good morning, welcome to breakfast with naga munchetty and charlie stayt. our headlines: almost 100,000 people are catching coronavirus every day — the stark finding from senior scientists, as they warn the pandemic is at a critical stage. france will enter a second national lockdown tomorrow, to last to the end of november at least. tough new covid restrictions for people in nottinghamshire, including a ban on alchohol after nine at night. more businesses are laying off staff. new figures show firms making redundancies spiked in september. i'll have the details. the man of the moment is back in the spotlight,

this time for his exploits on the pitch, as marcus rashford's hat trick fires manchester united to a comfortable victory over rb leipzig in the champions league. we have a band of heavy rain moving from the west towards the north—east through the course of the day with gusty winds and the strongest will be in the west, especially because of the height and exposure but it will feel a bit milder. of the height and exposure but it will feela bit milder. i of the height and exposure but it will feel a bit milder. i have the details in about ten minutes. it's thursday 29th october. our top story. the second wave of coronavirus is at a "critical stage", according to experts — after a major study found that nearly 100,000 people in england are becoming infected every day. scientists at imperial college london are warning that action taken so far to contain the virus isn't enough. 0ur science correspondent pallab ghosh has this report. the study tested a random sample of 85,000 people across england, whether they showed symptoms or not, to get a true picture of the spread of covid.

please place it in the box. its blunt assessment is that the recent government measures introduced to curb the spread of the virus has not stopped the number of cases in england from accelerating, at least not yet. on average, infections are now doubling every nine days. prevalence is still highest in yorkshire and the humber, where one in a0 people are estimated to be affected. on average though, just over one in 100 people are thought to be infected in england, where the r number is 1.6. but infections are increasing rapidly in the rest of the country. the highest r number is in london, 2.86. the south—east and the east of england is also above two. even though people are taking lots of measures, and there's an awful lot of thought and an awful lot of kind of intervention policy in place, we have seen a consistent pattern of the number of infections going up, and that's generating

hospitalisations and deaths. then the patterns we are seeing in most recent days suggests those rates of hospitalisations and deaths, unfortunately, are likely to increase. researchers say there has to be a change in measures or people's behaviour sooner rather than later, if further hospitalisations and deaths from covid—19 are to be avoided. pallab ghosh, bbc news. we're joined now by our political correspondent jonathan blake, jonathan, what do these new figures mean for the government's response to the pandemic? yes, it is hard to look at the very stark picture painted by these figures and not think that at some point something has to change. the question is, what? at the least we will see more areas of england soon

moving into tier 3, the highest alert level and living with the tough restrictions that come with that. beyond that, the government is sticking to its regional approach, imposing tighter measures and parts of england where cases of the virus are much higher and allowing looser restrictions in areas where they are lower, but if we look to the nearest neighbours in europe, this morning, we can see francis imposing another national lockdown in germany albeit slightly less strict during the same and their cases of the virus are lower on a daily basis than they are in the uk and of course, the republic of ireland in its own national lockdown for another week 01’ so as national lockdown for another week or so as well. the authors of this report, as you heard, suggested something needs to change. either the public needs to follow the rules more closely or we see tighter restrictions. arguments for doing that sooner rather than later, but the government will likely say that they need to give time to those

areas in tier 3 for the restrictions to work. the danger in doing that is waiting and then them not working and facing accusations that they didn't do enough soon enough. let's not forget that the government has never ruled out another national lockdown, but it will do all it can to avoid it. jonathan. thanks very much. france is to begin a second national lockdown tomorrow, as the number of infections surge. people will only be allowed to leave their homes for work, essential shopping, exercise or emergencies. 0ur paris correspondent, lucy williamson, has more. for france, these will be nights to remember. the last moments of freedom before a new national lockdown. from tomorrow, no—one can leave home except for food, exercise, medical and social care. watching the president's announcement last night, relief that schools at this time staying open. they are all teachers here. but outside work, how does the prospect of another lockdown feel?

anxious, because the last time was pretty hard. the apartments here are really small and we're going to be locked back in them again. but schools are staying open, so i should be able to work, which is a good thing. president macron said france needed to hit the brakes hard. translation: we have all been overwhelmed by the acceleration of the epidemic. the spread of the virus has taken everyone in europe by surprise. we are all in the same place. the second wave will no doubt the stronger and deadlier than the first. president macron had been counting on local restrictions to curb the rise in infections, but with hospitals across the country raising the alarm, tonight he acknowledged this was a national problem and needed a national response. the growing restriction to have already brought back memories of the lockdown last spring. the growing restrictions have

brought back memories of the last spring. but winter is a tougher battlefield on which to fight this epidemic. faced with a virus that dies of loneliness, mr macron has decided that isolation is the best weapon and the best defence. lucy williamson, bbc news, paris. german chancellor angela merkel said the country will enter a four—week lockdown from next week. the emergency restrictions are less severe than in france, but includes the closure of restaurants, gyms and theatres. mrs merkel said she believed the measures could slow down infections and ensure hospitals can continue to cope. nottinghamshire is to become the latest region of england to enter the highest coronavirus alert level. the changes come into effect tomorrow. as well as the basic tier three restrictions, shops will be banned from selling alcohol after 9pm. the new measures come in a day later than planned, after they were expanded from nottingham to cover the whole county. there's been mixed reaction to the news. to be honest with you, i think tier

3is to be honest with you, i think tier 3 is the right move because at the moment everyone is in the pub, and when you are in the pub and you only have groups of six but when everyone has a drink, nobody sticks to it. there's a lot of people not in a group of six and you start with rule of six and you end up with a group of six and you end up with a group of 70 —— of six and you end up with a group of 70 -- 26, of six and you end up with a group of 70 —— 26, know what i mean? the welsh exam regulator says that next year's gcses and a—s levels should be scrapped, to reduce any future disruption from coronavirus. qualifications wales is advising the government that grades should be based on course—work and assessments. it recommends that a—level exams go ahead as planned — but with just one exam per subject. ministers will make a final decision next month. the relatives of a kurdish—iranian family who died when their migrant boat sank in the english channel on tuesday say they're desperate for news about the youngest child. the bodies of rasoul iran—neejad and shiva mohammad panahee and two of their children — anita and armeen — have been found. their 15—month—old boy, arteen remains missing. french authorities say they haven't resumed the search as it's unlikely anyone else will be found.

two british teenagers have died — and another has been injured — after a parasailing accident while on holiday in greece. they were being towed by a boat when the rope holding their parachute snapped. the 13—year—old boy and 15—year—old girl died, while another boy is in a "serious condition" in hospital. two people have been arrested. some familiar faces have appreaed with the candidates in the final week of campaigning in the us presidential election. joe biden has appeared with oprah winfrey and nigel farage joined president trump on stage in arizona. we're joined now by our north america correspondent david willis. we are reaching the end of all of these campaign trails. tell us what has been going on. the end is indeed in sight, charlie, and donald trump is continuing to hit the campaign trail hard. he has been in arizona,

a state he won four years ago but which the polls suggest is favouring his democratic rival, joe biden. you mentioned the former ukip leader nigel farage who has campaigned alongside donald trump at one of the rallies in arizona today and he described donald trump as the bravest and most resilient person he had ever met. nigel farage, of course, was a regularfeature had ever met. nigel farage, of course, was a regular feature on the donald trump campaign trail four yea rs donald trump campaign trail four years ago. joe biden, for his part, cast his vote in the home state of delaware and made a surprise appearance on the oprah winfrey get out and vote event, a zoom conversation, designed to encourage african—americans to take part in this election. joe biden has generally maintained a more cautious approach to campaigning than donald trump although he is due to campaign alongside his former boss, barack

0bama, in the swing state of michigan on saturday. donald trump, for his part, continues to maintain a hectic pace and is planning on no fewer than 11 rallies in the 48 hours of running up to the election day itself next tuesday. we have 45, i'm sorry, 75 million americans who have already cast their vote, taking advantage of the opportunity to vote early. early voting, of course, generally tends to favour the democrats and joe biden is leading in the polls but if the events of four years ago taught us anything it is this, that you really shouldn't ta ke is this, that you really shouldn't take anything to do with these elections for granted. thank you very much. now the weather with carol. not a very enlightening picture.

well, an encouraging picture. good morning. good morning to everybody. the weather over the next few days is going to be unsettled. wet and windy and that is the story today but one thing you will notice is that it's going to be a bit milder, certainly compared to yesterday. today we have low pressure coming our way bringing in heavier rain but look at the isobars on the chart, that is indicating it's going to be windy, especially around this band of rain and especially so in the west. we start on a cold motocross north—east scotla nd start on a cold motocross north—east scotland where we have sunshine but in some places temperatures are below freezing and all of the rain pushes in from the west, marching north eastwards. the met office has yellow warnings for parts of wales, north—west england and south—west scotla nd north—west england and south—west scotland but all of the rain in the next couple of days could lead to localised flooding in these black circles indicate the gust of wind strength, particularly windy across the north—east of wales. temperatures today between ten and

15, so up from yesterday and as we head through the evening and overnight we say goodbye to the first band of rain, but there is a second one coming in hot on its heels and there will be quite a bit of clout tonight as well with showers, clear skies and these are the overnight temperatures and you could be forgiven for thinking they are the daytime temperatures because they are more representative of what we would expect at this time of year. tomorrow the rain across scotla nd year. tomorrow the rain across scotland tends to wane and we have rain pushing towards the south the lot of cloud and some sunshine in between but feeling mild, especially in the south with a high of 18 and temperatures are actually going down through the course of the day as we push further north. carol, thank you. let's take a look at today's papers. the times reports that a german vaccine could be ready to distribute before christmas. the paper says the uk has already bought enough doses for 20 million people. the picture is of artist tracey emin who's revealed she was diagnosed with cancer in the summer. the guardian suggests up to 10% of england's

population could be tested for coronavirus every week after government officials asked local health bosses to deploy 30—minute saliva kits. "don't do it boris!" is the headline for the daily mail, which says business leaders, campaigners and mps are warning another lockdown would "wreak economic carnage" and devastate thousands of businesses. and with just days to go until the us presidential election, the online edition of the washington times carries this picture of democratic candidate joe biden, who has made a surprise appearance on the "oprah winfrey" show. have you ever been scared of prawns? these prawns have been found in panama of the caribbean coast and adam bennett has written this in the sun newspaper and i appreciate his writing this morning, because these,

he describes them as the skinheads of the sea bed who are so hard they can crack glass aquarium tax and create a flash of light by vaporising water and cause painful gashes to humans, so be aware. these crazed crustaceans sta keout opponents homes in coral before sending shell shock victims packing. they are bullies. he has not gone back on the alliteration. what is their real name? shells angels. their names are smashes. and a type of mantis shrimp. where are we on the for them? panama, of mantis shrimp. where are we on the forthem? panama, of of mantis shrimp. where are we on the for them? panama, of the caribbean coast. so a warning to our viewers. really enjoyed that. can i show you something that is a picture that oozes satisfaction. look at this picture. this is in dorset,

gauls hill in dorset, and volunteers have been preparing a 1300 foot stretch of dry stone wall, and can you imagine the satisfaction? i'm not sure if this was the moment of putting the last stone in the repaired wall, but imagine the satisfaction of that. so much skill involved in creating a dry and maintaining it. and thank you for maintaining it. and thank you for maintaining them, they are beautiful. if you see a stone wall today, take a moment to appreciate it. that's what i'm saying. just ta ke it. that's what i'm saying. just take a moment to appreciate it. you enjoy a bit of yoga? stretching? it has happened. are you good at it? show me the picture. are you good at it? show me the picture. do you think you could get into this move? this is someone nos da rubber boy

and he can do the toughest yoga in the world. he can type on a keyboard with his feet. he is typing with his feet, and he basically lies on his front, and i don't know if you can help. the picture is so small i don't know if you can help out or not. i'm trying to work out how useful that skill is. to type with your feet? if your fingers are tired... he can turn his neck 180 degrees, but this is... that means he can look directly backwards. this is the pose. i don't know if this appeals to you, charlie. bending over, literally bending over backwards. you know what? i'm thinking if you are in a queue and the person in front of you, socially distance, turned their head entirely around to say something to you, how alarming would it be? what is the

film where it happens? the exorcist? 0ne film where it happens? the exorcist? one of the horror films. film where it happens? the exorcist? one of the horrorfilms. not film where it happens? the exorcist? one of the horror films. not that we are comparing him to bow but a very trendy person. he is in india and hopes to get into the guinness book of world records —— very bendy person. that is a lot of yoga practice. choosing a secondary school is a big decision for any parent and their child, but this year it's made more difficult because open evenings aren't allowed. it's meant a rise in the virtual school tour and promotional video, ranging from slick, highly—produced films to more basic clips. but how much do they really tell you? bra nwen jeffreys reports. we are surrounded by woodland, open countryside, a village pond... some schools have really gone to town. slick videos to capture the eyes of pa rents. slick videos to capture the eyes of parents. 0thers slick videos to capture the eyes of parents. others a bit more heartfelt. it's fun, social and

exciting. this year, choosing a school is all about the virtual tour of schools competing to sign up enough pupils next year. three, two, one, action. at this primary school, year six made the film, deciding what to show off, but they have been on their own video tours as well. robbie and his mother, sam, are choosing his neck score. you can't see every classroom in the entire school and they just show you a couple of classrooms. it is hard to see it on video and it kind of takes the field away of where you see everything but there is an instant thing when you set foot in a place and you are standing there and you think this is nice, this will sue my child. so having made their own, what do they think of the school video? sometimes when they edit certain words, you feel like they are lying. a bad school would be

where you get kind of boring videos for the children to watch. moving from primary to secondary school is such a big moment in a child's life. because secondary schools are bigger and more complicated, and it is a point when many children struggle. pa rents a re point when many children struggle. parents are having to make decisions by video this year, which we will then be living with for the next five years. tried the food in the canteen, which is important. sarah finch is in charge for secondary schools. they have made videos, but it's not the same as families visiting. for schools everywhere, pupil numbers are a big part of their budget. the stakes are high and because of that revenue that comes into the school, it could mean in some cases for some schools that they have to go into a redundancy situation, and may have to do lose

staff across the school. so everybody feels that pressure, and there is a real push to be able to try and demonstrate and showcase their school to the best that they can possibly do. and we will take you on a tour of can possibly do. and we will take you ona tourof our can possibly do. and we will take you on a tour of our academy. virtual open days are all about selling a school's vision, but what should parents be asking? i got advice from two former head teachers. how does a score deal with bullying? who is my child's point of co nta ct? bullying? who is my child's point of contact? and what access will my child have two extra curricular activities? it's really important that parents put on glasses that enable them to see for their child because that will enable them to ask the question, if their child is shy ortimid, quiet one, how the question, if their child is shy or timid, quiet one, how are the staff going to bring that out? the real goal, to work out the true life

of the school beyond what they want to show you. i've just i'vejust remembered i've just remembered being so daunted going around the big school, asi daunted going around the big school, as i used to see it. all i wanted to do was go to the same school as my friends. it's such a big decision, and in the absence of doing all the things you would have normally done, that makes it extra hard. i love the young girl who said that the things young girl who said that the things you didn't like about the films, that you have seen, and she said sometimes you think they are lying. as in, that is the film the school has made to encourage you to go and if the child's reaction is that they might be lying, it's not working. something is wrong. she has figured out pr already. good on her. a lot has happened in the past year, but today marks one year since the general election was called. we've returned to two traditional labour seats that

swung towards the conservatives, to ask voters how they feel about their vote and what's happened since. alex forsyth reports. last year the political landscape here shifted. coastal communities, industrial towns in the north and the midlands turned from labour to tory. we spent time in these areas before and just after the election, when there was little concept of what was on the horizon. last time i was in redcar the town had just chosen its first conservative mp. that was before we'd even heard of coronavirus. now that's changed so much about the way we live, i've come back to see if it has changed people's political views too. i'm still a labour voter. i don't really know what the labour party would have done any different, even though it's quite difficult for me to praise the conservatives, if you like! actually i voted tory this time, the last time. i've been a labour man all my life. i think we all get

carried away on a wave of enthusiasm for him, i think. if i ran my household — not that she lets me! — as this government is running its covid programme, i think i would have been divorced a long time ago. before covid, brexit was the big issue for many here, places that voted to leave. and although it's not yet resolved, the political division for some there isn't so dominant. if you think back to the caterwauling in the houses of parliamentjust before christmas last year, we're certainly in a better situation from that point of view. and i think covid has brought the country together more. and there is less division between people at present than there was. at the town's football ground the ladies' team had a floodlit training session, trying to retain its sense of community. football is more thanjust kicking a ball around on a pitch. for michelle, the sport has been more essential than ever during a tough year in a region that often feels overlooked. i think we just continuously feel that up in the north

we just don't matter, we don't have a voice, and i don't feel we get as much investment as obviously down south. i think one thing we do have is the community spirit. the prime minister has repeatedly promised a more level playing field across the country. but vicky isn't convinced. he says a lot of promises but he doesn't actually follow through on them. especially like now, there's a lot of like, spotlight on the north with the coronavirus. it's just highlighting the divide. this pandemic has thrown a lot up in the air. despite billions of pounds spent by the government to shore up the economy, there is still uncertainty about the financial, social and political fallout. across the humber bridge, grimsby was a key stop during last year's election campaign. boris johnson visited the famous fish market in december, and met patrick, who prepares and sells smoked fish. we caught up with him now to get his thoughts. we had the toughest year possible, and he's going to get it wrong.

you know, i defy anybody to get what we have just been through, right. boris johnson visited the famous fish market in december, and met patrick, who prepares and sells smoked fish. we caught up with him now to get his thoughts. we had the toughest year possible, and he's going to get it wrong. you know, i defy anybody to get what we have just been through, right. the fishing trade was courted with conservative pledges and brexit. this is a town of traditional industry that labour wants back. mike, who also met the prime minister last year, does still support him. i do believe that boris is the right man for the job and i couldn't, i can't look at the present moment in time and think who's going to replace him. he does though question what's to come. i'm very concerned. there is not the focus

on the economic issues. we are getting into so much debt as a nation, who is going to pay for it? a few hours north is bishop auckland. on our last visit in february, people spoke of a high street struggling. there has been government investment since, but as everywhere, retail and hospitality has been hit hard by the virus. local pub owner cheryl welcomes government support. she hasn't lost heart, despite worrying about her time's future. it needed a boost. and that promise was there. and now, you know, we're seeing a lot more businesses closing down, never mind before this, but we are seeing a lot more businesses close down. it's heartbreaking, it really is. do you still hope the government will do something to help places like yours? we're very hopeful. lam! being in the industry i'm in, i'm very hopeful. when these communities voted conservative last year, few could have guessed what was to come. now the government is grappling with something huge and unexpected, with very real consequences, so people here are watching closely. alex forsyth, bbc news. interest in getting the thoughts of people a year on the. david jason is coming on the programme later on and iam coming on the programme later on and i am excited. i bet we don't get to

see that he has a great crew plant that he has had since the 19705 —— grapefruit plant and he choked on a pip and decided to plant it in the 705 and he still has the plant and he has to drag it in and out in the winter to protect it but it is still going and he's really proud of it. he's talking about his new book which follows his life right from the start, and the detail is fascinating, the career he had before he started acting and we will hear more from david ja5on coming up later in the programme, and i think it's fair to say he is a national treasure. we say those things carefully the5e treasure. we say those things carefully these days, but i think so. carefully these days, but i think 5o. absolutely. time now to get the news, travel and weather where you are. good morning, welcome to bbc london. i'm katherine carpenter. additional police officers are being deployed in london boroughs where covid—19 infection

rates are highest. dedicated patrols will clamp down on what the met describes a5"reckle55 breaches of the regulations" amid warnings that halloween celebrations will have to be adapted. this week hammer5mith and fulham and hackney have seen more police presence based on data from public health england. the pandemic i5 the pandemic is affecting the royal british legion's london poppy day. it is going ahead today but on a smaller scale. this year you will be able to pay for your puppy by co nta ctless. able to pay for your puppy by contactle55. if able to pay for your puppy by co nta ctless. if you able to pay for your puppy by contactle55. if you are working from home you can download a copy to di5play home you can download a copy to display in your window. the husband of the jailed british iranian woman nazanin zaghari—ratcliffe say5 of the jailed british iranian woman nazanin zaghari—ratcliffe says she has been summoned to court next week to face fresh charges. the 42—year—old is under house arrest in tehran, where she was sent to prison almost five years ago for alleged 5pying. she has repeatedly denied any wrongdoing. a surrey council has defended its investments in commercial property following an enquiry into its £1 billion portfolio. spelthorne borough

council, whose annual budget is £20 million, own5 office blocks at a time when commercial rent5 have been hit by the pandemic. former leader ian harvey say5 hit by the pandemic. former leader ian harvey says the deal enabled him to improve local services.|j ian harvey says the deal enabled him to improve local services. i think it was absolutely the right thing to do. large companies are now saying they will not be going back into their central london or canary wharf very expensive office blocks, but they still need places to meet. now let's look at the travel situation. a good service on the tube5 situation. a good service on the tubes at the moment. now the weather with elizabeth bertini. good morning. it is a dry

early start to the morning. plenty of cloud around and it is quite mild. temperatures in height 5ingle figures. quite soon we will see some outbreaks of rain pu5hed figures. quite soon we will see some outbreaks of rain pushed in from the west. some of it will be rather heavy. it is moving ea5t through the morning and clearing into the afternoon. a much drier afternoon to, but always plenty of cloud. some rather 5trong gusty wind5 a5 to, but always plenty of cloud. some rather 5trong gusty wind5 as well. another blu5tery day. highs of 14 to 15 degrees. 0vernight tonight, a few dribs and drabs of rain are generally 5taying dry and mild. not chilly at all. we are drawing in some milder air behind the weather front. staying cloudy. 0vernight lows of 12 or 13 degrees. tomorrow, another cloudy and windy day. it should stay mostly dry until we get into the afternoon. it will be very mild with highs of 17 or 18 celsius on friday. if you have got plans outdoors for the weekend. it would be very windy indeed. more rain at times. i'm back with

the latest in half an hour. until then, plenty on our website. bye— bye. hello, this is breakfast with charlie stayt and naga munchetty. good morning. we'll bring you all the latest news and sport in a moment. but also on breakfast this morning... for my ho5pital, for my hospital, who saved my life. already an inspiration and now an award winner. we'll be catching up with six—year—old tony, as he's recognised for his amazing fundraising effort. david jason has had us laughing for more than 50 years — he'll be joining us after eight o'clock, to give us an insight into all the lovely jubbly stuff he's learnt along the way. and he's the out5poken boxing promoter who's put on some of the biggest fight nights in history — eddie hearn tells us the secret behind his success.

good morning. here's a summary of today's main stories from bbc news. nearly 100—thousand people are catching coronavirus every day in england, according to a major 5tudy. experts at imperial college london — who are behind the analysis — say the second wave of the pandemic has reached a "critical stage" with infections doubling every nine days. they warn something will need to change soon to bring the virus under control. france will enter a second national lockdown tomorrow, lasting until at least the end of november. under the new measures non—essential businesses, such as restaurants and bars, will close, but school5 and factories will remain open. president emmanuel macron 5aid none of the coronavirus measures taken so far had worked. german chancellor angela merkel 5aid the country will enter a four—week lockdown from next week. the emergency restrictions are less severe than in france, but includes the closure of restaurants, gyms and theatres. mrs merkel said she believed the measures could slow down infections and ensure ho5pital5 can

continue to cope. the welsh exams regulator says that next year's gcse5 and as levels should be scrapped, to reduce any future disruption from coronavirus. qualifications wales is advising the government that grades should be based on course—work and assessments. it recommends that a—level exams go ahead as planned, but with just one exam per subject. ministers will make a final decision next month. the artist tracey emin has revealed she was diagnosed with cancer earlier this year. the 57—year—old had surgery on a bladder tumour two months ago and is now in remission. in an interview with the website, artnet, she said she had been working on a painting of a malignant lump when her tumour was discovered. us president donald trump and his democratic rivaljoe biden have been visiting battleground states ahead of next week's election. there was a familiar face on stage

in arizona, a5 brexit party leader nigel farage appeared at a rally in support of the president, whilejoe biden made a surprise appearance at an event hosted by oprah winfrey, after casting his ballot in his home state of delaware. 25 minutes to seven. it's time now for our regular appointment with a breakfast gp. dr rosemary leonard joins us now. good morning, rosemary. good morning. how are you? i'm fine, yes! up morning. how are you? i'm fine, yes! up brightand morning. how are you? i'm fine, yes! up bright and early. you are going to help us with your expert eye on some of the news people have been reading this morning about this new 5tudy. reading this morning about this new study. this is the imperial college london. they have looked at the rising r number and the number of people infected. what are you seeing? actually, in london we are not seeing the ri5e5 that are being seenin not seeing the ri5e5 that are being seen in the north of england. there i5a seen in the north of england. there

is a sort of north south divide. the largest ri5e is a sort of north south divide. the largest rise in the number of cases i5 largest rise in the number of cases is in the north of england, which is why those counties and areas have been put into tighter measures. but even here in london it is steadily going up. what we are seeing is everywhere it is going up comedy cases are going up in all age groups, but the biggest ri5e5 actually in young people. teenagers and young people. and thankfully, they are not generally too ill with they are not generally too ill with the virus, but we need to be very, very careful, because of course tho5e very careful, because of course those young people can affect the older people who are much more vulnerable. when people hear that for example the virus is doubling every nine days, so this was a period between the 16th and the 25th of october, can you put that into some context? yes, it means the r number, which we have heard about, i5 number, which we have heard about, is the number of people, one person with a virus, how many are they infecting? that r number is now 1.6.

it needs to be under one. u nfortu nately, we it needs to be under one. unfortunately, we are well and truly know into the second wave of the pandemic. can i ask you what you are witne55ing in your regular work? what are you hearing from colleagues about how it is manifesting in the community? well, there is an interesting report out today about covid toes. more and more information is coming out about how this virus can affect people. la5t week we heard about long covid. we know the virus can cause skin rashes in people when they are actually ill. we have seen people with hives, itchy skin, big red blotches. today there is a report where you can get inflamed toes, like chilblains. details go red and swollen and may go purple. in most people this only last5 go purple. in most people this only lasts a few weeks but in some it can linger on. with all the time more

information is coming out. if you have had the virus and you think, what is wrong with my toes? it is a manifestation of the illness. you mention younger people, in amongst the worries about health, also worries about the economy and the effect on young people, is a real concern, isn't it, about how they are mentally a5 concern, isn't it, about how they are mentally as well as physically? ye5, are mentally as well as physically? yes, and infact, in my are mentally as well as physically? yes, and in fact, in my surgery now we are seeing a real increa5e yes, and in fact, in my surgery now we are seeing a real increase in the number of younger people who are anxious, worried, some have already been made unemployed. and i've seen people who are working actually incredibly long hours, longer than i5 incredibly long hours, longer than is good for their health, because they are so scared about theirjob, they are so scared about theirjob, they don't want to be made redundant, there are very worried. the mental health effects are really hitting hard. we know that it's hitting hard. we know that it's hitting young people, people who have only just started hitting young people, people who have onlyju5t started out in employment, it is hitting them particularly hard. they want to get

their careers on the way, and they are being made unemployed orfeeling threatened they may lose theirjob. rosemary, any conversation anybody i5 rosemary, any conversation anybody is having a bad coronavirus at the moment, at some point summary will 5ay, moment, at some point summary will say, it will be ok when we get a vaccine. somebody else will say, maybe it well, maybe it won't. just in terms of the progress of the vaccine, where are we now? so, there has been another letter out in the la ncet has been another letter out in the lancet by the head of the vaccine programme saying they are accelerating, they are going at breakneck speed to try to develop a vaccine. but when you are going this fa5t, vaccine. but when you are going this fast, you have got to make sure it i5 fast, you have got to make sure it is safe, but also you can't be sure how much it is going to work. it was a negative stark warning saying that ye5, a negative stark warning saying that yes, the vaccine is coming along, but it may not be as effective as dot or grade may not be ideal, it may not give you long—term immunity, but it these days anything is better

than nothing. and certainly all gps, all the commissioning group to organi5e all the commissioning group to organise the gps, getting plans in place for giving the vaccine a5 organise the gps, getting plans in place for giving the vaccine as soon as we have it. what is happening on the grant is we are trying to get the grant is we are trying to get the flu vaccine is given because it's a basic thing to do with fridge space. it's a basic thing to do with fridge 5pace. we've got to free up fridge space. we've got to free up fridge space for when hopefully soon we can start hopefully giving the covid vaccine. we need somewhere to put it. practically we are trying to get the flu vaccine is given, which are currently occupying the fridges, to free the space. one last thought, if you would. looking at what we now know has been decided in france and in germany, those announcements came in yesterday afternoon into the evening about national lockdowns, people will know that often the pattern is what happens there, we're lagging behind in terms of how the virus itself is progressing, but

also to a degree how governments have reacted. what do you make of what is happening there? clearly the virus is spreading everywhere in europe. but i think the way the government are tackling it here, which is looking at different regions, is a very sensible approach. but i really think the priority should be on keeping schools open and making sure children have had their education, which seems to be happening in europe as well. we really, really need to try to protect young people's futures as much as possible. dr rosemary, always good to catch up with you. thank you very much. good morning to you. we talk about marcus rashford off the pitch a lot. a real lot. holly, good morning. good morning. we have almost forgotten he isa morning. we have almost forgotten he is a footballer too! it is true. we have seen so much of this man on the

front pages. he is back on the back pages this morning. this morning we are talking about his exploits on the pitch. yes, he came off the bench to score a hat—trick in the space ofjust 16 minutes, as manchester united beat rb leipzig 5—0. all in all a brilliant night for both english clubs, with chelsea beating russian side krasnador 4—0 in their champions league tie. but it's man of the moment rashford that everyone's talking about, as andy swiss reports. the perfect performance... from the front pages to the back pages, you can't keep marcus rashford out of the headlines. his manchester united team were soon ahead against leipzig, a first champions league goal for mason greenwood, stilljust 19, but with composure beyond his years. but after the break, off the bench enter rashford with stunning results. his first was initially ruled out for offside, but replays showed he was on. cue the celebration.

barely a minute later, guess what? a second for rashford and united were out of sight. after an anthony martial penalty, rashford duly completed a remarkable hat—trick. this an unforgettable night for him and a 5—0 win for united. more than 10,000 home fans cheering on krasnodar against chelsea. and although the visitors in pink won an early penalty, jorginho spluttered from the spot. it was an early let—off which the krasnodar keeper clearly enjoyed. but fair to say he didn't enjoy this. callum hudson—0doi putting chelsea ahead. through the goalkeeper and in! to the delight of at least one fan, but to the dismay of safonov, not his finest moment. after the break chelsea cruised clear, a penalty from timo werner before ziyech put the result beyond doubt. it was all too easy in the end, christian pulisic rounding off a 4—0 win.

it might have been a long trip, but it was certainly worth it. now, due to rules within rugby union, england players won't be allowed to feature in the british and irish lions warm up game againstjapan next summer — it's because their clubs won't release them outside the engish premiership's officialy international window. lions boss warren gatland has been speaking of his frustration around this, and says it could see some england players missing out on a place in the squad. i promise you that we will be taking the best players available, the best possible squad. but the only downside on that is if you end up in the situation where you don't have english players available to you for a couple of weeks, and you end up with a 50—50 call, when one player is available to you for two weeks of preparation, another one isn't. that may be the difference between someone getting selected and someone not being selected. a very different problem in rugby league, meanwhile, with selection for the super league

season proving more and more difficult due to rising cases of coronavirus. castleford tigers say they'e had 12 positive cases, so their match at huddersfield is off tomorrow. four leeds rhinos players have been stood down from their next match after they played castleford on monday night, and were contacted by track and trace. catalan dragons match against warrington had already been called off this week. and friday's game between salford and warrington is also off. salford have had to forfeit it because they haven't got enough fit players following a hectic run of matches, including the challenge cup final. when you see the players suffering like they are doing at the moment, and anyone who has played the game knows what it feels like to get out of bed in the morning after a super league game, it's not a pleasant experience. but listen, rugby league people, along with the executive governing body, the rfl, will get together and work out how it can get it

towards the back end of this season, i'm sure, with the grand final coming. it's really a worrying time, for all sport, particularly rugby league. a concern they will be able to finish the season. if dr rosemary is still listening, if she has got any advice for the rugby league players, i'm sure they would welcome it. she a lwa ys sure they would welcome it. she always has good advice. holly, thank you. time for the weather. carol has the details. looking lovely. thank you. good morning. look at this rain. some of us today will see some torrential downpours. rain moving from the west to east, accompanied by gusty winds. you will notice it is going to be milder than it was yesterday. that trend will continue in the next few days. we got all this cloud romping in from the atlantic. an area of low pressure and it is —— it has got some weather fronts. those pressure and it is —— it has got some weatherfronts. those isobars tell you it is going to be windy.

the strongest winds will be in the west, particularly gusty in north—west wales, especially at height, and we have all this rain already piling on across northern ireland, south—west england, wales, getting into north—west england and south—west scotland. the met office has a yellow wall —— weather warning out for this. the risk of flooding for some. we will see some... a cold but bright start ahead of the rain. the rain marching in. cloud building ahead of it. behind it we are looking at a fair bit of clout. there will be some brighter breaks. but if you focus on a bit more cloud than sometime today, we will see some patchy rain and some drizzle coming out of that loud. we still have the rain. still heavy where you see the greens and yellows. across north—west england, western scotland and northern ireland. don't forget the gusty winds. sunshine hanging on the gusty winds. sunshine hanging on the longest across parts of the

northern isles but the cloud continuing to build. temperatures today ranging from ten in the north today ranging from ten in the north to 15 in the south. through this evening and overnight we lose the first band of rain but we have the second one following behind it. there will be some clear skies but a fair bit of cloud. some showers as well. temperatures as well, look at these temperatures, more reminiscent of daytime temperatures. it is going to bea of daytime temperatures. it is going to be a mild night. tomorrow, we have got various front two. this one will eventually fade across northern scotland. this one is sinking southwards across southern england. we start off on a wet and a showery node across scotland. it brightens up node across scotland. it brightens up as it will do across northern england, northern ireland and parts of wales. the weather front continuing to sink south, taking its cloud and rain weather. temperatures tomorrow, 18 degrees in parts of the south—east. milder in the north, but through the day temperatures will start come down. that is friday, as

we get into saturday we are looking ata we get into saturday we are looking at a weather front moving backwards. it is going to be quite a wet day. an unsettled date during the course of saturday. we will see some heavy rain. it would be very windy. windy wherever you are. but strong winds, even wherever you are. but strong winds, eve n severe wherever you are. but strong winds, even severe gales across parts of the north west. with a combination of all that rain we are seeing in the next couple of days, and also the next couple of days, and also the wind, there is a chance we could see some disruption, especially to transportation and especially so in the north west. carol, thanks so much. i was looking at the back of charlie's head before looking at you. i'm sorry. it could be worse, couldn't it, carol? absolutely. i don't mind being compared to you. you would never get anyone's name wrong, would you, carol? never, neither!

with just days to go to the us election, president donald trump has been doing his best to win over suburban women, whose support could prove to be crucial come election day. his appeals have ranged from openly begging for their support, to promising to get their husbands back to work. so is it working? sophie long reports. somebody said, "i don't know if the suburban woman likes you." i said, why?" "why? why?!" echoed women's voices across the key battle ground state of wisconsin. here's why. because he's pretty much done everything he can to destroy our rights. he has no clue about what it's like to shop, to pay medical bills, to do anything — to work. he is disrespectful towards women. disrespectful towards underrepresented minorities. and i hope he has a lot of problems this election. i don't think he has any clue what goes on in the real world. ithink... ..i think he's a jackass, and the sooner the better we will all be.

president trump has his very own style. it was one that many educated women in the suburbs embraced. some feel they got what they paid for it, others have a creeping sense of buyer's remorse. and in an election year that has been plagued by protests and a pandemic, that has only increased in intensity. they can't get a refund, of course, but now is their chance to exchange. and in swing states like wisconsin, that is a worrying prospect for the president. but chaos and violence erupted on the streets of wisconsin this summer. the small city of kenosha still bears the scars. and women like kimberly warner, whose shop was targeted, believe the president's decisive action has earned him four years. when the governor said yes, we're going to let the president bring in the federal troops, it was seconds and everything had switched. and so we felt safe again, you know. and when the president came that was his message, he wanted us to feel safe. he wanted us to know that we were not alone and he was not

going to allow this to happen to our small town. the president still has great support here. but some who have previously voted republican say they can't bring themselves to do it now, and they are trying to persuade others to vote democrat just this once. you don't ever have to vote for a democrat again. you can vote forjoe biden as a protest vote against donald trump, and then go back and again if that's what you want to do, but this is too important. go biden—harris! yay! women campaigning against the president believe his support here is falling like the autumn leaves. he won wisconsin by a single percentage point. every vote will count. sophie long, bbc news, wisconsin. eight minutes to seven. a record number of redundancy notices were issued in september, a month that also saw tougher restrictions for businesses and a winding down of the government's

job support scheme. vishala is taking a look. we knew it was coming. there has been much talk. such a difficult time for a lot of people? yeah, it probably hasn't, is a huge surprise. but businesses will have to lay off some people to survive. sadly, that means big changes to people '5 lives. morning, everyone. if businesses are planning to make more than 20 people redundant, they have to notify the government. over the period of the pandemic, that number has been rising steadily. but what we saw in september was a big spike. in fact, around 1,700 employers told the government they were planning to make cuts — that number close to the record seen earlier in the year. we spoke to sarah, who worked for a small asbestos removal company. she was devastated when she heard that herjob was being cut. u nfortu nately, unfortunately, i hadn't been there just two years, so my actual redundancy package isn't great. the job market is pretty dire. i've been looking mainly at office administration, which is where i

come from. but there is very, very little out there. what is out there, it's... so little out there. what is out there, it's. .. so many little out there. what is out there, it's... so many applicants for it. my it's... so many applicants for it. my ages against me. i am more mature. i even ended up applying for a careerjobs, post office parcels. sadly, there were many more cases like sarah's. in fact, in september, we saw some big companies announcing planned redundancies. nearly 900 to go from lloyds banking group and 1,000 at virgin atlantic. plus, 4,500 at hotel chain premier inn and another 1,500 from the group's restaurant businesses. why so many? one of the reasons might be that tougher new restrictions came into force during the month. pubs, bars and restaurants were restricted to table service only with venues having to close at ten o'clock. also in september, the furlough scheme had started winding down. the government was only paying 70% of furloughed workers wages during the month.

now that wage help is ending this month. it's being replaced, but with a less generous pacakge, so employers are having to pick up more of the tab. so, some huge changes there. and later on, we are going to be hearing from a man who has moved from birmingham to the isle of wight because that is where he could find a job. you need to work, you need to work, don't you, if you can find it? time now to get the news, travel and weather where you are. good morning from bbc london, i'm katharine carpenter. additional police officers are being deployed in london boroughs where covid 19 infection rates are highest. dedicated patrols will clamp down on what the met describes as "reckless breaches of the regulations" amid warnings that halloween celebrations will have to be adapted. this week hammersmith and fulham and hackney have seen more police presence based on data from public health england.

the pandemic‘s affecting the royal british legion's london poppy day too. it is going ahead today but on a smaller scale. this year you'll be able to pay for your poppy by contactless — and if you're working from home you can instead download a poppy to display in your window. the husband of the jailed british—iranian woman, nazanin zaghari—ratcliffe, says she's been summoned to court next week to face fresh charges. the 42—year—old is currently under house arrest in tehran, where she was sent to prison almost five years ago for alleged spying. she's repeatedly denied any wrongdoing. a surrey council has defended using government loans to build up a one billion pound property portfolio following an inquiry into its spending. spelthorne borough council used government loans to buy up office blocks, a house of commons public accounts committee published a report into council spending in july and found sbc's borrowing had been "excessive". whose annual budget is £20 million — owns office blocks at a time when commercial rents have been hit by the pandemic. but former leader ian harvey — who approved the deals —

says that it enabled him to improve local services. i think it was absolutely the right thing to do. large companies are now saying they are not going to be going back into their central london or canary wharf, expensive office blocks, but they still need places to meet. let's take a look at the travel now. still a good service on the tubes, but out on the road. northbound traffic on the blackwall tunnel southern approach is building from blackwall lane. in enfield, church st is closed in the one way system following a collision. in waddon the traffic lights are out on the a23 purley way at the junction with queensway following an accident earlier, with some delays between croydon and purley. now the weather with elizabeth rizzini. good morning. it is a dry early start to the morning. plenty of cloud around and it is quite mild. temperatures in high single figures. quite soon we will see some outbreaks of rain push in from the west. some of it will be rather heavy. it is moving east through

the morning and clearing into the afternoon. a much drier afternoon too, but always plenty of cloud. some rather strong gusty winds as well. another blustery day. highs of 14 to 15 degrees. 0vernight tonight, a few dribs and drabs of rain are generally staying dry and mild. not chilly at all. we are drawing in some milder air behind the weather front. staying cloudy. 0vernight lows of 12 or 13 degrees. tomorrow, another cloudy and windy day. it should stay mostly dry until we get into the afternoon. it will be very mild with highs of 17 or 18 celsius on friday. if you have got plans outdoors for the weekend. it would be very windy indeed. more rain at times. i'm back with the latest in half an hour. until then, plenty on our website. bye— bye.

good morning and welcome to breakfast with naga munchetty and charlie stayt. 0ur headlines: almost 100,000 people are catching coronavirus every day — the stark finding from senior scientists as they warn the pandemic is at a critical stage. france will enter a second national lockdown tomorrow. to last to the end of november at least. tough new covid restrictions for people in nottinghamshire, including a ban on alchohol after nine at night. the man of the moment is back in the spotlight — this time for his exploits on the pitch — as marcus rashford's hat trick fires manchester united to a comfortable victory over rb leipzig in the champions league. six—year—old tony inspired many with his sponsored walks on prosthetic legs and crutches. now he's been given a pride of britain award. we'll get his reaction. good morning. today we have a band of heavy rain moving from the west

to the north—east accompanied by gusty winds, the strongest of which will be in western areas and it will feel milder than yesterday. i have the details in ten minutes. it's thursday 29th october. our top story. the second wave of coronavirus is at a "critical stage", according to experts — after a major study found that nearly 100,000 people in england are becoming infected every day. scientists at imperial college london are warning that action taken so far to contain the virus isn't enough. 0ur science correspondent pallab ghosh has this report. the study tested a random sample of 85,000 people across england, whether they showed symptoms or not, to get a true picture of the spread of covid. please place it in the box. its blunt assessment is that the recent government measures introduced to curb the spread of the virus has not stopped the number of cases in england from accelerating, at least not yet. on average, infections are now

doubling every nine days. prevalence is still highest in yorkshire and the humber, where one in 40 people are estimated to be affected. on average though, just over one in 100 people are thought to be infected in england, where the r number is 1.6. but infections are increasing rapidly in the rest of the country. the highest r number is in london, 2.86. the south—east and the east of england is also above two. even though people are taking lots of measures, and there's an awful lot of thought and an awful lot of kind of intervention policy in place, we have seen a consistent pattern of the number of infections going up, and that's generating hospitalisations and deaths. then the patterns we are seeing in most recent days suggests those rates of hospitalisations and deaths, unfortunately, are likely to increase.

researchers say there has to be a change in measures or people's behaviour sooner rather than later, if further hospitalisations and deaths from covid—19 are to be avoided. pallab ghosh, bbc news. we're joined now by our political correspondent jonathan blake. interesting looking at these new figures from the study compared to the figures we had, the number of cases and how the government is going to respond. yes, it is hard to read the findings from this report are not conclude that something, as the report itself suggests, has to change. the question is what for now. the government is sticking to its regional approach with a tiered alert level system and the tightest restrictions in place locally in the areas where the cases of the virus areas where the cases of the virus are highest, and at the very least we will now see more areas of

england in the coming days and weeks entering tier 3, the highest of those areas, where people are banned from mixing households indoors and in most outdoor settings as well. beyond that, if we look to the nearest neighbours in europe we can see france and germany imposing national lock downs and the republic of ireland has had one in place for some days now and the question is, will ministers decide that that is the only cause of action available to them now in the light of the findings from that study here in england. at all stages, the prime minister has said it is his overwhelming preference to avoid a national lockdown at all costs, but that it remains on the table and nothing is ruled out. labour this morning are saying about ministers now need to demonstrate or explain whether they believe their current approach is adequate and the numbers from this latest study showing near

enough 100,000 cases per day in england and that will only increase pressure on the government to do that. jonathan, thank you very much. french president emmanuel macron has announced a second national lockdown — lasting until at least the end of november. mr macron said that under the new measures, starting tomorow, people would only be allowed to leave home for essential work or medical reasons. 0ur correspondent hugh schofield is in paris for us now. looking at what emmanuel macron said last night, he said france must now brutally apply the brakes. what will that look like? well, it will look a bit like, a lot like what it looked like in march and april and everybody here has a grim sense of deja vu. we are going to go back from tonight to a situation where to leave our homes we need to bring a piece of paper to show the police who will be out on the street to stop as potentially, and as long as we have the piece of paper saying we

are out for a good reason, we will be fine, and if not, we will be made to pay a fine, so it is an unhappy day in paris and everyone is resigned to this, but feeling very depressed about the prospect of at least another month now of lockdown. it's a lockdown, almost in irish style lockdown, following on from what the irish did in the last week. it's not a complete lockdown, as we saw in march and april, but the big difference is that schools will be open and that will make a big difference and mean a lot of people will stay in paris so their children can go to school instead of going to their country homes to get out of their country homes to get out of the city and it will also mean that the city and it will also mean that the children are better looked after and have a proper education and that the economy is freed up a bit more because people are working. that is the big difference, but other than that, you need a piece of paper when you leave and on the high street we will see anything but essential shops shot, so another huge hit for

bars, restaurants who will have to shut completely as well as for nonessential shops such as the wine shops and stationers and hairdressers and so on. these companies, these individuals, have taken a huge hit through the coronavirus and are about to take another. essentially, to sum it up, are depressed france that embarks on are depressed france that embarks on a month of lockdown and if britain, as it tends to, follow the way of france, it's a country worth looking at now. on the theme of the economy. every country, in the uk they will look at what happens in france and they are trying to balance out the needs of trying to fight the virus alongside trying to keep the economy going stop did president macron say about what will happen to the economy and how people will be helped? they will be helped, because they have always been helped and the helpful continue and be extended.

the original help given out in the first lockdown to workers who were laid off because they had to be laid off, in other words not what we call a furlough, but it is over here and that has been going on throughout with bars and restaurants only being semi—open ever since and that will continue and for other businesses like the entertainment industry and hotels, bat system will persist and be extended until the end of the year at least now and on top of that there is a 10,000 euros hand—out being made available to those people i was mentioning before, the small, independent traders with shops on the high street that will have to shut again. they are the people who really suffered through this and will suffer more, and on top of that, there is the mega package of money being splurged at the economy and all sorts of other ways to keep things like the aeronautical industry afloat and so on. that is still there and costing a bomb, of course, and the tab will have to be

picked up later. few, thank you very much. german chancellor angela merkel said the country will enter a four—week lockdown from next week. the emergency restrictions are less severe than in france, but includes the closure of restaurants, gyms and theatres. mrs merkel said she believed the measures could slow down infections and ensure hospitals can continue to cope. two british teenagers have died, and another has been injured — after a parasailing accident while on holiday in greece. they were being towed by a boat when the rope holding their parachute snapped. the 13—year—old boy and 15—year—old girl died while another boy is in a "serious condition" in hospital. two people have been arrested. the welsh exams regulator says that next year's gcse5 and as levels should be scrapped, to reduce any future disruption from coronavirus. ‘qualifications wales' is advising the government that grades should be based on course—work and assessments. it recommends that a—level exams go ahead as planned— but with just one exam per subject. ministers will make a final

decision next month. the relatives of a kurdish—iranian family who died when their migrant boat sank in the english channel on tuesday say they're desperate for news about the youngest child. the bodies of rasoul iran—nejad and shiva mohammad panahi and two of their children, have been found, but their 15—month—old boy remains missing. 0ur correspondent nick beake is in dunkirk in northern france. such a tragic story. what more have you learned about the family? i believe you have spoken to some of their friends believe you have spoken to some of theirfriends and believe you have spoken to some of their friends and extended family as well? good morning, charlie, we did, and this was at a migrant crack —— campa and this was at a migrant crack —— camp a short distance from here where there are hundreds of thousands of kurdish iranians, just like the family who travelled to france and then desperately hoped to get to the uk. we learnt about their names and we saw photos of them and as you say, the dad and mum, and

shiva had sent a text message saying i know it is dangerous but we have no choice. she was clearly worried about the journey, but tragically, they died and so did their daughter, anita, who was nine, their son, who was six and also a photograph of their 15—month—old boy, and you can maybe see his photo on news websites today and looking out from your newspaper and we spoke to a family friend who described him as a lovely little boy with a smile that lit up the camp and whenever people saw him, he raised their spirits. what really struck me was that despite all of this, despite seeing what had happened, so many people told us that they were still prepared to risk everything to try and take this perilous journey to the united kingdom on a boat. now why is that? it's because they say that they are desperate. they have come so far and britain is literally within site and they say they have left their lives behind and they are willing to take

the final step. as we have seen, it can end in the most horrific manner but that is not putting people off, even though the weather is awful now and we think that people potentially in the coming days may still try and cross to the uk. the nick, thank you very much. a report into the labour party's handling of accusations of anti—semitism in the party is being published this morning. leader sir keir starmer, has said tackling the issue and rebuilding trust with thejewish community is a top priority for him. the equality and human rights commission has been looking at labour's disciplinary processes and response to complaints since may last year. here's carol with a look at this morning's weather. carol, good morning. now the nights are drawing in it feels as though the weather is really chopping and changing, really quickly. 0ne the weather is really chopping and changing, really quickly. one day, fabulous, i can play golf in the next day i am stuck at home being

miserable. you are right, and this weekend it looks unsettled and today it is as well but another thing you will notice if you're out and about is that it notice if you're out and about is thatitis notice if you're out and about is that it is also going to be mild, mild today and unseasonably so tomorrow and even into the weekend it remains mild for some of us, but as mentioned, wet and windy and changing day by day and many of us for a lot of dry weather but some showers. low pressure is driving the weather again, bringing showers. low pressure is driving the weatheragain, bringing in showers. low pressure is driving the weather again, bringing in weather fronts and one look at the isobars tells you it is also going to be windy. it is already for some of us, and the wind is strongest of the west, particularly north west wales and the rain advancing north—east. the cloud is building ahead of it so after a sunny start in parts of north—east scotland we will see the cloud build and later the rain arrives, and behind it we see a return to a lot of cloud and patchy rain and drizzle and limited brightness. these black circles indicate the strength of the wind and you can see in the west and also

through the english channel that it is still pretty windy with a temperature range of ten to 15 degrees. to the evening and overnight the band of rain pushes into the north sea and we have the second one coming in behind it, still blustery winds and some clear skies but it's going to be a very mild night. these night—time temperatures are more representative of what we would expect during the day at this time of year rather than during the night. a lot more detail on the weather and a look ahead in half an hour. thank you very much. a pleasure. i don't know what it is, because you are in my eye line. she is laughing. it is early in the morning. iam is laughing. it is early in the morning. i am so sorry. it is charlie's head that keeps getting in the way and i can't distinguish. i'm sorry. we are very similar though. we look very alike. carol, we will be back with you a little bit later and all of the business is coming up

and all of the business is coming up a little later. two hours to get it right. the whole of nottinghamshire will become the latest area in england to be put under the highest tier of coronavirus restrictions from tomorrow. the countyjoins large parts of northern england and the midlands in tier 3. so let's take a look at the current situation across the uk. in wales, the whole country is currently in a national lockdown, similar to the uk—wide restrictions in place earlier in the year. people living in the whole of northern ireland and the central belt of scotland are also experiencing tight controls — including limits on travel and household mixing. and in england there is a three—tier system. more than 8 million people in the north west, the midlands and south yorkshire are already living under the toughest restrictions — and now the whole of nottinghamshire willjoin from friday. let's speak to our reporter dan johnson, who is rushcliffe this morning. it looks like a bit of a gloomy day

andi it looks like a bit of a gloomy day and i wonder what the mood is like in general there. yes, and i wonder what the mood is like in generalthere. yes, people here area in generalthere. yes, people here are a little bit confused about exactly what is happening because restrictions were supposed to come in in nottingham city centre and in rushcliffe and some of the other boroughs today and that was delayed by 24 hours with the announcement coming yesterday so the restrictions could be applied to the whole county of nottinghamshire. what will the measures mean and how have they been received? i measures mean and how have they been received ? i went measures mean and how have they been received? i went to the pub in north nottinghamshire in worksop. they thought they had avoided tougher measures here, but a change of mind now means a change of rules and at the queens head, they will have to close. the right move, says the man in charge. i am happier that we are in tier3than in charge. i am happier that we are in tier 3 than tier 2. the reasons for that is in tier 2, same household, same bubble, and that is ha rd household, same bubble, and that is hard to police. you can't, if two

people are walking in and they say they live together, i cannot challenge it. tier 2 they live together, i cannot challenge it. tier2 restrictions we re challenge it. tier2 restrictions were delayed for 24 hours but will include the entire county after concern about rising case numbers amongst older people and pressure on hospitals. i thinkjust lock it all down. everything. and i don't think it will be ok until next year. down. everything. and i don't think it will be ok until next yearlj think tier 3 is the right move because everyone is in the pub, and i know there is the groups of six, but when you are in the pub and everybody has had a drink, nobody sticks to it. a lot of people are not ina sticks to it. a lot of people are not in a group of six and they will start with a group of six but in the end you're in a group of 26. you are all mingling and doing what you are doing. the best thing is to lock everything down and that is what should have happened months ago, to be honest. we should have stayed in lockdown for a bit longer. in my eyes it is devastating. it's happening all up eyes it is devastating. it's happening allup and eyes it is devastating. it's happening all up and down the country. you thought the government would look after places like this.

in all honesty it's places like this that make a community and make the economy. nottinghamshire stands alone so far in banning alcohol sales after 9pm in shops, but here, there is still a sense of unfairness about which businesses are hit. what's the difference of coming into a pub and having a pointand going into a a pub and having a pointand going intoa pub a pub and having a pointand going into a pub and having a meal and a pint? there is no logic to it. i do understand why they are doing it but at the same time, you know, it's upsetting. it isn't just at the same time, you know, it's upsetting. it isn'tjust pubs shouting. nottinghamshire has its own closure list, branded tier 3 plus by some —— pubs shouting. nottingham itself saw the highest case numbers in the country and now the whole county will feel the force of the tightest restrictions. let's bring you some of the things that will be closed on the list for nottinghamshire. there is a ban on shared smoking equipment, betting

shops, car boots, orauction shared smoking equipment, betting shops, car boots, or auction houses, indoor entertainment, venues were not skating rinks, saunas and steam rooms and personal care like tattoo pa rlours, rooms and personal care like tattoo parlours, tanning salons are nail bars as well as piercing salons, they will have to close and there is a ban on alcohol being sold by shops after 9pm so a special set of measures applied in nottinghamshire. let's talk to one of the council leaders here, who is from ashfield district council and you only found out about this in the last couple of days that you will be included. what do you think about it? it wasjust yesterday morning. we had an emergency meeting with ministers and they wanted it to happen by midnight la st they wanted it to happen by midnight last night which we said was just bonkers and unworkable. the big thing for us is that the councils have had two weeks to sort out their affairs and we got two hours yesterday morning, so the communication from the government has been a shambles. the case numbers are rising in your area, so surely you were expecting some intervention. actually, no, the

government specifically said that ashfield, mansfield, did not need to be included and stay in beer tier 2 so we we re be included and stay in beer tier 2 so we were preparing residents for that and cases are rising on the government should have included this earlier. i'm the leader of the biggest council in nottinghamshire, 125,000 people, 2000 businesses and those people deserve to have some certainty in the government having given them that. what do you think about this set of measures put together for nottinghamshire, including more things than anywhere in the country? i'm not a medical expert and you have to go with a science but some of it seems a little arbitrary. i've no idea where you can go to the theatre and cinema but you can't get your nails done will have a tatty. to me some of those places are the cleanest and most sanitised we have got. if the government don't have a set of financial packages in, a lot of those businesses will go to the wall. you think the financial support isn't there? you have had money. we will get one and a bit million to give to businesses, not

from the council, for businesses and when the first pandemic it we got 22 million to give to businesses so it's a drop in the ocean and the government talk about levelling up but they need to put the money where their mouth is. thank you, jason and we appreciate your time. nottinghamshire is a county may be united in the toughest set of measures that will now be applied from tomorrow morning but there is certainly no unity amongst local leaders about what people have got to experience in the next few weeks. dan, thank you very much. we will be speaking to robertjenrick, the community secretaries and we will see how the issues with local restrictions will play out. the changes to restrictions in some areas come as it's revealed as many as 100—thousand people are catching coronavirus every day in england. a major study warns we're at a critical stage, with the infection rate doubling every nine days. we're joined now by professor paul elliot from imperial college london — one of the authors of the report. thanks very much for your time. the

numbers we are hearing are quite a contrast to the numbers that we are getting, the official numbers, we getting, the official numbers, we get from the government. what is the difference? our study involves random samples of the population who are invited to take part and if they wa nt to ta ke are invited to take part and if they want to take part, they get sent a swa b want to take part, they get sent a swab kit so they themselves can take a nose or throat swab, and then we test those using the pcr test to look for the virus, so we are looking at the whole population, not just people presenting for testing and something like half of the people we test don't have symptoms on the day of the test or the week before, so we are picking up a much larger proportion of the population, and that is why the numbers are higher. so what are the key messages we should take away? we have been doing this analysis in the hundreds

of thousands since may when we were seeing a fall in infection and we started to see a rise in august and through september, and now we are seeing in the current survey of 85,000 people so far that the rate of increase of virus has actually gone up and as you said in your report we are now seeing a doubling of the virus every nine days. there is also the phrase a critical stage, england at a critical stage. what is the implication of that? what we are seeing are two things. firstly the high levels in the northern parts of the midlands as you reported and that already translating into increased hospital admissions and intensive care admissions and sadly deaths. what we are seeing across the south of england is an increasing rate of the rise of the

virus and the rate of the rise has gone up particularly in the south, so that combination is what we describe as critical. you are also breaking it down into age categories and seeing a difference in the rise of cases amongst those younger, say those 65 and over as well. can you explain that? what we've seen over the past few weeks is that the highest prevalence, now 2.2%, so one in 50 people in the age range of 18 up in 50 people in the age range of 18 up to 24 have the detectable virus if we test them, but we are seeing thatis if we test them, but we are seeing that is spreading out across the age groups, so between the last survey which ended at the beginning of 0ctober which ended at the beginning of october and our current survey which went all the way up to last sunday, went all the way up to last sunday, we are seeing in the 55 to 64 group, there has been a trebling of prevalence and in the group over 65,

a doubling, so these are the most vulnerable groups in terms of their risk that the infection will lead to severe illness, hospital laser and potentially intensive care admissions —— hospitalisation. potentially intensive care admissions -- hospitalisation. in terms of your experience and observations, what can be done to combat the rise? we know that the virus is transmitted through social contact, so what we need to do is ensure that we really pay attention to the social distancing rules, the rules about how many people you can mix with, the phase covers and hand washing. —— the face covers. if each of us makes a little shift in our behaviours, that could have a big effect at population level. so at the moment, we've seen the tiered system be introduced, and tier 3 introduced into a fair number of

regions now. how long until we see the impact of that? because those are the shifts you are talking about, when you see are limiting the number of people able to from different households and in tier 3, for example, different households are only able to meet outside in public places. yes, so it may be a little bit early for some of the very recent little bit early for some of the very recent measures little bit early for some of the very recent measures to feed through into the statistics but if we take, for example, yorkshire, we are seeing a rapid rise in yorkshire and parts of which are in tier 3 and something like one in 40 people in yorkshire test positive for the virus. a little ray of hope in the north—east is that we have seen that the r rate has gone down, so it's possible to turn it down, and that is what we really must do, clearly, because the rates of increase in the levels of prevalence in the numbers of people being infected are now

very high. i suppose it comes down to timing, which is what everybody wa nts to to timing, which is what everybody wants to know, especially in the run—up to christmas. at the moment, if tier 3 remains in place, christmas means if you want to meet up christmas means if you want to meet up with other members of your family, you can only do it outside ina public family, you can only do it outside in a public place and it's basically a picnic for christmas. is that a reality in your mind considering how the numbers are moving?” reality in your mind considering how the numbers are moving? i think we have to do something more now to really try to reduce the high levels we are seeing in parts of the north of the country. so tighter restrictions than tier 3? tier 3 has variable restrictions even within it. whether it is tighter restrictions or just a it. whether it is tighter restrictions orjust a change in behaviour of the population, that is really, whatever it is, we have to getaim to really, whatever it is, we have to get aim to get down that value and

get aim to get down that value and get down the numbers because at the moment the numbers are too high. professor paul elliott, thank you very much for talking to us this morning. time now to get the news, travel and weather where good morning from bbc london, i'm katharine carpenter. additional police officers are being deployed in london boroughs where covid—19 infection rates are highest. dedicated patrols will clamp down on what the met describes as "reckless breaches of the regulations". it comes as a new study by imperial college london shows the pace of the epidemic has accelerated, with the r number — the number of people each infected person passes the virus on to on average — increasing from 1.15 to 1.56. the pandemic‘s affecting the royal

british legion's london poppy day london poppy day too — it is going ahead today, but on a smaller scale. this year you'll be able to pay for your poppy by contactless, and if you're working from home you can instead download a poppy to display in your window. the husband of the jailed british iranian woman, nazanin zaghari—ratcliffe, says she's been summoned to court next week to face fresh charges. the 42—year—old is currently under house arrest in tehran, where she was sent to prison almost five years ago for alleged spying. she's repeatedly denied any wrongdoing. a surrey council has defended using government loans to build up a £1 billion commercial property portfolio. an inquiry into spelthorne borough council's spending said its borrowing had been "excessive". councillors have now voted for more transparency in future. but former leader ian harvey who approved the deals to buy up office blocks says it enabled him to improve local services. . i think it was absolutely the right thing to do. large companies are now saying they will not be going back into their central london or canary wharf very,

very expensive office blocks, but they still need places to meet. now the weather with elizabeth rizzini. good morning. it's a dry early start to the morning. plenty of cloud around and it is quite mild. temperatures in high single figures. quite soon we will see some outbreaks of rain push in from the west. some of it will be rather heavy. it is moving east through the morning and clearing into the afternoon. a much drier afternoon too, but always plenty of cloud. some rather strong gusty winds as well. another blustery day. highs of 14 to 15 degrees.

0vernight tonight, a few dribs and drabs of rain are generally staying dry and mild. not chilly at all. we are drawing in some milder air behind the weather front. staying cloudy. 0vernight lows of 12 or 13 degrees. tomorrow, another cloudy and windy day. it should stay mostly dry until we get into the afternoon. it will be very mild with highs of 17 or 18 celsius on friday. if you have got plans outdoors for the weekend. it will be very windy indeed. more rain at times. we are back with another update in an hour. hello, this is breakfast with charlie stayt and naga munchetty. the time now is 7:31am. "something has to change" — that's the warning from scientists who've found as many as 100,000 people are catching coronavirus each day in england.

experts at imperial college london say the second wave of the epidemic has reached a "critical stage", with infections doubling every nine days. we're joined now by the communities secretary, robertjenrick. good morning to you. this report was embargoed until midnight. so this is new information. have you read it?|j haven't read it yet but i will do. 0bviously haven't read it yet but i will do. obviously it builds on the research and advice that i and other members of the cabinet receive every day. we have always said this was a very serious situation and people needed to ta ke serious situation and people needed to take all the steps they can in their own lives, whether that is what in their hands, wearing a mask, staying apart, following the government advice, if we are going to bear down on the virus. this is another timely reminder, as we see from what's happening in europe as well, that we need to redouble those effo rts well, that we need to redouble those efforts and that is exactly what of the government will be doing. we are taking further action in the places where the virus is particularly

concentrated. you will have seen overnight we have reached agreement with nottingham and nottinghamshire for that part of the country to go into tier 3 and they are to be further restrictions there. and we are in discussion with other parts of the country as well, to try to bear down on the virus, get it under control and ensure we protect people's lives and the nhs. so this report is saying that infections are doubling approximately every nine days. it's saying that 128 people per 10,000 are infected in england. the national r number increasing to 1.6. it is obviously higher in some places than others. now when you do read that and when your experts read that and the government response to it, iam that and the government response to it, i am just curious, you outlined the regional setup, which we know is happening... are there other discussions going on above and

beyond the idea of a regional lockdown, bearing in mind, and we will maybe come onto it in more detail later, bearing in mind what is happening in france and germany? is there a separate tranche of discussions going on in government about what, if not, local? well, we don't have a plan today to do a full national lockdown. we can see that there are arguments in favour of that, in terms of simplicity and clarity. but there are very strong arguments against it as well. it is treating all parts of the country the same, places in the country where actually the virus is relatively controlled, albeit rising, and those parts of the country where it is very concentrated. a full national lockdown would be disruptive to people's lives and livelihoods and broader health and well—being. so the government strategy remains that we will do everything we can to avoid that and so we have to take

this proportionate, regionalised approach as you have seen already in those parts of the country, predominantly the midlands and the north, that have entered into tier 3, and the further places that we are now having similar discussions with as well. i think that remains the right approach, because it is taking action, decisive action, in those parts of the country where it is really needed. and we're trying to do so wherever we can with the consent of the local population by working with local leaders to agree particular measures that will be effective in those places. it may be that in some of those places we need to go beyond the baseline of tier 3 and decide other measures. you see in nottingham, for example, local leaders working with us have chosen that sales of alcohol will be prohibited after 9pm from off—licences and corner shops, so that if people come out of pubs and restau ra nts, that if people come out of pubs and restaurants, regulated environments,

they can't just restaurants, regulated environments, they can'tjust buy alcohol and then drink that on street corners, in parks and in homes, that seems like a sensible decision. it is learnt from what has happened in recent weeks. if there are further steps that local communities want to take in those places, then we will support them to take those difficult decisions and bear down on the virus in places where it is really concentrated today. so they say is, for example, like nottingham, a place you know very well? so for example, they are, the notion of tier 3 plus... we were speaking to the leader of ashfield council a short time ago. he said that his communications with government, i think the phrase he used was bonkers and on workable when it was first proposed, the communication still clearly is an issue. but you are saying in a place like that, locally

they would make those decisions, but you would not as a government impose further restrictions, arbitrarily, on those areas, is that right? what i'm saying is that we want to avoid a national blanket approach. we see that happening in other parts of europe but we want to try to avoid it. that we try to have this regionalised approach. that makes sense to us today. we are working very ha rd to sense to us today. we are working very hard to ensure that we have productive conversations with local leaders. there is a balance because we need to act quickly and the longer that one discusses with local council leaders and direct service of public health and members of parliament, that leads to delay in taking actions that are really now very urgent. in nottinghamshire there was a sort of delay because there was a sort of delay because the number of cases seemed to be significantly lower in north nottinghamshire than they were in the city of nottingham. and its immediate environs. but then over the course of a week or so the data

showed that sadly those cases were starting to move out into the rest of the county, and so we took a decision, with the local area, that it would make sense that the city and the county moved as one. that they'd lead to a short delay but i think it was the right decision because it is a part of the world i represent. it is one where people work and shop and go to hospitals throughout the county, and so it was better to move as one lakh rather than to separated. so those are some of the complexities that we have to deal with another part of the country well. but at the moment we're very clear that we want to make this regionalised approach work. i appreciate the point you have already made. can i ask you about the measures you have taken and what could happen next? it seems to me, and i think imperial college have suggested this as well, something has to change. so if the

measures that have been taken don't work, and i appreciate there is a time like you to see what difference it would make of the evidence we have so far is that whatever we are doing as a society, something is not working because it is growing. so something is not working. now if it is not the system that is at fault, the government's plan, then it is people's behaviour. do you think there is a problem with the way people are behaving? there is a problem with the way people are behaving ?|j there is a problem with the way people are behaving? i think it is not clear whether the measures are working or not. many of these restrictions were put in place just a couple of weeks ago, in some cases with in this week, within recent days. so we will have to wait and see the true effectiveness of the moves to tier 2 and tier 3. but on your broader point, you're right, in large parts of the country people have been in some form of restriction now since march. there

are places, particularly in the midlands and the north, that have beenin midlands and the north, that have been in something akin to what we describe as dear to you, for a very long time. and people are feeling fatigued. they are feeling tired and sometimes frustrated by those restrictions. so i do think that we have two all see the seriousness of the present situation, and we all do need to redouble our efforts to try to abide by the guidelines. sometimes that is just getting the basic public health rules right, like wash your hands, wear your mask and stay apart, socially distancing. if we can do that, and it is your previous contributor said, if we can all make a small but noticeable change in our own daily lives, that will make a difference across the whole of the country. and that is ultimately the way in which we get this under control. and avoid having to ta ke this under control. and avoid having to take further action.|j this under control. and avoid having to take further action. i want to ask you about what is happening in france and germany. people will be watching very closely here. you don't have to be an expert to know that often what has happened,

particularly in france and germany as well, there is often a two—week delay, whether it is the spread of the virus or the reaction of the gulf. that's where the government. when you look at what the french government is doing, and they are at a point where you need a piece of paper to leave home, such that the restrictions they are bringing in there, what do you think when you see that? do you think inevitably, because i think a lot of people will because i think a lot of people will be thinking this morning, inevitably thatis be thinking this morning, inevitably that is where we will be going? well, i don't think anything is inevitable. if we all take action in our own daily lives, that will help to tilt the balance. it will tilt the balance in favour of our current approach, taking action in the prices where the virus is most concentrated and avoiding some of the actions you see happening in continental europe. there are some decisive steps being taken in europe. we have already done them as a country. some of the more contentious at the time. like asking pubs and restaurants and clubs and so on to close at ten o'clock rather

than 11. you're seeing that kind of approach happening more on the continent now as well. these are difficult balanced judgments. 0bviously difficult balanced judgments. obviously we keep them under review. people would expect them —— where expect us to do so. and keep following the scientific advice we have been given. thejudgment we following the scientific advice we have been given. the judgment we are making today is that if we follow the regionalised approach we have got a good prospect of getting this under control. because the alternative, we know, is very destructive and damaging to people's livelihoods. that matters because the scarring effect of unemployment stays with families and individuals for a very long time. and it has also much broader impact on health, mental health and well—being. so it has got to be reviewed as a last resort. if we go for a full national lockdown, it may not be for it a short period of time. france is looking at at least four weeks. that isa looking at at least four weeks. that is a very long period of time and will have a lot of other unintended

consequences. it has to be our last resort. we have to make a success of the regionalised approach. that is what we are doing. i'm in further discussions with other parts of the country, with their local council leaders and others, persuading them, i hope, to take decisive action in the coming days. robert jenrick, thank you for your time this morning. robertjenrick, the communities secretary. just coming up communities secretary. just coming up to communities secretary. just coming uptoa communities secretary. just coming up to a quarter to eight. we need to get sport. goals galore in the champions league, holly? goals galore. this man is back on the back pages today. yes, if anyone was concerned marcus rashford was in any way distracted by his campaign work of late. worry no more. he lit up old trafford last night with a hat—trick. he came off the bench in the second half and scored almost immediately. the next two goals came in quick succession, all in the space ofjust 16 minutes. firing united to a 5—0 victory over rb leipzig to make it two wins

from two in europe this season. but when it comes to rashford, united boss 0le gunnar soljkaer says he's simply taking it one day at a time. now is not the time to think about how many goals you are going to end up how many goals you are going to end up with, as long as you concentrate and focus on the nextjob, the next job at hand, training tomorrow. he only played 30 minutes, so one step ata only played 30 minutes, so one step at a time. if you get too far ahead of yourself, you're going to lose focus. i think marketers has showed he can keep focusing on what is important on and off the pitch at the moment. it was also a comfortable night for chelsea in russia. they were 4—0 winners over krasnodar. callum hudson 0doi got the first, although not one the goalkeeper will want to see again. new signing hakim zayech also on the score sheet on his first start under frank lampard. british and irish lions coach warren gatland says some england

players could potentially miss out on a place in the squad for next summer's tour to south africa, because of selection issues. england players won't be allowed to feature in the lions' warm—up game againstjapan next summer, because their clubs won't release them outside the english premiership's official international window. you suspect it's a story which will run and run. a very different problem in rugby league, meanwhile, with selection for the super league season proving more and more difficult due to rising cases of coronavirus. castleford tigers say they've had 12 positive cases, so their match at huddersfield is off tomorrow. catalan dragons' match against warrington had already been called off this week. the group stages of the europa league continue tonight. at the emirates, an historic night for 14 time irish champions dundalk, as they take on arsenal in a tie that's been compared to a heavyweight boxer taking on a super lightweight. for some of the dundalk players it's a dream come true. especially, for boyhood

arsenal fan michael duffy. such was his devotion to the gunners as a young child, he asked that his confirmation name be that of his hero, thierry henry. i asked for a thiery as my confirmation name. he said no and then he came back two weeks later and said, he was a saint, so you can have it. love that. you have to pick a saint to be your confirmation name when you have your first communion. he asked for a thiery henri. there is a saint thiery. that is the key. if you have a hero that you want to be named afterfor your you have a hero that you want to be named after for your confirmation name, make sure they are a saint as well. is there a saint norman? i believe, possibly. i'm no expert here. i didn't really expect you to know the answer. i don't know why you want to know either! just check,

if you would! what about saint carol? yeah, there is definitely saint carroll. we all know her. it isa saint carroll. we all know her. it is a myth. there is nothing saintly about her. trust me. thanks, holly. she is listening in somewhere. good morning. i'm in shock you got my name right! good morning. this morning we are looking at a pretty wet and windy morning. if you haven't got the rain yet, it is on its way. today's weather is turning milder. low pressure dominating. you can see all the isobars around that area of low pressure telling you that we are looking at a strong gusty winds. also rain. it is a bright but a cold start in north—east scotland this morning. but the rain already coming in from the south—west is going to be pushing steadily not eased through the day. introducing more cloud. we

hang on to be some time for the longest across the northern isles, because behind that band of rain we see a return to cloudy conditions with some patchy rain and also some drizzle. these black circles indicate the strength of the wind gusts. particularly windy with exposure through the irish sea in the west and the english channel. it will feel milder. top temperatures to date ten to 16 degrees. milder thanit to date ten to 16 degrees. milder than it was yesterday. through this evening and overnight the first weather front heads off into the north sea. we have got the second one coming in. still bringing some rain. still pretty windy. there will be some clear skies, also some showers, but it is going to be a very mild night for the time of the year. tomorrow the rain in scotland turns more showery. the rain in england and wales stinks steadily southwards. —— sinks. behind it, some sunshine. cooler in the north. very mild in the south. we could

actually get up to 18 degrees. as we head into friday, even into the weekend, the unsettled theme continues. areas of low pressure and weather fronts coming our way. continues. areas of low pressure and weatherfronts coming our way. those isobars telling you once again it is going to be windy. 0n isobars telling you once again it is going to be windy. on saturday some eastern areas will see some brightness but there will be a lot of rain. and also, gusty winds across the board. again exposure in the north and west means gales, severe gales, which could lead to some disruption, with the combination of the heavy rain. part of south—west scotland, north—west england and wales will have seen a lot of rain by then. the risk of localised flooding. still quite mild for the time of the year. as we head into sunday it is another messy picture. still some rain on the cards, pushing southwards, squally showers coming in behind. and once again we are looking at gusty winds. the winds will be whipping up the sea once again, we could see very

large waves. with exposure again along the coastlines of scotland and northern ireland. something we are keeping an eye on. temperature wise nine and lower, 12 in glasgow, highs of 16 nine and lower, 12 in glasgow, highs of16 in nine and lower, 12 in glasgow, highs of 16 in london. —— nine in america. thank you. over the last few months we've been following the story of six year—old tony, who has raised almost £1.5 million for the hospital that saved his life when he was a baby. during lockdown, tony walked ten kilometres on his prosthetic legs and crutches injust 30 days, and has now been awarded a pride of britain award for his fundraising. here he is in action. i saw isaw him i saw him walk with his thing. and i said, ican i saw him walk with his thing. and i said, i can do that. i did do it. we

set up the fundraising challenge, where we would walk every day of june helping to reach ten kilometres. i needed to raise money for my hospital, who saved my life. are you ready? let's go! we knew this was going to be tough. good boy. keep going. not only had he never walked before, he has a permanently dislocated hip, so this was a massive, massive challenge. there were days we could see he was tired and he didn't want to go out for a walk, but the determination kicked in and he didn't want to let anyone down. let's speak to tony and his mum paula, from their home in kent. good morning to you both. good morning. tony, can i say first to you, a big, big congratulations. well done. thank you. it is my

pleasure. can you do us a favour at home, so everyone can see your award? can home, so everyone can see your award ? can you home, so everyone can see your award? can you hold it up for us and maybe describe it for us? how would you describe it? is it heavy, tony? tony, maybe you can tell me a little bit about how you found out you were going to get the award? mum, do you wa nt to going to get the award? mum, do you want to start the story off for us? yeah. i obvious they had to keep it quiet for quite a while. but tony found out, not last weekend, the weekend before. he had absolutely no idea. tony, can you tell them where we went and who presented it to you? where did we go? where did we go when we went to the big toy shop in london? we went to hamleys, didn't we? who was in hamleys? who was in

there? and and deck, wasn't it? they surprised you, didn't they? and he was absolutely over the moon. he idolises them. so it was really, really special. i know he is a big fan of theirs as well, paula. you kept it a surprise. how did it work out in hamleys? social distancing and all of that involved. the kids got to look around the toy shop and then have the surprise gift. how did it all come about? the part where we we re it all come about? the part where we were looking around, there were two dressed up nutcracke rs were looking around, there were two dressed up nutcrackers and they started to move, which at first frightened tony! and then they spoke, but they tried to change their accent, but straightaway tony realised it was ant and deck. he also noticed that deck's wedding

ring on his finger, how observant of a five and six—year—old, he knew straightaway it was then. when they took their heads off, so to speak, it was a lovely surprise, wasn't it? tony, what did you say to them? he can't remember. good job mum is there to remind you. it must —— you must have been a no? he was, absolutely in all. he was so excited. his little face totally lit up. to have his idols in front of him, it was extremely hard, obviously keeping social distance all of us wanted to give them a hug and vice versa. it was extremely ha rd and vice versa. it was extremely hard but tony was really good, kept the social distance, had a good chat with them, didn't you? they promised

to see him again. it wasjust so lovely. it was quite magical. to see him again. it wasjust so lovely. it was quite magicallj to see him again. it wasjust so lovely. it was quite magical. i am so pleased to see that tony is equally excited about being on bbc brea kfast equally excited about being on bbc breakfast micra. he is over the moon. i get the distinct impression that tony has got plans. he wants to be doing something else. what would normally be doing this time of the day? he wasjust doing some colouring. he just does whatever. he'sa colouring. he just does whatever. he's a bit chilled out at the moment, maybe a bit too much. is that your way of saying that tony is not a morning person? well, yes, he is, he just likes to yawn! what i'd like to know, paula, i don't have much chance you have had, or when you get the opportunity, to stop for a moment and reflect on the times we are in, and b, whatan extraordinary young man you have there. i know we

love and we smile and you have had these incredible times, and you probably have had so much coming at you, when you have had a moment where you have stopped and gone, wow? yeah. it still seems so surreal to think how difficult this year has been for everybody. and also included. it has been difficult. not being able to see the grandchildren. we found it hard as well. but this has certainly kept us going. and it just shows, you know, tony's life is difficult as well. i mean, this week, 48 hours ago he was under general anaesthetic, so his treatment is ongoing. and will be for the rest of his life. and it has been difficult. but we are so, so proud of him. he is not going away. he has got a book coming out as

well. paula, tell us the name of the book and i will ask my question? well. paula, tell us the name of the book and i will ask my question7m isa book and i will ask my question7m is a children's book called go tony, girl. it is aimed at children. it is the story of his walk, which will make a lovely little christmas present. you say about reflecting and you are talking about it, all the messages you receive from so many people are so grateful i love the way you just pulled him back! let him go! i wasjust going to say the messages you are getting from people who adored tony, that encouraging as well, isn't it? that just helps, you know this is for good? oh, yes. we have had some lovely messages, haven't we, tony? i read them to you. so encouraging, lovely phone messages. yeah, it's

really inspiring. are you going? he's off. he is allowed to go. he has done enough of those. he is hopping around in the background. quite right too. you and yourfamily have given a lot of people a lot of inspiration in difficult times. no question about that. hold up the award for us again. some amazing people over the years have got that award. now your family people over the years have got that award. now yourfamily is on people over the years have got that award. now your family is on that list. yes. i know. absolutely incredible. never in our wildest dreams would have ever owned or imagined theirs. it is lovely. well paula, it is a delight talking to you. i know you will be watching it on sunday. it has been pre—recorded. a lot of people will be absolutely cheering you both on. for all the work you have done. so well done. congratulations. enjoy the rest of your day and a joy that award as well. thank you so much, paula. take care. goodbye to tony, of course. he's gone. can you say goodbye?

goodbye! that is the most he has said all interview. i had to bring politics into this, but you know what? tony's is rivalling some of the politicians we have on the programme sometimes. there you go. i absolutely respect that. if he doesn't want to talk, he doesn't have to. he is a man who speaks with actions rather than words. and when necessary. you. thank goodbye. that's all we needed. tony with mum paula. the headlines coming up. see you shortly.

good morning, welcome to breakfast with naga munchetty and charlie stayt. 0ur headlines... almost 100,000 people are catching coronavirus every day — the stark finding from senior scientists as they warn the pandemic is at a critical stage. we have to aim to get down that r

value and we have to aim to get down the numbers, because at the moment the numbers are too high. france will enter a second national lockdown tomorrow, to last to the end of november at least. more businesses are laying off staff. new figures show firms making redundancies spiked in september. i'll have the details. i don't want to go around with my hands in my pockets. not your pockets, other people's pockets! the king of tv comedy — david jason — joins us to discuss his career, lockdown and the healing power of having a laugh. good morning. we have heavy rain and gusty winds moving in. cloud and drizzle, one thing you notice, going to feel warmer than yesterday. all the details in ten minutes.

good morning. it's thursday 29th october. our top story. the second wave of coronavirus is at a "critical stage", according to experts — after a major study found that nearly 100,000 people in england are becoming infected every day. scientists at imperial college london estimate the number of people infected is now doubling every nine days, and are warning that action taken so far to contain the virus isn't enough. take say, for example, yorkshire, we are seeing, really, a rapid rise still in yorkshire. parts of which are in tier 3. something like one in 40 people in yorkshire tested positive for the virus. a little ray of hope in the north—east. we have seen that the r value has turned down so it is possible to turn the virus down and that's what we really must do. clearly. because the rates of increase and the levels of prevalence, the numbers of people being infected are now very high. we're joined now by our political correspondent jonathan blake.

good morning, jonathan. 0n the one hand we have this new study providing a picture of how things are across the uk and then we look across to france and germany and see what's happening there. yes, very ha rd to what's happening there. yes, very hard to see a grim picture that this report paints this morning and not assume that at some point, something is going to have to change in terms of the government response in the uk. as you say, it highlights that the coronavirus cases are rising in every pa rt the coronavirus cases are rising in every part of england, among every different age group of the population. but in terms of what might change, well, the housing secretary robertjenrick who's been speaking here in the last hour has indicated further areas of england may well be moving into the very high covid alert level or tier 3 covid alert level at some point soon. but in terms of the shift in terms of government response he

confirmed they are sticking to the regional approach which sees different levels of restrictions imposed in different areas according to the number of cases in each area. because he said that will hopefully allow the government to get the virus under control while avoiding the economic impact, the impact on people's livelihoods, that would come with a national lockdown. the judgment we are making today is that if we follow the regionalised approach, we have got a good prospect of getting this under control because the alternative, we know, is very destructive and damaging to people's livelihoods. that matters because the scarring effect of unemployment stays with families and individuals for a very long time and it has also much broader impacts on health, mental health and well— being. broader impacts on health, mental health and well—being. and so it's got to be viewed as a last resort. at last resort then but not being ruled out by the government and that has been with the prime minister borisjohnson has said throughout

this crisis. it remains an option and looking across to our nearest neighbours in europe, with france imposing a national lockdown this week and germany doing the same, albeit with slightly looser restrictions, the republic of ireland has been under one for a week or so now. the question will of course be asked here, whether the government '5 approach is right or whether it should be taking a different approach nationally? labour saying this morning ministers need to explain the evidence for fighter strategy is the right one. this latest impact study with its stark findings that there are nearly 100,000 cases of the virus in england per day now will only increase the pressure on them to do that. jonathan, thank you. france is to begin a second national lockdown tomorrow, as the number of infections surge. people will only be allowed to leave their homes for work, essential shopping, exercise or emergencies.

0ur paris correspondent lucy williamson has more. for france, these will be nights to remember. the last moments of freedom before a new national lockdown. from tomorrow, no—one can leave home except for food, exercise, medical and social care. watching the president's announcement last night, relief that schools are this time staying open. they're all teachers here. but outside work, how does the prospect of another lockdown feel? anxious, because the last time was pretty hard. the apartments here are really small and we're going to be locked back in them again. but schools are staying open, so i should be able to work, which is a good thing. president macron said france needed to hit the brakes hard. translation: we have all been overwhelmed by the acceleration of the epidemic. the spread of the virus has taken everyone in europe by surprise. we are all in the same place.

submerged by a second wave that will no doubt be stronger and deadlier than the first. president macron had been counting on local restrictions to curb the rise in infections, but with hospitals across the country raising the alarm, tonight he acknowledged this was a national problem and needed a national response. the growing restrictions here have already brought back memories of the lockdown last spring. but winter is a tougher battlefield on which to fight this epidemic. faced with a virus that dies of loneliness, mr macron has decided that isolation is the best weapon and the best defence. lucy williamson, bbc news, paris. nottinghamshire is the latest area in england to be put under the highest tier of coronavirus restrictions. the city of nottingham and some surrounding areas had been expecting to face more stringent restrictions from today, but after a 24 hour

delay, the entire county will now move into tier three from tomorrow. let's speak to our reporter danjohnson who is outside the nottinghamshire county hall in rushcliffe. good to see... it is raining! but you've been speaking to people today about how they will react to this new change. yes. it's been a little bit confusing in nottinghamshire this week because originally, tier 3 measures were announced to come in today in nottingham itself and the berries that are closest to the city centre but yesterday, there was a change of decision and a change of rules which now means tier 3 will not come in until tomorrow morning and it will now apply right across the whole county of nottinghamshire. that includes areas to the north that weren't expecting to be included and i was talking to people ina pub included and i was talking to people in a pub there in worksop yesterday, some of them annoyed about that because they thought their case numbers are very different from what they've been in nottingham so they thought they shouldn't be affected

by the same sorts of restrictions on these restrictions for nottinghamshire are the tightest we've seen anywhere in the country because there will be more businesses affected. this has been described as some people hereby tier 3 plus, it will include betting shops, car—boot sales, auction houses closing, indoor entertainment and tourism venues but not ice—skating rinks, concert halls, theatres. saunas and steam rooms will have to close, personal care at venues like tattoo parlours, tanning salons, piercing salons, nail bars and that has upset some people who think white do they have to close when they are not affected in other areas that have gone into tier 3 but those at the sort of measures asked for by the leaders here of the cou nty for by the leaders here of the county council although its upset some of the local politicians in some of the local politicians in some districts who feel there isn't enough financial support but certainly the toughest restrictions in the country coming in for this cou nty in the country coming in for this county tomorrow morning. thank you very much. two british teenagers have died — and another has been injured —

after a parasailing accident while on holiday in greece. they were being towed by a boat when the rope holding their parachute snapped. the 13—year—old boy and 15—year—old girl died while another boy is in a "serious condition" in hospital. two people have been arrested. the artist, tracey emin, has revealed she was diagnosed with cancer earlier this year. the 57—year—old had surgery on a bladder tumour two months ago and is now in remission. in an interview with the website, artnet, she said she had been working on a painting of a malignant lump when her tumour was discovered. a report into the labour party's handling of accusations of anti—semitism in the party is being published this morning. leader sir keir starmer has said tackling the issue and rebuilding trust with thejewish community is a top priority for him. the equality and human rights commission has been looking at labour's disciplinary processes and response to complaints since may last year.

the time is ten minutes past eight. here's carol with a look at this morning's weather. iam i am looking at the rain behind you. when we look at the forecast, although your forecasts are wonderful, you know when it says 90% chance of rain. that feeling. i know, charlie, bless you. there certainly is that today, wet day in prospect, wet and windy but it will be milder than it was yesterday. every cloud and all that. you see low pressure dominating with this attendant weather front bringing rain but look at those isobars! telling you it will be windy and strong gusts, at that. cold start across north—east scotland, you have sunshine to start, this rain already in parts of the south and west migrating north through the day, throwing more cloud ahead as it does and behind it, we are left with a fair bit of cloud, patchy rain, one or two showers, limited brightness. the gusts of wind you see indicated

in the black circles, especially with exposure in the west and south, north—west wales especially gusty. those are the temperatures, ten in the north, 15 in the south, 16 in belfast. through this evening and overnight we say goodbye to the first band of rain but a second one comes in hot on its heels. some showers, some clear skies to boot, still gusty winds but a very mild night for the time of year. these temperatures would not be too bad as daytime maximums, much less night—time temperatures! tomorrow then, the rain turned showery across scotland, the rain in england and wales versus south, for the rest of wales, northern england, northern ireland, scotland, there is some sunshine, cooling down through the afternoon, we could hit 18 in the south. back to you. carroll, have i just learned something? anything in the black circle is a measure of the gusts? yes, at that particular time,

the gusts vary, but it gives you an idea of the strength of gusts. but how do you measure a gust? someone much cleverer than me will do that! you can use an anemometer to do that and you get some really good ones which are like egg cups, quite basic, but you hold it and you get the technical, digital ones. don't you think a gustometer sounds better? for a moment, you think a gustometer sounds better? fora moment, ithought carroll said you could get an animal to measure it! so did i! but it was not that, so it is ok. no, it is an anemometer! the time now is 13 minutes past eight. choosing a secondary school is a big decision for any parent and their child, but this year it's more difficult because open evenings aren't allowed. it's meant a rise in the virtual school tour and promotional video, ranging from slick, highly—produced films to something more basic.

but how much do they really tell you? bra nwen jeffreys reports. we are surrounded by woodland, open countryside, a village pond... some schools have really gone to town. slick videos to catch the eyes of parents. others a bit more heartfelt and homely. it's fun, social and exciting. this year, choosing a school is all about the virtual tour, schools competing to sign up enough pupils next year. three, two, one, action. at this primary school, year six made the film, deciding what to show off, but they've been on their own video tours, too. robbie and his mother, sam, are choosing his next school. you can't see every classroom in the entire school and theyjust show you a couple of classrooms. it is hard to see it on video and it kind of takes the feel away.

you see everything but there is kind of an instant thing when you set foot in a place and you are standing there and you think this is nice, this will suit my child. so having made their own, what do they hate in a school video? sometimes when they put emphasis on certain words, and you kind of feel like they're lying. a bad school would probably be where you make it kind of boring for children to watch and you don't really show much. moving from primary to secondary school is such a big moment in a child's life, because secondary schools are bigger and more complicated, and it's a point when many children struggle. parents are having to make decisions by video this year, which they will then be living with for the next five years. try the food in the canteen, which is important to young people. sarah finch is in charge

of four secondary schools. they've made videos, but that's not the same as families visiting. for schools everywhere, pupil numbers are a big part of their budget. the stakes are high because of that revenue that comes into the school, and it could mean in some cases for some schools that they have to go into a redundancy situation, and may have to lose staff across the school. so everybody feels that pressure, and there is a real push to be able to try to demonstrate and showcase their school to the best that they can possibly do. and we will take you on a tour of our academy. virtual open days are all about selling a school's vision, but what should parents be asking? i got advice from two former head teachers. how does a school deal with bullying? who is my child's single point of contact?

and what access will my child have to extra curricular activities? it's really important that parents put on glasses that enable them to see through their child because that will enable them to ask the question, if their child is quite shy ortimid, a quiet one, how are the staff going to bring that out? the real goal, to work out the true life of a school beyond what they want to show you. branwen jeffreys, bbc news. we're joined now by geoff barton, the general secretary of the association of school and college leaders. good and college leaders. morning and thanks forjoinin us good morning and thanks forjoining us today. it's not the same, is it, this year, to be able to try to get a feel for a school? if you are looking at a slick promotional video it won't tell you the reality. in a sense, nothing is quite the same, is

it? we are unusual in this country, across the uk, of placing so much emphasis on choosing schools rather than going to the local school. for some people it will be an easy decision because their brother or sister or friends decision because their brother or sister orfriends are decision because their brother or sister or friends are going to a local school but you are right, it will be different. it's important to say to young people, you need to look at a range of different aspects of the school and don'tjust look at a range of different aspects of the school and don't just fixate on exam results or whatever video is being produced. there should be a range of different things because you are going to be there probably five years and maybe six or seven. how do you get a feel for the school then? you can't just look how do you get a feel for the school then? you can'tjust look at the video because some schools will be able to have more slick ones, some will have more resources and be able to show things in a different light so who can people, parents and children, talk to to get a real feel for the school? i think what i would do with my son or daughter is sit down and do it is kind of a research project and look at a number of things, definitely looking at the website of the school, looking at

what the staff turnover has been like. talk to my daughter or son about the values of the school, what does the school most believe in? look at things happening in the classroom, the range of subjects they offer, look at the results and they offer, look at the results and the 0fsted report, and i would keep that in context because it will not tell me everything. and i would look at the range of extracurricular activities because one of the distinctive features of the uk education system is notjust what happens in the classroom but around the classroom. if you have a child hugely into the duke of edinburgh awards, outdoor stuff, hugely into the duke of edinburgh awards, outdoorstuff, music, whatever, that will be an important feature in the next five years so it's an important thing to make a list of what you like, what you like less and have the child involved in that process even though you might not be able to visit the school.|j suppose that might be easier for those entering secondary school, 11 and older, but for younger children who haven't yet experienced school, they can't really be the judges or

even know what they want out of school at that point. what would be your advice for those of primary school age, entering the classroom for the first time? i think what we would look at there is, what are the early years provision in the primary school, what do they do in terms of the basics, which will be important, but what else do they do in terms of ca re but what else do they do in terms of care and opportunities for young people to play? that'll be a pa re nts' people to play? that'll be a parents' decision and i suspect what pa rents parents' decision and i suspect what parents will do in their communities talk to other parents about their own child's experiences, bearing in mind they have a seven—yearjourney at that primary school. i think it's about looking at the range of different indicators. just fixate on key stage two tests, it's a tiny and narrow way of measuring a child. instead look at broad opportunities. those questions that we talked about earlier, what can a school do to be able to make sure one person knows your child and who is that person likely to be? most schools will give you an idea of the quality of

pastoral care because that's a distinctive feature of the uk education system. we understand the welsh exams regulator is now recommending there should be no gcse exams next summer. what's your reaction to that? i think it's probably sensible, apart from one thing. the reason for that, i think the gcse5 were designed in a different era when some young people we re different era when some young people were finishing their education career. that's now not the case with eve ryo ne career. that's now not the case with everyone staying in education so gcse5 are in some sense less important, they are a staging post. ifi important, they are a staging post. if i was advising the government i would say, let's make sure we can run the a—levels and at gcse make sure we can run english and maths because they are gateway qualifications and i would probably try to hold onto those but i would support what the welsh government is doing, which is to say, let's trust teacher assessment more. this year the problem was not with teacher assessment, it was the regulation following it. ithink assessment, it was the regulation following it. i think the wise approach being followed is pragmatic

and likely to end up with more young people being able to progress in wales because of that decision. taking that into account, do you think the same process should be followed in england? think the same process should be followed in england ?|j think the same process should be followed in england? i do worry with the obsession we have, particularly in the english system where coursework was taken out for pretty much everyone, where the average child will do a gcse, something like 25 or 30 different papers. that seems obsessive for a qualification which basically is no longer the end point for education. therefore if we we re point for education. therefore if we were advising we would say, you have to make changes to this, reduce the content, change the way young people will be assessed. 0f content, change the way young people will be assessed. of course some young people will want to do their final exams, english and maths are particularly important, but i would say get the a—levels absolutely right because those are the staging post for young people to move into careers and university. jeff barton, general secretary for the association of school and college leaders, thank you.

one of the lessons of 2020 is that a lot can change in 12 months. today marks one year since the 2019 general election was called and life is very different for many of those areas that played a part in the result. we've returned to two traditional labour seats that swung to the conservatives in december. alex forsyth has been back to speak to voters in the north east of england. last year, the political landscape here shifted. coastal communities, industrial towns in the north and the midlands turned from labour to tory. we spent time in these areas before and just after the election, when there was little concept of what was on the horizon. last time i was in redcar, the town had just chosen its first conservative mp. that was before we'd even heard of coronavirus. now that's changed so much about the way we live, i've come back to see if it's changed people's political views too. i'm still a labour voter. i don't really know what the labour party

would have done any different, even though it's quite difficult for me to... praise the conservatives, if you like! actually, i voted tory this time, the last time. i've been a labour man all my life. i think we all got carried away on a wave of enthusiasm, i think. if i ran my household, not that she lets me, as this government is running its covid programme, i think i would have been divorced a long time ago. before covid, brexit was the big issue for many here — places that voted to leave. and though it's not yet resolved, the political division for some now isn't so dominant. if we think back to the caterwauling in the houses of parliamentjust before christmas last year, we are certainly in a better situation from that point of view. i think covid has brought the country together more, and there is less division between people at present than there was. at the town's football ground, the ladies' team, at a floodlit training session, has been trying to maintain its sense of community.

football's more than just kicking a ball around on a pitch. for michelle, the sport's been more essential than ever during a tough year in a region that often feels overlooked. i think we just continuously feel that up in the north we just don't matter, we don't have a voice. i don't feel like we get as much investment as obviously down south, but i think one thing we do have is the community spirit. the prime minister has repeatedly promised a more level playing field across the country, but vicky isn't convinced. he says a lot of promises but doesn't actually follow through with them. especially now, there's a lot of spotlight on the north, with the coronavirus, and it'sjust highlighting the divides. this pandemic‘s thrown a lot up in the air. despite billions of pounds spent by the government to shore up the economy, there is still uncertainty about the financial, social and political fallout. across the humber bridge, grimsby was a key stop during last year's election campaign.

boris johnson visited the famous fish market in december and met patrick, who prepares and sells smoked fish. we caught up with him now to get his thoughts. he's had the toughest year possible, so... and he's going to get it wrong. you know, i defy anybody to get what we've just been through right. the fishing trade was courted with conservative pledges on brexit. this is a town of traditional industry that labour wants back. mike, who also met the prime minister last year, does still support him. i do believe that boris is the right man for the job, and i couldn't... i can't look, at the present moment in time, and think, who's going to replace him. he does, though, question what's to come. i'm very concerned that there is not the focus on the economic issues. because we are getting into so much debt as a nation, who is going to pay for it? a few hours north is bishop auckland. on our last visit in february,

people spoke of a high street struggling. there has been government investment since, but as everywhere, retail and hospitality has been hit hard by the virus. local pub owner cheryl welcomes government support. she hasn't lost heart, despite worry about her town's future. it needed a boost, and that promise was there. and now, you know, we're seeing alot more businesses closing down, never mind before this, but we are, we are seeing a lot of businesses close down, and it's heartbreaking. it really is. do you still hope the government will do something to help places like yours? we're very hopeful. iam! in the industry i'm in, i'm very hopeful. when these communities voted conservative last year, few could have guessed what was to come. now the government's grappling with something huge and unexpected with very real consequences, so people here are watching closely. alex forsyth, bbc news.

really interesting, just 12 months ago, listening to those voices and what people are saying now. and they are keeping an eye on things as well. time now to get the news, travel and weather where you are. good morning from bbc london, i'm katharine carpenter. additional police officers are being deployed in london boroughs where covid—19 infection rates are highest. dedicated patrols will clamp down on what the met describes as "reckless breaches of the regulations". it comes as new data by imperial college london shows the pace of the epidemic has accelerated, with the r number — the number of people each infected person passes the virus on to on average — increasing from 1.15 to 1.56. that's higher in the capital than the rest of the country. the pandemic‘s affecting the royal british legion's london poppy day too — it is going ahead today,

but on a smaller scale. this year you'll be able to pay for your poppy by contactless, and if you're working from home you can instead download a poppy to display in your window. the husband of the jailed british iranian woman, nazanin zaghari—ratcliffe, says she's been summoned to court next week to face fresh charges. the 42—year—old is currently under house arrest in tehran, where she was sent to prison almost five years ago for alleged spying. she's repeatedly denied any wrongdoing. a surrey council has defended using government loans to build up a £1 billion commercial property portfolio. an inquiry into spelthorne borough council's spending said its borrowing had been "excessive". councillors have now voted for more transparency in future. but former leader ian harvey who approved the deals to buy up office blocks says it enabled him to improve local services. i think it was absolutely the right thing to do. large companies are now saying they will not be going back into their central london or canary wharf very, very expensive office blocks, but they still need places to meet.

a good service on the tubes and minor delays on the jubilee a good service on the tubes and minor delays on thejubilee line. westbound traffic on the north circular is building from enfield towards green lanes. 0n the m25, traffic is slow atjunction towards green lanes. 0n the m25, traffic is slow at junction five for the 26 towards works following a breakdown. now the weather with elizabeth rizzini. good morning. it's a dry early start to the morning. plenty of cloud around and it is quite mild. temperatures in high single figures. quite soon we will see some outbreaks of rain push in from the west. some of it will be rather heavy. it is moving east through the morning and clearing into the afternoon. a much drier afternoon too, but always plenty of cloud. some rather strong gusty winds as well. another blustery day. highs of 14 to 15 degrees. 0vernight tonight, a few dribs and drabs of rain are generally staying dry and mild. not chilly at all.

we are drawing in some milder air behind the weather front. staying cloudy. 0vernight lows of 12 or 13 degrees. tomorrow, another cloudy and windy day. it should stay mostly dry until we get into the afternoon. it will be very mild with highs of 17 or 18 celsius on friday. if you have got plans outdoors for the weekend. it will be very windy indeed. more rain at times. back with another update in half an hour. hello, this is breakfast with charlie stayt and naga munchetty. good morning to you. the time is just after 8:30am. after breakfast on bbc one is morning live with kym and gethin. they're here to tell us what's on today's programme. thank you and good morning. even at

a social distance we will be busy in studio today with the rise in daily covid cases, furlough and celebrities falling prey to voices. raab wilding is here to help beat the scammers who targeted him, get to grips with fraudsters cashing in on covid at your expense. we will runa on covid at your expense. we will run a survival clinic with one briton 's top bosses in studio to help you tackle your end furlough fears. doctor sand is back to answer your questions. notjust fears. doctor sand is back to answer your questions. not just the fears. doctor sand is back to answer your questions. notjust the ones you've asked about him being single! he loved that. we love bbc breakfast viewers to get in touch. sending your questions. the address is on screen. how about a dollop of honey with your breakfast customer she is involved in a massive storyline in eastenders, we will chat to the soap star about that and making it to the strictly come dancing final last year. all of that coming up at 9:15am. thank you.

a record number of redundancy notices were issued in september. a month that also saw tougher restrictions for businesses and a winding down of the government's job support scheme. vishala is taking a look. such a worrying time for people. no escaping that. quite a historic figure for september. not just escaping that. quite a historic figure for september. notjust small to medium size businesses. we've seen a steady rise in the number of people being let go by businesses since the pandemic began. but what we saw in september was a sharp spike. in fact around 1,700 employers told the government they were planning to make cuts — that number is close to the record seen earlier in the year. now one of the reasons behind this rise could be the tougher restrictions. pubs, bars and restaurants were restricted to table service only with venues having to close at 10pm. also in september wage support from the government had started winding down. and of course that wage help ends this week as well. it's being replaced with another scheme — but it won't be as generous.

our business correspondent sarah corker has been catching up with workers who were furloughed to find out what's become of theirjobs. back in the kitchen after six months on furlough. warren is a chef at this arts and film venue in manchester. it's absolutely brilliant being back at work. i came in and i completely forgot how to actually turn on the oven! the doors only reopened in september. some staff have been laid off. warren is relieved to be here. i'm one of the lucky ones. i mean, you know, i'm still working. just need people to come in. we are open. we might be in tier 3 but we are open. we just need people to come in to save ourjobs, to save myjob. we first met warren back in march. the day the venue closed to the public as the virus started disrupting our lives. there was no such thing as an 80% furlough scheme back then and he was clearly worried. it's scary. you know.

people in there, they don't know what to do. they've got mortgages, they've got kids. rent. right now, people in there are crying. and so much has happened since then. a full uk lockdown, then in the summer rules were eased, some hospitality staff came back to work. but as restrictions tighten again, the future is looking uncertain. the venue director says government help with wages has been essential to survive. it was a lifeline. and without it, we would have been in a much, much worse situation than we could ever have imagined. we'd have gone bust, probably. we've lost £1.5 million worth of trade over the year. when the furlough scheme finishes on the 31st of october, the fear is a second wave of redundancies could follow. flora hasjust found out she is being laid off. felt quite spare, quite lost.

she is now turning her hobby, making cards out of plastic waste into her business. suddenly, during lockdown i had more time and i could focus more attention to it and see where it was going to go. that doesn't mean i'm not terrified that in a couple of weeks i'm not going to have a job but i guess it's really pushing this big time and seeing what other doors open next. hello, i'm luke corbett. and it's been life changing for luke too. he's moved from birmingham to the isle of wight for a newjob. he first spoke to breakfast in august when he was made redundant from a sales job after six months on furlough. i got sent home and i was a bit up in the air as to what was going to happen because i live on my own. luke told me he struggled to live on his furlough wage, 80% of his salary, and is relieved to be back in full—time work. how much of a difference has it made having a full—time salary again? it's managed to let me

afford my bills, let me able to save money towards being able to afford christmas presents now. that's what my main worry was. i was going to let people down. the hospitality sector continues to be one of the worst hit industries. tier 3 restrictions have shut bars and nightclubs in manchester once again. a second lockdown for these staff. as government support changes, this time instead of getting 80% of his salary, chris will get 67%. i think across the board, we are getting less now and it's getting to a point where i'm having to rely on partner, family, friends, to support myself and actually, the truth is, they are struggling just as much. from november, there will be new wage support schemes in place. but some already on low pay worry it might not be enough to live on. sarah corker, bbc news, manchester.

so the furlough scheme finishes at the end of this week. it'll be replaced by the job support scheme. that kicks in on the ist of november. it will be interesting to see what effect that has, it means businesses will be able to rehire workers that were laid off. thank you. from the hapless market trader del boy, to long—suffering granville in open all hours, the actor sir david jason has brought us some of the best loved characters in british television. in his new book, sir david reflects on life at 80 and offers some wisdom in difficult times. we'll speak with him shortly, but first let's see one of his most memorable scenes. it's been on telly, basically ever! you see nowadays, these modern euro birds, they go for the more mature men, who've made it in life. yeah? is that why we're having no luck? haven't started yet. just building myself up to it. you better hurry up,

it'll be closing time soon. all right, all right! i think we're on a winner here, trig. all right, play it nice and cool, son. nice and cool, you know what i mean? laughter and applause. drink up, trig. drink up, we're leaving. it works every time, doesn't it? and sir david joins us now... good morning to you. lovely to see you. everyone enjoying that moment,

the number of times i've seen that, the number of times i've seen that, the more i see it, the more i think, how is it that trigger, i forget the actual ‘s how is it that trigger, i forget the actual '5 name, how did he manage to keep a straight face? every time i see that. how did that happen. good morning to you both. it's nice to be able to talk to you this morning. roger lloyd pack was the actor. of course. 0ne roger lloyd pack was the actor. of course. one of the great things about good actors. he was able to control himself. that was his skill. he needed to keep himself under control as the character, which he did brilliantly. let me just say, that clip that you showed was better than people normally show, you put in the beginning which is important to the build—up of the pay off, if you just do the bit about him

falling through the hatch, you know, 0k, it works, but what's interesting and nice is the build—up, the character being a bit, you know, in control, you know, knows what he's doing, and all of that. that build—up makes the payoff funnier so it was nice. nice. i'm glad you appreciated it because i do wonder, it's almost like a calling card, isn't it? you've done so many things, been in so many brilliant programmes, i wonder if sometimes you just feel, not this again? yes! well, there's two things about that, it got a kick in the back as it were, there's two ways to look at it. i'm very pleased to be able to say when i have to look at the work that i do, like in editing and things, i've always divorced myself andl things, i've always divorced myself and i always look at that is the

character. does the character work? is he making me laugh? is it funny? all of that. it's not me. when i watched that clip, i've seen that loads and loads of times, i do the same as everybody else. i'm looking at it and seeing, what's he going to do? yes, it's funny, silly devil, and so, i put all of those bits together, it's him and not me. i'm very fortunate in that way that i can and when it's good, you can look at ita can and when it's good, you can look at it a number of times, you can always come it's like watching laurel and hardy or buster keaton, anybody you see a really good joke done really well, it brings a smile to your face. david, i must say, your book is an absolute delight and one of the reasons is, you reflect one of the reasons is, you reflect on things, your own life, where you came from and where you got to and there a wonderful moment, i've never heard you talk about before. you we re heard you talk about before. you were a trainee electrician, 20 years old. there is a moment in the book

you describe driving around with your mates on the back of a job and i think you are driving past buckingham palace. and there's a little moment in time and so weird we now know you as sir david, but tell us, there's a conversation that took place. there you are, in the van, what happens? trust you to find something like that from the big! yes, one of those little tiny moments that nobody really knows about. what happened was i think it's one of those things that happened to everybody, you know? people would drive past and go, you know, that's me, i'll be in there and the queen will night me and i shall be set david! and all of that goes on and we were just driving past. and we were living in a world of make—believe, there is buckingham palace with a clean and the royal family, we were humble electricians

driving past in our minivan. —— knight. something to say and it amused us and lo and behold, how could you possibly know that actually came to pass? yes, it wasn't fortuitous, it wasn't, it was just a silly daydream which all of us have. i always used to say, one day, one day, i am going to have a rolls—royce! i day, one day, i am going to have a rolls— royce! i will drive day, one day, i am going to have a rolls—royce! i will drive around in a rolls—royce. rolls—royce! i will drive around in a rolls— royce. i rolls—royce! i will drive around in a rolls—royce. i rememberwhen rolls—royce! i will drive around in a rolls—royce. i remember when my first girlfriend, i was only at school, and i said to her, and she said, what do you want, what do you hope for? and i said i am going to get a blood red e—type jaguar with white upholstery! and then, i will know i've arrived, you know? did you? no, i neverdid! far beyond know i've arrived, you know? did you? no, i never did! far beyond my capabilities, i'm afraid! it was a

dream. well, you've got to have them and you work hard and i think that's one of the things that runs through the book, it's hard work, it doesn't a lwa ys the book, it's hard work, it doesn't always come, the things you want to do was come quickly and i was fascinated with not just do was come quickly and i was fascinated with notjust only full source, john sullivan, but the way things work, he handed you the script in the left, at the bbc, in the days where you used to meet people around. and there were two things that happened with the programme. 0ne, you weren't necessarily in mind to play del boy. and secondly, the success of it, even though we are so familiar with all of it, the success of it came from the repeats. that's interesting, isn't it, because one of the main factors, i think, where we are losing out today is the ability to give, say situation comedy, which only fools

and horses comes into that bracket, is to give it a chance, and we are so is to give it a chance, and we are so busy wanting instant fame, and i'm not... instant success, television companies, they don't let anything breathe. with only fools and horses, the first season came out and everybody, they didn't have a clue what it was on about, and switched over to something else. they've had about three viewers and two of them were my family! but after it got a repeat, then people we re after it got a repeat, then people were saying, did you see that show, it was pretty good. and it was the repeat that gave it that impetus for people to go, i recognise those. it gave the audience a chance to associate with the characters, and that's the reason, one of the reasons, it took off. the other thing, of course, it was written brilliantly by a man who actually

lived there, and all those characters on only fools and horses, bless him. and the other thing, you are possibly going to play grandad! is that right? yes, because when i we nt is that right? yes, because when i went into the interview with the director and john sullivan, because i had played so many silly old parts, like in porridge, and the 100—year—old gardner, they thought i'd come up for the granddad part. when i said i wanted to read del boy, that's the part that i want, they said, all right, go on then, see if you can read that. and i suppose the rest is history. you are talking a little earlier about

working hard, and you have worked very ha rd working hard, and you have worked very hard all your life, prolific. at one point you say you are the fourth hardest working actor in britain. who are the ones ahead of you in the list? that's a very good question, because this was only presented to me just the other day. all i know is that one of them is david tennant. he's everywhere! he's a very good actor, yes, so i hope i will beat him. but i'll let him have his chance, his moment. and then i've got to knock him off that perch, him and helen mirren! she's another one that's got to be knocked off their perch! there were three ahead of you, there is two. i think you know all three. i don't. they are on the list. you may look them up are on the list. you may look them up and correct me where i'm wrong.

what about the contrast of being the fourth hardest working actor in the uk three lockdown, to then and you up uk three lockdown, to then and you up with ideas using trigger‘s broom for social distancing and trying to think of something creative to do with yourself. you're quite right, it has affected all of us. all of us in show business, we've all lost jobs and not been able to do what we love doing the most. and what happened was, just to answer your question quickly, i thought to myself, and i think it was my wife who actually said, what is two metres, i can't imagine two metres. and ijust thought, trigger's broom, it was getting famous because of the association with how he talks about it, so it came up to me, so i said, why don't we just say this to

everyone , why don't we just say this to everyone, give them something to imagine, something silly and funny that might bring a smile to them, so they could refer to it. you never know, it might make you a new friend. that was the motivation, to try and help us all in these very silly times, difficult times, to try and bring a little smile to people's faces. that was the reason i did it. right at the beginning of the book you do that thing, i don't know if many people do it these days, but you say, when i look in the mirror, what do i see? and what is it that you see when you look in the mirror these days, david ? you see when you look in the mirror these days, david? i don't know, some old fight, i suppose. it always reminds me of thora hird and what she said. many years ago she was interviewed and asked a similar

question. she said what happened was, i got up and went into the kitchen to make a cup of tea and i was 35. she said when i came out with that ti was 75. that's what it feels like. and so that's what it feels like. and so that's what it feels like. and so that's what it feels like to me. one minute i'm up there, at 35 doing the wheeling and dealing and doing del boy, and the next minute, here i am waiting for my nextjob. next minute, here i am waiting for my next job. if we are talking about the progression of years and everything, one of the stories that charmed me was about your grapefruit plant, which went from a seed that nearly choked you in the 705 in your flat, and you still have it. we were going to try to get you to do this interview with your grapefruit plant because i think it's a massive achievement. and you still have it 50 yea rs achievement. and you still have it 50 years on? yes. listen, i'm not sure i should reveal that story, but

you've already revealed it in a way. i can't tell you... i won't reveal the story because it's at the beginning of the book, but how it came about, the story is true that i planted it as a pip 60 years ago, whatever it was, and i've still got it, i've cared for it, and it's now a tree that is nearly 6—foot tall and ina a tree that is nearly 6—foot tall and in a big pot. i've cared for it all my life. it has grown with me as my career has grown. i suppose me to the grapefruit tree identify each other. i like to think that you talk to the tree, do you? do you know, i have done on occasions, because what

happened was, one year it produced three little, tiny grapefruits, and i was so overwhelmed by this wonderful thing that it had done that i started to say, how wonderful you we re , that i started to say, how wonderful you were, that's brilliant. i want to see the fruit, here i am talking to see the fruit, here i am talking to this silly tree, and as soon as i turn my back, they all fall off of course. but i have talked to it since and it has refused to produce any fruit. so if anyone out there knows how to achieve more fruit, please let me know. we will now be inundated with viewers with grapefruit plant tips. another thing i found really amusing, grapefruit plant tips. another thing ifound really amusing, and don't ta ke ifound really amusing, and don't take this the wrong way, but i wouldn't have thought of you as someone who is a mega conscious about their waistline, simply because you don't have to be, on,

but one of the experiences i took from the darling buds of may was all the food and how it is filmed and the food and how it is filmed and the continuity. i did put on a lot of weight, by the way, on darling buds of may that's revealed in the book and it's in the book. we really we nt book and it's in the book. we really went over the top because that was the character. and if the character you are asked to play eats dotted at irememberwe had you are asked to play eats dotted at i remember we had a you are asked to play eats dotted at i rememberwe had a piece of you are asked to play eats dotted at i remember we had a piece of fish that was so big it fell off each end of the plate and i consumed it during the course of the operation. but as you probably know, continuity means you've got to do it once in a wide shot, then in close—up, then in the two shot and then in the singles, and you have to eat in the same way singles, and you have to eat in the same way that you were eating in the

wide shot, so you eat or consume three or four of those huge fissures. that's howl three or four of those huge fissures. that's how i managed to put on weight. but whatever the character is asked to do, in a way you try to invest in it and take yourself away, it's not me, that's what pa larkin would do, he would really enjoy his food. it's one of those things that sometimes makes acting a pleasure. you are a qualified helicopter pilot as well, is that right? yes, that's true. i'm curious, you know the thing of getting recognised, and i'm sure it must still happen a lot, with being del boy, have there been occasions where you have been piloting a helicopter and people have gone, is that del boy at the controls? it's very difficult to do that when you are 1000 feet... you make a very good point, but! are 1000 feet... you make a very good point, but i was thinking may be as you step out of the

helicopter. it's difficult to recognise anybody at 1000 feet victorian but yes. i was flying into the royal air tattoo, the royal airshow, many times, i'm an honorary memberof airshow, many times, i'm an honorary member of that. i do fly in there, and when! member of that. i do fly in there, and when i get out, i do have a walkabout and meet people, and so they do know that i have come out of that helicopter, because they make the announcement. and coming in now on the airfield, is sir david jason in his helicopter. and there's 10 million people all going, there he is, here he comes, i recognised him at 1000 feet! it can be done. you are at now, which you make very clear in the book, and you've had a very subdued birthday, and i won't

ask you where you went because you refuse to say where you went, because you don't want to reveal the restau ra nt, because you don't want to reveal the restaurant, but when you had your test for the helicopter license, the record is held by an 87—year—old at the moment. i think so, yes. do you get that nervous feeling, you know sometimes when you walk through airport security and you've done nothing wrong but you worry you might get pulled up anyway? how many airfields have you been through with nothing on? that's how i travel, free and easy! blimey, i'm going to be in the airport next time... you'll be 1000 feet up in the air. do you ever get the feeling when you have that test, you want to keep flying, so do you get nervous? you're absolutely right, of course. the medical test, you have to do two or three things. obviously you have

to have a qualified helicopter pilot to have a qualified helicopter pilot to test you to make sure you can fly properly. they put you through a load of tests. also, they are very tough on medical, so you have to go through a very tough medical. so that bit is the one that's a bit nerve—racking because that bit is the one that's a bit nerve— racking because it that bit is the one that's a bit nerve—racking because it is quite strenuous, physically and they make sure you pass otherwise they wouldn't let you up in the air, so, yes, i get a bit nervous about meeting the medical people, yes. you're basically getting on a treadmill and doing a lot of running, which, i'm pretty good, i am pretty fit, you know! with that little pose, it's a perfect time to end. it's been a delight to talk to you this morning, david. thank you so much. the book is an absolute romp. so much detail in it, great.

lovely to see you and thank you. thank you to you both, and thank you very much indeed. goodbye. it's like being invited into his living room and having a cosy chat. sir david's new book, "a del of a life: lessons i've learned", is out today. you're watching bbc breakfast.

this is bbc news, i'm martine croxall, the latest headlines at 9. almost 100,000 people are catching coronavirus every day — the stark finding from senior scientists as they warn the pandemic is at a critical stage. it also suggests the national r number has increased 1.15 to 1.56. the government sticks to its strategy — calling another national lockdown a "last resort". we don't have a plan today to do a full national lockdown. we can see that there are arguments in favour of that in terms of simplicity and clarity but there are very strong arguments against it. here in nottinghamshire, tier 3 restrictions were supposed to come

into full force this morning but have