the financial times says despite her last ditch attemps to persuade mps to back her, the prime ministerfaces a humiliation in the vote tomorrow. the independent lists the milestones of the past two and a half years and asks how big the defeat for mrs may will be. the metro repeats the question posed by the prime minister in the commons today: how history willjudge what happens next? the daily telegraph says mrs may has run out of options to save her deal and that she faces a heavy defeat tomorrow. the guardian says labour are poised to call for a no—confidence vote if, as the paper expects, the rejection of the deal is crushing. the daily mail devotes its front page to it's plea to mps — back the deal and in so doing, reunite the country. the times repeats claims made by the prime minister that a rejection of her deal on what it calls brexit d—day could open the door to a corbyn government. and the sun chooses to ignore the impending brexit vote and focus instead on a pregnant duchess of sussex, revealing prince harry meditates every day to prepare him forfatherhood. we will stay with the telegraph.

cabinet ministers say theresa may will have to quit if she loses the vote by a heavy margin, that is what we are talking about now? it looks as if she will lose, but it is the margin? i have not spoken to anyone who thinks she has a good chance of winning tomorrow so it is fairly safe to say no one is expecting her to win tomorrow, but as you say, it will be a question of the scale of the defeat. by some calculations it seems like she might lose by 229 votes which would mean 112 of her own party members might vote against her deal. what is interesting, it seems at least two parliamentary

private secretaries and a tory vice—chairman are likely to resign in order to vote against her deal. it is pretty clear that if the defeat is the size of 100, over 100, it is very difficult for her to stay on. very difficult to see how she stays on. but if it is something between 80—90 votes, we are reporting there's a chance she might still say she will go back to brussels and try and get something else, but as it stands it looks like her position is becoming extremely difficult. but to be clear, if she loses, and that is what is expected, and it is fairly sizeable, she can't be forced out. the erg and jacob rees—mogg shot their bolt a while ago andi rees—mogg shot their bolt a while ago and i cannot go for her now for at least another 12 months. ago and i cannot go for her now for at least another12 months. she can't be forced out by her parliamentary party, but i'm pretty sure whatever happens assuming she

loses labour will hold that vote of fio loses labour will hold that vote of no confidence that has been spoken about for so often because it has to. it has always been clear they have a sequence of propositions in the first is vote against a deal and then call for a general election. if they were to win that, but i don't see how that happens, there would be a general election. other than that, there is no mechanism to remove her, that was used in december, but i think the scale of the vote is hugely significant because in the commons this afternoon, as she had to come up she struck a obstinate tone, she represented the peoples vote in 2016, not the parliamentary will now. if it is a colossal defeat, she is really going to have to deliver what parliament wants. but even if it is a 50—60, it is

extraordinary, we are talking about a defeat on the biggest proposition a defeat on the biggest proposition a prime minister has put to the house of commons since 1945, we are on the edge of epic politics. house of commons since 1945, we are on the edge of epic politicsm house of commons since 1945, we are on the edge of epic politics. it has been the flagship policy of this government, as well, the government has had little time to focus on other things and if she has spent two years of negotiating this deal, if you cannot get it through and if she cannot get it through so badly, the size of the defeat is so huge, it is difficult to see how she stays on. even if it isn't that huge but she still loses, a huge vote in the history of this country, she could still be there, and that sums up a paralysis of our political classes. pa rt paralysis of our political classes. part of the reason is also because we rely on a system where in situations like this people don't cling on, they think if they set

themselves a certain goals and if they can't do this, it probably means my time is up, which is what david cameron did when he said he doesn't believe in brexit in any way so it would be wrong for him to lead his country into negotiating the deal with the eu and he left. nobody really forced him at that point. but her character, who knows. it is very interesting, she just presses on. almost as if she is apart from the storms erupting around her. i imagine her saying different things over the next few days. i find it ha rd over the next few days. i find it hard to say, i resign. i find over the next few days. i find it hard to say, i resign. ifind it difficult to hear her say those words. similarly, iwill difficult to hear her say those words. similarly, i will now advocate a referendum and i will negotiate norway plus, all the things that she might have to say because of the parliamentary dilemma, ifind because of the parliamentary dilemma, i find it because of the parliamentary

dilemma, ifind it hard because of the parliamentary dilemma, i find it hard to imagine her saying those things, but something has got to happen and she is the key. front page of the daily mail. time to put your country first. if the mps backed the deal we can leave the eu and unite the country and end the paralysis. change of editor at the daily mail, would you have expected this under the previous editor? no, but they have been absolutely loyal to theresa may and her deal all the way through and this is the way the new editor has tried to be distinct but loyal to a tory audience. exactly. you have got to keep those readers on the board —— on board. the front page of the guardian. how important is the scale of the defeat to europe because they will be watching very closely? if it is a big defeat for the prime minister, how could that change the calculus? by some

reports, we are waiting for this letter from reports, we are waiting for this letterfrom jean—claude reports, we are waiting for this letter from jean—claude juncker, to come today, to provide theresa may with some reassurance. very little came out of that letter today. by some reports the eu are waiting to see how this vote goes tomorrow and if it seems like there is any movement that theresa may could push this bill through with a bit of give from them there are some people who believe the eu might be willing to make certain positive noises but thatis make certain positive noises but that is all speculation. the eu has been very clear that it will not be reopening what they think has actually been done. you can't offer legally watertight things on this backdrop, that some mps want, i don't think they will be able to do that, whatever the scale of the defeat. but they will be watching absolutely bewildered and entranced

by what is going on, i suspect. and again the scale of the defeat will partly determine their response. the front page of the independent. this goes to what you were talking about earlier, steve. 31 months since the referendum she has had 13 defeats in the house of commons, 12 eu summits, three brexit secretaries, a botched election and one forced meaningful vote. today the crucial number for the prime minister tells its own story. a defiance there. we are talking about a prime minister who would like a legacy to be one that she got this country through this very difficult time. and also the suggestion that she does not want to go defeated. i hope she enjoyed the hill walking because the rest was

quite dark. she has become a fascinating figure. because she carries on almost as if what has happened hasn't happened. she will say, the cabinet backs are brexit deal, and then be brexit secretary resigns and she appoints someone else, and she carries on through all these extraordinary setbacks. brexit was going to be a titanic challenge, whoever got thatjob, was going to be a titanic challenge, whoever got that job, when she was going to be a titanic challenge, whoever got thatjob, when she got it, but what a list of crisis, almost unprecedented in the last 40-50 almost unprecedented in the last 40—50 years, that scale of parliamentary defeats, resignations, and so on. and here we are now on the edge of a possible historic defeat for her. at the very least it isa defeat for her. at the very least it is a failure of an act of persuasion. which is part of the art

of leadership. exactly. that aborted meaningful vote did a lot of damage to her and meaningful vote did a lot of damage to herandi meaningful vote did a lot of damage to her and i get the feeling speaking to people outside the westminster bubble, if you like, that until that point, people blamed a lot of different people for the mess but not hurt, and there was sympathy for her, that she was trying to do a difficultjob and giving it her best but when she said she was going to give the meaningful vote and then on the morning they we re vote and then on the morning they were briefing it was going to go ahead, michael gove was out there saying it was definitely going to go ahead, but then she pulled it and that did not look good. the front page of the independent, cataloguing those problems for the prime minister, and if we go to the front page of the guardian, you could have a similar list for donald trump. he says, i never worked for russia, it isa says, i never worked for russia, it is a fat hoax. the fact an american

journalist has asked of an american president, are you a russian agent, thatis president, are you a russian agent, that is extraordinary. yes, almost as if they don't want to fall behind the mess going on in this country! the us president was asked about russia after the us media reported that law officials were concerned about his behaviour when he was getting rid of james about his behaviour when he was getting rid ofjames comey as the fbi director, they started an investigation into whether he had wittingly or unwittingly become a russian... had worked... had acted asa russian... had worked... had acted as a russian agent. on saturday he was asked by fox news when the president said how dare you, that is an insult, but he neither denied or accepted the charges. he categorically denied it today. very briefly, the fact is, he got his

interpreter to get rid of the notes taken of his meeting with vladimir putin. did he? i missed that element. breaking news, steve. breaking news for me. it almost tops the craziness here. who knows? but what an extraordinary set of questions to be put before an american president. you will be back in 45 minutes. that's it for the papers for this hour. thank you to my guests dia chakravarty and steve richards. there is colder weather on the way but not just yet, there is colder weather on the way but notjust yet, and it will actually get a bit milder first. south—westerly breeze is picking up, drawing in mild airfrom the atlantic, dragging in a lot of cloud, and the weather front is draped across northern scotland,

hence the rain we have got overnight, it might be a bit cold for a while across east anglia with clearer skies but on the whole temperature be around 4—6. the rain is still there across scotland tomorrow, quite heavy for a while in the highlands, a few spots of drizzle in other western hills further south but generally it will be dry in much of england and wales and northern ireland. little sunshine coming through, though, and a breezy south—westerly wind and mild air, temperatures higher than today. we keep the mild air in the evening and overnight. it starts to turn wintry in scotland and their northerly winds drag the cold air across the whole of the country by thursday. this is bbc news. i'm clive myrie. the headlines at 11. on the england a crucial vote, theresa may warns of a high price to be paid if mps do not support her. now myjudgement is that a paralysis

is likely if there is no brexit. now myjudgement is that a paralysis is likely if there is no brexitm is likely if there is no brexitm is clear that if the prime minister 's deal is rejected tomorrow it is time for a general election. time for a new government. in other news, wood burning stoves, open fires and farms all face new restrictions, as the government outlines plans to tackle air pollution in england. president trump has denied working for russia, describing the suggestion as a big fat hoax. the jailed british—iranian woman, nazanin zaghari—ratcliffe, injail in tehran, has begun a hunger strike in protest