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tv   Beyond 100 Days  BBC News  May 27, 2019 7:00pm-8:01pm BST

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time to get off the fence on beyond 100 days. the brexit party of nigel farage and resurgent liberal democrats topped the poll in the european elections. britain still split down the middle when it comes to brexit but nigel fryer say it is time the conservative government give him a place at the negotiating table. if we don't leave on october 31, this course you see for the brexit party today will be repeated ina general brexit party today will be repeated in a general election and we are getting ready for it. the eu parliament will be much more fragmented with the established
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centrist bloc falling short of an output —— make a majority. centrist bloc falling short of an output -- make a majority. also, the ruling coalition in austria has collapsed in the wake of an embarrassing corruption scandal as the reader is ousted in a vote of no confidence. and donald trump, having dinner with the new emperor of japan. soft lined with north korea not to the taste of the japanese hosts. i am katty kay. the results we re hosts. i am katty kay. the results were dire for both the main parties in the uk, conservatives faith, labour third. results good for those with unambiguous messages on brexit, both for and against. democrats, who wa nt to both for and against. democrats, who want to stop brexit, came second and
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did well. the undoubted winner was the brexit party, launched by nigel farage weeks ago. no other party than europe took more. here are the results. in terms of seats, the brexit party... some significant gains for the greens while ukip lost all its seats. here are some of the reaction to the election, starting with nigel farage, demanding a say in negotiations. in a democratic society you accept election results and lived to fight another day. what we have had since the referendum is
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a lack of direction from significant people. our next big task is to work with other people, other like—minded parties. initially to stop britain crashing out of the european union by accident. we didn't get the result we wanted and one message is clear from these results, we need to deliver brexit. after last night realistically not many tory mps will vote for a general election, like turkeys voting for christmas, so the best way is to go back to the people ina referendum, best way is to go back to the people in a referendum, what are members want. emphatic rejection, we don't wa nt want. emphatic rejection, we don't want brexit, we want to stay at the heart of europe. claire fox elected in the north west of england and we spoke to her before we came on air. what do you and the 28 other meps intend to do in brussels? make a
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case for democracy in very strong terms, i think. case for democracy in very strong terms, ithink. quite case for democracy in very strong terms, i think. quite exciting case for democracy in very strong terms, ithink. quite exciting being ina terms, ithink. quite exciting being in a situation, and adventure, when so in a situation, and adventure, when so many people stood on the basis of making popular sovereignty come alive again and rescuing what had become a very demoralised atmosphere amongst voters get the chance to make the case on the international stage. that is what we will be doing. you stand for brexit and it must have occurred to you that if you challenge the conservative party in these marginal seats, you might open the door to a remain coalition and lose brexit altogether. we won't lose brexit altogether. this is about a decision outsourced to the british people by a government, it is important it is not seen as a tactical game of number crunching, typical of the kind of politics which says you have to play the tactical game to get something through. does not matter who is in
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government, in my mind we have the owner of the referendum result otherwise we it is dangerous to tell people you have the vote and then the removal of losers consent. the whole way democracy works is you agree if you lose in a vote, you acce pt agree if you lose in a vote, you accept that loss. i feel demoralised and furious that the main political parties, the establishment overall, seem parties, the establishment overall, seem to have simply said, we did lose, we are not accepting it and tried to blame the voters for that. i think it is notjust a case of getting the numbers to work, it has to bea getting the numbers to work, it has to be a much bigger principle that whoever is elected, wherever, as to be prepared and committed to defend democracy because it is on shaky ground at the moment. a final one,
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nigel fryer says by virtue of the result he should be involved in the negotiation. he can't be serious. i don't see why not. this isn't something i feel hugely strongly about but i feel that so for everyone involved in the negotiations seems to have seen brexit as a sort of terrible difficulty to negotiate and minimise the damage and so on, damage limitation exercise. to have people involved in any negotiations moving forward , involved in any negotiations moving forward, we are fully committed to seeing through, remember, the wishes of the british people. at the moment, the only party committed to thatis moment, the only party committed to that is the brexit party, a great advantage for negotiation because in advantage for negotiation because in a way it speaks with a certain authenticity of what people voted for. thank you, claire fox. northern ireland is the last part of the uk to declare its final count in the
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european parliamentary election. works go there and emma vardy is there. three seats, which way are they going? we havejust there. three seats, which way are they going? we have just had the final declaration for the day, the two biggest parties, dup and sinn fein, both retained their seats, but the big story of the day is the 30 seats which for the very first time in 40 years of european elections in northern ireland has gone to a new ce ntre northern ireland has gone to a new centre ground party which neither designates as unionist or nationalist, a party attracting votes across community votes, the alliance party, naomi long, a massive result. huge cheers went out as the result was announced. why does this matter for northern ireland? here the political landscape has been dominated for so long by unionist and nationalist
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parties, the big community divide. every striking result for the very first time for a european seats are being taken by a centre ground party. the alliance party has been around for a party. the alliance party has been around fora numberof party. the alliance party has been around for a number of decades but has struggled to cut through when politics is dominated by two big tribes. this is seen by a sign that there is a new centre ground pushing through in northern ireland politics but of course it also relates to brexit, too. the alliance party campaign very strongly for remain, for a second referendum and the result today is also being seen as a sign of the strong anti—brexit vote in northern ireland. this is a place which voted to remain. the dup have driven a hard time in the brexit negotiations, implications for them ? 0f negotiations, implications for them ? of course they have, the dup a party of brexiteer very much. there is if you like the dup picking up the vast
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majority of traditionally unionist votes here, being the biggest unionist party, but we know at the same time brexit is cutting a line through that, traditional unionist vote rs through that, traditional unionist voters who might not necessarily voters who might not necessarily vote for brexit. that is where some of the votes may have transferred to alliance because of the conflict over brexit, helping boosting their appeal as well. just like we were seeing in the rest of the uk were brexit changing political divisions, the parties more polarised on brexit picking up votes. parties with the clear message like the brexit party, the lib dems, benefiting very much. that is reflected hereto because the alliance party campaigned strongly for remain, a second referendum, and picked up votes that way. the party that was the 30 year, ulster unionist party, had held the third seats as the 1970s, they lost out to
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stop part of the criticism, not enough ofa stop part of the criticism, not enough of a clear message on brexit. more fragmentation and the major parties under pressure. when the counting is done across europe, populists expected to get 25%, 751 seats overall, up from 20% —— 25%. note the big search some had expected. centre left and ce ntre—left expected. centre left and centre—left alliances fell short of controlling a majority. the first time in 40 years. that has implications for who is going to ta ke implications for who is going to take the top job at the european commission, greens and liberals doing well across the continent with a pro—eu message. we got the thoughts of the europe editor. people anticipating a big surge by nationalist groups, they did well but that does not seem to have come to as much as people might have thought. how do you interpret the results ? thought. how do you interpret the results? you are right, there were
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big screaming headlines anywhere up to the european elections. some predicting far right or populist nationalist right would become a major force nationalist right would become a majorforce inside the european parliament. they wanted to change the eu from within, they said, and definitely from my conversations here with eu commissioners and so on, they definitely had the european establishment rattled. i think if you actually attended rallies across the european union, he would have seenin the european union, he would have seen in the lead up to the selection the result was going to be much more nuanced than that rather than a swing to the far right. a push for change. voters wanting a break with the status quo. however from my perspective, it feels like a bit of an earthquake in european politics not because the result itself is so dramatic, but because i think we are saying goodbye to traditional politics for good. you have had a test of that in the united states.
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here in europe, old party allegiances where a whole family or allegiances where a whole family or a whole community would traditionally always vote ce ntre—left traditionally always vote centre—left or centre—right, those two blocks having dominated the european union. any conglomeration of european countries pretty much since the second world war. that is over now. we are seeing voters looking for parties or political figures who mirror more their own priorities and values. the result of thatis priorities and values. the result of that is a much more fragmented, nuanced vote, now in the european elections but also in general elections but also in general election after general election in the uk and across the eu. already seeing some of the impact of that vote and the result in greece with the call for a snap election. that is right, these are european parliamentary elections and
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traditionally few people go out to vote in these, voter turnout is around 40%, 30 or 40. they share for the first time in more than two decades and that is because like in the us because there is so much identity politics at stake here, people feel when they go to vote, it is about their ideals and future. they are voting against parties or particularly for parties. that is driving people onto the streets to vote. it is for the european parliament and despite that it is having an impact on national governments, on greece but also france and germany as well, angela merkel‘s governing coalition dealt a slap in the face at the european parliamentary elections, as it has donein parliamentary elections, as it has done in all the recent regional elections as well. there are questions today in germany as to whether that government should still govern and emmanuel macron is looking at the far right who just
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pipped him to the first post in france's poll yesterday. interesting, emmanuel macron‘s party pa rt interesting, emmanuel macron‘s party part of the liberal alliance, having a say on some of the top european unionjobs. turnout, a say on some of the top european union jobs. turnout, amazing. bucking the trend. up from 42% in 2014 to 51%. that shows that, yes, a surge in vote for the populist parties but also for those pro—eu parties, those people wanting to defend what the eu stands for. the uk turnout, 37%, up from 35%. i would have expected it to be higher given the active brexit debate. not a particularly big turnout here in the uk. could be people are fed up of politics generally in the uk, so
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many of politics generally in the uk, so ma ny votes of politics generally in the uk, so many votes in parliament they have been following. taking a break from this one, thinking they would be out of the eu are ready. two clear trends coming out of europe, more nationalist anti—european union, pro—european union, the greens, the greater effect on the continent where all the demonstrations you have seen in london and london in favour of action on climate change. driving up the green vote? the degree amongst younger voters. the austrian government have been forced from office today. he lost a no—confidence vote earlier today. forced from office today. he lost a no-confidence vote earlier today. he broke up his coalition with the far right freedom party last week after its leader was caught in a video that suggested he was open to corruption. we had got sebastien court, one of the youngest leaders
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in europe doing particular well in the european elections. now he is out of office, where does he go from here? it has been a roller-coaster ride for him. yesterday he was celebrating a clear when in the european union elections, he is credited with having turned around the fortunes of his conservative party but now the scandal that has engulfed his former coalition partners, the far right freedom party, had seen for him as well. this was a scandal where the former head of the far right freedom party was caught in this video in a villa in ibiza, telling some woman saying she was the niece of a russian, saying she could have government contracts in return for political and financial favours. he had to resign as a result of that and then step— by—step resign as a result of that and then step—by—step has led to the collapse of the government and today, he has
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also been made to take responsibility in the view of the opposition. tonight he was defiant and he says, i opposition. tonight he was defiant and he says, lam opposition. tonight he was defiant and he says, i am still here and some people are thinking that maybe when it comes to the new elections in september, he is still a force to be reckoned with. i was wondering why that will ibiza gate video and the resignation of his deputy on that, why does that affect him, widely people feel he had to go? the whole argument revolved around the far right interior minister. the person who was seen in the video has stepped down immediately, he realised the game was up but there was a big question about the interior minister of the far right, he was asked, you were a senior
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memberof the he was asked, you were a senior member of the party when that video was made in 2017 and it was not right that you should be in place as interior minister when the investigation goes on. he didn't do that and then the government collapsed. we arejoined now collapsed. we are joined now by the collapsed. we arejoined now by the mp, the deputy leader of the liberal democrats. he will be going into your own hustings in the next few weeks. vince cable standing down, not a bad platform for the next leader because mike of course whoever is going to be the next leader of the liberal democrats, it is going to be an exciting time because this is the best set of european elections results for the lib dems. three weeks after the best set of local elections with more than 700 seat games in england so there is a huge resurgence in liberal movement and of course a huge need to continue and grow and build that liberal movement when we
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are facing the right of nationalism and where there is still such a huge need to stop brexit and keep our place in the european union. it's pretty clear from the election result that british voters rewarded political parties that had a very clear position on brexit. liberal democrats very clearly remained but how do you translate the success from this election into action and keeping britain in the european union? the first thing to recognise is that those parties that want to remain, the lib dems and the greens and the snp and change uk, we got 40% of the vote compared to 34% for the brexit party who are advocating is hard brexit and that, i think, shows that the public mood is different to how this was three years ago. people have looked at the shambles of brexit and are thinking again and that is why there is that
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public mood and why parliament needs to listen to that and the obvious way forward is to put this brexit dealer, as negotiated to the people, ina dealer, as negotiated to the people, in a boat with a choice to stay in the european union. there's been all sorts on all sides, trying to get a meaning from these european election. if you do that on the brexit side, you get this, it is very dangerous to do that, you don't get a result from a european election compared to a local election. it is dangerous but i do think last night has an implication for the lytic contest which will get under way tomorrow. let's share the runners and riders.
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then the question for the conservative party which didn't do well in remain areas is that they will have to accept that in those remain areas, conservative party, going for a new deal, that is going to hurt them in those areas of the country but i think you're right, it doesn't look like they had a choice. the thing is, whoever is the successful candidate within the conservative party, they are still working with the same numbers and on the back of last nights numbers, they will not be much appetite for a snap election. the unknown quantity is push for a new deal, there is
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somebody within the conservative party to bring down their own leader and force that election. donald trump isn't concerned that north korea has resumed testing short range missiles. speaking injapan, the president set himself at odds with his own national security advisor who believes pyongyang is violating un restrictions. iam very i am very happy with the way it is going and intelligent people agree with. i am going and intelligent people agree with. iam pursuing it. in a tweet mr trump took those comments further still — siding with the north korean leader againstjoe biden, the former us vice president and now presidential candidate. i have confidence that chairman kim will keep his promise to me, & also smiled when he called swampmanjoe biden a low iq individual, and worse. perhaps that's sending me a signal? i'm joined now byjoshua walker — the global head of strategic initiatives and japan at the eurasia group.
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odd for a president to side with someone odd for a president to side with someone like that again someone of their own nation but i want to ask you about the prime minister's religion ship with mr trump. he seems to be one of the few democratic leaders around the world who have figured out a way to deal with him. i think you are right and when you look at the way that the prime minster has approached donald trump, many thought he might have been going too far. when you look at some of the other leaders, they went their their separate ways after fluttering donald trump. the parameter has been consistent, understanding the other side needs, so this visit, he did everything that would flatter donald trump, from golf to simple wrestling and then to do the military sales at the same time. he seemed to understand him pretty well. the only area where there is pretty much division is on there is pretty much division is on theissue there is pretty much division is on the issue of north korea. i cannot
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believe the prime minister is going to like what donald trump had to say. this is amazing, they were standing on the press together. prime minister said one thing, donald trump said another thing and they walked of smiling. usually if you disagree with donald trump, you don't end up well. the prime minister seems to be able to do it publicly and privately. this is where donald trump's twitter policy, we don't know the contours yet. the president says he doesn't think that kimjong—un is in breach of the agreement that they had in singapore. but he has 54,000 troops stationed in south korea, these missiles that were far the other week landed in the waters ofjapan. surely he should be concerned about that? this is the great conundrum, whether it is this case or whether it was president putin, he did not use the word, ballistic missiles.
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that would have put us on a different path. this is where the behind—the—scenes here, a president who is focused on the public persona versus the private discussions. there is clearly concerned in the us establishment here in japan there is clearly concerned in the us establishment here injapan is killing concerned and this was the crux of their main arguments that had over the last couple of days. it has overshadowed everything, it has become the focus. it is unusual for an american president abroad to be that critical ofa president abroad to be that critical of a former vice president of the country, as he was. next week it is the uk, plenty of trappings hereto. this is beyond 100 days from the bbc. coming up for viewers on the bbc news channel and bbc world news — we'll look at how voting shifts in the european election will play a big part in who gets the keyjobs in the european commission. and mount everest has it's best and worst week —
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we'll look at how more people reach the summit — but overcrowding is making the climb deadly. that's still to come. it was a bank holiday monday, i suppose mixed weather was to be expected. we had blue skies and sunshine for some of the time but also some shower clouds. this was the scene in norfolk. some of these clouds to produce outbreak suffering. quite a scattering of showers across the uk, some particularly heavy ones drifted across northern ireland, southern scotla nd across northern ireland, southern scotland and the midlands. as we go through this evening, we will continue to see some of those showers are drifting through at times. some clear spells as well. in scotla nd times. some clear spells as well. in scotland it will be relatively chilly by the first part of tuesday morning temperatures between two and
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6 degrees. further south, morning temperatures between two and 6 degrees. furthersouth, breezy morning temperatures between two and 6 degrees. further south, breezy and asa 6 degrees. further south, breezy and as a consequence, it will not be quite as chilly. we go into tomorrow and it is another day of sunshine and it is another day of sunshine and showers. showers perhaps focused across eastern parts of the uk but the midlands for a time at least across the east of scotland. in between, some spells of sunshine but with the winds generally coming down from the north—west, it will not be a warm feeling day, highs of ten to 17 degrees. tuesday night is likely to be chilly with some frost in places but as we move into wednesday, here is our next change. a frontal system pushing in from the west, introducing rain into northern ireland, wales and eventually into northern england and southern scotland. ahead of that, early sunshine but things will cloud over. showers in the far north of scotland. to the south and
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south—west, we start to see some warm and humid air wafting its way in and as we move out of wednesday into thursday, these frontal systems still wriggling around northern parts of the uk. to the south of these, we increasingly draw the air app from the south—west and this will be mild and humid air and it is like to bring us some high temperatures as we head towards the end of the week. fortunes are mixed as we look towards next weekend. parts of the south into the middle 20s, further north and west, likely to be rain at times.
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this is beyond 100 days, with me katty kay in washington, christian fraser is in london. our top stories... the brexit party was the clear winner in the uk's european elections — but it was a divided result with the pro—eu lib dems coming second. the big centre—right and centre—left blocs in the european parliament have lost their combined majority amid an increase in support for liberals, the greens and nationalists. coming up in the next half hour... reaching the top of mount everest is a climber‘s dream — but we'll look at why it's but we'll look at why its popularity is making the summit fatal. and the clearest ever moving footage of queen victoria — discovered in a museum in new york.
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the key word to take from this european election is "fragmentation". take a look at the new shape of the european parliament. the main centre—right and centre—left blocs have lost seats. the liberals, greens, and the far—right nationalists have made gains. they are not the massive gains some had predicted — but far—right nationalism clearly isn't going away, it is still a significant force. these new alliances will have important roles to play when it comes to picking top eu jobs — and deciding the eu's strategic direction. two founding eu members — france and italy — will also have a greatest share of their meps from euroskeptic parties. lega the right wing populist party of matteo salvini, will be one of the strongest anti—establishment leaders in europe. i don't wish to challenge anyone, we
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need employment. we need to review policies to renew growth in italy, france, germany, greece, finland, sweden, everywhere. i'm joined now by nuala mcgovern, who's in rome. tensions with lega performing better than five star. i have been speaking with italians all day and they say the reader of readers have not spoken in months. these are the parties in coalition and italy. we
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had salvini party got 34%. the general election in italy, it was flipped. that will give you an idea of what an interesting year it has been. couple of aspects happening that i think are pretty interesting. salvini held an impromptu press co nfe re nce salvini held an impromptu press conference pretty quickly and was pretty fa st conference pretty quickly and was pretty fast to say he was not going to put the government in crisis because many thought he would try to rid himself of the five star movement and try and go it alone. i am hearing there are fears within the lega if he went ahead and did that. the interesting question is, what will he do with this power he has attained? we've been speaking about the fact that in some countries the more far right movements didn't do as well as had been anticipated. that is not the case in italy, where they did too
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well. if there will be an insurgency in the european union from inside, will it be from italy? two schools of thought, as there are with a lot of thought, as there are with a lot of these narratives. some feel, yes, what he has set out to do, he has achieved. he will try to transform from within. looking for a europe of nations, more sovereignty. keeps talking about being able to change the budgetary rules for example that the budgetary rules for example that the eu implements. he feels they are too punitive on italy. there are others instead that few if he takes on this man so as the king of the populist movement, he will find italy very isolated because the big issue that probably was a rallying cry to get the votes was that of immigration, he has closed the port or has a proposal to, a lot of debate and in the courts at the
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moment. with that, as he talks about those particular aspects, hungary, france, the readers of the far right parties, they are not going to take more migrants into their member states that place where he would be looking for cohesion, he not get it. —— will not get it. jacki davis is a leading commentator and analyst on european union affairs. she joins us from brussels now. a few years ago after brexit referendum we had about frexit, grexit, italexit. strong support in the european countries for keeping the european countries for keeping the union? the predictions ahead of the union? the predictions ahead of the selection was that the far right populists could have up to a third but they have been pegged back to a
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quarter. but we saw the successes in italy and some other countries. overall not as well as expected. turnout was up, people felt moved to come out. did they see the rise of the far right and wanted to react? is that because europe is genuinely something people care about now in a way they didn't before? still was 28 national elections but with a much stronger sense of europe and the impact of what country does —— one country does in another. other countries perhaps looking at what it means to leave and think, not such a great idea. twice as many voters in poland than 2014. where does the president rates go down. the reader of the ep, the centre—right bloc as the favourite. and macron as part of
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the favourite. and macron as part of the liberal alliance has a greater say. macron, do they ci to i, he and angela merkel? there was not an enormous amount of enthusiasm for him beforehand. this is something the european parliament really invented, this idea of what they call the idea of every political group having their candidate. it was cited because it was felt don't spike the parliament succeeded by shoe because the eep was very much the biggest group. they came together and agreed this would be the candidate and would not vote for another president. this time it is different, he said earlier, fragmentation the keyword of the parliament. the eep cannot claim that legitimacy. they lost seats even though they are the biggest party, most are saying it is open,
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it is allup party, most are saying it is open, it is all up for grabs in the battle starts tomorrow night when eu leaders meet for a summit dinner to begin the argument, but we are not expecting any decision. some brexiteer is in the uk saying, why do we care about this, who is the next eu commission president? it will matter in terms of what happens next in brexit, the interpretation in brussels of what happened in the uk in these elections is dismay because there is a feeling it is getting harder to see a way through to what they want to call an orderly brexit, avoid a no—deal brexit. who the commission president is, whether they are arguing to maintain the tough stance we have seen from the eu saying this is the only and best deal, in the end it is up to the eu leaders, not the commission president. but that person pays the —— plays a key role and will play a key role on the future relationship so it matters. i wonder if a certain
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michelle barney will be in the shake—up now. what do you think? —— barnier. molly scott cato has been re—elected as an mep for the south west of england. the green party performing well here, in ireland, in germany, best performance for the greens in many years across europe. what is that down to? we did very well in the elections, more than 2 million votes, increase in meps to seven, i million votes, increase in meps to seven, lam million votes, increase in meps to seven, i am the only mep in the south—west continuing. two things in the uk, we are a remain party, trying to stop brexit. we are clear on the need for urgent action on the climate emergency which has seen our vote increase across the european union. as you say, in germany, the
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netherlands, belgium, strong support for the greens. i am looking forward to seeing my new colleagues in brussels tomorrow. can you divide it up, the degree to which this is a vote for the greens because of your remain position, the degree to which it isa remain position, the degree to which it is a vote for climate action and the same equation across europe?|j am the same equation across europe?” am not able to do that because every voter voted for something different but in britain this has been an election where brexit has been the dominant issue so i think our strong remain position is important there. across europe, the climate has been a dominant issue in many countries soi a dominant issue in many countries so i think that helped. where do you ta ke so i think that helped. where do you take the support from the european union now in terms of climate change action, how do you change this? the first thing, a carbon tax, so we can make it more expensive to produce carbon emissions, the european union try to do that in 1992 and if we had
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succeeded then, there would not be this climate emergency. other policies, more widely on the environment, i sit on the agriculture committee and the toxic chemicals in the countryside is the reason we are seeing a collapse in wildlife. there are issues about the way we protect our planet, keep our water is clean and we design our transport system is to make sure we have much less dangerous impact on our environment. very much rising up the list of issues for the voters. thank you, molly. matthew goodwin, welcome, professor of politics. we haven't talked about how this impacts the main two parties. conservatives and then labour. the contest conservatives and then labour. the co ntest gets conservatives and then labour. the contest gets under way tomorrow. where do you think this drags the candidates? i think the brexit party's performance candidates? i think the brexit pa rty's performance is candidates? i think the brexit party's performance is going to have a serious impact on the conservative
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party. the conservatives are facing something of an existential crisis. just look at some of the numbers we have now got from yesterday. more than half of the conservative party's 2017 electorate, those vote rs party's 2017 electorate, those voters that turned out, more than half we nt voters that turned out, more than half went to the brexit party. inevitably, i think the conservative party is going to respond to that by sort of shifting further to a harder brexit position, saying it is time to increase preparations for no deal. trying to think about how to stall these pretty catastrophic losses to the brexit party in those leave areas. this is a difficult entry for the new reader. in a way, i thinkjeremy corbyn has faced a tough time today because theresa may has gone, on the plight of the new
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leader. labour are haemorrhaging in the north among brexit constituencies. in the south, a clamour to get off the fence and find support for a second referendum. in the stronger germain areas, labour really suffered to the liberal democrats, but even in the really strong leave areas, 11 points labour vote down. wigan, hartlepool, more traditional industrial areas. if labour pivots to a second referendum, more pro—— remain position, consequences for the party. yes, the majority of labour vote rs party. yes, the majority of labour voters say they would like to see a second referendum of some description. as we have seen that these elections, those constituencies contain lots of other vote rs constituencies contain lots of other voters that have actually put the brexit party well ahead of labour throughout much of wales, for example, the northern heartlands. a dilemma for the both main parties.
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doing badly in some of those other leave areas, and wales. if britain has become a country basically of not labour conservative, left and right, but leave and remain, how long does that last for? do we return to a traditional political party of left and right or does this shake everything up in perpetuity? we don't really know. what we know at the moment, our identities as believers and remainders are becoming more important than our identities as labour, conservative, liberal democrat voters. we don't know whether that is a long—term structural shift in our politics, whether actually by the time we get to the next general election in 2022, whenever it is, traditional left and right issues of our economy, housing, schools, crime, the environment will become more dominant and move back to the forefront. we don't really know. based on what we saw over the last
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36 hours, however, the remain and leave supporters going closer to their brexit identities and the new parties thought my uncharted territory. he said it is an existential threat to the conservative party, do they have to embrace a hard brexit to survive? not necessarily but my view would be they do need to deliver brexit in some form. the vast majority of their voters do indeed support brexit, want to see brexit, and if the conservative party were to see the conservative party were to see the kinds of losses at the next general election to the brexit party they saw last night, it will be game over for the conservatives. it does show that up to 31st is very much the date.
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still to come — getting to the top of the world is now crowded and deadly — we'll hear why climbers summiting mount everest are victims of its popularity. earlier the bbc spoke to the election analyst sirjohn curtice — from the university of strathclyde, to find out what he made of the european parliament elction results. he said there where a few things to look out for. there were two contests, one was the conservative party battling amongst leave voters. the question was to what extent would leave voters frustrated by the government be attracted to the brexit party? the answer was, rather a lot. well over half of conservative voters switched to nigel farage's party. with 32% of the vote it got what the opinion polls thought, and the conservatives at 9% if anything doing slightly worse.
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very clear that voters on the leave side of the argument were strongly punishing the government. not least because many of them thought that leaving without a deal would be preferable to the endless extension. they accepted nigel farage's argument? yes. the other battle going on was more on the remain side of the debate. it was between labour and both the liberal democrats and the greens for the remain vote. the opinion polls were uncertain. all of them were detecting that during the campaign the liberal democrats and the greens seemed to be pulling away remain votes from the labour party. the question is, was the clearer, "we want a second referendum," of the greens and the liberal democrats and change uk, would that attract voters from labour? it seems that it did, not to the same extent that the brexit party drew away votes from the conservatives, but because this was a much
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less anticipated result, it has perhaps come as more of a shock to the labour party, and perhaps surprised liberal democrats in particular. it is seen as the ultimate prize for serious mountain climbers but this year getting to the top of mount everest has turned deadly. at least nine people have lost their lives and many say overcrowded conditions may be partly to blame. the number of people climing everest has sky rocketed recently. in the whole of the 1950s only six people summited. by the 1980s that number had reached 180 people. in the 2000s more then 2100 people tackled the mountan. now look it's doubled even since then. peaking at over 4600 people.
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there are times when a photograph tells a story better than words ever can — so take a look at this. this is the queue of people trying to summit everest. literally a queue. this mass of people makes getting up and down really hard. and all the time you're waiting it's a risk to your health. so has climing everestjust become too dangerous. alan arnette has climbed the mountain four times and summitted in 2011. hejoins us now from colorado. when you look at that photograph of people trying to get up that mountain, would you try something at the moment with keys like that? that photograph is shocking and it is completely unacceptable. i have asked myself that question and the problem is, when you get that close after years of sacrifice and how much money you have spent, it is very difficult to turn around. spell it out for us, standing on that
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ridge, the numbers of the charities have gone up, why is it so dangerous when you got so many people at the top? this year there was a new death reported this morning, so now 11 on everest. italy comes down to this year, three factors. it limited numberof year, three factors. it limited number of suitable weather days which was highly unusual. secondly, a record number of permits issued along with the requirement that each person has to hire a guide. verily, due to the market forces, there are now companies offering everest at the lowest price ever, bringing in a bunch of people that don't have the experience and he also had some guides that are not qualified in those three combinations came together this year to create a deadly and toxic equation. in terms of your health, you are standing there, waiting to go up at 8,800
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metres. what is it like to breathe? it is like breathing through a straw. even though you may be using oxygen, that makes a difference only to 3,000 feet. it is called the death zone for a reason. your body is slowly degrading. you do not metabolise food, you haven't had more than 1,000 calories and you are dehydrated and exhausted. you're in this deadly game of trying to get to the top and get back down. if you come upon a queue like this that a lady by three hours, you are running out of oxygen, your body is continuing to degrade and frankly, thatis continuing to degrade and frankly, that is what happens when you have timid people on the mountain into little a window. last year there we re little a window. last year there were 11 straight days when people some added in a record number of available days and that allowed a re cord available days and that allowed a record number of people to summit but this year it has beenjust record number of people to summit but this year it has been just the opposite. to many people, too few time. i have read the book, into
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thin air, the 1996 a disaster, and the same thing was happening then. it was seen as a badge of honour to go it was seen as a badge of honour to 9° up it was seen as a badge of honour to go up the mountain but they were people on the mound and who should not have been there. the 1996 disaster was a little bit different, they got caught by a rogue storm that came up but to your point, the people there, they were not professional climbers but i can tell you that those people had more experience than the majority of people that are on everest she. you make the point that you have to qualify to run a marathon but people are climbing everest with no qualification. what needs to happen, does the need to be action from the local government that stops a number of people allowed to go up? that is the popular notion, that you see a picture like this and you see too many people so the knee jerk reaction is, you must limit the numberof reaction is, you must limit the number of people. i believe the better requirement would be to have some added or attempted to summit and 8,000 metre until before they
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get permit. nipple has five 8,000 metre mountains so they could simply use that one is a requirement and they could get two climbs instead of one and it wouldn't compromise their income because the country relies on everest as a moneymaker. they get between 20 and $30 million a year as a result of the everest industry but we cannot continue to have these experienced climbers with unqualified guides attempting it.” was reading somewhere that one of the reasons the government is issuing similar licences is because they are trying to pay for the clear up they are trying to pay for the clear up after the earthquake. this brings a lot of money into the local economy so they are trying to issue as many as they can but if you're not qualified, making it dangerous for everybody else. some of the clearest moving footage ever taken of queen victoria has been discovered in a film archive
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in a new york museum. for decades the images had been overlooked, forgotten, until a curator from the british film institute saw them earlier this year and helped bring them to light. our royal correspondent sarah campbell has this exclusive report. queen victoria, in sharper focus than ever seen before. this was her last trip to ireland in 1900 and it's believed to be the last time she was filmed before her death less than a year later. it's the best view you will ever get of queen victoria in moving pictures. the footage had been stored for decades in new york's museum of modern art. but it was only when briony dixon, a curator with the british film institute, was shown it, that its historical significance was truly realised. i nearly fell off my chair because i'd never seen queen victoria in close—up before. it's completely unique. because you can see the queen's face for the first time probably since 1900, since this was shown. it's close—up, you can see expressions, you can see her in movement rather
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than just as a stiff portrait or a still photograph. queen victoria embraced the new medium of film, she and tsar nicholas ii were filmed at balmoral in 1896 and the following year, 40 cameras were used to capture the queen's diamond jubilee. very much film was an extension of a whole series of image making about queen victoria. it makes her seem real. it makes her seem real and she is well. —— real. but what sets this film apart is the level of detail. and that is largely down to the film's size. 68 millimetres on the left, and on the right, the footage was filmed in 35 millimetres. a cheaper format which became the industry standard, despite the loss of detail. the result, very few films of such high quality were made and no others capture so clearly this living, breathing, moving monarch. sarah campbell, bbc news.
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i think she looks nothing likejudi dench! which of course would have been the industry standard! amazing, those pictures. ceo here tomorrow. it was a bank holiday monday silk mixed weather was to be expected. sunshine and showers. that was the scene sunshine and showers. that was the scene in norfolk. a beautiful shot from one of our weather watchers will stops some of these clouds did produce some outbreaks of rain as you can see from the radar picture. quite a scattering of showers across the uk. but italy in northern ireland, southern scotland and wales and the midlands. as we go through this evening and night, we will continue to see some of those showers drifting through at times. some clear spells as well. in scotland, relatively chilly. by the
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first part of tuesday morning, temperatures only reaching 6 degrees. we go into tomorrow and it is another day of sunshine and showers. the show focused on parts of the uk. also some showers pushing back into the far north of scotland as the day wears on. in between, spells of sunshine but the wind is generally coming down from the north—west, not a warm feeling day with highs of ten to 17 degrees. tuesday night is like at be chilly with some frosted in places. as we move into wednesday, here is the next change. a frontal system pushing in from the west which will introduce outbreaks of rain into northern ireland, wales and eventually into northern england and southern scotland. ahead of that, some sunshine but things will turn to cloud over. to the south and
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south—west, we start to see some warm and humid air wafting its way in. as we move out of wednesday into thursday, these systems still wriggling around across central and northern parts of the uk. to the south of these weather fronts, increasingly drop the air up from the south—west and this will be mild and humid airand the south—west and this will be mild and humid air and it is likely to bring us some high temperatures as we head towards the end of the week but fortunes are mixed as we look towards next weekend. part of the south, up into the middle 20s but further north and west, there is likely to be some rain at times.
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hello, i'm ros atkins, this is outside source, live from brussels. first the estimates and then the european parliamentary results came into us. one of the newest parties is one of the biggest winners. the uk's brexit party — only formed six weeks ago — has swept to victory. this message from its leader. if we do not leave on october the 31st then the scores you see for the brexit party today will be repeated ina brexit party today will be repeated in a general election and we are getting ready

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