with russia. unai emery‘s side have already guaranteed their progression to the knockout stages but they are yet to seal top spot in theirgroup. it is clear they are playing in

ukraine, not in this town but in kiev, i think. ukraine, not in this town but in kiev, ithink. they ukraine, not in this town but in kiev, i think. they will move their supporters. in 90 minutes we also wa nt to supporters. in 90 minutes we also want to do our work, here, like we are preparing previously. as the the champions league group stage approaches its conclusion, there are a number of big teams on the cusp of an exit, includng last year's finallists, liverpool, who were beaten 2—1 by paris st germain on wednesday. goals from juan bernat and neymar helped the french champions into a 2—0 lead. james milner managed to pull one back for liverpool, who now have to beat napoli on matchday 6 to have any chance of qualifying for the last 16. managerjurgen klopp was very critical of psg's tactics. it was clever of ps6, of neymar, especially him, but a lot of other players went down

like it was really something serious, and obviously we were not in our... we were not that calm anymore, which makes us aggressive, obviously. tyson fury and deontay wilder's final news conference descended into chaos as they clashed on stage, three days before their heavyweight bout in los angeles. after a packed final news conference, the pair began pushing during a face off. their teams got involved, prompting a minute of mayhem. on saturday, wilder will put his title on the line and look to defend a perfect 40—fight record, while fury is also undefeated in 27 contests. i cannot wait. and the time is clicking. it's boiling down. there's only three days left now. can you feel the energy? can you feel the anticipation that this fight is going to bring? the two best heavyweights

in the world, right here, to a stable near you. y'all should be excited. many men have tried to take things from me in the past. but i've never come across anybody, amateur, professional, sparring — there ain't never been a man that could better me in a fight, ever. never — not a spar, not a boxing match, not a professional fight, not anything. i've never, ever been bettered, not one time. so, if deontay wilder is that man, then god bless him. you can get all the latest sports news at our website — that's bbc.com/sport. but from me holly hamilton and the rest of the sport team, that's your thursday sport briefing. your business briefing is next. i will see you in a moment. the atlantic is set

to prove relentless. on wednesday, the cloud that marks out that area. this is what is waiting for us though for thursday. if anything perhpas a deeper low feature than we saw on wednesday, if anything perhaps a deeper low feature than we saw on wednesday, which could mean stronger winds. plenty of heavy rain around once again for sure. 0n the plus side, hopefully the system will move through quite quickly. but it will mena a lot of wet weather for first thing and the morning rush hour and also strong winds which are likely to cause disruption. bbc local radio a great place to get up to date with the detail where you are. it will be a mild start. temperatures in many areas in double figures but a covering of cloud, and some heavy rain around, and the winds pretty much strong across the board. but the gusts, i think, will be critical thing in terms of causing problems as we look at the morning rush—hour. in exposure, so around the coast, across the moors of the south—west, the mountains of wales, you could widely see gusts of 55—60 miles per hour and in a few spots even higher. 70 or perhaps even above.

the windier weather transferring for the north through the morning rush hour into northern england and eventually south—eats of scotland. you can see the rain is going to push way north pretty quickly actually through the morning. much of england and wales seeing improved conditions by lunchtime. scotland will keep the rain in the north—east probably until dark. some showers following in from the west through the afternoon. temperatures, 13—14 degrees, definitely on the mild side for this time of year. the showers keep feeding in to the west as we move through thursday evening, breezy enough to keep us very much on the mild side howeverjust a slight change as we go through thursday and into friday. the low pressure is going to start to pour some airfrom a little bit moere of a north—westerly direction, as opposed to the south—westerly that we see on thursday. what does that mean? it basicallyjust means it will feel a little cooler on friday but actually overall, at quiter day. still breezy, yes, still some showers in the west, but for many areas, actually, it could turn out to be a dry day with some sunshine.

temepratures 9—11 just about covers it. the weekend proving a bit of a headache at the moment. another couple of areas of low prssure set to roll across the saturday and sunday. if they roll through overnight, the two days could prove to be fairly decent but the detail at the moment a bit elusive. this is the business briefing. i'm sally bundock. globalisation's new champion. president xi promises a more open china for foreign firms ahead of a 620 showdown with president trump. plus beefing up the economy. can farmers help dig 620 host argentina out of its economic crisis? and on the markets, us stocks surge, enjoying their best day in eight months as federal reserve chief jerome powell signals the cycle of interest rate rises could be coming to an end. as you can see, the gains orjapan,

but mixed elsewhere. ——