with a special message. and in his speech in downing street this morning the prime minister also praised captain tom's efforts. and if we, as a country, can show the same spirit of optimism and energy shown by captain tom moore, who turns 100 this week, if we can show the same spirit of unity and determination as we've all shown in the past six weeks, then i have absolutely no doubt that we will beat it. together we will come through this all the faster, and the united kingdom will emerge stronger than ever before. thank you all very much. time for a look at the weather. here's tomasz schafernaker after a few days of warmth for many, all change. absolutely considerable change in our weather over the next few days, you know it has been a extraordinarily long spelt of warm weather and now rain son the way and

could be substantial across the southern half of the uk, over the next few days, and the rain bearing clouds are coming in from two direction, the spell of rain heading oui’ direction, the spell of rain heading our way tomorrow is coming in from the south, an hen this weather front coming in from the west will arrive on wednesday, so two bouts of rain at least on the way, this weather front will move through the course of tomorrow, and by wednesday, this weather front here sweeps in to affect many parts of the uk. one thing that the rain is going to do, is lower the pollen level, so that is lower the pollen level, so that is some good news for the hay fever sufferer, we have a weather front across the country now, that has produced a few spits and spots of rain to the north of this it is a different picture, very fresh, bright, just a few scattered shower, temperatures of 11 in aberdeen but we are holding on to some of that warmth in the south—east, round 19 or20. so on warmth in the south—east, round 19 or 20. so on that rain then, here it

is through the evening and into the early hours of tuesday, you can see the rain gathers in the channel, approaching central southern england, widely across the south, so by four, five in the morning it could be raining heavily. not a cold start because of the cloud and rain. the lower temperatures are where we will have had the skies overnights. it is slow—moving rain, so for some it will be a wash out because the rain will last pretty much all day long, it won't be raining heavily all the time. it will wax and wane but a chilly day, ten degrees no higher, the rest of the country, different store i r plenty of sunshine in glasgow with occasional showers so tuesday night, the weather front moves out the way. this next one is going to be different, it will be pushed by stronger winds so the thinking is more of us will get the rain on wednesday, it will move further north into northern ireland and

scotland, but we are talking about a couple of hours rainfall for birmingham and london as it moves through. be mind it —— behind it there will be showers, so a mixed bag. tomorrow it looks as though it will be chilly, grey, overcast, something the gardens will appreciate. i am sure. iam sure. a reminder of our top story. the prime minister appeals to the british public to contain their impatience — saying the uk is now at the moment of maximum risk from coronavirus. i refuse to throw away all the effort and the sacrifice of british people, and to risk a second major outbreak and huge loss of life and the overwhelming of the nhs. that is all from the bbc news at one, on bbc one we join the news teams are where you are, from me, good afternoon. eliminate

good afternoon. i'm gavin ramjaun, and this is your latest sports news. it's one of the highlights of the sporting year but there'll be no fans at silverstone for the british grand prix this summer. organisers said it was clear that in the current conditions, staging a race as normal just wasn't possible. and there's a chance there may not be a race at all, even behind closed doors, if they can't protect the health and safety of everyone involved. if they cannot achieve the objective of making it a safe environment, then clearly the event will not take place. but, don't forget, silverstone is an outdoor venue. our products are huge. sometimes the spaceis products are huge. sometimes the space is a disadvantage. on this occasion i think it may help. we had to make sure it is a safe and secure environment for all those working and those plans will be worked out.

i'm confident we will get there. if we cannot, it just i'm confident we will get there. if we cannot, itjust will not happen. let's get more from our chief f1 reporter, andrew benson. how much optimism is there that a british grand prix will happen this season? a british grand prix well, a british grand prix the f1 boss said today he was increasing well, the f1 boss said today he was increasing the confident that they will be able to start the season, two races in austria at the start of july followed by two races at silverstone. we had from the managing director at silverstone saying he was confident they can get there. they are working with government at the moment to create a situation whereby they can hold the race safely without putting anybody‘s health at risk, that means minimising the amount of staff involved. unlike football, rugby or another team sport by the competitors in formula one are inherently insulated or isolated from each other because they are in

their cars. there is an awful lot of isolation formula one teams can do within themselves in terms of limiting the number of staff at making people work remotely away from the circuit. things are heading in that direction. i didn't think they would have made these state m e nts they would have made these statements they had some degree of relative uncertainty in these situations. —— certainty. the french grand prix was due to kick off a shortened formula one season on 28th june, but that was cancelled this morning. what's the plan now? emmanuel macron, the french president, announced mass gatherings in france will be banned till mid july. the statement from the french grand prix was nuanced anyway. they we re grand prix was nuanced anyway. they were talking about looking to 2021. they wanted to hold the race later in the summer. that is the plan at the moment. two in austria, two in

silverstone, followed by a combination of two, maybe all three of hungary, france and spain, depending on where those countries are with thereby the situation. there may be an italian grand prix before they start to work further afield, canada or singapore. after that the season starts to look a bit more like it was planning to be. thank you for that. as arsenal and brighton players returned to training today, with very strict social distancing restrictions in place, ‘projest restart‘ has begun to build momentum — it's the premier league's plans to resume the season by the 8th ofjune, subject to government tests and approval, and also the guidance of medical experts on the health protocols required for sport to be played behind closed doors. those discussions are set to start this week. but there have been words of caution from fifpro, the world footballers‘ union. they say there are a number of health and moral questions that must be answered before leagues can resume, or they risk sending a "bad signal".

that's all the sport for now. you can find more on all those stories on the bbc sport website. that's bbc.co.uk/sport. borisjohnson has said there are "real signs" that the country is passing through the peak of the pandemic — with fewer hospital admissions and fewer covid—19 patients in intensive care. but — speaking outside number 10 on his first full day back at work after recovering from the disease — the prime minister warned there wouldn't be an immediate relaxation of the rules. i entirely share your urgency, it is the government's urgency. and yet we must also recognise the risk of a second spike, the risk of losing control of that virus and letting the reproduction rate go back over one. because that would mean not only a new wave of death and disease,

but also an economic disaster. and we would be forced once again to slam on the brakes across the whole country and the whole economy, and re—impose restrictions in such a way as to do more and lasting damage. and so i know it is tough, and i want to get this economy moving as fast as i can, but i refuse to throw away all the effort and the sacrifice of the british people, and to risk a second major outbreak and huge loss of life and the overwhelming of the nhs. and i ask you to contain your impatience, because i believe we are coming now to the end of the first phase of this conflict, and in spite of all the suffering we have so nearly succeeded. we defied so many predictions,

we did not run out of ventilators or icu beds, we did not allow our nhs to collapse, and on the contrary we have so far collectively shielded our nhs so that our incredible doctors and nurses and health care staff have been able to shield all of us from an outbreak that would have been far worse. and we collectively flattened the peak, and so when we are sure that this first phase is over and that we are meeting our five tests — deaths falling, nhs protected, rate of infection down, really sorting out the challenges of testing and ppe, avoiding a second peak — then that will be the time to move on to the second phase, in which we continue to suppress the disease and keep the reproduction rate, the r rate, down, but begin gradually

to refine the economic and social restrictions and, one by one, to fire up the engines of this vast uk economy. borisjohnson speaking this morning. after weeks of lockdown, an important question remains — has the coronavirus epidemic reached its peak here in the uk? data released by nhs england — in which deaths are calculated by the date of death rather than the date of reporting — shows a clear decline in recent days — and those tracking it say that the peak most likely happened in the second week of april. to explain some of the patterns being seen in the data, i'm joined by jason oke, who is a statistician at the nuffield department of primary care health sciences at the university of oxford. good afternoon. good afternoon. the prime minister saying we are at the most dangerous moment in the pandemic but the peak day to suggest

was some time ago. when we looked at this answer, when you look at deaths by date of occurrence as she said when they actually occur, it is a pretty clear pattern is a peak in england around the eighth, maybe the ninth. that pattern is consistent across the country. when you look at it by different age groups. what data do you use to that out? we are using the same data used by nhs england. all we are doing different to what is reported in the media is we are looking at rather than the reported number, their deaths by date of occurrence. you need to do that in retrospect because of the way the numbers are revised.“ that in retrospect because of the way the numbers are revised. if the peak was on april the 8th or ninth does that make sense in terms of the timing of the lockdown? has the lockdown had an effect? this is the

key question and lots of people want an answer to it. i think it does coincide with the lockdown. some people have argued the peak is to rally with the lockdown. it is about incubation of the disease and how long it takes for symptoms to be present and how long for the disease to become more severe. there is a consistency across all countries, including scotland. the same sort of date comes up time and time again. that suggests to me it was the lockdown that is having the biggest effect. white men who we seem to be looking at deaths outside of hospitals relatively recently. —— looking at deaths outside of hospitals relatively recently. -- we seem hospitals relatively recently. -- we seem to be looking. we have looked at deaths mania pairing in hospitals in england. what we notice from figures last week was there were a larger number of deaths in care homes and at home but they make up a

minority of deaths recorded overall. the majority of deaths are recorded in hospitals in england. how steep has the decline been since the peak? not as steep as the upward trend to begin with. we think, on the eighth of the ninth, the eventual figure would be around 1000 deaths on that day. if we go forward a week to about the 16th, the figure is probably going to be 800 and another week on, probably 600. it is declining around about 28 to 30 deaths a day at the moment. we bring the figures from nhs england and the nations every day here on bbc news. obviously we are right to get the figures as they are. should we be looking at trends rather than figures? that is important. you cannot say what is going on from the number of deaths reported. on friday

we reported around 580 and saturday was 711 and sunday 366. it is all over the place. on saturday that number was large. the deaths were from over a week before. several deaths were from three weeks before as well. you get occasions when large numbers are reported and they are not deaths from the last seven days. a lot of people will be surprised they have not been told the peak has passed. is there a reason for hope in theirs? we think so. reason for hope in theirs? we think so. the number of deaths is reducing, it is steady, maybe not as quick as we would like. the number of hospital admissions has declined and the number of people nicu unit has declined as well. white have a bid to land on a positive note. —— good to end.

the headlines on bbc news... borisjohnson warns the uk is at the moment of maximum risk, and urges the public not to lose patience with the coronavirus lockdown. criticism of the online system for key workers to book coronavirus tests — the bma says they shouldn't be issued on a first come, first served basis the prime minister of new zealand says coronavirus has been eliminated in the country — for now. families of people with autism have told the bbc they are being forgotten about in the coronavirus crisis. some say they are struggling to access tests for the disease. others have lost support as their care workers are forced to self isolate. jim reed reports. hi, simon. how are you feeling today? this is the only contact andrea can have with her son, a video sent by his care home. got a message from mum and ali, they want to say that they miss you and love you lots... simon is 52 and severely autistic.

a few months ago he started to develop a cough and fever. i felt sick with worry, because i was just thinking the worst. my god. what on earth is going to happen to him if he is so ill he has to go to hospital? andrea says her son, whose speech is limited, would be terrified in a hospital ward. she has only praise for the care home staff but says he hasn't seen a doctor or been offered a test for the virus. that is the whole problem, we don't know what we're dealing with and it has been this terrible, terrible, probably the most stressful week of my life, because... sorry. i don't know what's wrong with him. it must be very, very concerning as a mum to go through something like this.

it is. very. do you think he understands what's going on? no. no, he doesn't. he wouldn't have any idea at all. i can't imagine what is going... since we filmed, simon's condition has started improving. he is one of 700,000 people on the autism spectrum in the uk. charities say it is a group that is at risk of being forgotten. unfortunately lots of autistic people and disabled adults in general, feel that they are at the bottom of the pecking order. it is also extraordinarily difficult for care workers and family carers who are living in their own homes to know how to support people through this crisis and we haven't had enough guidance from government. the government has said all care home residents with symptoms will get tested as capacity increases. it says it is continuing to develop autism specific guidance and to create access

for online support. chris has a less severe form of autism. he lives by himself but the virus means he has lost both his long—term carers, one for health reasons, the other to look after her children. his motherjane says her son is struggling. he gets very confused and frustrated with any form of change to his timetable or his daily routine. when situations like this arise, you get a lot of anxiety from him. the family are rallying around as best they can, dropping food at his door, but jane lives with another vulnerable person so she has to keep her distance. what is the biggest fear for you? is it the virus itself or the lockdown and everything that goes along with it? i think it's the lockdown and everything that goes with that. for him not to have contact, he's safe, but at what expense? this crisis, then, is about more than the virus. the impact of the lockdown on public health may be felt for many years to come.

the south korean government has downplayed rumours that the leader of neighbouring north korea — kimjong—un — is seriously unwell. it's now been two weeks since kimjong—un has made a public appearance, missing a series of important national celebrations. our correspondent laura bicker has the latest. what is the latest about where kimjong—un might be? today in south korea the unification ministry has said it can say with some certainty there was no unusual activity in north korea. what does that tell us? it certainly does not confirm or deny any rumours that kimjong—un may be dead, gravely ill, recovering from heart surgery or hiding from covid—19 at his resort in wonsan. these are many of the rumours that are currently circulating around the world. it certainly does not confirm or deny those. what they are trying to do is certainly downplay this swirl of speculation

surrounding kim jong—un. when it comes to the south korean presidential adviser, moon chung—in, he has gone even further, saying that kim jong—un is alive and well and at his resort in wonsan. however it is worth noting that moon chung—in is not a member of the presidential team and he is not privy to any intelligence briefings. where has all of this come from? why are we talking about the whereabouts of the north korean leader? he has gone missing. he was last seen on april the 11th at a meeting of his politburo. april the 15th is a huge day in north korea — like north korean christmas — to celebrate his grandfather, the founder of north korea, and he was not there. unprecedented. so that started the rumours. but then came an unverified single—sourced report here in seoul to a website called the daily nk, claiming they had spoken to someone in north korea, who said that kim jong—un had

undergone a heart procedure and was recovering. there is no way of verifying this. this prompted a swirl of speculation which then came from the united states, which certainly one network claimed that he was gravely ill. it has gone on from there. what do we actually know? the truth is — even though i am sitting here in seoul, even though i talk about north korea on a regular basis, no—one really knows. no—one is privvy to the real intelligence briefing. it could well be that kim jong—un is quite happily in wonsan, but when it comes to state media, they would never, ever talk about his health. as we've been hearing, borisjohnson has been urging the uk not to lose patience with the lockdown. and six weeks in, many people are still adjusting to what's been described as the "new normal". from social distancing to daily exercise, supermarket queues to zoom calls, everyone has had to adapt —

as dan johnson reports. it's tested our strength... i must give the british people a very simple instruction — you must stay at home. our endurance... this advice is not a request. it is an instruction. and our resolve... we will be with our friends again, we will be with our families again, we will meet again. in leicestershire, tony's adapted. he is a martial arts sensei, mastering new skills and new technology at 71. dad, try holding it. maybe if you hold it... i'm bit of an old fuddy duddy when it comes to this. practical stuff i can do. things like this... i'm totally out of it!

from tony's class, now taken online, you get a sense of the lives upended. i hate it. everything that you love is suddenly taken away. i am missing my friends. working and schoolwork and being stuck in the house is difficult. for tony's daughter it means getting used to home—working. it is almost, you know, business as usual, really, and i think there will be an adjustment period having to go back to the world as it once was, so that's also going to be an adjustment for me, i think, going back to normality. work and play, friendships and family have all been shaken up. the crisis has recast ben and his dad luke as pupil and teacher. it's has been a lot to learn, but the good thing about it is it has brought us closer together in terms of being more involved with his schoolwork. and there are some other positives. i don't have to be late for school if i am ever late for school... we will edit that bit out... but ellie and brother calen have missed old routines.

learning at school is a better environment for it instead of sitting at a computer all day. making new connections has helped. we've contacted our grandparents over facetime which was new for them. they haven't used that technology before. and there's new—found focus to our thanks and praise. a reevaluation of what we treasure. natasha advises charities. it's that sense of belonging, seeing my friends, friendly faces kind of keeps me going, and i'd just add that the martial arts bit, it helps you to keep mentally fit and it gives you that fighting spirit. so, i'm a fighter and i'm going to fight this. but the challenges keep coming. i had to cut his hair for the first time yesterday. yeah! he was very patient with me and understanding. it turned out well! and the end still isn't in sight. just keep yourself busy. time will go quick.

patience, discipline, wisdom and grit, skills we all need for these strange, dark days. danjohnson, bbc news, at home. now it's time for a look at the weather with tomasz. well, the weather this week is going to be very different compared to last week. it's been extraordinarily warm, sunny and dry for the time of the year. this week, rain on the way — heavy rain — and in fact it's england and wales that gets most of the rain. and on the satellite picture we're seeing the size of these weather systems — rain clouds gathering to the south of us and rain clouds gathering to the west of us, and from all these directions we'll see bouts of rain heading our way, and i think by the end of the week some spots in the south could see in excess of an inch of rain — that's 25 millimetres or more. even close to double that across perhaps the higher ground — dartmoor, exmoor, maybe the hills of wales. one thing that the rain

is going to do, it'll continue to lower the pollen levels. they're still pretty high across some southern parts of the uk on monday, but after that they will be lower. now we have one weather front across the country right now. to the north of it it's quite sunny — northern england, scotland, parts of northern ireland — but this is where the cool air is, so temperatures in belfast of 12 degrees at 5pm, 13 in hull, whereas we still have some of that warmth left in the far south of the country. now this evening you can see the first signs of the rain coming out of france, moving across the channel into southern england, so i think by six o'clock in the morning, raining anywhere from plymouth to london and further inland, as well. still relatively mild first thing — around 10 degrees there in the south with the cloud and the rain, but in the north, having a clear night, temperatures will have dipped down to close to freezing. so tomorrow, across some southern parts of the uk, a cloudy, chilly, wet day. the breeze is also coming out

of the north or the north—east. it really will struggle — the temperatures really will struggle. look at that — nine degrees potentially in the midlands. but for northern england, scotland and northern ireland tomorrow, it's actually a mixture of sunshine and showers and it's going to feel that little bit less cold. and then tuesday, wednesday, it really for the rest of the week, we'll see these low pressures heading our way. this is the next weather front expected on wednesday. the difference with this one is it'll move a little bit more swiftly, so i think we're talking about an hour or two worth of rain, but many of us will get it across into northern england, northern ireland and southern parts of scotland, too. but the north of scotland staying dry and sunny most of the time. that's it. bye— bye.

this is bbc news, i'm simon mccoy. the headlines... the prime minister appeals to the british public to contain their impatience, as he returns to work. borisjohnson says the uk is now at the moment of maximum risk. i refuse to throw away all the effort and the sacrifice of the british people, and to risk a second major outbreak and huge loss of life and the overwhelming of the nhs. criticism of the online system for key workers to book coronavirus tests. the bma says they shouldn't beissued on a first come, first served basis. new zealand's prime minister says her country has stopped community transmission of covid—19 — effectively eliminating the virus. premier league clubs have begun returning to training grounds. arsenal is allowing players to complete individual sessions,