a crucial week here in westminster — as theresa may launches a last—ditch effort to sell her brexit deal. the prime minister warns no brexit is more likely than leaving the eu without a deal — if she loses tomorrow's vote in parliament. it's now myjudgment that the more likely outcome is a paralysis in parliament that risks there being no brexit. that makes it even more important that mps consider very carefully how they will vote tomorrow night. eu leaders have written to the prime minister insisting they do not want to use the controversial backstop for the irish border, and saying that if they did it would be for the shortest possible period. the other main stories this lunchtime: trying to clean up the air we breathe — ministers publish their clean air strategy for england. a five—set thriller, but andy murray is out of the australian open — could this be his last ever match? the incorrect allergy information being provided by some restaurants and takeaways on thejusteat website and app.

and it's breakfast with zoe ball on radio 2, as she takes over the nation's favourite show. and coming up in the sport later in the hour on bbc news, we'll have more from the australian open, including defeat for the british number one kyle edmund. good afternoon from westminster and welcome to the bbc news at one. at the start of a crucial week for brexit, the prime minister has made a last—ditch attempt to get mps to back her deal when the commons votes tomorrow. speaking to factory workers in stoke—on—trent, theresa may said

pressure from backbenchers meant if her plans were rejected, no brexit would be more likely than leaving without a deal. this morning, eu leaders sent a letter to the prime minister, offering further reassurances about the withdrawal agreement, but mrs may is still predicted to face a heavy defeat tomorrow. our political correspondent nick eardley reports. what do we want? people's vote... deal or something else? this week mps will finally vote on the government's brexit plan, but it's ha rd to government's brexit plan, but it's hard to find anyone here who thinks they will back it. the prime minister continues to fight for her vision. this morning in stoke—on—trent, which voted almost 70% to leave, theresa may had a warning for brexit supporters, that if they oppose her plan, they might get know brexit at all. while no deal remains a risk, having observed events at westminster over the last

seven days, it's now myjudgment that the more likely outcome is a paralysis in parliament that risks there being no brexit. afresh attempt to address concerns on the irish backstop, too. some tory mps are worried the uk could end up stuck in the arrangement. but the presidents of the council commissions sent a letter saying they do not want the backstop in force. they add they want to see the future relationship in place as quickly as possible. the letters published today have legal force and must be used to interpret the meaning of the withdrawal agreement, including in any future arbitration. they make absolutely clear that the backstop is not a threat or a trap. but so far, nothing theresa may has secured has changed enough minds. there is no sign that today's offering will be a game changer, and so offering will be a game changer, and so there are a plots aplenty in parliament with different groups of mps fighting for their own brexit visions. some brexiteers say there

is no fear on leaving the eu with oui’ is no fear on leaving the eu with our future relationship is no fear on leaving the eu with ourfuture relationship in place. is no fear on leaving the eu with our future relationship in place. we should vote down this deal with absolute confidence. there are tories who think senior mps may have to ta ke tories who think senior mps may have to take control of the process and allow parliament to decide on a brexit plan b. we are in the very, very final stages of the endgame here, and what we need to do is find a solution, and if the government can't find a solution, and we want them to do so, and we will be voting for her solution, but if it can't then parliament needs to. will later hold a vote of no—confidence? then parliament needs to. will later hold a vote of no-confidence? laid in wait. its leadership is reluctant to back a second referendum but they may be a step closer to the no—confidence vote later this week. all the information so far is that theresa may's deal will go down and it would have gone down a month ago. she has delayed it to try to become oi’ she has delayed it to try to become or support. that doesn't work. she has delayed its to get more assurances, which hasn't worked.

let's get on, vote this thing down and we will consider our position with regard to the no—confidence motion. mps will walk through these lobbies tomorrow evening to finally passjudgment on lobbies tomorrow evening to finally pass judgment on theresa may's brexit plan. but if they reject it, it's far from clear if they can agree an alternative. so what happens tomorrow in parliament, and what are the possible outcomes? our reality check correspondent chris morris has been plotting out all possible permutations for us. so this is where we start. a vote in parliament tomorrow — with all the political manoeuvring surrounding it — on theresa may's brexit deal. the legally binding withdrawal agreement and the non—binding political declaration on what the future relationship might look like. if it's accepted — which is looking highly unlikely tomorrow, but if it is — the path ahead is a bit more straightforward. the agreement would have to be turned into uk law with new legislation, and there'd be further parliamentary battles about that. then it would need to be ratified in the european parliament and get eu approval. if all that happens in time,

then the uk would leave the eu on schedule with a deal on the 29th of march. but back over here, if it gets rejected, what then? well, the default position — if nothing changes at all — is down there. the uk still leaves on march the 29th, but with no deal and probably numerous resignations from the cabinet. but, as we know, there are many, many people determined to prevent that happening. so what then? well, the government will probably seek even more reassurance from brussels, especially on the irish backstop. and there could then be a second — or even a third — vote in parliament on the deal as the government tries to ramp up the pressure. again, if it's accepted, we're back to that line along the top, leaving the eu with a deal on march the 29th. but if the prime minister can't get her deal through the commons, well, we know that mps have already made plans to seize the initiative. they'll debate alternatives and try to prevent no dealfrom happening.

that could mean trying to extend the article 50 negotiating period to buy a bit more time. but the rest of the eu would have to agree to that. and then what? well, first of all, there could be a different deal for leaving that the majority of mps can support. that could mean staying in the single market and the customs union — known by some as norway plus — or a different variation of that, advocated by the labour party — a permanent customs union and closer links with the single market. or even a cleaner break, a basic free—trade deal — a bit like canada has. it's worth pointing out that none of these would really change the withdrawal agreement itself, but mps might vote for a deal that sets out a clearer future direction. but if none of that works, well, we know that labour wants an election. and it says it will at some stage demand a vote of no—confidence in the government to try to get one. but there are also growing calls for another referendum to give the people another say now they know what the options are. that could of course lead to no brexit at. lead

to no brexit at all. but again, the default position in uk and eu law is that, if mps can't agree on any alternative, then — deal or no deal — brexit will happen on march the 29th, in just 75 days' time. with me now is our assistant political editor norman smith. it's all about the numbers. any evidence of the sea change that theresa may requires, it might happen. i think the blunt and says no. i thought it was striking listening to the prime minister today. she was asked, do you believe you can wind? she body swerve that and said, i'm working to get as much support as i can. the international trade secretary liam fox was rather blunt and said publicly it was quite unlikely mrs may can win. the name of the game now is really trying to reduce the scale of the defeat in the hope that if mrs may does not go down to an absolutely shattering defeat, she can come back with some sort of tweak, reworked deal that

she can potentially put to mps a game, which is why today we saw her trying to reel in some of her critics, saying to brexiteers, be careful. if you vote against my deal, you might end up with no brexit at all. that is the likely outcome. sailing to mps generally, if used what brexit, it will have profound ramifications for our democracy and of course flourishing this letter from the eu, full of kind words and good intentions, again in the hope it mightjust get again in the hope it mightjust get a few people back on board. so where we are, bluntly, is mrs may's deal is going down. there are flames streaming from the fuselage, the ejector seat isn't working, the tail fin has been shot up. the hope is if mrs may can manage a bearable crash landing and emerge from the wreckage, she could perhaps present another deal and have another go. norman, thank you. let's speak to our europe

correspondent, damian grammaticas. full of warm words and kind intentions, norman said. but anything new in that letter from jean—claude juncker and donald tusk? what it does is it states first of all there is no change to the existing withdrawal agreement, no time limit on that backstop. but mrs may insist there are a couple of new things in here. she says there is a new determination from the eu to push quickly and immediately with talking about a trade deal. a new parity, she says, about the fact that northern ireland would not be trapped in new laws. northern ireland itself could have a veto as it were over any new laws coming from the eu if it was in the mac sub. some reassurance therefore northern ireland. the problem is that, fundamentally, she says although there is legal force to this letter, it doesn't give the legal reassurances that some in her

party wa nt. legal reassurances that some in her party want. interestingly, though, what we are hearing here is, eve ryo ne what we are hearing here is, everyone watching and, as you've been hearing, the crucial thing now is the outcome of those votes tomorrow. what position does that leave m rs tomorrow. what position does that leave mrs may in? does it leave her ina leave mrs may in? does it leave her in a position where she could come here and ask for more? and would—be eu be repaired then to consider rethinking things. the crucial thing would be, would there be some clear direction given from parliament about the sort of deal she could get through? if there is, the eu, things might open up, the eu might consider extending the time available for negotiations, article 50 extension, she could bring here the request, adding that it may be willing to consider the idea that come out of that. for now it's what happens in the vote that counts. thank you very much. and for more on brexit there's a special edition of politics live — on bbc two at seven o'clock tonight. simon, many thanks.

wood—burning stoves, open fires and the use of chemicals in farming will all face restrictions under new government plans to tackle air pollution. the clean air strategy for england aims to halve the number of people breathing in harmful particles, and to save the nhs billions of pounds a year. but environmentalists say the plans don't do enough to reduce pollution from cars and planes, and have called it a missed opportunity. our environment correspondent roger harrabin reports. in britain's big cities, the air people breathe is often toxic. this haze is caused by tiny airborne particles, and it is bad news for people with lung problems. oh, i'll cough a lot. breathing sometimes can be quite difficult, which means i can't walk very far. in the court case over nine—year—old asthma victim ella kissi—debrah, it's alleged that air pollution from london's south circular road actually contributed to her death. air pollution is the single biggest

environmental impact that leads to early deaths, and so it's incumbent on us to take action across the board. take the burning of wood and coal, which bringsjoy to people like michelle from bristol. dark winter's night, i wanted something to kind of, you know, cosy around, really, as a family. but polluting too. sales of wet—wood fuel will be banned. if you use a wet log, then it tends to not be as clean so it's quite dirty, and you can actually see it smoking. stoves will have to meet higher standards, and they'll face local restrictions in polluted areas — but no national ban. farmers face changes too, because ammonia gas released from fertilisers drifts into cities and harms people's health. new rules should curb the pollution. meanwhile, previous government decisions will slowly reduce emissions from diesel vehicles. campaigners say the changes are happening too slowly. this strategy doesn't go nearly far

enough on transport, in particular the road transport. the government have got plans to expand aviation — heathrow — and also a multi—billion—pound road—building programme, which would just make traffic and air pollution and climate emissions worse. but there are so many sources of pollution — notjust outdoors but indoors. scented candles, new furniture, toiletries, airfresheners — they can all irritate the lungs. even electric vehicles produce particle pollution from their brakes and their tyres. the truth is that in some of britain's most polluted cities it may be almost impossible for the government to give citizens air that is deemed truly fit to breathe. roger harrabin, bbc news. the police commander at the hillsborough disaster, david duckenfield, has gone on trial, charged with the gross negligence manslaughter of 95 liverpool fans. 96 people were killed as a result of crushing on overcrowded terraces

at the sheffield ground in 1989. one man who died four years afterwards is not included in the prosecution. david duckenfield has pleaded not guilty. officials in indonesia say they've found the cockpit voice recorder from a passenger plane which crashed off the coast of indonesia in october, killing 189 people. investigators have already concluded the lion airjet wasn't airworthy, and should have been grounded. a mother has been killed, and her baby left with life—threatening injuries after they were hit by a car in south london last night. the woman and her son, who is thought to be eight months old, were struck by the vehicle in penge. the driver of the car stopped at the scene and has not been arrested. andy murray has crashed out of the australian open in the first round, in what could prove to be his final match as a professional. murray pushed spain's roberto bautista agut to a fifth set, after losing the first two.

at an emotional press conference last week, the former wimbledon champion said the pain from a hip injury would force his retirement this year. andy swiss was watching the match. goodbye, perhaps, to a sporting great. but if this was andy murray's signing off he did it in typically thrilling style. earlier, his fans had flocked to melbourne, knowing they could be seeing the end of an extraordinary era. and just breaking my heart, and i have to be there to witness this event. fantastic player. the guy is brilliant. nobody has got to his level in british tennis before. it will be a real shame to see him bow out. by the time murray announced the support was deafening. could he defy the odds one more time? the early signs we re odds one more time? the early signs were not encouraging. that troublesome hip soon been giving the

runaround, troublesome hip soon been giving the ru na round, roberto troublesome hip soon been giving the runaround, roberto bautista agut taking the first two sets. getting painful. but boldly, brilliantly, murray began to drag himself back. his mum loved it, and so did much of melbourne. a tie—break, and guess what? suddenly it was like old times, and better was to come. he edge that another tie—break to make it 2-2. edge that another tie—break to make it 2—2. was this remarkable career infor it 2—2. was this remarkable career in for another remarkable chapter? well, it wasn't to be, as his fitness finally faded and bautista agut triumphed. but he was much better as anyone expected, and as he tried to control his emotions, the question everyone was asking, is this the end? if it was my last match, like you say, amazing way to end. i gave everything i had. ifi come back again, they will need to be a big operation which there is no guarantee it would be able to come back from anywhere, but i will give it my best shot. thanks a lot.

cheers. a glimmer of hope then. it may not be over yet, but if it does it is with typical grit and grace, murray as ever fighting right to the finish. andy swiss, bbc news. the time is 1.18. our top story this lunchtime: the prime minister warns brexit may not happen and is more likely than leaving without a deal, if mps vote down her plans tomorrow. and in the next few minutes the government whip has resigned, saying theresa may's deal would be detrimental to the nation's interests. and why turkey farmers in the east of england are worried about brexit. coming up in the sport in the next 15 minutes on bbc news: the best in the world — manchester united hail their keeper david de gea after he helps them beat spurs at wembley. record—breaking snow has continued to blanket parts of europe. over the weekend, at least

five people were killed as avalanches hit skiing areas, and over 20 people have died in the region during the last month. the situation is particular severe in the austrian alps, from where our correspondent bethany bell reports. this ski resort in the central austrian alps is sinking in snow. it was evacuated a week ago because of the danger of avalanches. now soldiers and firefighters are trying to dig it out. it's going to take a long time. the snow is several stories high. translation: this is the ground floor, but on the second story is actually looks pretty much the same. this happened over the last six or seven days. the small really didn't stop. in the nearby

town of arlberg the streets are deserted. people staying indoors if they can. some of the snow piles here in annaberg are taller than i am “— here in annaberg are taller than i am —— the nearby town of annaberg. it is an uphill battle to try to keep the roads clear. this street near the school will have to be cleared again soon. over the weekend three skiers from germany died in an avalanche in lech in western austria. they were found on ski routes that had been closed off. person is still missing. rescue workers had two col off their search as it was too dangerous to continue. —— rescue workers had to call off their search. a british—iranian woman held in prison in tehran has begun

a three—day hunger strike, in protest at being denied access to a doctor. nazanin zaghari—ratcliffe was jailed in 2016 on spying charges, which she denies. her husband, richard ratcliffe, said his wife had come under pressure in prison to agree to spy on britain after her release. richard galpin reports. nazanin zaghari—ratcliffe's health has deteriorated significantly during her time in prison. she has lumps on her breasts, problems with her neck and severe depression. but treatment has been denied. at a news conference in london this morning, her family and colleagues expressed concern at her now going on hunger strike in protest. she has been in very poor health for a number of years now. and she has been refused proper treatment. so on someone already very poor physically, and mentally, a hunger strike can have devastating effects. this is the moment nazanin

zaghari—ratcliffe was arrested in tehran airport in 2016. she and her daughter about to head home after visiting relatives. she was convicted of spying and given a five—year prison sentence. she has always vehemently denied the charge. now, to add to the stress she is under, iranian revolutionary guards have been trying to recruit her to spy for them. specifically, to spy on dfid, the department for international development, and an organisation called small media, which the revolutionary guard keep trying to link her to, like in the film of last week, but which she has no connection to. she was told that it would be safer for her and safer for her family afterwards if she agreed to do this. the foreign secretaryjeremy hunt was in iran late last year, in part to push for nazanin's release from prison. but it's not worked. and there's now more pressure on mr hunt to give her diplomatic protection, which would create a formal dispute between the two countries.

whether that's going to have any impact is farfrom certain — and meanwhile, as the news conference here in central london has heard, nazanin zaghari—ratcliffe is becoming so desperate that she is prepared to starve herself. richard galpin, bbc news. some restaurants and takeaways listed on thejust eat website and app are providing incorrect allergy information to customers which could be life—threatening, an investigation by the bbc‘s panorama programme has found. one restaurant was unable to provide even basic legally—required details when asked. tina daheley reports. in the uk, the biggest takeaway delivery app by far is just eat. just eat, summon up your favourite takeaway tonight. in 2017, just eat became one of the uk's 100 most valuable listed companies, worth £5.6 billion. while you order on thejust eat app, the restaurants deliver the food to your door.

but how safe is the food? none of the big online takeaway sites display hygiene ratings when you order. and panorama put it to an environmental health expert that over 100 zero—rated restaurants and takeaways listed onjust eat have the lowest hygiene score. restaurants that had cockroach infestations, rat and mice infestations, and really bad hygiene standards. yeah, and that's extremely worrying from a public health point of view. because, at the end of the day, we all want to be able to go on a just eat website, buy food, and have a reasonable expectation, a strong expectation, that the food we are buying through there is safe. what's more, just eat don't require restaurants to provide any allergen information on their site. they say the customers should ask the restaurants themselves. posing as a customer with an allergy to wheat and gluten, i followed just eat‘s advice

and phone around a number of restaurants, one of them mamma mia pizza in birmingham. a takeaway with a zero—hygiene rating. i ordered a burger without the bun. hi, there. i've come to pick up my orderfrom just eat. no bun, yeah? no bun. so is that a burger and chips? yeah. can i just check? because i've got a wheat and gluten allergy. is there any wheat and gluten in that? you what, sorry? wheat and gluten? no. we sent away the burger for testing. there was in fact gluten in the burger. in a statement to panorama, just eat told us... they added that the poorly—rated restaurants that we found should not have been promoted on their site.

mamma mia pizza told us they believe staff did not understand our question, and add that they display allergy information in store. tina daheley, bbc news. zoe ball hosted her first breakfast show on radio 2 this morning — she's taken over from chris evans on the most popular slot on the uk airwaves. she's the first woman to host the show, and to mark the occasion she kicked off with aretha franklin's respect. our entertainment correspondent, lizo mzimba, was listening. # it's zoe ball's breakfast show! oh, and relax! after all the build—up and all the chat and all the preamble, the big day is finally here... the start of a new era on britain's most—listened—to radio show. zoe ball kicked off her new role just after 6.30 this morning. a big change for a radio 2's listeners, welcoming the station's first female weekday breakfast host. so, first record — what's it going to be? music: respect by aretha franklin.

i feel really honoured to be the first woman here, and i think it's great. there's a lot of women in broadcasting. i think the bbc really do support women across all the programmes. and i've always felt really supported like that. so it is an honour and a privilege, and i'm really proud to be the first. have a pencil and paper handy... the show‘s previous two presenters were of course the late terry wogan, and chris evans. big names to follow, but she's confident her formula will be a success. i think the key with the breakfast show is you want to feel part of a family. terry and chris made you feel like they were talking to you, directly to you. you feel part of the family, you feel included in this gang. that is it for the very first zoe ball breakfast show. well done, team! thank you for listening. she's inherited 9 million listeners from evans, who left last month. you do realise you're going to have to do it again tomorrow. oh, hang on!

look at the contract! the bbc will be hoping she'll maintain those figures in an increasingly competitive market. lizo mzimba, beneath the news. —— lizo mzimba, bbc news. back now to our main story — brexit — and, as we've heard, a government whip has resigned while we've been on air in order to vote against the prime minister's deal. but what about the possible effect of withdrawal from the eu on different communities in the uk? 15 years ago, thetford in norfolk was transformed by the arrival of thousands of europeans — many of whom came to work in poultry production. now that industry, which relies on migrant labour, is finding the future uncertain. david whiteley has this report it's early morning, and gregory migut is getting ready for the day. he arrived from poland 15 years ago. he lives in thetford. ok, i'm ready. see you — bye. but the upheaval around brexit has had a big impact on his home town, with a number of polish people leaving. i'm really concerned, and at the same time very upset.

not enough workers can help us out, not enough manual labour coming in. and it's farms like traditional norfolk poultry, where gregory works, that have been hit. 75% of their workforce are eu migrants. the company is owned by mark gorton. he has run the business here in shropham near thetford for over 30 years. since brexit, we've never been fully staffed. we cannot fill every position in this business. are you paying enough? yeah, we pay competitive wages to the industry. we offer people a chance to come and work here and go up the pay grades, so, you know, we're notjust looking for basic minimum wage people. supervisors, line leaders, team leaders, managers — people can have a career here. but that could all change. under the latest government proposal, if someone now comes into a low—skilled job they may struggle to move into management.

the government's proposals make a strict distinction between high—skilled work and low—skilled work, and someone who comes in initially into a low—skilled job would not be able to switch into the high—skilled route, under the proposals. it would affect anyone trying to move upwards. i'm not unduly fussed where my workforce comes from, but i need enough people to man my lines, to look after my birds on the farms, to run this business efficiently and successfully. david whiteley, bbc news. and you can see more on how brexit will affect where you live tonight on inside out — that's on bbc one in england at 7.30. all the episodes will also be available on the bbc iplayer. right, time for a look at the weather.