you're watching the odd 100 days — the race to be britain's premise intensifies, the field is now down to five. dominic raab has been knocked out in the second round of voting. boris johnson is a long way in front of his conservative team rivals, but the battle for second assaulting up. the remaining candidates will take part in a debate on the bbc tonight. meanwhile, in florida, thousands of the present‘s supporters have been queueing for hours to attend the official launch of the trump 2020 re—election campaign. official launch of the trump 2020 re-election campaign. i'm live in orlando whether supporters at what

has been described as the mother of all rallies. also on the programme - thousand troops sent to the middle east to defend american installations in the region. and james corden‘s team crashed to defeat against michelle obama. the game was dodge ball, i'm not sure anyone told harry styles! the race for second place in the conservative leadership contest is tightening. rory stewart was the biggest mover tonight with 1a additional votes, that means dominic raab in last place is eliminated and will not ta ke place is eliminated and will not take place in tonight's televised debates. borisjohnson take place in tonight's televised debates. boris johnson appears take place in tonight's televised debates. borisjohnson appears to have an unassailable lead, but remember, this is only part one — the two leading candidates will go

through to the votes of conservative membership on thursday, so the runners—up spot is all to play for. showing you their tally from that final vote. all candidates secured the required support of 33 mp5, apart from dominic raab, meaning he was eliminated. borisjohnson stretched his lead by 12 to 126 votes, almost three times as many votes, almost three times as many votes as jeremy hunt votes, almost three times as many votes asjeremy hunt in the second place, by 46. then michael gove, 41, and rory stewart got 37, surprising many. just over the line at the end there, but still in the race, sajid javid with 33. the final two names that we get on thursday will then be put to a postal vote of tory party members beginning on the 22nd of june. the winner of that will be announced four weeks later. we are joined by our political correspondence. borisjohnson joined by our political correspondence. boris johnson is joined by our political correspondence. borisjohnson is the heavyweight in the ring, into the

final rounds. tonight, hejust has to stay out of trouble. he does. and evenif to stay out of trouble. he does. and even if it got into a bit of trouble, i'm not sure it would make much difference! shorter boris johnson declaring he is in fact from another planet shaped as a human, most of the people that like boris johnson will vote for him. they're priced it in that he says the occasional, how shall i say it, gas. here are my magic numbers. if you put dominic raab‘s 30 with boris johnson, you get 156. if you put all the other votes together, you get 157, which is the division in the tory party. i knew you would bring up my tory party. i knew you would bring up my week subjects, which is maths. i think you can get bogged down in this. i think borisjohnson will win unless something really untoward happens. if you were really to go out looking further down the line, the real question about the

governing conservative party is, let's say you get to october 31 and there isn't going to be a deal and borisjohnson is talking there isn't going to be a deal and boris johnson is talking about a no—deal brexit, with enough of these people who have been supporting rory stewart and some of the others on the softer spectrum of the conservative party, would they really block a no deal? with they vote with labour in a vote of no—confidence? vote with labour in a vote of no—confidence ? that vote with labour in a vote of no—confidence? that is the big question in british politics, but it's a bit further down the line. this debate starts in just under an hour's time now, what are you looking for and why? i'm looking, like everyone else in the country and watching around the world, it will be wondering how to answer the question where would you succeed with brexit where theresa may has failed? and all of the candidates apart from rory stewart are promising to do one or two things, somehow to miraculously negotiate a better deal than theresa may, although none of them has said how.

they've also said, if there can't be ideal, then faced with the choice of i'io ideal, then faced with the choice of no deal or no brexit, they would go with no deal. but haven't said how they would get around the opposition from parliament or the economic hit forecasted by their own government. rory stewart sent out by saying that none of that is realistic, there has to bea none of that is realistic, there has to be a deal. but he hasn't said how he would get a deal through parliament which is already rejected it three times. thank you very much. the candidate starting to arrive here at the bbc tonight. we are joined by the spectator‘s katie ball‘s and a former adviser to george osborne. katy, does a tv debate matter in terms of public perception and the way public perception and the way public perception might shift on the nights, does that move mps on the way they vote tomorrow? it could have an impact. are clearly the

audience right now is the parliamentary party. that is a point you made by several of the campaign teams who are worried about sending their candidates onto the airwaves. but where a candidate to have a bit ofa but where a candidate to have a bit of a nightmare, but where a candidate to have a bit ofa nightmare, a but where a candidate to have a bit of a nightmare, a catastrophe, say something that created a lot of bad blood, it would have an effect on the contest. i think borisjohnson, there is a lot of pressure on him. but he is so far ahead, you would have to really mess it up to have a significant impact on his race. what is important is for the cabinet candidates — jeremy hunt, michael gove, rory stewart, sajid javid — they are competing for second place, and it will be there we see the real debates. according to the new golf poll today, brexit is the leading issue, though i'm sure they will be asked about a whole host of other issues. conservative party members are going to be voting on brexit, however. from that respect, just

borisjohnson had however. from that respect, just boris johnson had to however. from that respect, just borisjohnson had to give clear a nswe i’s borisjohnson had to give clear answers about how he will get to the europeans to budge on the withdrawal agreement or does hejust europeans to budge on the withdrawal agreement or does he just had to say, i'm the toughest guy on brexit, does that satisfy them? that is what is incredibly important, the conservative party is facing an existential threat here, as a number of the candidates have identified, which is, they need to show competence and to deliver brexit. so it doesn't matter too much about getting bogged down into the detail tonight, i think it'll be the tone and drive and momentum and convincing at those conservative party members they can get brexit done. is a brewing story here the uneasy nature of the coalition forming behind boris johnson uneasy nature of the coalition forming behind borisjohnson and? because of the likes of steve baker of the european research group, who say we must rip up the deal and start again and definitely the front of the 31st, and on the other side, matt hancock saying this is the

basis for a deal and we must get a deal. whoever wins is going to have to unite a broad division across the party, that is true of any party leader at any time and we are now hitting a very divisive period in oui’ hitting a very divisive period in our history. i think what is needed right now is a salesman, something that theresa may was sadly, woefully under prepared and unable to deliver. but that is somewhere someone deliver. but that is somewhere someone like borisjohnson would feel they have the edge. katy, can we talk about the timetable? vote on thursday, we're down to two people, can you explain to me why we don't get a result, then come into the end ofjuly, given that october 31 is the brexit deadlines and time is running out? the final two to the parliamentary rounds go to the membership, and there are various hustings plans. lots of people have

said, borisjohnson is the favourite among the grassroots, if you look at lots of polling. he is also, despite some predictions he wouldn't be, the clear favourite amongst the parliamentary party, so why not have a coronation? the recent lots of conservative mps are sceptical of this, even conservative mps who backed borisjohnson, is because they look at what happens in the la st they look at what happens in the last leadership contest, when theresa may became prime minister, and they kept that stage, and there isa and they kept that stage, and there is a sense that, had theresa may had to go out into the hustings, go and meet with the grassroots and battle for that place in downing street in that way, lots of the problems that we re that way, lots of the problems that were unearthed in snap election campaign — communication issues and so forth — would have been aired a lot sooner. sol would have been aired a lot sooner. so i think although there is a sense that likely boris johnson will get through this, i think there are many who believe that the process would enrich, ina who believe that the process would enrich, in a way, him getting there, and you hear candidates like sajid javid saying, if you put them in the

final two, you would get a better borisjohnson as a final two, you would get a better boris johnson as a result. i final two, you would get a better borisjohnson as a result. i think there is a lot of scepticism about repeating mistakes. just seeing a borisjohnson repeating mistakes. just seeing a boris johnson arriving repeating mistakes. just seeing a borisjohnson arriving for the debates. helen, talk of tactics in this debate, that may be some hunt supporters would lend support to rory stewart just to get supporters would lend support to rory stewartjust to get in the debate tonight, maybe borisjohnson supporters would want to back hunt in later rounds to get rid of gove who they think is a bigger threat. do you think that a stored possibility tomorrow and thursday?” think that played a part in nights, but it looked like we might only have three candidates but we have five, which may make it more chaotic, which is something boris johnson wanted to avoid, apparently. but the dust has settled and we do have those next rounds to come, and by that stage, it's really all down to the question of who the next on the ballot will be, in seconds, and even at that stage, it is still borisjohnson's to lose, even at that stage, it is still boris johnson's to lose, frankly. thank you both very much forjoining

us. thank you both very much forjoining us. christian, i mentioned that yougov poll during the course of that discussion, such an interesting poll, i was looking at it here, a lot to come out of it. apart from the fact the brexit is the defining issue, it relies what... the numbers are fascinating and it proves that brexit is the defining issue. tonight you will hear lots about social care, fibre broadband, tax, you name it, but what matters is whether candidates stand on brexit. that is cut across the fault lines left and right. to you have members in the survey who say they have more in common with labour voters who voted to leave then tory remainers. is extraordinary that this is the conservative and union party but 63% members, and bear in mind it is only

a nine group, but 63% of them would be willing to see the united kingdom are broken up if that is what it ta kes to are broken up if that is what it takes to deliver brexit. almost as remarkably, and it is a mark of my jewel farage's success, —— it is a mark of nigel farage's subjects, 46% would be happy for him to be the pa rty‘s would be happy for him to be the party's leader. these are extraordinary statistics. and when you look at the final tally of four votes will go in the second rounds, it tells you rory stewart doesn't really have a prayer, because about less tha n really have a prayer, because about less than a third think rory stewart would be a good leader. it's about three quarters who want a brexiteer and the sea borisjohnson is the best bet. those are conservative party members, jump to see what numbers are like the rest of country as well. debate on bbc one injust an hour's time. and everything else

on our website as well. president trump has never really stopped campaigning and it's never really beenin campaigning and it's never really been in doubt he would seek a second time. but later today, he been in doubt he would seek a second time. but latertoday, he will formally launch trump at 2020 in orlando, florida, dating to the stage in the city. and the present's supporters are very excited, thousands queueing outside the stadium for hours already. this is the scene already. according to a present, there may be more than 100,000 of them are trying to get tickets. this is what he tweeted... jane 0'brian is there for us, suitably wild in orlando. which are sewed beautifully sunny shots, it is 110w sewed beautifully sunny shots, it is now raining, i am so sorry you got the rain! what is it have been like

they are all day? wild weather. i'm they are all day? wild weather. i'm the quiet one here, not the wild one! they have announced a line is moving, and all these people had been queueing for the last several hours, some of them overnight, from all over the country, are now, en masse, heading into the arena behind me. it is quite a crowd. the atmosphere has been like a rock concert. we have had used an's premiere party band concert. we have had used an's premiere party hand holding force for several hours, nonstop, all morning, getting the vibe going. people have loved it, it's party, no—one's talking about politics, they are talking about the weather how much they're having. in theory, this president should have a fantastic platform from which to campaign, because he's achieved much of what he's promised, which is rare

in modern politics? yeah, as far as everybody is concerned, he's ticked all the boxes. they don't believe any of the polls at that point to him losing ground in key battle ground states like florida are. that they don't believe that any of the democratic hopefuls are beating him. they think that he has done exactly what they voted him to do, he has tackled immigration, taken on china, taken on iran — he's got a strong economy behind him. and that's why everybody here is going to be voting for him. these are the term faithful, because they stood in line, which suggests they stood in line, which suggests they are the dedicated people, are there any concerns that they have about the president, he hasn't build the wall, for example, that they we re the wall, for example, that they were promised in the 2016 election. have you heard any disquiet about any of the president cosmic policies, or none at all? katty as you said, these are hard—core

supporters. they see anything that he's failed to do as a measure of the obstruction that he's encountered in congress by democrats within his own party, it's the bottom line, it's not his fault. and they feel that he's trying. they also feel that he is telling the truth about the country, a lot of them don't listen to the mainstream media. they get their news from independent media people who broadcast mainly online, digitally, they listen to his tweets, and as faras they listen to his tweets, and as far as they are concerned, he is trying, he is trying really hard, and they are supporting him in that effort. jane o'brien for us in orlando, jane thank you very much, stay dry. i'm drawing here in the studio, dry studio, by a stay dry. i'm drawing here in the studio, dry studio, bya member of the trump 2020 advisory board. thanks very much for coming in. those polls, let's start with them, because as jane was saying, the president should be in a good position, the economy is doing well, the market is doing well, on employment is down, wages are up,

and yet we've had three polls, the president's internal polls, fox news polls, and a new poll thatjust came out in the last couple of hours showing the president behind all of the potential democratic candidates in the key states that matter. is there a problem, you worried? not at all, and as you can see from that crowd, as we say in texas, they are fired up. i don't look at polling. i look at money. that's the mothers milk of politics. in the fact that we've been up and running since after the inauguration, which is unprecedented, trump victory, which isa campaign unprecedented, trump victory, which is a campaign fund, has raised $40 million. the rnc has raised a record of $62 million in this last quarter, which allows us to have armies and individuals who are field personnel trained in these 17 battle ground states. and our polling is showing that while the margins are thin, they were always thin. remember trump prevailed in michigan,

pennsylvania, in wisconsin. and it does make of those states have not been one since president bush and 81. and also president trump was down in the polls, remember? he was only up in one of 15 polls during 2015, and had been written off. he lost the popular vote, and he only wa nted lost the popular vote, and he only wanted a couple of those states by less tha n wanted a couple of those states by less than 20,000 votes. you are talking as if this is a done deal, you're confident this is going to be a walk in the park. no, it will be a battle. absolutely. which is why the rnc is training over 4000 people in the next month alone to have boots oi'i the next month alone to have boots on the ground in these key states, and florida has always been an issue. president trump one by 1.2% against hillary clinton, and we had that recount in 2000 with president bush. so that's his home state, that's why he is kicking off his campaign today in florida. but additionally, it's very important to get out the vote. and that's why he needs to keep the base invigorated, like this mega rally today, keep them engaged, so they are not lulled

into a false sense of security. so that's very important too. additionally, he has a record to run on, and the democrats don't. they are on on, and the democrats don't. they are on the message has been obstruction, or investigate, or impeach, which i think will be a political disaster. mikai political disaster. mika i was struck by a line from our very ownjohn sobel this morning that i listen to, that in 2016, donald trump ran as the insurgents. now he is the incumbent. but really, he wants to run as the insurgents and when you look at his tweets over the last week or so, he is again to cast himself as the underdog, the man versus the liberal swamp, is that how it's going to run it? yes, he's an unorthodox candidate. he has been from the get—go, and he has departed from traditions, especially, you know, when he endorsed moving the embassy to jerusalem for example. he endorsed the occupation of the golan heights by israel. he has proven that america will stand alone and do

what's in its best interest, and he's pushed back against the swampy niss in washington, the bureaucracy by illuminating job killing regulations. he is going to continue to be unpredictable, and unlike the democrats who have to corral their progressive left wing of the party, i feel that most republicans are going to stand behind trump. thank you very much for coming in, mika from the 2020 reelection campaign of trump, clearly a lot of very excited people down there, but these polls are causing some concern in the white house, and it's notjust his own internal polling, the fact that it's a fox news poll as well in which he is behind these candidates. 0ne which he is behind these candidates. one thing we do know is that it's going to be a really, really nasty campaign. and that there's going to bea campaign. and that there's going to be a lot of attacks from both sides. we thought 2016 was a vicious campaign, ithink we thought 2016 was a vicious campaign, i think we will see all gloves off in this particular race. the question is, are the democrats prepared for running against such an

unconventional candidate as donald trump? some more magic math. go on. some more magic math. go on. sol some more magic math. go on. so i looked at how far we are from november three, 20/20 boating day. we are exactly 72 weeks away. in european terms, that is an age away. why is he launching his campaign? why is he launching his campaign? why is he launching his campaign? why is he launching 72 weeks from voting day? because what did mika just say? it's all about the money. that is the mothers milk of politics. if this election is going to cost something in the realm of $6 billion, which wouldn't be out of the realms of possibility, the last one was about 4 billion, and they go up one was about 4 billion, and they go up every cycle, you need a lot of time to raise that money, and so that's why the candidates all get in early, and why the polling does matter, because they want to be the funders and say look, look back to me if you are democrats, look i'm in the top five, back to me, i'm worth your money. and so the polling matters, because it drives the money. it's all about the money. you will make all about the money. let's go back to the conservative

leadership contest, which is a lot shorter and cheaper. in britain's former foreign secretary, boris johnson, has again topped the latest vote to put replace theresa may as prime minister, he now has the backing of 126 conservative members of parliament. is closest rival is the current foreign secretary, jerry mi hunt, who got 46 tonight, sajid javid and rory stewart have made the cut, five mins in the race will appear in a televised debate in the bbc in the next hour, they are all arriving for that debate. let's go to westminster speak to rmp. who is supporting jeremy hunt. mark, good to have you with us. what in the morning papers today about the damage that rory stewart is doing to the campaigns of the others. he's already knocked out matt hancock. he was outdoing him on the inside no deal stuff, is he doing damage to your candidate? i don't think so, but what i would say before going on is i think rory stewart is an invigorating the campaign, idon't stewart is an invigorating the campaign, i don't think he's doing damage to my a lot of life to it.

you know, rory stewart is someone i like him and i don't think he is the best person to be the prime minister, but i think what he brings to the debate is invigorating. when it comes to what happens with jeremy's votes over the next coming days, it will be interesting to see, you know, the key thing is we need to keep him ahead of the pack for him to come second, and when other candidates drop out, it will be interesting to see where they go to. so you would kind of expect that worry's motor might come to jeremy. you might also expect that such a job it's vote might also come to jeremy as well, so i think that will help keep jeremy ahead jeremy as well, so i think that will help keepjeremy ahead of jeremy as well, so i think that will help keep jeremy ahead of the jeremy as well, so i think that will help keepjeremy ahead of the field. and obviously the key thing is probably getting him into the final two, so he can never really exciting debate amongst our members.” two, so he can never really exciting debate amongst our members. i get the point that nobody wants a coronation, but boris johnson the point that nobody wants a coronation, but borisjohnson is so far ahead that he is pretty much unassailable, isn't he? well you say that, but we still got about lot to oui’ that, but we still got about lot to our mentorship, and one of the really important points... but membership knows who borisjohnson is, they know his record and what

they don't like and don't like about him. a lot to our mentorship, and one of the really important points... but membership knows who borisjohnson is, points... but membership knows who boris johnson is, they points... but membership knows who borisjohnson is, they know his record and what they don't like and don't like about him. amick membership very, very fun person to be with, they see a number of parliament to is fun to be with, actually now we are looking at who is going to be the prime minister of this country. i have apologise. another endorsement. i've been heckled by siri. mri hate to do this, siri is right, we are right at the end of the programme. so she jumped right at the end of the programme. so shejumped in right at the end of the programme. so she jumped in just—in—time. right at the end of the programme. so shejumped injust—in—time. we will get you in your siri back again. thank you very much. so before we go, just who is better at sports, the americans of the brits? the host of the late late show, james gordon threw down the gauntlet to form a first lady michelle obama, and the pairof to form a first lady michelle obama, and the pair of now settled it in a

game of yes, celebrity dodge ball. s, and! game of yes, celebrity dodge ball. s, and i can tell you that michelle obama isa s, and i can tell you that michelle obama is a very good shot. as harry styles fou nd obama is a very good shot. as harry styles found to his cost. harry styles going solo all over again. obama lines up, and coag smack right in the one d. that's the shot heard round the world, revolution begins with team usa taking game one! at the end of the conservative debate tonight, that is how we are going to decided, with dodge ball. this is beyond 100 days from the bbc. and coming up for viewers on the bdc news channel, bbc world news, the us announces its ending 1000 more troops to the middle east, as tensions with iran are continuing to grow in the region. a new study finally reveals what it is about the expression on a dogs face that we so cute. those eyes which have evolved over the years to appeal to us humans. we arejust soft, aren't we? that's all still to

come. hello it's already a wet end to the day across parts of england and wales, and there could well be so much happier rain arriving in some spots, as we go through tonight. close to this weather system, humid and moister most telling associated with that, or bricks of rain pushing northwards across parts of eglin and wales through the day. still some of that around as we go deeper into the evening. the showers in scotland and northern ireland, in the evening, easing. some continuing in the northwest overnight, a quiet night to come here. at the cloud in the rain affecting parts of england and wales, while for some, it may get worse as the knights goes on. particularly through this stone here, where the met has submitted a yellow warning for thunderstorms. 15-50,000,000 are yellow warning for thunderstorms. 15—50,000,000 are possible in the wettest spots, so some flooding

disruptions possible in some areas. areas have already had some problems in the past week or so, problems may come from lightning, gusty winds, hail as well. a variety of ring totals in areas affected by these terms. as we begin to spread up from the south later in the night, but you can see from the bright colours and the rainfall picture, where they appear, there could be some nasty conditions for a time. so about how things are shaping up as we go through the rest of the night. again, for scotland and northern ireland, many will be dry with clear spells, fairly chilly in some spots, but it does mean a sunny start to wednesday, to the south though, it's quite a warm muggy night to come. so let's ta ke quite a warm muggy night to come. so let's take a look at things then, as wednesday plays out. outbreaks of rain affecting parts of england and wales, some thundery downpours for the morning rush hourfor some spots into the southeast and east anglia, still the potential for some heavy and perhaps sundry downpours through parts of eastern england, even going into the evening rush hour. whereas the midlands, wales, western parts of england, will be turning dryer, for some a little bit brighter. scotla nd for some a little bit brighter. scotland and northern ireland,

sunshine and a few showers again, spreading southeast on some could be heavy with a rumble of thunder. a few showers around here on thursday, whereas england and wales have a quieter day. dining with a few showers popping up, many places avoiding them, and staying dry. the westerly breeze will make it feel a bit fresher here, and temperatures mid to high teens, just a few spots getting close to 20 celsius. but for friday and saturday, it is a high—pressure building in, and for actually most places will be dry. two find days, that's all we can manage though, because on sunday, it looks like the weather goes downhill again on the west. that's your forecast.

this is now beyond 100 days. our top stories: the race to be british prime minister is now down to five, borisjohnson has extended his lead over his conservative rivals. donald trump launches his re—election bid, thousands of supporters lined up to see his announcement in florida. thousands of supporters lined up to see his announcement in floridam the next half hour, with tension on the next half hour, with tension on the rise in iran, the us is sending 1000 more troops to the middle east to defend american installations in the region. and those eyes that can melt your heart, we see how dogs have to bout their expression solely to communicate with humans.

the us is sending an additional 1000 troops to the middle east as tension with iran continues to grow. the acting us defence secretary said the deployment is for defensive purposes to address air, naval and ground—based threats. but moments after it made those comments, the president announced that mr shanahan is stepping down from the job and there will be a new acting us defence secretary, mark esper. this comes defence secretary, mark esper. this co m es after defence secretary, mark esper. this comes after tehran threatened to exceed limits on stockpiling nuclear materials that could potentially kill the deal. the us pulled out of that deal last year and michael pompeo had this to say about the message they were sending. communicating to iran that were there to deter aggression, the president does not want war, and we will continue to communicate that

message was doing the things that are necessary to protect american interests in the region.” are necessary to protect american interests in the region. i amjoined bya interests in the region. i amjoined by a retired brigadier who also served as assistant secretary of state under george w bush and has just got back from the region within the last 24 hours, was in iraq. before you get to iran, i want to talk to you about this change at the top of the pentagon, which broke just as we were coming on air, because there is a very odd story going on here where patrick shanahan, who was acting defence secretary until about an hour ago has given interviews saying that he says describes a catalogue of disturbing violent behaviour from his family members. what's going on? acting secretary sha na han his family members. what's going on? acting secretary shanahan is defending himself against those allegations. what is more important is mark esper coming in. mark esper is mark esper coming in. mark esper isa is mark esper coming in. mark esper is a classmate of michael pompeo from west point, they are friends,

and this would do two things. demonstrate secretary pompeo's working relationship with the president, but also demonstrate that esper has a more hardline view consistent withjohn esper has a more hardline view consistent with john bolton and secretary pompeo, where the president may be a little less hardline. so we have a group of hawkish people when it comes to the issue of iran now surrounding the president? i would say with mark esperin president? i would say with mark esper in the job, it is certainly the case that may have pushed those important positions more to the right. you have come back from the region, do you think the united states and toronto —— united states and iran are coming closer to conflict? it is my experience that no—one once more, it is preferred

that this a set of diplomatic and everybody is concerned that a wrong slip, a bad mistake, something like we saw with the oil tankers, may precipitate an armed conflict that nobody wants. let me talk to you about the statement the white house has put out about iran, is it possible they were involved, we saw that small ship removing limpet mines, would you do that if you hadn't put the olympics mine there? might they be taking it to save the ship or remove evidence? they are probably taking it away because it malfunctioned and it was evidence that, if left behind is coming with demonstrate a direct link between those mines and the iranian navy. president rohani are saying he doesn't want war and the right noises coming from the top in iran,

it doesn't necessarily follow that iran wouldn't get itself into a complex, or are there other branches of power within iran that could get involved? certainly, we have seen the activity of the iranian revolution guards exporting military operations well outside of iran. at the same time... i don't necessarily know if that reflects splits within the administration of the iranian government is or if they are playing a double game during all of these operations. to be clear, these 2500 troops, 1000 are being sent on top of what is already there, in your opinion, this doesn't look like an assault force? we would probably put assault force? we would probably put a good majority of those troops into the region if we needed to conduct assault operations. to strictly, in

my view, protection to defend american facilities and personnel, nothing more than that. thank you very much. i'm sure there is an artful way to turn out that story to the next one, i can't think of it at the next one, i can't think of it at the moment, so here we go. how many of us have turned to mush it at the sight of a delightful dog? how difficult is it to recessed puppy dog eyes? i am apparently a victim of science, not sentiments. researchers have found that dogs of old muscles around their eyes to allow them to make infant eye expressions, which particularly appealed to humans and trigger a nurturing response. and it works, as we know! humans have a preference to protect and breed from dogs which have this appealing trait. we are going to buy a dog behaviourist. how

is this muscle evolved or have we introduced it through repeated reading? i would say it is something we have introduced through artificial selection. dogs are not going through natural selection anymore, they are not beating themselves, we are choosing which dogs are bred from. we know that dogs are bred from. we know that dogs are bred from. we know that dogs are good at following human gaze and pointing, this is something wills are not good at and they don't do from a young age as dogs would. so this means over time they are starting to look more juvenile backer or some dog breeds are having a larger eyes and larger heads, which makes them look almost infinite—like, almost like a human baby. humans find these features appealing and are more likely to breed from these dogs over time. when we interact with dogs, we are told to treat them like pack animals because they look at us as part of the pack. so what are they thinking in their minds when they raise those

eyebrows, what is going through a dog's heads? they're not manipulating us, they're not trying to outsmart us, we know now that the theory that dogs behave like will steam any pack is outdated, we are moving to understand that the behave based on their previous experiences. so whatever they enjoy, they are more likely to do again. anything that has consequences to them, they're less likely to do over time, so the best way to train dogs through positive reinforcement.” wonder whether doesn't work with children, not in my experience. 0r husband's. there is an element of their winning is about this, dogs can turn this expression on when they are with humans, is that correct? 0f they are with humans, is that correct? of different expressions with humans and they may do with cat squirrels or other dogs? it is

definitely true that use other expressions with humans, though they are not consciously turning it on. a lot of these are subconscious processes going on inside their minds. they are learning from previous experience is what are likely to get them a reward, if that is something they would enjoy, which most dogs would do with a good upbringing, perhaps these dogs are more sociable and friendly are more likely to be read from, which would lead to this type of expression being passed on through generations rather than it is natural selection and darwinian process going on. ok, thank you very much for coming in. smart animals, dogs. thank you very much for coming in. smartanimals, dogs. to thank you very much for coming in. smart animals, dogs. to make these expressions when the semester is going to be a treat in store.” thought it was all about packs, but clearly not. i have got a dog, charlie, iam clearly not. i have got a dog, charlie, i am a big softy for him. he looks at me with big eyes and i think you can have anything he

wa nts. think you can have anything he wants. look at that! that is also my cat, moose. moose is like, talk to the hand! this is the 100 days dog family. that is john's dog. our dog family, looking ridiculous acute, and getting exactly the type of treats they have been trained through darwinian selection to get. the remaining conservative candidates are set to debate. that we will hear from the people who ultimately decide the next british prime minister. more weather warnings have been put in place as thunderstorms, torrential rain and flooding look set to batter parts of the uk. community such as wainfleet

in lincolnshire could face further damage and 600 homes have been evacuated. all eyes are on the river as the threat of more rain looms. a crack has been seen in the banks of the steeping, new to this hole, which has already been plugged. two months‘ worth of rain fell in just two days in wainfleet, almost 600 homes had to be evacuated. pretty horrendous, water up to our chest. lost everything in the house. at this one was shocked at the speed the water came into their home. they had just finished renovating and sale will take another year to restore it to its former state. very sound, obviously. that we‘ve never had anything like this happen before. we just had to get out, so we did. —— very sad to. before. we just had to get out, so we did. -- very sad to. water levels have dropped in the last few days, but with another spell of heavy rain

forecast tonight and tomorrow, up to five centimetres on already sodden ground, people are very worried about what will happen to their homes. a lot of people round here are angry, and rightly so, they‘re lost their homes. we‘re trying to get everything in place, the district council, we have skips and people coming in to help, so hopefully we can all pull together again. around 40 tonnes of water per second are being pumped away, but it‘s not known if it will be enough. the next 24—408! was as an important time, we are keeping a critical eye on and hoping to get people back in the homes as soon as possible. on and hoping to get people back in the homes as soon as possiblem the homes as soon as possiblem the rain does materialise, residents are being warned it is likely they will need to stay away from their homes until at least the end of next week.

the five leadership candidates in the conservative leadership contest are about to take place in a debate in15 are about to take place in a debate in 15 minutes‘ time. are about to take place in a debate in 15 minutes' time. annita mcveigh is at the sale conservative club in greater manchester to hear from party members who will be voting between the final two nominees. there has been speculation that they might not even have the vote is because of the leader? many of the people here say they're undecided and will use the debate to make up their minds. as you say, at sale conservative club, just south west of manchester, this is a conservative club in a labour—held constituency and a place that voted ever so narrowly to remain in the european referendum. lately, it has been feeling the effects of brexit with conservative meps —

two on the 2014 elections, this time round, nine — but mps elected for the brexit party. when results were announced earlier, who has got through to the next round of the leadership contest, they were big cheers for borisjohnson and contest, they were big cheers for boris johnson and for rory stewart. probably two candidates most poles apart in terms of this contest so far. we have your own in the background, let'sjust far. we have your own in the background, let's just take a far. we have your own in the background, let'sjust take a look at the camera, there i and! lets hit round in this direction to talk to two legal minds, we'll get their analysis on the situation. thank you for joining analysis on the situation. thank you forjoining us. where are you in this process in terms of deciding who you will vote for as not only the next conservative leader about prime minister? at this stage, i'm

undecided and looking forward to seeing borisjohnson this evening at the debate, having not got the opportunity on sunday of hearing what he has to say and present his vision for the country and the economy post—brexit. vision for the country and the economy post-brexit. to sue troubl you that he has been relatively quiet so farand you that he has been relatively quiet so far and taken quite a lot of stick for that? so far, his support so far has parted out, and there were a mention ora parted out, and there were a mention or a hope that he may have attracted may be 140 or a hope that he may have attracted may be140 votes, but that level of support certainly didn‘t materialise this evening. laura beth, are you any closer to deciding who you are going to be voting for ultimately? i've got opinions on all the candidates, and what their policies are like and dislike from each of them, but i think it's really important to just wait and see who we get in the final two before making any firm decisions. so what will you be looking for from

those candidates in tonight's debates? i really want to see some more details on their plan for brexit. i think we have more details on their plan for brexit. ithink we have been more details on their plan for brexit. i think we have been perhaps a little bit light on the finer details, and also just what a little bit light on the finer details, and alsojust what new ideas they want to bring, because this is an opportunity for the party and the government to go in a fresh direction. laura beth says all little bit light on details, do you think that's candidates deliberately sitting on the fence, because they know as soon as they, you know, pin down details on brexit and say this is what i'm going to do, its boxes by men, and perhaps, narrows the numberof by men, and perhaps, narrows the number of conservative party members, like yourselves, who may potentially support them. yes, and certainly i feel dominic raab was a victim of fats, having suggested a buy passing parliament, and we see now it was opposition that the under... the other candidates were very much again. laura beth, do you think that if the next prime

minister, the next conservative leader doesn't deliver brexit by the sist leader doesn't deliver brexit by the 31st of october, that that is going to cause irreparable damage to the party? i think so. to cause irreparable damage to the party? ithink so. i don't to cause irreparable damage to the party? i think so. i don't think it would be sort of a quick solution from i don't think there will be any quick solution to fix the conservative party, if we don't sort of get it done by then, i think it will cause long—term damage. and what are your thoughts on that? i agree entirely. so it's got to be somebody who says they are either getting out on the sist, they are either getting out on the 31st, or would you be prepared to listen to somebody who says, well look, you know, if we can't quite get a deal on the 31st, but maybe a deal is insight, we will delay a little bit further. well... it depends on the level of progress made at the time. the commitment must be there. to achieve brexit by the dates, but if they are, if we are the dates, but if they are, if we a re close the dates, but if they are, if we are close to an agreement, and attractive agreements, then a slightly further delay, i don‘t

think would be too problematic. 0k, think would be too problematic. ok, laura beth, thank you both very much. it will be very interesting to get your opinions after the debates, if we possibly can. right now, back to you christian and katty. anita, thank you very much indeed. interesting there. i‘ve got so yak i‘m glad they‘ve got the beyond 100 days there in the cell conservative club, that‘s... lets speak to frank carpenter, she‘s a conservative district counsellor, who is supporting borisjohnson in the leadership contest, she joins us from the new forest in the south of england. thanks very much for joining us, i want to know to what extent joining us, i want to know to what exte nt d o joining us, i want to know to what extent do you want to hear from mr johnson the details of what he‘s going to do with that deadline of october the 31st, how he‘s going to persuade the european union to reopen the withdrawal agreement when they‘ve said that they would not do so. are you looking for that kind of specificity from him was blue well i

don‘t want him to particularly reopen the withdrawal agreement. i think we‘ve had three years in the dungeons with the withdrawal agreement. as much as i admire mrs mae for carrying on with it. but i actually think i want to hear him say it, we will definitely come out on the 31st of october. as far as a short extension, i'm not sure. i really wa nt short extension, i'm not sure. i really want to meet that deadline. i think like i say, we've been in for three years come i want us to be lifted out of its come i want us to get a smile back on our face, and a bit of hope back in the story of this country, and i think that that's, that boris is the one who can do it. fran, i'mjust reading a tweet that norman smith, our correspondent sent out earlier today, saying rory stewart now holding court in the committee corridor is surrounded by, deftly the medias favour in this contest, it struck me in that tweet that that is part of the problem, that he is

appealing to the s one bubble here in london. but he‘s not really cutting through in the membership, is he? i don't think so. as much as i think he is a clever man, but i think is very articulate, and i've listened to what he said in the past few weeks, it just doesn't do listened to what he said in the past few weeks, itjust doesn't do it listened to what he said in the past few weeks, it just doesn't do it for me. iwant few weeks, it just doesn't do it for me. i want someone who's got flair and personality. and he's got personality. you will act have to be a brexit year? it's not big and bold, it's not big and bold like i wanted to be. that's boris, i'm afraid. doesn‘t have to be a brexiteer? afraid. doesn't have to be a brexiteer? yes. i'm afraid he is the only one left now. i thought about each of the candidates from the left end, we've got four certainly dull... sorry... so fran, is to hit big and bold got four certainly dull... sorry... so fran, is to hit big and hold to you. character, personality, that sounds like an american—style contest to me, where character matters perhaps more than policies.

yes, but he's also got the vision, and he can articulate his vision. he did it in london, and i think that we just need somebody with a big vision. notjust for we just need somebody with a big vision. not just for brexit we just need somebody with a big vision. notjust for brexit itself, but actually post brexit, and taking us but actually post brexit, and taking us forward after brexit for the country. so the character flaws don‘t really matter to you. the fact that we don‘t have any children —— don‘t know how many children he has, you don‘t care about that. you don‘t ca re don‘t care about that. you don‘t care about how he performed at the foreign office as the foreign secretary, that doesn‘t matter to you? well, i mean i don't know exactly how he performed in the foreign secretary, i just exactly how he performed in the foreign secretary, ijust heard one or two of the bad things, i'm sure there were lots of good things he did as well, we'll never hear the bad things from journalists, so i'm really not at all interested in his private life i just really not at all interested in his private life ijust want to make sure that we get some but who's going to do the job and get us out of it you. frank carpenter that is a good analysis of what‘s going on out there in the membership. thank you very much indeed. the candidates will be debating here on the bbc and

what? just under ten minutes‘ time. in the candidate getting the most support in that second round of voting is we‘ve been saying was rory stewart. here‘s what he had to say on the way into tonight‘s debate. stewart. here‘s what he had to say on the way into tonight's debate.” have some momentum, yes, but we have keep going. i have to win over mps one by one through convincing them that we can do it, and that's about detail and trust. no. that we can do it, and that's about detailand trust. no. i don't that we can do it, and that's about detail and trust. no. i don't think i'm the candidate come i hope that what i am as some of the offering a vision of a country that can be more united that we don't have to choose between a hard brexit or a hard remain, but actually there is a way of coming together, and there is a way of coming through the referendum, and reuniting us as a country. with speak to our chief political correspondent, vicki young, watching this debate with us this evening. there is one very specific question that boris johnson there is one very specific question that borisjohnson is going to have to a nswer that borisjohnson is going to have to answer this evening. i to answer this evening. , he's undera to answer this evening. ,he's under a lot of to answer this evening. , he's under a lot of pressure to explain what has brexit policy is, and was really interesting is that

like ian duncan smith, who was on the brexiteer side of the party today, he has a version of what he think borisjohnson is going to plan to do, but there are other people who have a completely different idea of what to boris johnson is going to do, and this is going to be an issue for him if, as everyone does still expect, he goes ahead and becomes prime minister. so he's been to come underan prime minister. so he's been to come under an awful lot of pressure over that, i think particularly from worry stewards, i think that's the reason he's gone through this around tonight, because there are a lot of tory mps from a certain ring of the party. they all ganged up on that with three last time. yeah, they want borisjohnson three last time. yeah, they want boris johnson to three last time. yeah, they want borisjohnson to be givena bit yeah, they want borisjohnson to be given a bit of a rough ride, not too much, but they want him to be questioned. and they think that —— rory stewart will do that, in a way that other candidates want to, so i'm pretty sure that's why he's there, there's all sorts of speculation thatjeremy there, there's all sorts of speculation that jeremy home supporters and, naturally people who have gone there, have lent their vote to worry stewards to get him through, but i think borisjohnson will find himself in the firing line, because he has refused to do so many of the other events. so this is the one chance everyone things they've got to pin him down, and he

will do his best to leave the options option to not open, because none of them want to be tied down to what might happen in three or four months' time. fran, vickie i don‘t know if you heard our interview with fran there, there was basically not very much that boris johnson there was basically not very much that borisjohnson could say or do that borisjohnson could say or do that would put her off him. i was just wondering, you know, what are the pitfalls for him in this debate, because even if pushed on the issue of his brexit vision, she said oh yeah, he‘s got a break to make great brexit vision, she seemed to be very clear on what his vision was. i think for a lot of conservative party members come he can do no wrong, and that's because the enemy, if you like, if you are conservative, has changed. the enemy now is nigel faraj, it wasn't a year ago, and that's what's been the fascinating thing. i have been pretty surprised by some of the tory mps, the things they said to me but borisjohnson a year ago, i couldn't have broadcast. and now they are getting behind him, because they are looking at their seats and constituencies and thinking, if there's a general election, i will lose my seat to nigel faraj, or he it will at least be a disrupter. there are now turning to boris johnson, because a lot of them feel

pretty desperate. they think he is someone that can bring the country together for think the differences though, the boris johnson together for think the differences though, the borisjohnson who together for think the differences though, the boris johnson who was london mayor, that one some of the suburban seats in london if you like, the problem now for him is that those seats are a bit more sceptical, because they tend to be very much more sceptical, because they tend to be very much more on sceptical, because they tend to be very much more on the remains side of the argument when it comes to brexit, so it will be difficult for him, but it is almost as if a lot of people, and i think this is them being hopeful to some extent, they think force of personality might be able to make a difference here, but i say that, because i think they are other bit desperate. vickie young, thank you very much, we will watch with great interest. we should quickly say what the format will be tonight. five podiums, no studio audience, there will be questions coming in from the regions audience questions, and they will be grilled this evening. —— by our colleague emily made us, it should be fun to watch. will you be watching katty? 0h, watch. will you be watching katty? oh, yeah, i will be up on bbc world ina oh, yeah, i will be up on bbc world in a couple of hours‘ time, and we will have all of the results on bbc world too, because there‘s a lot of interest, of course the name that is known around the world is boris

johnson, but people are focused on this leadership contest. and we will be back with other news tomorrow as well. they with us. stay with us. hello. it's already a wet and to the day across parts of england and wells. there could be much heavier rain arriving in some spots, as we go through tonight. close to this weather system, humid air, moisture associated with that, had outbreaks of rain pushing northwards across parts of england and wales through the day, so still some of that around as we go deeper into the evening. showers in scotla nd into the evening. showers in scotland and northern ireland, easing. the sun continuing in the northwest overnight, but a quiet night to come here. the cloud and rain affecting parts of england and wales, while for some it may get worse as the night goes on. particularly through this zone here, where the met office has a yellow warning of thunderstorms, 15—30 mil metres, up to 50 possible in the wettest spots, flooding disruptions possible in areas. problems in the

last week or so, problems from lightning, gusty winds, hailas well. big variety of rain totals in areas that are affected by the storms, as we begin to spread up from the south. later in the night, but you can see from the bright colours of the rainfall picture, where they appear that could be nasty conditions for a time. so that‘s all things are shaping up as we go through the rest of the night. again for scotland and northern ireland, many will be dry with clear spells, fairly chilly in some spots, but it does mean a sunny start to wednesday, to the south though, it‘s quite a warm and muggy night to come. so let‘s take a look at things then as wednesday plays out. outbreaks of rain affecting parts of england and wales, some thundering downpours for the morning rush hour for some spots into the southeast and east anglia. and still the potential for heavy and perhaps sundry downpours there parts of eastern england, even going into the evening rush hour. whereas the midlands, wales, western parts of england, are turning dryer, for some a little bit brighter. scotland and northern ireland, its unchained from a few showers again, spreading southeast, some though could be

heavy with a rumble of thunder. still a few showers around here on thursday, whereas england and wales have a quieter day. dotting a few showers popping up, and many places avoiding them and staying dry. the westerly breeze will make you feel a bit fresher here, and temperatures mid to high teens, just a few spots getting close to 20 celsius. but for friday and saturday, it‘s high—pressure building in, and actually most places will be dry. two find is, that‘s all we can manage though, because on sunday, it looks like the weather goes downhill again from the west. that‘s your forecast.

five men, onejob, one hour of your questions from across the uk. how they answer will help to decide who becomes our next prime minister. good evening. one of the men here on stage will become our next prime minister. tonight, for the very first time — we hear from all of them in a live televised debate. dominic raab was eliminated two hours ago. the rest — borisjohnson, jeremy hunt, michael gove, sajid javid and rory stewart are all here.