tv BBC News at Five BBC News October 18, 2019 5:00pm-5:46pm BST
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live at westminster, ahead of an historic vote in parliament tomorrow as mps decide whether they will back borisjohnson's brexit deal. the prime minister is briefing his cabinet — he says he's confident his deal will pass but the result is expected to be tight. this is an opportunity notjust to deliver it brexit absolutely on october the 31st, but start a new chapter for october the 31st, but start a new chapterfor our october the 31st, but start a new chapter for our country. but will they get the numbers? the dup and labour, and every opposition party saying they'll vote against the deal. the deal is toxic as far as northern
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ireland is concerned. the whole of united kingdom will be leaving the eu. i'll be back injust a moment to give you all the analysis of what could happen. the other headlines at five: there are huge protests tonight in barcelona about the jailing of catalan leaders — the city has been brought to a standstill police make more than 700 arrests in a week—long push to tackle so—called county lines drug gangs. he asked me to marry him. sol he asked me to marry him. so i poor thing, he will recover. angelia jolie returns in maleficent: mistress of evil. see what mark kermode thinks of that and the rest of this week's releases in the film review.
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good evening and welcome from westminster, where the prime minister is in a race to try to persuade mps to back his new brexit agreement before tomorrow's crucial vote in parliament. borisjohnson says he's "very confident" he'll win backing for the deal struck yesterday in brussels, but the result is expected to be tight. with opposition parties, and the dup, set to vote ido i do apologise, we have problems with his mic there in westminster. we will try to establish connection with him there later on. just a scene set for you tonight, in terms of where we are, or isjohnson trying to convince mps to switch sides, while keeping his own backbenchers onboard. our political correspondent, iain watson, has this report.
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here's a turn—up for the books. iain watson, has this report. a conservative prime minister who actually seemed to enjoy his excursion to brussels. backslapping all round as borisjohnson secured a brexit deal yesterday, with 2a hours these days is a long time in politics. he is facing more difficulties back in britain than in brussels, as he struggles to get enough mps on side. so, what kind of deal will they be putting on? much of it is similar to theresa may's, for example, protecting citizens‘ rights, eu residents here, uk citizens over there. the uk will also pay what the eu regards as its financial obligations, a divorce bill of around £33 billion. but the deal is different when it comes to northern ireland. there will be no border checks in ireland, but there will be checks on some goods going from great britain to northern ireland, and this has cost the support of the dup. the deal is toxic as far as northern ireland is concerned. it does not meet the promises
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that the prime minister made that the whole of the united kingdom will leave in the eu. so, we will not be voting for the deal and we will be voting against it, and encouraging others to do so. borisjohnson has lost the dup, but he will be hoping to hold on to some of his sceptical mps who share his views. so, would the government discipline any of their own politicians who step out of line? of course, we are going to try and persuade and point out the real positives in this deal on the substance, on the merits, and i'm confident that will help bring people behind it, and obviously it would be a close vote tomorrow. i'm confident we can get this done now. here is a measure of how hard the government is trying to get the deal through. conservative whips, those who try to keep party discipline, have been calling their colleagues, including, presumably by mistake, an mp who had actually defected to the lib dems. i just got a call saying there is word on the grapevine
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that you're going to vote for this deal, is there anything i can do to help? and i told him that actually there is nothing i can do to help them, or they can do to help me. this is a lousy deal. meanwhile, the labour leadership are trying to keep their mps in leave areas from backing the deal. this is what the champ shadow chancellor told this mp, was likely to vote with borisjohnson. i had a chat with ronnie, because one thing he stood up for all his life is the protection of workers‘ rights. this will undermine workers‘ rights in our country. how did that chat go? at the moment i will be voting to support the deal, but i am getting a lot of pressure from the head lads of the labour party like corbyn and john mcdonnell to abstain, because of the deregulisation of workers‘ rights. if all these manoeuvrings weren‘t complicated enough, i‘m afraid i have to tell you that something else is going to happen in westminster tomorrow, as well.
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a cross—party group of mps are going to try to change boris johnson‘s deal to make sure it only comes into effect if he is willing to extend the brexit deadline. they say it is an insurance policy against leaving with no deal at all. if we don‘t need the extension, having asked for it, we shall terminate immediately, and we are all in favour of doing this as rapidly as possible. we want to make sure we don‘t drop out by mistake on the 31st of october if something goes wrong in between saturday and then. saturday is likely to be one of the most dramatic moments in westminster in recent years. the stakes are high, and the key votes will be close. the home secretary, priti patel, says the government is working hard to secure the votes to get boris johnson‘s brexit deal through tomorrow.
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we wa nt we want to work hard tonight and tomorrow to get the votes in parliament. i'm confident that, with the prime minister was or new deal and the fact that he has achieved what people said he could not achieve in terms of opening up the withdrawal agreement, achieve in terms of opening up the withdrawalagreement, opening achieve in terms of opening up the withdrawal agreement, opening up the backstop, getting back control, on that basis, i think we have a compelling proposition to get parliament to back this new deal and help us leave the eu. our political correspondentjess parker is in downing street for us. that cabinet meeting has been going on. we heard from priti patel that she is confident they will get the deal through parliament. boris johnson is confident. are they right to be confident? i think that things are in such a knife edge, confidence might be overdoing it for the moment, but they are making phone calls, trying to persuade people all
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day. cabinet has just wrapped up. calls, trying to persuade people all day. cabinet hasjust wrapped up. we have seen cabinet ministers pouring out of number ten, the meeting didn‘t last optically long time, and you got to imagine that one of the things they were talking about is the chances of getting the deal through. as they left downing street this afternoon, they were remaining pretty tight—lipped as they were askedif pretty tight—lipped as they were asked if they were confident the deal could get through tomorrow. perhaps the most striking moment was whenjacob rees—mogg perhaps the most striking moment was when jacob rees—mogg went perhaps the most striking moment was whenjacob rees—mogg went over to get in his ministerial car, got in the wrong car and then came over here to get into the correct vehicle. they were giving much away, but certainly all of them will have been involved in this concerted effort to win a sufficient number of mps around. this special sitting of the commons on saturday, which hasn‘t happened since the falklands, so hasn‘t happened since the falklands, so it is very unusual. we have a couple of amendments, at least,
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including the one that ian watson mentioned from oliver let win that could throw a spanner in the works as far as the prime minister is concerned. —— oliver letwin. as far as the prime minister is concerned. -- oliver letwin. it is designed to make the approval conditional on him actually passing the legislation. the reason he is doing that is that if borisjohnson won tomorrow‘s meaningful vote, the benn act, designed to stop a no deal would essentially be killed off, because he would have got approval for a deal. oliver letwin is worried that in the intervening period between tomorrow and the 31st of october, things could happen. the legislation could get held up, mps could change our minds in terms of supporting it and you could be looking at a no deal on the 31st of october. as amendment is designed tomorrow to still make borisjohnson ask for an extension even if the
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deal does go through. he just wants to stop no deal. downing street sees ita to stop no deal. downing street sees it a little bit differently. if you look at the names on the amendment, you‘ve gotjo swinson, leader of the liberal democrats, and downing street are seeing it as an attempt by some to frustrate the referendum. i‘m joined now by conservative mp greg hands, the former international trade minister. can the prime minister count on your vote ? can the prime minister count on your vote? i will be voting for the deal, i think it is a better deal than theresa may did, and i will be supporting it tomorrow. why is it better? first of all, it enables the uk to entera better? first of all, it enables the uk to enter a free—trade agreement with the eu, ratherthan
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uk to enter a free—trade agreement with the eu, rather than being a customs union. secondly, it northern ireland in the customs union. this deal respects the good friday agreement. this is a key reason that it is better than theresa may's third dup, which are your allies, have said it's toxic. i don't agree with that. i think knows a man gets a good deal through this. they get access to a good trade policy, they remain in the customs area, and it prevents the ha rdboa rd remain in the customs area, and it prevents the hardboard on the island of ireland. i think it's a good deal for northern ireland. no veto on stormont. they say they‘ve been betrayed. it enables northern ireland and stormont to have a say, which wasn't in the previous deal, which wasn't in the previous deal, which is important. northern ireland
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is bigger than four eu countries, it is bigger than four eu countries, it is important that they have a say. we‘ve heard is that numbers will be very, very tight tomorrow. who will be the pivotal votes that the prime minister‘s needs? be the pivotal votes that the prime minister's needs? i am former chief whip for the government, and i think it will be very tight. groups to look out for will be the conservative members of the erg, who did not vote for the theresa may deal. the ten members of the dup, i am hoping they can still change their mind and back what i think is a good deal for northern ireland, and a third group is labour mps who wa nt and a third group is labour mps who want to follow their manifesto commitment. their manifesto said to leave the european union with a deal. now there is a deal on the table. they should abide by their owi'i table. they should abide by their own manifesto. briefly, as a former
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chief whip, give us an idea of the tactics of the whips will be using. will they be twisting arms to make? their office will never discuss tactics, but what you need to do is, this is a very unusual votes, where individual mps will have strong views. actually, it will be a question of speaking to those individual members of parliament, finding out what their individual concerns are trying to those concerns. i think it will be a very tailored strategy in terms of how you approach those mps. so what do voters think of mrjohnson‘s agreement? in the eu referendum, more than two—thirds of people in barnsley voted to leave the eu. but the town is represented by two labour mps, whose party is opposed to mrjohnson‘s deal. our north of england correspondent, danny savage, has been speaking to voters about tomorrow‘s vote.
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barnsley, a traditionally labour town that voted out in the referendum. how do people here feel about their local mps being made to vote against their constituency? it's vote against their constituency? it‘s dragged on and dragged on. vote against their constituency? it's dragged on and dragged onlj wa nt it's dragged on and dragged onlj want to leave. your mp has been told not to. i know! it's theirjob to do it, isn't it? i'm so undecided, i'm up it, isn't it? i'm so undecided, i'm up in the air with it all.|j it, isn't it? i'm so undecided, i'm up in the air with it all. i think they should vote to leave, because they should vote to leave, because the country voted to leave. simple as that. we voted differently on the brexit thing, and it's the only thing that we would argue about. we try not to talk about it too much. which is why don‘t want to talk to me! most people here think there is
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nothing different about the conundrum facing mps tomorrow. people in barnsley voted to leave, it‘s simple. people in barnsley voted to leave, it's simple. you'll be very happy if you see your mp define what he‘s been told to do by the party. well, does his loyalties lie with the party or with the people who voted him in? that‘s how he‘s getting the big salary, from the electorate. do you think your mp should defy big salary, from the electorate. do you think your mp should denyeremy corbyn? yes, he should. most of barnsley want to come out, so why would he not vote to come out? outside barnsley college, there was a note of caution. ideal, yes, in my opinion, because then at least we can have something and plan with it, because if they keep changing from no deal to a deal, it becomes confusing. barnsley feels no less
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pro—brexit than it did when we reported from here the day after the referendum. we‘ll be watching what mps do tomorrow. well president of the european council, donald tusk, gave his reaction after the european council summit. he described boris johnson as surprisngly effective — but that he would be reserving hisjudgment until after tomorrow‘s vote in the house of commons. i am absolutely sure that borisjohnson is really determined to finalise the deal. no doubt. i have different opinions about brexit, but i should say that boris johnson is surprisingly effective. it‘s not only determination, but also some political skills, but we are still before the decision. in fact, our assessment will be complete only after voting in the house of commons.
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and irish prime minister leo varadkar also said he supports the new brexit deal — but stressed to mps voting on the agreement that they shouldn‘t assume an extension is available. donald tusk, the president of the european council would consult individually with all of the eu leaders to see if we would agree to such a request. bear in mind, that request would have to be agreed unanimously by all 27 leaders, so i don‘t think any mp voting tomorrow should be making the assumption that there would be unanimity for a further extension. our point of view has always been that we would be open to it, but it would be a mistake to assume that it‘s a guarantee, given that it requires unanimity by all 27 member states. let‘s cross to brussels now, we can speak to our europe reporter, gavin lee.
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the message from the eu seems to be don‘t assume if you want an extension that it is available. you could argue a coordinated response. president macron said, i don‘t think we will grant a further delay. jean—claude juncker said no sense we will grant a further delay. jean—claudejuncker said no sense of prolongation, and if they don‘t vote through it, it makes it very complicated. it is down to the leaders, and it is not universal. the danish planning minister has made it clear that they don‘t want to be doing uk politics. they will not rule out an extension, that is something that will have to be on the table. not universal, but a lot of leaders trying to throw in some weight behind boris johnson, of leaders trying to throw in some weight behind borisjohnson, and i got a sense from speaking to jean—claude juncker and mr tusk, there is almost a slow hand clap of
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respect. this is a man they thought was just winding the clock down, and donald tusk saying for those who frustrate prescot that there is a special place in hell, junkojuncker said he trusted him more. let‘s see what‘s done on saturday, as to whether we conclude what happens with boris and the whole brexit situation. some critics have claimed the new deal reduces the commitment to maintain workers‘ rights , with this being removed from the new withdrawal agreement and now covered in the non binding political declaration. let‘s talk now to professor catherine barnard, professor in eu law and employment law at the university of cambridge. can you spell out the differences as you see them on workers‘ rights
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between the steel and theresa may‘s deal? absolutely. in theresa may's deal, as part of the backstop, you had level playing field commitments, which is maintenance workers‘ rights. that was in the legally binding document. what is happening now is the so—called level playing field commitments have been put into political declaration, which is political declaration, which is political not legal. that said, there is a link between the withdrawal agreement text, the legally binding tax, that says there will be endeavours to get the political declaration done, and, of course, the eu is deeply worried about having a sort of singapore on thames tile country just about having a sort of singapore on thames tile countryjust on its borders, so will probably insist that there will be no level playing field commitments. we've heard concerns about this from labour. in
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your opinion, do you think the right to be concerned about the workers‘ rights issue? certainly, the fact that these playing field commitments have been moved automatically wea ke ns have been moved automatically weakens their position. but what the interesting question is, what we mean by workers‘ rights? do we mean that the uk must carry on respecting the whole body of eu rules on workers‘ rights as it stands at the moment, a sort of static or non—aggression position, there be a requirement for the uk to carry on implementing future eu directives on workers‘ rights? in other words, economic position. that is not clear from the wording of the text in the political declaration, but the bottom line is, there clearly is an expectation that the uk will comply with workers‘ rights, otherwise
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there will be no free trade agreement post 2020. i‘m joined now by dominic grieve, a prominent opponent of brexit. thank you for being with us. how do you think tomorrow will go, this crucial vote ? loo ks think tomorrow will go, this crucial vote? looks like it are beret tights. it is, to correct very tight. it doesn‘t necessarily mean that it will go anyway. the house is divided, and the numbers appear to be very tight. what would be your message about the new deal that borisjohnson has negotiated? message about the new deal that boris johnson has negotiated ?|j message about the new deal that boris johnson has negotiated? i have two issues that i think we have to focus on tomorrow. the first issue is about the deal itself. people feel, here the deal, and i have no
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doubt that a deal is better than no deal. you do have to think through the consequences of where this deal is going to take us. a lot of people get enthusiastic and say, oh, it just takes us over the line, itjust gets destroyed for business over with, but it is worth bearing in mind that the transition period is now only 11! months. by the time we get to next summer, the prime minister will have you having to ask to extend the transition period u nless to extend the transition period unless he will resolve a future trade deal with the eu, or re—end up leaving with no deal at the end of 2020. one thing is quite clear about the way the government has approached the steel. it wants a significant divergence from the eu, and that makes the likelihood of securing a deal on the course of next year for a future relationship very uncertain. so, you're voting against the deal. i will vote against the deal. i will vote against the deal. i will vote against the deal. i said to the governments we need to resolve this,
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it ought to go back to the public. this is significantly different. it bears no relation to what was being advocated by the league campaign in 2016. it ought to go back to the public. hundreds of thousands of people who will come tomorrow morning and make their points about a referendum on their right to have a referendum on their right to have a say on this, they‘re making a legitimate point. the 2016 referendum is very important, but at the same time, this is different, and it will be for a very long time. except that it takes us out of the union and that‘s what people voted for in 2016 but it makes it clear that leaving the european union comes with significant issues it. the second issue is process. the government has behaved rather badly about this. the deadline, when it failed to initiate sensible negotiations until the last minute,
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means that it is now asking parliament to completely compress what is actually quite a complex process. we cannot leave the european union until we have an active major constitutional legislation which actually secures our vast village, as i thinkjacob rees—mogg would call it, to the eu at least until next year. trying to co m press at least until next year. trying to compress it in this way is not acceptable. it also raises a trust issue, that actually a lot of my collea g u es issue, that actually a lot of my colleagues are concerned that we could vote tomorrow for the principal, and then it could be exploited by the government or our erg colleagues. so we have this amendment from oliver letwin, so let mejust explain to amendment from oliver letwin, so let me just explain to our viewers how this amendment would work. the amendment works by making it the government do what it ought to do anyway. it says that you cannot treat tomorrow‘s vote as final,
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thereby removing the requirement for an extension request of the eu. in other words, it throws a spanner in the works for borisjohnson. other words, it throws a spanner in the works for boris johnsonm shouldn‘t throw a spanner in the works if the pro minister is exacting as i would expect. you shouldn‘t object to this as it shouldn‘t object to this as it should be doing it anyway. that's the latest from westminster, quite a lot of arm twisting going on ahead of that historic and crucial vote tomorrow of borisjohnson‘s brexiteer. back to jane in the studio. thank you very much. more about brexiter come, but we will tonight also turn our attention to barcelona, because absolutely extraordinary scenes there are
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tonight and that spanish city. hundreds of thousands of people from across catalonia have converged on barcelona — in protest against the prison sentences handed down to separatist leaders on monday. there have been clashes between demonstrators and police, and the city has been brought to a standstill, with trains halted and roads blocked. our correspondent guy hedgecoe is in barcelona. ijust i just steps away from the heart of this demonstration. this is one of the main boulevards in central barcelona. people are starting to disperse from this very large demonstration that has been taking place throughout the afternoon, although, having said that, we are
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expecting other pro—independence events or demonstrations to take place into the night today. there has been a huge turnout for this. from the most part it has been peaceful. just round the corner from here that have been clashes with police and pro—independence demonstrators at a spanish national police headquarters, so there have been some incidents. interesting that you say it has been largely peaceful, probably worth reminding people of that as we look at these pictures, because cameras can pick out rows and rows of riot police, it looks, there‘s certainly a lot of scuffles, in what was seen, but it‘s interesting that you say so much has been peaceful. but the sheer numbers, it‘s extraordinary. what is the challenge now for spain‘s central governments given the scale of this? i think the
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socialist prime minister is hoping just to calm down the tensions at the moment, which have been inflamed by that verdict which had been issued on monday by the supreme court against those nine independence leaders. he wants to calm things down and try and, if not bring this whole territorial crisis to an immediate end, i think that‘s going to be too ambitious, but in the short term at least, try and ensure that pro—independence catalan‘ are not out on the streets co nsta ntly catalan‘ are not out on the streets constantly demonstrating, feel aggrieved by the state. he is willing to use moderation and firmness. we don‘t know exactly what that means yet, but he says that he doesn‘t want to take any extraordinary measures here. police have been deployed to catalonia in recent days precisely to handle the situation. i know you'll keep an eye on that for us, thank you very much. the latest on barcelona. hundreds of
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thousands of people out on the streets. we will keep an eye on that. we will post right now, and we will catch up with the weather prospects as we approach the weekend. some of the show is a heavy, rumbles of thunder, some hail, too, some east across the east. some rain affecting parts of scotland, pushing its way southward through scotland over night. swells and showers taking a stand into single figures. areas of rain taking through scotland, through northern ireland and into england. a northerly wind, cold winter in scotland, south of that, in sunny spells, probably fewer than we‘ve had in recent days, and a south—easterly wind and
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keeping some of us in the mid teens, 15 celsius, with some sunny spells. we are only around ten or 11 degrees in northern scotland, but fewer showers around on sunday. this is bbc news. these are the latest headlines... the prime minister says he‘s confident his deal will pass, but the result tomorrow is expected to be tight. this is an opportunity notjust to deliver brexit absolutely, to leave the eu on october the 31st, but actually start a new chapter for our country — an optimistic chapter. will they get the numbers? the dup and labour and every opposition party saying they‘ll vote against the deal. in other news, barcelona is brought to a standstill,
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a general strike is under way and thousands are on the streets following the jailing of separatist leaders. more to come on that, any film review is coming too. right now, sports time. hello there, jane. the bulgaria national coach krasimir balakov has resigned. he was in charge of the team for the 6—0 defeat to england in sofia on monday night, which was marred by racist chanting from home supporters. the bulgarian football association say he has left his role because of unsatisfactory results in recent months. the match — which was a euro qualifier — had to be stopped twice because of monkey chants and nazi salutes among the home support. after first saying that he didn‘t see any abuse, he later apologised to the england players. the premier league‘s "no room for racism" campaign first launched in march will again be highly visible across all matches for the next week. one of the objectives is to get fans to report any discrimination they might witness on match—days.
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there‘s room for every kind of emotion. but there‘s never room for racism. there's no room for racism... in the premier league... ..or anywhere else. if you see it, report it. the rugby world cup quarterfinals take place this weekend. three home nations are still involved with england taking on australia tomorrow, followed by ireland facing the favourites and reigning champions new zealand. wales play france on sunday. from japan, here‘s our sports editor dan roan. here in the south ofjapan, the pressure is rising. the volcanic town famous for its numerous hot springs is where england are being prepared for their defining moment for some earlier, they let off some stea m for some earlier, they let off some steam themselves, or tomorrow, they will play their first world cup knockout game for eight years.
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england go into the match on a six—game winning streak against australia, but with painful men raise, too, limited don‘t make a limited hit on home soil. you've got the best teens playing games —— eliminated on home soil. in terms of their preparation on and off the field, we feel like we have prepared well for this game. but england aren‘t the only home nation in action here this weekend. six nations champions wales also in town ahead of their quarterfinal against france on sunday. plenty of time for welsh fans to make more friends, having already tasted victory here earlier in the tournament. a huge game for us, you know what i mean? we are confident. what they have
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donein we are confident. what they have done in the past, we are not could you take friends lately. it‘s a massive game. must be confident of victory over the french. we don't know which friends are going to turn out. we got faith in the teens topic but it's ireland to face the toughest challenge this weekend, taking on the raining champions new zealand in tokyo. having beaten the all blacks twice, the underdogs will believe they can reach the semifinals for the first time. the all blacks are, they were always kind of raising the bar in everyone else‘s chasing the bar and try to get to the same height. i guess it is something genuinely will find out on saturday stop by the action sta rts on saturday stop by the action starts here 600 miles away, were to world cup quarterfinals —— starts here 600 miles away, were to world cup quarterfinals -- the losers going home, it is on. dan
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roan, bbc news, oita. much more on the rugby world cup quarterfinals coming up. you can find more on all those stories on the bbc sport website. that‘s bbc.co.uk/sport. iam going i am going to be back with sportsday at half past six, plenty of details, but let‘s head back to ben brown in westminster. thank you very much indeed. welcome back to westminster, where the prime minister‘s getting ready to put his brexit deal to the test in a knife edge vote in the house of commons tomorrow. it is an historic special sitting of the commons. it has not sat at the weekend since the falklands conflict decades ago. all day, there have been frantic efforts to shore up support on his own government benches — with the focus also on rebel labour mps and tories
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who were sacked last month. let‘s take a look at how borisjohnson might get those all—importa nt votes tomorrow. there are 650 mps in the house of commons, but the seven sinn fein mps who don‘t take their seats and the speaker and three deputies don‘t vote. which means the number you need to get to the winning post and gain a commons majority is, in practice, 320. the conservatives now have 287 mps — borisjohnson can be confident of the support of most of them, but some may not vote for him, especially if he fails to win over the dup before saturday. it doesn‘t look like he can. labour? what about them ? labour have 2a2 mps and the message from their leader, jeremy corbyn, is clearly to vote against, but how many can be persuaded to vote for the deal despite the party‘s official position? the answer to this will be crucial. it looks like a handful of labour mps will vote for the deal.
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then there are 36 independent mps — of those, by far the largest group is 23 who were formerly conservatives but lost the whip or left. most of those who were previously tories likely to back the deal. 35 snp mps and they will vote against. so will the 19 liberal democrats. and as things stand, the ten mps for the democratic unionist party say they cannot back the plan. it isa it is a toxic deal, they say, they will not vote forward. the independent group of change — who now have five mps — will also vote against, as will the four plaid cymru mps and the one green mp. the numbers, as we have been saying, extremely tight. let‘s do some more number crunching. matthew goodwin is a senior visiting fellow at chatham house and professor of politics at the university of kent — and is here with me now. how do you see it going tomorrow?l com plete how do you see it going tomorrow?l complete coin toss. if you look at was borisjohnson needs to do, he
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needs to hope a good chunk of those labour brexit mps across the floor. there are rumours around nine or ten or thinking of doing so. that is needed to offset the loss of the dup mps. then he really needs as many of those erg, so—called spartans, the ha rd those erg, so—called spartans, the hard euro sceptics, to stay with him to get the deal through. do you think those erg spartans will back him? some of those have come out publicly and said they will, but there is that core group who have a lwa ys there is that core group who have always been very loyal to the dup and the idea of the union as they see it, and already some of those politicians have said they will not supportjohnson. his going to be incredibly close. the outcome, whether it passes or not, release going to come to define thejohnson premiership. if he gets it through, let‘s talk on the various scenarios, what happens then? if he gets the deal through, in theory, what happens then? if he gets the dealthrough, in theory, legislation sta rts dealthrough, in theory, legislation starts to follow and britain has
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passed the withdrawal agreement and is on its way out of the european union. and in effect, that allows borisjohnson to say, let‘s start talking about other issues, not only the trade deal on the horizon with european union but also as the messick policy agenda. we will also have to go into a general election given that borisjohnson is still within the house of commons here behind us, a net deficit of around 45 mp5. behind us, a net deficit of around 45 mps. he does not have a majority so we cannot really do anything, but it does fully push the debate on from how do we ask that the you —— exit the eu to... if he does not get it through, what happens then? we have heard whispers from the eu, president macron, saying we cannot guarantee and extension. the benn
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act was brought into guarantee there was an extension. i think there will be an extension. the benn act will kick in, and then, you could see some things, a vote of confidence in borisjohnson, but some things, a vote of confidence in boris johnson, but we some things, a vote of confidence in borisjohnson, but we will see a general election which are be another nationwide electoral contest for a country quite tired of having elections. there are going to be a few different scenarios, as we‘ve discussed, tomorrow. one of them is this amendment, and one particular moment from oliver letwin is the house holds approval of the deal until it is past, that would mean triggering the benn act and triggering the benn act and triggering an extension. that would bea triggering an extension. that would be a flight in the ointment, certainly, as far as borisjohnson is concerned. there does appear to be cross party support for that amendment, i think it is likely that will end up passing. we are here because the benn act essentially
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said to boris johnson, because the benn act essentially said to borisjohnson, you have to have a deal, otherwise an extension will kick in and those folks behind the oliver letwin amendment realised that if the deal passes tomorrow, johnson can say, i‘ve got a deal, therefore the benn act doesn‘t kick in and perhaps through some manoeuvre or another, he could still engineer a no—deal brexit on october 31. the letwin and admin says, you cannot do that.|j october 31. the letwin and admin says, you cannot do that. i think you think that amendment will pass? i think that a man that will pass. matthew goodwin, professor at the university of kent, think you for talking to us. that is the latest from westminster here. i will hand it back to jane in the studio. then, think you very much, a very busy period. and just a reminder, the headlines. the prime minister says he‘s confident his deal will pass, but
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the result is expected to be tight. labour, the dup, and every opposition party saying they‘ll vote against the deal. masked demonstrators clash with police in barcelona — as a general strike is called over the jailing of separatist leaders. hundreds of thousands of people on the streets there tonight, a general strike called following the jailing of cata la n strike called following the jailing of catalan symbolist leaders —— separatist leaders. we are edging up to the film review. first, let‘s have a look ahead to sportsday. there‘s a great weekend for sport coming up. we‘re going to get the very latest from japan ahead of the rugby world cup quarterfinals — three home nations still involved. england kick things off against australia. they‘ve mixed up their midfield combinations, anticipating a really physical match against the wallabies. that‘s followed by ireland against the all blacks. wales face france on sunday. the premier league returns — that‘s after the international break — and the no room for racism campaign will be very visible at every match over the weekend. and i‘m joined byjenson button,
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the 2009 formula one world champion, and his thoughts on the soon—to—be six—time champion lewis hamilton. that‘s all coming up on sportsday with me, olly foster, at 6.30pm. but now on bbc news, it‘s time for the film review. hello, if there will markham to the phone review on bbc news. and as ever, mark kermode is with me and has had his fill of the films. what have you been watching this week? it's have you been watching this week? it‘s a week of sequels this week. we have maleficent: mistress of evil. zombieland: double tap. and a shaun
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the sheep movie. i love shaun the sheep. i cannot even pronounce the title... maleficent: mistress of evil. in the first maleficent, a mother—daughter tail pulled from the point of view of the angelina jolie character, who we learn through the course of the movie is not actually evil but has a whole lot of things going on. at the bidding of this, a voice saying, yes, but people still thought she was evil. and now we start the new movie many years later. elle fanning is set to marry a handsome prince, to the disgust of her mother him a play by michelle pfeiffer. here is a clip. i remember the story of a baby, a baby cursed to sleep and never wake up. really?
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