johnson would calla that borisjohnson would calla rapid that borisjohnson would call a rapid general election on october the 14th if tory and opposition mps succeed in outlawing a new deal brexit in parliament this week, what do you make of that? that is the intended threat of what he's seeing which is remarkable because he is trying to reinstall a vote of confidence on specific issue that the fixed term turned really outlawed because it says a vote of confidence can only be a vote of confidence, it cannot be attached to anything else. that stopped to these anaemic her deal. if you go back to 1972, edward heath got us into europe in the first place by seeing two mps, if you do not vote for the bill, i will seek a bill, i dissolution. he got the second reading through by eight votes. borisjohnson is sent to his party, if you do not support my position on

leaving on october the 31st, i was sick general election. in terms of what mps opposed to a no—deal brexit are preparing, it had dispelled their time to get through the commons, the think they could get it through? do you think government could stop it in the lords on ignore that legislation, as it is by parliament? it is impossible to make a prediction. it is more difficult paradoxically to get it through the lords because the lords is far more strongly for running on the commons but it is much more difficult for the speaker to control the timetable. he can propose that a speaker be no longer heard but that is very rarely done so it would not be easy. if this legislation is passed, boris has said i am not going to seek an extension. i am pretty sure he does not mean he is

going to break the law. what he would do is seek a dissolution and let the british public decide. there was a suggestion the government might ignore this legislation if it is passed, as the constitutional precedent for that? it is to that michael gove give that impression, perhaps he regrets giving that impression but of course the law applies to the government as much as it does to the rest of us so there is no way the government can ignore a law passed by parliament so boris has said do not expect me to carry it out, i would to get to the public to decide. and obviously if he lost his majority, that would be what happened but if he won, he would immediately appeal the bill. happened but if he won, he would immediately appealthe bill. good happened but if he won, he would immediately appeal the bill. good to talk to you, thank you as ever for your thoughts on this momentous political day and what is bound to

bea political day and what is bound to be a momentous political beat to sphere to stay. that is get the thoughts of nigel nelson. —— political week. what is your reaction to what the prime minister said outside downing street this evening? i think we are heading for the general election. assuming that the general election. assuming that the rebel alliance have the numbers to actually get things through, i think the only option he has got is go straight to general election. he would have that sinoti could so i suppose we are looking at october the 14th. tony blair was saying that an election would be an elephant trap for labour, how do you see that? tony blair has a good point there. one of the ways of stopping a no—deal brexit would be simply under the fixed term for two thirds of mps

to say i do not want an election. on that basis, borisjohnson could not go ahead. if they wanted to guarantee a new deal, that is the way to go. however, opposition parties cannot go around rejecting an election. labour have been calling for an election for two yea rs. to calling for an election for two years. to turn around now and say we do not want one, which putjeremy corbyn in a difficult position. in terms of, the rebel alliance as you call it, they publish this bill, it will seek a three—month extension u nless will seek a three—month extension unless there is ideal to brexit, do you think they have the numbers to get it through? i think it will be tight. obviously they would not be going ahead unless they thought they had the numbers. assuming you get enough rebel tories on state, the indications are you well. boris johnson only has a majority of one and on that basis, they can get the

numbers. a lot of talk about possibly trying to stop that bill in the lords by talking it out or appointing new peers, what you think? there are also possibilities there. i would think? there are also possibilities there. iwould be think? there are also possibilities there. i would be surprised if you had an influx of hundreds of new peers to try and stop the bill that way. talking out is certainly the most likely thing they would do. you can then see the house of lords sitting not only just can then see the house of lords sitting not onlyjust threw can then see the house of lords sitting not only just threw this week but until the weekend. from boris johnson's week but until the weekend. from borisjohnson's point of view, this isa borisjohnson's point of view, this is a huge political gamble really whatever he does next, this is a job he wanted all his life we are told, this is very high stakes next few days? it is high stakes but right from the start he knew that. only indications i get from downing street is the new people have moved on and reckoned it is go for broke.

they knew and it took the jobs they might not be there in a couple of months so basically they also know it isa months so basically they also know it is a huge gamble but they go for it, if they get this through and boris johnson's entire premiership depends on getting brexit done by october 31. if they get it through, they have jobs for a very long time but if they don't, they understand they will be out. it started as high sta kes they will be out. it started as high stakes and i think someone like borisjohnson will have to play for the high stakes possible. nigel, thank you for being with us. the political editor of the sunday mirror. we will have a pause now. much more on the top of the error but let us have a look at the weather. hello there. a quick word on the hijacking.

touring has spent most of the day across the bahamas. —— on the hurricane. peak winds have come down a few miles an hour but damage has been done and we expect it to be catastrophic. it is incredibly powerful. back to our weather, england and wales started the day with sunshine, quite a few showers for some others. quite a lot wetter further north. wet weather pushing in across north wales and into the north midlands, northern ireland and scotland. underneath the band to quys scotland. underneath the band to guys look like this... risk when setting the coastline as well as the rain. overnight, the rain eases off but there will be pulses of rain across northern ireland and into the south—west of scotland and north—west england and wales. some

of the cloud could be low over the hills. overnight, ten to 13 degrees foremost hills. overnight, ten to 13 degrees fore m ost by hills. overnight, ten to 13 degrees foremost by chilly in the far north of scotland. into tuesday, most of us of scotland. into tuesday, most of us will have a cloudy start to the day but occasionally brighter for north—east scotland and shetland has morning sunshine. it will brighten up morning sunshine. it will brighten up in central and eastern england but otherwise cloudy. in western areas, the cloud could be taken up for rain anywhere. the afternoon sees more persistent rain in northern ireland and scotland, turning damp across north—west england and wales. the rain is associated with this weather front which will slide eastwards. another occluded front coming into the north on wednesday, both bringing cooler air. men to start the day on wednesday, said his dangling creating then some sunshine, some sunshine in the west. for karina across scotland and northern ireland. behind that ear turns

chilly. temperatures around 12 celsius in aberdeen. it will be a chilly of day but drive for many of us as we chilly of day but drive for many of us as we head into thursday. temperatures up to 19 in london.

you're watching beyond one hundred days. borisjohnson says, back me or prepare for an election. the prime minister puts tory rebels on notice. if they vote against him this week he will consider it a vote of no confidence in the government's brexit negotiations. his warning echoed earlier ones — if you won't side with me on this future negotiations with the eu will be made impossible. there are no circumstances in which i will ask brussels to delay. we're leaving on the 31st of october, no ifs or buts. meanwhile, after a weekend of protests,