tonight at ten, there's growing concern across the uk about the rate of new coronavirus infections. in the caerphilly area in south wales, some 200,000 people will be affected by a new lockdown. in glasgow and the west of scotland, restrictions have now been expanded to an even wider area, and senior officials say the situation in england is also worrying. if we're not careful, if we don't take this incredibly seriously from this point in, we're going to have a bumpy ride over the next few months. during the day, seven greek islands were added to the quarantine list for travellers returning to england. we'll have the latest on the deepening concerns about the trend of infection rates in the uk. also tonight:

a 15—year—old boy has been shot on his way to school near ipswich — another 15—year—old has been arrested. and i was walking my dog round near the area where it happened, and i heard a gunshot, and then i heard a great big scream, that's all i could say, it was as quick as that. leaving the eu with no trade deal would still be a good outcome for the uk — that's borisjohnson‘s view as the talks are set to restart. two england footballers are removed from the squad after breaching coronavirus guidelines on a trip to iceland. and why using so—called "intelligent" robots in care homes is said to be good for the mental health of residents. and in the sport on bbc news, scotland come from a goal down to go 2—1 ahead against the cezch republic, so could they hold on in the nations league?

good evening. there are growing fears about the rate of new coronavirus infections in parts of the uk. the deputy chief medical officer for england says he has great concern about a big change in numbers over the weekend and the "creeping trend across the uk." there's been a marked rise in the caerphilly region in south wales, where a local lockdown from tomorrow evening means that some 200,000 people will not be able to leave the area without a reasonable excuse. and in the west of scotland, restrictions have now been expanded to a wider area. the latest official figures for the uk show there were 2,948 new confirmed cases in the latest 24—hour period, far higher than in recent months. the average number of new cases reported per day in the past week was 2,032. three deaths were also reported of people who'd died within 28 days of a positive covid—i9 test. that means, on average

in the past week, eight deaths were announced every day. that takes the total number of deaths across the uk to 41,554. 0ur health editor, hugh pym, has the latest on the day's events. tonight, a new and wide—ranging local lockdown — people have been told they can't enter or leave the cou nty told they can't enter or leave the county borough of caerphilly without a reasonable excuse. meetings with other people indoors and overnight stays will be banned. all this after the infection rate rose to the highest in wales. i think it's good, really, you know, good to react early to this and be on the side of caution. there is no reason, the nhs is fine, that is the only reason for lockdown in the first place, to stop the nhs being overloaded. there is i'io the nhs being overloaded. there is no need to. i think it probably is needed, the numbers are rising,

really. 0bviously, needed, the numbers are rising, really. obviously, it is inconvenient, it has an impact on schoolchildren, work. there has been a significant rise in uk coronavirus cases and a stark warning today from england's deputy chief medical 0fficer. england's deputy chief medical officer. this is a big change consistent over two days, and it is of great concern at this point. if we are not careful, if we don't take this incredibly seriously from this point in, we're going to have a bumpy ride over the next few months. he said it was no longer restricted to isolated outbreaks. disease levels are now beginning to turn up ona levels are now beginning to turn up on a wider basis, wider geographical basis, and that, again, is really a signal that we've got to change this fiow. signal that we've got to change this now. he said there has been case increases in all age groups, but especially so among younger adults. that's the situation in the council area of hertsmere, which include

some of london's commuter belt. it has moved into the top ten hotspots after a sharp rise in virus infections, including four young patients. today i asked some local people for their views on that. i think everyone's forgotten about it but are just carrying on like normal because all the shops are open and stop so nobody cares as much as when full lockdown was on. 0thers others said people needed to behave more responsibly. they should just not be gathering up in the evenings and having small partiesjust cos they're not really thinking. figures for england to show the virus has spread more quickly among younger people. early in august, just over 21% of new cases were in the 20s, the following week that went up to 25%, the week after it was 29%, and it stayed at about that same level. don't kill your gran by catching coronavirus and then passing it on, and you can pass it on before you have had any symptoms at all. he has pointed to the

example of france, where case numbers have risen steeply since early august. that was followed by higher numbers of hospital patients with the virus. the uk government is warning that could happen here. up to 300 people who were at a charity football match at this club in cou nty football match at this club in county durham at the end of august have been asked to self—isolate. 28 people at the event tested positive. the club acknowledged precautions weren't strict enough. lockdown restrictions on household visits in some parts of the west of scotland have been extended to two more council areas. further reminders of the continuing presence and the right of covid—i9. i would like to go live to caerphilly in south wales and our correspondent, hywel, a significant measure announced by the welsh government, tell us about the extent of it. yeah, it has been a rapid rise in cases over the last few

days, 133 cases over a week, it doesn't sound a huge amount when we think back to the spring and summer, but that is among a population of less tha n but that is among a population of less than 200,000, so it isn'tjust a house right in wales but amongst the highest in the uk. what does it mean for those 200,000 people? from 6pm tomorrow, they won't be able to leave the county, people over the age of 11 will have to wear masks, something we have not seen within wales. it is the first localised lockdown in wales, and the welsh government says it is essential because of what it calls a breakdown in social distancing. they say it is a combination of people travelling abroad and then coming back and failing to abide by the guidelines, mixing in each other‘s houses. we are told that most of the cases, as we heard in the report, are amongst young people, and i raise a fear that while cases are mild at the moment, they could soon become serious and we will start to see hospital admissions within two weeks. hywel griffith is, many

thanks. as promised, hugh pym is with me, when we hear the statement that we heard from the deputy chief medical officer, today, our people right to read into that that there is now a growing degree of alarm about the spread? i think it is a very significant moment. we expected an increase in cases as lockdown restrictions were eased, and indeed that happened from about the end of august, but the sudden jump to nearly 3000 people yesterday and today was quite a shock, and now we hear from the deputy chief medical 0fficerfor england hear from the deputy chief medical officer for england that it is a matter of great concern, a new trend, and he says it is really across the uk now, not isolated outbreaks in, say, the north west of england or leicester. now, officials are going to be studying this very closely in the next week or so. it is the case that hospital numbers in the uk are very low, only about 750 with coronavirus, compared to 19,000 in the peak, and deaths remain very

low, of course, each day. but the big worry is, will it feed through to rise in hospital numbers in the weeks ahead? we have seen a big increase in case numbers, and that is what really worries officials in all parts of the uk, and they will be looking closely to see whether the uk follows the situation in france, where we have seen that rise in hospital admissions. hugh pym, oui’ in hospital admissions. hugh pym, our health editor. seven greek islands have been added to the quarantine list for people returning to england who'll have to self—isolate for 14 days from early wednesday morning. following criticism from tourism and airline bosses, the transport secretary will lift england's blanket quarantine travel restrictions for entire countries and instead will allow separate restrictions for islands, where levels of coronavirus are often markedly different. wales introduced similar restrictions last week, while scotland has imposed restrictions on the whole of greece. but northern ireland does not have greece on its quarantine list, as our transport correspondent tom burridge reports.

the travel quarantine for people arriving into the uk has for weeks been a blanket affair — entire countries either on the list or not. but now, as the summer season draws to a close, the uk government says, in certain cases, it will apply the quarantine on a regional basis — but only when islands are involved. for the first time, we have the data and the capacity to add and remove specific islands from quarantine, while still providing maximum protection to the uk public. the welsh government made a similar move last week, when it put only zakynthos and five other islands on its quarantine list, but not the rest of greece. now anyone arriving into these seven greek islands into england will also have to self—isolate for two weeks. the quarantine applies to the whole of greece if you live in scotland.

no change for now for the ca nary islands, but if the infection rate falls there and not in mainland spain, quarantine could go. ben has a holiday booked in tenerife at the end of october. it's great to hear this news today, fantastic that they're considering it. but, obviously, we still don't exactly know where we stand, we don't know that tenerife will go on that list, and even if it is, we don't know that the infection rate will stay low enough so we can definitely go away. so it's good, but still we have to wait and see whether it remains on the list at the end of next month. but the biggest names in travel are not impressed. they've been asking for a regional quarantine approach for months. this is too little and it's too late, and we've just seen the majority of the peak summer season hasjust gone by. and i think now, you know, the uk government needs to understand that the gravity of the situation is of such magnitude that they need to present a plan for the whole of the uk aviation, because it simply won't be there in the way that people have come to expect, in terms of, you know, choices and competition.

the uk government says the quarantine's been vital throughout the holiday season to protect people at home. but it's been messy and has ruined precious trips abroad. tom burridge, bbc news. a 15—year—old boy has been seriously injured in a shooting as he made his way to school. kesgrave high school in suffolk said it had been told the incident involved one of its year 11 students. the victim, who was shot once, was flown to hospital. suffolk police have arrested a 15—year—old boy on suspicion of attempted murder. our home affairs correspondent daniel sandford reports. the aftermath today of the gunning—down of a 15—year—old boy who'd been making his way to school. the year 11 pupil was shot in kesgrave, a village just outside ipswich, at 8:40am. i was walking my dog round near the area where it happened,

and i heard a gunshot, and then i heard a great big scream, that's all i can say. it was as quick as that. it sounded like scaffolding falling down orginially, cos it was a big crash, but it was a loud bang. a lot of ambulance staff and paramedics were working. it had never happened around here before, it's such a quiet area, extremely quiet, extremely quiet. the boy was so seriously injured he had to be taken by air ambulance to addenbrooke's hospital in cambridge, leaving neighbours aghast at what had just happened. five miles away and some two hours later, detectives arrested another 15—year—old in a suburb on the other side of ipswich. there was a heavy police presence there all day. shortly before 11am, a teenager was arrested in ipswich on suspicion of attempted murder in connection with this incident. he's currently in police custody at martlesham. we believe this was an isolated incident, and there is nothing now to suggest

a wider threat to the public. at kesgrave high school, where the injured 15—year—old is a pupil, police were also present, as shocked parents picked their children up after lessons. my wife was shaken up by up it, so i've decided to come down here, and i wanted to stand outside to make a point to say i'm not scared and i will stand up to these people. the bbc understands the 15—year—old was hit with a single shot from an unmodified firearm, and although extra police patrols have been laid on to reassure the public, there is not currently a wider manhunt for further suspects. tonight, the quiet street where the shooting took place remains sealed off, forensic tent stands at the sight of what seems to have been a targeted attack, with the gunman lying in wait for his victim. and it isa lying in wait for his victim. and it is a very unusual case, because

while there has been a problem with teenage violence in many parts of britain in recent years, particularly stabbings, the shooting ofa particularly stabbings, the shooting of a pupil in his uniform on the way to school has surprised even seasoned detectives. daniel, many thanks for the update there from kesgrave in suffolk, daniel sandford, our home affairs correspondent. the prime minister, borisjohnson, has declared that if a trade deal with the eu is not reached by the 15th october, both sides should "move on", meaning the uk would go on to trade with the eu states on international trading terms. as the latest round of negotiations is due to get under way, the government is reported to be planning a new law which could change parts of the uk's divorce deal with the eu, in particular the special arrangments for northern ireland. ministers claims they would only make minor clarifications, but the government's critics say it's in danger of breaking an international treaty. let's join our political editor,

laura kuenssberg, at westminster. we have left the eu already so you might wonder what this is about but the two sides have to learn to live with each other in the long term. there is still no resolution over the special arrangements for northern ireland that will change things, whatever happens, from january, at the beginning of next year, and that is separate to those talks about trade which will also see a new way of doing things, potentially with significant economic disruption if a deal cannot be done in time. those talks get going again in london tomorrow but they are in trouble, too, but this is not an unfamiliar pattern. a cranking up of the political pressure as the clock runs down. by the time the branches are bare, the wrangling over business after brexit is meant to be done. yet the trade deal that was meant to be easy pickings is proving difficult to conclude — the prime minister declaring if it is not done in five weeks, it won't be done at all. what the prime minister is saying

is emminently sensible, which is we all need to know where we stand by the middle of october, so we know what we are planning for. the talks over how we will trade in future get going again tomorrow, but making progress, well, that's a different question. and disagreement still on fishing and on government support for business. but just as the talks about the future are clearly in some