"we've got to get control of this" — the warning from the country's top scientists as britain enters a second wave of coronavirus. failure to act, they say, could lead to 50,000 cases a day by the middle of next month. you cannot in an epidemic just take your own risk. unfortunately, you are taking a risk on behalf of everybody else. it's important that we see this as something we have to do collectively. all eyes are now on the politicians — and asking them: what happens next? also this lunchtime... the secret banking reports that reveal how the uk is a hub for international money laundering. and the leaked documents show the husband of a conservative party donor who got to play tennis with top tories received millions from an ally of president putin. after the death of ruth bader ginsberg,

the fight for a supreme court seat which has turbo—charged the presidential election race. the ultimate in sportsmanship — the spanish triathlete who stopped at the finish line — to let a british rival through — after he'd gone the wrong way. and coming up on bbc news, a new major champion, american bryson dechambeau, powers his way to victory at the us open in new york. good afternoon and welcome to the bbc news at one. ‘we‘ve got to get control of this‘ — that was the uncompromising message from the country's top scientists as britain enters a second wave of the coronavirus pandemic. at a televised briefing, professor chris whitty and sir patrick vallance said

the country could see 50,000 new coronavirus cases daily by mid—0ctober, if the infection rate isn't brought down. but they stressed that outcome is not inevitable — as long as people follow the rules to stop the spread of the virus. 0n that — the prime minister had meetings with senior ministers at the weekend to discuss whether further restrictions are necessary. richard galpin reports. six months after the government ordered a full lockdown across the country to try and stem the rapid spread of the virus, it's now clear we are facing a serious second wave. case rising rapidly. this morning, the uk government ‘s chief medical adviser warning it could lead quickly to a large number of deaths, he called on everyone to stick to social distancing rules. the problem with a pandemic or an epidemic infection like this is if i as an individual increase my risk i increase the risk to everyone around me and then everyone who is a

contact me and then everyone who is a co nta ct of me and then everyone who is a contact of theirs. and sooner or later the chain will meet people who are vulnerable are elderly or have a long—term problem from covid—i9. so you cannot in an epidemicjust take your own risk, unfortunately, you are taking a risk on behalf of everybody else. already the spread of the virus has led to local lockdown is being imposed in several areas of the country including glasgow, newcastle, belfast, manchester, liverpool and birmingham. more restrictions are due to come into force in the north west of england tomorrow. a graph released this morning by the government advisers shows just how quickly the virus can get out of control. this graph which is not a prediction, is simply showing you how quickly this can move if the doubling time stays at seven days and of course, the challenge therefore is to make sure the doubling time does not stay at seven days. there are already things in place which are expected to slow

that. and to make sure we do not enter into this exponential growth. the government is clearly trying to avoid a second national lockdown to prevent further damage to the economy. but there has been speculation there could be a two—week mini lockdown in england to try and slow infection rates. so far, though, no confirmation of this. personally, i'm expecting there to be another lockdown. to keep us safe so i'm all on board, to be honest, totally on board. keep us safe so i'm all on board, to be honest, totally on boardlj keep us safe so i'm all on board, to be honest, totally on board. i don't think people have seen enough evidence to back up the data and i think they've allowed to be built almost return to normal so i think people will continue to do that, unfortunately. it would be better if there were more restrictions, that way we could actually minimise the risk, of course. absolutely, nobody wa nts to risk, of course. absolutely, nobody wants to go back to lockdown but having said that, we concluded a meeting in preparation for another lockdown. the government is warning people there could be further measures if people do not stick to social distancing rules. we do need

to make sure we are applying all these measures are indeed we are at these measures are indeed we are at the tipping point where we need, we may need to go further and that is something we would like to avoid but the data is the all—important thing. a national lockdown will be hugely, hugely catastrophic for the economy, for people, we have got to do everything we can, urgently, to avoid a national lockdown. it's been described now as a critical moment for the country. whether infections can't be brought down or will increase. and that depends on how all of us behave. richard galpin, bbc news. 0ur chief political correspondent, vicki young, is in westminster. we've had that warning from the scientists but the eye now are on the politicians to see what they're going to do? the scientists are laying out the problem as they see it and very much laying the groundwork i think, for more announcements and on that call from professor chris whitty saying they needed speed and action but i can

tell you they have just confirmed, downing street, there will now be an emergency so—called cobra meeting tomorrow morning, the prime minister is speaking right now to the first ministers of the devolved nations. soi ministers of the devolved nations. so i think everything pointing towards further restrictions coming. i think from what's been said privately and publicly, we should emphasise that the prime minister has said he does not want a return toa has said he does not want a return to a national lockdown. he has talked a lot about keeping schools open and talking about keeping parts of the economy going so it's not a return to what we had in the spring but i think we can expect there to be much further restrictions and professor chris whitty suggesting there that this transmission between households, the interaction, social interaction between households, that could be one area they are looking up. there's been speculation, the bbc has been told about a so—called circuit breaker, you could do a short break with quite severe

restrictions. the problem with that of course is you suppress it for a couple of weeks and then this virus, as we have seen, simply comes back again. and i think the overwhelming message there from the scientists that we are looking here at dealing with this for six months, so these measures, some of them, really will have to do the job until the vaccine comes along and that is going to meana curb comes along and that is going to mean a curb on our lives for some time to come. thank you. 0ur health correspondent, nick triggle, is with me. this warning of 50,000 new cases a day by mid october, they come to that? indeed, it is a very alarming figure. that is on the basis that the numbers of cases we see will be doubling every week and if that continues, we would reach 50,000. if we have a look at the chart here, looking at where we are now. at the moment we seejust looking at where we are now. at the moment we see just over 3600 cases and it's been rising as you can see quite rapidly in recent weeks. 50,000 cases looks like it would be

ten times what we actually saw at the peak of the pandemic back in march and april. but that is misleading because back then, we we re misleading because back then, we were only testing, largely, in hospitals so we were only detecting the tip of the iceberg. some estimates suggest there were 100,000 cases a day back then. 0nce estimates suggest there were 100,000 cases a day back then. once more, 50,000 is not a prediction, they made that clear earlier. this is a time of year when respiratory viruses circulate more and some behind the seams, suspect this could behind the seams, suspect this could be more of a gradual drift upwards, exponential growth is not necessarily guaranteed. what is concerning, you talk about hospital admissions. hospital admissions are in many ways a better measure. we know there is a lot of mild cases and people who don't even show symptoms so if we look at the chart on hospital admissions, at the peak there were over 3000 hospital admissions a day. now, that came

down to below 100 a month ago but it has just started creeping down to below 100 a month ago but it hasjust started creeping up, down to below 100 a month ago but it has just started creeping up, just over 200 admissions and these are covid—19 related admissions each day. deaths are also very low, around 20 a day, down from 1000 at the peak. the chief medical officer professor chris whitty said he was clear, we all have a duty to work to contain the spread restrictions will have to be taken that have a big impact on society but i think as well as the national restrictions that we may well hear about later in the week, it would be quite targeted restrictions for people who are the most vulnerable, the elderly and people with health conditions. they are things like, we are already seeing regular testing in care homes but we may also see the reintroduction of shielding to keep those very vulnerable people safe. thank you. in a moment, we'll hear

from our correspondent chris page in belfast and hywel griffith in cardiff. but first, our scotland correspondent, lorna gordon, is in glasgow. the scottish first minister nicola sturgeon has been speaking within the last hour, warning people living in scotland that additional restrictions are under way. and they will almost certainly be in place here in scotland within the next couple of days. the latest figures she said showed 255 scott tested positive for covid—19 over the last 24 positive for covid—19 over the last 2a hours, 6.3% of those newly tested. she said these figures reinforce that covid—19 is spreading here again in scotland and that doing nothing wing forward is not an option. she said the scottish government is looking at a variety of options, she wants to bring in a package of measures in support to help people to self—isolate, especially those on low incomes. and of course, as you mention, there will be the conversation between the first minister in the prime minister this afternoon. nicola sturgeon saying she hoped a four nation

approach to suppressing the virus would be possible but she reiterated she wanted to take action in scotla nd she wanted to take action in scotland within the next 48 hours. the first minister of wales mark drakeford will also the first minister of wales mark dra keford will also speak the first minister of wales mark drakeford will also speak to boris johnson this afternoon but already things are changing here in wales. within the last hour we had an announcement of four more local lockdown is so from 6pm tomorrow local authority areas are bridgend, newport, and other counties will also come under these restrictions. no one allowed in or out of the area without good reason, forward, or education. at 11pm there will be a curfew. these are measures which would affect six of the ten local authorities around cardiff and so, tomorrow, there will be a meeting of all those ten local authorities, the whole south—east corner of south—east wales should come under local lockdown measures. dearly, things are developing very fast. the

health minister saying today they are seeing hospital admissions rise, they have heard of cases amongst ca re they have heard of cases amongst care home staff and in secondary schools and while they hope these mitigating measures and the rule of six will have an effect within the next couple of weeks, clearly, they are looking further into the long term. during the peak of the pandemic in the spring northern ireland had a lower rate of covid—19 cases and a proportionately lower numberof cases and a proportionately lower number of deaths than the rest of the uk but there has been a significant change in that now. northern ireland currently has a higher rate of cases than england, scotland or wales. almost 400 positive cases over the weekend, almost 1000 over the last seven days so almost 1000 over the last seven days so that is a significant rise. the numberof so that is a significant rise. the number of people in hospital, though, remains relatively low. 21 people currently being treated in hospital, four of them in intensive ca re hospital, four of them in intensive care is senior health officials here have now been saying that this is the time for the devolved

government, the stormont executive, to move and tighten restrictions. here in belfast for example, restrictions already tighter than in many other parts of the country. different households are banned from socialising together indoors, with some exceptions. ministers are due to meet this afternoon and it is likely that they will decide to roll out that measure to the rest of northern ireland. certainly, most of it. to all of our correspondence, thank you all very much. 0ur health correspondent, lauren moss, is here. grocers, precipice, howeveryou describe it, something important is happening right now. it was a stark warning from the medical advisers that we have recently turned a corner in the pandemic, professor chris whitty said recently and if we do not change because then the virus could take off again. we knew that as lockdown east and as people returned to work, children went back to school and someone it was likely

that cases would increase and it is about managing that balance and that balance is something we have talked about for the last several weeks and maintaining that and i really think now we are at that point that was clear from the press conference this morning. this isn'tjust down to more testing, the experts are categorical on that, the virus is spreading, the r number, the number of people and infected person can has risen and it appears as we were talking about, cases are doubling every week. at the moment, around 6000 more people every day, higher than those actually testing positive, this is based on the infection survey at the office for national statistics carried out. the inevitable knock—on effect to that as more people may require hospital treatment and then, likely, an increase in deaths. the virus has not changed in potency, still as dangerous as it was earlier this year despite us being better prepared. there was a mention of antibodies in the briefing earlier, around 8% of the population are thought to have them so that is about five and a half million people

and that may sound like quite a lot on the service but it really isn't and if you look at it another way, nine in ten people do not have any protection against coronavirus. and we still don't know to what extend that protection is anyway. there was a more positive news earlier, we we re a more positive news earlier, we were told there are some late stage trials on vaccines and development but we are still some considerable way of that being a way out of this and it's what we do in the short—term, over the winter period, thatis short—term, over the winter period, that is going to affect daily life life the most. thank you. a leak of financial documents has revealed the uk is a hub for international money laundering. the secret bank documents ? which register suspicious activity ? name more than 3,000 british companies, more than any other country in the world. the leak also reveals the us treasury deemed the uk a higher riskjurisdiction. ministers say the uk is internationally recognised for the way it tackles money laundering. richard bilton reports. the leaked documents show britain is open to dodgy business and criminality.

i'm on my way to an office just to the north of london and in our leaked documents, it is quite clear that the us treasury thinks the place that i'm about to visit is one of the dodgiest addresses in the world. this office blockjust off potters bar high street might not look much but billions of dirty dollars go through companies registered on the second floor here at suite 2b 175 darkes lane. i want to understand how it works. there is here at suite 2b, i am guessing that is them. let's give them a ring, see who runs this place, see how it operates. this is a place where hundreds of companies have been registered but nobody is in, nobody is answering. it isjust a dead end. the man who runs the office later told us he simply offers a registered address and only

conducts basic checks. it is notjust here. we found more than 3,000 british companies in the suspicious activity report, that's more than any other country in the world. one type of company is particularly popular with money launderers. the uk offers a secretive type of company called a limited liability partnership, or llp, and llps can be used by crooks to move vast sums of cash without being caught. i don't know whether i am delighted or sad to tell you that we are one of the world leaders in providing vehicles for laundering money because every major money—laundering scheme i've ever seen has had uk companies at their heart. on friday, the government announced plans for new company rules to combat fraud. it said the uk is internationally recognised as having some of the strongest controls worldwide

when it comes to tackling money—laundering. but this secret us treasury report from the files refers to the uk as a higher riskjurisdiction such as cyprus. why is money—laundering something that our viewers should care about? because it is actually the very fuel of crime. if we continue to launder money, criminals will continue to commit the crimes, to kill people over drugs, supply drugs that kill, you know, people in our community. it is perhaps the most shocking conclusion from the leaked files — the uk is at the heart of global money—laundering. richard bilton, bbc news. the leaked documents have also revealed how the husband of one of the conservative party's biggest donors was secretly funded by a russian oligarch with close ties to president putin. lubov chernukhin has given £1.7 million to the tories and has

paid to meet three successive tory prime ministers. lawyers for mrs chernukhin say her donations to the conservative party have never been tainted by kremlin influence. the conservative party says british russians "have the democratic right to donate to a political party". andy verity reports. this unprecedented leak reveals some of the international banking system's most closely guarded secrets. in one example, a payment of $8 million, flagged as suspicious, was sent to a russian businessman living in britain, vladimir chernukhin, in 2016. it initially came from this man, suleyman kerimov, a billionaire ally of president putin. in 2018, he was sanctioned by the us who were targeting those they said played a key role in advancing russia's malign activities. mr chernukhin's wife, lubov chernukhin, has become famous for donating large sums to the conservative party in exchange for tennis matches with david cameron and borisjohnson

and paying £135,000 for a night out with theresa may. in total, she has donated £1.7 million, most of it since her husband received the $8 million from kerimov. the chernukhins, pleasant people though they may be, are not fit and proper people to make donations to a british political party and it looks and feels and is really troubling if you see that people are paying money into the conservative party coffers and getting this level of access and therefore presumably influence as a result. the conservative party said british russians have a democratic right to donate to a political party. the chernukhins‘ lawyers say mrs chernukhin never received money deriving from mr kerimov, and mr kerimov says he has had no dealings with mrs chernukhin, but neither disputed the $8 million payment to her husband. andy verity, bbc news. and you can see the full story on the leaks on panorama,

the banking secrets of the rich and powerful, this evening on bbc one at 7pm, and later on the iplayer. just after 1:20pm. our top story this lunchtime: the government's top scientific advisers have warned the uk could see 50,000 new coronavirus cases a day by mid—0ctober — unless rapid action is taken to curb infections. sir chris whitty said containing the virus would require a collective effort. you cannot, in an epidemic, just take your own risk. unfortunately, you are taking risk on behalf of everybody else. it is important that we see this as something we have to do collectively. coming up on bbc news: it has been a long time coming. england women prepare for their first international cricket since march. their t20 series against the west indies starts in derby tonight. donald trump's move to replace the late supreme courtjustice ruth bader ginsburg

with a "very brilliant woman" as soon as friday or saturday, before the presidential election is an "abuse of power", that's according to his election rivaljoe biden. as the appointment is for life, many fear republicans will try to tilt the court firmly to the right for a generation or more. gary 0'donoghue is at the supreme court in washington. yes, this promises to be a huge political battle in the six weeks and one day leading up to the november three election. joe biden, of course, has said it will be an abuse of power. various republicans have said that the party has a duty to ta ke have said that the party has a duty to take up the president's nomination which he plans to announce on friday or saturday. of course, there is already a conservative majority on the supreme court. if the president gets his way, that could turn into a 63 majority which could build in the conservative majority for years and

yea rs conservative majority for years and years to come. many leaves that would threaten things like universal health care, the right to an abortion, and would threaten things like voting rights laws which they are very opposed to. there are all sorts of things at stake. it could change the dynamic of this election in the next six weeks. thank you very much. here, labour has accused the government of mismanaging billions of pounds spent in response to the pandemic. in a speech to party members at its virtual annual conference, the shadow chancellor, anneliese dodds, accused ministers of a ‘cavalier‘ approach to public spending during the crisis. 0ur political correspondent, ellie price, was listening. yes, this was a party conference with a bit of a difference. there was no big auditorium and no standing ovation from labour members. instead speeches were delivered remotely so it lacked something of the usual atmosphere. anneliese dodds went on and started by accusing the government of wasting that's amount of government

money. she gave the example of testing kits and ppe that can be used. she said again that the test, trace and isolate system wasn't working properly. it was an interesting line of attack, i think, and one that the conservatives usually level at labour, this idea of being cavalier with public money. instead she said labour would offer a responsible approach to national finances and would do it in a way that would boost their green credentials. as chancellor, i would ensure that public money was always spent wisely. targeted where it's needed most, not splurged where it isn't. new leadership with proper oversight on government contracts so they deliver value for money every time. testing every single budget line against the goal of net zero carbon emissions. because the evidence is crystal clear, investment that favours our climate also favours jobs in the short and long term.

the shadow chancellor said labour's priorities were the three rs. recover, rebuild and retain. she said there will be in a version of the furlough scheme which would see some workers go back to work part—time and the government picking up part—time and the government picking up the tab for the rest of the week, for example, in sectors that would need more help than others. she called on the government to bring forward £3 billion of the national skills fund to retrain the unemployed and she talked about those businesses that were viable but indebted and would be due to repay covid loans that they had taken from the government by next spring. with covert mac dominating notjust the content covert mac dominating notjust the co nte nt of covert mac dominating notjust the content of their speeches but also the delivery, it will be the labour leader, keir starmer‘s ten tomorrow. thank you very much. the children's commissioner for england says schools need direct access to testing —

to help them stay open for as long as possible. anne longfield said around five percent of pupils were still away from school in england because of issues linked to the pandemic and lockdown. but she said the amount of schools who've sent children home because of a coronavirus case was small. the franchise system to run britain's railways has ended after more than two decades. the government has agreed emergency funding for train companies for another 18 months — after a dramatic reduction in passengers because of the pandemic. the taxpayer will continue to cover any losses on the railways — and new service contracts will be brought in aimed at improving the service. aston martin has made some memorable cars over the decades, but perhaps nothing as stunning as the experimental bulldog. unveiled in 1980, with gull—wing doors and the latest technology — back then — only one example of the 192mph ‘hypercar‘ was ever made.

the cash strapped company sold it to a collector in the middle east and it disappered from view for decades. now it's back and being painstakingly restored by classic car experts in shropshire. their hostjimmy kimmel described them as the ‘pand—emmys' — the socially—distanced emmys awards presented from a largely empty theatre in los angeles. tv stars accepted their awards at home, after the usual red—carpet event was scrapped. the canadian comedy show, schitt‘s creek, was the biggest winner of the night closely, followed by hbo's superhero series watchmen. david willis was watching. applause and cheering the first major hollywood awards show of the post—covid era and one of the oddest ever. hello and welcome to the pand—emmys. there was no red carpet, no star—studded audience. the host, jimmy kimmel, broadcasting from an empty theatre. just like prom night. the show dependent on more than 100 different wi—fi feeds from the living rooms,

bedrooms or back gardens of the nominees. hello, everybody, congratulations! having hijacked the proceedings, the coronavirus was also the butt of many of the jokes. sanitised for your protection! jennifer aniston helping to sanitise the winners' envelope before setting fire to the germs. some of the winning nominees... as if the whole thing wasn't surreal enough, the trophies were presented by people in hazmat suits designed to look like tuxedos. that, the first emmy of the night for the canadian sitcom schitt‘s creek, which swept the board in the comedy awards. fittingly perhaps, following a summer of protest over racial injustice, this was the most diverse group of nominees ever, according to the emmy producers. regina king, watchmen. and the hbo series watchmen, a timely take on racism and police violence in america, walked off with four awards. succession. the hbo drama succession won three

emmys, prompting what might be the first un—thank yous from its british creator. un—thank you to the virus for keeping us all apart this year. un—thank you to president trump for his crummy and uncoordinated response. un—thank you to boris johnson and his government for doing the same in my country. the medium these awards honour has rarely been more relevant given the isolation caused by the coronavirus. the emmys mark the start of the hollywood awards season, one that promises to be the most unconventional ever. david willis, bbc news, los angeles. and now for a bit of good old—fashioned sportsmanship this is british racer james teagle who was on course for third place at a triathlon in spain when he made this mistake near the finish line — and ended up blocked at a barrier. a spaniard called diego mentrida overtook him, but noticed the mistake and stopped to allow teagle to catch him up — and cross first —

saying he deserved it. the organisers awarded him honorary third place and the same £250 prize money as teagle. i suppose itjust shows, like, massive integrity and, you know, great sportsmanship and, you know, i think people have really taken it to heart. it has gone all over the world and it is incrediblejust to see that and people valuing that sportsmanship. nice to have some good news. let's have a look at the weather. i'm not sure how good that is going to be. here is chris. it will be as good as i can make it. this morning we had low clad, mist and fog. that has cleared to leave stunning blue skies. this was western cornwall earlier this morning. these blue skies are pretty widespread. make the most of it because as we transition to the autumn equinox tomorrow, we will get colder conditions edging in. temperatures starting off well in the 20s, we have much colder weather spreading as we head towards the middle part

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