the uk economy last year grew at its slowest rate since 2012, official figures show. a fall in factory output and car production are being blamed — but the chancellor remains upbeat. the important thing is, the economy has come in ahead of the obr's forecast for 2018. and that's in the context of a weakening world economy and increasing concerns about trade tensions around the world. we'll be asking what the prospects are for the year ahead. also this lunchtime... theresa may offersjeremy corbyn more brexit talks in her effort to break the deadlock in parliament. the defence secretary announces plans to modernise the armed forces, to allow britain to redefine its global role after brexit. a stark warning about the fate of the world's most populous species — insects — and the potential effect on our ecosystems. and olivia colman picks up the best actress award at the baftas, with glowing praise

for her co—stars. emma and rachel — must keep it together — not just for your performances but for what you did after the cameras stopped rolling... and we've never talked about this, and i find it very emotional, but you were the best and classiest and coolest honour guard any woman could ever have. coming up in the sport later in the hour on bbc news... what now for maurizio sarri, after a 6—0 thrashing at manchester city? the chelsea manager admits that his job is always at risk. good afternoon and welcome to the bbc news at one. the uk economy last year grew at its slowest rate for six years, according to official figures out today.

the office for national statistics says growth in 2018 was 1.4%, down from 1.8% the previous year — and the lowest since 2012. and according to the estimates, december was a particularly bad month for the economy, as our correspondent andy verity explains. this telford manufacturer takes metal parts for everything from gateposts to lorries to streetlights and coat them in sync. in 2018 business was slower than it would have liked. orders started slowing in the spring and for the rest of the year it got worse. as it became more obvious the economy was slowing down, the pound dropped in value meaning they needed more pounds to buy raw materials in dollars or euros. the problems were mostly due to the rising cost of sink, our largest raw material which is used to coat all of our components for it

isa to coat all of our components for it is a double whammy for our customers with rising steel prices as well making it very difficult. we also experienced a high turnover of staff which has had a negative impact on oui’ which has had a negative impact on our efficiency. manufacturing has often struggled when other sectors have done well. for most of the year, services, everything from warehousing to shops to haircuts, was keeping the economy going to the important thing is that the economy has come in ahead of the obr's forecast for 2018 and that is in the context of a weakening world economy and increasing concerns about trade tensions around the world. so, a robust performance for the uk economy in 2018, which is all the more remarkable given the uncertainty around the brexit process. while the economy was still growing at the end of 2018, even the services part of it wasn't growing by much. this chart shows how much slower the economy is growing by now compared to the pastor. in the last three months of 2018 it was up by

just 0.2%, slower than most economists expected. these official figures show that the economy shrank in december by 0.4% and it was down in construction, production and in the services sector which makes up most of the economy. you have to treat these numbers with a degree of caution but according to these official estimates, that's the first time that has happened since 2012. the figures have led some economists to fear that while the rest of the world economy is slowing down, in the uk, it is hitting the brakes harder and the bank of england has said uncertainty related to brexit is likely to be one reason that his happening. the bank of england made a big point about uncertainty really affecting business sentiment and consumer confidence the longer that uncertainty lasts, the greater the potential for damaging investment and consumer spending. what households can buy with their money has been growing recently, but

that's only sustainable if the economy grows, too. before the financial crash, the average economic growth was more than twice what these figures show. and andy is here with me now. how does the slower economic growth affect peoples incomes? well, the relationship between the economy growing more quickly or slowly and peoples incomes is not at all direct. for most of the last ten yea rs direct. for most of the last ten years the economy has been growing but our incomes in terms of what we can actually buy without money has not been growing by much. so a lot of the economic growth has just been adding people, people working into retirement as well as migrant workers, an economy is just people and their economic activity so if you add more people, the economy grows, but not in a way which makes each of your better off. that's why we have had these stagnant living standards. so the question with the growth numbers is notjust how much the whole economy is growing by, but how much it is growing by four individuals. sometimes even in a

recession individual economies can grow, a lot of people got better off in 2009 when the economy was shrinking. so even if the economy is growing more slowly, it doesn't necessarily mean you will be worse off. the prime minister and the labour leader, jeremy corbyn, look set to hold further talks over brexit. but theresa may rejected one ofjeremy corbyn's five demands for backing a brexit deal — keeping the uk in a permanent customs union. mrs may is trying to find a way out of the political impasse over brexit, with the uk's departure date of 29th march just over six weeks away. she's due to make a statment to mps tomorrow. here's our political correspondent, nick eardley. the painstaking process of trying to deliver brexit continuous. searching for compromise in brussels and trying to build support at home. has the prime minister met your demands, mr corbyn. . . 7 the prime minister met your demands, mr corbyn...? for the prime minister met your demands, mr corbyn. . . ? for a long time jeremy corbyn has had little to agree with the government on. he set out his conditions for backing a deal and

now the prime minister wants to talk. in a letter to mr corbyn, she says, she wants to discuss changes to the brexit deal to avoid a hard border in ireland. she pledges not to sacrifice workers rights or environmental protections, hints at funding for lending behind communities but a significant sticking point remains — whether to joina sticking point remains — whether to join a customs union. number ten says it cannot agree and ministers are dismissive of labour's idea. says it cannot agree and ministers are dismissive of labour's ideam is very clear from the european union that non—eu members do not have a say in eu trade policy journal to pretend that you could do so isa journal to pretend that you could do so is a dangerous delusion. much of what jeremy corbyn has so is a dangerous delusion. much of whatjeremy corbyn has put so is a dangerous delusion. much of what jeremy corbyn has put forward has a tinge of unrealism about it, i think the prime minister's letter in a sense will flush him out on some of those issues. labour says there isa of those issues. labour says there is a basis for discussion but wants the government to move further.m looks like there could be some progress, but also, you know, she has to guarantee a permanent customs

union, and it is not obvious that she is prepared to go down that line yet. but let's see how things progress. there is not a sudden outbreak of agreement yet. there are still real differences, not least on the idea ofjoining a customs union. jeremy corbyn isn't about to sign on the dotted line and back the prime minister's planet. but theresa may needs as many votes as she can get and this might provide some cover for labour mps to get onside. we estimate it is some by between 40—60 who are actively looking for ways to support this at the moment. and obviously, if the labour party were to whip for that, then she would find the majority that she needs. so the work to find consensus continues but remember, there isn't long left. our assistant political editor, norman smithm, is at westminster. how much is mrs may counting on labour support to get her deal through? well, she is going to some labour support, because there is a clutch

of tory diehards, irreconcilables who will probably never back whatever deal mrs may comes back with, so she's going to need some labour mps to come on board, which is why in this letter tojeremy corbyn, the prime minister strikes a note of conciliation, applauding mr corbyn for accepting that the backstop is going to have to be reworked, for acknowledging that the priority now must be on getting a deal, not pressing for a general election or another referendum. giving him a little bit of a concession on employment rights, not as much as he would want but a little bit. and offering more cash for rundown communities, predominantly in the north, in labour areas. now, mr corbyn predominantly in the north, in labourareas. now, mr corbyn is predominantly in the north, in labour areas. now, mr corbyn is not going to say, that's terrific, i'm going to say, that's terrific, i'm going to say, that's terrific, i'm going to support off but it may give space for some of those labour mps in leave supporting constituencies who are thinking of backing or abstaining on mrs may's deal the

space tojust get abstaining on mrs may's deal the space to just get on board. the trouble is, of course, every time mrs may takes a shuffle towards labourmps, she mrs may takes a shuffle towards labour mps, she risks alienating some of her own tory brexiteers, which is why we've seen this morning seniorfigures like the which is why we've seen this morning senior figures like the chancellor trying to reassure them and say, "we will never go soft on a customs union. we're never going to accept mr corbyn's ideas a customs union." and you're left with the thought that mrs may once again is doing her high wire act, tentatively trying to tiptoe across the line, to get to the other side. but every time she ta kes a the other side. but every time she takes a step, there's that awkward wobble as she tries to regain her balance and. the senior police officer in charge of preparing for a no deal brexit has said there's a risk such an outcome would leave britain less safe. deputy assistant commissioner richard martin said some suspects could evade arrest if the uk lost access to the european arrest warrant and europol. our home affairs correspondent daniel sandford reports. brought together in one

office in central london at the cost of £5.6 million, some of the uk's experts on working with overseas police forces. the unit has been set up to prepare for the possibility of the uk leaving the eu without a deal in less than seven weeks. if that happens, in an instant, uk forces will lose access to all the joint european policing tools that have taken decades to develop. they say they will have to go back to using much older processes. policing is not going to stop overnight. we will still be there using the tools available, especially to keep our communities safe. but it goes without saying that these processes are slower, they are more bureaucratic, they are clunkier, and that obviously does not allow us to be as efficient as we are now. police point to the example of the former stephen lawrence suspect jamie acourt, arrested in spain and brought back to britain a month later using the european arrest warrant. compare that with jack shepherd, who was convicted of manslaughter

after a speedboat accident. he was detained in georgia, from where it could take months to bring him back to the uk. if the eu policing tools are lost, the fallback options are agreements from the 1950s. instead of using the european arrest warrant, they'll use the 1957 european convention on extradition. and the new european criminal records information system will be replaced by the 1959 convention on mutual assistance in criminal matters. this international crime coordination centre has been set up to deal with the worst—case scenario, in which uk policing loses access to key european policing tools. it's designed to make the best of the alternative arrangements, to make them run as smoothly and as quickly as possible. but senior officers concede that in some cases the system will work too slowly, and wanted criminals will have time

to simply disappear. daniel sandford, bbc news, central london. the defence secretary, gavin williamson, has announced it is the greatest opportunity facing the country, to redefine its role in the world, and that he says will require bolder, stronger, more lethal armed forces, which he says britain must be ready to use, this is what he said. global britain needs to be much more than a pithy phrase. it has to be about action and our armed forces represent the best of global britain in action. taking action alongside our friends and allies, action to strengthen the hand of fragile nations and support those who face natural disaster. action to oppose those who flout international law. now, is part of that he said he would be sending britain's new aircraft carrier to the pacific to challenge china's territorial claims to some waters. he also announced that he was going to invest extra money in cyber

operations but also to buy swarms of drones, new ships that could mount attacks on the land... how realistic is this? well, at the moment the mod can't really afford the equipment it has already ordered. that said, the mod also claims that they have costed this. i think there will be plenty of doubts about that. there isa plenty of doubts about that. there is a black hole in the mod budget of up is a black hole in the mod budget of up to £15 billion of fish and then i think you could ask about scale — can britain be everywhere in the world with armed forces much smaller than they were a decade ago, we depend on america largely for intervention. and the signs are from the current administration in the us that they want a lesser role in the world, not a bigger role in the world. a 24—year—old man has appeared at hull magistrates‘ court on charges of voyeurism, outraging public decency and three counts of burglary. he was remanded in custody. pawel relowicz is the man arrested in relation to the search for libby squire, the student who went missing 11 days ago. the charges aren't connected to her disappearance, but he remains a person of interest.

up to 86,000 women aged between 35 and 39, with a family history of breast cancer, should receive annual mammograms, according to new research. a trial by the charity breast cancer now found that screening a younger age group detected small tumours early in comparison to the current nhs screening age of a0. the british horseracing authority is to confirm this evening whether racing will resume later this week, after the sport was put on hold because of an outbreak of equine flu. four more cases have been identified at a second yard in newmarket. six horses were found to be infected in cheshire last week. let's go now to richard conway, who's live at a stables in lambourn in berkshire. here at the home of champion trainer nicky henderson it has been business as usual this morning. i have been

joined by nikki. this equine flu, no racing over the weekend, a decision pending on when it can get back under way, where do you stand on the decision? at the time something had to be done very quickly. there was an outbreak on wednesday. we raced on wednesday and we were in contact with horses from the yard that had had an outbreak. it was quite a distant line but it had to be investigated. i think to buy time that was probably the sensible thing to do. but i think we have all then had, our horses have been swabbed and tested. there were four cases found ina and tested. there were four cases found in a flat yard in newmarket la st found in a flat yard in newmarket last night. that has clouded the water is a little bit. i think there isa genuine water is a little bit. i think there is a genuine hope we may be able to resume this week. we await announcement tonight. national hunt

horses, apart from gordon mccain's, who unfortunately had the positives in the original results on wednesday, i seriously think and hope we can get going. a month until cheltenham. you have got your string of leading horses ready. the feeling perhaps is that raising and sacrifice a few fixtures as long as the big one goes ahead at cheltenham? we lost a big week and la st cheltenham? we lost a big week and last weekend. but i think as we speak today the bha are going to make a decision on whether we can resume. we lost some important races. i am resume. we lost some important races. lam hoping resume. we lost some important races. i am hoping they are considering rescheduling some of those races that we rather importantly need as part of the build—up to cheltenham. importantly need as part of the build-up to cheltenham. that is the view from nicky henderson here in lambourn. the bha taking stock of the samples they have gathered. the idea is that by this evening they

can makea idea is that by this evening they can make a decision on whether racing can get back under way. richard, thank you. our top story this lunchtime... official figures show the uk economy last year grew at its slowest rate for six years. and coming up, calls for drastic action to be taken against social media sites if they fail to tackle dangerous selling by influencers. in the sport in the next 15 minutes, we look ahead to the third day's play in the final test as england look to open —— avoid whitewash against the west indies. insects first appeared on earth hundreds of millions of years ago, and have evolved into the most numerous species on the planet. but a major new scientific study has found that more than 40% of those species are vanishing fast, with an extinction rate eight times that of mammals, birds or reptiles.

the use of pesticides and fertilisers, and the conversion of land to urban areas, are partly to blame. the study warns the consequences for the planets ecosystems could be catastrophic. our environment analyst, roger harrabin, reports. how the countryside used to look. wild flower meadows buzzing with insects. but feels like these have virtually disappeared because intensive farming produces more food at less financial cost. pesticides may keep food prices down but they area may keep food prices down but they are a disasterfor may keep food prices down but they are a disaster for insects. the report says intensive farming is number one culprit for insect decline, followed by pollution, invasive species and climate change. in the last 50 years we have been losing insects to insecticides. it

must leave an impact on the environment. it is a very bad system. butterflies and mothss are ha rd est system. butterflies and mothss are hardest hit. the number of widespread butterfly species fell by 58% on farmland in england between 2000 and 2009. so many things depend on insects. in this country we have things like birds, amphibians, mammals, all you'd insects. if we lost insects we would also lose those. in addition to our own food resources. a catastrophic impact. the threat to besi is well—established, although some species are more resilient than others. environmentalists want action. governments have given way to pressure from farmers. they have failed to take the action they needed to take to reduce the use of pesticides. insects have been poorly

studied, so the authors of this report have made some assumptions. but their findings fit a pattern of human impact on the natural world, a world in which one species of insect will almost certainly outlive humans. roger harradine, bbc news. donald trump will travel to el paso in texas today, to hold his first rally of the new year. he has controversially claimed that the ciy‘s 78 mile border fence with mexico is the reason why crime rates have fallen in the city. it's just four days before the us government is due to shut down again, if there is no agreement on funding for a wall that extends right across the border. gary o'donoghue reports. this is the fence that transformed el paso from one of the most violent cities in america to one of the safest — or at least that's according to donald trump. i want to welcome everybody here, all of you volunteers... but when he arrives here, he's likely to find a lot of people who don't believe that — and they're prepared to tell him so. it's an absolute lie, it's an outright lie. el paso is a community full of families, we have

mixed documentation, we have people who cross everyday from juarez who come to take care of our children, to come take care of our families. and we have been a community united by the border — we are not divided here in el paso. with a powerful barrier in place, el paso is one of the safest cities in our country. there's no doubt that there's a huge difference in the crime rate between el paso here in texas and juarez over there across the highway in mexico. here, there were 23 murders last year. over there, a town admittedly twice the size, there were 1200, that's a 50—fold disparity. the question is, is the president right to say it's the wall that makes all the difference? on the other side of that fence is mexico... el paso's republican mayor was one of those taken aback by the president's use of his town to make a bigger political point. i'm not saying that the fence

shouldn't be part of a broader strategy, i mean, we're a sovereign nation, we need to control our borders, but as far as el paso's crime rate, no, it was low before the fence came up and it's gotten even lower since. in reality, violent crime has fluctuated in both el paso and juarez. the two years after the fence went up in 2009, it actually rose on the texas side of the border, as territorial wars between the drug cartels intensified. but there are those here who believe a fence or wall has played an important part. but what about those who accuse the president of using misleading facts? i don't agree that he lies because... the numbers of violent crimes went up after the wall went up? well, but how much had they dropped before then? and why did they go up? did they go up because of the wall, or did they go up because other crimes were occurring?

linking immigration and crime have been constants for president trump, but it's antagonised democrats, and that's made a deal in congress all the harder. gary o'donoghue, bbc news, el paso, texas. former manchester united and england midfielder paul scholes has been appointed as oldham's new manager. the 44—year—old spent his entire playing career with united and won 20 major trophies, including 11 premier league titles. although he has very limited coaching experience, paul scholes has talked recently about his eagerness to get back into football, almost six years since his retirement. social media sites should be fined or shut down if they don't tackle dangerous selling by influencers, england s children s commissioner has said. influencers are personalities with large numbers of followers on social media platforms. a bbc panorama investigation found a 13—year—old who lost money on a game promoted by an influencer on youtube — and a girl who suffered from an eating disorder asked to promote a diet

product on instagram. catrin nye reports. welcome to dubai! social media influencers are digital superstars. many are paid to advertise to their followers online. zara mcdermott from love island is one of them. what is the most you have ever got offered for a post of a product? £3000 for one extra story which would probably take me maybe ten minutes to do. she regularly promotes things like clothes and holidays but has discovered a darker side to the industry. 60 to 70% of the stuff that comes my way i turned down. what sort of stuff? anything gambling related, alcohol—related. you wouldn't even believe the amount of 12, 13, 14—year—olds that come up

to us, as well as six to seven—year—olds, that's er posts. 13—year—old mattie wants to be a youtube himself. he follows a 17—year—old with millions of subscribers. one day he saw him promoting a mystery box game were paid —— players pay to open a box and don't know what they will win. it felt more like a game than a gambling website. i saw there was a box where you could actually win a gaming pc, which are really expensive, like thousands of pounds. my first reaction was, i want that. using his debit card he spent his birthday money trying to win. what happened then? i won a key ring and a pot of slime which probably would have been worth £5 in total. even that has never arrived. he says he was as should the site was an e—commerce store. he accepts he was

naive. he has removed the video and wa nts to naive. he has removed the video and wants to apologise. the mystery band did not respond to our request for comment. they should be careful what they put on youtube. be regulated. the children's commissioner is calling for a legally enforceable measures to force social media platforms to take more responsibility. companies chose not to follow the legal requirements, there could be fines, they could be shut down. it makes those platforms, those digital sites, responsible for what those on the platforms in a way they have not been to date. that was catrin nye reporting. and you can see more on this on panorama: million pound selfie sell—off tonight, bbc one at 8:30. the baftas last night proved a golden success for the historical romp the favourite, which swept up seven awards, including best actress for its british star, olivia colman, as queen anne.

the best film award went to the black and white mexican movie, roma — the first time a production by the video streaming service netflix has won. our entertainment correspondent, lizo mzimba, reports. joining the duke and duchess of cambridge at the annual film awards, representatives of cinema royalty. and it was a royal—themed film that won the most awards — the favourite. go back to your rooms. british star rachel weisz won best supporting actress, and the historical comedy drama took home seven awards in all, including outstanding british film, best costume design, and best actress for olivia colman. did you? look at me. look at me! how dare you! close your eyes! she paid tribute to her two co—stars, rachel weisz and emma stone. emma and rachel — must keep it together. um, not just for your performances, but for what you did after the cameras stopped rolling.

and we've never talked about this, and i find it very emotional. but you were the best and classiest and coolest honour guard any woman could ever have, and i love you. # so you think you can stone me and spit in my eye... the best actor prize went to rami malek for his portrayal of freddie mercury in the queen biopic bohemian rhapsody. thank you so very much to queen, to brian may, to roger taylor, to the entire queen family. wouldn't be here without you. and to the greatest outsider of them all, thank you freddie mercury again. best film went to black and white mexican drama roma. the first time a netflix film has won the night's most prestigious award. lizo mzimba, bbc news. time for the weather. here is mel coles. for many as we head through the

coming week, february will feel more springlike. many areas seem glorious spells of sunshine through the day. it is more settled because we have an area of high pressure moving towards the south and west. this will have a great influence on the weather during the week. northerly winds today. as we