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tv   BBC World News  BBC News  June 25, 2020 5:00am-6:01am BST

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this is bbc news. i'm david eades with the latest headlines for viewers in the uk and around the world. new york, america's worst—hit state for coronavirus deaths, now clamps down on travellers from other parts of the country, where infection rates are surging. the australian airline qantas cuts at least 6,000 jobs and grounds 100 aircraft — some of them for at least three years. we have a special report on palestinian children who are struggling to get urgently needed treatment as cooperation with israel continues to crumble. we hear from three generations of black men to find out what the black lives matters movement means to them, their families and their country.
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hello and welcome to audiences in the uk and around the world. as the coronavirus pandemic worsens across large areas of the united states, new york — for a long time the epicentre of the disease in the us — has announced it will quarantine arrivals from other states experiencing a surge in infections. and they're not the only ones. new jersey and connecticut are taking the same measures at a time when officials in southern and southwestern states which have posted record spikes in recent days are asking residents to take precautions. let's speak to our north america correspondent, david willis. the first thing that strikes you is what a turnaround, david? absolutely. itjust seemed last month this country had got a handle on the
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coronavirus but now new figures show a sharp spike in a number of southern states, taking for example arizona. 20% rise there in recent days. ditto florida, texas, california and so on. new york and the neighbouring states of new jersey new york and the neighbouring states of newjersey and connecticut have decided that having been the epicentre and having been the epicentre and having fought off the worst effects of the coronavirus they don't want to set coming back. they want don't want a second surge brought in by people travelling from states that have not perhaps been as prudent. they are introducing a 14 prudent. they are introducing a 1a day quarantine. for people coming in from 1a day quarantine. for people coming infrom nine 1a day quarantine. for people coming in from nine different us states those three states, good morning. neighbouring states, new york, newjersey and neighbouring states, new york, welcome to breakfast new jersey and connecticut. and with charlie stayt and naga munchetty. from one perspective it looks 0ur headlines today: warnings over safety on what's set like a straightforward health measure. what has been the to be the hottest day of the year. response? well, the response uv rays could reach record levels. from some is that how on earth
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are you... how on earth are you yes, certainly exceptionally high uv levels across the uk, unusual for what? we have lost david there. this part of the world, and to go we will see if we can get him with it, very hot weather — temperatures could hit 30 to 33 back. the message is loud and degrees in quite a few spots. i'll clear. new york state and the have all the details. other states have weathered question marks over coronavirus antibody tests. they're being rushed out, this dorm and i think actually we may have him back. david, according to a group of doctors. sorry, you were cut off there good morning from glastonbury. in your prime. it was just that understanding from other states looking as to how they felt about the new york, newjersey and connecticut move? i think the challenge really and many questions are how are you going to enforce this quarantine, david, the 14 day quarantine period and the new york governor, andrew cuomo was asked that early on and he said officials would carry out random tests, if you would like, for example, knocking on the door someone they know from someone he has recently arrived
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from one of the nine states featured in the quarantine order to see if they are abiding by it and if they are at home, there will be fines of $1000 for a first offence, $5,000 thereafter. it is pretty much an honest system, if you like, very difficult to enforce this sort of thing but we will see what effect it has in those three states. david, thank you very much indeed. apologies for losing connection with david there. like many airlines around the world, the australian company qantas has been thrown into crisis by the coronavirus pandemic. now it's announced it will at cut least 6,000 jobs to deal with the impact. live now to our correspondent shaimaa khalil in sydney. that is a lot ofjobs. a lot of upset union members, shaimaa, not surprisingly? not surprisingly at all and what you are seeing a stark number but a continuation of the devastating effects covid—19 has had not just devastating effects covid—19 has had notjust on qantas but
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on really the aviation industry asa on really the aviation industry as a whole. in addition to the 6000 cuts we have heard about today, we already know that 15,000 other qantas today, we already know that 15, 000 other qantas employees will continue to be stood down without pay, especially those in the international travel operations because effectively covid—19 estopped all international travel and australia recently announced its borders are going to be closed well within the next year. what they said in a statement is that while there is an easing of restrictions in australia and eventually internal borders will open and that means domestic flights will pick up and recover, they we re will pick up and recover, they were not really sure whether demand on the services was going to go back to pre— covid—19 at levels or how long recovery we re covid—19 at levels or how long recovery were ta ken covid—19 at levels or how long recovery were taken so they announced they are granting 100 aircraft and they are also retiring permanently the remaining 6747 aircraft, six months earlier than scheduled, all really to make these massive savings under the
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current circumstances. they wa nt to current circumstances. they want to save $10 billion in the course of three years where they feel they will have a decline in revenue. the chief executive basically said they will have reduced revenue, they are going to have smaller reve nu es are going to have smaller revenues that they have to be a smaller operation in order to survive. we have to become a smaller airline for a while, he said. i wonder, smaller airline for a while, he said. iwonder, one smaller airline for a while, he said. i wonder, one of the elements he talked about, shaimaa, is essentially mothballing the airbus a380, the huge planes for three yea rs! the huge planes for three years! that raises all sorts of questions in the minds of any potential travellers as to when doi potential travellers as to when do i step back on a plane?” think that in itself, as you say, is going to make people wonder when they will be able to travel again. really i think people have been asking these questions for a long time now, not just about when will we will travel but how we will travel. you will remember there has been talk about a travel
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bubble between australia and new zealand being two countries that have done really well in the way they were able to control the threat of coronavirus. now new zealand is no longer covid—19 free. we have seen a surge in cases in victoria in australia so there is a? about that and so even that even that little glimmer of hope, if people could get on that plane, whatever that plane is and go somewhere, that has taken a step back. it is also not just about decisions taken a step back. it is also notjust about decisions about the airline industry and what they want to do with the planes what they want to do with companies, it is also about on the ground, whether or we are able to see a second wave or whether more cases will pop up that will affect the decisions of governments about whether or not to open up orders. there is that ever rising sense of uncertainty again, shaimaa, thank you very much indeed. we'll have more in the business in about 25 minutes.
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notjust not just about qantas notjust about qantas but how luftha nsa notjust about qantas but how lufthansa is also dealing with issues, and market difference in approaches. interesting to see what they will be. let's get some of the day's other news. human trials have begun of a second british—made covid—19 vaccine, with about 300 people to be given the jab. imperial college london, where the vaccine has been developed, says if it works and is safe, there could be enough doses to immunise 40 million people in the uk by next year. the eiffel tower will reopen to the public today, more than three months after france went into lockdown in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic. measures are in place to keep people 1.5 metres apart and the number of visitors will be limited to comply with social distancing measures. three men in the us state of georgia have been formally charged with the murder of ahmaud arbery, a young black man who was shot dead in february while out onajog. his case went largely unreported until video emerged of the killing more than two months later. ahmaud arbery‘s name
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has been widely chanted at black lives matter protests. an appeals court in washington has ruled in favour of the justice department and ordered that charges be dropped against michael flynn, president trump's former national security adviser. mr flynn had pleaded guilty to lying to the fbi about his contacts with russia but last month the department of justice announced it would no longer pursue the case. the lives of hundreds of sick palestinians are being put at risk because of the latest downturn in relations between their leaders and israel. last month, the palestinian president said his government was giving up on past peace agreements, because of israel's plans to annex parts of the occupied west bank. that decision stopped cooperation on many security and civil matters, including medical travel permits, as our middle east correspondent, yolande knell reports.
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this baby is in constant pain. cancer has blinded her in one eye and the tumour is spreading. she needs an israeli permit to leave gaza for specialist surgery abroad but the palestinian office that should help her is no longer working. she is my daughter, not my dog, she is a child, her mother says. where are the children's rights? the human rights? last year, it was crowded when we visited this cancer centre at a palestinian hospital in eastjerusalem. today, each empty seat represent someone who could not get here. palestinian leaders have stopped cooperating with israel because of its plans to annex land they want for the future state. but when it comes to medical care, that is leaving their own people
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suffering. anyone coming to treatment from the west bank or gaza has must have israeli permission and clearance. those from gaza, ruled by her mother ‘s militants, face the tightest restrictions and hospitals there like equipment and drugs. without the palestinian authority making the connection and paying the bill, hundreds of people stop hamas. in this children's ward, there is some positive news. a summer has leukaemia. this doctor and the tea m leukaemia. this doctor and the team worked around the clock to bring in from gaza with his mother, but they cannot do that for every patient. i spent two hours talking to many people to explain how it is critical and life—saving for this child to reach this hospital, so it is not easy and i can say that if this child did not get this referral, he will die waiting
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for... one day is critical for acute leukaemia. doctor say he now has very good odds of surviving. meanwhile, other palestinian patients little myra are unable to get treatment, caught up in the politics. yolande knell, bbc news. stay with us on bbc news, still to come: as north and south korea mark 70 years since the start of the korean war, we visit families torn apart by the conflict that has never technically ended. members of the neo—nazi resistance movement stormed the world trade center armed with pistols and shotguns. we believe that, according to international law, that we have a rightful claim on certain parts of this country as our land. i take pride in the words "ich bin ein berliner."
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cheering as the uk woke up to the news that it is to exit the european union, leave campaigners began celebrating. in total, 17.4 million people voted for the uk to leave the eu. the medical research council have now advised the government that the great increase in lung cancer is due mainly to smoking tobacco. it was closing time for checkpoint charlie, which, for 29 years, has stood on the border as a mark of allied determination to defend the city. hello. you are watching bbc news. these are our main headlines this hour. the governors of new york and two other states impose
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new restrictions on travellers from the us where infection rates are surging. the australian airline qantas cuts at least 6,000 jobs and grounds 100 aircraft as it deals with the impact of the coronavirus pandemic. let's get more on the united states situation now. the decision to restrict travel from other states. we can now speak to dr saskia popescu is an infectious disease epidemiologist who also specialises in healthcare bio—preparedness at george mason university. shejoins us from phoenix in arizona. saskia, thank you very much for joining us. let's start with the local news, a condition check on where you are in arizona, because it's one of the states that will be hit by this restriction. why? u nfortu nately, this restriction. why? unfortunately, just seeing cases that keep growing, was —— hospitalisations are getting worse, hospitals in our atms and capacity. which means we
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don't really have a lot of wiggle room and hospitals are really a lagging indicator. what seeing over the past two weeks is a 500% increase in cases in arizona in the last two weeksjohn white what cases in arizona in the last two weeks john white what you put that down to? reopening too early and too fast. u nfortu nately, early and too fast. unfortunately, there wasn't a lot of slowdown efforts. we went from bringing in elective surgeries on may one to expiring stay—at—home orders may 15, to allowing businesses to reopen. you saw it over memorial day weekend at the end of may, people were flocking to bars and of may, people were flocking to bars a nd restau ra nts of may, people were flocking to bars and restaurants and we had cases going through the roof.” can understand some of that in terms of the desire to get over lock down, et cetera. hospitals, though, perhaps one area where you would expect them to be particularly conservative about going back toa conservative about going back to a normal process. why do you think they returned to elective surgery so quickly? i think the challenge people may not realise especially in arizona and stays not as hard—hit as
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new york, where we did have covid cases, for the most part, because we cancelled elective surgeries are keeping them low, hospitals were quite empty, people are not going to the normal things. empty hospitals the concern is you want to stop bringing up back on so you are not neglecting people so that people who do need surgery can get it. that is really whiley me first order came in. the challenges you have to give that time so that hospitals don't get overwhelmed and we didn't do that. we unleashed the public really to go about their lives like normal without thinking how that might impact healthcare and thinking how that might impact healthca re and public thinking how that might impact healthcare and public health. another health expert has described the sort of versioning problems and the spikes as a humanitarian tragedy. can you get a sense as to how bad this is going to be? right now in arizona is very concerning and challenging to see how it's going to get better anytime soon. the hard pa rt better anytime soon. the hard part with any disease really is that it takes time to see the
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progress we are making. even last week, last friday, the mayors around arizona, because the governor gave them the option to do so, enforce masking. but it will take weeks to see that take effect. that means hospitals have weeks to try to get it together to hope that capacity doesn't go over 88%. right now a lot of the modelling says we will hit 100% capacity at the end ofjune, which is next week, which is deeply worrisome unless we start to see the numbers decline and that's not what we're seeing. we saw a little bit today but ultimately we need some honestly drastic efforts, because the healthcare system is very overwhelmed, it's very stressed. public health is very stressed as well and they worry that the community doesn't really see how serious this is. 8896 community doesn't really see how serious this is. 88% now with a surge is very worrying, understandably. dr saskia popescu, thank you very much. thank you. it's been a month since the death of george floyd in police custody.
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from global protests to policy changes and the destruction of colonial symbols, communities are asking the united states and the world to undo systematic racism. what's changed in the us and why is it so important? here's the perspective of one family, three generations. and happens all the time. but people don't get to see it. everybody saw this. i saw this and it really just everybody saw this. i saw this and it reallyjust took everybody saw this. i saw this and it really just took all the airout of me. and it really just took all the air out of me. my name is leonard and a 73 years old and in the of dwayne. my name is dwayne, i'm 49 years old, and i am nigel‘s father. dwayne, i'm 49 years old, and i am nigel's father. my name is nigel, i'm16 years old, and they live in las vegas, nevada full top when i saw this up and with george floyd i started have flashbacks about things that happen when i was growing up that happen when i was growing up when! that happen when i was growing up when i was old enough to realise what was happening. and
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i got extremely emotional. it started to take its toll. i'm sorry. that's the problem i have now. i have that emotional thing that has stirred in me because they have seen this all my life. 73 years. my first reaction to it, just like you, uncle, was i was in shockjust because of that situation could potentially happen to me, you, or my dad, considering you guys look or my dad, considering you guys loo k exa ctly or my dad, considering you guys look exactly like. it made me more cautious of my surroundings to try to avoid those open situations. he and i have had the talk many times. the talk that every black bear and has with their children about what to do when you are approached by the police —— black parent. my struggle with that because it makes me wonder how can you tell your son to cower down and submit and cover up cower down and submit and cover up and submit in a way that i
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think is unnecessary without filling him with rage? that's a ha rd filling him with rage? that's a hard thing for me to see my nephew having the same conversation with his son. i never had it, you know, because of the time my grow up. you had your separate water fountain that you would drink from, you had your front and back door entrances. we had places you are not allowed to go because the laws was that in place to keep you out. they teach a small portion of it in history class, but you have a better connection and you can understand better, me, personally, i can considering my uncle had to go through it. and, honestly, it really wasn't that long ago that all this type of stuff was happening. i've been a fire captain for the last 15 years. they have been called the n word by people i was there to help. and only now, since george floyd, there are conversations that are going on. my generation is ita are going on. my generation is it a little bit more open to
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change, because inu many my personal weight friends, they are all in, they are posting on instagram pages explaining the inequality going on in this world. white people are listening to us based on what they saw with floyd. people are listening to you and they are hearing the things we have been saying for 400 years. we have been trying for freedom. we been trying for freedom. we been trying for justice. because our lives do matter. young people like nigel, this is where the changes going to place. people are standing up to injustice and making changes faras to injustice and making changes far as legislation, with politics. is going to take things like that, exercising ourto things like that, exercising our to vote. i've feel like, my generation will come together. i'm hopeful. i hope this movement continues. i hope doesn't let up until change comes. a lot of people, a lot
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of generations which are those perspectives. only 68 people in france have used the government's new coronavirus contact—tracing app to record an infection — despite it being launched over three weeks ago. the stop—covid app has alerted just 14 people that they've been in close contact with an infected person. the longstanding camera making company 0lympus, is getting out of the camera business. the japense firm made its first camera in 1936 and grew to become one of the biggest brands in the sector. the firm cited the rise of the smartphone as one factor that has led to a ‘extremely severe market‘ for digital cameras. it had recorded losses for the last three years. ceremonies will be held on both sides of the world's most heavily armed border to mark the 70th anniversary of the start of the korean war. millions were killed and injured in the conflict and despite several diplomatic efforts, the war has
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never officially ended. 0ur correspondent laura bicker has been to the southern side of the divided province of gangwon, where she's met several generations affected by the war. 70 years on and the only brave souls battling these waves are surfers. leisure time was a luxury their grandparents could not afford. but the beaches of gangwon still bear the scars of a war that has never come to an end. this woman was pregnant when her husband went off to fight. translation: i remember the last time i saw him. he didn't wa nt to last time i saw him. he didn't want to go. i said he would come back and he could live proudly than. comes news that the ministry strips have invaded south korea...
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translation: when i north korean soldiers were pushing self i would hide inside a forest with my baby. they had to hide because the soldiers would grab and take people away. this is the city that was seoul. it nearly 4 million people died in the war, most we re people died in the war, most were civilians. the north was subjected to years of american bombing. refugees fled south looking for safety. many had to leave their families behind. kim was one of them. he still helps run the little ferry which was such a lifeline to refugees who needed to travel to the main town. this boat, he tells me, is full of sorrow. translation: these people thought that they would return home tomorrow, then the next day and day after day. how could these people be ok knowing that they left their loved ones back home? they
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would have shed tears of blood. the fighting ended in 1953 with an armistice, but never a peace treaty. many believe south korea's new generation witnessed the rise and fall of tensions with ambivalence, but not all do. translation: every time north korea provokes 0ssai feel a little bit nervous and anxious. ido little bit nervous and anxious. i do hope the current war will end. and the two countries unify so we can live happily. after 70 yea rs of unify so we can live happily. after 70 years of division and loss, south korea has become prosperous and dynamic, but hopes for peace still remain an elusive dream. laura bicker, bbc news. this guy was still pretty right today. that was 70 years ago since the start of the korean
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war. —— the scars are still pretty raw. we have more reflections on qantas, 6000 jobs to go. hello. wednesday was officially the hottest day of 2020 so far — 32.6 celsius at london heathrow airport. ithink, though, today may top that further. we're likely to see 33, again, i think somewhere towards the west of london or on into parts of the midlands. make no mistake, it will be hot and humid day across the board. we're pulling our air in across western europe, originally from northern africa, and you can see the amber makes it all the way to the north of the uk for thursday. so, areas that have lagged behind a little with the temperatures, scotland and northern ireland, will move into the warmer air through the day. notice some thunderstorms there towards the north—west — we'll see more of those a little later — but generally,
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not much happens on that chart through thursday. that's because basically it's a day of blue skies and sunshine, and up go those temperatures. 30 degrees possible in central scotland, mid—20s for northern ireland, and as i said, possibly 33 somewhere further south. however, when it gets that hot, you know what's coming — thunderstorms. thursday evening, pretty quiet, very muggy, a lot of late sunshine, but then on into the small hours of friday, the thunderstorm start to break out, initially towards the west of the uk. it will take a while for them to ease the heat. so thursday night into friday, rather uncomfortable, some spots down no lower than 18 or 19 degrees celsius. through friday daytime, though, those storms are going to come increasingly widespread. some eastern areas will still see a lot of sunshine, feeling very muggy here indeed, whereas when the showers start to break out, we will feel the heat beginning to ease. so, a west—east split in our temperatures on friday. cooler, fresher with temperatures in the low—20s in the west, still possibly up to 30 in the east. but through friday and on into the weekend, this area of low pressure really does start to take hold from the atlantic. it moves away the high that's
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locked in, though hot air, as it moves, it brings in clear atlantic air. gone the amber, in comes the fresher yellow. notjust fresher conditions, though, but much more unsettled conditions thanks to that area of low pressure. so you can see spots a 10—degree drop in temperature at the start of the weekend, we're also going to see quite a few showers i think.
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this is bbc news with the latest business headlines for viewers in the uk and around the world. flight path to survival. qantas cuts 6000 jobs — as lufthansa limps towards a government bailout. plus, is the worst yet to come? stock markets slump as us infections surge and the imf warns of a deeper recession than it first feared. we start with airlines because australian carrier qantas says it's cutting at least 20% of its workforce — around 6,000 jobs —
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and grounding 100 aircraft for up to a year as it battles to survive the coronavirus pandemic. australia's government has said the country is likely to remain closed to most international visitors until next year, wiping out any hope of a return to normal business for the airline until 2021 and that means it has no option but to become much smaller, according to ceo alanjoyce. we have to position ourselves for several years where revenue will be much lower and that means becoming a smaller airline in the short term. but the collapse of billions of dollars of revenue leaves us with little choice if we are to save as manyjobs as possible, longer term. many of these 6000 job losses we have announced today are people who have spent
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decades here, they are people we know personally, they are people we have known for a long time. separate to the 6000 job losses, about 15,000 time. separate to the 6000 job losses, about 15, 000 people will remain stood down for some time. people from who we have no work, but we will have work in the future. qantas boss alanjoyce there. here in europe, german giant lufthansa says it has struck a deal with the union representing its cabin crew to save half a billion euros in costs. it says the agreement includes pay freezes, reduced hours, early retirement packages and unpaid leave that will safeguard the jobs of 22,000 crew. it comes ahead of a shareholder vote later today on a state bailout that will see the german government take a 20% stake in the struggling airline. paul charles is a public relations consultant, who has worked with many of the big airlines.
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very good to see you. i'm going to start on qantas if i can because that is the news item of the moment. 6000 jobs to go, hanging on nonetheless to 15,000 on thejobkeeper arrangement. no surprises? no surprises and no ceo of any company, let alone an airline, wa nts to company, let alone an airline, wants to go through this, having to lose so manyjobs, having to lose so manyjobs, having to lose so manyjobs, having to be controlled by government, effectively, not just qantas but lufthansa and others who are now at the date of governments purely on how the coronavirus pandemic plays out. qantas is suffering for what others are suffering from, a lack of demand and flying through fog, with no visibility during the crisis, they do not know when borders will reopen in some countries they are suffering from quarantine measures, hurting the travel industry, so they are having to
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slash their workforce and costs by slash their workforce and costs byup slash their workforce and costs by up to 50% in some cases. a miserable time in the aviation industry right now. that is clear. interestingly, it looks like they are retiring their old 747s and it looks like they are putting some of the airbus a380 is into a three—year storage? 54% of the worlds aircraft, commercial aircraft, are in—service, so that means 46% are actually in storage and qantas is having to do this to help reduce costs. leases are being renegotiated, that is hurting airbus and bowing as it is the airlines themselves and you are going to see the older aircraft dismantled, retired —— boeing, put into storage and maybe that is a good thing if you like environmentally, because it means the airlines will fly the leanest most fuel—efficient aircraft, the airbus and others that have
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come into the market recently and so is a good thing that airlines are becoming more sustainable, and clearly flies around the world with the some of the best aircraft, in my opinion, the 747s disappear. your screen has frozen on us and i'm afraid you are grounded on the lufthansa story as well! thank you for the perspective on qantas and across the aviation industry as well. looking at the broader impact epidemic —— a economically obvious impact. let's turn now to the broader economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic because stock markets have fallen sharply on growing fears that the worst isn't over. asian markets are following wall street lower after the dow lost more than 700 points or 2.7%. this as us states including florida and texas reported
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a surge in infections. adding to the nerves, the international monetary fund has downgraded its outlook for the world economy. it's predicting a much deeper recession and a slower recovery than it was forecasting two months ago. it now says world gdp will slump almost 5% this year, wiping $12 trillion from the world economy over two years as imf chief economist gita gopinath explained to our economics editor, faisal islam. this continues to be the worst recession since the great depression and it is truly a global crisis because the pandemic is everywhere and all countries are being hit and we have had downgrades across the board for many economies. have had downgrades across the board for many economiesm have had downgrades across the board for many economies. it is being driven by the fact that
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the impact on the economy of the impact on the economy of the pandemic is worth? is it because the pandemic itself is worth or some combination of the two? a combination of the two and that is the first half of this year the impact of the pandemic was worse than we anticipated in april. secondly, because we have not had many medical breakthroughs and the crisis is not over, we are expecting persistent social distancing into the second half of the year and that, along with the fact that will have implications for markets for how work is organised and productivity associated with it, that will affect growth potential. giving us a historical context on these numbers, for the world, and the numbers, for the world, and the numbers in individual countries? -4.9%, this is the worst number we have had since the great depression and at —3% it was the worst and now it's got even worse. for all
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countries in the world, the kinds of numbers we have for growth, for the us we have —8%, for the eu, —10%, these are numbers that are historically low is for pretty much all countries of the world. are these sorts of, these stains this is a strange sort of recession isn't it? physically the economy has been stopped from functioning, switched off and then you have these big rebound. is that everything being switched back on again what sort of scarring effects are you anticipating or will it be the same around the world facilities crisis is very different, the great depression played out over many years but we are projecting a recovery to be quick. at least this is the beginning out of the recovery and what does this make? the first half of the words in terms of contractions. you can figure that is the bottom and our countries are reopening and at least now we are seeing
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signs of a recovery. however, there are some sectors that are responding more quickly and sectors which are much more contact intensive like tourism and hospitality and leisure sectors, those are the ones his recovery will be much slower going forward. yes, the depth was in the first half and we think signs of improvement already but the question is about how rebound is and how long it will last and there we think it will be a slow process. i'm sure we will all agree on that! that is a chief economist from the imf. let's get some reaction to this from the investment world — samy chaar is chief economist at the private bank lombard 0dier in geneva. thank you forjoining us. i note that the imf talked about a higher than usual degree of uncertainty around the forecast. we would all agree with that. but what do you make of the perspective now? do you see that is about right? no, i
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think it is confirming what we already know which is that we are going through one of the deepest recessions in history. i would say the numbers lean on the pessimistic side, especially for european economies that are forecasted to co ntra ct economies that are forecasted to contract more than let's say latin american economies that have mismanaged the pandemic and have to suffer a collapse in the old price, so we can expect the numbers to be revised again and again, especially as we get new information on how the recovery is going on. most of the forecast were probably made when economies were not down and now we are reopening so hopefully we are going for better days. yeah, but the further you get through the year it is easy to forecast the end of it where you are and the imf are talking about essentially 12.5% a drop in growth for spain, italy, france. you think that is overstated ? france. you think that is overstated? a little bit. i think most of the damage has been concentrated in the first
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quarter and second quarter of the year. but even if you look at the imf forecast, we are already out of recession in the fourth quarter of the year and the fourth quarter will be all about the recovery. but... i'm sorry to interrupt but you talk about it will all about the about it will all about the about the recovery. we are looking over the pond at state that in the us who are now getting that surge, the spark that many feared would come. that is not recovery coming?m depends on which regions of the world you. if you look at asia and if you look at europe, they have managed the pandemic in a relatively good way. they have contained the spread of the virus and indeed some of these states in the us have failed to use the tools to contain the pandemic and recovery there will be slower, but not all the states in the us are going through the mismanagement, i would say, and it is unlikely whether it is in asia, europe or the us that will go into full lockdown again said
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economies are now reopening and the recovery is a long process away but it is one where economic activity is restarting. looking at the figures again, india down 4% but china still experiencing some growth of 1%. would you share the view of many that actually the asian economy generally speaking is going to come out of this stronger then perhaps the western world? well, it has suffered from the pandemic so it will be a tough yearfor pandemic so it will be a tough year for asia but it went through the pandemic process ahead of the world so they are getting out of an open economy ahead of the others, so they can the recovery whereas europe has actually been doing a good job as well, managed to reopen the economies ahead of the us, for example. so we will see economic activity restarting in europe. where there are more doubts is the american continent, not only latin america but the us dates you
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have mentioned. we only think of asia, we can think of europe asa of asia, we can think of europe as a bit ofa of asia, we can think of europe as a bit of a delay. thank you for that insight into the latest forecast for the global economy. let's get some of the day's other news. german chemicals giant bayer has agreed to pay more than $10 billion to settle around 100,000 lawsuits claiming that its weedkiller roundup caused cancer. it admits no liability or wrongdoing. bayer inherited the massive legal dispute when it bought roundup maker monsanto for $63 billion in 2018. the us department of defense has determined that 20 top chinese firms, including huawei, are either owned by or backed by the chinese military. the list, seen by us media, also includes china telecom, china mobile and avic. the determination could lay the groundwork for new us financial sanctions
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against the firms. finally, the surge on stock markets since april and the recent steep sell—offs have meant a rollercoaster ride for the thousands of private investors trading at home. interest in day trading has been booming, with people cooped up at home with time on their hands and no shortage of apps allowing them to buy and sell via smartphone. it has caught some wall street professionals by surprise, as samira hussain has been finding out. did you ever imagine you would get interested in trading stocks? no, never! kelly works in the film industry but when covid—19 hit her home in new 0 rlea ns, covid—19 hit her home in new 0rleans, she covid—19 hit her home in new 0rlea ns, she found covid—19 hit her home in new 0rleans, she found herself out of work and with a lot of time on our hands. after playing a videogame which involved buying and selling fictitious items she thought why not try her hand at the stock market? i'm trying to make money, i'm trying to make money, i'm trying to make money, i'm trying to spend my time because i have nothing else to do. a
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recent survey showed 55% of americans have exposure to the stock market but much of that is through retirement and investment accounts, managed by professionals. a new range of apps and no fee trading options is making it easierfor everyday americans to purchase stocks themselves. professionals here on wall street, well, they have not been so receptive to the new investors, especially those who are able to take advantage of the big punches on financial markets earlier this year. many institutional investors did not invest in march and april, at the height of the covid—19 lockdowns. retail investors shove their way in and made a large way of the returns in the market, great for retail retrospectively but kinda frustrating for wall street professionals and frankly they do not like it and they want to state they sign irrational exuberance when really it was just intelligent picking from the market bottom. eric sutherland is using money that he would normally spend going out with friends to trade on
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the stock market. he is also new to daytrading and is not at all surprised that wall street does not like it. they do not wa nt does not like it. they do not want us to trade ourselves. they want us to give them our money so they can try to make money so they can try to make money with it. so of course they're going to be against it! right now i have the time to be on my phone all of the time, i consta ntly on my phone all of the time, i constantly and watching what is going up and down, doing new research on everything but when igo research on everything but when i go back to work, no. that is the real mystery. while these new investors stopped actively trading once life gets back to normal? all the pandemic had made a fundamental change to those who play the markets? samira hussain, bbc news. president trump has said the us will be sending troops to poland to boost the country's defence capabilities and bolster nato's eastern flank against potential russian aggression. his meeting with the polish president andrzej duda marked the first visit of a foreign leader to washington since coronavirus travel
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restrictions were put in place. translation: if anyone wants to attack poland, it won't be a soft landing for that entity, it won't pay off to such an aggressor because the strongest army in the world is present and they would help polish soldiers defend our borders. poland is one of the few countries that are fulfilling their obligations under nato, in particular, their monetary obligations, and they asked us if we would send some additional troops. they are going to pay for that, they will be paying for the sending of additional troops, and we will probably be moving them from germany to poland. donald trump there. in 15 minutes we have breakfast for you as well. charlie stayt and naga munchetty will be your hosts. do stay with us for that. this is bbc world news. the latest headlines: the governors of new york and two other states impose
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new restrictions on travellers from the us where infection rates are surging. the australian airline qantas cuts at least 6,000 jobs and grounds one hundred aircraft as it deals with the impact of the coronavirus pandemic. covid—19 antibodies tests for nhs and care staff in england are being rolled out without "adequate assessment", according to a warning from medical experts. the tests establish whether someone has had the virus, but not whether they have developed immunity. fourteen senior doctors and scientists have written to the british medicaljournal expressing concern that the tests are being introduced too quickly. 0ur health correspondent naomi grimley reports. immunity remains one of the big mysteries of covid—19, even if you know you have antibodies, does that mean you are actually immune to the virus and can you still transmitted to other
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people? antibody tests are already proving popular and last month the government said it had bought 10 million to be used on nhs england staff as well as some patients who are having their blood taken and wa nt to having their blood taken and want to know if they have had the virus. but in a letter to the virus. but in a letter to the british medicaljournal, 14 senior academics question the wisdom of doing that. they're worried both about whether the tests have been properly assessed and whether it's a good use of resources, given that there are still so many unknowns. there are lots and lots of problems with these tests. the first is they haven't been properly validated and we've got very little data and we've got very little data and understanding of what these tests actually mean. these tests actually mean. these tests are for research and they don't actually tell you, as an individual, whether you are safe or not. in response to the bmj letter, public health england said it believed its evaluation of the test was to a
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high standard. the department of health said that antibody testing will play an increasingly important role as we move into the next phase of our response to this pandemic. naomi grimley, bbc news. we have heard a bit about latin america in the course of this past hour. scientists are predicting that the death toll from coronavirus in latin america will soar by october — brazil and mexico are likely to be worst affected. leaders of both countries have been criticised for not taking the virus seriously enough and pushing to reopen economies before the virus has been tamed. and wednesday's earthquake in southern mexico has hampered treatment for people with covid—19. aru na iyengar reports. this is the moment the earthquake struck a mexico city hospital some 700km away from the epicentre in oaxaca on the pacific coast. patients and medical staff braced themselves as the earthquake, measuring 7.4 on the richter scale, rocks the building.
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here in the beach town of huatulco in oaxaca, locals are surveying the damage. 2,000 properties in the area are destroyed. nine people have lost their lives. but it's not the only shock mexicans are having to deal with. the country is already reeling from the coronavirus pandemic. it has suffered more than 24,000 covid—19 deaths, the second most in latin america behind brazil, and reported over 196,000 cases. within these cases, newborn triplets were tested positive for covid—19 at three days old. virus cases like this with multiple births have not previously been seen anywhere in the world. and adding to the shaky picture, the international monetary fund says it expects mexico's gross domestic product to fall by double digits in the coming year. many are desperate for work, but the government's handling of the virus leaves them with little hope.
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translation: in the situation we're in right now, without work, because of the pandemic, and now with the earthquake, i don't know what's going to happen. god willing, everything will get resolved quickly. even before the virus arrived, experts warned that the region's densely packed cities, millions of casual workers and healthcare systems starved of resources could undermine even the best attempts to curb the pandemic. now, an earthquake hasjust added to their woes. aruna iyengar, bbc news. the earthquake in mexico but large parts of china mace —— facing a flooding emergency. evacuations there, landslides and damage to crops as well. thousands of teams have been mobilised and in the worst hit areas houses and other buildings have been submerged. in some parts floodwaters have risen to their highest level in
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eight decades, as steve mcdonell reports from beijing. across vast swathes of southern china, swollen rivers have burst their banks, causing widespread damage and leaving millions of people displaced. summer is the season for flooding in this country, but in 2020, especially heavy driving rains court officials by surprise. in the huge south—western metropolis of chongqing, home to tens of millions of people, i red flood warning for parts of the city has been issued, meaning residents should leave the most dangerous areas. footage taken their shows at homes and businesses completely submerged as rising waters lead to conditions not seen this bad in decades. nearly half of all china's provinces have been affected, but in six of them, the situation has become especially severe. more than 170 major rivers are flooding as this emergency stretches into its third week. even hubei province, after all it's been through with the coronavirus, is in the firing line. the weather isn't due
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to change in a hurry. translation: it's predicted that the rainy season in the middle and lower reaches of the yangtze river will be longer than usual, with very high levels of rain. under this impact, we're expecting the yangtze to be hit by more regionalfloods. landslides have clogged the spillways of overfilling dams. hundreds of reservoirs have had to urgently discharge massive amounts of flood water. chinese rescue teams are accustomed to crises like this, but even they are being stretched to the limit by the scale of the flooding, as well as the unrelenting rain and surging river waters. the damage to millions of people's livelihoods is incalculable, and there disaster has a way to play out yet. stephen mcdonell, bbc news, beijing. just got home to remind you, if you look at our website you get the very latest on the situation with the coronavirus around the world, actually, and
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within the uk as well —— just got time. it is well worth it to keep up to tabs. thanks for watching. hello. wednesday was officially the hottest day of 2020 so far — 32.6 celsius at london heathrow airport. ithink, though, today may top that further. we're likely to see 33, again, i think somewhere towards the west of london or on into parts of the midlands. make no mistake, it will be hot and humid day across the board. we're pulling our air in across western europe, originally from northern africa, and you can see the amber makes it all the way to the north of the uk for thursday. so, areas that have lagged behind a little with the temperatures, scotland and northern ireland, will move into the warmer air through the day. notice some thunderstorms there towards the north—west — we'll see more of those a little later — but generally, not much happens on that chart through thursday. that's because basically it's a day of blue skies and sunshine, and up go those temperatures. 30 degrees possible in central scotland, mid—20s for northern ireland, and as i said, possibly 33 somewhere further south. however, when it gets that hot, you know what's coming — thunderstorms. thursday evening, pretty quiet,
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very muggy, a lot of late sunshine, but then on into the small hours of friday, the thunderstorm start to break out, initially towards the west of the uk. it will take a while for them to ease the heat. so thursday night into friday, rather uncomfortable, some spots down no lower than 18 or 19 degrees celsius. through friday daytime, though, those storms are going to come increasingly widespread. some eastern areas will still see a lot of sunshine, feeling very muggy here indeed, whereas when the showers start to break out, we will feel the heat beginning to ease. so, a west—east split in our temperatures on friday. cooler, fresher with temperatures in the low—20s in the west, still possibly up to 30 in the east. but through friday and on into the weekend, this area of low pressure really does start to take hold from the atlantic. it moves away the high that's locked in, though hot air, as it moves, it brings in clear atlantic air. gone the amber, in comes the fresher yellow. notjust fresher conditions, though, but much more unsettled conditions thanks to that area of low pressure. so you can see spots a 10—degree drop in temperature at the start of the weekend, we're also going to see quite 00:57:00,399 --> 4294966103:13:29,430 a few showers i think.
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