this is bbc news. i'm ben brown live in westminster. the headlines at ham. borisjohnson tries to persuade mps to back his new brexit deal, ahead of an historic vote in parliament tomorow. we've got a chance now to get brexit done with a deal, and allow the country to move forward. we won't go for anything that makes our constituents and our country poorer. and by any assessment, that's what this deal will do. i'm nuala mcgovern, in brussels, where the summit continues. leaders move on to matters of climate change, also long—term eu budget, and priorities for the next five years. we'll have the latest reaction from here in westminster. this morning's other stories. more than 700 people are arrested across the uk,

as police clamp down on so called county lines drug gangs. there's fierce street fighting in mexico, as the son ofjailed drug lord el chapo is arrested, and later released. there's a pause in turkey's offensive against the kurds in northern syria, but there are still reports of some fighting. good morning. i'm here in westminster, where borisjohnson is trying hard today to persuade mps to back his new brexit deal, agreed with the european union. the house of commons will vote on the new deal tomorrow. the numbers are extremely tight, and that vote really is on a knife edge. northern ireland's democratic unionist mps won't support the deal, so mrjohnson‘s focus is on making sure as many as possible of his own conservative mps support it,

and he's also hoping to win round labour mps who represent constituencies that voted leave in the referendum. so, let's take a look now at exactly what the prime minister agreed with first. to avoid a hard border between northern ireland and the republic of ireland, northern ireland will remain aligned to a set of rules related to the eu's single market. northern ireland remains a part of the uk customs territory, but by avoiding a customs border on the island of ireland, there will be a de facto border for goods down the irish sea. the controversial ‘backstop‘ has been removed, and members of the northern ireland assembly at stormont will have a say on the long—term application of eu law in northern ireland, but any decision would be based on a simple vote. political correspondent nick eardley reports. we have a deal. many thought that it

simply wouldn't happen. boris johnson, hand—in—hand with the eu's jean—claude juncker, after signing off on the brexit deal that some thought was impossible. this is a great deal for our country, for the uk. i also believe it's a very good deal for our friends in the eu. and what it means is that we in the uk can come out of the eu as one united kingdom. it removes the controversial backstop and replaces it with new arrangements to avoid a hard border in ireland. boris johnson, though, still faces a massive battle to get that deal through parliament. at the moment, he just can't be sure that a majority will back him in the house of commons. so, the next 2a hours is going to involve some intense arm—twisting, trying to persuade his own mps and some from the opposition to get on board. the prime minister runs a minority government here, and officially, every single opposition party

is opposed to his plan. crucially, the dup, who keep the tories in power, aren't getting on board. in order to avoid trying to get an extension, he has been too eager by far to get a deal at any cost, and the fact of the matter is that if he'd held his nerve, if he'd held out, he would, of course, have got a better concessions, kept the integrity, economically and constitutionally, of the united kingdom. the pm will be back at his desk this morning to try and change minds, to convince everybody in his own party, the former tory mps who now sit as independents, and importantly, some labour mps who want to see brexit delivered. if you can do that, maybe, just maybe, his deal can get through parliament tomorrow, but it is going to be tight. now, let's look at the numbers in the house of commons. if every mp who usually takes part in commons votes

is at parliament tomorrow, borisjohnson will need 320 votes for his deal to pass. there are 287 conservative mps, the prime minister will need them to be loyal if he is to succeed. if all the conservatives back their leader, that leaves mrjohnson needing 33 extra supporters, so where will they come. he won't find them from the liberal democrats or scottish national party. and the 10 democratic unionist party mps, who previously propped up the minority conservative government, have said they won't vote for it either, saying it's not in the interests of northern ireland. that leaves mrjohnson needing the support of the 23 former conservative mps who are currently independents, but even if they all vote for the deal, he still falls short. jeremy corbyn has instructed labour mps to vote against the deal, the crucial question is will there be any rebels?

in march, when mps voted on theresa may's deal for the third time, five labour mps backed it, plus two ex—labour independents. joining me is political correspondentjessica parker. as we said it is all on a knife edge. according to your calculations, what's your assessment? the obvious link as it says that it is going to be incredibly tight. a couple are predicting a narrow loss and others are predicting a narrow victory. he is back in westminster today and will no doubt be working hard, as we re will no doubt be working hard, as were many and his team, to do a considerable amount of persuasion and arm—twisting to try and get this thing over the line. we talked about the key groups there. it is incredibly important to remember the

date you pay. they are making it pretty clear at the moment that they do not intend to support this deal. are they last? is there anything he can do today to persuade them to change their minds? the confidence and supply arrangement where the deep". and supply arrangement where the deep... my sense is that the day you pee's objections to this deal are quite fundamental. no amount of money or offer to renew that supply arrangement would be enough to win them round. not only are they saying that they won't support it, that's ten mps gone, they are actively calling on conservative mps, those who they have traditionally worked within the research group, not to support it either. that is a problem for borisjohnson, support it either. that is a problem for boris johnson, because support it either. that is a problem for borisjohnson, because he needs all of those mps on side. he also needs some labour rebels to back

him. is he actively going to get in touch with those labour mps and at —— that they think they could win round? we will be watching the doors of downing street very closely today to see if anybody walks up for a special meeting with the prime minister. the numbers on that very interesting. there was a time when people talked about 20 or 30 potential labour rebels. i think the numbers now are much smaller, between seven and ten at the moment. that could change. i think a lot of mps are doing a lot of rethinking. they are also doing a lot of reading as there are a lot of documents to go through. i was just speaking to one labourmp go through. i was just speaking to one labour mp who was talking about how they were being encouraged to abstain on this, rather than a encourage or support it to try and change the numbers there. john mcdonnell on the radio this morning said that he would be having a chat

with the potential labour rebel to try and convince them as well. the european research group, a lot of the men said they will back this. iain duncan smith says he wants to read it before him makes up his mind. arm—twisting going on there presumably. i have heard very few conservative eurosceptics from the erd group saying that they will definitely be voting for this deal. they have always reserved a little bit of theirjudgment to say that they have to read it through thoroughly. as we know the ert has a special meeting at half past eight tomorrow morning, before the commons sits tomorrow morning, to try and reach a conclusion of what they are going to do. the ert are a group of people who have a broad belief about wanting to leave the european union and wanting to leave a clean —— with

and wanting to leave a clean —— with a clean break. but i don't think you will definitely see them vote en masse is a blur. we are hearing through the day, and throughout the day, individual mps saying which way they are going to go. day, individual mps saying which way they are going to golj day, individual mps saying which way they are going to go. i think there will be certain mps where there is a suspicion as to whether they will change their vote from last time. they will be getting calls from journalists and whips to find out how they are going to vote. i think some of them won't necessarily reveal their hand until they are in the voting lobby tomorrow. i think it is worth pointing out that four labour mps to walk through the voting lobby with conservatives, thatis voting lobby with conservatives, that is something that a lot of them will find really quite difficult. so you could see some last—minute changes tomorrow. thank you very much to you jessica. joining me now is democratic unionist party mp sammy wilson.

thank you very much for being with us. thank you very much for being with us. you are opposed to this deal. is there anything prime minister can do to change your mind? no. the deal is toxic as far as northern ireland is concerned. it does not meet the promises that the prime minister made that the whole of the united kingdom will be leaving the eu. basically it leaves northern ireland in the eu single market and customs arrangements. it doesn't give us a mechanism under the belfast agreement to us extract ourselves from that agreement, if it proves to be damaging to the northern ireland economy. we will be voting against it and encouraging others to do that. you say it's toxic. your language seems to be strengthening against this deal. do you see it is worse than theresa may's deal?|j

think worse than theresa may's deal?” think her deal at least, the backstop, had the whole of the united kingdom lucked into the arrangement which northern ireland is now locked into, and that means there now will be a border down the irish sea. within the country of the united kingdom, goods travelling from gb into northern ireland will be subject to external checks, people will have to fill in customs declarations and goods will have to be examined in the irish sea, and companies in northern ireland will have to pay to the eu uncertain to and abide by the eu regulations. that is bad for northern ireland, and of course, the other thing that does, since we will have no say in those regulations, norwillthe uk

government, it will actively encourage businesses and individuals and lobby groups to look more and more towards doubling the representation in europe, and that, we see, as a slow trickle out of the united kingdom and into a united ireland. there are people who possibly vote for your party who really wa nt possibly vote for your party who really want to deal. they want certainty and need it. they say it's time to get on with this. we need a deal as well. we actually did take some risks to give the prime minister latitude in the negotiations with the eu. for example, we did say that we would be prepared to tie yourself to eu regulations, albeit with the safeguard that if those meetings when necessary we would be able to vote ourselves out of them. then the eu said that the range was too

limited. we were prepared to extend the range to cover agri— food products. we actually did try to help the prime minister in these negotiations. we didn't simply bury our heads in the sand and say we are not moving at all. having done that, we expected from the prime minister, that he would then stand by the promises he made to us, that festival, there would be a mechanism by which we could extract ourselves, and secondly, that there would not be any customs element to the deal which he did with the eu, and he we nt which he did with the eu, and he went back on both of those. are you saying that he has effectively betrayed you? rather than have to signa betrayed you? rather than have to sign a letter as was required by the surrender act, which the labour

party push their own house of commons, that he would settle for a lesser deal, rather than sign a letter and go for an election and try and get a bigger majority in parliament, which would have given him the leveraged, i believe, to have sought a better deal with the eu, because they would have known that the prime minister was no longer shackled by the remain parliament but had the freedom of the leave parliament. do you say that as well as voting against it, you are going to try and persuade other mps to vote against the deal? i'm thinking especially about the brexit ears and the ert who have been pretty closely aligned to you in recent times. will you be saying to them that they need to vote against it as well? we will be talking to them, and don't forget that many of them still have issues.

some of them resent the fact that we are still paying £39 million to the eu and getting very little return. this safety and safeguards for the fishing industry have not been nailed down, so we're still worried about the residual impact that the european court of justice about the residual impact that the european court ofjustice can have and the united kingdom and the input it could have. there are many of them, who are leaving aside northern ireland issues, will have reservations about other elements of the deal. we are saying to them, if you don't believe that those things have been sufficiently dealt with, then don't vote it —— don't vote for then don't vote it —— don't vote for the deal. thank you very much for

your time. we will be getting an smp perspective in just a your time. we will be getting an smp perspective injust a moment. these are our latest headlines. boris johnson will attempt to persuade mps to back his new brexit deal today, ahead of a historic vote in parliament tomorrow. more than 700 people are arrested across the uk as police clamp down on so called county lines drug gangs. there's a pause in turkey's offensive against the kurds in northern syria but there are reports of some fighting. in are reports of some fighting. sport wales have nan to in sport wales have named their team to play against france. dan biggar is fit to play after his concussion. the no room first racism campaign urges fans to report discrimination. the finals of the european open in antwerp, andy murray is true to the quarterfinals.

joining me is snp mp david linden. thank you for being with us. how do you see the vote going? it will put scotla nd you see the vote going? it will put scotland at a huge competitive disadvantage. i sincerely hope that the labour party are not going to give this brexit deal across the line. they won't be forgiven in scotla nd line. they won't be forgiven in scotland for that. there are leaders in all parts of the united kingdom who are saying that we really do need a deal. we need certainty and investment going again in our industry and business. it is time to move on. let's get this deal through. will actually this deal put scotla nd

through. will actually this deal put scotland at a competitive disadvantage. that will be particularly disadvantageous per businesses. this deal is actually worse than the last deal, which is why the snp mps will cast their vote is no tomorrow. wales listen to them and voted for brexit. 0nce is no tomorrow. wales listen to them and voted for brexit. once again, in this united kingdom, we see frozen —— scotland frozen out. that's why the snp will be voting this deal down. a surprise that boris johnson can geta down. a surprise that boris johnson can get a deal? lots of people said that he wouldn't. he got the backstop dropped and so on. at least he has a deal. he has something to put past tomorrow. boris johnson is someone put past tomorrow. boris johnson is someone who is well for smoke and mirrors. that is something that people in scotland can see through. that's why the opinion polls

plummeting. he is trying to pull the wool over people because my eyes but thatis wool over people because my eyes but that is not something that the people of scotland will pull for. the snp are adamant that they are voting this deal down tomorrow. we can go into general election and make absolute clap crystal—clear messages, to stop brexit... make absolute clap crystal—clear messages, to stop brexit. .. the prime minister says he is simply trying to enforce the will of the people as expressed in their referendum of 2016. that is all he is trying to do without dither and delay. in that referendum 16%...m spoke about compromising and staying in the single market and customs union. since 2016 we have been

trying to negotiate a compromise with the uk government. northern ireland is getting a special status. if it is good enough for northern ireland, why is it not good enough for scotland. it highlights that it is an unequal united kingdom, and makes it clearer than ever that scotla nd makes it clearer than ever that scotland must be an independent country within the european union. my country within the european union. my firm vote for this deal will be to vote it down. and move towards a general election and try to get this terrible government ads of power. thank you for your time. this is all happening against the backdrop of the eu summit of european leaders in brussels. nuala mcgovern is there for us.

another busy day here. they are looking at busy discussions today and long term objectives and climate change. people are still digesting what happened around this time yesterday between the uk and the eu. lots of people are looking towards west minster as to whether it might break down. i was curious as to what his party thinks about this deal. it isa his party thinks about this deal. it is a terrible deal. it really does a lot of harm to the british economy and it is nothing like what we voted for in 2016. i'm astonished because this is akin to the proposal that borisjohnson himself, this is akin to the proposal that boris johnson himself, when this is akin to the proposal that borisjohnson himself, when they we re borisjohnson himself, when they were first moved by theresa may, described desert capitulation worse than sewers. he filled the

resignation of his predecessor and then introduce the exact same proposals and said it was a great victory. it is astonishing. there are 60 pages that are different out of the 600 when it comes to northern ireland and ireland protocol. the democratic unionist party say they will reject this deal and not vote for will reject this deal and not vote foer will reject this deal and not vote for mrjohnson tomorrow we are hearing it's a knife edge. how do you feel about some of the labour mps that might, in fact, go with borisjohnson mps that might, in fact, go with boris johnson because mps that might, in fact, go with borisjohnson because they might work in leaf constituencies, they might feel they need to get a deal done, and it is better than no deal? if they did not vote third theresa may put's deal i can't see how they can vote in good conscious for this deal. it is not a good deal. the level playing field further

workers's rights which are essential for labour mps to preserve, have been taken out of the text of the withdrawal agreement and put into the political declaration. that is a sure sign as anybody can tell that the government is not committed to those. we have to think about the consequences of this deal and not just have a deal fatigue and think, thank goodness there is something on the table. alger for it to get it over with. the bad news is that if this thing passes, brexit is far from over. step dance there. a labourmep from over. step dance there. a labour mep michael peerless here with us. you are hearing a little bit of step dance there as well. is

that what people are talking about here at the council as they go on with other business. this is absolutely a focus now, because getting oh the deal over the line was a great moment, but almost immediately and during the negotiations, the question was canned mrjohnson get this to on saturday. , i think we are going to hear about the work knife edge... the commission leader younger was quite quite tight—lipped yesterday about an extension. mrjuncker said there was no need and that there will be no prolongation. this caused some

excitement, but the fact is that it is not his decision to make. it is the decision of the eu 27 member states. there, the dynamic is quite a complicated one, but in essence, there will be great reluctance, i think, to turning down an extension where the uk to request one. the potential consequences of that is no deal, which is not what anybody wa nts. deal, which is not what anybody wants. i think if the uk were to ask foran wants. i think if the uk were to ask for an extension because the deal we re for an extension because the deal were voted down, i think they will wood very carefully consider it and possibly grant it. obviously, they don't want to talk about that, and thatis don't want to talk about that, and that is an executive decision that has been made, not to discuss the hypothetical or possible extension, because they want to focus on giving the impression that the deal —— it is this deal or the high road. if it is this deal or the high road. if it is not voted through, that does not necessarily mean that we are headed

for no deal on october the 31st. what has been the reaction to the deal now that people have had time to digester? they kept the wording of northern ireland in to shore uk territory but would be more aligned with the eu. as you say there is this idea of brexit being one on the other at the same time. on the one hand, the rhetoric has been about compromise. ireland's prime minister said they would give some ground. the thing to focus on is what people would say the eu 27 countries have got out of this. they feel that they

have protected their rattling lines essentially. the morning after... there is a great deal of confidence in michel barnier. the gratitude to him and trusting him, and so far there is no sign of any regrets on that. there is clearly a point are not being able to scrutinise it properly because of the truncated timescale, but people want to get this through and put put it behind them. thank you very much. i will say that no buyers‘ remorse, expressed by the eu leaders and the allen prime minister that the uk is leaving. it is as if you have a great friend that is going on in the venture and you are left back at home.

thank you very much. we will be bringing you more throughout the day from brussels and from here. ahead of that, a crucial vote in the commons tomorrow. a special saturday sitting. first, let‘s check out the weather. lovely at the moment in the capital, but elsewhere we have some cloud building up, and this cloud behind me is not thoroughfare human lip nimbus cloud. so some showers across the south west will continue. there may be some thunderstorms mixed in with that. making its way across the east of scotland this afternoon. some sunny spells, particularly in northern parts of england. maximum tension —— temperatures fell to 15 degrees. in

scotla nd temperatures fell to 15 degrees. in scotland that will can continue and will —— may lead to flooding issues. across wales and the south of england some showers. further showery outbreaks of rain over the weekend. by sunday fewer showers around. notice those temperatures coming down a bit. bye for now. this is bbc news. our latest headlines. borisjohnson says he is ‘very confident‘ mps will back his new brexit deal, ahead of a historic vote in the house of commons tomorrow. more than 700 people have been arrested during a week long operation to tackle so called county lines drug gangs across the uk. the mexican authorities have freed the son of the jailed drug baron el chapo, after coming under heavy fire from cartel members following his arrest.

there‘s been sporadic fighting in northern syria, despite a temporary halt in turkey‘s offensive against kurdish targets. sport now. good morning. the rugby world cup quarterfinals are coming up this weekend. wales will be at full strength for their game against france on sunday. they had been waiting on the fitness of fly—half dan biggar, he‘s recovered from a concussion which kept him out of their final group game. it‘s the same team that beat australia earlier in the tournament. warren gatland says they‘ve no reason to fear the french. over the last eight games and the one we lost was the 100 minute game in paris. where they scored in the last minute.

but in saying that they have always been close games but we will go in with a lot of belief and self—confidence. let‘s get more now on today‘s welsh team announcement and england and irealnd‘s chances over the weekend. our rugby correspondent chris jones is in japan. you have got to back wales in this game andi you have got to back wales in this game and i was speaking to people close to the french camp recently and they accept that wales are the clear favourites. 0ne journalist i spoke to gave wales a 20% chance. that is the mood injapan. as for the other home nations, ireland are up the other home nations, ireland are up against it against new zealand. you have got to back the all blacks but this ireland team know how to beat new zealand. england have beaten australia six times in a row. they have got a strong team out and like wales, injury free, so you have got to back them. the premier league returns tomorrow as does its ‘no room

for racism‘ campaign that was first launched in march. it‘s very timely in the wake of the game on monday night in sofia where england‘s black players were racially abused. fans wil be asked to report discrimination if they witness anything at matches. there is room for every kind of emotion. but there is never room... for racism. there is no room for racism in the premier league... or anywhere else. if you see it, report it. former newcastle united striker shola ameobi, is part of a premier league advisory board that has helped with the campaign. it is about you know, tackling these issues head on. coming off the back of what was a tunnel she was weak in terms of the england team and what they experienced in bulgaria, these are the issues that really need to be looked at and i think it is really important that, as this campaign no room for racism it is not just a

campaign no room for racism it is notjusta campaign, campaign no room for racism it is notjust a campaign, we need to take action on this. andy murray plays later in the quarter—finals of the european open in antwerp. he‘s up against romania‘s marius copil. murray came through comfortably against pablo cuevas last night. he won in straight sets. murray‘s planning to make this his last tournamnet of the year as his wife is due to give birth to their third child very soon. it‘s day three of the european track cycling championships and great britain will hope to add more medals to their haul so far. yesterday, they added three more with the team of laura kenny, katie archibald, neah evans and eleanor dickinson beating germany to win the team pursuit. the men won bronze in the same event. emily nelson, who had already claimed the gold in the womens scratch race on wednesday, took silver in a thrilling finish in the womens elimination race. that‘s all the sport for now. i‘ll have more for you in the next hour. welcome back to westminster where borisjohnson is trying to win support from mps for the brexit deal he has struck with the eu,

in the hope it can be approved by the commons tomorrow. 0pposition parties have said they will not back the agreement, and the result of the vote is expected to be close. much of the attention is on whether conservatives who lost the party whip in september will support the prime minister. with me is the deputy political editor of the spectator, katy balls, and dawn foster from the guardian. dawn foster, how do you see it going tomorrow? i think it will be extremely tight, everyone is very, very nervous at the moment but ultimately, overnight, once mps think deeply and speak on it, —— sleep on it, i think it will go against borisjohnson. sleep on it, i think it will go against boris johnson. is that how you see it, will the result be decided by labour mps, a few of whom

might support the deal? it will be a surprise if the deal passes tomorrow. it is possible, lots of people didn't think boris johnson would get this far but the numbers don't look good because he doesn't have the dup. the comments coming from the dup today are suggesting they are not thinking about changing their mind, if anything they are doubling down on the criticism of the deal. i think it will be quite tight. how many labour mps do you think you will need in an ideal world. they are talking about 15, higher than that for it to be in sight. there is a sense they could get nine. i still think there is pressure within the party which means it's difficult. what i am hearing, speaking to cabinet ministers, if they don't pass it, it is not the end of the world because they can go into a general election

with a deal and they can get brexit done if they have a majority. he is already beginning to see how plan b works if the first plant doesn't go ahead tomorrow. we understand there isa ahead tomorrow. we understand there is a cabinet meeting this afternoon at apm, but is that how you see the longer term perspective, people are saying it is win, win for boris johnson because he can say i did get a deal by october the 31st, but parliament wouldn‘t let me get it through. that is the strategy from borisjohnson. it through. that is the strategy from boris johnson. it will through. that is the strategy from borisjohnson. it will be interesting to see what comes out of the cabinet meeting this afternoon. sammy wilson from the dup has been talking all morning about how the dup have been approached by a lot of conservative mps who are thinking aboutjoining the conservative mps who are thinking about joining the dup conservative mps who are thinking aboutjoining the dup and voting down the deal. if the whips are looking at tory votes and it will go against him in that way. but if

borisjohnson says, i have a deal, i can get brexit done, back me and thatisit can get brexit done, back me and that is it at the brexit party come m, that is it at the brexit party come in, they may end up splitting the conservative vote and labour may get more and boris johnson conservative vote and labour may get more and borisjohnson might even come out of it worse than theresa may. so many hypotheticals. we have talked about labour mps, what about the erg, the european research group, will they fall in line behind borisjohnson? group, will they fall in line behind boris johnson? the erg plan to have a meeting to talk things through still. but the sign so far look fairly good for boris johnson. people like andrea jenkins voted against theresa may's deal, not confirming 100%, but saying it looks better. that is put in for plan a and plan b. if brexiteers at the tory party say it is brexit in name only, borisjohnson is in trouble andl only, borisjohnson is in trouble

and i think if they stay onside, which they appear to be doing, it is good. i think you could probably have about five brexiteers who do not back this deal. those five could be crucial, enough to sink it in the commons? every time loses a erg member, you need another labour mp. but there is a sense in number ten that there are some conservative mps who would be difficult to bring in. it is numberten who would be difficult to bring in. it is number ten going to say is this a confidence issue? if you vote against the steel we will with the whip. that could be something raised at cabinet today because there are figures, amber rudd, no more in the conservative party in terms of having the whip, but there was a push when the whip was withdrawn, you need to do it evenhandedly. if you need to do it evenhandedly. if you vote for the hilary benn legislation and withdraw the whip, who do the same for brexiteers who vote against the deal. do you think they will withdraw the whip from

many tory people, who don‘t vote for the deal? obviously, they will be considering it and the whips will be thinking very, very hard. there were talks of lots of tory mps feeling very harassed. it didn‘t actually look that great to the general public. it‘s very hard for the whips to be so extreme and cast mps out, if you look at what labour are doing, talking one on one, sweeten them up. in terms of fellow tory mps, do the whips try and twist their arms and say, you have got to do this? labour have said there will bea do this? labour have said there will be a three line whip and john mcdonnell has said he will try and have one on one meetings with people who might flip and try and sweet

talk them, bring them in. labour don‘t see the approach that boris johnson took as being helpful. it is not the kind of leadership they want to portray. i think borisjohnson will be thinking again that it worked so well last time, he cannot keep throwing tory mps out for ever, it looks ludicrous and makes an increasing number of enemies in the house. let's go to predictions, katie, nail your colours to the mast? i don't like to predict anything so close. i think it will bea anything so close. i think it will be a surprise if he manages to pass this deal. it is possible, but i think there is talk in the tory party, optimism, that getting a deal has changed the political landscape and whatever happens tomorrow, they are ina and whatever happens tomorrow, they are in a better place because they will go into an election pointing to a deal that the bulk of brexiteers will vote for. what is your prediction? i think it will be

slimly lost. looking at maybe around five votes and i think it is because they will be some conservative mps who are happy to go into a general election and would prefer that, rather than backing this deal and then getting into the next stage of eu negotiations when we look at our trade afterwards. what if is a tie will the speaker‘s vote decide it? the speaker would have to cast a vote, but when asked to do so, the speaker turns to the house and says, if there isn‘t a clear majority for this motion, it is not fairfor me to do it so if it is a tie, it would strea m to do it so if it is a tie, it would stream likely that the speaker would then turn round and say, i am just going to have to say no. it may be the speaker who sings it. all will be revealed tomorrow. let‘s move away from westminster and politics and into the world of business. susanna has the latest business news

right now. now, the business news. the confederation of british industry says businesses have given a cautious welcome to the brexit deal the government has reached with the eu. cbi director general carolyn fairbairn said it‘s a step forward and although its not a perfect deal we can work with it. british manufacturers for scotch whisky to biscuits and savile row suits are braced for a significant financial hit after us tariffs came into effect in retaliation for subsidies given to aerospace manufacturer airbus. french, spanish, german and uk still wines will also face the new 25% import tariff from today. sainsbury‘s has become the first major supermarket to stop selling fireworks at its 2,300 stores across the uk. the company said it made the decision following a regular yearly review of all its products. last year, a petition to ban the public sale of fireworks to protect animals, children and people with a phobia attracted more

than 300,000 signatures. more now on reaction to the brexit dealfrom british businesses. the reworded political declaration in the deal paves the way for a future free trade agreement with the uk with the eu, but one which allows for more divergence on domestic regulation. the cbi has said companies have serious concerns about this and has called for frictionless trade with the eu to be put back on the table. let‘s find out more about their point of view withjosh hardie who is cbi‘s deputy director—general. you say that lots of businesses have given this a cautious welcome, so what are the reservations, is it about this diversions? yes it is. businesses, like the country, have beenin businesses, like the country, have been in the waiting room of brexit for too long and it has been damaging for investment and confidence. there is a welcome because if we get the withdrawal agreement through an secure transition, we get no deal off the

table and that is valuable. but you are right, there is caution. there is concern that the future economic relationship, which happens after the withdrawal agreement, is heading for a canada type deal, a bare—bones fta and that doesn‘t reflect the way our two economies have grown up together intertwined and ripping them apart in that way would be deeply damaging. where the withdrawal agreement to go through, we urge the government to build that relationship from the bottom—up based on economic evidence. relationship from the bottom—up based on economic evidencem relationship from the bottom—up based on economic evidence. it seems at the moment it is the ease of doing deals with the us, which appears to be the priority. to extent will businesses, member of your organisation, be concerned given the large amount of business they currently do with the european union? everyone will welcome more trade all around the world, in the eu and other places. whether that is through a free trade agreement, but it is important to remember there‘s so much we need to do just through

everyday trade facilitation as well. the eu is our and nearest trading partner and will be for a very, very long time. that needs to take priority. we shouldn‘t be going and doing trade deals with the rest of the world that block off the trade we have of europe, we need to find a way of doing both. maybe people will be thinking if this deal is passed, perhaps we can move on with a sigh of relief. it is this the beginning of relief. it is this the beginning of the negotiations? it feels like the first lap of a marathon. that opportunity to avoid no deal and get transition is really, really important and for those 4 million citizens in the uk and the eu living abroad, it is only the first step. having that conversation, shaping a future economic relationship that supports and reflects the reality of our economy. that is what we have got to get to and we hope the government will do that with open eyes and collaboration. the treasury committee have called for an

economic assessment of any deal to be updated, given the current situation. do you think there needs to be more analysis for the various scenarios ahead, even if this deal is past? going in and understanding what the implications are is very, very important. that can be done to economic analysis, but talking to businesses, understanding the reality of trait, what is going on with business up and down the country, what about northern ireland? their ability to innovate and employ and we have got to show the world the uk is a fantastic place to work in, grow and invest a business. we have lost a little bit of that recently, listen to businesses, show their voices heard and use them to help frame the future. josh hardy, thank you very much for talking to us. on other news now. . . china‘s economy grew at a slower pace than expected in the third quarter as it struggled with a us—led trade war and softer domestic demand. in the three months to september,

the economy expanded 6% from a year earlier, its slowest pace in about 30 years. the result fell just short of expectations for 6.1% growth for the period. banning staff from accessing their work emails outside office hours could do more harm than good to employee wellbeing, a study suggests. university of sussex researchers found while a ban could help some staff switch off, it could also stop people achieving work goals, causing stress. human resources body cipd said it agreed with the university‘s findings, and one of the world‘s biggest brands says traditional tea drinking is on the slide in the uk. unilever, the owner of pg tips and lipton, says a standard builder‘s brew is being pushed out by coffee and trendy herbal teas. the company said millennials and younger consumers are still drinking tea, but they are opting for higher end, expensive products compared to the older generation, and they drink a lot of coffee instead.

let‘s check in with the financial markets now. the pound is continuing to rise against the euro and the dollar as optimism washes through the markets that the brexit deal could be passed by mps. that‘s put pressure on the ftse — stuffed full of international companies which book profits in dollars investors have also been reacting that that loss of momentum in china‘s economy. it‘s already seen growth languishing at its slowest pace in around three decades — this latest slowdown adds to fears about a downturn in the global economy. shares in renault have sunk 11% after the french car—maker cut its revenue forecast for 2019. the company also cut its forecast for profitability, saying its operating margin would be 5%, down from a previous target of 6%. that‘s all the business news.

extinction rebellion is back at oxford circus in central london again despite being banned from protesting in the centre of the city. yesterday eight protestors were arrested after activists climbed onto tube trains across east london let‘s talk to our correspondent helena wilkinson, who is there. bring is up today with what has been going on? well, for the past three hours this whole area, which is, as you know, the busiest shopping area in central london, and been at a com plete in central london, and been at a complete standstill. demonstrators had put up, they have taken it down in the last couple of minutes, but a wooden makeshift teepee right in the centre of oxford circus where it joins regent street. some protesters had got onto the structure and then dotted around this area, there were various protesters who had chained

themselves together through metal pipes and they help to bring in specialist teams from the metropolitan police with cutting equipment to release those people. but that structure, as you can see has been brought down. an unusual sight in the centre of oxford circus because a jcb had to be sight in the centre of oxford circus because ajcb had to be brought sight in the centre of oxford circus because a jcb had to be brought here to get those two protesters to come down from that structure. there have been various arrests. there is a huge police presence in this area. 0fficers huge police presence in this area. officers from the metropolitan police, the city of london police and also british transport police. when some of the demonstrators on the ground was simply not moving, officers were giving them final warnings that they were obstructing a highway. when they did not move, they were picked up by officers, taken away they were picked up by officers, ta ken away and they were picked up by officers, taken away and then arrested. we don‘t have the number of people who have been arrested here yet. but things are now returning to normal

here in oxford circus but it was at a complete standstill and a big operation for the officers, again having to bring in specialist teams to try and release some of those demonstrators. 0n to try and release some of those demonstrators. on that wooden structure, there were people who had glued themselves onto some of the bamboo. in order to get the structure down, there was a specialist team who had to be brought for that. they were trained in abseiling and diving. but now it is looking, getting back to normal at the moment but still a big police presence and those cordons are still up. that is what has been happening above ground, but you are standing beside the entrances and exits to 0xford beside the entrances and exits to oxford road tube station, one of the busiest tube stations in london and presumably that access was blocked as well? yes, the whole area, you can probably make out around this area, there are dozens of police

officers and they have been keeping people away from the centre of it while they try and get the structure down at the demonstrators down. but there has been complete gridlock around here. isaw there has been complete gridlock around here. i saw some of the buses lined up earlier in this area. this is normally, as he will know, a very busy area. we think things should start moving, the police should start moving, the police should start moving, the police should start moving out of the way fairly shortly and think should be getting back to normal. but this is, we understand, the last eight of these protests by extinction rebellion. they are due to hold some kind of closing ceremony a little bit later on. not here, but elsewhere. thank you very much, helena wilkinson in central london. police have arrested more than 700 people across the uk, during a week—long operation to tackle so—called county lines drugs crime, where gangs from cities expand their operations to smaller towns. in total, drugs with a street value of around £a00,000 were also seized. here‘s our home affairs

correspondent, tom symonds. across the country, police forces urban and rural have been working together to move in on the county lines drug gangs. this was a joint west midlands—west mercia operation. suspected dealers from birmingham involved in the supply of drugs to worcestershire. 0perations like this take enormous resources in co—operation, but it seems to be working. in the week—long push, 743 people were arrested, more than £a20,000 worth of drugs were seized and 49 phone lines used for deals were disrupted. the police say there will be more to come. we know more than we have ever known about the gangs and those people who get exploited as part of county lines activity because we have real

close co—ordination now between different forces up and down the country. just as the police have changed their tactics, it‘s likely the gangs will too. they‘ve shown they‘re prepared to protect their trade — worth £500 million a year — and they seem to be here to stay. tom symonds, bbc news. a huge gunfight has erupted in north western mexico after the security forces seized one of the sons of the jailed drug kingpin el chapo. fighting raged for several hours in the city of culiacan between members of the sinaloa cartel and the police and military. from mexico city, will grant reports. culiacan is a city at war. not a conventional war, perhaps, but an intense and violent conflict all the same. heavily armed gunmen from the powerful sinaloa cartel exchanged sustained gunfire with the police and military

in the state capital, spreading panic in the city‘s main commercial district. their demand was simple. they wanted their leader, 0vidio guzman, the son of the notorious drug lord, joaquin "el chapo" guzman, to be released immediately. once the fighting subsided a little, the government gave its version of events, saying a routine police patrol had been attacked from a home and the officers went in to take control. translation: during this incident, one of them was identified as 0vidio guzman lopez. as a result, several organised crime groups surrounded the house with a force greater than that of the patrol unit. given the cartel‘s greater force and the potential harm to the civilian population, the authorities later said the police decided to turn the wanted drug lord over to his men. if that is in fact what happened,

and, in mexico, moments like this are generally very murky, it will be a huge embarrassment to the state and federal governments. at the same time, there was a prison break in the city involving as many as 20 inmates who escaped amid the chaos. "el chapo" guzman was recently sentenced to life in prison, plus 30 years, in the us on drug trafficking charges. his sons have partly inherited the family business. the government of president andres manuel lopez 0brador have been accused of failing to create a coherent security strategy on the drug war since coming to power nearly a year ago. this latest violence will only serve as further evidence to his critics that his administration needs to get a grip on the problems still sweeping much of the country. will grant, bbc news, mexico. now, let‘s have a look at the

weather forecast with simon king. not many dry days so far this 0ctober not many dry days so far this october and we have more showers in the forecast today. in fact, over the forecast today. in fact, over the next few days. low pressure is in charge at the moment with the spiral of cloud out towards the west. moving its way eastwards and lots of shower clouds out there and the showers have been heavy this morning. even the odd rumble of thunder and some hailstones down towards the south—west of england. shower clouds are building and also look at this, cloud on the underside and unstable air, those bulges in the cloud. you can expect to see some intense downpours and hail and that will continue across southern pa rt that will continue across southern part of england and south wales this afternoon. more persistent rain across the eastern side of scotland.

maximum temperature is 11 to 15 degrees. windy conditions across the south, especially where we have got those showers. rain across eastern scotla nd those showers. rain across eastern scotland edges further southwards. this is the area of low pressure. it is still there through the night, edging eastwards. it is weakening going into the weekend but it will mean for many of us during saturday, further showers or longer spells of rain, especially so in the central parts of scotland, edging further southwards, eventually into the north—east of england. 0ne southwards, eventually into the north—east of england. one or two showers further south but there will be sunshine across many southern areas during saturday. sunshine for northern ireland, the south and west of scotland. temperatures on saturday on par with today, 11 to 15 celsius but by sunday with a northerly wind starting develop, the area of low pressure moving away, it will feel cold buy. rain at times for the north—east of england, perhaps towards lincolnshire and east anglia. more cloud around on sunday. some bright and sunny spells

at times, but a drier day for many. with the northerly wind, temperature is eight or nine celsius in the north, 12 or 13 further south. into next week, i said we hadn‘t had many dry days so far, but with this area of high pressure moving in on monday and tuesday, things are looking some more subtle. 0vernight frost and a bit of fog but generally speaking, for the first part of next week it is looking drier with sunny spells. second half of the week is uncertain at the moment and it could turn more u nsettled at the moment and it could turn more unsettled but we will give you more details over the next few days. this is bbc news. i‘m ben brown live in westminster. the headlines at 11. borisjohnson tries to persuade mps to back his new brexit deal, ahead of an historic vote in parliament tomorrow. we‘ve got a chance now to get brexit done with a deal, and allow the country to move forward. we won't go for anything that

makes our constituents and our country poorer. and by any assessment, that's what this deal will do. i‘m nuala mcgovern, in brussels, where the summit continues. leaders move on to matters of climate change, also long—term eu budget, and priorities for the next five years. we‘ll have the latest reaction from here in westminster. this morning‘s other stories. more than 700 people are arrested across the uk as police clamp down on so called county lines drug gangs. there‘s been sporadic fighting in syria — despite turkey‘s agreement to suspend its military offensive against kurdish forces. there‘s fierce street fighting in mexico, as the son ofjailed drug lord el chapo is arrested and later released good morning.

i‘m here in westminster, where borisjohnson is trying hard today to persuade mps to back his new brexit deal, agreed with the european union. the house of commons will vote on the new deal tomorrow, the numbers are extremely tight, and that vote really is on a knife edge. northern ireland‘s democratic unionist mps won‘t support the deal, so mrjohnson‘s focus is on making sure as many as possible of his own conservative mps support it, and he‘s also hoping to win round labour mps who represent constituencies that voted leave in the referendum. so, let‘s take a look now at exactly what the prime minister agreed with. first, to avoid a hard border between northern ireland and the republic of ireland, northern ireland will remain aligned to a set of rules related to the eu‘s single market. northern ireland remains a part of the uk customs territory, but by avoiding a customs border on the island of ireland,

there will be a de facto border for goods down the irish sea. the controversial ‘backstop‘ has been removed, and members of the northern ireland assembly at stormont will have a say on the long—term application of eu law in northern ireland, but any decision would be based on a simple majority. let‘s take a look at how borisjohnson might get those all important votes tomorrow. there are 650 mps in the house of commons, but the seven sinn fein mps don‘t take their seats, and the speaker and three deputies don‘t vote, which means the number you need to get to the winning post and gain a commons majority is, in practice, 320. the conservatives now have 287 mps. borisjohnson can be confident of the support of most of them, but some may not vote for him especially if he fails to win over the dup before saturday. labour have 2112 mps, and the message from their leader, jeremy corbyn, is clearly to vote

against, but how many can be persuaded to vote for the deal despite the party‘s official position? the answer to this will be crucial. then, there are 36 independent mps. of those, by far the largest group is 23 who were formerly conservatives, but lost the whip or left. most of those who were previously tories are likely to back deal. there are 35 snp mps and they will vote against, as will the 19 liberal democrats. and as things stand, the 10 mps for the democratic unionist party say they cannot back the plan. if they change their minds it might be pivotal, but if they don‘t, it could be fatal for the deal. the independent group of change, who now have five mps, will also vote against, as will the four plaid cymru mps, and the one green.

0ur political correspondent jessica parker is with me. is there any way you think boris johnson can get this through? what is going to be crucial? the labour mp is saying that double figures will be pivotal. it absolutely will be pivotal. borisjohnson is going to have to work hard in those labour mps. all sorts of phone calls will be going on today and meetings. i have been over to parliament and there are not many mps around in the office. they may have headed back to their constituencies briefly or those who live far away you may be sticking around in london. in terms of whether he can get double figures in labourmps, i of whether he can get double figures in labour mps, i would say that we are not there yet in terms of being certain about that. it is certainly going to be necessary. especially

now, he has luck essentially lost the du ps. they are making it incredibly clear that they are not going to support the deal. the language has now hardened saying it is toxic. the problem there is, sammy wilson as well and the du p are actively calling on conservative mps that they are close with not to support the deal either. i have seen a tweet from steve baker which says that he is not saying yet what he is going to do. he could be quite influential in this process. an hour before the commons kicks off there isa before the commons kicks off there is a meeting. what is expected to happen tomorrow, the super saturday as we have called it? it is really a

moment of history, a great national moment. it is quite a remarkable thing to be happening. so tight ahead of this 31st of october deadline, at half past nine a whole lot of mps will be here well before that talking to people. the whips will be working very hard to do some arm twisting very last minute minute. we expect... we have been taught that things might come to a head around 2:30pm. we could see in a number of other amendments. to have been tabled ahead of time. the snp have put forward an amendment calling for an extension and an election. even if mps approve a deal tomorrow one once that make the more that he does select, if he does

select any the any the longer the proceedings could go on for. thank you very much indeed. we mention jointjohn mander. joining me now isjohn mann, the labour mp for bassetlaw. he says he will vote for mrjohnson‘s new brexit deal and expects over nine of his fellow labour mps to follow suit. but can you confirm that you are voting for the deal and why. yes i am voting for the deal. because it john mcdonnell says it will make the country poorer. he and i stood on a mat manifesto saying that we would respect the result of the referendum. both of us voted to have the referendum. if you have a referendum, you respect the results. that is what i will be doing. that is what the country did, and it will be easierfor me

is what the country did, and it will be easier for me because is what the country did, and it will be easierfor me because most is what the country did, and it will be easier for me because most of my constituents voted to leave as well. there is no ambiguity on the mandate that i have, and that is what i will be seen through, and that is what i was elected on, as were other mps. have you had any contact from the leadership or anyone telling you what should be doing or asking you to change your mind?” what should be doing or asking you to change your mind? i have had whips contact me. i have not had borisjohnson, john mcdonnell or anybody else contact me. is made up your own anybody else contact me. is made up yourown mind. anybody else contact me. is made up your own mind. also, there is a nervousness, actually, amongst the wit of overdoing it. because they can geta wit of overdoing it. because they can get a counter reaction to doing that. what i think mps will be doing is they will be thinking through what their constituents expect of

them. i‘ve had e—mails this morning, lots of them, from my constituents, overwhelmingly saying thank you for backing the deal. from people elsewhere in the country, lots of them say no. that is a disgrace that you‘re backing the deal. i‘m going to do what my constituents say —— i‘m interested in what my constituents say. the more that mps listen to their constituents, the more likely it is that this deal will get through. a lot of people on your side of the fence are saying that it would be damaging for workers‘s rights, environmental standards and so on. they know that thatis standards and so on. they know that that is a red herring because there will be a withdrawal bill. —— a withdrawal bill that is amendable, and a majority in parliament wanting

to keep workers‘s rights and environmental standards has the power to do it. indeed, a majority in parliament has the power to strengthen them better than the european euro union. that is democracy. there is an overwhelming majority in parliament to at least maintain our current standards, and a majority, ithink, to improve them. i have no fears whatsoever on those two issues, and i don‘t think that the general public would vote in politicians who try to get rid of paid holidays and try to water down our environmental standards. democracy will prevail on that. what do you think will happen tomorrow? i have seen you quoted that you think at least another nine mps —— labour mps will vote with you. that is double figures of labour mps voting for the prime minister‘s deal. is

that how you see it? yes. will it be ten or 15 or 20. i don‘t know. i would be confident that it will be in double figures. whether it isn‘t enough probably will come down to whether the e r g suddenly turns on borisjohnson. if whether the e r g suddenly turns on boris johnson. if half whether the e r g suddenly turns on borisjohnson. if half a dozen or ten of them vote against the deal, it will go down. labour mps, quite a numberare it will go down. labour mps, quite a number are committed publicly to committing —— to voting for this deal. there are no alternatives. it is either no—deal brexit or no exit. it is make your mind up time for mps. does that mean that you are

talking to other labour mps who have a view similar to yours and are sitting on the fence at the moment. are you trying to persuade them to side with you and vote for the deal? i think the big difference between this and theresa may‘s deal psychologically, is that labour empties —— labour mps didn‘t regard that as make your mind up time. they did not think this was it, we now have to decide. do we have no brexit, no deal, ora have to decide. do we have no brexit, no deal, or a deal? have to decide. do we have no brexit, no deal, ora deal? i have to decide. do we have no brexit, no deal, or a deal? i think thatis brexit, no deal, or a deal? i think that is quite different now. i think that is quite different now. i think that it that is quite different now. i think thatitis that is quite different now. i think that it is accurate, the view that people have taken, that you now have to make a choice. so, people will make a choice, and i don‘t think people think there will be another go in the future to do this. you either say we‘re having no brexit and had down that road and the consequences of that, or risk no deal and the consequences of that,

or you vote for the deal. thank you we are out of time. thank you very much. that is it from me here for the moment. we will say goodbye to the viewers on bbc two. in the last in the last half hour or so... clive coleman is at the court of appeal for us. talk as to the background on what has happened today. we have the we have this massive vote in parliament tomorrow so timing is everything. they were trying to persuade the court to hear a case which argues that the part caught make shows that prime minister conforms to the benn act. if there is no deal by the

19th, or if there is a deal that hasn‘t been approved by parliament, to seek an extension from the eu after —— to the 31st of january. if the deal is not approved tomorrow, it would be unlawful, there would be unlawful intent, if the prime minister encouraged the eu to say, look, you cannot have this extension in response to the letter. the court has a constitutional role to prevent that happening, because if it did happen, that would frustrate the will of parliament as expressed in the temp one mac at —— benn act. what was said on the half of the

government in this case was that the court cannot sensibly grant a declaration until there are facts to provide a live context. they said it may be unnecessary because section 1.1 of the benn act may approve a deal with the eu. the world may look very, very different after tomorrow‘s parliamentary proceedings. they did not give a full reasonjudgment, proceedings. they did not give a full reason judgment, but they have refused liberties application. if the deal is not approved by parliament, then we could expect another legal challenge to come through the courts very quickly. there is warning scotland that is waiting to come through the courts, and there could be another one revived at the high court here. where there is brexit, there are legal challenges. thank you very

much. we have been talking about the number crunching and arm twisting as borisjohnson tries to get backing for his deal. all this against the backdrop of the european summit of leaders in brussels. nuala mcgovern is there for us. they are moving on to other issues. they are moving on to other issues. they are moving on to other issues. they are hoping that the issue won‘t make its way back here to brussels again. we will see what happens at that special sitting taking place in westminster tomorrow. it is a momentous time, definitely, in british politics. i want to bring in our colleague gavin lee. you have

been watching all of it unfold. we spoke yesterday and you have been taking the temperature in the rooms of eu leaders. what have you found? there is a big breath and scion of relief from the leaders. it is one said it is not a champagne cork p°ppin9 said it is not a champagne cork popping moment for him, but others said there is a sadness too. the leaders for the danish and the germans and the polish, and they are delighted to be talking about something else today. they are talking about romania and macedonia potentially joining the talking about romania and macedonia potentiallyjoining the eu. these are countries that some would say haven‘t got a chance ofjoining the eu in the next decade, but you have the russian‘s sphere of influence. so this is something else they are talking about in the room today.

climate change is also on the agenda. they will be giving a press conference in the next hour i also understand. we are talking a little bit about westminster. 0ther understand. we are talking a little bit about westminster. other people talking about a potential extension and whether it might wind its way back here if borisjohnson is not successful tomorrow? is it three or five votes ? successful tomorrow? is it three or five votes? i think the point is that there is a sense that boris johnson said to them in the room yesterday that he believes that he can get the numbers. so far, they believe that he is sincere. it is not that they can trust him because who knows? he is trying to get those numbers but they don‘t know. i have been speaking to the members of the european council saying they could have another emergency eu summit.

angela merkel said yesterday to borisjohnson quite clearly angela merkel said yesterday to boris johnson quite clearly that we are not playing your game are saying we can rule out an extension. it seems that it was made quite firm to borisjohnson seems that it was made quite firm to boris johnson yesterday that they would not play uk politics. a green uk mp and mep, you think about the key countries that have the biggest sphere of effect, the dutch, the belgians, they will not shut the door because they were worried about the exposure to that. the other thing to mention is that i have spoken to the italianate ministration for conte. he has if

labour were on board. jeremy corbyn said that for environmental and work as‘s rights they cannot vote for it. all of the socialist leaders in europe, the spanish, the portuguese, and the italians as well said to robin that they don‘t have the same environmental concerns as him. clearly, it is at european level with the politicians as well. thank you for speaking to us. you‘re watching bbc news, these are our headlines boris johnson will attempt to persuade mps to back his new brexit deal today, ahead of a historic vote in parliament tomorrow. more than 700 people are arrested across the uk as police clamp down on so called county lines drug gangs. there‘s a pause in turkey‘s offensive against the kurds in northern syria,

but there are reports sport now, here‘s 0lly foster many thanks. their rugby league cup quarter finals many thanks. their rugby league cup quarterfinals coming many thanks. their rugby league cup quarter finals coming up many thanks. their rugby league cup quarterfinals coming up injapan. wales will be at full strength against japan on sunday. they had been waiting for dan biggar. he has recovered from concussion that kept them out of their last game. the head coach, warren gatland says they have no reason to fear the french. we have had a great record against them over the last eight games and the one we lost was the 100 minute game in paris. so in saying that they have always been close games but we will go in with a lot of belief and self—confidence.

the england scrum—half ben youngs says he has no issue, nor have any of the team, to dropjohn forward for colin farrell to make that match will start the tournament‘s knockout phase tomorrow morning. i‘ve been lucky to play with both of them and had a lot of game time with both and they are both outstanding playere. for me it does not make a difference. they are both... we are blessed to have two outstanding place fighting for that one position. it brings out the best in both of them. for me ijust need to make sure my service is good. the premier league returns tomorrow after its break, as does the no room for racism campaign. after monday night‘s game in bulgaria, where players were abused. fans are asked

to report discrimination if they witness anything. blue mac that there is no room for racism in the premier league or anywhere else. andy murray plays later in the quarterfinals of the european open in antwerp. he came through comfortably against pablo cuevas through comfortably against pablo cu evas last through comfortably against pablo cuevas last night in straight sets. he is planning to make this his last tournament of the year. his wife is due to give birth to their third child very soon. that‘s all from the sport. extinction rebellion was back at oxford circus in central london again today despite being banned from protesting in the centre of the city. 0ur correspondent helena wilkinson sent us this report as the met police worked to clear

them from the area.. what is normally the busiest shopping centre in london, what is happening at the moment and is that structures were extension rebellion have put up in the last hours. there have put up in the last hours. there have been two protesters up there, but specialist teams have now had to bring ajcb but specialist teams have now had to bring a jcb into this area to try and get these protesters down. they have got one of them down. you can probably see that they are talking to that second protester. presumably, they are reading his rights before he is brought down and arrested after that. what we saw earlier as well as that there were lots of protesters who had glued themselves to the bottom of that wooden structure, and also, around this area, there were various demonstrators who had chained

themselves to a metal pipe. what that meant was that specialist teams with various... you can see that protester is now being brought down to loud cheers from some of the demonstrators, who are being kept well back from this area. while the situation has been brought under control. that protester will now be brought down, but earlier on what we saw was specialist teams with putting your equipment —— putting equipment trying to remove the protesters who chained themselves around pipes in this area. they had to put in defenders and goggles on these protesters while they cut through the metal and release them. there have been various demonstrators who have been given final warners —— final warnings from officers for obstructing the highway. when they moved out of the way, they were lifted by officers

and arrested. the police have been working very swiftly to bring the situation under control, but the area, this whole area, has been at a com plete area, this whole area, has been at a complete standstill for the last couple of hours. so, the final protester now being brought down by the specialist teams, and we understand that this is the last day of the protest by extension rebellion. what we think might happen later on is that there may be some kind of closing ceremony, not here, but elsewhere. those final protesters are here, but elsewhere. those final protesters a re now here, but elsewhere. those final protesters are now being brought down and presumably once that happened, they will have to get the wooden structure and clear the area and get back to normal. just before we go to the weather.

police have arrested more than 700 people across the uk, during a week—long operation to tackle so—called ‘county lines‘ drugs crime — where gangs from cities expand their operations to smaller towns. in total, drugs with a street value of around 400—thousand pounds were also seized. here‘s our home affairs correspondent, tom symonds. across the country, police forces, urban and rural royal have been working together. together to move in on the county lines drug gangs. this was a joint west midlands—west mercia operation. suspected dealers from birmingham involved in the supply of drugs to worcestershire. 0perations like this take enormous resources in co—operation, but it seems to be working. in the week—long push, 743 people were arrested, more than £a20,000 worth of drugs were seized and 49 phone lines used for deals were disrupted.

the police say there will be more to come. we know more than we have ever known about the gangs and those people who get exploited as part of county lines activity because we have real close co—ordination now between different forces up and down the country. just as the police have changed their tactics, it‘s likely the gangs will too. they‘ve shown they‘re prepared to protect their trade — worth £500 million a year — and they seem to be here to stay. tom symonds, bbc news. the six—year—old boy seriously injured after allegedly thrown from the viewing platform of the tate modern has been moved out of intensive care. the french youngster is now in a rehabilitation centre. his family say he looks like "a little knight" — with splints keeping his limbs in place as he recovers. 18—year—old jonty bravery is due to appear in court next month for allegedly throwing the boy from the 10th floor of the art gallery.

now, it‘s time for a look at the weather. low pressure in control of our weather. the showers are not distributed, a lot of them pushing in and gusty winds with these as well a spell of rain affecting parts of eastern scotland. there is also some sunshine to be had. a bit of dry weather in east anglia, for example. a spiral of low pressure keeping with a sober night, particularly to the south and west, and still reigning in the south of scotla nd and still reigning in the south of scotland and keeping down into single figures. the rain will move out of scotland and into parts of northern england. behind that, they‘ll be quite stiff northerly

winds and a showers dotted about. 0ne winds and a showers dotted about. one or two there will be a chill, back to the when compared to recent days and that spreads further south as we go on to the rest of the weekend and those showers fading on sunday. good afternoon, i‘m ben brown here in westminster, where borisjohnson is trying hard today to persuade mps to back his new brexit deal,

agreed with the european union. earlier, we asked you to send in your questions about the deal. i‘m nowjoined here by georgina wright from the institute for government, and by our reality check correspondent chris morris in brussels, who will try to answer some of them. we have asked you to send in your questions on this latest brexit deal. someone from tamworth are saying what is the difference between this deal and theresa may‘s deal which was rejected three times in the commons? it is an excellent question. most of the agreement is exactly the same at the big changes

are around the northern ireland protocol so the backstop has gone and the political declaration which signals we will have a looser arrangement with the eu going forward. the big changes are northern ireland, we have one that northern ireland, we have one that northern ireland, we have one that northern ireland would remain within the eu‘s area for industrial goods and agriculture which means it applies to more eu standards than the uk. the reason is the uk wanted to minimise those checks along the irish border. we know there are some questions around vat and that northern ireland would apply the eu's northern ireland would apply the eu‘s custom duties and tariffs on any products coming into northern ireland. there would be some exceptions so if you live in england and moving to northern ireland, he would not be subjected to tariffs and they will be other the goods deemed less risky but those have yet to be negotiated in the transition period. let's go to chris in brussels, we have dennis in boroughbridge who is asking, could mps amend the prime minister‘s deal

to include an alignment with the european union on workers‘ rights? they cannot buy themselves amend their withdrawal agreement because it is an international treaty effectively, which the government has agreed with 27 other countries. it could suggest changes in the house of commons but the government would have to go back and negotiate them with the eu. the main reference to' rights in this package is not in the legally binding withdrawal agreement, it is in the political declaration, a section which says after the end of a post brexit transitions period, both parties would agree to uphold high standards ina series would agree to uphold high standards in a series of areas, one of them being social and employment rights. but the political declaration is non—binding. it is aspirational. it could be changed in the future by a different government wanting to go ina different different government wanting to go in a different direction. at the moment, i guess you can argue there

is no cast—iron guarantee that workers' right will be protected absolutely as they are now, under any new dispensation. but mps cannot simply on saturday or in the days to come, amend the deal on their own. they would need to seek the agreement of the other countries as well. thank you, chris. even in edinburgh is asking with the new deal ensure the uk is a coastal state with full ownership and control of its waters and its fish? this is an issue that has to be negotiated in the next age, so it is about the future relationship. what the political declaration to save the political declaration to save the uk will be an independent coastal states, it will lead the common fisheries policy so the eu‘s fisheries policy and that has to be a negotiation between the uk and eu around quotas and access to fishing waters and the hope is they will reach an agreement before the 1st of july 2020. not too long to go.

robert is asking, allowing a single majority vote at stormont broke the good friday agreement which demands both sides must agree. how can the good friday agreement be overruled like this? this is one of the big controversies in northern ireland and certainly the dup would agree with robert. they did argue strongly saying there should be, what you call a double majority in the northern ireland assembly. in other words, both communities, nationalists and unionists giving a majority. and there is language in the good friday agreement which sets out that that sort of double majority should be used for major changes. i have heard it argued the other way. saying if you want to ta ke other way. saying if you want to take that literally, why shouldn't there be a double majority in northern ireland for leaving the eu in the first place. that is a massive change in northern ireland's status. what we have in this proposed deal as robert points out, isa proposed deal as robert points out, is a single majority. if this deal goes through, after the end of a

transition period, in about 2024 at the earliest, there would be a vote in the northern ireland assembly about whether they want to continue with the economic arrangements which this agreement sets out. that would only be by a simple majority in the assembly. it wouldn't have to have a majority both communities. the argument about whether that breaks the good friday agreement or not, it's going to run and run. suzanne is asking, will those who are eu passport holding, still be entered to enter the uk to work and live after october the 31st and if yes, when will they lose their rights? that is an excellent question, like much of brexit depends on the outcome. there are different scenarios. if you are an irish citizen, it doesn‘t apply to because the uk and ireland has a separate agreement. but let‘s assume this deal that has been reached in brussels does pass on saturday, then the uk would enter a transition period. if you are an eu citizen,

during that time you can come to the uk, work and move here. you have the same rights. during that time you‘d have to apply for subtle status if you did want to remain in the uk after the 31st of october. if the dealfails on saturday after the 31st of october. if the deal fails on saturday and the government asks for a further delay, the uk would remain a member state so nothing changes. if for some reason the uk left after the 31st of 0ctober reason the uk left after the 31st of october with no deal, then it would be slightly different because the home office is currently setting up a registration scheme for eu citizens who would be looking to move to the eu after the 31st of 0ctoberfor a short move to the eu after the 31st of october for a short period. but some of the details still need to be ironed out. back to chris, we have nick in germany and this is a specific question. so a bit of advanced notice. he says, iam british, my spanish wife and i lived in the uk for six years from 2000 to 2006. we were married there, had two

children there, who are british. under germany, under the new deal, will my wife be able to move back to the uk with me after the transition period without requiring expensive visas? you can imagine, we get lots of specific questions like this, understandably about people who are worried about their family circumstances. after the end of the transition period, the uk will be setting its own immigration policies. we don't know precisely what those immigration rules are going to be yet. the closest we can guess at the moment is to look at what happens for non—eu spouses that british citizens want to bring to this country. it is not a case of expensive visas, if you want to bring a spouse from outside the eu into the uk and you are british at the moment, it is about showing what kind of income you have and you have to have an income to bring a spouse in from abroad of more than £18,600. if you are children, it isjust over

£3000 for the first child and another £2000 for the next child. it is about showing you have the ability and the means to financially look after anyone you are bringing with you, if you bring a spouse from another country. that is what happens for non—eu spouses at the moment, andl happens for non—eu spouses at the moment, and i have to stress, i know it is difficult because it is a source of anxiety for so many families, we don't know precisely what uk immigration policy is going to look like after the end of the transition period if it is to come after a brexit deal. one more to each of you, georgina, chris is asking, and this is central to how this deal is going to work, how will gods of people passing between the uk mainland and northern ireland be monitored as to their origin and their destination? this is very much what was in this deal and the agreement they have reached over the

past couple of days. this would enter into force after the transition period, assuming the deal will pass in parliament on saturday. what it says is there would be checks on goods entering northern ireland and so from mainland uk as well. but there would be certain exemptions on personal properties and on other goods that are deemed less risky. what those goods are, it has yet to be determined and that will be determined during the transition period and by thejoint committee, which is a committee set up committee, which is a committee set up ofan committee, which is a committee set up of an equal number are british and eu representatives and how their checks are conducted also, is unclear at this point. lots to see over the next couple of months. chris in brussels, last one to you. mary from st leonards on sea asked, we re mary from st leonards on sea asked, were lorries from ireland be checked as they reach britain? and as they leave if they are just transiting, what proof there will be back goods have not been added or removed while they have been in england? ok, this

is another slightly unsatisfactory, it depends what gets negotiated, answer. if this deal goes through, until the end of 2020 at least there will be a transition period where rules and regulations stay the same so there won't be any checks. after that, it depends, having got a free trade agreement which removes some checks. yes, there would be some checks. yes, there would be some checks on lorries in the future after the end of 2020 going from ireland to the uk and then those checks would have to happen again between the uk and france. obviously, on both sides, the incentive is to make the sort of crossings as a check free as possible, as frictionless as possible, as frictionless as possible but one thing we have learnt is the only way you can get completely frictionless trade between ireland and france is to remain in the single market on the

customs union. if britain is choosing to leave institutions there will be slightly more impediments to trade in the future even if we get a decent trade agreement. chris, thank you very much, chris morris in brussels, answering your questions about this deal and also thank you to georgina right from the institute for government here at westminster. right, let‘s get the business news now, susanna has got that. now, the business news. the confederation of british industry says businesses have given a cautious welcome to the brexit deal the goverment has reached with the eu. cbi director general carolyn fairbairn said it‘s a step forward and although its not a perfect deal we can work with it. british manufacturers for scotch whisky to biscuits and savile row suits are braced for a significant financial hit after us tariffs came into effect

in retaliation for subsidies given to aerospace manufacturer airbus. french, spanish, german and uk still wines will also face the new 25% import tariff from today. sainsbury‘s has become the first major supermarket to stop selling fireworks at its 2,300 stores across the uk. the company said it made the decision following a regular yearly review of all its products. last year, a petition to ban the public sale of fireworks to protect animals, children and people with a phobia attracted more than 300,000 signatures. more now on reaction to the brexit deal from british businesses. the reworded political declaration in the deal paves the way for a future free trade agreement with the uk with the eu — but one which allows for more divergence on domestic regulation. the cbi has said companies have serious concerns about this and has called for "frictionless trade" with the eu to be put "back on the table". the institute of directors have also said that business leaders will feel guarded relief at the breakthrough in the brexit talks but will want

time to fully examine the detail. let‘s find out more about the views at the institute of directors, allie renison, head of eu and trade policy there, joins me. you say you want more time, businesses need more time, but we haven‘t got much time because businesses are due to vote on this tomorrow? it is something we're working through with members in northern ireland. a lot of this deal is exactly the same but not about the future relationship. there have been changes to the non—binding political declaration and that is subject to change. where i think there are reservations about trying to understand the detail is particularly around the fact that whereas before for businesses in northern ireland, you had an alternative, an insurance policy under the back drop that was never meant to be triggered. suddenly this has been front—loaded onto the agreement. this will be the starting point at the point of eu exit at the end of the transition period that

will be incorporated into the agreement. a lot of questions around detail, vat, protections for the internal market them accurately, and we are working to some of the detail with those members but it is relief there is something to actually vote on. do you share the concerns of the confederation of british industry about the fact that actually, they are worried that in the future the priority will be given to doing trade deals with other countries, such as the united states and not the eu and many other businesses have an awful lot of trade tied up with the european union and it is such a major trading partner? yes, obviously this is where we come back to the previous prime minister‘s deal. you were in the same situation insofar as this was an exit deal and what mps were voting on and not the future relationship, even though it sets a broad framework. but that will be flushed out in full detail and whilst there is some disappointment in the dropping of the prior authorisation of frictionless trade, there is nothing binding that says this is what the

future relationship is going to be. where we have my reservations is in the binding part of the agreement, we are working through some of the detailfor we are working through some of the detail for those northern we are working through some of the detailfor those northern irish businesses, because this part of the agreement is no longer a backstop, it is the point at which it will be implemented once we are through the transition period. so instead of it being a insurance policy, we are working through this detail with our members at the moment. good luck with that. thank you very much. china‘s economy grew at a slower pace than expected in the third quarter, as it struggled with a us—led trade war and softer domestic demand. in the three months to september, the economy expanded 6% from a year earlier — its slowest pace in about 30 years. the result fell just short of expectations for 6.1% growth for the period. banning staff from accessing their work emails outside office hours could do more harm than good to employee wellbeing, a study suggests.

university of sussex researchers found, while a ban could help some staff switch off, it could also stop people achieving work goals, causing stress. human resources body cipd said it agreed with the university‘s findings. and one of the world‘s biggest brands says traditional tea drinking is on the slide in the uk. unilever, the owner of pg tips and lipton, says a standard builder‘s brew is being pushed out by coffee and trendy herbal teas. the company said millennials and younger consumers are still drinking tea but they are opting for higher end, expensive products compared to the older generation, and they drink a lot of coffee instead. let‘s check in with the financial markets now. the pound is continuing to rise against the euro and the dollar, as optimism washes through the markets that the brexit deal could be passed by mps. that‘s put pressure on the ftse, stuffed full of international companies which book profits in dollars. investors have also been reacting to that loss

of momentum in china‘s economy. it‘s already seen growth languishing at its slowest pace in around three decades. this latest slowdown adds to fears about a downturn in the global economy. shares in renault have sunk 11% after the french carmaker cut its revenue forecast for 2019. the company also cut its forecast for profitability, saying its operating margin would be 5%, down from a previous target of 6%. that‘s all the business news.

the headlines on bbc news... boris johnson will attempt to persuade mps to back his new brexit deal today, ahead of a historic vote in parliament tomorrow. more than 700 people are arrested across the uk as police clamp down on so called county lines drug gangs. there‘s a pause in turkey‘s offensive against the kurds in northern syria — but there are reports of some fighting. turkey has agreed to a five day ceasefire in northern syria to let kurdish—led forces withdraw. us president trump says the suspension of fighting will save millions of lives. despite this, there has been sporadic shelling and gunfire in northern syria. from the turkey—syria border, barbara plett usher sent us this update. well this is ras al—ayn behind me, one of the most hotly contested parts of the zone where the turks invaded and the kurds are entrenched there and have been fighting furiously. so in a way it is going to be a real test of whether this agreement

is actually going to work, or whether it will be carried out. we understand that around 8am, there was a round of artillery fire and gunfire. there were plumes of smoke. and since then it has been mostly quiet. occasionally some gunfire. we just heard a single round fired a few minutes ago. mostly though, it has been quiet. from kurdishjournalists who are based inside the city, they say a militia that is allied to the turkish military, the syrian national army, has been deploying in extra forces since the ceasefire was announced and that it is engaging kurdish fighters, it is shooting at them especially around the hospital and that one kurdish fighter was killed. but the sna has said to us that there are no clashes. it is implementing the accord. it has, however, admitted that there are reinforcements being sent to all the front lines. a huge gunfight has erupted in north western mexico after the security forces seized one of the sons of the jailed drug kingpin el chapo.

fighting raged for several hours in the city of culiacan between members of the sinaloa cartel and the police and military. from mexico city, will grant reports. culiacan is a city at war. not a conventional war, perhaps, but an intense and violent conflict all the same. heavily armed gunmen from the powerful sinaloa cartel exchanged sustained gunfire with the police and military in the state capital, spreading panic in the city‘s main commercial district. their demand was simple. they wanted their leader, 0vidio guzman, the son of the notorious drug lord, joaquin "el chapo" guzman, to be released immediately. once the fighting subsided a little, the government gave its version of events, saying a routine police patrol had been attacked from a home and the officers

went in to take control. translation: during this incident, one of them was identified as 0vidio guzman lopez. as a result, several organised crime groups surrounded the house with a force greater than that of the patrol unit. given the cartel‘s greater force and the potential harm to the civilian population, the authorities later said the police decided to turn the wanted drug lord over to his men. if that is in fact what happened, and, in mexico, moments like this are generally very murky, it will be a huge embarrassment to the state and federal governments. at the same time, there was a prison break in the city involving as many as 20 inmates who escaped amid the chaos. "el chapo" guzman was recently sentenced to life in prison, plus 30 years, in the us on drug trafficking charges. his sons have partly inherited the family business. the government of president andres

manuel lopez 0brador have been accused of failing to create a coherent security strategy on the drug war since coming to power nearly a year ago. this latest violence will only serve as further evidence to his critics that his administration needs to get a grip on the problems still sweeping much of the country. will grant, bbc news, mexico. scientists developing techniques to count great whales from space say the largest ever recorded stranding of the animals was probably underestimated. the carcasses of more than 340 whales were spotted in 2015 on the remote beaches of patagonia in chile, but that survey was conducted from planes and boats, and carried out many weeks after the deaths actually occurred. our science correspondent rebecca morelle reports. it was stranding on a huge scale. last year in australia, there were more than 150 wales washed up.

by the time rescuers got there, most were dead. now, though, there is a new, faster way to track strandings, from space. using powerful satellites, scientists can scan thousands of kilometres of coast, zooming in on the animals until the body of a beached whale is revealed. satellites can enable us to take pictures and see whale strandings much more rapidly than people have the capacity to do on the ground in remote areas. and it will give us that extra opportunity to react quickly. the hope is that that technology could reveal how many whales are stranded and where they are stranded, which could help us to understand what is causing these deadly events. with so many pressures in the oceans, scientists are watching whale numbers carefully, using satellites to monitor them. now it‘s time for a look at the weather with simon king.

low pressure is moving in across the british isles and that is why there are heavy showers this afternoon. also a bit of sunshine. into nottinghamshire, from this deal earlier, and then we got the heavy showers around into wales on some of them can come with a rumble of thunder. a swell of cloud around the area of low pressure, dots of cloud and they are the heavy showers moving on. a lot of them are across the western side of the uk. you can see on the recent radar picture. we started with some across eastern parts but a lot of these have moved out of the way. a large part of the afternoon from east anglia into eastern parts. aberdeen, ten to 20 millimetres of rain and some spots may get a bit more before the day is done. she was coming towards wales and southern england along the south coast and they will be accompanied with gusty winds and expose coast

gusting up to 55 mph into the channel islands as well. as we go into tonight, we will see most of the showers and longer spells of rain and pushing further south through scotland with a good deal of cloud around. many seen temperatures dipping into single figures. could be the odd mist and fog patch around for some as we start the day tomorrow. and tomorrow, this area of low cloud and rain slowly feeding out of scotland into parts of northern england. notice the northerly wind getting stronger into northern scotland with a few showers. that will be a biting wind, you will feel the chill with that on saturday. northern ireland may pick up saturday. northern ireland may pick up the shower with one or two around but there will be some sunny spells. there is the low pressure, by sunday heading out into the north sea. closer to that, still a few showers around particular parts of eastern scotla nd around particular parts of eastern scotland and north—east england. but there will be dry weather around on sunday. a good deal of cloud and still the chance of mist and fog patches to start the day and more of us tapping into the northerly breeze

as well. we are going to feel things cooling down on sunday with temperatures into the mid—teens but most of us lower than that. single figures in northern scotland. as low pressure m oves figures in northern scotland. as low pressure moves away, high pressure builds in for the start of next week. so for most places, the first couple of days are looking dry with a bit of fog and frost around.

borisjohnson is in a race to try to persuade mps to back his new brexit deal, ahead of an historic vote in parliament tomorrow. the prime minister says he‘s very confident he‘ll win — the result is expected to be tight. of course, we‘re going to try to persuade and point out the real positives in this deal, on the substance, on the merits and i‘m confident that that will help bring people behind it, and obviously it will be a close vote tomorrow but i‘m confident we can get this done now. but opposition parties are set to vote against him, and northern ireland‘s ten democratic unionist mps won‘t support the deal. the deal is toxic as far as northern ireland is concerned. it does not meet the promises which the prime minister made,