tv Beyond 100 Days BBC News June 24, 2019 7:00pm-8:01pm BST
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you're watching beyond one hundred days. more sanctions on iran — president trump signs an executive order, this time targetting the supreme leader and the people around him. iran will not bow to the pressure — the leadership in tehran says the sanctions are precisely the reason they are not coming to the table. keep your maximum pressure, the trump administration acts after iran's attack on a us drone. —— keeping up maximum pressure. these measures represent a strong and proportionate response to iran's increaseingly provocative actions. we will continue to increase pressure on tehran. the battle to be the next british prime minister — jeremy hunt calls his rival borisjohnson a coward for not agreeing to a live television debate.
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also on the programme... taking on trump — 25 democratic candidates are in the race. we hear from them in south carolina before they debate head—to—head in florida. the women's world cup is into the knockout round — it was a nail—bitter for hosts france and the same today for the us team. hello and welcome — i'm jane o'brien in washington and christian fraser is in london. there's no let up of pressure on iran as president trump signs an executive order preventing access to billions of dollars of assets and imposing sanctions on the supreme leader himself and other officials. after reversing course on military strikes at the last minute mr trump is making it clear his maximum pressure strategy will continue despite escalating tensions. iranian leaders say the trump administration is waging economic warfare
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on their nation, and some analysts say the sanctions, which have been done with no substantial diplomatic outreach, strengthen the hand of hard—liners in tehran who are arguing for retaliatory measures. here's the announcement from president trump a short time ago. the supreme leader of iran is the one who ultimately is responsible for the hostile conduct of the regime, he is respected within his country, his office oversees the regime's most brutal instruments including the islamic revolutionary guard corps. sanctions imposed through the executive order that i'm about to sign will deny the supreme leader and the supreme leader's office and those closely affiliated with him and the office access to key financial resources and support. the assets of ayatollah khomeini and his office will not be spared from the sanctions. i'm joined now by ali vaez, the director of the iran project
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at the international crisis group. thank you forjoining me. we've seen how iran has reacted to sanctions so far. why would another round targeting the supreme leader himself bring them to the negotiating table? it will not. in fact, it would push them up further away from the negotiating table, increasing the political cost of engaging the trump administration for any iranian official. and i think this shows that the trump administration's policy are suffering from an internal contradiction, which is the fa ct internal contradiction, which is the fact that the objective, to produce negotiations, is on a collision course with the means of achieving that objective, which are sanctions. and iranians would not come to the negotiating table with a gun to their head. but at some point, might they not have a choice? well, when we reach the point that they increasingly have less to lose, they are more likely to become more belligerent and less risk averse, which is what we have seen in the
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past few weeks with the number of incidents in the persian gulf as well as shooting down of the us drone. so there is the risk that in fa ct if drone. so there is the risk that in fact if the iranians decide that they have no choice other than negotiating with the trump administration, they may decide they have to restore their nuclear beverage, which means we have to go through a nuclear crisis, which could result in conflict rather than negotiations. —— nuclear leveraged. so what you're saying is that unless there is relief, they would have to bea there is relief, they would have to be a pattern of behaviour which eventually the united states would i'io eventually the united states would no longer tolerate? that is correct. already we have seen a string of incidents which have produced this pattern of behaviour and at this time last week, president trump made the right decision of not escalating further militarily, but with a view incidents like this down the road, especially if the us individual art us assets are targeted, and we will be in an entirely different
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situation. redeem change is clearly not overtly the policy of the us administration, but clearly he would welcome it. what will sanctions do internally in iran? will they strengthen the hand of the hardliners? without any doubt, the proponents of engagement with the west and advocates of the nuclear deal had been totally discredited as a result of the trump administration's maximum pressure policy, and the hardliners having gained strength. and the more hardline elements within the islamic republic benefit from sanctions but they're the ones that control the smuggling network and they are getting enriched as a result of sanctions. —— because there are the ones that control the smuggling network. i think the only way out of this is a sanction freeze, providing iran with economic reprieve in return for iranians stepping back from the brink. with mike pompeo discussing a strengthening of the
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coalition among gulf nations, do you think if rees is likely? at this stage i'm not holding my breath and it doesn't seem very likely because both sides are entirely entrenched in their positions. at the risk is if we continue on the current trajectory, i think the trump administration has created a climate thatis administration has created a climate that is ripe for inadvertent conflict. thank you very much indeed for joining conflict. thank you very much indeed forjoining us. there's still a lot of fun at the site about the air that recorder. donald trump a few weeks ago at a state bank in london talked about the special relationship. —— air strikes that recalled. but they seemed in the dark about what was about to happen, where is the special relationship? that is a good question and the other question is why it is mike pompeo in the gulf region, building what he calls a global coalition against iran, when didn't he have a coalition with the
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european states when they forged the iran nuclear deal? so it raises another question of at what point do these coalitions cease to mean anything to mrtrump? these coalitions cease to mean anything to mr trump? and we already know he sees a lot of these things as transactional, i mean, the tweet he did this morning saying that china andjapan he did this morning saying that china and japan use the straits of hermes for oil supplies, so why don't they pay for the protection us is offering? —— the strait of hormuz. it seems to be missing out on the geopolitical consequence of all this. jeremy hunt not talking about what they were told ahead of these air strikes but... indeed. the bucolic photograph of borisjohnson and his girlfriend carrie symonds, sitting in a wild garden in sussex, would give you the impression they are two people, very much in love. and maybe that's how it's intended to look. since the weekend mrjohnson‘s leadership campaign has been overshadowed by stories about his private life, and the couple's explosive row,
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that was recorded by neighbours in the early hours of friday morning, and led to police being called. so far mrjohnson has refused to offer an explanation. in fact he has refused many an interview. today sky news announced that a head—to—head debate between mrjohnson and his rival jeremy hunt would be postponed, because mrjohnson has refused to take part. the reason we need this scrutiny of borisjohnson is because we are still not entirely sure what he is proposing. but this, from the hustings on saturday, is perhaps the best guess of what the johnson brexit plan is. that's definitely the brexit plan. i think we've got the wrong bit. —— that's definitely not the brexit plan. all right, it again. ——
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roulette again. if you disaggregate the elements of the otherwise defunct withdrawal agreement and you take the protections for the 3.2 million european union nationals in our country, you put them into law, you reserve the payment of the 39 billion, creative ambiguity needed there, i think, until the solution. and then of course you solve the problems of free movement of goods across the irish, northern irish and other borders, to where they logically belong. and that is in the context of the free trade agreement that we will negotiate in implementation period, after we've come out on october 315t. to discuss mrjohnson‘s plan i'm joined by georgina wright, senior researcher at the institute for government. nice to see you. let's split that plan that he is sat out there into two constituent parts. so what he is proposing in that clip is that you separate the withdrawal agreement into its component parts, disaggregate them, as he said,
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legislate under uk law to protect eu citizens that are here and reserved payment of the 39 billion, pending a deal. what you think of that? it's an interesting proposal and not one that's entirely new, you've had lots of advocates and particularly those who feel very strongly against the deal that is already on the table, they're like, let'sjust scrap it and start anew. what we're forgetting is how the other side would respond, and the eu have been very consistent throughout this negotiation, particularly during the la st negotiation, particularly during the last extension. they said, the bastille is already on the table and actually, if you decide to away with fio actually, if you decide to away with no deal those same issues, citizens' rights, the irish border, the backstop, and also the money are going to be the first things were going to be the first things were going to be the first things were going to discuss. —— the best deal is already on the table. so even if you want to start afresh, the same stumbling blocks are going to be there. and they've also said, i think, that if you withhold the 39 billion they want to talk to you until you pay up,
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billion they want to talk to you untilyou pay up, is billion they want to talk to you until you pay up, is that right? legal opinion is divided on whether or not the uk was that but certainly there is a lot of political commentators are saying, there is a moral responsibility here, this divorce bill is not a bill because we are leaving, it's actually because the uk as a member state signed up to a certain project format, it has committed that money and that money would cover that. so they are saying it could be a legal challenge but legal opinion is divided. —— has signed up to certain projects. on the backstop, what he's saying, use of the border issues through negotiation on free trade, which a lot of have said, that the backstop puts the cart before the horse. he is saying, in the interim, until you do that, you maintain the present state of affairs, under a standstill agreement and solve the backstop under the free trade agreement. that sounds sensible. backstop under the free trade agreement. that sounds sensiblem does but again, the problem is that you have said you can't do that. if you have said you can't do that. if you leave with no deal that's fine but then you will be treated like a third country. —— the eu have said
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you can't do that. trade will be conducted under wto rules, meaning everything we have now come all the rules and regulations cease to exist. but isn't that what they want? they want the wto rules. i precisely. but you still have the obstacles, the problem is, you will still have to negotiate them. but what borisjohnson are stressing is, walk away with no deal but keep every guess it is until we have a new deal in place and this is what commentators have talked about, the gap article 24, which says when a deal has been negotiated but it's not yet been ratified you can have a standstill. fine, but you need to have a deal in place and the problem is here they would be no deal so therefore it couldn't apply. but a lot of comparisons have been made between boris johnson lot of comparisons have been made between borisjohnson and president trump. president trump from walks away from deals to get people to talk. —— often walks away. so is a tactic why wouldn't this work for borisjohnson?
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tactic why wouldn't this work for boris johnson? again, it's interesting to think of a no deal scenario, certainly, boris johnson has indicated that he would want to go back to brussels, in fact, jeremy hunt has had the same thing, tailed talks. and i think the eu would be prepared to hold talks, they were that to a new prime minister. but again, it's whether those talks would result in renegotiation, the eu have been clear, absolutely not. the best deal is on the table and it isa the best deal is on the table and it is a compromise. and what's interesting is, they don't seem to be kind of stressed out about possibly possibly new tactics or an intervention, because they say, the deal on the table is a very good one, and if the uk decide to walk away from the deal, fine, but that would be a whole set of negotiations from a doubt there were about very different standpoint, member states would have to any standpoint, so they feel that a no deal would weaken the uk's negotiating hand, not strengthen it. some of the
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issues will be discussed at the 16 hustings around the country. georgina, thank you very much indeed. we should focus on the photograph, where was it taken, who took it, was it staged? plenty of speculation on social media. what we can say is that no one is claiming ownership of this photograph, but the campaign are making no complaints that it is being used. so we have a borisjohnson happy for the public to have a picture of his private life, having told us that he wa nted private life, having told us that he wanted to remain private, to show the public that his private life, which is no business of the public, is taken to be. though very still thatmental still very much private. is that clear? —— though still very much private. i just is that clear? —— though still very much private. ijust want is that clear? —— though still very much private. i just want to is that clear? —— though still very much private. ijust want to know where he got that shirt from. is that hair longer than it was on saturday? was the photograph taken earlier? conspiracy theories! there are now 25 democrats vying to take on president trump and this week the majority of them will square off
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in theirfirst debate. this weekend they had some warm up in south carolina at a famous fish fry. it was a chance to give voters their sales pitch in a state where african american ballots will be key. the bbc‘s aleem maqbool was there to hear about the politics and the food. they chant: 2020 biden! 2020 biden, 2020 biden! she has the plan for me! bernie's what democracy looks like! who will battle donald trump in 2020? this has become the big public event to really start the campaign to decide that, were almost all the democratic ——where almost all the democratic candidates appear to give one minute pitches to party voters, at a fish fry. we are very excited. one, we love fish. two, you know, we are undecided but we've got a nice core of people and we are excited to see them all. back to back to back to back to back. i am looking for someone who is really going to unite the party and to be perfectly honest with you, i want donald trump out. they came to hear who might be able
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to make that happen, but also get some of the famous fried fish before things got going. hello, south carolina! and so they all trooped out for their rapid—fire pitches. here's the deal. whoever the democratic nominee is, we have to stay together and elect a democrat president of the united states of america. the biggest cheers were reserved for the front runners, joe biden, elizabeth warren, and bernie sanders. let us defeat trump, let us transform this country. thank you all. and then 22 candidates stood shoulder to shoulder in a democratic show of unity. well, it's all been very genial tonight, very friendly, all of the candidates are up there on stage together. but with so many of them, and so much at stake for 2020,
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that's likely to change very soon. i agree that there's going to be differences, there is going to be contrasts, unquestionably. that is a natural part of the political process. what has been learned from 2016 and since on how to fight donald trump in an election? well, i don't know if the party has learned that lesson well enough, and that's what these primaries are going to dredge up. that will start in the first candidate debate in the coming days. but what the voters who came to this event think of it all? i really enjoyed it. you know, it was to the point, quick and to the point. let's sum it up. it was like a little entertainment. but we want a new president. we want somebody else. not everyone had a fun night. some didn't get their fish. i was in line for two hours. for an hour and a half. did the rest of it make up for it? i just came for the fish, to be honest.
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somebody find that man a fish! i would go to any political hustings in the world for fish and chips, i'll tell you. well, now that they are full of fish the candidates are off to miami, where twenty of them will battle it out on stage this wednesday and thursday. and will be there. —— we will be there. today bernie sanders tried to get a jump on the competition by announcing a plan which would wipe out all student debt — which stands at about one point six trillion dollars. joining us now is the bbc‘s north america reporter anthony zurcher. that's grabbing headlines today, but more broadly, how do these candidates stand out on stage when there are 20 of them and they've got something like a minute each to make that pitch? it's a real challenge was not there going to have to talk in sound bites and the ones with the simplest message are going to be able to break through. —— they are going to have to talk in sound
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bites. bernie sanders and joe biden are going to share the stage in the second debate, elizabeth warren is the biggest name in that first debate, it will be interesting to see if some of the other senators, cory booker or data or work can step up cory booker or data or work can step up and make a name for themselves and emerge from the pack there. —— cory booker or beto o'rourke. loads of policy all of a sudden, is that what is going to differentiate these candidates? 25 of them now in the coming weeks. i think what you see is candidates learning what works from other candidates, and elizabeth warren is really starting to pick up steam here and the reason she is doing that is she's been releasing a lot of detailed policies. she had a student loan forgiveness plan that she came up with a few months ago, not as broad as bernie sanders' but still substantive, she's also had ones on health care, the environment. her whole campaign is,
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i have a plan for that, that's her catchphrase. and a lot of candidates are looking at that saying, 0k, we will have to come up with plans, too. and that's why you see bernie sanders trying to get them back with his student loan forgiveness package. a lot of candidates aren't even household names. can they actually use this to make a dent in the polls? they're going to have to pick their moments during this debate. there are probably going to have to come in with some sort of aligner preparation that they think will be able to grab headlines and make them stand out. but without it seeming can. there are a lot of times and that big field republican debate last time around where you felt they tried a little too hard to get attention, to turn the phrase, sometimes i have to sense the flow of the debate and know when to strike. that takes political talent. i think there are people on the state you have that, who know how to do it, it'sjust a question of whether they can come through at the right moment. as ever, thank you for joining us. are you going to miami?
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absolutely. we both are. top team, here! flights booked, backpack, we are. “— here! flights booked, backpack, we are. —— we are off. the reigning champion usa are taking on spain in the knockout rounds of the world cup for a place in the quarter finals — where the winner will meet france. ——the reigning champion usa have beaten spain in the knockout rounds of the world cup for a place in the quarter finals — let's hope it is a more congenial affair that englands game yesterday against cameroon. fifa now says it is "looking into" cameroon‘s behaviour during that match. the usa very much the favourites, there are three. they are, but there will be a lot of question marks about their performance. this is really the first game where we saw the usa struggle. they have cruised through the group stages, they scored 18 goals, a record in this
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tournament, to get this far. so they we re tournament, to get this far. so they were so tournament, to get this far. so they were so clinical in the group stages but tonight, that win against spain, it was two goes from the penalty spot. spain really proved a bigger challenge than many people would have expected. they proved a question that the usa just couldn't quite find the answer to, megan rufino stepped up early on to score from the spot, you thought they would take off from there. —— megan rapinoe. but then there was a blunder defensively with the usa. visit one of their weaknesses, the goalkeeper and the backline, and didn't look good when spain equalised just a couple of minutes after the opening goal for the usa. and it took into the second half and a bit of controversy to be a worker that second penalty, megan rapinoe stepped up again, coolly slotted it home, but there will be question marks and hope perhaps for the france fans. because here on friday night we will finally have the
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blockbuster game we have all been anticipating, if these two teams we re anticipating, if these two teams were to get through to this point, you have the defending champions of against the hosts here in paris on friday night. exciting stuff! the usa is such a powerhouse of the team, though, they have done so much to raise the profile of football, or soccer as they call it here, in the us. how does this tournament promote women's football generally?” us. how does this tournament promote women's football generally? i think it's doing a very good job of it, i think there has been a massive increase in the amount of newspaper articles written, the amount of social media content around it, online content, i know there are records being broken all around the world in terms of viewership of the games here in france, there's been records broken for the hosts, for theirgames, records broken for the hosts, for their games, the usa traditionally have always been very strong supporters of the women's game,
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remember20 years ago, supporters of the women's game, remember 20 years ago, they had that landmark moment back in 1999, when they won on home soil and they've just got better and better since. i think in this tournament we are seeing a lot of the other nations catch up and we are seeing a lot more attention on the women's game. ple nty of more attention on the women's game. plenty of attention on some controversies, as well, a lot of talk about of course the reaction of some of the players yesterday. i suppose when you have criticism of that, you have a sport growing and being fully analysed, that can be thought of any good way as well. thank you, sarah, enjoy this we's games. iam not thank you, sarah, enjoy this we's games. i am not sure about the ar, in with a knot. i was looking forward to it to iron out the inconsistencies but i'm not sure you can celebrate properly. you go, yes, it's a goal, then you have to wait for var to decide whether it was offside or not. it takes a bit of the fun out of it. i don't know. well, it's proving devices, there you are.
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how do you choose your lottery numbers? ? if you are superstitious like me, its both the children's birthdays, wedding anniversary, door number, something from the car registration — works every time. that sounds incredibly complicated. why not choose the code to your suitcase, 0000? which is exactly what 2000 people do in north carolina. they all put down 0000 in the state's education lottery — and they all won. the 7.8 million dollar prize was the largestjackpot they had ever awarded. in case you are wondering, 7.8 million dollars divided by 2000, is a measely 4000 dollars. not to be sniffed at. i'll take it! not to be sniffed at, but i think if you've just won the jackpot, you're thinking holiday to barbados, you're not thinking, lp of the overdraft. $4000. —— you're not thinking, i'll pay off the overdraft.
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coming up for viewers on the bbc news channel and bbc world news — president trump's plan to deport families within the mac weeks. we'll be speaking to the director of ict. hello, there. it's been a very humid day across the whole country but noticeably across england and wales. as we head into tonight, it looks like we could see some severe weather moving up from the south across parts of england in particular, it's going to feel exceptionally humid. the humidity and the heat is being drawn up off the near continent, this weather front acting as a trigger mechanism to fire up the showers and thunderstorms and we will see one such area move in across eastern half of england as we head through the early hours of tuesday. there are weather warnings elsewhere, particularly for wales and north—west england where we could see some heavy rain, but this is where we will see the focus of the thunderstorms. it starts dry tonight but through the night, we see this area of rain move up from france initially into central and southern england and then across the south—east, and it will continue to move northwards into many other eastern
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parts of england as we start tuesday for a sting. parts of england as we start tuesday ——first thing. vivid colours indicating some torrential downpours which could rise to some flooding and there could be some frequent lightning, as well. very humid, temperatures 15—18. certainly a bit more comfortable across the north. through tuesday morning, we could see further disruption to travel with some standing water on the roads across parts of wales, central and northern england. eventually it should clear away but then we will see a chance of further showers and thunderstorms developing across the midlands and south words as temperatures rise into the high 20 celsius is high humidity. through the north, variable cloud and temperatures here in mid to upper teens celsius. as we head on into wednesday, this area of high pressure will bring a brief quiet spell and also a slightly cooler and fresher spell to the country. northerly winds, north—easterly winds across england and wales means it will feel fresher particularly across north sea coasts. variable cloud for england and wales but for scotland, northern ireland, the far north of england, we should see the best of the sunshine through the day. we could see 24 degrees in edinburgh, for example.
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23 further south but cooler by the east coast, like a mention. high pressure re—establishes itself towards the east of the country, starts to drag up very hot and humid air once again off the near continent, so temperatures are on the rise again as we end the week, with highs potentially into the low 30 celsius across some southern areas. so it's going to turn much hotter through the latter part of the week, more humid as well, risk of thunderstorms increases as we head on into the start of the weekend.
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this is beyond one hundred days. with mejane 0'brien in washington, christian fraser is in london. our top stories. president trump has imposed new sanctions on iran, targetting the supreme leader, ayatollah khamenei. the battle to be the next british prime minister — jeremy hunt calls his rival borisjohnson a coward for not agreeing to a live television debate. coming up in the next half hour. istanbul delivers a stinging election blow to turkey's president erdogan — the country's main opposition party has won the mayor's office in istanbul. and malan and cortina will hold the
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2026 winter olympics and paralympics. president donald trump has delayed for two weeks plans to round up and deport thousands of undocumented families. at the request of democrats, he tweeted saturday afternoon, i have delayed the illegal immigration removal process (deportation) for two weeks, to see if the democrats and republicans can get together and work out a solution to the asylum and loophole problems at the southern border. if not, deportations start!" the proposed raids were due to begin on sunday in more than a dozen cities. but trump is said to have reversed the decision after taking a call from democratic house leader nancy pelosi. if the democrats would change the asylum laws and the loopholes, which they refuse to do because they think it's good politics, everything would be solved immediately. but they refuse to do it. they refuse to do it. you know what? if they change...
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as i say, i used to say 45 minutes, it's 15 minutes. if they changed asylum and if they changed loopholes, everything on the border would be perfect. it is understood that officers from immigration customs and enforcement, otherwise known as ice, had also pushed for the raids to be delayed, worried their officers would be put at risk by the president's advance notice. i'm joined now byjohn sandweg, the former acting director of ice. thank you forjoining me. clearly immigration in the us as a intensely political subject but have you ever seen the threat of deportation and raids used in this fashion before? what is stunning about this as i have been involved in dozens of this type of operation. the cardinal rule is you never discuss them in advance, because of officer safety reasons and also because the people you're targeting will know you are
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coming and want to be there, so for the president to candidly for political purposes advertise an operation like this in advance really was stunning. what affect does it have on immigration officers themselves? the deportation raids in themselves? the deportation raids in themselves are nothing new but what does it do to them? there is a very small subset of the population that doesn't mind what is going on politically but for the vast majority, they signed up to be law enforcement officers, to promote public safety. 0n the emigration side of things. that means focusing on individuals who pose a threat to public safety. this is devastating for morale to be tossed around like about football. ice is a largely nonpolitical agency but it is law enforcement and it doesn't help them achieve their mission to be tossed around like this. it is fair to say thatice around like this. it is fair to say that ice has become shorthand for many on the democratic side about what is wrong with this administration's immigration policy and a lot of focus has been put on
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the separations at the border. what do you know about what is going on down there in terms of the children that have been separated from pa rents ? that have been separated from parents? it is really unfortunate and what is happening as we saw a dramatic shift that the us border beginning 2014 when it used to be primarily people from mexico sneaking into united states to work, very few are claiming asylum. today, 60% of them are families, parents with children primarily from central america. they surrender right away. the problem is we have not shifted out the problem is we have not shifted our approach and this administration continues with the security detention oriented approach trying to make a deterrent impact but in doing so what we end up doing is detaining children, sometimes with parents and sometimes without, in facilities that were not designed to house children, that were only designed to house adults for the very short term. it is not surprising when we hear about these horrible conditions in these facilities because they were never designed to be used in this way. so
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you have children sleeping on concrete floors, children looking after children, it sounds horrendous, but he keeps telling us that president 0bama did this and separated families. what is the truth about that? it is flatly wrong. the primary policy of the 0bama administration was family unity. we went so far as to let people back into united states who had no legal status simply so they could retain their children. it is very disturbing for somebody like me to hear him try to categorise this asa to hear him try to categorise this as a continuation of 0bama era policies when these are dramatically new policies. there is a suggestion that $4.5 billion in humanitarian aid may be approved by congress. we still don't know. what should that money be used for? ideally that should be used to surge resources into the adjudication of these asylu m into the adjudication of these asylum claims, into the adjudication judges who handle asylum claims as well as the officers of transport
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miners to foster facilities, in order to eliminate some of the terrible conditions we are seeing the children housed in right now, but also expedite the process. there is way to tackle the crisis and that is way to tackle the crisis and that is through the rule of law and providing fast adjudication, radically different approach to that the trump administration is taken. joe biden has published his plan for immigration today but he only references child separation at the border, not delving deeper into the fundamental problem of the numbers that are coming across. do you think one of these democratic candidates is going to have to find a better a nswer to is going to have to find a better answer to win over swing voters, who are legitimately concerned with immigration? it is difficult to say. the 0bama approach was the right one, a very aggressive approach at the border itself but a recognition that within the country, where we still have 11.5 million undocumented immigrants currently living in the united states, we need comprehensive
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reform. by doing that you can tackle the magnets that draw people in the first place but also hit the reset button so we can clean up the mistakes of the past. we are adequately resourced today from an enforcement perspective but i think it is tough for anybody running for president to kind of run on that platform since everybody knows that congress is frankly incapable of passing legislation. especially in an election year. thank you very much forjoining us. "whoever wins istanbul wins turkey." those were the words of the country's president erdogan. well, for the first time in a quarter of a century, turkey's biggest city, has elected the opposition candidate over the governing party. the vote was a re—run of march's election after president erdogan demanded a re—count. we spoke to mark lowen in istanbul just before we came on air. mark, whoever wins istanbul wins turkey, so said president erdogan. do we take from that than that mayor imamoglu could be a future leader?
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how president erdogan will rue those words. and yes, a lot of people will see ekrem imamoglu as a potential future presidential candidate. and i think that the election here in istanbul in some ways felt like a precursor of a future contest between mr imamoglu and president erdogan. that presidential election, the next one, is currently scheduled for 2023. but given the crushing defeat that mr erdogan has suffered, and given the fact that the knives are coming out within the governing ak party, the splits already deepening, there is talk of high—level figures splitting and forming their own political groupings which would haemorrhage support from recep tayyip erdogan. that election could be brought forward and then who knows? we might face a presidential contest between the new mayor of istanbul and president erdogan, and certainly at the moment, it feels like ekrem imamoglu has got the wind in his sails. he is on the trajectory upwards. turks like backing a winner, and at the moment, that feels
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as though ekrem imamoglu is heading in that direction. mark, do you think that this is going to provoke a stronger crackdown from mr erdogan in response, or is he likely to go down a route of perhaps offering some reforms? very hard to know, jane. this is a man who does not take defeat easily, which is why he ordered the rerun, or he wanted the rerun of the istanbul election in the first place, when they lost by a sliver back in march, just 13,000 votes. he could clamp down hard, of course, he is seen by critics as having been more authoritarian, more oppressive in recent years. or he will see this as a message from his electorate of punishment, that they want the government to address their concerns, economic concerns, concerns of real polarisation here. and perhaps he will change tack. the problem for president erdogan is that he has isolated himself ever more within the party,
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his inner circle is smaller and smaller. and so if he's going to change tack, it's pretty urgent and he has few allies at the very top left, and plenty of enemies, and politics can always be a cut—throat business, as you know where you are, jane. but here in turkey also, it is profoundly so. difficult times for mr erdogan. mark lowen in istanbul, thank you very much. just want to bring you an update on our top story, we have been telling you that new sanctions have been imposed on iran, this time on the office of the eye at all. we have had a treat in the past few minutes from the iran foreign minister who says, donald trump is 100% right that the us military has no business in the persian gulf. removal of its forces is fully in line with the interests of the united states in the world but it is now clear that the world but it is now clear that the bt must not concerned with us
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interests, the despise diplomacy and have a thirst for war. there are hawks in the administration taking a much tougher line with iran. he has said in the past that he thinks people likejohn said in the past that he thinks people like john bolton, said in the past that he thinks people likejohn bolton, the national security adviser, is encouraging the president in that direction. a very complex situation indeed. at the 620 meeting injapan later this week, the focus will be on president trump and his chinese counterpart, president xi jinping, as they try to defuse their ongoing trade war. president trump's enthusiasm for slapping tariffs on imports is seen by many as a major threat to prosperity around the world. it's having an impact across the us too. as part of the bbc‘s ‘global trade war‘ series, samira hussain has been to meet some small business owners in pennslyvania. the fortunes of york, pennsylvania were built on manufacturing. heavy industry remains essential to the local economy.
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and it is communities like these that acutely feel the impact of president trump's trade wars. bob wilson's business is selling electrical wire and cable. it has been hit by duties on the material it buys overseas and the finished product he sells to his customers. plans to hire two new full—time staff have been put on hold. not knowing what the future is going to hold, those plans have since been put on the shelf. up until last year, bob wilson was a card—carrying republican. he says the party has forgotten its pro—trade roots. we really trulyjust don't know what's going to be happening. it seems to be changes from day to day depending on a tweet. the uncertainty is particularly difficult for small companies to weather, but york is also home to some big manufacturers who have already said they been badly hurt by tariffs. so what our businesses are really
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looking forward to be successful is a stable, predictable business landscape. they are not looking for drastic policy changes, they are not looking for uncertainty. just down the road from bob's business, sparks are flying at the sheet metal company. despite the fact that the cost of tom's raw materials has gone up, he remains steadfast in his support for president trump. rome wasn't built in a day. things don't change overnight. and we have not been on a level playing field for years. and the man down in washington, dc, you know, he is what he is. but i think he... i think is starting in the right direction. as well as america's manufacturing base, places like york also make up president trump's electoral base and will be key in the next election. america's industrial heartland gave president trump his first term in office, and although there are those that believe these trade disputes are hurting the us economy, mr trump is betting it will win him
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enough support from small companies and will give him another four years in the white house. and it is the 620 summit at the end of the week, plenty to watch and that, meetings with possibly that of everton. —— vladimir putin. politics in the united states is so polarised that meaningful dialogue between the two sides is now rare. the partisan nature of the system leaves little incentive for either party to cooperate with the other on legislation. the result — gridlock, and very often, something more unpleasant. a key driver behind this is the suspicion and distrust that exists between the two sides, democrat and republican. a new study reveals how either side perceives the other, suggesting that republicans and democrats may disagree on less than they think. daniel yudkin, an author
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of the study, is an associate director of research at more in common. he joins us now from new york. thank you very much forjoining us. it is fascinating stuff, that both parties overestimate the number of people on the other party who hold extreme views by almost double. that is quite something. why is it so bad right now? why is it so bad? one thing that is happening is that what we have our extreme voices on both sides that tend to capture the majority of the airwaves. people are more active on social media on traditional media and the most extreme sources get amplified in a way that leads both sides to imagine that the voices they are hearing from the other side represent the views of the entire party. both
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democrats and republicans, but the reality is that is not the case. and what is fascinating is that the perception gap was worse for democrats the more educated they we re democrats the more educated they were but that wasn't the case for republicans? that is right. just to give you some background, what my organisation did was to conduct a la st organisation did was to conduct a last scale survey of american adults and what we did was ask them to sets of questions. first, what they themselves thought about a variety of topics affecting america from immigration to gun—control and climate change and then ask them what they thought the other side believed on those same topics. what we call the perception gap is the difference between perception and reality from both sides. with regards to the question about education we find that, for example, democrats, as they get more educated, seem to have a worse understanding of what republicans actually believe. among democrats,
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people whojust actually believe. among democrats, people who just graduated actually believe. among democrats, people whojust graduated high school have a more accurate perception of what republicans believe than people with a postgraduate degree, but the same is not true among republicans who seem to have a similar amount of misperception regardless of their level of educational attainment. one of the most disturbing thing about your research, to me, is the fact that politics and character have now become inextricably linked. how dangerous is it when you have people's political views becoming a statement of their virtue or moral failings? that is right. what we see isa failings? that is right. what we see is a vicious cycle that where people come to have greater misperceptions of the other side, they are also more and more likely to call them hateful and brainwashed indignant. what that can do is lead to a cycle in which, as people come to impugn the characters of the other side, they are less willing to have a
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conversation. they are more willing to missa conversation. they are more willing to miss a tribute what they say to evil intentions and so the cycle goes. that is a really dangerous dynamic of polarisation in america and it is stopping politicians and regular americans of moving forward on issues that affect everybody. thank you very much indeed for joining us. that is absolutely true. how do you move forward? how do you get beyond this? i can tell you that a friend of mine organised a dinner party and the idea was to get republicans talking to democrats and it worked perfectly well until coffee. everybody had perfectly civilised conversations but as soon as coffee was served everybody got up as coffee was served everybody got up to say goodbye. they separated again and you had democrats on one side saying, did you hear what that republican just said? and vice ve rsa . republican just said? and vice versa. very little long-term impact. do you think it is more pronounced since we had social media because you amplify what you think because
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everybody exists within their social media bubble? yes cuff cough and virtue signalling as well. you have to be outraged to show you are better than somebody else. this is 100 days, still to come. the cat makes a lucky mistake after catching a longer ride than planned. nhs england is to open its first gambling addiction clinic for children and young adults. the service will support people aged 13 to 25 years old. it comes after research by the gambling commission found more than 50,000 children have a gambling problem. lauren moss has more. 18 months ago, whenjack was 24, heated his own life while on a year he took his own life while on a year in vietnam after losing money on a bet. he started gambling in sheffield with his friends when he
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was 17. but it was a habit that spiralled into addiction. they didn't think it was unsafe, he didn't think it was unsafe. and i think he feltin the end that it controlled him, and that's where he died, really. because he felt he would never be free of it. jack's parents now run a charity to support otherfamilies. they are welcoming the news that a clinic for teenagers and young people with gambling problems will open in london later this year in what has been until now an adult and the service. it's estimated 450,000 children are regularly betting, more than those who drink alcohol, smoke or take drugs. and many have a gambling problem. i've dedicated my life to treating adult problems gamblers, and that has been sad enough, seeing the destruction that these people have incurred. having said this, many of my adult patients were already children with problem gambling issues. from september, treatment sessions will be offered
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to children alongside their parents and also focus on mental health difficulties relating to gambling. another adult clinic will open in leeds later this year, and others are planned for manchester and sunderland. it's hoped they will offer support to those who need it the most before what nhs bosses have described as the scourge of problem gambling ruins more lives. the italian city of milan has been chosen to host the 2026 winter olympics after a vote by international olympic committee members. it beat stockholm — the only other candidate. four other contenders dropped out earlier in the race with concerns over the event's size and cost. delighted members of the winning delegation shouted "italia, italia" as the 2026 decision was announced.
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skating sports and ice hockey will be staged in milan, while most alpine skiing events will take place in the resort of cortina. 0ther snow sports will be held in other venues in the italian alps, including bormio and livigno. joining us now is professor victor matheson, a professor of sports economics at the college of the holy cross in massachusetts. 6ood good to see you. this is rather interesting because the italian bid for the 2020 summer games in rome ended amid financial concerns in 2012. their bid for the 2024 0lympics ended three years ago because of opposition from politicians, so what has changed? why did they want this? at least in part, the amount of money that they are putting up for this winter olympics is a maybe ridiculously small, small will be a weird word here, but the budget is only for
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about $1.7 billion. if we compare that to recent winter olympics, that isa that to recent winter olympics, that is a fraction of the cost of what was being considered for example in pyongyang and south korea, a $13 billion games and much less than was considered for the summer olympics in rome. whether they can stick to $1.7 billion, that is a whole separate question, but the total amounts are much more than talked about before. it does seem that there is a distinct lack of interest from cities around the world in the olympics now. do you think we are seeing the beginning of the end of the grand olympics practical, simply because people can't afford it?|j think we are definitely looking at the end of taxpayers being willing to put up unlimited amounts of money just so the ioc can throw a big party for themselves. there is no
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democratic country in the world whose taxpayers are willing to put up whose taxpayers are willing to put up $51 billion that it costs for the olympics or the 45 billion for the beijing olympics and that is why we have seen city after city drop out of the bidding. so are we likely to see a move to split hosting, so you will have two countries with close borders who host together? that certainly is a possibility. we have seen this already with fifa for the world cup. we saw the world cup in the united states, mexico and canada are being done at least in part to spread out the costs of hosting, so we will see some of that but again, if you can spread out the venue is among a handful of cities, that puts any individual city on the hook a lot less for those huge infrastructure costs and the infrastructure costs and the infrastructure costs and the infrastructure costs for things like hotels and transportation. very interesting, thank you very much
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indeed. we wish malan all the best. interesting that a lot of resorts cannot hold them now because they are too low. climate change. climate change. before we go. before we go, we have the tale of a very fortunate cat from brighton. one—year—old chi had slid under the bonnet of a car next door to her owner's home and was then unwittingly transported 40 miles, unbeknown to the driver. the engine was purring — but there stuck in the compartment under the bonnet was chi, hanging on for dear life. the car's grill had to be removed, and luckily, chi was rescued and treated for burns. we're pleased to report she's expected to make a full recovery and still has eight lives left.
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a very well travelled cat. tha nkfully a very well travelled cat. thankfully she is ok. we will be back to the same time tomorrow before the trip to miami. see you then. it has been a humid day across the whole country but noticeably across england and wales as we head into tonight and could see some severe weather moving up from the south across parts of england in particular. exceptionally humid. the humidity and heat being drawn up of the main continent, this weather front acting as a trigger mechanism to fire up showers and thunderstorms and we see one such area move in across the eastern half of england as we head through the early hours of tuesday. other warnings elsewhere with heavy rain but this is where we see the focus of the thunderstorms. it starts dry tonight but through the night this area of rain moving up the night this area of rain moving up from france into central and southern england and then across the
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south—east. continuing northwards and to many other eastern parts as we start tuesday first thing. vivid colours indicating torrential downpours which could give rise to some flooding and some frequent lightning as well. very humid with the temperature 15—18. sunday a bit more comfortable across the north. through tuesday morning we see further disruption to travel with standing water on the roads across parts of wales, central and northern england. clearing away any chance of further showers and thunderstorms across the midlands as the temperature rises into the high 20s with high humidity. further north variable cloud and the temperature in the upper teens. into wednesday, this area of high pressure brings a brief quiet spell and a fresher speu brief quiet spell and a fresher spell to the country. northerly and north—easterly winds across england and wales means it feels fresher. variable cloud and for scotland and northern ireland in the far north of england we should see the best of
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the sunshine through the day. 24 celsius in edinburgh. 23 further south but cooler for the east coast. high pressure re—establishes itself, dragging up very hot and humid air once again so the temperature is on the rise again as we end the week with highs potentially into the low 30s. 6oing with highs potentially into the low 30s. going to turn much hotter through the latter part of the week, humid as well with the risk of thunderstorms increasing as we head into the start of the weekend.
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this is bbc news. the headlines at eight: jeremy hunt tells his fellow conservative leadership candidate borisjohnson to conservative leadership candidate boris johnson to man conservative leadership candidate borisjohnson to man up and face him inatv borisjohnson to man up and face him in a tv debate this week. the conservative party will start to feel cheated of having a proper leadership campaign if the frontrunner isn't prepared to subject himself to the scrutiny of tv debates and the scrutiny of media interviews. president trump imposes new sanctions against iran as tensions continue to rise between the two countries. we will continue to increase pressure on tehran until the regime abandons its dangerous activities and aspirations. a man is sentenced to life in prison for pushing one man onto the tracks of 01:01:01,197 --> 4294966103:13:29,430 the london underground and trying to
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