tv BBC News BBC News August 12, 2020 10:45pm-11:00pm BST
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it he was in the headlines that day. their popularity would tend to sync. they were two very unpopular candidates and donald trump while he was behind in the polls certainly almost consistently throughout were moments where they were close. look at the polling between trump and joe biden come up biden has been ahead quite significant lee. i have are looking at some of the skeet swing states nest with the decisions are made. donald trump is in picking up a bit when it is fair to say you do not write him off. you have months ago ina not write him off. you have months ago in a course to prisoners of the base which donald trump and joe biden both to do. actually thought that donald trump could pick up some export there because joe that donald trump could pick up some export there becausejoe biden has shown that he is not exactly the statesman that he was when he was vice president to barack obama. almost a decade older and just has not been as fast and is click on the campaign trailas many not been as fast and is click on the campaign trail as many would like to have seen. so i think that donald trump may well have some cars up his
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sleeve. so him pull them out in 2016 when he debated hillary clinton and he will not hesitate to do so for joe biden as well. in the last thing isi joe biden as well. in the last thing is i will say is another factor can determine the election and that is who the public feels they want to have a beer with most. look for that pole as well because they can be a big determining factor for voters. and the economy is another big one. before i move on from this given us a top story at the moment, we have only got le figaro and the other paperfrom only got le figaro and the other paper from germany, but only got le figaro and the other paperfrom germany, but it is interesting because i would love to know what the indian newspapers will be saying today as well because le figaro harris is of course half indian and havejamaican and as she said the child of immigrants. how do you think this ticket is going to be received around the world? you think this ticket is going to be received around the world ?|j you think this ticket is going to be received around the world? i think it will be seen as a mark of progress. people will be surprised that it took this long for a woman
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of colour to appear on the ballot for a major party. it is not long since the democratic party had two white men called johns that it which was seen as too white men called johns that it which was seen as too narrow white men called johns that it which was seen as too narrow a white men called johns that it which was seen as too narrow a selection. sol was seen as too narrow a selection. so i think the ticket at a time when you have seen the emergence of the black lives matter movement and a backlash against donald trump and will be seen as a mark of confidence that biden views her as an asset. as an asset in winning over black votes but he is a good look at it with them already but also winning white votes as well. they are talking about were unifying the us and is a very classic liberal american narrative. in the polls suggest of the moment that it is having a lot of residents. let's move on for now but i do shutter when i think about
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80 days until the election and i wonder how quickly they will fly by. let's move onto the financial times international edition which of course has a picture of kamala harris but underneath the headline is pandemic hit british economy suffers biggest slump in europe. of course that is a story there that the uk economy has entered about 20% 01’ so the uk economy has entered about 20% orsoi the uk economy has entered about 20% or so i think in recent months. tell us more or so i think in recent months. tell us more about this story. it is strange to see headlines today going into tomorrow seeing that we are in official recession in the can because we all knew this. we are experiencing locked out and knew that it was going to be normal that you could not go to your shop or not get a haircut or go to the pub and it was clear the economy was in deep recession but today we have the figures that detailjust how extreme it was. in the uk has had one of the worst economic contractions in europe and i believe it is roughly 24 europe and i believe it is roughly 2a porphyry percent for the second quarter and only spain has had a worse economic distraction. this
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comes into several factors worse economic distraction. this comes into severalfactors include in the fact that you came as a very service —based economy but also the uk has been true in the rest of europe and coming out of lockdown. still have some of the most stringent restrictions in the uk compared to the rest of europe. and the services sector looking at entertainment, arts, accommodation, food, areas where the uk really thrives, they are having capacity issues and if the sitters or not to reopen it all. so the uk is facing a real battle in coming back up in terms of its growth. we'lljust bring george in on this. the chancellor quoted in saying the figures today confirmed that hard times are here. not surprising. but how hard could we expect things to hit in the coming months? what is he telling us? here is the thing. the uk economy as we speak is now growing. not a surprise given that you have had this record drop in
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gdp, so the initialfigure you have had this record drop in gdp, so the initial figure forjune suggested the economy grew by over 8% that month. not enough to make up for the shortfall in the economy is still more than 17% smaller than it was in february of this year. but here isa was in february of this year. but here is a problem for the government. it is only now that the effects of the recession are truly going to be felt as the furlough scheme is unwound and you've seen forecasts potentially of unemployment exceeding 3 million. and the big issue facing the government will be what is it going to do to continue to support job creation and to protect living standards as the furlough scheme comes to an end? i could stay with you on that because you have the economist saying that one way to do that would be to cut employers national insurance attributions to support recruitment. national insurance attributions to support recruitmentlj national insurance attributions to support recruitment. i think that tax cuts are certainly an option. anything that supports job creation and hiring come they already have
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the job retention bonus. but you also have to look at other ways of supporting the economy. the eat out to help out scheme has been successful relatively according to official figures but the easiest way to get money into people's pockets is to increase universal credit payments for instance. which go to lower and middle income earners who are far more likely to spend rather than save. we have seen during a pandemic isa than save. we have seen during a pandemic is a lot of high income households saving money and what we need right now if you're going to generate growth is for them to spend it. so there are a few challenges facing the economy and of course the big threat is the second wave of covid—19 because what we know is pandemics are back to the economy notjust because of the lockdowns and the requirement to stop the virus spread but also because of the hit that is dealt to economic confidence. if you will feel the
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virus is running rampant again, they will not want to leave their homes. before you move on from this i wa nted before you move on from this i wanted to get your thoughts on how this might affect the chancellor's standing. he is in very popular throughout the pandemic. the regular downing street briefings. but things are going to get tougher for the economy and he will be the face of that. he is a very popular and has proven himself to be very strong at the station but also the one dishing out all the money. that district a person very popular. it is going to bea person very popular. it is going to be a serious of painful moments as the scheme white stab also going into 2021 even most bullish forecast about recovery and if george says economy is already starting to recover, none of them suggest an opponent will take up as fast as growth figures to so that means we could be facing chronic and employment and that will be a huge challenge for the treasury. not only supporting people in the moment but certainly pay their rent and their mortgages but also how you potentially return every two people relatively quickly to get them into
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newjobs relatively quickly to get them into new jobs because one relatively quickly to get them into newjobs because one big result of the pandemic is that manyjobs are not coming back and i'm sure millions ofjobs but also some jobs will simply not exist any more because we have changed our habits and there is not the same kind of demand. that will be a challenge all of its own. let's move onto another very tragic story from scotland which is on the front page of a couple of papers which is of course the devastating train derailment in scotland. george, it is the first fatal rail crash in britain for 13 yea rs. fatal rail crash in britain for 13 years. it is. and obviously it is unfortunate that these incidents are relatively —— fortunate that they are rare and real has improved but a huge strategy for the friends and families of the three people who have lost their lives. and in some respects it is fortunate that more people world not killed or injured because passenger numbers were lower than usual. aberdeen sure has said measures in place to prevent the
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further spread of covid—19. but clearly lessons want to be learned from this and the big question is obviously why the train set off on hisjourney when obviously why the train set off on his journey when there have been such turbulent weather. we'll throw one in that we had not warned you about but it is an easy one, talking about but it is an easy one, talking about whether they are but to lighten the time before we end this half an hour, the daily telegraph saying the warmest week since 1961 but storms are on the way. britain sizzled through its hottest week since 1961. want to get your thoughts on that. have you enjoyed this heat was met i have not. goodness knows we've all been feeling it but i have to say with a new covid—19 measures that many restau ra nts a nd places new covid—19 measures that many restaurants and places that are doing eat out to help out putting chairs and tables outside, it has been nice to have a communal style situation would not only are donning but your weather but i suspect i'm not alone in very much looking forward to the reins and killing us down and getting some cooler weather
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in. very briefly, all my friends in india where i often work are saying to me that i am moaning for no reason because the humidity there is far worse but quickly are you managing through this heat?|j far worse but quickly are you managing through this heat? i am, although one misses slightly air—conditioned offices at this time andl air—conditioned offices at this time and i am still along with most working from home at this point. so it may get people back to offices but i think the complaint that will probably get made of bricks is we are not happy when it rains and we are not happy when it rains and we are not happy when it rains and we are not happy when the sun shines. and britt's talk about the weather and love it. let's stop this edition of the papers but back with you in about half an hour or so. that's it for the papers. if you're in the uk, george eaton and kate andrews will be back in just over half an hour to look at more of the stories being covered by newspapers and websites here.
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hello there. through the course of the afternoon, we've seen some severe thunderstorms break out. take a look at these storms developing early this afternoon across parts of west london, first of all. a few big storms then working across the midlands and some very nasty storms in across wales, as well. now those storm clouds look something like this, towering up through the skies, as viewed from kent. but they also brought some torrential downpours, we've had some large hail and gusty winds — that was one of those downpours passing bradenham in buckinghamshire. right now we have an amber warning in force for torrential rain and some flash flooding across wales and parts of western england. so the main concerns, really, are these batches of storms that could bring 30—a0mm of rain injust the space of one hour. but over the space of a few hours, we could see more than that in some of these fairly slow—moving downpours — 70—100mm of rain. and that's extreme rainfall falling in a short space of time, so there is a risk of some flash flooding. now, aside from that
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severe weather overnight — and by the way, there will be some dazzling lightning displays, i'm sure — it'll be a very humid and warm, close kind of night. we've been used to enduring these conditions for a number of nights, with lows about 20 celsius in cardiff and london. thursday, we've got a largely dry picture across northern areas of the uk with a ridge of high—pressure building in here, keeping most of the showers at bay. but further south, it's another humid day with sunny spells breaking the cloud, and again, we'll see those downpours becoming locally torrential through the afternoon and evening time. so england and wales could see some further localised flooding conditions, then we'll see those temperatures probably pushing up to the 30 celsius mark or so. friday, quite a bit of cloud on the charts. it's still humid across england and wales and still unsettled. there will be further heavy downpours, so we aren't out of the woods — we could see some further localised flooding from these big storms. further northwards, a lot of low clouds, could be quite murky across some of the coasts, with the best of any shelter giving a bit of sunshine mainly across northwestern areas. for the weekend, showers will be
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replaced by more general outbreaks of rain as the weekend goes by. this slack area of low pressure looks set to drift up from the south. either way you look at it, it looks cloudy this weekend with rain or showers around, feeling humid for england and wales with just a few limited sunny spells in the north and west.
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