throughout this campaign i am not a politician. i am a loony and i am an official loony. but i am delighted to have been part of this process and hopefully i have engaged a few people who would not normally have voted to come out and vote in their selection. cheering there is one. that was always my aim. to engage other people in the political process. quickly i will say that all these people, whatever their politics, are absolutely lovely... this is bbc news live from mid wales. we had a crucial electoral test for the new uk prime minister, borisjensen. a win here in wales for the liberal democrats in a coalition, a pro remain... a coalition, a pro remain... a coalition intended to support remaining in the eu. and anti— brexit coalition. a win for the liberal democrats over the

conservatives. they have a majority of 1400 conservatives. they have a majority of moo in this seat overturning a conservative majority ofjust over eight thousand in the 2017 election. this is a by—election in between general elections and it means that the new uk government of boris johnson has a working majority of one and that has implications for him and possibly for brexit. one and that has implications for him and possibly for brexitm should be said he took office with a working majority of two, including the confidence and supply partners, the confidence and supply partners, the dup. they were hoping they could hang on here or at least keep the majority of the lib dems down. what is crucial here is the turnout was big. just under 60% and this constituency, geographically the largest in wales and england, was divided vote ways in much the same way as the rest of the uk on the 2016 referendum, voting in similar proportions. this constituency is being seen as a bellwether for brexit and the political climate in the uk as a whole. here in this

county, 53.7 of those who voted chose leave in the referendum and in the most recent —— recent european election, brexit top the poles. interesting as well that the green party and the national ‘s, plaid cymru, asked their supporters to support the lib democrats. they have taken a seat from the conservatives with a majority of 1400, overturning a conservative majority of over 8000. i think we can now hearfrom the victorious liberal democrat candidate. i am incredibly humbled by your support, from every walk of life and every political persuasion, people have chosen to believe in my positive liberal vision for something better. and by supporting

that liberal vision, people in this electorate have sent a powerful message to westminster. we demand better. welsh farmers and small business owners facing a no deal brexit demand better. working families, working families relying on food banks to feed their children demand better. young people who see politicians failing to tackle the climate emergency demand better. the message to all of you from me and oui’ message to all of you from me and our new leader, joe swinson, is that

you can have better. better with the liberal democrats. this victory must bea liberal democrats. this victory must be a containing point, notjust for oui’ be a containing point, notjust for our communities here in brecon and radnor share. but for the whole country as well. people are desperately crying out for a different kind of politics. there is no time for tribalism. in our country, we are faced with a boris johnson government and a threat of a no deal brexit. so my very first act as yourmp, when no deal brexit. so my very first act as your mp, when i arrive in westminster will be to find mr boris johnson, wherever he is hiding, and tell him loud and clear stop playing

with the future of our communities and rule out a no deal brexit now. applause this is a time when people who share liberal values must work together. which is why i want to thank the green party and plaid cymru for their courageous decision to support me this time. the trust and responsibility i now carry to represent every person and every community across mac three is immense. it is an enormous privilege to follow in the footsteps —— every community across mac three. —— across brecon and radnorshire. as

i take —— across brecon and radnorshire. as itake on —— across brecon and radnorshire. as i take on this challenger look to who have come before me. i think the police, the returning officer and her staff for conducting such a smooth count this evening. i think my talented campaign team, my agent. i think rosie, and helen and literally thousands of campaigners who have come from every part of the country to support me. i would also like to thank my husband patrick and my sister and family for their support. lastly, iwant my sister and family for their support. lastly, i want to thank the people of brecon and radnorshire. i look forward to working with every single one of you, to give our rural

areas back their voice in westminster. let's get to work. speaks welsh and that was the victorious candidate for the liberal democrats. they have taken that seat from the conservatives, overturning a conservative majority of over eight thousand, and that is the first electoral test for the new prime minister, borisjohnson, and it does change the political arithmetic back in the house of commons in london. let's cross now to our political correspondence. a significant result. it certainly is. it was a seat that the conservatives did not wa nt to seat that the conservatives did not want to lose because, as you say, it cuts boris johnson's want to lose because, as you say, it cuts borisjohnson‘s majority in the house of commons from two to one. and even narrower margin now for him to try and get any legislation through when it comes to the current later on this year and he tries to

stick to that promise of delivering brexit by october 31 with or without a deal. this was a hardfought victory for the liberal democrats who threw everything at this campaign and it was a narrow win but they don't think that will matter much to them or to the tories who in second place lost the selection and lost a seat in the house of commons for borisjohnson‘s covenant. the lib dems will, in the coming days say that this shows they are a party on the upper. they will claim they can cut through with an uncompromising stop exit message —— stop brexit message and on the basis of remaining on the eu which was the dominant issue here in this rural pa rt dominant issue here in this rural part of wales, and when. it will be interesting to see what the lib dems do with another mp in the house of commons, how they build on the momentum they have at the moment after a few weeks ago some very

strong results for them in the european parliament elections. they have shown they can win seats in the house of commons with their anti— brexit message. but they did hold back from going all out in the campaign here in brecon and radnorshire on that message. the talk was of having another public referendum and not necessarily of stopping brexit at any cost. it is finally balanced here between leave and remain and going all out on a stop brexit message may have cost them votes. that it is victory for them votes. that it is victory for the liberal democrats and defeat ear for the conservatives and the end of a political career for chris davis, the mp who was stripped of his seat after submitting all sixpence claims, convicted in court for doing that, found realty and yet given the chance to his local party to fight and win his seat again. —— found guilty. he lost his chance and lost

his seat in parliament and the liberal democrats are now one of.|j suppose boris johnson liberal democrats are now one of.|j suppose borisjohnson may say liberal democrats are now one of.|j suppose boris johnson may say that yes, the conservatives have seen a majority of over 8000 overturned and thatis majority of over 8000 overturned and that is not good, but he came to power with a working majority of two. is it that much harder to govern with a working majority of one? the reality is it makes very little difference. it is already all but impossible for borisjohnson to command a reliable majority in the house of commons to get enough mps to vote his way to get anything done. withjust a majority to vote his way to get anything done. with just a majority of two. and cutting that down to one, it makes it harder but it was already all but impossible in the first place. it is more of a symbolic loss and an uncomfortable victory and one i don't think we will hear boris johnson go out of his way to talk about at all in the coming days and weeks. just one week into his time at number 10 downing st it is not a

validation, it is not a show of support for his message on brexit which is that he wants to take the uk out of the eu by the current deadline of october 31 with or without a deal. he would like to be able to come here tomorrow after a victory and say this is what the people want, you voted in accordance with that and that is what we will deliver. and cannot do that because the conservatives have lost this seat and the liberal democrats have taken it from them. in parliament, as you suggest, his hands were already tired and they are tied a little bit tighter now, having lost one more mp. just in case people have joined us and wonder why we're spending time in wales, beautiful as it is, it is significant for many reasons, partly because geographically this is the biggest constituency in wales and england and this area, this area voted much in the same proportion as the uk as a whole did in the 2016 referendum.

in this area, the greens and the nationalists, plaid cymru, came together with the liberal democrats together with the liberal democrats to create a pro—eu devote —— vote to defeat the conservatives. that remain alliance would have the atley come into play because the other parties who are on the remain side of the brexit debate agreed not to stand in this election. so plaid cymru, the welsh nationalist party, and also the green party who would have campaigned on an anti— brexit message as well as other issues, they agreed to step aside and let they agreed to step aside and let the lib dems take charge on that side of the argument. so votes that would have gone to those other parties likely came to the liberal democrats and allow them to take this seat with, let's remember, a narrow margin of victory. and the conservatives, perhaps, they were on the back foot as a result of that

from the start. they were the ones campaigning very much in favour of brexit and delivering brexit and they have seen their vote dented partly, not the big way but a small but significant way, by the brexit party who stood a candidate here who finished in a distant third place. but those 3000 or so votes, if they had gone to the conservatives, would have meant that the tories would have meant that the tories would have held onto the seat. so the brexit party will be pleased with their third—place result, albion distant because it even shows with a new leader very much in favour of delivering brexit, come what may do ordie, holding delivering brexit, come what may do or die, holding out no deal is a serious and realistic prospect, even with boris johnson in serious and realistic prospect, even with borisjohnson in charge, the brexit party can still win votes. they will take that forward and they will stand candidates elsewhere in a general election whenever we see that. but the way the parties on the remain side of the debate work

together he was clearly a factor in the result. and briefly, i might have missed this, labour, the party held this seat to 1979. yes. this seat has changed hands a few times over the last few elections. the last time there was a by—election here in 1985 at the height of margaret thatcher's conservative government it was a victory for the liberal sdp alliance. so perhaps history is repeating itself in a way although with a different political backdrop nationally and the parties in very different places to the liberal democrats will be pleased to win this back because it is not been traditionally a rocksolid conservative seed and it has been one that has been up for grabs. they have shown that even with the conservatives fielding a local candidate, a local man who many people and much of his party members know and support and like this part

of wales, the liberal democrats were able to win it from them. thank you very much indeed. much more of course on that any time for you on the bbc website. all the results and the bbc website. all the results and the breakdown of those result are up there now. let's ta ke let's take you back to the stove in the midst of, more than 6000 people have been told to leave their homes in the town of whaley bridge on the north—west of england. it is because heavy rain has caused part of a nearby dam to collapse and local people are gathered at a local school and there are fears the dam could burst causing water from the reservoir to engulf the town. the environment agency has warned there isa environment agency has warned there is a danger to life. in a moment of working out from our correspondence. first, we are going to chapel with some of those evacuated. in an emergency, comforting hand reassurance for those in disbelief at being displaced. a whole

community affected, just an urgency to get to safety as quickly as possible. this is the danger they are running from. the damage has protected their town vanilla 200 yea rs, protected their town vanilla 200 years, tonight dangerously close to collapsing. whaley bridge now looks like a ghost town. people asked to leave their homes and businesses and get out of the area. i left my shift and drove back down whaley bridge to go home and police stopped me and said you cannot go into the village. isaid, i'm said you cannot go into the village. i said, i'm a resident. said you cannot go into the village. isaid, i'm a resident. i need to get into get he said no, and i said my partners at home with the dog. he said bring him and tell him to get up. you can't risk it, can you really? if someone —— we will all be getting wet. here is the reason.

intense rain yesterday caused a torrent of water to overflow the dam. damage was caused to its concrete panels, today fears grew that the whole structure may not hold. sandbags have been put along the top of the reservoir to try to stop it overflowing again. there are just in the village to be installed and reduce the flow but is also diversions at the top to avoid further what are going to the reservoir. there is a severe weather warning this evening so we're all working flat out to try and ensure that we can avert any crises. the emergency services have set up a command centre in nearby chapel. accommodation has been offered to thousands of people who are preparing to spend the night away from home. we've taken over evacuating whaley bridge and have done a superb job. evacuating whaley bridge and have

done a superbjob. got evacuating whaley bridge and have done a superb job. got about 85% of the people out already, this already one or two people that don't want to live, and they‘ re one or two people that don't want to live, and they're refusing to leave. so, we know where they are if there isa so, we know where they are if there is a problem. there is relief but eve ryo ne is a problem. there is relief but everyone has been contacted and given the chance to get away. but anxiety to as the rain continues to fall. the realisation that a local beauty spot suddenly poses a real mortal danger. it was built in 1831 and it is a construction that we just don't bill today. the region has had a months worth of rain in a week and it has been funnelled into the reservoir from the peaks and the moors. it can hold 1 million cubic metres of water and there are safety mechanisms to get rid of the access, like this concrete spillway which allows water to escape safely. but you can clearly see part of this has

collapsed. at one possibility is at the water is pushing through from underneath, cracking the concrete slabs. the soil is exposed, you can clearly see it on the problem is the damages to the top the dam, and there would be a major problem if it started to spill over. this sandbags have in place the as an extra precaution. the key thing now is to lower the water in the reservoir channels that diverted away and plug the valve that drainage quickly. the weather in the coming hours will be critical. this update from whaley bridge from a correspondence, annabel. there's an eerie feeling in bridge night, it is like a ghost town, all six and a half thousand residents have been evacuated after that threat to life warning was issued by the environment agency earlier. the top reservoir which we are talking about is about a ten minute walk from here. if that reservoir was to go, it would have a

catastrophic effect on this small w community. 1.2 million tons of water would come crashing down into the town. the rivers and canals trust which owns the reservoir says that breaches a real possibility. crews and emergency crews have been here all day. they're going to stay there at the knights ofjust all day. they're going to stay there at the knights of just trying all day. they're going to stay there at the knights ofjust trying pump away as much of the water as they possibly can. as with her, there has been heavy rain all day, it is going to rain again tonight. crews from israeli areas have come to join the effort that i did speak to local people, police and the environment agency and there is a low — make a real fear agency and there is a low — make a realfear in the agency and there is a low — make a real fear in the town tonight that something dreadful could be happening. annabel tiffin there from whaley bridge. there is much more analysis and lab reports on the bbc website. that includes the latest assessment by emergency services and local officials at our website. the

bank of england has cut its forecast for uk growth over the next two yea rs was for uk growth over the next two years was stopped it is also warned that a no deal brexit, the scenario where the uk leaves the european union with no agreement, would hit the economy harder and trigger a further drop in the value of the pound. there was some good use of a household, the bank of england said thejobs household, the bank of england said the jobs market and wages household, the bank of england said thejobs market and wages remain strong. the chancellor has announced more than £2 billion of extra funding for nodal preparations, the economics editor has been going through the numbers. i dispel family firm that rents at this kit to the construction industry expose why no—one can see to clearly ahead. this business has great potential and we are wary to invest too much into it. in case you've taken more

than we can deal with. i think if there was more knowledge about exactly what would happen with brexit, that would help me. christina says she can no longer absorb the shop falls in the powder will have to raise prices in our familiar picture for the bank of england. the governor presented a mixed assessment at its quarterly health check. the brexit fog, meaning base rates could go in any direction. it is not a simple as saying that in the event of no deal, there's just one path that monetary policy could take because no deal would vary unusually, foreign economic shock be an instantaneous shock not just to economic shock be an instantaneous shock notjust to demand, which is what everyone is used to seeing, but a shock to supply. the bank believes the business investment has been held back by a slowing in global growth, one of brexit factors such as car factory shutdowns and the

rising chance of a no deal brexit. economy grew by 0.5% in the first three months boosted by stockpiling. then it was expected to be 0.2% growth for the next three months but the bank now thinks that that will be zero. the current prediction, by the bank for the third quarter of 0.3%, if correct, would make it a slow six months —— the slowest six—month for the financial economy. that assumes that with a brexit deal the ukjust that assumes that with a brexit deal the uk just avoids that assumes that with a brexit deal the ukjust avoids recession but the bank says the chances of one up at the highest since the eu referendum. you could almost sense the frustration from the governor are just at the moment when things are looking little brighter, when some of the decades long clouds from the financial crisis are finally beginning to lift with record employment and rising pay packets, that new ones have arrived. weighing down the economy and stirling. and

the black message to the new residents of number ten as number 11, the way to banish these new clouds is not a no deal brexit. do or die. the new chancellor of the exchequer visiting tilbury docks with the home secretary has made £2 billion available and exist —— addition to the existing £4 billion to ports, customs and for emergency very capacity. to help prepare for leaving the eu. without a deal. since i've arrived at the treasury, i have turbocharged our preparations both the treasury and hopping across government, to prepare for no deal. some have argued that the certainty of no deal can clear the way of the economy, the governor says that's wrong. he is preparing his own technical assessment next month. a reminder of the top story, a significant political moment in the uk force of the governing conservative party has just lost the british by—election to the liberal democrat party. the result reduces

the new pub minister borisjohnson ‘s parliamentary majority to just one per european alliance, liberal democrats, overturned a conservative majority of more than 8000. much more on that and all the news on the bbc website for you. any time and we are going to taking out to the weather. hello. well, the good news is that it's fairly quiet on the weather front but not completely because we are expecting a few showers to develop on friday across some northern parts of the country and that does include derbyshire. the good news is the chance of any heavy rain falling in the vicinity of that reservoir where the environment agency has a severe flood warning, well, the chance of any further rainfall is very, very low and it is looking like it's going to be a mostly sunny day so some good news there, as i say, at least on the weather front. not necessarily with the situation there. the forecast or the satellite

pictures shows we are in between weather systems so clear skies across western and central areas. towards the east by the early hours of friday morning, we will probably have some thicker cloud so that means anywhere from aberdeenshire all the way down into east anglia, the weather is looking pretty cloudy first thing whereas in the west, i think sunshine pretty much from the word go. mild morning. 15, 16 degrees across the south of the uk. here is the forecast for the rest of the morning. so a lot of sunshine. that cloud in the east should disperse and give a sunny day for places like hull and newcastle and a few showers there developing across scotland, northern parts of england, maybe one or two in the midlands, wales, and the south—west. the further east and south you are, i think you are in for a dry day. 25 in london. now, how about the cricket, the ashes? it's looking sunny, at least for the most part. at least bright, with temperatures in the low 20s, just the outside chance of one of those showers developing during the course

of the afternoon. so that was friday. let's have a look at the weekend now and low pressure out there in the atlantic and a weather front heading our way. that does mean things are going to cloud over and turn, for some of us, at least wet through the course of the weekend. not immediately so. in fact, on saturday, a lot of bright weather around across england but notice in the west here, got increasing amounts of cloud and also some spits and spots of rain. a warm day, 25 in london, 20 newcastle. and then as we go into sunday, it looks as though those weather fronts will be approaching, wedging a little bit closer so that does spell some rain for north—western areas and the thinking is that in scotland and northern england, during the course of the afternoon, and that does include areas a little bit further south into derbyshire, we could see some heavy, thundery showers developing. in the south of the country, it should be dry and very warm, temperatures maybe as high as 28 in london. bye— bye.

a warm welcome to bbc news. my name is mike embley. our top stories. for the new british prime minister. his parliamentary majority is reduced to just one in the house of commons. stop playing with the future of our communities and rule out a no deal brexit now! president trump imposes more tariffs on china and threatens they will go higher if trade talks break down. silence we have a story