if it's the middle of the day, if it's a ride to the park, if it's a walk to the shops, whatever works, a swim on holiday, then absolutely you can all do it and it isjust about building up small bits to make one bigger distance. we had only cycled around for a few minutes, but we are smiling with satisfaction that we have done the hardest part and started our journey. and another swimmer in the studio today, chris! we are all under the same area of high pressure but quite a difference from place to place. plenty of sunshine in cumbria but so many parts of the uk it is quite cloudy through the rest of the afternoon. you can see the extent of that on the satellite picture. cloudy weather in the east with some showers but in between across central and eastern scotland and

western areas of england and wales the cloud will stay broken and you have the best of the sunshine. what unifies the country is that for most it will be a dry day with the exception of showers down the eastern coast. so if you near the eastern coast. so if you near the east coast of england there is the risk of more showers through the day. overnight we keep those cloudy skies probably frost free but just like last night when we have any lengthy clear spells it will be cold winter temperatures getting down to potentially —6 in the coldest areas. so tomorrow high pressure still over the uk but look at what is happening tomorrow in the east of europe, some snow even into lower parts of greece. so some cold weather working in across the east. but for us high pressure keeping the cold air mainly

away. another dry day on thursday for most parts with exemption of kent when we have those showers just running in. but otherwise some sunshine around but feeling quite cool sunshine around but feeling quite cool. we continue that mixture of dry weather and partly cloudy, partly sunny weather on friday. some mist and fog patches to start the day and the tendency for the weather to turn a bit more cloudy across northern areas. high pressure still with us into the weekend and into next week. but the weather fronts are moving in across the north of the uk so we will see some subtle changes. generally turning cloudy into next week and at the same time temperatures closer to normal for the time of year. in the rest of the uk we could see those weather fronts just bringing in some spots of rain.

a reminder of our main story this lunchtime rail passengers start the new working year facing an another hike in train fares. that's all from the bbc news at one so it's goodbye from me, and on bbc one we nowjoin the bbc‘s news teams where you are. good afternoon, it's 1.30pm and here's your latest sports news. usual discipline and brandy murray after he was knocked out in the second round of the brisbane international. murray was playing in his first tournament since september as he continues his recovery from hip surgery — and he was beaten in straight sets by russia's daniil medvedev, 7-5, 6-2. murray, a former world number i, is now ranked 240th, and said yesterday that he doesn't know how much longer he can continue

playing at the top level. there was also bad news for britain's number one kyle edmund, who was on the wrong end of an upset overnight — he lost to the japanese qualifier yasuta ka uchiyama in straight sets. and britain's women's number one johanna konta is also out. after that impressive win yesterday over the world number six sloane stephens, she was beaten in straight sets by ajla tomjanovic of australia, who's ranked five places below her. konta did take the second set to a tie—break but she'd lost the opener 6—2, and she never fully recovered from that. chelsea have signed the usa international christian pulisic from borussia dortmund for 58 million pounds, but they'll loan him back to the german club until the end of the season. pulisic is 20, and started his youth career at brackley town. he's scored nine goals in 23 games for his country. he was linked with liverpool and arsenal in this transfer window but he opted for chelsea, saying "it's a privilege to have signed for such a legendary club," that 58 million is the biggest transfer fee paid for

an american player. england batsmanjos buttler hit another half—century for sydney thunder, to help them to victory in their latest big bash league match. he was more impressive than his england captainjoe root against perth scorchers — root only made five, but buttler scored a quick 55 at the top of the order, as sydney reached 142-6. and the scorchers couldn't quite make their victory target, thunder winning byjust one run. and another england player says being involved in these limited overs games in the run—up to this yea r‘s world cup is valuable practice. any cricket going into a 50 over world cup is important so any exposure that we can get to other tournaments around the world, whether it be the bash, ipl, you sort of tournaments it is only good for our guys to have that sort of exposure and improve their game. you are always improving your games in these tournaments because you come

up these tournaments because you come up against some really good players andi up against some really good players and i think it can only benefit us asa and i think it can only benefit us as a site. we will finish with another press. —— press. the 32 —year—old will start his season in colombia at the tour colombia — a trip froome is relishing — and then tackle the uae tour, before hopefully tackling the tour de yorkshire for the first time ever. he's ordered had a taste with the enthusiasm of cycling england be a. i went out to colombia earlier this year and it was incredible. amazing to see how passionate people are in clubby about sport and how closely they follow professional cycling over their so i follow professional cycling over theirso i am follow professional cycling over their so i am really looking forward to going over there to race a tour of colombia in february and a big crowd for anything like they were last year i think we're going to have even tacit out there. that is all the sport are now. you can find more on the stories on the abc sports website. i will have more in

afternoon live for you. —— bbc sport website. the home secretary sajid javid has questioned whether migrants using small boats to make risky journeys across the channel are genuine asylum seekers. speaking on a visit to dover, after cutting short a family holiday to take control of the situation, mrjavid questioned why those people picked up by uk authorities had not sought asylum in the first safe country they entered. it comes after he announced two more border force vessels, currently on duty in the mediterranean, will be brought back to patrol the channel, in response to the situation which he's described as a "major incident". let's have a listen. i think the numbers here in dover in the south—east coast have been significant so as far as we know the numbers we have, we know of at least 539 migrants last year that attempted to small boat to cross the channel. of those about 80% was just in the last three months so we have seen a real step change in attempts in the last three months. we want to make sure we're doing everything we can do try and stop that.

i mean people should not be taking this very, very dangerous journey and if they do we also need to send a very strong message that you will not succeed. you're coming from france which is a safe country, you're coming to the uk and in almost every case you are claiming asylum in the uk but if you were a real genuine asylum seeker then you could have done that in another safe country. we need to send a strong message that these gangs that are preying on you and selling you a false prospectus, they will not succeed and we won't allow people to succeed and take on this terribly dangerous journey and we have got to be doing everything we can. are you doubting that some of these people are genuine asylum seekers? i think a question has to be asked. if you are a genuine asylum seeker then why have you not sought asylum in the first safe country that you arrived in because you know, france is not a country where anyone would argue is not safe in any way whatsoever and if you are genuine, then why not seek asylum in your first safe country?

so of course anyone who does make it to the uk, we will process that application the normal way but the most important thing i think is to send a very strong message that first of all, you are taking part in a journey that is an incredibly dangerous and we have even had the situation recently where a nine—year—old boy was on one of these boats so it is incredibly dangerous. please do not do that. you are taking your life in your own hands and so, if you do somehow make it to the uk we will do everything we can to make sure that you are not successful because we need to break that link and to break that link means we can save more lives. home secretary speaking earlier. more now on brexit, as the prime minister resumes her battle to get her withdrawal agreement through parliament, we take a look at the ‘next steps' in the brexit process. next monday mps return to parliament following their christmas parliamentary recess. the debate on the prime minister's brexit deal will resume in parliament and it is

expected to last around 5 days. from the week commencing the 14th january, parliament will hold a meaningful vote on theresa may's withdrawal agreement. if the vote passes, an eu withdrawal agreement will be produced. however, if the prime minister's dealfails, the government could face a no confidence motion, backed by opposition parties. the uk is due to leave the eu on the 29th march 2019 and the transition period will begin. isa is a deal has been agreed. —— with a deal has been agreed. earlier my colleaguejoanna gosling spoke to dr alan wager from the organisation ‘uk ina changing europe' and georgina wright who is an independent brexit analyst. they discussed ‘what next for brexit‘. the expectation was that things would shift over christmas. the noises are there has been a small shift over christmas. but the fundamentals of may's brexit conundrum haven't changed and the numbers in parliament will still look pretty drastic. i think we are still looking

at a significant defeat for may at the moment in parliament in a couple of weeks. so what has changed over christmas? i think may's used this idea of time, as sort of winding down the clock and we have basically lost two— three weeks of time before the 20th of march and that means that ultimately the choices that the 29th of march and that means that ultimately the choices that are open to the uk are gradually starting to narrow so this sort of option and use of time that may has done over the last two years may have persuaded a few mps who have had a christmas break, time to reflect that they might back may but the number still won't stack up for her i don't think. georgina, what do you anticipate? i think actually to kind of disagree ever so slightly i think nothing has changed really. we still have a majority at the moment of mps who oppose the deal as it stands but there is even a greater majority who oppose no deal. and that was valid before may decided to change the day of the vote so those fundamentals haven't changed. but as he said we are...

time is running out right now and if the government to decide it wanted to renegotiate the deal, how much time effectively would it have to do that and then hold a vote and then have enough time to kind of adopt the legislation necessary to really get that withdrawal agreement in action. so in that context is there any option if mps don't back her deal? so basically, it's either no deal or extend the clock, isn't it? possibly but to extend the clock you need the unanimous approval of eu member states and if you were the eu right now and you are thinking, well, 0k, obviously we want a deal, we have made that clear from the very start but how much more time... you know, do we want to extend that period if actually there is no guarantee that an extension would lead to a withdrawal agreement being adopted by the uk parliament? and you know, this is a really important year for the eu. they have european parliament elections in may. that's going to the party who wins the greatest number of seats will be

able to appoint their candidate as the head of the european commission and then there will be lots of other changes. in france there is quite a lot of movement there domestically. in italy as well. brexit is important but it is not a priority so we need to bear that in mind if we are thinking about extending article 50. what do you each think will happen? i have lost count of the number of conversations i have had over christmas with people saying, what is going to happen? and the truth is we just don't know. we are three months away and it could be a number of options. we just don't know. the two things that might change that are crucial are if the increased pressure on no deal means that the public mood changes towards no deal. so far, people are still pretty sceptical that no deal will affect their lives and as we get towards march and as the no deal preparations ramp up even further, if we haven't reached a deal that could change... how does that impact? because it's all in the hands of parliament right now. that only comes into play surely

if there is a second referendum? if the choice becomes no deal or second referendum or no brexit at all which a lot of people think could happen then that's a different choice. we just saneremy hunt talk about that and weighing up the option of a second referendum or a no—deal brexit as the ultimate choice for mps... the government is clear that they are only focusing on theresa may's deal. yeah. i think that will continue to last until the week of the 14th when the vote happens. what everyone was expecting to happen, this big break in british politics, after the meaningful vote, will happen in mid—january when the vote finally takes place. it's then when all the manoeuvring will be in in terms of... does a second referendum become increasingly likely? after that point or does the no deal bandwagon sort of gather pace? what you think is most likely to happen? i think between now and the vote the government

is really going to push again this message that the deal on the table isn't actually a bad one at all, it's the best possible deal that they could reach with the eu and actually it is a much better outcome than no deal and i think that will be the message that i will expect business to start ramping up their preperations for no deal, i would expect that uncertainty will get picked up, it will start to feel it and investment is already slowing down. i think those kind of messages are important because those are ultimately the consequences that we as citizens who will start other parties really, reacting to this. if the parliament rejects the vote the big question is, do we go back to the eu and asked to extend that period? and will they accept? and if they do accept what guarantees can the government give to say this is really necessary and actually does will lead to a better deal. so, lots of uncertainty but what we really need to know is the outcome of that vote. that is the next priority and the big telling point that will determine how government

reacts after that. and of course, it hinges on the issue of the irish border and it is hard to see how there can be anything that changes the fixed position on that. yeah, and no deal would necessarily bring back a hard border so there is no alternative that would really allow the border to be as close to the existing situation that we have now and that is an important message that government will be saying as well actually, that the deal on the table and the eu has been clear, we have been clear. we do not want the backstop but we need to get into those negotiations about the future to find and to find a solution. we can not get there until we have a withdrawal agreement in place. what next?

police in southern india have used tear—gas and water cannon to disperse protesters, angry that two women have worshipped at a high—profile shrine. the two were helped by indian police to enter the sabarimala temple in kerala, which is at the centre of a bitter dispute between conservatives and activists. a court ruling last year ended the temple's long—standing ban on all women of menstruating age from worshipping there. but for months, protesters had continued to prevent women from visiting the shrine. devina gupta reports from delhi these women are moments away from breaking a centuries—old tradition at this hindu temple. in the cover of the dark, these two women in their 40s are seen going inside the sabarimala temple in the state of kerala, an act that has broken gender barriers. this temple is home to the hindu lord ayyappa, who is believed by devotees to be a celibate, so women of menstruating ages, defined as between ten and 50 by the temple, were not allowed here. although india's top court lifted

the ban on women entering the temple last year there were protests by conservative hindu groups eventing woman of menstruating age from entering the shrine. activists have finally entered the temple but they we re finally entered the temple but they were escorted it policeman. the issue has divided woman across the country. just yesterday thousands of women gathered to make a human chain to protest against dividend groups but today, another group protested against what they called desecration of their state. even be temple or shut down for a purification ritual and violet grasses —— clashes were reported across the state. the ruling party was accused of siding with right—wing groups and the issue has taken a deep political turn. in a moment we'll have

all the business news, but first the headlines on bbc news: rail passengers are facing a hike by 396. rail passengers are facing a hike by 3%. the foreign secretary question is whether people using small boat to cross in this channel are genuine asylu m to cross in this channel are genuine asylum seekers. health experts warned that children are exceeding the maximum recommended sugar intake foran the maximum recommended sugar intake for an adult by the time they are aged ten. i'm ben bland. in the business news: factories in the uk ramped up their stockpiling in december as they prepared for possible border delays when britain leaves the eu. the regular survey of purchasing managers is usually seen as a guide as to how active the economy is. this was the highest it's been for six months. but analysts warn that december‘s figure is distorted by stockpiling and the gains are likely to be short—lived. railfares have risen by an average of 3.1% in england and wales,

and almost 3% in scotland. that's despite a series of delays, strikes and timetable chaos on the network last year. the rail industry says 98p of every pound spent on a ticket is invested back into the network. cathay pacific has said it will honour first—class and business—class tickets that it sold forjust a fraction of the normal price. the hong kong—based airline mistakenly sold business—class seats from vietnam to new york forjust over £500 return return. it would normally cost almost £13,000. tickets please! and make sure you keep them carefully because they'll be costing you more this year. i'm talking about that average fare increase of 3.1% for train journeys in england and wales. they're also up almost 3% in scotland. a little earlier we asked tony miles for his thoughts on the increase.

ican i can understand why passengers are really unhappy. the only good news, i suppose, is this is also the beginning of the year where a lot of them will see some genuine improvements, with a lot of the train is coming along that are bigger, more capacity, time table improvements, more services particularly on sundays, which is what people have called for these days, and some genuine investment coming through. so i can sort of see both sides of the argument but i understand people being very happy after the year some of them have oil prices have a big effect on our lives — from filling up the car to the cost of air travel. and of course, if it costs more to transport goods to the shops that often gets passed on and we end up paying more as customers. 2018 was a volatile year for the oil market. prices peaked in october then fell sharply — down more than 30%. that's because of signs that the global economy is growing more slowly, and also greater supply than demand. in response, the main oil producing countries plan to cut production injanuary which they hope will push prices back up.

let's speak to the chip oil analyst. good to see you. why was 2018 such a volatile year for good to see you. why was 2018 such a volatile yearfor oil? good to see you. why was 2018 such a volatile year for oil? thank you for having me. ithink volatile year for oil? thank you for having me. i think the biggest issue was there was just too many political and like i said, not geopolitical political issues over here. vertically with respect to the us demonstration. they came out and said they were going to push iranian exports down to zero, put sanctions back on iran and kept harping on the fa cts back on iran and kept harping on the facts they would actually not give any waivers so of course oil prices shot up very sharply because the world simply does not have the capacity to meet the kind of oil that iran was exporting, should iranian exports have gone down to zero, close to zero. last minute they made a u—turn, they gave

waivers out and at the same time there was a big trade war going on between us and china with huge con impact on the rest of the world that combination and of course, the ebb and flow of the new stories and the tweets and so on, that is not called —— that is what caused the volatility and i think that will be here to stay in 29 teams. —— state into 2019. and those in 14 the oil price was up at over $100 a barrel, it is now around $53. it is around half the level of just four years ago. what is the normal level for oil, do you think now? is close to the hundred or as close to the 53. where will it stabilise? if you leave it to fundamentals without all the noise, prices should stabilise between 70 and $80 but we are stranded by a lot of that noise and what is also happening now is because writers have gone down so

sharply you will see a supply reaction. us production which has grown very sharply, that will slow down. reduces our audit coming out —— reducers are all ready coming out andi —— reducers are all ready coming out and i will only get worse as we progress through this year. thank you very much indeed. in other news: shoppers hunting for last—minute gifts on christmas eve helped give sales atjohn lewis a boost. the department store chain says sales were up 4.5% in the week ending december 29th, compared with the same week last year. it also said there was "a confident start to post—christmas clearance both online and in shops". sales at its waitrose supermarket chain were up 19.2% in the same week, although that figure was heavily distorted by how christmas fell this year. sales the week before were down 11.7%. the chief executive and founder of iceland foods has described a dispute with hm revenue and customs over the company's christmas savings scheme as "just madness".

under the scheme, staff can voluntarily set aside money from their weekly wages and claim it back later. hmrc has told the company the payment means staff are technically falling below the minimum wage. the transport secretary chris grayling has defended the government's choice of a uk company with no ships as one of the providers of extra ferry services in the event of a no—deal brexit. mr grayling told the bbc he would make no apologies for "supporting a new british business". the firm, seaborne freight, won a £13.8 million contract to run a freight service between ramsgate and ostend. let us have a look at the market. your pictures are lower as investors returned from new year celebrations to more disappointing data from china. two indicators show that chinese manufacturing activity shrank in december but of course, as deep concerns of the health of the

global economy mining companies were amongst the biggest followers on the ftse 100 amongst the biggest followers on the ftse100 and the oil price has fallen as well. converse lee, gold prices are at their highest level in six months boosted by investors, seeking summer sale —— seeking somewhere safe and turning their backs on riskier investments. that's all the business news. now it's time for a look at the weather. some of us will have spares like this with plenty of sunshine as we saw earlier today in parts of cumbria. others are keeping a lots of cloud like this weather watcher picture sent from us from the steve na g e picture sent from us from the stevenage area. satellite pictures show extensive cloud across united kingdom at the moment. cloud across eastern areas is thick enough to bring showers across coastal areas and also cloudy for northern ireland and also cloudy for northern ireland and the western fringes of scotland but that least a slice of central

and eastern scotland, western england and wales where it shall state fine and sunny for many areas for the rest of the afternoon so it is mixed weather picture as we go to the next hours. after a cold and frosty start to the date there are still a number of places in scotland that have not got above freezing and will probably stay above freezing day despite the fact you will see some sunshine. is good to be of the called a part of the country and then overnight we're going to keep then overnight we're going to keep the squad from any bus through the night and of course with the cloud lingers it will keep the frost at bay. however when this clear for any length of time, update the visa scotland, northern england wales, it will be a cold one temperatures in the countryside getting down to —5, minus six degrees. i pressure stays bus for thursday and others in time we get cold arctic air working across eastern europe bringing snow fall and we could even see some snow for a fall and we could even see some snow fora time, fall and we could even see some snow for a time, getting down to some pretty low levels in greece and turkey. or us though, the area of

high pressure is keeping all those fun whether a way. i like snow, you see. instead we are getting cloud and sunny spells and still on the chilly side with temperatures between three and seven celsius. we see those temperatures rise across the north—west of the country. will probably see some mist and fog patches falling as we head into friday. some clad affecting western areas. where we see the sunshine it will feel chilly weather south with temperatures struggling after a locally called and frosty start of the day. this area of high pressure is with us to the end of the week and still others into the weekend but declining, weakening a little bit and allowing these weather fronts into northern portions so as we go through the rest of the speak into the weekend there will be a tendency for the weather to get a little bit cloudy day by day. at the same time temperatures will rise if you degrees, close to normalfor this time of year with highs around eight or 9 degrees in london but the could be rain across the far north.

that is your weather. you're watching bbc afternoon live — these are today's main stories: further misery for rail passengers — with an above inflation hike in fares of at least 3%, despite a raft of issues on the network in 2018. they never run on time, it doesn't matter what season you have it, the service is appalling. what will a post brexit britain's be on the world stage? the foreign secretary says we can learn lessons from them. as we start a new chapter in our economic history when we leave the eu, we can look at the long—term approach that countries like singapore have. six people are dead and six others injured after a commuter train crashed in denmark.