this is bbc news. the headlines at 11:00: a downing street source says a brexit deal is now "essentially impossible" following a phone call between borisjohnson and germany's chancellor. now borisjohnson is preparing for crunch talks with his irish counterpart later this week. i think it's going to be very difficult to secure an agreement by next week, quite frankly. very much wa nt next week, quite frankly. very much want there to be a deal and they certainly work until the very last moment to secure that. but not at any moment to secure that. but not at a ny cost. the parents of this ten—year—old boy who died after contracting hiv from contaminated blood products almost 30 years ago tell the public inquiry of their heartbreak. the impact of knife crime on its victims. more than 20,000 were injured last year alone and for many the trauma continues. a housing estate in norwich,

made up of almost a hundred "ultra low—energy homes", wins the prestigious stirling prize for the best building in britain. and at 11:30 we'll be taking an in—depth look at the papers with our reviewers — broadcaster david davies and deputy political editor of the daily telegraph, anna mikhailova. stay with us for that. good evening. leaving the eu with a deal by the end of october is now looking extremely unlikely, according to downing street, and talks are close to breaking down. the claim follows what was described as a challenging phone call between boris johnson and angela merkel this morning in which the german chancellor apparently said a deal was unlikely unless northern ireland remained in the customs union.

there was an angry response from brussels as the eu's top official, donald tusk, warned borisjohnson not to become engaged in what he called a "stupid blame game". the prime minister is now due to meet the irish premier leo varadkar later in the week for crunch talks. 0ur political editor laura kuenssberg reports. hugs and smiles outside the door. the prime minister greets the president of the eu parliament. president sassoli, is a deal still possible? another one of the continental politicians he has to convince. but is there a point to all this now? of course, borisjohnson claims. after 45 minutes of talks, though, the awkward truth? there's been no progress to getting a deal, senor sassoli's conclusion. so... there are two alternatives now,

an extension, or leaving without a deal. still, publicly, ministers are hurrying to try. of course there will be bumps in the road in the path to a deal but i'm confident the fair and reasonable offer that we have put forward will elicit from our european friends progress in the days ahead. but early this morning, before the cabinet arrived... are the brexit talks on the brink of collapse? the prime minister spoke to angela merkel for half—an—hour. number 10 sources told me her conclusion and theirs, a deal this month was almost impossible. have we reached the end of the road for getting a deal? unless the eu got northern ireland to stay in the customs union, and that has always been ruled out by this administration. with customary formality, germany would not confirm the contents of the call. but with no change in position, the chances of a deal now seem almost gone.

then the eu's top officialjumped into the hostilities, accusing borisjohnson of getting into a stupid blame game. what's at stake is the future of europe and the uk, as well as the security and interests of our people, donald tusk wrote. forget that he said, she said, in a way it is a simple stand—off. borisjohnson wants a different deal with the eu, that would mean different customs and systems on either side of the irish border. but the eu believes that's not realistic without serious disruption, so is saying no. and that means it's extremely unlikely an agreement can be reached in time for the uk to leave the eu with a deal at the end of this month. tonight, the taoiseach told irish tv he and borisjohnson agreed they would keep trying for a deal, but... i think it's going to be very difficult to secure an agreement by next week, quite frankly. essentially, what the united kingdom has done is repudiated the deal that we negotiated in good faith

with the prime minister may's government over two years and have put half of that back on the table and are saying that's a concession. and of course it isn't. and it's not truly over until it's really over. the uk's negotiator, david frost, swept into brussels today for more talks. why are you here, mr frost, have the talks almost collapsed? despite the 0pposition‘s scepticism that it could ever really happen. the government put proposals on the table that were never going to work. they were designed to fail. and instead of reacting and changing their proposals, they're now collapsing the talks and engaging in a reckless blame game. parliament packed up for a week tonight, suspended again before the government puts its plans for the country forward in a queen's speech next monday. hard to tell tonight what the plans for brexit will look like by then. laura kuenssberg, bbc news, westminster.

well, laura kuensberg our political editor there has been assessing what could happen after today's events. hard to tell, as ever, whether or not today's extraordinary twists and turns have been, you know, a firework that briefly lights up this 93v firework that briefly lights up this gay people freeze in horror and safe was going on here? or whether or not there have been some diplomatic explosions that wipe out the idea that there will be any progress in the coming weeks. it is not impossible that there could be some resolution. but on the current path it does look vanishingly unlikely. and that means, therefore, in all likelihood we are looking at a situation where the prime minister is forced to ask the eu for a delay, foran is forced to ask the eu for a delay, for an extension, but for an a delay and an extension that he does not want. we know that parliament will try everything to block him taking us try everything to block him taking us out of the european union without a deal. they have changed the law to try to make it impossible for him to do so. but we also know, and has

a lwa ys do so. but we also know, and has always been completely clear with this administration, number one on the prime minister's list is trying to get us out of the european union at the end of this month. whatever the wisdom of the promise that he made in his leadership campaign, thatis made in his leadership campaign, that is the veil that he wants to try to keep above all else. so if this all fails we can expect in the immediate aftermath of the european summit, a legal and political screaming match that goes on for a number of days before either boris johnson is forced to get the delay and then we probably tip very quickly into a general election, or somehow, by hook or by crook, he achieves what looks very, very difficult, but what he still wants to do, is take us out of the eu at the end of this month. but at the moment it looked like, in any way, we are heading for a period that may well be even more turbulence than what we have lived through in recent weeks. laura kuenssberg reporting there. as we've been hearing, the prime minister wil have talks

with the irish prime minister before the end of the week — the eu of course has said it will stand by ireland in its responses to the uk's brexit proposal. 0ur europe editor katya adler gave us this update tonight on the view from brussels. eu leaders still want a deal and they believe that borisjohnson still wa nts they believe that borisjohnson still wants a deal. although they're not convinced just how high up his list of priorities getting a deal with the eu comes, competitor, for example, winning a general election. in the meantime they say they are still open for including this week, they haven't ruled out the possibility by finding a deal by the end of this month. but, realistically speaking, boris johnson ‘s proposals on how to replace the iris backstop are problematic for the eu. not completely, not the whole offer, but when it comes down to customs. boris johnson insist northern ireland must stay in the united kingdom's customs territory after brexit. about leave the eu with two choices, either have customs infrastructure on the island of ireland and dublin says that is a

no, or the eu doesn't control its own customs border. it is that's impossible. what about food safety, as is, in the single market? but this is not the end of the road for the eu, because they are looking more long—term. they think a new brexit extension is the most likely outcome here, giving more time for talks. but no—one here is starry eyed that i've talked to about the idea of more time. of course you still need to find an accord between the eu and the uk acceptable to the european parliament and the uk parliament as well. and of course no—one knows exactly what that accord will look like, neither now nor in two or three months time. katya adler in brussels there. preparations are continuing for a no—deal brexit and today the cabinet minister in charge of that, michael gove, said that even with every possible preparation in place, risks and challenges for businesses still remain. today, the think tank the institute for fiscal studies issued a stark warning about the impact of a no—deal brexit on the economy — predicting that national debt would rise to levels not seen since the 1960s. this could lead to future governments imposing more spending cuts, raising taxes — or both.

0ur economics editor, faisal islam, reports as the brexit deal looks increasingly log—jammed, the planning for and consequences of a no—deal brexit, and its immediate impact on trade up and down the country matter more than ever. the government has not updated its numbers, but the likes of the institute for fiscal studies has. the ifs predicts that the public finances will be heavily impacted by a no—deal brexit, that the annual level of borrowing, the deficit, would double over two years, approaching £100 billion. and that the total stock, our national debt, that that would reach the highest level it's been at in over half a century. i think if we have no—deal, the economy would grow very little, if at all, over the next two or three years, borrowing would rise towards 90, £100 billion a year, which is a very significant increase

on where we are. if that happened, i think we'd have to have another period of tax increases or spending cuts to get it back under control. so, why is that? the expert economists behind this report say that no—deal will impact our trade with europe and lead to a smaller economy, compared with brexit being reversed, for example, a gap of over 4%. it could be mostly eliminated, if there was still a deal. here is an example of why. exporting fish to markets in the european union would require far more red tape, customs, and vets health checks, confirmed in the government's published latest no—deal preparation documents. the minister in charge, praising the efforts of business. of course, risks remain, and challenges for some businesses cannot be entirely mitigated. even with every possible preparation in place. but the uk economy is in a much better position to meet those risks and challenges, thanks

to the efforts of these sectors and companies and my right honourable friend the chancellor. that's not what many farmers are saying, after the government decided to prioritise cheaper consumer prices, with products such as imported eggs. it didn't offer protection for the domestic poultry industry, when it confirmed plans for post no—deal taxes on trade or tariffs. of concern for a government preparing for an election, the farming lobby said they felt betrayed. well, ultimately, history shows you what it means. you know, if you import cheap raw ingredients that are produced to lower standards, we just downsize our production, we export our production abroad, and we take in cheap imports. in many cases, that would be illegal for our farmers to produce through here. the latest numbers show that the economy, in general, is becoming less productive, after a slump in business investment that many blame on the prospect of no—deal and prolonged political uncertainty. as the tide goes out on negotiations, british businesses are still left searching for answers. faisal islam, bbc news.

and we'll find out how this story — and many others — are covered in tomorrow's front pages. my guests on the papers are the broadcaster, david davies, and anna mik—hailova, the deputy political editor at the daily telegraph. —— anna mikhailova. the london assembly says downing street has complied with an order to hand over details of borisjohnson‘s contacts withjennifer arcuri. the prime minister is facing questions about his friendship with the us businesswoman when he was london mayor. he has denied claims of failing to declare a conflict of interest. the foreign secretary dominc raab has met with the us ambassador urging him to reconsider the diplomatic immunity given to a driver after she left the uk despite being a suspect in a fatal crash. anne sacoolas is wanted by police over the death of teenage motorcyclist, harry dunn, in northamptonshire on 27 august. she flew to the us shortly

after the fatal crash. the headlines on bbc news: a downing street source says a brexit deal is now "essentially impossible", following a phone call between boris johnson and germany's chancellor. now borisjohnson is preparing for crunch talks with his irish counterpart, later this week. the parents of this ten—year—old boy who died after contracting hiv from contaminated blood products almost 30 years ago tell the public inquiry of their heartbreak. the impact of knife crime on its victims — more than 20,000 were injured last year alone and for many the trauma continues. back to one of our top stories. the parents of a ten—year—old boy, who died after contracting hiv through infected blood products, were given a standing ovation at the public inquiry after describing the family's ordeal.

lee turton died in 1992. his mother told the year—long inquiry she believes the government knew the blood products being used were infected, as did the pharmaceutical companies, but that they did nothing. around 3,000 people died and at least 30,000 were infected with contaminated blood products, in what has been called the biggest treatment disaster in nhs history. 0ur health editor hugh pym has been speaking to lee's parents. good morning, son, merry christmas to you. are you all right? i've got a stomach ache. huh? i've got a stomach ache. it was lee's final christmas. he was ten and only had weeks to live. he'd been infected with hiv because of his treatment by the nhs. i can't get to sleep. he was just four when his parents were told he'd contracted hiv after being treated for his haemophilia with contaminated blood products.

he never had a childhood, he couldn't do the things other children did, that was all taken away from him. he used to say how frightened he was. and what can you say? you know, there's a little boy of eight, nine, telling you he's so frightened and you can't take that away. they said they were shunned by other parents. 0ne teacher even refused to have him in the class. they were harassed by the media and felt they had to move. today, denise told the inquiry about lee's final days. they actually told us he had between two and ten days to live. sorry. so they said that... they said he had an infection on the brain. so we insisted that he

went home that day, because that's what he wanted to do. he kept asking to go home. we got him home, with a nurse and he lived for another eight days at home. in that time, he sort of... ..demanded that he wanted to go down and see the beach for the last time, so we managed to carry him down to the beach. i think the hardest thing is not knowing the truth about what happened and knowing that it's all been covered up. like other affected families, they hope the inquiry will finally get to that truth. hugh pym, bbc news. turkey has stepped up its military presence on its border with syria tonight, saying they are ready to advance after the united states began pulling troops out of the area. the north—east of syria is controlled by the kurdish—led sdf forces, who played a leading role in the fight against the islamic state group.

turkey says it wants to establish a "safe zone" in that kurdish territory, to send back some of the millions of refugees from syria's civil war. the kurds, whom the turkish government considers terrorists, say the move could fuel a new conflict. they also say it casts doubt on what will happen to thousands of is prisoners. uur international correspondent, 0rla guerin, reports from the border in akcakale. a noisy reception for turkish forces on the move. ambulances and armored personnel carriers close to the syrian border. we filmed this convoy tonight, heading to a military base. the first evidence, perhaps, of the build up to a turkish invasion of syria. and earlier, being bussed to the border, syrian rebel fighters backed by turkey. they could be extra manpower

for the planned offensive, which is causing havoc internationally, even before it begins. in washington, president trump has been meeting his top brass, and trying some damage control. he has denied abandoning kurdish forces, america's key allies in syria. but after their epic battles against is, they now feel mighty alone. and what now for that battle? there's growing concern internationally about what an offensive across this border might do to the global fight against islamic state. small wonder, there are thousands of is fighters being held in kurdish—run detention centers. the kurds have said, if the turks attack, they'll have to focus on that fight. so defeated is fighters, like these, may have fewer guards,

raising fears some could escape. president trump says if turkey invades, they are ankara's problem. and there may be less security at kurdish camps, holding huge numbers of is supporters and family members. but at the border today, a little gathering of turks who back the offensive, who believe kurdish forces are a security threat. an invasion appeals to president erdogan‘s base. he has been losing support, and critics say, a war is a great distraction. tonight, more movement by turkish allies, rebel fighters from the free syrian army. they say they'll rain fire on kurdish forces. a powerful nato army now appears to be on the road to battle, and there are real concerns about the possible cost for hundreds of thousands of innocent syrian civilians. 0rla guerin, bbc news,

at the turkish syria border. more than 20,000 people in england and wales were injured by knives or sharp instruments last year and survived — many, victims of knife crime. and often they're left traumatised by their experience, struggling to return to education, training, or the workplace. i've been speaking to one survivor. this is a tale from a frightened city. this boy survived a knife attack. these guys came up to us, said where are you from and ijust froze. i did not know what to say. he was in the wrong place at the wrong time, assaulted on his way home from football practice. he is 15. i don't even remember him stabbing me here and that is when he got me here. i was bleeding. loads

of blood pouring out and i was holding it tie, squeezing it. this is him recovering in hospital, two days after the attack. a grateful family by his side. i was praying for him to be alive with all of my energy. they say the best thing to do is to move out of the area. deprivation and a sense of hopelessness can lead some to join gangs, deal drugs, fight turf wars but there is never an excuse for the savagery of a knife attack. he simply wandered into the wrong area. he has now left hospital but that memories persist. i cannot sleep well at night because sometimes i am

just paranoid or i think about it andi just paranoid or i think about it and i do not sleep. today, he is meeting a case worker from a charity which helps victims of violent crime. i get frustrated sometimes. i will just be crime. i get frustrated sometimes. i willjust be angry. there was one, i came in on a tuesday, and if there we re came in on a tuesday, and if there were 11 new admissions make they now have an office inside the hospital where the boy was treated. they help survivors straight after surgery. hundreds in this hospital every year, thousands around the country who are stabbed and survived but traumatised. 0ne consultant surgeon says they need compassion and understanding, not suspicion. we

live in a society which judges these people based on their demographic and injury. nothing else. we pay no attention to that backstory. we want them to be better, to be normal, to be fixed and we are scared and they deserve what happens to them and, more importantly, we are going to tolerate it. and that cannot be allowed to stand. you are lucky you are still here with us... don't forget the strain on family as well. moving away from this part of london, will it give you peace of mind? probably a little bit of peace of mind... but the rest tension. they targeted me... i know. i know. by they targeted me... i know. i know. by they come and attack an innocent

person? the dilemma of a loving family, one of many now being driven away by violent that is staying put. 0ne survivor of knife crime, his story. thirteen men have been arrested as part of an international investigation into what's believed to be the uk's biggest ever drug smuggling operation. the national crime agency says 50 tons of heroin, cocaine and cannabis, said to be worth billions of pounds, was imported from the netherlands, in lorry loads of vegetables and fruitjuice, before being moved around the uk over an 18—month period. police have arrested more than 500 protesters over the last two—days, including people who have blocked roads and bridges around westminster, to demand action on climate change. the supporters of the extinction rebellion movement have hit back at borisjohnson‘s description of them as "uncooperative crusties", saying that they're ordinary people trying to secure a better future.

a housing estate in norwich, which is made up of almost 100 ultra low—energy homes, has won the stirling prize — the award for britain's building of the year. sustainability and recyling was at the heart of all of the nominations — which included an opera house, a home made out of cork, and the redevelopment of london bridge station. david silito was at the ceremony for us. and the winner is goldsmith street. annalie riches, david mikhail, winners of the stirling prize for goldsmith street, a development of council houses. so, this is it? and for resident chloe smith and her partner louis... very nice! they are more than proud of their new home. my little girl absolutely loves the garden. and the back is a key feature. a safe, enclosed communal play space. i'd never have thought this would have been a council property. i just wanted my little girl to have a garden, and some freedom, like little kids do. and i can't see me moving from here, not for a long time.

but for the architects, it's been a long haul. 11 years, trying to prove that houses can be as efficient as flats. and the buildings it was competing against — an opera house, hidden inside an old stable building, and a completely recyclable house made entirely of cork. but what clinched it was goldsmith‘s mix of the environmental and the social. so, who made the decision, going for yours? it came down to the vote of a local resident. so, what, essentially one resident had the casting vote? she had the casting vote. she felt she preferred our scheme because it was bringing back streets to norwich. what truly makes them special is the insulation. you're not even allowed a letterbox in case it leaks out heat. have you turned the heating on? twice, i think. twice in a year? since we've been here, yes. we've both said it since we moved in, we're here for the long run, ithink. it's brilliant. goldsmith street — warm, sociable, traditional.

and perhaps now a model for others to follow. david sillitoe, bbc news. the england and wales cricket board has issued a statement dismissing allegations of a physical altercation between the cricketer, ben stokes, and his wife, clare. photographs have emerged of stokes, here seen during this summer's test series, appearing to grab his wife around the face at an awards ceremony last week. the ecb said it had spoken to the couple and "clarified the innocent context" behind the pictures. clare stokes tweeted the story was "unbelievable" and "nonsense". a single ticket holder has become the uk's biggest ever euromillions jackpot winner tonight. no details of the winner, who'll take home £170 million, have been released. the numbers were 6, 9, 35, 41 and 44 with the lucky stars 6 and 9. a quick look at what's coming up tomorrow on the bbc news channel. we'll be broadcasting live

from penzance in cornwall — as part of a special bbc series — exploring the challenges and the opportunities facing britain's coastal towns. that's all day tomorrow, here on bbc news. and we'll be taking an in—depth look at the papers with our reviewers, anna mikhailova, who's the deputy political editor at the daily telegraph, and the broadcaster, david davies. they are standing in the wings ready to put all the front pages to scrutiny. that's coming up just after the headlines at 11:30. now it's time for the weather with nick miller. 0ur weather is stuck in an autumnal pattern. but somewhere in the world about to be plunged into winter rather abruptly. the autumn weather here is not a washout. some sunshine around on tuesday but heavy showers

never too far away. plenty of rainbows. because it is a son and showers. close to low pressure, these weather fronts move through and pep up the showers at times. affecting south wales and southern england at the start of wednesday. the showers keep on running into the western highlands of scotland. strong gusty winds. blustery across the uk but relatively few showers reaching the eastern part so the proportion of the day here stays dry. temperatures around the mid teens, feeling cooler on wednesday thanit teens, feeling cooler on wednesday than it did on tuesday. thursday, first signs of a different flavour with a weather front from the atlantic. a few showers around but not as many as we have seen. more likely to be cloud and a spell of rain northern ireland, parts of scotla nd rain northern ireland, parts of scotland and northern england and still quite windy out there. the weather fronts still playing