how likely is it we will see more labour and tory mps resigning?” think it is pretty likely, although two former government ministers probably not today... famous last are warning they'll resign if there's a no—deal brexit. words, but my sense is everyone is kind of just words, but my sense is everyone is kind ofjust pausing for breath the 11 who've already left labour and the conservatives say after the frantic frenzy of the past they expect more colleagues tojoin them. a former attorney general says few days. significantly the he wants his party to act chancellor was out and about this in the national interest. morning trying to calm things down on the tory benches saying we are ifi if i were to get to a point where i still a broad church, the hard brexiteers have not taken over the felt my party was no longer doing party, they are not driving brexit that, then i would have to resign the whip but that wouldn't mean i policy and for many potential had to go off and join something defectors it is a huge decision so else. we'll have the latest they will want time to reflect. so from westminster. also this lunchtime... a windfall of tax receipts more likely you could see some more means a big boost for the government's finances. resignations at the weekend, may be dozens die in a fire that ripped through four apartment going into the sunday papers, the buildings in bangladesh. sunday political programmes, are "listen to the cry more likely still when we get to of the little ones" — some of the big brexit votes next the pope's message at a summit to tackle the abuse of children week, we may even get theresa may's by catholic clerics. and why do zebras have stripes?

scientists think they've meaningful vote. we know listening to justine meaningful vote. we know listening tojustine greening meaningful vote. we know listening to justine greening and meaningful vote. we know listening tojustine greening and dominic found the answer. grieve they will go if there is any more caving in to the european and coming up on bbc news... research group. on the labour side, jack nowell is one of four changes for england who face ifjeremy corbyn is seem to shy away wales in the six nations. gareth anscombe starts even more from a referendum that at fly half for the hosts. could encourage some of his mps to 90, could encourage some of his mps to go, buti could encourage some of his mps to go, but i don't get the sense there isa go, but i don't get the sense there is a great herd of wildebeest about to cross the zambezi, more likely a smattering of a few individual mps who might be tempted to abandon their parties, and that has to be a concern for this new independent group because in parliament numbers good afternoon and welcome really do matter. norman, thank you to the bbc news at one. two former government ministers are warning they'll leave the conservative party if there's very much indeed. norman smith at a no—deal brexit. westminster. it comes as the ii mps who've there's been a boost for the chancellor, philip hammond, already left the tory with news that the government and labour parties both say recorded its biggestjanuary budget they expect more to join surplus last month, them in the coming days. as the treasury enjoyed a bumper haul of tax receipts. but the chancellor, philip hammond, our economics correspondent has rejected claims that the conservatives are now dharshini david is here. being controlled by the pro—brexit so, good news for the treasury — european research group. talk us through the figures.

indeed, perhaps not good news for our political correspondent taxpayers though. january is not a ben wright reports. month where many of us are used to feeling flush but the chancellor had so, will there be more? yesterday an unexpectedly large windfall. this three conservative mps strode out of month we see the self—assessment the partyjoining the eight who deadline so it is normally a lucrative one for the government but split from labour on monday. its if we look at the figures we can see opposition to brexit that binds the government took £15 billion or them, while the prime minister hopes to keep brexit on track and her thereabouts more than it spent in party together the split has caused january, and if we look at where regret in the cabinet. sad to lose it's coming from corporation tax and three, good, committed colleagues so income tax receipts made up £21 we will see what happens next. how billion in total. that's a sign of how well the economy has been doing serious is this? it is serious and we are in a very serious time as we in terms of households and try to get the right outcome for the companies. what does this mean? the uk on leaving the european union so chancellor is now comfortably on i hope we will all be able to track to achieve his four year support the prime minister and get the deal through next week. that deficit forecast of £255 track to achieve his four year deficit forecast of £25.5 billion. just a few weeks now until the suggests parliament could be presented with a revised brexit deal spring statement, what can we soon as next week. there are many expect? he can now say the tory mps and ministers who insist government is comfortably poised to the uk must not leave the eu without achieve the loosening of austerity that it wants to in the coming years a deal and that could be the issue

but don't expect any giveaways the triggers more defections. a deal and that could be the issue the triggers more defectionsm a deal and that could be the issue because of all of the uncertainty the triggers more defections. if we simply become the brexit party, then surrounding brexit. don't forget the ido simply become the brexit party, then i do not believe we have a economy has slowed in recent months successful future ahead of us. so which could affect tax receipts and also he will want to keep some cash you would leave ? in reserve in case the economy needs a boost in the event of a no—deal. successful future ahead of us. so you would leave? i don't think i'd be able to stay part of a party that was simply a brexit party that had thank you very much indeed. crashed us out of the european union. i want to try to make my party act in the national interest, that's the thing on which i'm the european commission president focused. if i were to get to a point jean—claude juncker says he's ‘not very optimistic‘ about reaching where i felt my party was no longer a brexit deal. speaking after talks doing that, i would have to resign with theresa may in brussels, he said a no—deal departure the whip but that wouldn't mean i from the eu would have ‘terrible' had to go off and join something economic and social consequences. our europe correspondent damian else. jeremy corbyn's handling of grammaticas is in brussels. what is the latest? we have just brexit is one reason eight labour mps have abandoned him. others seem been hearing the same or a similar message from the leader of the poised to follow, unless the labour leader dramatically changes his oppositionjeremy message from the leader of the opposition jeremy corbyn. he message from the leader of the oppositionjeremy corbyn. he is here now, you can see the press crowd tune. brexit is clearly fracturing behind me and they are hearing his the two main parties here and nobody remarks. he's come out of his knows how this new independent group meeting with michel barnier, the eu of mps welfare, whether they will continue to swell their numbers or

chief negotiator. he hasjust meeting with michel barnier, the eu chief negotiator. he has just come stall. a lot will depend on how the out and said he too is concerned next few days unfold. number ten is about the risks of a no—deal brexit, seeking to negotiate changes to the what he called the dangers of a withdrawal agreement but brussels is no—deal which he said would be very certainly noticing the political turmoil here. in the british destructive for the uk. what he has said is he believes the problem is parliament, every time they are voting the majority against the deal that theresa may is trying something, there is never a majority to pursue is the one that's already in favour of something. and if a been rejected by parliament and he is calling for his idea for some sort of a customs union deal and has no—deal would happen, and i cannot said in the last few minutes from exclude this, this would have what i can hear in the scrum that he terrible economic and social consequences. yesterday theresa may will look to table a new motion to said there had been progress but there is very little time for the parliament along the lines of what he did before calling for options prime minister to get the changes she has promised. 00:04:42,497 --> 2147483051:39:05,964 our assistant political editor 2147483051:39:05,964 --> 4294966103:13:29,430 norman smith is in westminster. including possibly a popular vote. so pushing for that, but he was saying that the option of a no deal should be taken off the table and that's coming after his discussions with michelle —— michel barnierjust

now. thank you. a conservative mp has been charged following claims he falsified two invoices in support of claims for parliamentary expenses. christopher davies has been the mp for brecon and radnorshire since 2015. the crown prosecution service says he will appear at westminster magistrates‘ court next month. a huge fire has swept through an historic part of dhaka in bangladesh, with 78 people now thought to have been killed. the blaze started in a residential building, which had chemicals stored on its ground floor, and quickly spread to other apartment buildings. our correspondent akbar hussein has sent this report from the scene. a crowded apartment block in a district of a city engulfed by flames. the fire spread rapidly while people are sleeping.

it spread also to three other buildings nearby including a community centre. many were trapped, unable to escape. guests in a restaurant were also among the dead. it's not clear what caused the blaze. but chemicals stored in a warehouse underneath the flats are thought to have contributed to the fire's ferocity. it took nine hours for the fire to be brought under control. attempts to put out the blaze were hampered by poor water supplies and constant explosion. access to this densely populated district also slowed down rescue efforts. narrow streets and residential buildings only inches apart. this is the main building where the fire originated last night in an old part of the city. this building is four storeyed and the fire broke out first in the ground floor where there is a chemical warehouse and then it quickly spread up to the fourth floor.

in the upstairs, there are some family houses where people used to live and the fire quickly spread through three others in this building. there is a restaurant and when the fire broke out, and this is where people were having dinner. at least seven dead bodies are recovered from this restaurant. on the other side, there is another building where the fire quickly spread through. the tragedy has echoes of a similar fire in the city in 2010 when 120 people lost their lives. grieving relatives are desperate for information but they know that the number of victims is expected to rise, as the search of the damaged buildings continues. one in ten people who challenged a decision on their disability payments had to wait almost a year to get the money they were entitled to. figures obtained by the bbc show that many claimants were left without hundreds of pounds a month in support. campaigners says the assessments process is deeply flawed.

the government says that more staff are being recruited to reduce delays. paul heaney reports. after being virtually housebound, this was the moment holly from cardiff gained more independence, more hope for the future. a campaign by friends and family helped to pay for the electric motor for her wheelchair. it's one of many additional costs that come with her disability. but holly and her partner, james, have just spent eight months fighting for the money she's entitled to under the welfare system. i have been treated like a liar and a fake. i have felt similar now to how i felt being bullied at school for having a disability. she has struggled emotionally and health—wise, and she shouldn't have had to have waited this long. the wrong decisions are being made to start with, if i've come to a tribunal and they almost instantly have realised that the wrong

decision was made. one of holly's diagnoses is hypermobility syndrome, it means herjoints easily and painfully dislocate like this. she needs to buy special equipment and has help to wash, dress and walk. but her assessment for personal independence payment concluded she could do all that herself, and awarded her less money than it should have. she couldn't afford to keep her car and lost her independence again, all because of an assessment report that at one point even used the wrong person's name. it's caused panic attacks, hours of crying. on average it now takes more than six months to overturn a decision, double the time it took in 2015. one in ten people waited longer than ten months for the money they are entitled to. the department for work and pensions says only 5% of all decisions are overturned, but the uk government's own research says nearly four in ten don't appeal because they feel it would be too stressful. sadly, it doesn't surprise us. there have been many issues along

the way since the introduction of personal independence payments. they're having to live without the necessary funds to cover the cost of the care they require. people like holly say their experience shows that, after years of criticism, the system still isn't right. the department for work and pensions says more staff are being recruited to reduce delays and it's committed to improving things. paul heaney, bbc news. if you buy a new—build home in six years' time, you should be banned from connecting the property to the natural gas grid for cooking and heating purposes. that's the conclusion of government advisors, who also warn that the scandal of badly insulated homes must be tackled if targets for climate change have any hope of being reached. our environment analyst, roger harrabin reports. it's cars, planes and industry that normally get the blame for greenhouse gases, but 14% of uk emissions come from our homes, mostly from gas boilers.

houses must be much better insulated so they need less heating, the report says. last year, emissions from housing rose when they should be falling to help combat climate change. we risk saving up a problem for the next generation if we don't make actions and put our plans in place now. so, we know that spending a small amount of money now to address climate change saves a big cost in the future. that's a cost that will fall on the young generation today and we know that the houses that we see around us will be around for a very long time, so we should be acting. this is a matter of intergenerational concerns. new technology, like this underfloor robot, will be needed. it sprays insulating foam from beneath. it will help this home stay warm without the need of heating. but home heating systems themselves will need to change. for new—build homes the gas boiler should be banned by 2025, the report says. here in north wales there's a new way of heating.

heat pumps like this suck warmth from water and use it for heating homes. gas from landfill, or industry, or maybe also hydrogen, can heat homes too. and gas hobs will need to be replaced with electric induction hobs. but it all needs to be much easier for builders and homeowners. there is confusion as to what can be done to people's homes, what order those things need to be done, but there are opportunities for existing homes. so since 2004 we've seen energy efficiency improvements save the average householder £500 a year, but we need to do more of those. meanwhile home insulation has fallen more than 90% since the government cut subsidies. the committee says making our homes warmer in winter and cooler in summer should be an infrastructure priority, like building roads. the treasury disagrees. but the government says it is studying today's report.

roger harrabin, bbc news. the time is 1:17. our top story this lunchtime: the 11 mps who make up the new independent group say they expect more mps to join them, with two former government ministers warning they'll resign if there's a no—deal brexit. and coming up... we bring you the big winners at the brits last night — a celebration of a year in british pop music. coming up on bbc news — breakdancing has been proposed for inclusion in the 2024 olympic games. surfing, climbing and skateboarding have also been put forward. they'll debut in tokyo next year. for the first time in the history of the catholic church, bishops from around the world are meeting at the vatican to confront the issue of sexual abuse of children — by the clergy. the four—day summit has been

convened by pope francis — and in his opening address he acknowledged that the world expects "concrete measures" to be taken to tackle the continuing scandal. our correspondentjames reynolds is in rome. the catholic church is based on the idea of faith, faith in god and also faith in the church's clerics, and it's that, christian churchmen, that has been so severely weakened by the abuse scandal. —— trust in churchmen. for years, these — the victims of clerical sexual abuse — felt ignored by a church which covered up their abusers' crimes. this week they've come here to the vatican to demand that this conference takes real action. this morning, cardinals and bishops arrived quietly. the catholic church takes its biggest decisions when its most senior officials are summoned

into one room. almost six years after a conclave picked francis as pope, the pontiff has asked this group to stop and reflect. translation: together we might listen to the holy spirit and listen calmly to his guidance, to hear the cry of the little ones who plead for justice. in the opening session the pope's closest allies occasionally found themselves overwhelmed. the wounds of the recent cries carry the memory of innocent suffering, but they also carry the memory of our weakness and sinfulness. peter saunders, an abuse victim who has tried to work with the vatican, calls on the pope to take clear steps. zero tolerance has to

mean zero tolerance. priests, anybody who abuses, must be out of the church permanently. people who cover up — bishops, cardinals, officials — anybody who covers up for these vile crimes, must be excluded from the church. this conference will continue until sunday. a pope who inherited a decades long problem now seeks answers for an ever deepening crisis which threatens to define his entire papacy. and in the pope's opening address this morning the vatican, he said victim is expected concrete and effective measures to tackle the abuse scandal, and victim is, some of whom have gathered in the vatican, will hold him to that promise. james reynolds reporting from rome. the american actorjussie smollett — who stars in the tv drama empire — has been charged with filing

a false police report. he claimed that last month he'd been the victim of a racist and homophobic assault. this report by chi chi izundu does contain some flashing images. thank you, thank you. jussie smollett plays jamaljoseph lyon on the tv show empire. music is the truth. he's the son of the hip hop record label boss who came out as gay, something still rare in that genre of music, and that plot twist helped make the programme a ratings smash. but back injanuary the openly gay actor claimed he'd been attacked here on this street corner by two masked white men, who he claimed had shouted, "this is maga country," referring to donald trump's "make america great again" slogan. he said they'd shouted racist and homophobic insults at him, punched him and poured a chemical substance over him, as well as putting a rope around his neck. smollett received an outpouring of support from celebrities like naomi campbell and viola davis, but doubts about his account were raised after chicago police

said they believed he could have paid two nigerian brothers to stage the attack. the lawyer for those two men says there is much more to this story. i thinkjussie smollett should come clear because the truth will set him free. i think the biggest thing for the american people to know is that this story has a lot of complications to it. we're not trying to hide anything from the press, but we wanted to make sure that everything checked out. anger is now mounting regarding the damage these accusations could have done to black and gay civil rights in the united states, but smollett‘s lawyers say they will conduct a thorough investigation and mount an aggressive defence. chi chi izundu, bbc news. retailers in the uk and ireland have issued a stark warning about how a no—deal brexit would affect shoppers. they say it could lead to tariffs of more than a0 % on some everyday items — making fresh food and drink

much more expensive. so are these fears affecting the way people shop? and is there any evidence that so called stockpiling is actually taking place? our consumer affairs correspondent colletta smith has been to baildon in yorkshire to find out. it might be five weeks until brexit, but in the small town of baildon the main deadline is five days to go until their next choir concert. # make your own kind of music # sing your own special song # the singers here don't hold back — with their music, or their opinions. so are they changing the way they shop ahead of brexit? i'm going to make sure my freezer‘s full. that's not funny, i think that's a very good plan! i think you're being very sensible. and i'm going to make sure i've got baked beans in in the cupboard because you can survive on baked beans, and cat and dog food. because also i think suddenly the shop runs out of food,

i want to make sure i can provide for my family. i have a friend who is very worried about it and has started buying extra things. nothing massive, butjust kind of on the essentials. my wife is trying to stockpile. she's a very cautious person and rightly so, but i'm possibly less cautious. maybe i'm a fool, i don't know. i think people have been living with a relative amount of complacency up to now. catriona is head of psychology, down the hill at bradford university. there are times where it's maybe a certain type of person who would be stockpiling and hoarding and we know there are personality types that are inclined to that sort of behaviour, but i do think the situation we're in now means that even the most balanced of people are considering that line of action in order to make themselves secure. the people i've been talking to here aren't panicking or building food bunkers in the garden, but more people in recent weeks do seem to be saying they've been buying a few extra boxes

of cornflakes or tins of beans to shove on top of the kitchen cupboard. they might not call it stockpiling but they certainly don't want to do without the things they think are essential for their lives. the government say the uk has a high level of food security, but it seems there's an increasing number of people not willing to take the chance. colletta smith, bbc news, in baildon, west yorkshire. the 1975 were big winners at the brits last night, scooping up awards for both best british group and album of the year. while dj calvin harris finally walked away with a prize after countless previous nominations — but were there any upsets? this report by our entertainment correspondent lizo mzimba does contain some flash photography. # tell me, do you wanna go? hugh jackman kicked the night off, performing from the greatest showman. the movie soundtrack — 2018's biggest—selling album. # this is the greatest show!

the night's big winners were pop rock band, the 1975, taking home best album and best british group. they used their speech to speak out against the prejudice facing women in the industry, quoting journalist laura snapes. in music, male misogynist acts are examined for nuance and defended as traits of difficult artists, whilst women and those who call them out are treated as hysterics who don't understand art. best british female went to... jorja smith! ..while best british male was george ezra. girl group little mix were the winners of best video, for woman like me, which also features nicki minaj. # like a woman like me. the winners of best international group, the carters, aka beyonce and jay—z, who accepted their award in front of a portrait

of meghan, duchess of sussex. # so what about us? # what about all the broken... and singer pink, recipient of an outstanding contribution to music award, closed the show with a medley of hits. lizo mzimba, bbc news. it's an age—old question — why do zebras have black and white stripes? many suppose it's some sort of camouflage, but now scientists at bristol university think they know the real reason — it's to deter insects. jon kay is in bristol and has been finding out more. a bit ofa a bit of a wolf in sheep's clothing, here we have a horse in zebra's clothing, this is a horse called tom jones and i'm tempted to say it's not unusual to see horses dressed like this round here! because

bristol university have been doing this important research and. martin howe can explain why. why do this? we've been fascinated by the question of why zebras are straight beyond there have been a lot of theories over the years and one of theories over the years and one of the ones of most interest was recently as they might be stripey to stop horseflies from attacking them. what have you found by dressing a horse as a zebra? we have found if you dress horses up with a stripey code like this than the number of flies that come and try and bike drops dramatically, when you compare it to drops dramatically, when you compare ittoa drops dramatically, when you compare it to a black or white rug. so flies don't like stripes? they really don't like stripes? they really don't like stripes? they really don't like landing on stripes, so yeah, it's a very strong finding we found. do we know why that would be, why flies wouldn't like stripes mattiello we don't know exactly. we've got a few ideas. it could be the stripes somehow dazzle the flies as they are coming into land but they have very low resolution eyes, so they don't see the stripes until they are very close and there is something that puts them off at the

last few moments of attack. if we we re last few moments of attack. if we were standing here now in stripey jumpers, would we be less likely to get flies honours? that's right, we found that in our research. if you wear black clothing you are bothered by flies far more than if you were closing with a pattern like this. terry, you are tom jones' owner. what sort of use does this research have for you potentially as a horse owner and breeder? it's great because they can be plagued by flies in the summerso because they can be plagued by flies in the summer so it's fantastic for us in the summer so it's fantastic for us to be able to put something on to alleviate them from those problems. thank you to both of you were thank you to martin, let's have a quick inspection, looking closely at the stripes. no flies on tom jones! great stuff, thank you, jon kay in bristol. let's look at the weather prospects now, ben rich is here. a beautiful blue sky in bristol for the horses and zebras. we have winter dressed up as spring, the temperatures are way above where

they should be at the moment, some of us are seeing some sunshine including sheep here in shropshire and on this air must chart it shows where the air has been coming from, from close to the caribbean.