this is bbc news, with the latest headlines for viewers in the uk and around the world. i'm david eades. nearly 100,000 new coronavirus infections in europe in a single day — the highest since the start of the pandemic. donald trump's doctor says he will be ready for public duties in two days. the president tells american television he will be holding a rally on saturday night. a us governor accuses the president of encouraging right—wing militia groups, as 13 men are charged with an alleged plot to kidnap her. and the skateboarder, the drummer and the viral video. the tiktok star who met his

hero live on the bbc. hello and welcome. more than 338,000 people around the world have been infected with coronavirus in the past day. that is a record according to the world health organization. the worst figures in europe are from the czech republic. it is a small country but it now has the highest infection rate in the eu, at 327 cases per 100,000 people. then consider the uk, which saw a record number of infections on thursday. the prime minister says that means the country is heading into a danger zone. and in germany, officials say they are concerned after the country's cases rose

by almost a third in one day. four major cities in france are also going onto maximum alert, with bars and cafes closing. andy moore reports. for pubs like this one in manchester, there might bejust a few days of trading left. they face the prospect of having to shut down as the government tries to finalise the details of new restrictions to stop the spread of coronavirus in hotspots in the north and the midlands. local civic leaders are calling on borisjohnson to give financial help to those who will be hit ha rd est. help to those who will be hit hardest. there can be no restrictions without support. and if it's going to be the tier three restrictions, effectively a national lockdown, we have to go back to a full furlough scheme for those staff, support for those businesses. 0therwise those staff, support for those businesses. otherwise the north of england is going to be levelled down this winter and i won't accept it. the government

is proposing local covid alert levels for england made up of three tiers. in tier one, measures will include the rule of six and 10pm curfew for pubs and restaurants. tier two is likely to be no household mixing. tier three would trigger the toughest restrictions. no final decisions have been made, but extra limits on the hospitality industry are being considered. the latest official figures show a significant rise in new infections. 17,540 were recorded in the latest 24—hour period. that is an increase of more than 3000 on the day before. it means the average number of new cases reported per day in the past week is 14,520. hospitaladmissions have jumped significantly. 0n average, 528 people were being admitted every day over the past week. this number does not include scotland. 77 deaths have been reported. that is people who died within 28 days

ofa people who died within 28 days of a positive covid test. it means on average in the past week, 56 deaths were announced every day. the number of cases is also rising in many parts of europe. according to the european centerfor europe. according to the european center for disease prevention and control, the czech republic is now the most highly infected country, with nearly 350 cases per 100,000 people. the numbers in hospital and those in a serious condition have doubled in the past week. from today, indoor swimming pools, gyms and fitness centres will have to close. france has recorded more than 18,000 new covid infections for the second day running. hospitals in paris have moved into emergency mode, with staff holidays cancelled and nonessential operations postponed. coronavirus patients now make up nearly half of all intensive—care cases in the capital. germany has won praise for tackling the virus so far, but infections have now risen

to more than 4000 a day. epidemiologists are warning that figure could soon doubled. the health minister said most of those testing positive were young people who thought they we re young people who thought they were invulnerable and wanted to party. in scotland, new restrictions come into force this evening. they will be a ban on serving alcohol indoors and for many parts of the country, pubs and restaurants will have to close all together for16 will have to close all together for 16 days. as we have seen before in this outbreak, where scotla nd before in this outbreak, where scotland leads, parts of england may follow. us president donald trump has given an interview with fox news saying he is in great shape and is looking forward to a return to public campaigning, but had to be repeatedly pressed on whether he has had a coronavirus test since his diagnosis. i think i'm going to try doing a rally on saturday night, if we can, if we have enough time to put it together.

but we want to do a rally in florida — probably in florida on saturday night. might come back and do one in pennsylvania in the following night, and it's incredible what's going on. i feel so good. have you had a test since your diagnosis a week ago? well, what we're doing is probably the test will be tomorrow — the actual test, ‘cause there's no reason to test all the time. but they found very little infection or virus, if any. i don't know that they found any. i didn't go into it greatly with the doctors. now, this all comes after donald trump's doctor announced the president has completed his treatment for covid—19 and can return to public engagements. dr conley released a statement saying that the president has remained stable since returning to the white house and responded extremely well to treatment. for more, i'm joined by our north america correspondent david willis in los angeles. u nless we unless we know about the test, i suppose, david, unless we know about the test, isuppose, david, it unless we know about the test, i suppose, david, it is difficult to know if rallies and the like are going to go

ahead. but he writes his own rules of it. he certainly does, does donald trump, and the president clearly has been itching to get back on the campaign trail. he has been confined to quarters, of course. he has seen his rival, joe biden, out on the campaign trail every single day. and now he has got a doctor's note which says that basically he is 0k and approved to go back out there. he is planning to do so as early as saturday night if they can arrange a rally in the swing state of florida in time, and in pennsylvania the following night, another swing state, of course. but you are absolutely right. when he was asked about whether he has actually tested negative for the coronavirus since he was formally diagnosed a week ago, president trump dodged the question, saying only that he will be tested tomorrow. he said he hasn't followed all the ins and outs of it too closely. but that is the reason, of course, that the second presidential debate has fallen

apart, because the commission on presidential debates was insisting that because of donald trump's diagnosis that it should be a virtual affair. donald trump said he had no patience for such a thing and that it would be a waste of time. we are in a world of uncertainty over so many areas, david. he sounded bullish, he sounded pretty dynamic in that clip that we had there. but it wasn't all plain sailing in terms of the interview. it wasn't, david. and you know what? those who were hoping to get some, i suppose, buoyant news about the state of the president's health may well have been disappointed from this. because there were two occasions, one very brief, the other in which he appeared to have to mute the telephone for a little bit because of his coughing. it —— he emerged a couple of seconds later to say excuse me. all of this, of course, raises questions about what symptoms he has actually

been exhibiting and what the state of health he is actually in. we haven't seen him outside of the white house, of course, since he returned there from the walter reed hospital on monday evening. david, thank you very much indeed for that. president trump has rejected a plan to hold next thursday's election debate in a virtual format, saying it will be a waste of time. instead, he has agreed to hold a face—to—face debate withjoe biden a week later. we will see how that pans out. jesse byrnes is associate editor of the hill newspaper, and he is in washington. thank you forjoining us. i have to start with mr trump's latest offering to fox news. what did you make of it? definitely a lot of hedging in that interview, not revealing a lot of details on when he has been tested recently, the details of what those tests revealed. you know, this is the

white house. we still do not know exactly when he tested negative before he was diagnosed last week with covid—19. so that has raised speculation that maybe he had it for longer than he revealed, maybe he even had it, thejoe biden campaign fears, at last week's cosmic debate. a lot of questions that still have to be a nswered questions that still have to be answered here, and trump kind of wrestling and not revealing many details. know, and i guess it is difficult to provide any firm detail about the next debate, whether anything is going to happen at all, and if so where, and in what format. these are all open questions now. a lot of whiplash today, with the commission on presidential debates coming out and saying next week's debate, because of all the uncertainty surrounding the president's own diagnosis, that next week cosmic debate would be virtual. the trump campaign, of course, pushing back on that and saying trump is not going to do a virtual debate, and the biden

campaign, when it was clear that trump was not going to be involved, going ahead with the town hall in pennsylvania. it is unclear at this point if the debate next week will take place. trump already indicating that if it doesn't, he is going to go ahead with his own events. and of course, we have seen that white house letter from the white house position released earlier tonight, essentially saying that the physician expects trump to resume his activities come saturday night. the president's own centres for disease control, cdc, here in the states has already said that anyone who test positive or shows signs of coronavirus should isolate for ten days. that ten day mark, based on everything we know, wouldn't be up everything we know, wouldn't be up untilat everything we know, wouldn't be up until at least sunday. so based on recommendations from the federal government, trump should not be going ahead with a rally on saturday night. he is putting out a very clear picture, though, that he is robust, he is in very good health and he is getting

better. the democrats are pushing for a debate on the 25th amendment, who takes over if the president is incapacitated. is that a political ruse? is that how it is going to be felt now? it is definitely something that house democrats are going to be pushing the next number of days. of course, the republicans in the senate are unlikely to take up anything examining or even having the hint of being critical of the president's health. we don't expect that to go anywhere. but there are a lot of questions about his own health and the diagnosis that he has. previously, the doctors at the white house signalled that they did not think that he would be out of the woods, necessarily, until monday. now we have this new letter suggesting that trump is going to move ahead even before the weekend. he is itching to get back out on the campaign trail, and i think one thing to note is that by not appearing in this debate,

presumably next week, with joe biden, it is a risky move. he needs a moment to try to right the ship of his campaign and get back on track, and right now he does not have that moment. they are behind in the polls, aren't they? jesse, thank you very much indeed. 13 men have been charged with an alleged plot to kidnap the governor of the us state of michigan, gretchen whitmer. the fbi says the plot involved six of the men abducting the governor and taking her to a remote location to put her on trial for treason. governor whitmer has accused president trump of encouraging far—right groups by, as she put it, fraternising with domestic terrorists. mark lobel reports. the night—time fbi raid to stop the wolverine watchmen militia in their tracks. it is alleged the plan, part of which was hatched inside this house, was to attack a police building, kidnapped michigan's governor and put her on trial. their message could have been stop

violating our rights with tough coronavirus restrictions. they we re coronavirus restrictions. they were unhappy with the state lytic leadership, and some of them made the point in relation to taxes or in relation to the quality of the road infrastructure around michigan. so, you know, to what extent we can makea so, you know, to what extent we can make a link between the group, if it is one in the same group, if it is one in the same group or not, we're not sure. but what we can be certain of is the fact that the state political leadership was on minesa yearand political leadership was on mines a year and a half ago when i met them. now, 13 suspects are being investigated, six facing federal accusations of plotting to kidnap. seven facing state charges of terrorism and gang—related offences. charges of terrorism and gang-related offences. the individuals in custody are suspected to have attempted to identify the home addresses of law enforcement officers in order to target them, made threats of violence intended to instigate a civil war. the democratic governor at the heart of this kidnap plot

thanked the fbi for their work. but she has accused president trump of encouraging far—right groups, referencing this moment at last week's presidential tv debate, when he was asked by his rival, joe biden, to condemn the far—right proud boys group. stand back and stand by. hate groups heard the president's words not as a rebuke, but as a rallying cry. asa rebuke, but as a rallying cry. as a call to action. but republicans, who condemned the alleged plot, accused governor whitmer of political point scoring. donald trump condemned far—right organisations in the days after the tv debate. it is also true that resentment has been building in the state for months. armed protesters entering statehouse early in the pandemic, hitting out at governor whitmer‘s tough coronavirus mitigation measures which were overturned by a judge last week. these new arrests are a stark reminder of

the threat of white power movement in america, one of which caused this fatal 0klahoma city bombing in 1995. there is relief this alleged attack was stopped in its tracks, but america's department of homeland security says white power movement violence and affiliated extremism is by far the greatest terrorist threat to the nation. stay with us on bbc news — still to come: the skateboarder, the drummer, and the viral video — the tiktok star who met his hero live on the bbc. this was a celebration by people who were relishing their freedom. they believe everything's going to be different from now on. they think their country will be respected in the world once more, as it used to be, before slobodan milosevic took

power. the dalai lama, the exiled spiritual leader of tibet, has won this year's nobel peace prize. as the parade was reaching its climax, two grenades exploded and a group of soldiersjumped from a military truck taking part in the parade, and ran towards the president, firing from kalashnikov automatic rifles. after 437 years, the skeletal ribs of henry viii's tragic warship emerged. but even as divers worked to buoy her up, the mary rose went through another heart—stopping drama. i want to be the people's governor. i want to represent everybody. i believe in the people of california. this is bbc news. the latest headlines: a record rise — 338,000 people are infected with coronavirus

in 24 hours, the highest daily number since the pandemic began. donald trump tells american television he is in great shape and wants to get back on the campaign trail. there has been fresh fighting between azerbaijan and ethnic armenians over the disputed region of nagorno—karabak — ahead of talks involving the us, france and russia, aimed at securing a ceasefire, and averting a wider war. more than 300 people have died and thousands have been displaced since the latest fighting broke out last month. our international correspondent 0rla guerin reports from the city of goranboy. the newest victim of a conflict decades old — an azeri woman killed in indiscriminate shelling by armenian forces. but both sides

are guilty of that. a mourner cries out, "god, kill the armenians!" the community here steeped in its own pain, just like its enemies across the front line. tourian guliyeva, on the left, was 63 and a widow. her neighbours deep in shock, just hours after the attack. translation: she was a single woman and she wouldn't leave her house. we were asking her, "come to us. stay with us or go to your relatives." she said, "they won't be able to hit us." but they did, at 6:30am. her sister—in—law is anguished but committed to the fight for

nagorno—karabakh. "kara bakh is ours", she tells me. "it was ours and it will be ours. 0ur sons and brothers are fighting now, and i know they will be fighting to the end." it has already been a long battle for many here. they were driven from nagorno—karabakh during the war in the early ‘90s. they say it's occupied territory and part of their motherland. there is a real sense here of shock, of grief and of anger. this was a woman killed in her own home, in her own bed. every fresh attack, every new death, adds to the bitterness here, which already stretches back for decades. as turyan was buried, russia,

france and the us were pushing for a ceasefire. for now there is no sign of that, no respite for those who mourn, here or inside nagorno—karabakh. 0rla guerin, bbc news, goranboy, azerbaijan. let's get some of the day's other news. four hostages have flown into bamako airport in mali after being released by their islamist captors. they received a jubiliant welcome from family and supporters. french aid worker, sophie petronin, was welcomed by her son — she had been held almost four years. malian opposition politician, soumaila cisse and two others, both italians, were also freed. it's not known how they gained their freedom, but it follows the release of more than a hundred islamic militants at the weekend. hurricane delta, now a category 3 storm, is growing more powerful and threatening to hit louisiana as early as friday afternoon.

residents are preparing for the storm by filling sandbags and boarding up windows for the sixth time in the last few months. you might‘ve seen our next clip on social media. two weeks ago nathan in idaho was on his way to work when his car broke down. unfazed, he grabbed his skateboard and put on some music, fleetwood mac, and off he went. how easy doesn't that look? and in adversity there was also an opportunity to film another tiktok video. but this was no ordinary tiktok video — because that film went viral. it's been watched almost 30 million times. among those viewers was fleetwood mac's mick fleetwood, who responded with his own version. such has been the popularity of the clips that fleetwood mac have had one of their best

weeks with dreams being streamed eight and a half million times. here's what happened when the bbc brought them together. such a great song, isn't it? and it has been streamed 8 million times the past week. what do you think mick fleetwood would make of it?|j don't know, i'm pretty sure he's happy about it. i always have the numbers and theyjust keep rising, it's amazing. it is amazing. tell you what, nathan, shall we ask him? mick fleetwood, welcome to the programme. say hello to nathan! hey! what's up! that's insane. we owe you, and it is such a celebration of everything, i've heard you talking about it and it is sojoyous

heard you talking about it and it is so joyous and heard you talking about it and it is sojoyous and fun, i was just lead right into it, and people around me were going like, you know, from dad you've got to do this, it's so cool, so we got to do this, it's so cool, so we did it and here we are talking, and i just so we did it and here we are talking, and ijust want to say, outside of fleetwood mac, we owe you. it is such a great story and so needed in days that are really challenging, not to get into that whole thing, but i've heard you speaking, it makes people smile andl speaking, it makes people smile and i am so happy to be part of it. congratulations on a wild, wild skateboard journey that has led us to talking today. wild skateboard journey that has led us to talking todaym is truly my pleasure. thank you, mick. thank you, for going out and making your own tiktok. just everything that you guys did, the band retreating at, it's amazing that you would just go out and take the time to do that, you know what i felt bless and i'd appreciate

you. it is just awesome. felt bless and i'd appreciate you. it isjust awesomelj felt bless and i'd appreciate you. it isjust awesome. i hope to goodness that one day we meet and i feel like they want to know you. you are right in my heart. nathan, who was that in the background of your shot? bring them in. that's my daughter, my youngest daughter. come on, let's have her in the shot! is she a fleetwood mac fan? constantly listening to gypsy. landslide. 0k, landslide is her favourite one. gypsy. landslide. 0k, landslide is herfavourite one. and gypsy. landslide. 0k, landslide is her favourite one. and this is her favourite one. and this is her favourite one. and this is her mum giving her all the time listening to fleetwood mac. thanks again, mick, for the letter. are received at today. i wasn't sure whether you'd get it, but i hope stevie is watching. she is going to be overjoyed. i'm not sure who was more happy

about it but 8.5 million streams of dreams helps, doesn't it? you are watching bbc news, we have got the business coming up. stay with us. hello there. when the sun came out yesterday, we saw 19 celsius, temperatures above where they should be. and they have been for much of the week. but we will swing now to feeling colder for the next few days, probably with temperatures dipping a little bit below where they should be. we will still see some sunshine like we saw on thursday between the showers, this was the rain that moved away, the showers came in, but this next little area of low pressure comes in, giving some quite heavy rain actually through the night as it crosses scotland, northern ireland into the northern half of england and wales. you can see the wraparound here, the area of low pressure, a brisk north—westerly bringing heavy showers, frequent showers following that rain. so, as we go through the day, there will be early brightness in the south and east, but the rain will eventually

reach here by lunchtime. still some heavy rain upon that weather front and we still have that wraparound left around the area of low pressure and rain in the north—east of scotland, northern isles and elsewhere, sunny spells and showers. quite a brisk breeze, gusty near those showers, and temperatures will be down, it is colder air, so we will do well to reach about 13—14 in the south, more like eight to 10 degrees in the north. some of these showers could be heavy with hail and thunder. they will continue through the night into saturday morning as well with further bands of showers going southwards, but the air is colder, so where we see the clear spells, it will turn quite chilly as temperatures fall fairly close to freezing in the glens of scotland. so, it's because we have this cold air mass coming down on that north—westerly breeze. but again, we have high pressure to the west and that will tend to start to see the showers easing away through the second half of the weekend, but we're going to keep a close eye on this area of low pressure, as always it's going to include the risk of showers or even into next week some longer spells of rain, but for saturday, bands of showers will make their way southwards on that north—north—westerly airstream, probably more showers

in northern and western areas, but they could at times fall further east and again, temperatures as on friday, well down, except in shelter. 13 or 14 if you shelter from that northerly breeze. and that wind is still with us on sunday, but probably lighter, the high pressure starting to build in from the west, probably fewershowers, but again, always going to be more of a chance near the low pressure in the north sea, so closer to the eastern parts of england and wales. so, into next week, some uncertainty on where that area of low pressure is going to go. as ever, we will keep you updated.

this is bbc news, with the latest headlines for viewers in the uk and around the world. last orders at the bar, and is it last—chance saloon for the hospitality industry as further lockdowns loom? plus: stimulus u—turn. president trump now says there is a good chance of a deal on a new multitrillion—dollar aid package, two days after he walked away from talks. we start with the hospitality industry here in the uk, because businesses who managed to survive the lockdown earlier this year are once again fearing

for their survival. from today, pubs and restaurants across central scotland, including glasgow and edinburgh, have to close completely for the next two weeks. further restrictions on pubs, bars and restaurants in many other parts of the uk are expected within the coming days. they have already been under a 10:00pm curfew, but england's chief medical officer has told members of parliament a significant proportion of coronavirus exposure is happening in the hospitality sector. the owner of this pub, though, is among those who think their industry is being blamed unfairly. many already have to close their doors at 10:00pm but infections have continued to rise. the second wave of the pandemic now looks set to hit the hospitality industry particularly hard. by one estimate, nearly 700,000 jobs could be lost in the sector this year. disappointed initially. that was the first kind of response, because the staff have worked so very hard, and the trade in scotland, to follow the guidelines, to keep staff and customers safe, and do everything properly. 0nly customers safe, and do everything properly. only to be told that we were actually part of the problem, not part of the

solution. we think it is the other way around. you know, further lockdowns is going to decimate the industry. i think going to decimate the industry. ithinka going to decimate the industry. i think a number of the hospitality operators still, in spite of all the government aid that they have had, are teetering on the brink. if you push them into another shutdown, i think you will see a lot of business failures. it might not happen until first quarter of 2021, but they will happen. so we have had to make some redundancies, unfortunately. the uncertainty around the opening and closing of hospitality has meant almost as soon as we laid people off, hospitality, we opened and had to rehire again. we started the year with about 155 employees. at the low point, we were

probably down to below 100, with some on furlough, some made redundant. we are back up to about 140 employees at the moment, because the august trade has picked up. in actual fa ct, trade has picked up. in actual fact, it has taken us quite a long time to gear up to being able to provide the service level that our customers have become accustomed to receiving. august is traditionally our busiest month. 0ur august is traditionally our busiest month. our second busiest month. our second busiest month. our second busiest month is december, and this year it is not looking like christmas parties are going to happen at all and i think a lot of operators are scratching their heads and thinking how am i going to make this work? it is probably the first year in all of the years that i have run my business that i have run my business that i have run my business that i have run at a loss and in terms of the turnaround between where we expected to be and where we currently are, it is not a very happy picture. it feels to me like not only are the gold coast moving, but the playing field, almost on a daily basis. it is really hard to plan ahead. that is the sort of back office world of hospitality, the provision of

food, drink, all of the provisions that are needed. wholesalers will carry the wrap on that. coral rose is chair of the federation of wholesalers. she is in colne in lancashire, in the north of england ina bit in a bit of ina bit ofa in a bit of a hotspot, then, really. wholesalers going to cope with a renewed... i will call it a lockdown, but this tightening up again of restrictions? this is a devastating blow to us within wholesale. already the short notice means that we have already got stuck in our warehouses that we can't shift, we can't move on. this has happened to us already. in march we had to write of millions of pounds of stock. some of it went to charities, but there is still a lot that was written off and we're going to have to do the same again now. we have deliveries on the way to us. we have no turnover, which means that we can't satisfy complete customer base that wholesalers satisfy. it isn't just hospitality. that wholesalers satisfy. it isn't just hospitalitylj isn't just hospitality.” suppose it is partly the speed with which these restrictions are brought in, the lack of

notice, which makes it so tough. absolutely, and there is no need for that. we advised the government before just to give us any notice of any lockdown, which would mean we would be able to accommodate this ina would be able to accommodate this in a better way. we have already had customers in the north of england rejecting deliveries on the prospect of a lockdown locally. so we have to fresh produce that is going to go nowhere and will have to be thrown away. sorry to interrupt, we have heard from the hospitality sector saying we are being told we are to blame, actually we don't think thatis blame, actually we don't think that is the case, that is unfair. 0ne that is the case, that is unfair. one way or the other, it is happening. restrictions are growing. so what is your request? 0r are growing. so what is your request? or maybe it is more than just request? or maybe it is more thanjust a request? or maybe it is more than just a request, request? or maybe it is more thanjust a request, to government at this stage, for your industry, wholesale businesses? there has been a com plete businesses? there has been a complete ignoring of what wholesale does. we are vital to the supply of food and drink to anywhere out of home, which includes hospitals, care homes,

hospices, prisons. the majority of turnover of hospitality is needed to share the overheads so that we can continue to supply to these vital areas of the community. we have had no business rates, really, which we re business rates, really, which were given to the huge food retailers. we have had no grants, no specific support for our industry. without that, we're going to have to close our doors. we cannot continue to operate at a loss. i am looking for crumbs of comfort for you, looking for crumbs of comfort foryou, ina looking for crumbs of comfort for you, in a way, but we are in october. it is not the busiest time of the year. it is a lull before christmas. if things were to pick up again by mid—november, and of november, would most wholesalers manage to whether another storm ? would most wholesalers manage to whether another storm? no, the smaller wholesalers, i think we will see, will be closing their doors. what we do over the next six weeks? where we supposed to get that turnover from? the we supposed to get that turnover from ? the care we supposed to get that turnover from? the care sector represents about 30% of our business. hospitality

represents 70— 80%. without that turnover, we have still got the rent, the salaries and all the stockholding. thank you very much indeed. let's stay with the uk economy, because official figures out in an hour's time are expected to show it continued to recover in august. july's figures showed gdp growth of 6.6%, meaning the economy had recovered roughly half the output lost in the pandemic. but it is still over 11% smaller than it was in february, and with further restrictions coming in throughout the uk, the bounceback may prove short—lived. paul dales is chief uk economist at capital economics. he joins us from brighton. good to see you there, paul. let's start with your expectations for what these figures for august might show.

a really big increase in gdp as we climb out of that hole we fell into earlier in the year. so we have pencilled in a 5% rise in gdp in the month of august, partly just as rise in gdp in the month of august, partlyjust as extra businesses started to reopen and partly because the nation gorged itself on the chancellor's eat out to help out discount scheme. perhaps on that basis, i thought you might have gone for something a bit higher than 5%. well, there we re higher than 5%. well, there were a lot of businesses that we re were a lot of businesses that were already reopened, so in june, non—essential retailers opened. injuly, june, non—essential retailers opened. in july, lots june, non—essential retailers opened. injuly, lots of pubs and opened. injuly, lots of pubs a nd restau ra nts opened. injuly, lots of pubs and restaurants had already opened. so that limits the scope for really big increases. and the pace of the recovery was always going to slow once most businesses were open again. now, the real issue is how significant is the new restrictions that are around the corner, particularly on the hospitality sector? in our view, this means that the pace

of recovery is notjust going to slow, it is going to disappear altogether. the economy will do nothing more than move sideways over the months of october, november and december. right, yes, this time lag we have between the month and the delivery of the results has never felt so frustrating, almost irrelevant, isn't it? the reality is that heading into a very dark autumnal feel around the whole of the british economy. that's right. in one way, the recovery has been really vigorous. so after declining by 26%, injust really vigorous. so after declining by 26%, in just four months, we have recovered about 70% of that. so the economy, we think, at the end of august was about 7.5% below it precrisis level. after a small increase in september, we think the economy will then be marooned about 5% below its precrisis level for the next four or five

months or so. so we are entering a much harder, slower and more painful phase of the recovery from the covid crisis. right, and where does this leave the uk in comparison to many of our neighbours or other western economies, really? it is often quoted that the uk economy economy suffered the worst at the time of the first lockdown. is that still the case or are we weathering the storm as well as or maybe even better than some? i think the way to characterise it is that we are lagging behind in the recovery ra ce . we are lagging behind in the recovery race. economies like china and america have done reasonably well, in china's case very reasonably well, in china's case very well, to get back to where they were before the crisis. europe is in a very similar situation to the uk. its collapse was not as big but it is now experiencing this flattening off of the recovery, just like the uk. so we are in a similar situation to the uk, but in general we are certainly not at the front of the pack

when it comes to the recovery race. no, we're struggling to find good news this morning, paul. you haven't helped much. thank you very much good to see you. let's move to the us now, because president trump has told fox news he sees a really good chance of reaching a deal with democrats in congress on a new round of economic stimulus. it's a massive u—turn from tuesday, when he abruptly ended negotiations, prompting an outcry from business leaders and sending stock markets plunging. the federal reserve has warned that a continued economic recovery in the us is dependent on more financial aid as the $2.2 trillion package agreed in march runs out. but there has been deadlock for weeks over the scale of the new bill. joining me now is fiona cincotta, market analyst at city index. we are back on it, then. what do you make of it? this could be that little bit of good news that you are looking for this

morning. as you said, this has gone from the plug being pulled a couple of days ago, and then yesterday there was a sensation that maybe they would have smaller, more specific bills. and now we're back to this maybe larger scale relief package. 0bviously for the market, that is what they are looking for. we have seen that recent economic data from the us showed the recovery is just starting to stall, for example the jobless claims figures from yesterday showed that they are worse than we were expecting. this relief package is needed for the economy in order for any sort of recovery to continue. as far as markets are concerned, they are loving the thought of more stimulus. we have had the us stock market rally yesterday. that has carried on into asia overnight and we are expecting a strong start from europe this morning. 0bviously start from europe this morning. obviously it could not be a

more political time to try to re—establish a deal on the stimulus package. it makes it seem very stimulus package. it makes it seem very difficult to achieve an overall package. do you see an overall package. do you see an effort here, perhaps, to sort of kickoff that could work, that they could get a deal on? that could very much be the case. it could happen, and we know obviously the airline industry has really suffered badly. we could see some focus there, and the hospitality sector as well. what the markets are thinking, though, is that we have also seen the democrats — joe though, is that we have also seen the democrats —joe biden is taking the lead in the polls, and the democrats are more supportive of a really large—scale package. even if this doesn't happen before the election, and they are expecting a democrat win and we could have a big package after. are you saying that they are already pricing in a biden victory? that is what we are starting to see. since we have

had the presidential debate, it appears that biden is just sort of taking the lead. investors and the polls are not so keen on how trump has been handling this last phase of the coronavirus and so we are starting to see a slight difference now, with biden taking the lead. lets never write off mr trump, but interesting direction for the markets to take. thank you very much. stay with us on bbc news, still to come: undue influence? france passes legislation to protect the interests of child social media stars. now for some stories here in the uk. today, the nhs is launching a campaign to encourage people to see their gp if they have any suspicious or concerning symptoms. there are fears that delays to cancer diagnosis and treatment due to coronavirus could cause thousands of excess deaths

in the uk within a year. eu chief negotiator michel barnier is due to meet his uk counterpart for informal talks today. the uk's post—brexit transition period is due to end in december. mr barnier said this week that a post—brexit trade, fishing and security deal was close. the iconic piano whichjohn lennon used to write the song imagine will go on display today to mark his 80th birthday. the piano, which singer george michael bought in 2000, will be shown at liverpool's strawberry field. the site was chosen for its links to the beatles song strawberry fields forever and lennon's childhood home nearby. this is bbc world news. the latest headlines: a record rise — 338,000 people are infected with coronavirus

in 24 hours, the highest daily number since the pandemic began. donald trump tells american television he is in great shape and wants to get back on the campaign trail. to the lucrative world of social media influencers now — because it seems youth is no barrier to bringing in the big bucks. this french youtube channel neo and swan has more than 5 million subscribers — and is one of dozens featuring young children. this week france passed a law aimed at protecting young social media stars — regulating the number of hours under—16s can work online and what happens to their earnings. it also enshrines the right to be forgotten, meaning that platforms will be obliged to take down content at the child's request.

dr elizabeth milovidov is a law professor and esafety consultant — she's founder of digitalparentingcoach.com. shejoins me from paris. sorry for stumbling over your surname. it's an interesting move by the french, why are they pushing ahead with this? because it's not as if they have millions of youngsters in the field? no, they don't have millions of youngsters, but the french are very much looking at the united states and seeing what is happening there, some of the controversies, so they are trying to get ahead of the game. i would say the past three years we have really seen a push with the french government trying to regulate more of what is happening in the digital space. and what are the digital space. and what are the key points, you think, that they have drawn on in this law? the key points are that we are protecting children's images and we are protect their working conditions. i think it

is very crucial to look at this distinction between influences and children who are just making videos and trying to make money. again, i would say it's important to have caution because law is perfect yet and it is not finalised. what are the imperfections? i think it isa the imperfections? i think it is a great start, i am really excited and i am really happy to be in france where we are at the forefront of child online protection. what we don't know right now is how this is going to regulate the working conditions of children. how many hours a day, what type of co nte nt ? many hours a day, what type of content? is this for youtube platforms? tiktok? is it for online video gamers? there's a lot of things that are unknown but they will be known very soon, i would say, after the state council develops more. there is a real challenge here,

because there are some youngsters who are proving extremely popular and valuable commodities, and that might mean that they do a lot of this and work a lot of hours, but financially it's an incredible achievement and if it impacts slightly on education or other issues, well, hey, that's a families concern. yes and no. i think that we have to liken this working relationship to what we see with other children in the entertainment industry or with child models, for example. and i think that when we are looking at this type of relationship, we need to have child labour laws to protect the children and sometimes to protect the children from their pa rents protect the children from their parents and sometimes to protect the families from industry. so again, i think it isa industry. so again, i think it is a great start. i saw the pew research centre putting out information about how much more watchable youngsters are, and i

think it's under 13's in particular, so that you can see where the pressure comes from. absolutely. absolutely. let's face it, they are cute. they are absolutely adorable and they feel the pressure as well to start a channel and, hey guys, to start a channel and, hey guys, how are you doing? so there's a lot of pressure going around and i've deal like this isa around and i've deal like this is a great start again that we're going to regulate, have this approach where we're having parent heading involved, the tech platforms and france is going to be the country to watch for a while. elizabeth, do you feel uncomfortable about child influences? is that really the direction you come from? absolutely not, but i think that right now with this digital economy, adults and children are looking for fame, fortune, friends, followers, and so when we have this type of opening people are going to jump of opening people are going to jump into it. again, i would just prefer that digital families, they really take advantage of the opportunities that are out there and they

reduce some of those risks. thanks very much for explaining that situation to us. we will keep an eye on the french and how they move that on. let's turn to the car industry — it's still overwhelmingly male dominated, even though its customer base is anything but. more than a third of cars on the road in the uk are owned by women — according to recent research. so why aren't there more women in senior auto industry roles? theo leggett has been talking to astrid fontaine, a board member at bentley — about her efforts to increase the diversity of their workforce. i think it's twofold. 0n the one hand, it is the willingness of the women as well to get into the skills that the automotive industry requires, which in the past was very much driven by mechanical engineering and design, et cetera, but i think as the industry progresses we have seen those skills as well that might becoming more along the

lines of the talent we see in the female population, so i am thinking about the automotive industry is now fully into the topic of electrification, digitisation, so you need skills on system developers, social media, so what we see as well is that in this world of skills we are looking for, we find a much broader pool as well of female candidate. there clearly are well of female candidate. there clearly a re obstacles well of female candidate. there clearly are obstacles to women in engineering and particularly the auto industry, what do you think they are? unconscious bias, where people have probably unknowingly a tendency to group together amongst people that are similar. however, i think we all have seen the benefit, as i've mentioned, in this crisis management, the benefit is to actually group together with people who are different to you. to bring the different opinions on the table and to listen to them. so that is one of the major steps where we try to encourage, as well, this diversity of people, instead of just the same. and i think the second part is that the talent

that women bring, where in the past they were perhaps not willing to bring it forward because there are too many things to care for, and in this new world where you can participate in meetings at any time from wherever you are have removed barriers that women had in the past to be willing to ta ke in the past to be willing to take that step and make that commitment. now we are in the middle of the covid—19 crisis, car companies across the board are cutting back, bentley is cutting 1000 jobs, how much of a setback has that been? it is an opportunity now to look forward , an opportunity now to look forward, to move past this world that will be a much more digitised environment. for how we work but also our customers, how they interact with us and how they interact with us and how we develop cars. so i think you need a new skill set, you need a fresh belief in problem—solving and creativity than ever before and that's where i believe the opportunity lies for a much more diverse environment of colleagues. is a

challenging field but they are making some ground there. are just want to remind you of our main stories today. more than 338,000 people across the globe have been infected with the coronavirus in just the last day. that is a record figure and it has come from the world health organization, it is pushing 100,000 across europe alone, in fact the worst figures have come from the czech republic, only a small country but have a look at that, 327 cases per 100,000 people. the uk has had a record number of infections for thursday and boris johnson number of infections for thursday and borisjohnson has said it means that the country is heading into a danger zone. german officials are making very similar references to a danger zone. we've got four major cities in france as well going on to maximum alert, bars and cafe ‘s are closing. not a very jolly way to head towards the weekend but that's the way it is for the moment. you are

watching bbc news and to stay with us throughout the day. hello there. when the sun came out yesterday, we saw 19 celsius, temperatures above where they should be. and they have been for much of the week. but we will swing now to feeling colder for the next few days, probably with temperatures dipping a little bit below where they should be. we will still see some sunshine like we saw on thursday between the showers, this was the rain that moved away, the showers came in, but this next little area of low pressure comes in, giving some quite heavy rain actually through the night as it crosses scotland, northern ireland into the northern half of england and wales. you can see the wraparound here, the area of low pressure, a brisk north—westerly bringing heavy showers, frequent showers following that rain. so, as we go through the day, there will be early brightness in the south and east, but the rain will eventually reach here by lunchtime. still some heavy rain upon that

weather front and we still have that wraparound left around the area of low pressure and rain in the north—east of scotland, northern isles and elsewhere, sunny spells and showers. quite a brisk breeze, gusty near those showers, and temperatures will be down, it is colder air, so we will do well to reach about 13—14 in the south, more like eight to 10 degrees in the north. some of these showers could be heavy with hail and thunder. they will continue through the night into saturday morning as well with further bands of showers going southwards, but the air is colder, so where we see the clear spells, it will turn quite chilly as temperatures fall fairly close to freezing in the glens of scotland. so, it's because we have this cold air mass coming down on that north—westerly breeze. but again, we have high pressure to the west and that will tend to start to see the showers easing away through the second half of the weekend, but we're going to keep a close eye on this area of low pressure, as always it's going to include the risk of showers or even into next week some longer

spells of rain, but for saturday, bands of showers will make their way southwards on that north—north—westerly airstream, probably more showers in northern and western areas, but they could at times fall further east and again, temperatures as on friday, well down, except in shelter. 13 or 14 if you shelter from that northerly breeze. and that wind is still with us on sunday, but probably lighter, the high pressure starting to build in from the west, probably fewershowers, but again, always going to be more of a chance near the low pressure in the north sea, so closer to the eastern parts of england and wales. so, into next week, some uncertainty on where that area of low pressure is going to go. as ever, we will keep you updated.

good morning. welcome to breakfast with charlie stayt and rachel burden. 0ur headlines today: more pressure on the government to reveal details of its plans to curb rising infection rates, as labour accuses ministers of losing control of the pandemic. pubs and restaurants across central scotland will shut this evening for 16 days, with restricted opening hours in other parts of the country. good morning. more help for hospitality is morejob good morning. more help for hospitality is more job losses loom and the industry prepares for new restrictions. 1200 top chefs have written to the government, calling for a dedicated minister to champion

their cause in