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tv   BBC News  BBC News  April 29, 2020 7:00pm-8:01pm BST

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this is bbc news with the latest headlines for viewers in the uk and around the world. the number of coronavirus deaths in the uk reaches 26,000, as a new way of counting adds in care homes and the community as well as hospital deaths. 0nly people who've died after testing positive for coronavirus are included in the figures. care home providers say they're in a full—blown crisis. there is a tsunami of death that we probably may have been able to avoid should be practised testing an awful lot earlier. us economy shrinks by nearly 5% — the biggest drop since the 2008 financial crisis. meanwhile, the international labour 0rganisation says the livelihoods of up to half the global workforce
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are affected by the pandemic — that's about 1.5 billions people. and the uk prime minister and his partner have been celebrating the birth of their baby son. and tributes are paid to the bollywood actor irrfan khan, who starred in slumdog millionaire and life of pi, who has died at the age of 53. hello and welcome to audiences in the uk and around the world. we're covering all the latest coronavirus developments here in britain and globally. first: a new way of counting coronavirus deaths in the uk — including those in care homes and the community as well as hospital deaths — has led to a stark rise in the figure. over 26,000 people are now known to have died from the disease in the uk. more than two—thirds of
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the new deaths announced today occurred outside hospital. tens of thousands more people have booked coronavirus tests in england, as the government announces millions more people are now eligible, including all care home staff and residents and anyone over 65. in the united states, the economy has slumped by nearly 5% in the first quarter of this year — the lowest since the financial crash of 2008. meanwhile — the international labour organisation has warned the livelihoods of over one and a half billion people will be affected by the pandemic. and — the prime minister and fiancee carrie symonds announce the birth of their baby son. borisjohnson is back to work and will take patenity leave later in the year. more on all those stories soon. but first, our health editor hugh pym has been studying the new uk figures and explains the implications. the latest research shows that around 1.3 patients
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she is now in critical care in hospital with coronavirus. her daughter andrea says she picked up the virus in a nursing home, and testing at an earlier stage for residents and staff might have kept her safe. i think it's a bit late, i think that coronavirus is endemic in oui’ think that coronavirus is endemic in our nursing homes and the people that are going to suffer the most either elderly and the vulnerable, not to mention the staff. testing for all care home residents and staff including those without symptoms has not been made available, either with kids sent to the homes or mobile units visiting them. there have been warnings back carrying out the task will be easy. it's the physicality of some of the people, they are so frail, they are actually doing the test itself, it ta kes a actually doing the test itself, it takes a lot of time, it takes time to explain it, it takes time to
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reassure them, it takes time afterwards to explain it again. reassure them, it takes time afterwards to explain it againli asked afterwards to explain it again.” asked about their new care home testing plan at the downing street media briefing. clint testing we have started sooner than that? this scale and the speed of this epidemic is really in the last couple of weeks, and there is a huge national and local endeavour to both notjust test which is very important but also understand the measures that would make a difference in care homes and to look at that in a very rapid rate, looking at the evidence so rapid rate, looking at the evidence so that we can put in place measures that protect people. drive through testing or home kits have been made available to millions of others with symptoms including heather who did her swab test at trenton today. because i am a private carrier, i work for myself so i could not get tested before today. and it is really important, not for me, but also from our clients. over 65 qualify for testing as well wright
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and aunt —— althea. qualify for testing as well wright and aunt -- althea. we both had the symptoms for a few days and therefore we really wanted to get checked that test became available and we were quite happy to come in and we were quite happy to come in and have tests. home test kits can be ordered online, but only by those with symptoms. we have not opened the packaging of this one so it is safe for future use. there are a couple of different types of home testing kits. this is one of them, before you do anything you need to register online and book their free collection service to come and pick it up. then you take the swab sample from your nose and throat, put it in the plastic container, and then there packaging needs to be connected. slots for a drive through the tests have been in high demand, home test kits land out earlier today, but with new supplies, are bookable again this evening. the health secretary i set a target of
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100,000 tests a day by the end of this month and that is tomorrow. the latest research shows that around 1.3 patients admitted to hospital in the uk with covid—19 have died. it underlines the urgent need for new treatments. at present there is no drug which is proven to be effective. but several existing medicines for other conditions are being trialled in the world's biggest study of potential treatments which involves thousands of patients, as our medical correspondent fergus walsh explains. what would the world to give for a cure for coronavirus? it has turned hospital wards into alien landscapes. staff at abbey brooks in cambridge must be shielded from the highly infectious virus. patients like peter who is 89 must rely on oxygen. the one thing known to help.
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i was fighting for breath, it's very bad. that was on day three, i could not breathe. the toll in individuals and their families has not breathe. the toll in individuals and theirfamilies has been enormous. at my age, everybody said it would. you are doing so well. peter is part of the national trial which is examining five drugs for conditions to see if they work for coronavirus. until they get results, doctors have limited options. it's difficult to watch a large number of patients gets incredibly unwell and we have no therapies anywhere in the world that are proving to be efficacious. it means that an urgent health need to do research into space so we health need to do research into space so we can health need to do research into space so we can understand what treatments work and what don't.
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drugs for hiv and malaria are being tried to see if they can help stop the virus application in the body. 0ther the virus application in the body. other patients are being given treatments to reduce inflammation and dampen the immune system which can go haywire. jeffrey 60 has had cancer, he can't shake off coronavirus, after being infected six weeks ago. twice i've had for him -- six weeks ago. twice i've had for him —— remissions and when you get this. he signed up for two clinical trials. what is the point in coming to the hospital. they pump you full of all sorts of things and nobody really knows what there is, he probably wouldn't help me but it might help people that follow behind me. the first results of the trials could come as early asjune. it
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would be here at their big data institute in oxford that the trial results will be analysed. in a little over a month, around 8000 patients from nearly 170 hospitals throughout the uk have been involved. in what is their biggest clinical study in the world experimental treatments were not pa rt experimental treatments were not part —— property access. experimental treatments were not part -- property access. we did not get any results. we can't afford to do that again, we need to know what works for covid—19, these trails are critically important. don't expect that you are, but even a treatment that you are, but even a treatment thatis that you are, but even a treatment that is partially effective could save thousands of lives. and pave the way for other better medicines.
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the head of america's insitute for infectious diseases has outlined how tests suggest a drug may have an effect on helping people recover from covid—19 more quickly. remdesivir, which was originally developed to treat ebola, had shown an average of four days less time was needed to shake off the effects of the coronavirus, according to dr anthony fauci. their data shows that it has a clear—cut, significant positive effect in diminishing for time to recover. this is really quite important for a number of reasons andi important for a number of reasons and i will give you the data. it's highly significant if you look at the time to recovery being shorter, it was 11 days compared to 15 days. so, that is something that although 31% improvement doesn't seem like a
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knock 100%, it is a very important proof of concept because what it is proving is that a drug can block this virus. let us talk more with our health correspondent, he is with me in the studio. tell us about this drug, late at that come from?m being developed by a pharmaceutical company called gilead and their aim is to develop a —— and he treatment. they tested against ebola, it had some effect but there were other drugs that were better. it was this promising drug that did not deliver, it was effective against lots of other viruses and they traded against stars and they traded against stars and they traded against this virus and it worked against this virus and it worked against that self they started training in patients. it was thejoy of the world health organisation when it sends, when this outbreak was confined to china, they sent their mission there and they said it is the most promising drug but now we are getting to be a beta coming out and showing that yes, it can
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change the course of this disease. we are all desperate for good news, how significant is it? we have not got all the data, that what makes it really difficult to know how significant it is because what the doctor said as about all but in terms of the official beta as well. reduction of 15 days down to 11. there are some suggestions it reduce the death rate but that's not quite reached a statistical significance and people aren't sure if the effect is real yet and they want to see it improving the chances of surviving because a drug that makes symptoms milder but does not affect the death rate is not useful. get a real desire to actually see all the detail, all the data from this trial and all the other trails involving this drug get a complete picture of how effective it is because no doubt about it if there is an effective drug it is a big deal but i don't know if we are yet at the stage where we can jump know if we are yet at the stage where we canjump up and down know if we are yet at the stage where we can jump up and down about this. just to be clear, if you're
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suggesting that it reduces recovery rates by a third, that then takes the pressure off the nhs or if health care systems around the world so health care systems around the world so you health care systems around the world so you can health care systems around the world so you can keep below the peak, is that the idea? one of the advantages ofa drug that the idea? one of the advantages of a drug is that if it's effective and can stop a piece becoming a more severe one, then it does ease pressure on the nhs or their health systems around the world. what we do not know is what it's doing to the makeup of the patients. so, yes we found out it reduces the duration of symptoms by four days my but is that because it is treating them out this patient? the people who never go in intensive care recovering quickly and going home or is it stopping some of the most sick patients getting the really severe symptoms and they go in intensive care, i can't tell you from the data i have, i can't tell you from the press conference until you know that you do not know if this drug will change the pressure on the health care systems and therefore might be useful in terms of lifting knock—down. this is why i keep saying we just need a bit more data.
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i'm out of time but i have to ask you when do we get it? does it come on the shelves soon or what? we don't know yet. sorry to be really disappointing. everybody is looking for that good news as i said and you wa nt for that good news as i said and you want it. you have to remember this is happening at lightning fast pace, research has never really taken place at this pace on the vaccine front or any scientific front so the fa ct we front or any scientific front so the fact we are getting this so soon is incredible, we just want it sooner. thank you very much. there has been some good news today. borisjohnson and his partner carrie symonds have received congratulations and good wishes from around the world following the birth of their baby boy. the child was born this morning at an nhs hospital in london. downing street say the prime minister won't be taking paternity leave at the moment, as our political editor laura kuenssberg reports. champagne arrives at number ten
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after the birth of a baby boy for whom face will be home. there were whispers in westminster about that prime minister's whereabouts, families confirmed just before ten. no glimpse yet of her first child, but a picture of borisjohnson already known to have fathered five has returned from their side. again, the foreign secretary paid understudy in parliament. the labour leader on his weight did not quite prime minister his questions again. both mother and baby are doing well and i'm sure the whole house where we wa nt and i'm sure the whole house where we want to join with me in sending congratulations and our best wishes to them. i think we all recognise the anxiety for the prime minister and carrie must've gone through in these past few weeks, unimaginable anxiety. so i really hope this brings them incredible and joy. such happy meals i made such uncertainty. 20/20 is certainly a year they will never forget. —— happy
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20/20 is certainly a year they will neverforget. —— happy news. 20/20 is certainly a year they will neverforget. —— happy news! 20/20 is certainly a year they will never forget. -- happy news. a year more dangerous and dramatic than the most outlandish political fiction. trying to run the government response to a serious health and economic emergency.” response to a serious health and economic emergency. i must continue my self isolation... than that prime minister confined to intensive care, his own health touch and go. at —— back at work now with plenty of well wishes for his family news but facing as a government the most agonising and important decisions of its timing charge. the government itself, the public trade unions need to plan ahead and they are saying that loudly and clearly. the payment minister said monday he wanted maximum transparency. will the secretary gave us some now and maximum transparency. will the secretary gave us some now and tell us secretary gave us some now and tell us when the government will publish an exit strategy? with that government scientific committee closely monitoring the situation, ministers are reluctant to give more clues. it would be very difficult for a response to be set out for those proposals before we have had
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that subsequent advice from stage both on the rate of infection and death rate, we can't be pulled into making proposals in advance without information. it's likely that prime minister lily inched towards what might be next, not to beef and encyclopaedic exit strategy but a gauge of how he might start to think our way out of this moment. scrambling to keep up with the pace of their virus but the journey out of their virus but the journey out of their virus but the journey out of the virus will be anything but quick. we will be looking at figures from the united states today. the us economy shrank by nearly 5% betweenjanuary and march — the worst quarterly contraction since 2008. looking at today's figures, we can see a drop of 4.8% — that is an annualized figure — so to be wholly accurate it means that if the rate of decline in the first quarter persisted over the year, the economy would
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shrink by 4.8%. because the lockdown did not begin until late march, it sounds to be using the second quarter will be much, much worse. new york as a city carpeting drag and desire. desperate to open up after six weeks in knock—down,. in new york without new yorkers has hammered the economy, this tourism and hospitality sector has also been decimated. wall street, the financial hub, faced the onset of another great depression. but even though the city is past the peak of the outbreak, the density of its population makes it especially hazardous to quickly open up. that covert conundrum. he runs a road—building firm in staten island which he fears will be bankrupt by
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june. he trumps a particle believes the democrats who were in new york are being too cautious.” the democrats who were in new york are being too cautious. i am not working and this economy has not opened up andy's fear mongers don't back off where they have everybody scared to death, we all go out of business. it's a vicious virus, i've had it myself, do you accept that? and i'm sorry to hear that. the reality of it is people are going to continue to get sick. i don't think they will continue to get sick at any alarming rate. we are seeing more beggars on new york streets. this is hard on, and african—american community, hit by this health and economic contagion. and this is upscale so the home of high—end retail, boarded up like a hurricane is about to rip through which economically it has. every single shutdown day. the public health officials such as daniele who live in these communities warn
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against the rush to reopen. people are hurting financially, they are struggling to feed their families, but we really need to take this facility because i would hate for us to shut down the economy again. if we get more cases. this is one of the most inpatient cities in the world come talk about the new york minutes, it means right now, immediately. without hesitation. but although some parts of paste states could start the gradual process of reopening in mid—may, here in new york city, the tough restrictions will remain in place, certainly four weeks and maybe for many months every night at nine p:m., the empire state building is eliminated in a red and white knight to honour the emergency workers providing care. it isa emergency workers providing care. it is a ritual that will continue, until this crisis is over. but that is the una nswerable until this crisis is over. but that is the unanswerable question. when will new york return to being new
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york? extraordinary figures coming out of the united states. to discuss this, katty kayjoins me now from washington. her home studio it seems to get more professional the more i see it, better late today than it was last timei better late today than it was last time i saw you. how are you? these figures, extraordinary when you think that actually they really only incorporate a couple weeks of the lockdown. the end of march, what does that mean for quarter two?” have to suggest this will get significantly worse before it gets better. that is the big debate here in the united states. at what point does america start coming out of this because if you listen to the white house you get one message but if you listen to most economists you get another. let us bring in a professor who is a nobel prize—winning economist who can join the conversation with us. on that point about whether this is going to
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be what's called a v—shaped recovery, it will go down sharply and then bounce back quickly, where do you see this going? how long is it going to take to get over this one? the key to recovery will be to address the health crisis as a people are not afraid. once the fear is gone, once people have confidence, and once there is a clear strategy which everyone understands and they know we can stick as long as it takes, that will be enough to revive plans for the future to get people to be considered investments and reopen businesses but until we reach that point, it's not going to make that much difference if officials say ok, you are back to normal because people will be afraid. for me, what is normal? norma will be i go get my teeth cleaned, when can i do that? i can't do that until i know my dentist has had a cast iron can show
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me the dentist does not have this virus. the dentist does not want me to come see him until i got a test where i can show i don't have the virus. so until we have tests that can make people feel safe going back to things that we usually do, we will be in this depressed state. how many tests are you talking about? up until now america has tested 5 million people over the course of two months. i know you suggested the united states has to test some 22 million people a day before the economy can reopen and start to re cove r. economy can reopen and start to recover. 22 million a day, i don't see how the government will get there. the way you get there if you p5y~ there. the way you get there if you pay. this is the way an economy works. united states he 250 million cans worth of soda every day how could you possibly produce 250 million of anything? we pay for it. the united states we spend about 50
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billion a year on soda, my calculation is a spend twice that on tests, 100 billion a year, we could have 22 million tests a day which is enough so that we test everybody once every two weeks. when you look at the total size of the us economy, you talk about the percentage drop that we talk about today. with that amount to something like $500 billion lost in output per month? aren't those extra 90 figures? do you lose something more from society aside from the cash? do you lose education and skills and do you lose a part of your democracy when you're locked into a situation this? my 500 billion a month number, it's a very rough number that estimates something like 400 billion in the la st something like 400 billion in the last output this month but another 100 billion in losses each month for
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precisely the reason you identify. when losing the connections, we are losing that supply chains, we are losing that supply chains, we are losing the firms, we are losing human capital, we are losing the chance to learn. all of those things are reducing output for all months in the future. so the longer we let this linger, the lower output will be for years, decades into the future. so, we need to be acting with some urgency to get the confidence so that people can go back to the things we did before this pandemic hits. we are out of time, i wish we could talk more but we are out of time. thank you very much for this thoughts. 0ne we are out of time. thank you very much for this thoughts. one day, they will let us resume our programme together, do you think? whether it's from the basement or studio, let's hope so christian. it's nice to see you anyway. but to have you with us today. thank you martha, on the programme, we will be talking about care homes and the
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figure is now being incorporated into the total number of deaths. we have gone from weather that did not change for days on end to weather that changes every hour or so. weather that changes every hour or so. this afternoon sunshine came out after a spell of rain, much of the uk will see rain at some stage of the night and heavy showers on their way tomorrow. the pressure is now in control around these bands of wet weather coming in and of course welcome rain for many of us in the gaps between the leather front see something drier and funnier out there. 0vernight we will see as that of heavy downpour pushing north and east across england and wales into northern ireland reaching the southern most parts of scotland later in the night separate area of rain pushing north across the rest of scotland. with all of that going on temperatures holding up mid to high single figures as we start the day tomorrow and sunny spells and
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showers highlighted to start the day across the eastern side of england but his band of rain parts of southern scotland and northern ireland will be showering, heavy showers wales in western england will push by east across the rest of england during the day. some sunny spells in northern scotland with one or two showers around and rain moving north. showers are heavy, thundering, hail, plus the rains. waves along the english channel coast, 4350 mph. it will be windy and temperatures and that made to low teens, not far from average by the time of year. as we go through the time of year. as we go through the evening into the night, notice that showers are still around, it will become fewer and farther between that likely for they showers are affecting us as we go through the night. not too many to start on friday but some of these will get going again and parts of western and southern scotland and northern ireland and the nicknames, not too many on friday, the first day of me
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into southern england and here with sunny spells and temperatures may be a bit higher. the picture for the weekend, the gap between whether systems a re weekend, the gap between whether systems are on saturday low pressure is going to be with more rain on sunday. not try for everyone, stood a chance of seeing a few showers north and eastern parts of the uk but will be dry on saturday before the rain gets on sunday. a selection of locations to show you here, pretty much all in the same boat, temperatures as well but most of us will see more likely weather for the time on sunday.
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this is bbc news with the latest headlines for viewers in the uk and around the world.this is bbc news with the latest headlines for viewers in the uk and around the world. 0nly people who've died after testing positive for coronavirus are included in the figures. and the wider community. 0nly people who've died after testing positive for coronavirus are included in these figures. care home providers say they are in a full—grown delete not blown crisis. there is a tsunami of deaths that we probably may have been able to avoid should we had this testing and off a lot earlier. the us economy shrinks by nearly 5%. it's the biggest drop between the 2008 financial crisis. the uk prime minister and his partner have been celebrating the birth of their baby son. and tributes are paid to the
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ball he would actor who starred in slum dog millionaire and life of pi. he's died at the age of 53. hello and welcome to audience in the uk and around the world. we are covering all the latest coronavirus developments here and globally. when the coronavirus pandemic first hit israel and the palestinian territories, the un praised their cooperation to deal with a common threat. however, palestinian workers in israel have brought the virus back to the occupied west bank and now a political row has broken out that threatens to hit the economies on both sides and undermine efforts to stop the spread of covid—19. here's our middle east correspondent, yolande knell. before dawn, their watch begins.
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palestinian security forces trying to stop workers going to israel. they wouldn't do this normally, but these are not normal times. "we are doing this to protect our mothers, wives and children," the officer says. "we have to control the spread of the virus. " these men claim they are doing nothing wrong. but an inspection turns up israeli work permits. the officers take their belongings and tell them they can collect them later. then, they try to catch up with three more men. but they're too late. they can't go any further, the path ahead is under full israeli control. these workers are vital to the weak west bank economy, so a deal was struck to allow tens of thousands to go to israel,
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also on a strict lockdown, and to stay there. in this israeli settlement, factory workers are sleeping in tents. they will spend the holy month of ramadan here to protect theirjobs. translation: i want to keep my family, friends and my town safe. that is why i chose to stay in my workplace. if i don't work, nobody will help me with even the basics. i can't express how hard this is. god help us, god help the workers. but the workers have not been able to avoid politics. most coronavirus cases in the west bank have been linked to those returning home. the palestinian authority has sharply criticised israel for that, which israel says is unfair. senior officials that are giving these remarks, they are just misleading. even encouraging
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incitement, i would say. the palestinian people, we have been doing really a joint effort together to cope with this virus. it's a common enemy. some palestinians have stayed in israel but others are coming home for ramadan. they are checked for signs of the coronavirus. zahid has a fever, so he is tested on the spot. he is worried about infection. "what can i do? "my financial situation is really bad, i need to work to earn money," he says. ten relatives rely on him. now he is told to self—isolate for two weeks. the desperation of the workers to return to theirjobs, even during a pandemic, has underlined the economic reliance of the palestinians on israel. and in their decades—old conflict — that's a sore point. yolande knell, bbc news.
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we can speak now to yossi mekelberg who is a senior research fellow in the middle east and north africa programme at chatham house — and also professor of international relations at regency university. as we've been reporting — the us economy shrinking in particular, the palestinians in the west bank who cross into israeli say they depend on theirjobs and this families depend on the salaries? absolutely. we are talking about in normal times 100,000 workers and palestinian workers working in the settlements. like now it's over 150,000 as you call correspondent said earlier they have many dependents. so we are talking about hundreds and hundreds of thousands of people that's relying
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on income. 0n thousands of people that's relying on income. on this work. as always in this situation they are not only economic implication there is also political applications there are security implications. as the un special envoy earlier this month islam and palestine, palestinian authority the beginning populated on issues of ensuring that the workers come to work. they are not going back to their families. there is come to work. they are not going back to theirfamilies. there is no spread of coronavirus into the west bank. unfortunately some politicians couldn't resist. they need to go back and understand this isa need to go back and understand this is a problem on both sides. are there any guarantees? 0bviously there's been pictures out of spread their people that are living in a tent, they are living close to each other, their living without mass, do they have the proper equipment, are they have the proper equipment, are they being properly cared for that
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is the big concern of the palestinian community. of course, because it's an unfolding crisis not only in islam but in palestine and across the world. both sides need to learn properly. the corporate will only co—operate. there's no reason why they won't cooperate. 0bviously those that come and work in a settle m e nt those that come and work in a settlement should be treated in a humane way. by ensuring that proper accommodation, food and also look health, medically, and that's exactly the challenge. they need to respond very quickly and if on an operational level they work together in the politicians just let operative levels to work and do what they do best. i've had a number of time on this programme we only come out in the pandemic when we all come out in the pandemic when we all come out pandemic. so israel does have a keen interest in this. it must have because if you have a pandemic that spreads in the west bank it is going to come back to israel. absolutely.
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and ina to come back to israel. absolutely. and in a way, by the way we need to look closely what happens in gaza. because at the end of the day were talking about instead point like inside a million people with small state. whatever happens in one place affects what happens in other place. so there are risks but they are also opportunities. because if they learn they can incorporate and bring this crisis and bring a successful end, it can actually reflect on the future cooperation of other issues and on the best process. on the other hand, if they look only at a very selfish way, especially islam which is the stronger side. economically, more powerful than social will reflect when the pandemic crisis is over. and the biggest risk as we said, not only the health issue but also the colla pse the health issue but also the
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collapse altogether. yeah, absolutely. good to talk to you. anyone with suspected symptoms of cancer —— is being urgently advised to contact a doctor. the official advice follows a significant fall in urgent referrals in recent weeks. nhs england has revealed there's been a 70 per cent reduction in the number of referrals —— since the pandemic was declared. special surgical hubs are now being set up in 21 areas of england to carry out urgent cancer operations —— as our health correspondent lauren moss reports. (tx) this opera this operation is one of thousand that's been across the country. for him it means urgent surgery can take place in a hospital that's free of coronavirus. so i took that chance straightaway because it's a covert free area. cancer isn't a disease that waits for you. it's progressive. rods
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being cared for and queen victoria and west sussex. 0ne being cared for and queen victoria and west sussex. one of 19 regional centres in england. to keep it clear of coated consultations are done by video call. patients are prioritised and they isolate for a week and attested for the virus before surgery. our patients need to have that assurance that they're coming in to have surgery without us and they've already got a cancer diagnosis. there already at risk so they need to know that we've absolutely minimised the risk of coronavirus in the site. have you had a persistent cough lately? no i haven't. before we are allowed on site we were screened, had a temperature check and put on masks. the important of putting on cancer ca re the important of putting on cancer care is being highlighted in a study of the university college london which suggest delays it could contribute to 18,000 additional deaths. cancer patients aren't being treated in their favour because of the lack of capacity in the nhs. if there's a delay there will be a significant downward effect on those
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patient's outcomes. diagnosis is also key. fewer people are visiting doctors but certain tests also aren't being done. many diagnostic pathways are not open at the minute. some investigations are not available because they're unsafe to do. so gps can't get our patients to have those procedures done and for good reason. there's been a 70% reduction in cancer referral since the start of the outbreak. and there's real concern that people aren't seeking help. covert free surgical hubs like this could be used as a model for other procedures. as the nhs reminds the public it's very much open for business. similar covert free systems a re business. similar covert free systems are up and running elsewhere in the uk. and there are plans to reopen other parts of the nhs over the next six weeks. separating patients and treatment in this way may become the blueprint for the foreseeable future. as we've been reporting — the us economy shrinking by nearly five percent
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on an annual basis in the first quarter of this year during the coronavirus outbreak. we arejust big we are just big getting word from the us federal interest they aren't leaving interest rates at zero. they're not going to negative territory which was some of the speculation. jerome powell, the chairsaid speculation. jerome powell, the chair said the us economy may see an unprecedented drop in quarter two. some are saying that it may fall as much as 30% but for the moment they are keeping those interest rates at zero. as i say things could get a lot worse in the second quarter. it's something i can put into the former security treasury that said bill clinton whether he agreed with some of the predictions. the downturn only really started in march. so this only effected a third of the first quarter. and it didn't have the full
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effect during the first quarter. so my guess is that the number will be -30 my guess is that the number will be —30 perhaps, perhaps it could be as high as —50. for the second quarter. think about this way something like 30% of the workforce is unable to work or is not working because they are not doing jobs that can be done at home and they're doing jobs that are being deemed essential stop and that they're forced to do. so they're not being productive. 30% of they're not being productive. 30% of the workforce is not being productive then output has to be down by a substantial amount. say it's down by 15% then annual rates dropping from this quarter to the next quarter, you'd be looking at
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something like 50%. decline at annual rates. so i think we had just seen annual rates. so i think we had just seen the beginning in these figures and there isn't any question that this is going to be a massive, massive disruption. the interesting question or the profoundly important question or the profoundly important question is, are we with some combination of aggressive testing policies and social contact tracing policies? 0r policies and social contact tracing policies? or with some medical breakthrough or with simply being prepared to accept health, profound health consequences going to cause this to be a very temporary drop
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that has the character of 18 massive, massive snow storm or hurricane would do. as the us was announcing that economic contraction — the international labour 0rganisation was outlining another stark warning on unemployment. it has revised the number ofjobs it thinks will be lost, upwards, by half. and it also has growing concern for people with work which was not secure to begin with. for people with work we for people with work estimate that in the second quarter we estimate that in the second quarter of this year the loss of full—time jurors quarter of this year the loss of full—timejurors doing quarter of this year the loss of full—time jurors doing ourjobs quarter of this year the loss of full—timejurors doing ourjobs is equivalent to 3.5 million jobs worldwide. perhaps some of the most vulnerable, some of the most exposed people in global labour markets. that's the 60% of humanity which earns a living in the informal economy. we estimate that some 1.6 billion informal workers are now
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strongly devastatingly impacted in their livelihoods by what is happening. the education secretary for england —— gavin williamson says schools are likely to re—open in a phased manner —— rather than all pupils returning at the same time. but mr williamson told mps on the education select committee that no date had been set. many mps have warned that this time out of school can be particularly damaging to the education of children from deprived communities as our education editor bra nwen jeffreys reports. (tx) bra nwen jeffreys reports. a number of people haven't been furlough they've been laid redundant. lots of claims for credit and lots of people coming through for free school meals. a head teacher tells meet the challenges she faces. families now behind
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closed doors the school has delivered food to some. other families getting vouchers to help with shopping doing their best to keep children learning. sometimes it's hard but it depends i struggle a bit. it's stressful and the life. just trying to keep them busy and focused relay. because you run out of ideas. it's not easy when families are cooped up. claire is working from home with her three kids. they are managing a few hours each morning. probably sat inside until about lunchtime and then after lunch it's creative fun like playing in the garden, painting, drawing. it's harder to learn the newer things because you're obviously not just gonna know it. so you need it teaching and you can't teach yourself. kyle is keeping up with geography but missing weeks of teaching already, he's ggoo to take his g tses next year. i worry
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sometimes because i feel like what's the future going to hold if i don't get my grades? that was always the thing to think about, what the weather i would get into unity because there always pressure. doing a couple of hours work at home is not the same as coming to school full—time. and it's not meant to be. but schools do a lot of leveling up to help the children that don't have resources at home to do well. on an ordinary day we would feed up to for hundred children in 45 minutes. vicki michael wants to work out how she can reopen her school. and pick up she can reopen her school. and pick up the pieces of the most vulnerable children. you get to the point that you cannot reach that gap. for my children in year ten they were sitting exams next may and every hour that they're out of the classroom is damaging and limiting their life chances. school may not look the same for a long time.
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la pto ps look the same for a long time. laptops and wi—fi have been promised for a few, the long—term impact on the many impossible to guess. so what lessons can the uk learn from places that have already opened their schools. including norway full—time there in norway full—time there in norway their schools already, including norway where a week later the country open primary schools between six and ten who returned to their desk following six weeks of remote learning. class sizes have been limited to 15 students. and the newer agent government is an encouraging increased hygiene and cleaning measures in the schools. time spent outdoors will be increased with activities taking place outside where possible. so what lessons can let's get more on all
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of that — we can speak to guri melby who is norway's education minister. who is norway's tell who is norway's me a little bit about how you've tell me a little bit about how you've prepared schools, what you told teachers and how they were a range of classes? well, it's important to us to make sure that both the children and their parents and also teachers feel safe going back to school. so we spent a lot of time making written guidances with really concrete advice as to how they should organise their days. how big the groups should have to be, how to keep distance between the children and also hygiene measures. to wash their hands regularly and to make sure that they also wash items that they use and also spent a lot of time outdoors. and in groups of maximum 15 pupils. i suppose what concerns a lot of people is when you say they get more time outdoors. how is it possible in the playground to socially distance? they have to
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organise this very well. most schools have divided the schoolyards into different areas so that one or two groups can play and one area while others play in other areas. they also make sure that not too many children are outside at the same time. also many schools have a lot of big areas so they can use for instance, forests or parks or other areas that they can use and we encourage them to use. when you were taking a decision is a government to phase back schools, why did you focus particularly on primary schools? the reason we focused on the youngest children is that they are the ones who need to be in school the most. they are the ones that profit the least from home education or digital education. so it's a clear priority to get the youngest kids back to school. but
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our goal is to get all the students back to school before the summer holiday. interesting, ijust wondered if you focus on primary school children for because my experiences been my older daughter, ican experiences been my older daughter, i can leave her to her own devices but my younger son i have to be there with them. so if you're trying to get people the workplace, it's obviously, more difficult if the pa rents of obviously, more difficult if the parents of primary school children are still at home with the children. yes. that's of course another positive effect by opening the kindergartens in the schools for the youngest pupils that the parents can either go to work or have a more efficient home office. the teachers are happy with this? the teaching unions? we have cooperated a lot with the teacher unions during this process. both in making this written guidelines and how to organise this. but of course it's a very demanding situation for the teachers like it is for many in our society today.
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but i'm very impressed by how the teachers are tackling the situation. both all the weeks that schools were closed but also now when we are reopening. okay. leslie to talk to you. one of india's best—known actors irrfan khan —— known to millions around the world for his starring roles in slumdog millionaire, life of pi and jurassic world has died at the age of 53. the actor had revealed two years ago that he'd been diagnosed with a very rare form of cancer. 0ur correspondent in mumbai yogita limaye —— looks back at his life and career. in life of pi one of the several english language movies he started. amongst his biggest hits overseas was slum dog millionaire. directed by danny boyle. it's a sad day to think of his passing. but it's also
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a date when you can remember everything that he gave us, all the lovely roles that he played. and an actor who effortlessly bridged two cultures. abroad he was india's best known international actor. here in his own country, he was the unlikely leading man. who broke the stereotype of what it takes to beat the protagonist in hindi language movies. 0n the protagonist in hindi language movies. on a bbc programme seven yea rs movies. on a bbc programme seven years ago, he was asked if he sees himself as polly wood or hollywood. ido himself as polly wood or hollywood. i do see myself as an actor and i just want to engage the whole world. so we can be bolivar, all whatever word. over a career that spanned 30 yea rs word. over a career that spanned 30 years he acted in more than 100 films. his last movie hit cinemas in india just as they had to close down because of the coronavirus crisis. many are hoping that when we all go back to the movies perhaps they'll
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release it so they get to watch them on the big screen one more time. two yea rs on the big screen one more time. two years ago he had shared a note about his battle with cancer. little had i known that my search for rare stories would make me find a real desire doing at disease, he wrote. the greatest actor of our time. he leaves behind heartbroken fans in india and around the world. he has died at the age of 53, will be sadly missed. that is nearly from from us. just bring you up to speed with some of thejerome powell has been talking in the last few minutes. they are keeping the benchmark interest rate at zero, near zero. and he says that the bank will keep buying bonds. but they are our he says, considerable risk to the economic outlook in the united states over the medium term. plenty
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more to come on that here on bbc news. 0utside sources coming up. please stay with us for that. hello, we've gone from weather that didn't change for days on end to weather that now seems to change every hour or so. this afternoon sunshine came after a spell of rain much of the uk will see some rain at some stage of the night. heavy showers on the way tomorrow. all because low—pressure is now in control around these bands of wet weather coming in. welcome rain for many of us in the gaps between the weather fronts starts when you get to see something drier and sunday are out there. so overnight we will see another spell of heavy downpour is pushing north and east across england and wales into northern ireland regents of the most parts of scotla nd ireland regents of the most parts of scotland later in the night. separate area of rain yesterday pushing northwards across the rest of scotland. with all of that going on temperatures holding up mid to
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high single figures as we start the day tomorrow for top area of sunny spells and. find whether to start the eastern side of england but this band of rain acting northern england parts of southern scotland which are more sorry. i lot of heavy showers illicitly eight initially wales will put east across the rest of england during the day for top some sunny spells across scotland around one or two showers moving north across the golden isles. could well be heavy, thundering, hail possibly gusty winds. when does across the channel islands 40 to 50 mph. this is where it's going to be windiest. 0ur temperatures in the mid to low teens. not farfrom temperatures in the mid to low teens. not far from average for this time of year. now as we go the night noticed the showers are still around. they'll just become noticed the showers are still around. they'lljust become fewer and further between but there will likely be further showers affecting as we go through the night. a not too many around to start off on friday but in the heat in the day some of these will get going again up some of these will get going again up to western and southern scotland, northern ireland, nick england wales
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midlands not too many on the first day of may two southern england. here more in the way of sunny spells with temperatures it mayjust be a little bit higher. the picture for the weekend, with a gap between weather systems on saturday the low— pressure weather systems on saturday the low—pressure is going to come in with more rain on sunday. not try for everyone on saturday still a chance of seeing a few showers northern and eastern parts of the uk but more of us will be tried on saturday before that rain gets in on sunday. a selection of locations to show you here. pretty much all in the same boat. temperatures pretty similaras the same boat. temperatures pretty similar as well. most of us see some more wet weather at a time on sunday.
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this is 0utside source on bbc news for viewers in the uk and around the world. we're covering all the latest coronavirus developments here in britain and globally. the us economy has shrunk at its fastest rate in a decade, as the lockdown virtually shut down the world's biggest economy. and there is worse still to come. the number of people who've died in the uk hasjumped past 26—000 — as the government starts adding deaths in care homes and in the wider community to the official death toll. a stark warning from the
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international labour 0rganisation:

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