hello, welcome, you are watching outside source on bbc news for viewers in the uk and around the world. we are covering all the latest coronavirus developments in britain and globally. our headlines. the international monetary fund has warned we're facing a crisis worse than 2008. at that time, the economy shrunk by —0.i%. right now, we are

talking about a growth at —3%. donald trump has been accused of overstepping his authority when it comes to lifting lockdown. italy ta kes comes to lifting lockdown. italy takes small steps towards easing its lockdown as infection rates continue to full. hello, and a very warm welcome to you. new economic projections say that the coronavirus pandemic will push much of the world into a severe recession this year. the international monetary fund in paris what it says will be the result of what it is calling the great lockdown. .. when result of what it is calling the great lockdown... when it comes to jobs, you can see a prediction that unemployment will rise to higher levels tha n unemployment will rise to higher levels than after the financial crisis in 2008 and 2009. the bbc

spoke directly with the woman in charge of these economic projections. this is something that we haven't seen in any of our lifetimes. the last crisis, major crisis, with the global financial crisis. at that time, the economy shrunk by —0.i%. right now, in our baseline, we are talking about -0.3%. baseline, we are talking about —0.3%. our business reporterjoins us —0.3%. our business reporterjoins us from new york. we spoke with the chief economist. mr these dire projections. everyone was really prepared for very grim numbers coming from the imf, but even economists there were somewhat struck by what they were seeing. we are talking about a contraction of 396 are talking about a contraction of 3% for this year. just a few months ago, the imf was actually predicting that the global economy was going to

grow by 3.3% for this year. this is an abrupt turnaround. if we look at individual economies, we are expecting the uk economy to shrink by six and a half percent. we're at the united states where the economy here is going to shrink by 5.5%. in total, they are actually estimating that $9 trillion worth of money will have been lost in the global economy. these are just staggering figures. absolutely staggering, you're absolutely right. there were some partial recoveries predicted... to the imf give any more details about how on earth the world could recover from this? if you look in the predictions for how this is going to recover, it looks pretty good. the imf is predicting that growth in 2021 is going to be 5.8%. for the united states, they are expecting it to be over 4%, and

simile for the uk. what they were quick to make clear is that these are just projections. it is what the economists are basing on the changing landscape with regards to this virus. they need to be nimble in their projections as well as governments, they need to be nimble in terms of how they address the economic disaster that this is. because everything really depends on just how well it deals with the health crisis. thank you so much for the time being. thank you, live from new york. let's go to the united states, where president trump is coming under increasing scrutiny over his handling of the crisis. we'll get into the detail of this is a moment, but first, these are the latest figures.

more than 2a—thousand people are now known to have died. that's three times more than any other coumtry. those figures are from john hopkins university in maryland. it released a study in october last year, assessing how prepared countries were to deal with the threat of an epidemic or pandemic. it found america was more prepared than any other country. but that's not how it's turned out. at monday's briefing a cbs news reporter asked the president what went wrong? sot it's so disgraceful the way you say that. you know you are a fake. you know that? the whole network, the way that you cover it is fake. that

is dispatched from the monday briefing at the white house. they reported that you saw their specs to the bbc a little earlier today. you do not show up to a press briefing to make friends. you show up there to make friends. you show up there to get answers. if he doesn't like your question, he resorts to attacks. this is something that has resonated with his pace over the past few years, calling us fake news. but it is unclear right now if thatis news. but it is unclear right now if that is working. people can that this crisis is not fake. many people know people who have died as a result of the coronavirus. if they do not, then they surely know somebody who has been economically impacted. these attacks will not really have the intended effect. that was not the only controversy to come out. the president claimed that he had the total power to end lockdown and reopen the country.

listen to this. the president of the united states has the authority to do what the president has the authority to do. that is very powerful. the president of the united states calls the shots. the president may call the shots on some things, but not everything. the constitution gives the 50 individual states the power to decide when lockdown orders are lifted. here's the new york governor's response. we do not have a king, we have a president. on monday these seven states formed the north—east covid—i9 regional advisory council. they have a combined population of around 100 million. 0n the other side of the country, california, oregon and washington state have now formed the western states pact. here's a tweet from the california governor gavin newsom.

"the west coast is guided by science. we issued stay at home orders early to keep the public healthy. we'll open our economies with that same guiding principle. california, washington and oregon will work together on a shared vision, focused on health, not politics." let's bring in our washington correspondent anthony zurcher. we spoke about that particular pact already. the states are looking at themselves individually when it comes to deciding how to tackle the lockdown. we saw that really intense dispatch during the daily briefing. what is happening with the states? it is interesting to see because donald trump obviously wants to be the one that takes control here and says he wants the states to open up. but these packs are forming as resistance to the presidential

authority here. and you can see it has talked about a constitutional crisis emerging if there is some sort of disagreement between the governors and the president. this morning, donald trump tweeted out some tweets comparing it to a mutiny and then also went on to say that the federal government... states should heed his requests. he also talked about co—operating the government. clearly, it's going to bea government. clearly, it's going to be a challenge to try and reopen businesses in all of the states across the country. how to do it, when to do it, angela going to have multiple different politicians on federal and state level and they are not always going to be in agreement. that is what this is about. your line is breaking up a little bit, but do not go away because there is one other thing i want to get your

perspective on. that is the presumptive democratic nominee for president, joe biden. he has taken a dig at donald trump saying he's not running for "king of america". he tweeted, "leadership is about never proclaiming power. it's about collaboration, it's about coming together in a crisis and finding common ground. it's about results." on monday he received the endorsement of his opponent senator bernie sanders. today he picked up another big endorsement, although this one was never in doubt. the kind of leadership that is guidance by i , empathy, humility and grace. that kind of leadership does notjust belong in our state capitals and mirrors offices. it belongs in the white house. but is why i am so proud to endorse joe white house. but is why i am so proud to endorsejoe biden is president of the united states. as i said, we never doubted that. let's go back to anthony and get his

perspective on it. barack 0bama adding his voice to supporting joe biden. it was all ways a question of timing. barack 0bama decided to throw his support behind him. after bernie sanders has already endorsed joe biden. four years bernie sanders has already endorsed joe biden. fouryears ago, and remember, all of this is all related to when hillary clinton lost to donald trump. i think there was some resentment, perhaps, between bernie sanders supporters and hillary clinton supporters. ba rack sanders supporters and hillary clinton supporters. barack 0bama wanted to come in and redirect the party towards defeating donald trump. that was the goal of this. time will tell whether a not that is successful. very good to get your

perspective on this. we have got lots more coming up here on 0utside source sustain with us. we are going to be looking at figures from england and wales and the suggestion that many people... the death toll in scotland has passed 600, with a0 deaths confirmed in the past 2a hours. at the daily briefing, scottish first minister nicola sturgeon addressed claims that the nhs in england is being prioritised for personal protection equipment ahead of scotland. we do not yet have any evidence that this is something directed by nhs england. if we get into competition with each other, i do not think that is an anybody‘s interests.

certainly, if there is any sense that supplies are being diverted from scotland or any other part of the uk automatically without any discussion about whether that is pa rt discussion about whether that is part of a cooperative approach, that would be deeply worrying. we take this issue very seriously. everybody is facing real constraints on supplies. it is a real worry for all of us. it is a worry for everyone on the front line. we are working incredibly hard to maintain supply. this is 0utside source live from the bbc newsroom. the international monetary fund predicts the world's economy will shrink by 3% this year, pushing the global economy into its deepest recession in a century. across the uk, there were 778 deaths from coronavirus reported in the last 24—hour period, most of those in hospital.

and new officialfigures in england and wales suggest that many more people are dying from the virus than the numbers released daily by the british government. according to the office for national statistics, during the week ending april the 3rd, more than 16,000 deaths were recorded. this is the highest number since data of this kind was first published in 2005. the figure is 6000 higher than the average for the time of year, when deaths normally start falling after the flu season. the department of health confirmed that there have been outbreaks in more than 2000 care homes in england alone — the charity age uk says the virus is spreading like wildfire. the care home figure is proving controversial because the uk, unlike like some european countries, doesn't include people who die from coronavirus in care homes in the daily death toll that's announced to the public. alex forsyth has been speaking to the family

of one care home resident. my my mum was a people person. she told eve ryo ne my mum was a people person. she told everyone she loved them and everyone loved her. rose was a familiar face in south—west london. so much so, her neighbours stood outside upon hearing that she had died. at 81, she passed away in a care home. her daughter and her family in she passed away in a care home. her daughter and herfamily in the end of the phone. we could hear her breathing. we played her her favourite son. and we all told her we loved her. and we said goodbye. karen says that what is happening in ca re karen says that what is happening in care homes cannot be overlooked. praising carers who were with her mum until the end. praising carers who were with her mum untilthe end. i can only say to them thank you. 0ver mum untilthe end. i can only say to them thank you. over the last week, they have brought us incredible comfort to know that she was not

unknown. one experience, and the family's experience. the potentially devastating impact of the coronavirus crisis on the uk economy has been spelled out by an independent tax and spending watchdog. the office for budget responsibility warns that if the lockdown lasts 3 months, with another 3 months of partial lifting, the uk economy could shrink by 35% between april and june this year, before a likely recovery. in the model experts predicted unemployment could rise to 10 % of the working population. this would more than double unemployment levels and increase the number of people withoutjbs by 2 million. speaking at the daily downing street news conference the chancellor rishi sunak, said he was ‘deeply troubled' by the figures sot sunak, said he was ‘deeply troubled' by the figures. people are going to feel that in

theirjobs and household incomes. i would hope that the measures in place would help us bounce back. we talked about how feasible that bounce back actually is. the report suggests the economy could recover fast. but with 2 million extra people potentially out of work, fears over today's predictions. of course, this really is down to the measures that can be put in place to sustain businesses and jobs. they are absolutely critical, not just now but for the future health of our economy. these numbers are well informed guesses. not final, not well inked in. but it is clear that this virus is dragging the economy down. jobs have been lost and the national economy is shrinking. what

governments can and can't pay for in future, how much they borrow, and how much tax we pay. 0ur political correspondent jonathan blake joins us live. let's first focus on this idea of ca re let's first focus on this idea of care homes. the idea that deaths in ca re care homes. the idea that deaths in care homes. the idea that deaths in care homes isn't being counted when it comes to the daily briefings that we are hearing? government has set up we are hearing? government has set up until this point that it wants to respond as accurately and is quickly the daily battle from coronaviruses time goes on. the easiest way to do that and by far and away the biggest number of people dying from coronavirus is in hospital. at least as we know so far. that is why the

government says that it is releasing the figures in the way that it has done up until this point. but there has been, as you pointed out, and increased scrutiny of the number of people with coronavirus in care homes and those people dying with coronavirus or from coronavirus homes and those people dying with coronavirus orfrom coronavirus in ca re coronavirus orfrom coronavirus in care homes coronavirus orfrom coronavirus in ca re homes across coronavirus orfrom coronavirus in care homes across the uk. increasing questions about why those numbers are not being compiled. the chancellor was asked, as well as representatives from public health england, about that. they both said they are working with the office for national statistics which does reports deaths overall with the underlying causes for that on a weekly basis. and it seems as if there is a move to try and report those figures on a daily basis as soon. certainly, as opposition parties at westminster and others would say and would argue, that would say and would argue, that would give a more accurate

reflection of the deaths from coronavirus in various health care settings, not just coronavirus in various health care settings, notjust hospitals. the chancellor, as he put it at that news conference, said that victims of coronavirus at care homes and those working at care homes had not been forgotten by the government. also, lots of concern over what the lockdown has as an impact on the uk economy. and the stimulus package... there is, broadly speaking, not only within government but as far as the opposition parties are concerned as well, labour welcomed the announcements several weeks ago by the chancellor. they have called, in the chancellor. they have called, in the time since then, for more to be done and for ministers to go further in their economic measures put in place to protect the economy, protect jobs and protect place to protect the economy, protectjobs and protect businesses through this crisis and beyond it. we have seen criticism of the loan

scheme in particular offered to businesses. there was criticism that it was not being made available quickly enough. some businesses are still not getting the cash that they needed to see them through. in the days and weeks, the government have worked around the edges a little bit to try and make that scheme more accessible. to answer your question, there is a broad consensus that what there is a broad consensus that what the government has done was needed and some would argue that it still needs to go further. thank you for talking to us. our political correspondent joining talking to us. our political correspondentjoining us live. to europe, and spain's death toll has passed 18,000. but there is some promising news. the rise in new infections has dropped to its lowest level since the nationwide lockdown there came into force last month. at its peak at the beginning of april, the daily death toll in spain was close to 1,000. it has since fallen, with 567 deaths reported on tuesday.

the spanish prime minister says his country is still "far from victory". guy hedgecoe is in madrid, where lockdown measures have been eased slightly. we have seen the return to work as nonessential workers, people in the construction sector or manufacturing and heavy industries. as of today, the whole country is now finished its easter holiday. what we're seeing is the impact of that return to work. it has been criticised by some members of the opposition who say that it is a risky move and is reckless. but the spanish prime minister insisted that this decision has been taken with full caution and that the remainder of that lockdown which has been in place for the last four weeks so he's going to remain there. it is going to continue for at least a couple of weeks, probably more, and it's going to be very tightly policed. italy remains the worst hit country in europe.

more than 20,000 people have died. but fewer people are dying each day now and the number of patients in intensive care has dropped for 10 days in a row. now, certain shops are reopening, including book—sellers, stationery shops and shops selling baby clothes. mark lowen reports from rome. some tweets comparing it to a mutiny and then also went on to say that we have to work. we have bills to pgy- we have to work. we have bills to pay. we have rent to pay. we have bills to pay. leaving your business

that you started is like leaving your baby. customers are adapting, welcoming a reward, but with apprehension. i feel strange more for them, for the babies, for my children, but we have to be happy and somehow brave. "i'm really pleased," says eight—year—old elena, "as i haven't been out since the 11th of march. i'm emotional." the hope he is that it does not become an example of reopening too soon antivirus spiking again. it is a risk that this country is taking. around the continent — denmark plans to ease its lockdown faster than originally planned and reopen schools for younger children. poland says it will gradually lift restrictions on its economy from sunday. and austria, which was one

of the first countries in europe to impose a strict lockdown, is now allowing garden centres, hardware stores and small shops to reopen. bethany bell reports from vienna. shoppers have cautiously welcomed the move. it is good to do something to help the economy. i think it's good. you have to stay at home and there's plenty to do in the garden. hopefully, people will stick to the rules. that is so we can stimulate the economy. things may be easing a bit slightly, but there are strict safety rules when it comes to shopping. you cannot get inside a shopping. you cannot get inside a shop unless you are wearing a basic facemask like this, covering your nose and mouth. 0nce facemask like this, covering your nose and mouth. once you're inside a shop, you have to keep your distance. a brief look at what is happening across europe. stay with us happening across europe. stay with us because i will be back for the

next edition of outside source very soon. stay in touch on social media. good evening. it has been a dry day across the country with just a bit of nuisance cloud around. that is up to the far north of scotland. elsewhere, lots of sunshine coming through and just a light breeze. it was cool out there but still pleasa nt was cool out there but still pleasant enough to drive the washing outside. the high pressure that is responsible for the story at the moment, that continues to sweep its way south and east. clear skies through the night, and temperatures wilful away. it is going to be a chilly start across the majority of the country. maybe even a few pockets of light frost. but it is going to be dry, with lots of sunshine around. the exception is

the far north—west. where cloud across the west facing coast of scotland. elsewhere, lots of sunshine coming through. dry and eight had warmer. temperatures peaking into the height teens here. as we move out of wednesday and into thursday, we have got a frontal system in scotland which will introduce yet more cloud, and this area of low pressure into the south—west could bring some more showers, say slight change to the story. ahead of that, a south—easterly breeze, so temperatures set to climb back into the low 20s. that cold front will bring more clout to scotland. behind the cold front, the temperature is disappointing. elsewhere, a few clouds by the afternoon. we could see highs as 21 in london but only ten in aberdeen. it is the low pressure in south—west that will stay with us to the end of the week. that will bring more significant rainfall to parts of england and

wales. 0n rainfall to parts of england and wales. on friday, we will see a speu wales. on friday, we will see a spell of wet weather for a time. moving up from the south—west, it will take its time in arriving, pushing its way across wales and perhaps to the isle of wight as well. were cloud into scotland, but predominantly dry. a good deal of dry weather to eastern england as well. disappointing in aberdeen, only 8 degrees. 17 or 18 further south. for the start of the weekend, wet weather across england and wales. the best of the drier weather is further north. take care.

this is bbc news, the headlines... new evidence of the terrible cost of the coronavirus pandemic. uk figures show a sharp rise in the number of deaths per week in england and wales — 6 thousand more than would be expected at this time of year. the international monetary fund predicts the effect of dealing with coronavirus will shrink the world's economy by 3% this year — creating the deepest recession in a century. and predictions from an independent body here in the uk that the impact on the british economy could be devastating — shrinking by 13 percent this year. but in italy, one of the countries worst hit by the crisis , some of lockdown restrictions are now being lifted. those are the headlines from bbc news. the chancellor rishi sunak has said the uk's strategy in tackling

coronavirus does not mean choosing between people's health, or the economy. at this afternoon's daily government press conference, he said: "the single most important thing we can do "for the health of our economy is to protect the health "of our people." it comes as the uk's spending watchdog, the office for budget responsibility, said a three month lockdown could see the economy shrink by 35% by the end ofjune. mr sunak said: "these are tough times, and there will be more to come " the latest uk figures show that 778 more people have died in hospital — though the government have been criticised for not including care home deaths in that daily number. let's hear more of what he had to say. good evening from downing street where i am joined by the medical director of the nhs and the medical director of the nhs and the medical director at public health england. earlier today the government's independent fiscal watchdog, the 0ffice independent fiscal watchdog, the office for budget responsibility

published a report into the impact of coronavirus on the economy and public finances. it is important to be clear that the 0br's numbers are not a forecast or a prediction. they simply set out what one possible scenario might look like and it may not even be the most likely scenario. but it is important that we are honest with people about what might be happening in our economy. before i turn to to date's health figures, i want to spend a few minutes explaining what the 0br have said and let me thank them for their continued work. there are three brief points i wanted to make. first, the 0br's figures suggest the scale of what we are facing will have serious implications for our economy here at home. in common with other countries around the world. these are tough times and there will be more to come. as i have said

before, we cannot protect every business and every household. but we came into this crisis with a fundamentally sound economy, powered by the hard work and ingenuity of the british people and british businesses. so while all those economic impacts are significance, the 0br also expect them to be temporary. where they bounce back in growth. the second point i want to make is that we are not strict going to stand by and let this happen. 0ur planned economic response is protecting millions ofjobs, businesses, self—employed people, charities and households. 0ur response aims to directly support people and businesses while the restrictions are in place and to make sure that as the restrictions are changed we can as quickly as possible get people back to work,

get businesses moving again and recover our economy. the 0br today have been clear that the policies we have been clear that the policies we have set out will do that. the 0br today have been clear that if we had not taken the actions that we have the situation would be much worse. in other words, our plan is the right man. the third point i want to make is this, right now the single most important thing for the health of our economy is to protect the health of our people. it is not a case of choosing between the economy and public health. common sense tells us that doing so would be self—defeating. at a time when we are seeing hundreds of people dying every day from this terrible disease, the absolute priority must be to focus all of our resources, not just of the states but of

businesses and all of you at home as well in a collective national effort to beat this virus. the government's to beat this virus. the government's to follow scientific and medical advice through our step—by—step action plan, aiming to slow the spread of the virus so fewer people need hospital treatment at any one time, protecting the nhs's ability to cope. i said in my budget a month ago that whatever the nhs needs it will get and we have honoured that promise. yesterday, we published an update showing that we have given our public services an extra £145 billion in recent weeks. we are taking action to increase nhs capacity with more beds, more key staff and more equipment on the front line. the secretary of state for health and social care will be updating on our plans for social

ca re updating on our plans for social care tomorrow. this is why we are instructing people to stay at home so that we can protect the nhs and save lives. the government's monitoring programme as of today 3299 93,873 people have tested positive. 19,706 people in the uk have been admitted to hospital with the virus, down from more than 20,000 yesterday. sadly, of those in hospital, 12,107 people have now died, an increase of 778 cents yesterday. 0ur

died, an increase of 778 cents yesterday. our thoughts are with the families of all those who have lost their lives. stay at home, protect our nhs and save lives. thank you. i will now hand over to steve to take you through today's data in more detail before we take some more questions from the media. as you have just heard, the main strategy in combating this virus is social distancing. in other words, stay—at—home, avoid distancing. in other words, stay—at— home, avoid social contacts and by doing that we can ensure that the spread of the virus, the transmission from one person to another is reduced so that over time we will see a reduction in the numberof we will see a reduction in the number of infections from coronavirus. i am number of infections from coronavirus. lam pleased number of infections from coronavirus. i am pleased to say that we continue to see evidence that we continue to see evidence that the great british public are complying with those instructions. you can see that we continue to see a much reduced activity in public

transport and also in vehicle transport. there is other data that we look at on a regular basis that tells us the compliance levels in the public are very high and we need to keep it that way. we absolutely need to make sure that we keep the benefits of this going forward and we don't take our foot off the pedal and become complacent. a reduction in infection rates will then translate into a reduction in new uk cases and you can see here are testing has shown a plateauing in the numberof testing has shown a plateauing in the number of new cases we are picking up. we are not testing everyone who is symptomatic in the community said this data will never bea community said this data will never be a true complete reflection but in the next slide you can see that that in turn will then translate into an

effect on the number of people who require a hospital bed. as we have often said for the vast majority of individuals this is a mild illness, a flu—like illness are a bad cold. but for an unfortunate minority this will require hospitalisation. you can see there is increasing evidence now that the number of hospital admissions is stabilising and plateauing. you can see that in london but you can also see it in other areas such as the midlands. this is evidence that is now accumulating that the benefits of social distancing and reducing transmission is now beginning to be manifest in a stabilisation in hospital admissions. in the next slide you will see the number of deaths in the uk. as you have heard that continues to rise. this is a number that will reduce last, unfortunately. with sadness it is the one that will take longer to change. but those benefits from

social distancing will eventually translate into a reduction in the numberof daily translate into a reduction in the number of daily deaths. the message is quite clear, we are beginning to see the benefit of the undoubted hardship that we have all been asked to go through in terms of social distancing and not meeting with friends and family. it is really important that those benefits are maintained and we continue to follow the instructions that we have all been given and we will then get on top of this virus. thank you, steve. that's turn to questions. laura kuenssberg from the bbc. thank you, chancellor. people are devastated by the numbers of people who are losing their lives but tonight with warnings of 2 million people extra unemployed people are also worried about theirjobs. unemployed people are also worried about their jobs. will we unemployed people are also worried about theirjobs. will we be feeling the cost of this crisis for a

generation? could i ask the medics, can you start including the deaths in care homes and the community in these daily statistics are people get a true picture of what is going on? thank you, laura. look, i also when i see these numbers and deeply troubled. i have consistently said that this podium that this will be ha rd that this podium that this will be hard in our economy and it will take a significant hit. that is not an a bstra ct a significant hit. that is not an abstract thing. people will finish that —— feel that in theirjobs and household incomes. the measures we have put in place can significantly mitigate that impact, in particular thejobs mitigate that impact, in particular the jobs retention scheme and furloughing schemes we have put in place aims to do exactly that in ensuring that fewer people are unemployed but remain and attached to their company by the furlough scheme. the reason that is a good

thing is because when we get through this we can bounce back as quickly as possible so to your point about the generation, no, i very much hope the generation, no, i very much hope the measures we have put in place do exactly what the 0br have said and bounce back and if you look at their scenario that is something they talk about in there. it will be difficult in the short term. i am happy to be honest about that with people. i think the measures we put in place will help and as we get through this we can recover quickly and strongly and get our lives and economy back to normal. i will go to yvonne on the data. thank you, laura. the deaths out of hospital, the office for national statistics do actually collect total deaths and we have had a download of that today but we are working with the ons to speed that up working with the ons to speed that up so we do get quick information. as you know, the daily deaths we would very much like to have. it is a bit more complicated for care homes because although over nine out

of ten deaths sadly do occur still in hospital, in the community there are a range of races they occur including in care homes but notjust that, in hospices as well. in these very dispersed systems will have to be absolutely clear that the cause of death that is attributed is correct and that is what takes time on the death certificate to get right. we would like to have much more data preferably on a daily basis and that is what we are working towards. does that cover it, laura. can ijust come back in on your point. you hope there will be a temporary bounce back and the amount of borrowing the government will do, will they be very long—term consequences for your government or future governments choices. do you really think we can just shake this off in really think we can just shake this offina really think we can just shake this off in a few months for the economy? there are two separate things, what happens and then real economy in

terms of business activity and growth and jobs and i do hope the measures we have put in place will ensure that we can have a reasonably fast bounce back and that's why we are doing what we can. that is a function of when we exit these measures. the second point about public finances, this year the 0br is right to say there will be a significant increase in borrowing. we are borrowing a significant amount in order to fund these measures. that is the right decision and as the 0br have said the cost of not doing that would be far worse thanif not doing that would be far worse than if we did do what we are doing. i think that is the right thing to say. if we get a relatively swift bounce back in the economy recovering our public finances on a year—to—year basis should return to a more normal position. the interventions we have put in place are largely temporary and don't need to be repeated on a year by year basis. hopefully that will allow us to get to a sustainable position

reasonably soon after we exit. thank you. next question is paul brand from icv. good afternoon. ijust wa nt to from icv. good afternoon. ijust want to pick—up on laura's point about data. we have been filming today in a care home and they feel the residence they have lost a covid—19 have been forgotten. would it not be more respectful to include those debts even if they are not that exact? what i tell you about my perspective and that i would say is people working in care homes, where the people in them or looking after them. you have absolutely not been forgotten. there is a enormous amount of focus at care homes not only get the ppe they need but they get the support they are doing in theirjobs. when we are clapping

every week we clap for everyone in caring. in terms of the data, we are working with the ons to speed up the publication of that data. in terms of the data that we publish everyday and make decisions i think there there is a question about making sure we have a dataset that is consistent and accurate and timely. i think there is a logistical challenge in being able to collect that data and making decisions on it. yvonne can may be elaborate on that point. thank you, chancellor. i would very much like to have the best possible data on a daily basis and the care sector is very much seen as part of the health and care family. they are the front line and we are ve ry family. they are the front line and we are very familiar with that sector through our local work and three national work with local government. we work on the outbreaks which is even more important to

discuss than anything else at the moment where we have a number of outbreaks in care homes there is very active input dare to ensure that the damage and harm to is mitigated. we work very actively with the care home sector but it is a very dispersed sector. the reason that we can provide data very quickly from hospitals is because there are fewer hospitals compared to care home so we are working with a smaller number of organisations but because our hospitals are very used to the process of supplying data to nhs england on a regular and even daily basis, that is something they do during normal times. some data, we in the hospital sector have an infrastructure and basis to get that data rapidly. the patients we report from hospital are the ones we know have tested as positive and again that is different from in the community where doctors are registering deaths based on probable

diagnoses and not necessarily on a tested diagnosis. there are key differences in the two sets of data and how they are collected. to put context around steve's points, there area context around steve's points, there are a couple of hundred nhs trust that provide data. there are tens of thousands of social care settings that one needs to collect data from. that is a challenge that steve is talking about. that was a section of the daily press briefing that we have here in the united kingdom when it comes to updating the figures about what is happening in terms of coronavirus and a number of cases and also sadly the number of deaths. let us remind ourselves. the number of people dying in england and wales has reached a weekly high — raising questions over the true number of people dying with coronavirus since the outbreak began. it comes as charities warn that older people are being airbrushed out of overall numbers — because they only cover those

who die in hospitals and not in care homes or the community. the department of health confirmed that there have been outbreaks in more than 2000 care homes in england alone. let's speak now to dr ben maruthappu, ceo & co—founder of cera, a company that provides care workers to hundreds of care homes throughout england and wales. just a stress, you don't provide ca re just a stress, you don't provide care homes but the workers you provide. i want to start with this idea of care workers and care homes, the deaths in care homes not being tallied in the daily figures. is this something that should be changed and how difficult is it to do something like that? we are a home care provider looking at national level care homes. one of the unfortunate challenges is that many of these organisations are using pen and paper. they don't

necessarily have the infrastructure or assistance to collect this information in a day by day basis and update that at a national level so we can feed it into some of the updates we are starting to see in the daily announcements. it is really important that we try our best to include this information. if we look at other countries in europe such as spain, france, up to half of deaths they are seeing are occurring in care homes and that is because sadly coronavirus is a virus that is causing death predominantly in older people. 95% of deaths that we see on a multinational basis are occurring to people above the age of 60. it is very important that we collect this data on older people in the community, in care homes, in their own homes and we support them as well as we can. in france, the figures from care homes are included in the daily briefings from the french minister. so itjust seems it

may raise questions that some of the most fragile and most vulnerable people in our community are not being registered on a daily basis. many people will be alarmed to hear that it takes so long to collect those details. it is. it is a tremendous concern. it is a worry for people as they think about their pa rents, for people as they think about their parents, grandparents. for example, it may be difficult for you and i to pick up groceries or get toothpaste or stock up on daily amenities but imagine if you are in your 80s with severe dementia, parkinson's disease or you have had a stroke. how difficult and terrifying it is during this time with coronavirus spreading across the nation and care homes. so being able to collect some of this information and knowing how it is affecting people and then supporting them how they have to be supported is really important. doctor, thank you so much for speaking to us and we wish everyone

working for you all the best. providing an invaluable service. thank you so much. despite the rising death toll, the vast majority of people who become ill with covid—19, will survive and recoverfrom it. but the experience of contracting the virus, being isolated from loved ones, can mean that getting well is a long and challenging process for many. our correspondent sian lloyd has been talking to some of those who've recovered from the most serious symptoms. covid takes the fight out of you. struggling to breath and severely dehydrated, this was the moment paramedics arrived at the paul nicholls' home to take him to the queen elizabeth hospital. the 52—year—old solicitor was seriously ill, but even from his hospital bed he wanted to thank the nhs and warn others. "don't roll the dice and chance it," his tweet said.

one of the nurses said that they had to close the curtains now.|j one of the nurses said that they had to close the curtains now. i asked if they were taking the dead away? it struck home, at that stage, that could have been me. i cannot tell you what it feels like. it is amazing. i want to thank everybody for keeping me going over the last few days. over the last ——ten days. i really appreciated it. alison also recovered. smiling, on hearing that she was going home after being cared for in hospital in swindon. ijust knew i had to stay positive and concentrate on getting myself better. the nurses were helping me with that because they were telling me about doing deep breathing exercises and, when you can get out of bed, make sure you do get out of bed and walk around, get the lungs working. that is how you can get out of here. alison captured the view from her window, along with the room where she was nursed back to health, and feels grateful. the number of nurses and health care

systems who came into me said, ——assistants who came into me said, you're looking so much better, because you were so ill. i think it was good for them to have some people who are recovering well. paul is still on his journey to a full recovery, but every day, he gains more strength. it is a life changer and i'm not going to forget this. it makes you thankful for your family and for your friends. it makes you realise that things that you thought were very important, nice holidays, you know, a nice car, they are just trinkets, really. the most important thing is, of course, your life and your health. that is something that definitely will stay with me for the rest of my life. and just before we go, something that will lift your spirits. this is 99 year old captain tom moore who is walking laps of his garden in the uk

to raise money for nhs charities. so far he has raised just over $3 milliom in donations. the second world war veteran originally aimed to complete a hundred laps. but he's now doubled his target. our correspondent david sillito spoke to captain tom at his home. i shall continue up and down here after my birthday and i will keep on going whilst people are still contributing to the national health service. nothing is going to stop you. well, i hope not, i hope it won't stop for them. maybe i might get a bit worn out but at the moment i am not, i am doing fine. a lap is from there to the bottom and back again, it's twice the building, isa lap.

how many laps to go? well... i shall have done 100 before the end of the week so your guess is as good as mine. how long will i go on, well, i will go on as long as i can, or as long as it's worthwhile doing it. and people seem to be making it worthwhile. he is extraordinary. good luck to him. now it's time for a look at the weather with louise lear. good evening. a dry day across the country with a little bit of cloud around in the kent coast and in the far north of scotland. elsewhere lots of sunshine coming through and just a light breeze. it was cool out there but a pleasant enough to dry the

washing. high pressure is a story for the moment but that goes south—east but stays with us and clear skies in the night with temperatures falling away. a chilly start across the majority of the country may be a few pockets of light frost. it will be a dry one with lots of sunshine around. the only exception will be the far north—west. a little more breeze here drag and more cloud across the west facing coast of scotland. maybe just nudge into the far north of northern ireland. elsewhere lots of sunshine coming through, dry and a tad warmer with temperatures peaking in the high teens. as we move out of wednesday and into thursday we have got a frontal system into scotland which will introduce yet more cloud in this area of low pressure into the south—west which could bring some showers so a slight change to the story. ahead of it we have got a south easterly breeze so the temperatures will climb across england and wales back into the low 20s. that cold front will bring more

cloud through scotland, northern ireland and northern ireland and behind the cold front the temperatures disappointing. elsewhere behind us and shown a few scattered showers in the afternoon and we could see highs of 21 degrees in london but low pressure stays with us to the end of the weight which could bring significant rainfall. on friday we will see s bell of white whether for a friday we will see s bell of white whetherfor a time moving up from the south—west. it will take its time to arrive pushing its way across wales perhaps to the isle of wight. more cloud into scotland and largely predominantly dry and a good deal of dry weatherfor a largely predominantly dry and a good deal of dry weather for a cinema end as well. disappointing in aberdeen, only 8 degrees and 17 or 18 further south. that area of low pressure stays with us for the start of the weekend. it will bring wet weather across england and wales with the best of the dry weather further north. take care.

this is outside source on bbc news for viewers in the uk and around the world. we're covering all the latest coronavirus developments here in britain and globally. the international monetary fund warns the world is facing a recession far worse than the crisis of 2008. at than the crisis of 2008. that time, the global econ shrunk at that time, the global economy shrunk by 0.1%, so it was zero point -- -.1%. we shrunk by 0.1%, so it was zero point —— —.1%. we are talking now about

growth of