good afternoon. the prime minister will be holding a press briefing later this afternoon, as the government is considering a new "stay—at—home" order across england. schools, colleges and universities could be exempt. it comes as documents seen by the bbc suggest the uk is on course for a daily coronavirus death toll of more than 4,000 unless further restrictions are introduced, much higher

than during the first wave. this morning, scotland's first minister, nicola sturgeon, advised people there not to travel to and from england unless essential. 0ur political correspondent, chris mason, reports. stay at home, protect our nhs and save lives... the stock message from spring, and the stark reality, a similar instruction for england appears imminent again. this is why. the lines here are the projections of different groups of scientists of what might happen if there aren't any further restrictions. the steadily climbing low black line is what was the so—called reasonable worst—case scenario, but all of the predictions now suggest things could be much, much worse than that and compare them with the blue shaded curve on the left. that is what happened earlier this year. we have

been saying for about three or four weeks but it's really important the government moves quickly and does tough lockdowns as quickly as possible because otherwise the nhs won't have the capacity it needs. it's thought schools, colleges and universities will stay open during what could be a month long lockdown for england. the cabinet is discussing the plans this afternoon and the prime minister will hold a news c0 nfe re nce and the prime minister will hold a news conference at lipm. and the prime minister will hold a news conference at 4pm. because action wasn't taken earlier, when it should have been, we are now in a harder place, and the tier 3 approach essentiallyjust harder place, and the tier 3 approach essentially just levels us off at approach essentially just levels us offata approach essentially just levels us off at a bad place. the rest of the country is coming up to that bad place, and it's the recognition of that scenario which is now leading, i think, to being discussed today. scottish first minister nicola sturgeon urged people to comply with scotland's restrictions and said people should not travel to or from england unless essential. wales is already a week into a lockdown for

top northern ireland's schools will reopen as planned on monday and current restrictions will end a week on friday as planned. in recent weeks in england, the government's focus has been on a regional response to the virus. that, it seems, is about to radically change. i'm joined by our political editor, laura kuenssberg. laura, the prime minister's clearly been desperate to avoid another national lockdown in england. but is this now inevitable? it seems extremely likely and perhaps as early as this afternoon. he described it as a misery. it's been playing it something downing street wa nted been playing it something downing street wanted to avoid at almost any cost, so why the change of heart? it's an enormous about turn. the simple answer is the predictions of what might happen with the disease are far worse than the dutchman had expected until very recently way beyond what's been described as a reasonable worst—case scenario. —— and the government had expected.

there is a suggestion, despite relu cta nce there is a suggestion, despite reluctance inside government, the government now feels they have little choice but to act. they leave themselves wide open to accusations ofi themselves wide open to accusations of i told you so, this was a recommendation put forward by many of their own advisers more than six weeks ago, and also there is an added complexity this time around, because the other parts of the uk may not follow seamlessly behind this stay—at—home order we expect, which will likely be given to england in the next few hours. there area england in the next few hours. there are a couple of important differences. this is not exactly the same as what the government announced in march. we expect schools, universities and colleges to be able to stay open and we expect this will last for a month, it will not be open—ended as it was first time, and the other thing to say is that what the government wa nts to say is that what the government wants to do is to throw every effort ata wants to do is to throw every effort at a programme of mass testing to be dramatically accelerated in the next few weeks to try and find a way out of this situation. there is no question for boris johnson, of this situation. there is no question for borisjohnson, this is another very serious moment, and one

he wanted to avoid, but those hopes have failed. the prospect of a new national lockdown comes on the final day of the treasury's furlough scheme, which has subsidised the wages of up to 9.5 million employees. the less generousjob support scheme replaces it, and business leaders are warning that much more financial help will be needed from the government in the months ahead. our business correspondent, katy austin, reports. today was a big date in businesses' diaries because the furlough scheme is closing. this lighting firm will use its replacement, thejob support scheme. aimed at keeping workers in their jobs on reduced hours, it is less generous. the government will pay 62% of hours they're not working and the employer 5%. we used to have 85 staff working in the two warehouses. we think we've only got enough work for about 25 but jss means we can actually keep 45 staff on working part—time, which means that we've got those 45 skilled staff when the work comes back in the new year. there is a different version for firms forced to close by law because

of restrictions. for them, the government will fund two thirds of workers' wages. but, overnight, the landscape has changed. my heart sank because it is devastating news for business. the boss of one hotel group told me a further support package would be needed if there is a further england—wide lockdown. the grants need to be reviewed. the furlough scheme really needs to be back to where it was in march, where they were covering 80% of our staff's wages. we really need those back and business rate relief extended for hospitality to come out of this crisis and recover over a number of years it's going to take to repay all the debt. it is unsettling news, too, for this london beauty salon. we had just started to see the light at the end of the tunnel. and the fact that we may have to lock and close for however long is a real concern to us. we still have to pay rent.

i wasn't given a rent period, a holiday period for rent. if a second national lockdown does happen, the big question now are whether the chancellor will have to announce another round of financial support and how that will be paid for. katy austin, bbc news. as we've been hearing, there'd been growing calls for a circuit break. so what has led to the government reassessing its current restrictions for england ? 0ur health correspondent, katharine da costa, is here. so, how have we got here? you may remember, late in september, the government advisers on sage recommended a short, two—week circuit break to slow the spread of the virus and to buy time to strengthen the test entry system. instead, the government opted for a regional approach in england but, even with the toughest level three restrictions they haven't been enough to stop new infections and to bring cases down quickly enough. latest data suggests the epidemic is still growing across the uk. the r number, the number of people that an

infected person passes the virus on to, is above one, so still growing, and it is estimated that there more than 50,000 new cases in england every day. senior health officials say that hospital admissions and deaths are now baked into the system they will continue to rise. experts had warned that a second wave could be worse than the first and that, the longer you leave it, the harder it is to turn things round. professorjohn edmonds, who sits on sage, has said that a two—week circuit break would not be long enough now and we will have to lockdown harder and longer to bring cases down to an acceptable level. he also things that a national lockdown would help all areas in england, given the new warnings that hospitals in the north—west and the south—west are now among the first that could run out of beds within weeks. many thanks. up to now the government has been committed to its "three tier" system. bradford is due to go into tier 3 on monday. 0ur correspondent

luxmy gopal is there. this part of the country is already very used to being under tighter lockdown restrictions. today is exactly three months since parts of west yorkshire, including bradford, we re west yorkshire, including bradford, were put into local lockdown, and bradford has and continues to struggle with its coronavirus infection rate. latest figures from a few days ago so that in the top 20 in england, with around 490 cases per 100,000 people. 0ther in england, with around 490 cases per 100,000 people. other parts of west yorkshire have a different picture. in leeds, it has gone down slightly and, in kirklees and calderdale, it's not as high but it is rising, and the whole region, with 2.3 million people, is being moved into tier 3 on monday, which means, although gyms can stay open, casinos, betting shops, soft play centres will have to close, along with pubs and bars that don't serve substantial meals. some businesses i have spoken to say they have been

hanging by a thread after previous restrictions and the 10pm curfew, and some fear that this move to tier 3 could be the final nail in the coffin. the region is getting just over £59 million of funding from the government, but many fear that, with all that the area has gone through in recent months, that simply won't go far enough. let's have a reminder of what restrictions are in place in the other nations. scotland's first minister has urged people not to "twist" the new coronavirus regulations when they come into force on monday. edinburgh, glasgow, stirling, and falkirk will be joined by dundee and ayrshire in level 3 of a new five—tier system from monday. cafes, pubs and restaurants are only allowed to open until 6:00pm and alcohol sales are banned. in wales, the 17—day "firebreak" lockdown, with people only able to leave their homes for limited reasons, continues. it is currently set to finish on november 9th. northern ireland first minister arlene foster has said that the current tightened

restrictions there will end — as planned — on the 13th of novermber. pubs and restaurants have been closed, and schools, which will reopen on monday, were closed for two weeks. and you can keep up with the latest developments about the coronavirus outbreak on the bbc news app and on our website. within the last hour, it's been announced that sir sean connery has died aged 90. the first actor to play 007 in the james bond films, it was a role that brought him global stardom, and it was followed by decades as one of hollywood's leading actors. 0ur entertainment correspondent, david sillito, looks back at his life. bond, james bond. sean connery, a star whose life and career was defined by one word, bond. are you looking for shells? no, i'm just looking.

as the suave but ruthless 007, he spent the 60s saving the world, dealing with power—crazed evil geniuses. but the sudden success caught him by surprise. you expect me to talk? no, mr bond, i expect you to die. i had no awareness of that scale of reverence and pressure, and what have you. his family today confirmed he had died aged 90. there was much more to him thanjust died aged 90. there was much more to him than just bond. died aged 90. there was much more to him thanjust bond. but died aged 90. there was much more to him than just bond. but 007 always cast a shadow. sean connery had set the benchmark against which all others would bejudged. my name is pussy galore. i must be dreaming. sir sean connery, who has died aged 90. you can see more on all of today's

stories on the bbc news channel. bye for now. hello. you're watching the bbc news channel. more now on the news ministers are considering whether to introduce a new, month—long lockdown across england, to try to stop the continued rise of coronavirus infections. earlier, i spoke to dr mike tildesley, a subcommittee member to the government's scientific advisory group for emergencies. he told me a lockdown should be used to get test and trace systems working efficiently by the time lockdown ends. it's pretty clear, looking at the data that unfortunately cases are rising pretty much all over the country, and i think we need to get away from the fact that incidents in certain parts of the country is lower than others. the key fact is that the r number,

unfortunately, is greater than one everywhere, even, unfortunately, it seems, in those regions that have gone into tier 3. so the danger with this, of course, is if we wait, then what we're going to see over the next few weeks or couple of months is most parts of the country progressing into higher tiers. and the only way that we can really counteract that is to have some kind of national strategy. i think it needs to be fixed term because one of the difficulties is, of course, that other implications of that we know there's economic damage. we know this damage to people's well—being and mental health of long term lockdown. but some kind of short, maybe three to four week national strategy to bring incidents down, allow time for test and trace to get to where it needs to be. and hopefully that will enable us to maybe relax a little bit over the winter period, over the christmas period, and protect the nhs at a time when it is really very vulnerable. is it going to be safe, in your view, to keep schools and universities open during this period?

i mean, it's really difficult. i've always said that we should keep children in school wherever possible. i think the long term damage to children's education of taking them out of school, that can be significant. the reason we were pushing for a circuit breaker over half term was to try to minimize the impact on schools. obviously, if children stay in school, that is going to increase the r number a little bit. but if we can be stringent everywhere else, hopefully we can get the r number below one. as for universities, the problem that we have, of course, is that students are on campus now. and if we were to close universities, then, of course, you have to send those students home. so we know there's a risk attached there. so really, the only thing we can do is try to minimise risks on campus, maybe switch as much as possible to online learning and get out the message that students need to keep seeking tests and isolating so that they can minimize their own risk. you talk about three or four weeks, but what happens at the end of that? because that is precisely when the numbers might still be going

up of hospitalizations and mortality, given the time lag here. is it really going to be possible then to lift restrictions? yeah, i mean, you're absolutely right. this is always the criticism of a circuit breaker. and it's absolutely valid that, of course, when you pull the plug, as it were, cases start to go up again. and so it's not a magic bullet. it's not a way out of this, but it is a measure that you could consider essentially to buy yourself some time. and we are already seeing evidence in the north of england that hospitals are really coming under threat in terms of getting to reaching capacity. it enables us to bring that instance down. but then importantly, of course, we need to think about what we do beyond that, we need to get test and trace working effectively. we need to get to the level so that we can rapidly identify contacts. and we need those isolation measures to work and to be carried out effectively. obviously, in the long term, we need to discuss some kind of exit strategy, because the danger is, of course, as you rightly say, cases go up again and they may be in two

to three months‘ time. we're having this conversation again about whether we need another national lockdown. the headlines on bbc news. a europe wide surge in coronavirus cases, spurs a wave of lockdown measures. the british government is considering a one—month lockdown in england. so sean connery, who became a household name as james bond, has died at the age of 90. rescue teams search through the rubble for survivors — after a powerful earthquake hits turkey and greece — at least 27 people are confirmed dead. sport, and a full round—up from the bbc sport centre. we will start with the premier league, the lunchtime game between sheffield united and manchester city is under way at bramall lane. it is currently 1—0 to manchester city, kyle walker with a long—range effort against the club where he started

his career. city have only won one macro in their last four premier league games, sheffield united searching for their first victory of the campaign. the six nations will be decided today after a long coronavirus lay—off, with england, ireland and france all in with a chance of winning the title. it is fairto chance of winning the title. it is fair to say we can expect plenty of drama. and scotland have won! one of the most sensational try is twickenham has ever seen! the last round, the swinging pendulum, the beating heart. through history, a time for adrenaline and arithmetic. the first part of the equation is in rome, a bonus—point win for england over italy would give them a chance of being champions, but they must dust off the rust that has gathered since march, their last international. they will draw motivation from life outside their bubble. eddie made it very aware that everyone is having a pretty

horrific time at the minute. people are losing theirjobs, losing their lives, and we have an opportunity to represent the country and put the smile is back on people's faces. as soon as smile is back on people's faces. as soon as he said that, it really struck a chord with me. after that, we look to paris, a bonus—point win over france would make ireland champions. but the french could still win it themselves. at least ireland will play only 15 frenchmen, and not the usual extra 80,000, will be empty stadium b an irish advantage? i have been in the standard france when the crowd have turned on them and then it can be a positive for us and they negative for them. you can look at it whatever way you want. 0bviously for them. you can look at it whatever way you want. obviously we would prefer to play them in an empty stadium than 80,000 french supporters, but look, it is not ideal. no titles in cardiff but a world record, welsh captain alun wyn jones will haul his body through a 149th international against scotland, passing richie mccaw. it seems just as fun as when he started

ina park seems just as fun as when he started in a park field. i still enjoy it as much as ever. hopefully the experiences i have had have improved me. iam experiences i have had have improved me. i am just conscious who i do it for, what i do it full, where i am from. i will treat saturday in just the same way. alun wyn jones will sadly have to imagine the welsh water later, but despite the strangeness, rugby can offer escapism. can the points follow the stories? hold on tight. it promises to be an exciting afternoon. new zealand swept aside australia with a record 43—5 victory in sydney earlier to win the bledisloe cup for an 18th consecutive year. 23 points including two tries for richie, a 38 point margin, the biggest ever over australia. zeeland have an unassailable 2—0 lead in the four match series. the opening game of the rugby championship also. fresh

from a record 92nd grand prix victory last weekend, lewis hamilton was quickest in practice for tomorrow's grand prix. it marks formula 1's return to mlr, with hamilton finishing three tenths of a second clear of max verstappen, with va ltteri bottas second clear of max verstappen, with valtteri bottas third, half a second adrift of his mercedes team—mate. adam peaty suffered a rare defeat in the latest international swimming league match in budapest, at his london team have still won the second match of the series. he was beaten into second in the 100 metres breaststroke, but the london side still finished out in front to make it two wins out of two. england captain heather knight smashed 83 from just 39 balls to help sydney thunder to victory over adelaide strikers in the women's big bash. she hit three sixes and 11 fours to record her highest score in the competition as sydney won by 58 runs to lead them top of the early standings. that is all the sport will now.

a mother and three of her children have been pulled to safety in the turkish city of izmir by rescue teams digging through concrete blocks are looking for survivors of the earthquake that struck on friday. 27 people have been confirmed dead and at least 800 were injured. it also struck a greek island where two teenagers were killed. we have just island where two teenagers were killed. we havejust had island where two teenagers were killed. we have just had these pictures in from this rescue of the family, where a mother and three of her children were pulled to safety after being trapped for almost 18 hours under a building in after being trapped for almost 18 hours undera building in izmir. many, many people are still missing and injured. as a result of that earthquake. but extraordinary that the rescuers have managed to find a mother and three of her children. they are continuing efforts to free the woman's fourth child, according

to the city's mayor. he has said around 180 people are still trapped. 26 people, 27 people have lost their lives in turkey, and two in samos in greece. buildings destroyed. tidal waves have slammed into coastal areas and islands, but you can see, areas and islands, but you can see, a massive rescue effort going on there. sadly we don't know the state of the woman and her three children, but we do know the rescue attempt for the fourth child is still continuing. very, very difficult scenes, but some hope at least if rescu e rs scenes, but some hope at least if rescuers are able to pull people out of that rubble, after that devastating earthquake in turkey yesterday. president donald trump and his democratic rivaljoe biden have been campaigning in the american midwest, which is home to some of the most closely contested states in the us election. with just three days to go,

both candidates are trying to gain support in a last ditch effort to win over undecided voters. 0ur north america correspondent peter bowes reports. the final weekend. for donald trump, a final sprint around the country, as he tried to secure a second term in the white house. the president is focusing on the battleground states that could decide the election. but, at a stop in minnesota, thousands of mr trump's supporters were prevented from going to a planned rally in the city of rochester, when state officials limited the size of the crowd because of covid—19. only 250 people were allowed to attend. the president protested, and blamed local democrats. they thought he would cancel — a word they are very familiar with. cancel. cancel culture. but i said, no way, i will never abandon the people of minnesota. i will come up. during his speech, the president repeated his view that america

was rounding the turn on the pandemic, even though the number of new cases has again reached a record high for a single day, more than 90,000. speaking earlier in michigan, without presenting any evidence, mr trump accused doctors of trying to profit from the coronavirus. doctors get more money if somebody dies from covid. you know that, right? 0ur doctors are very smart, they say, i'm sorry, everybody dies of covid. but in germany and other places, if you have a heart attack, cancer, terminally ill, and you catch covid, they say you've died of cancer, a heart attack. with us, when in doubt — choose covid. also campaigning in minnesota at a socially distanced rally, joe biden seized on the president's comments. the president of the united states is accusing the medical profession of making up covid deaths so they make more money.

doctors and nurses go to work every day to save lives. they do theirjobs. donald trump should stop attacking them and do hisjob. with tensions running high, businesses in some us cities have begun to board up their premises in case the election leads to civil unrest. in los angeles, early voting has been taking place at dodger stadium, days after the team won baseball's world series. voting should be fun, and this is fun. and so that's why i'm here. and the dodgers won the world series. and i'm super stressed out about the election, and i could use a little fun. surreal scenes as america braces for an election day like no other. the uk government is close to giving the green light to a new nuclear power station

in sizewell, which is in suffolk. officials say the government "remains committed to new nuclear" energy, and talks with contractor edf have intensified in recent weeks, after the collapse of other projects in anglesey and cumbria. our business editor simon jack has more. this is what new nuclear power looks like. construction on an epic scale. hinkley point in somerset is in year 4 of a nine—year build. it was meant to be the first of a new fleet of reactors, signalling a new nuclear age. the plan has always been to make a low carbon copy of it right here — sizewell in suffolk. three other nuclear projects have collapsed so if the government's still committed to new nuclear, which it insists it is, this is really the only game in town. making another will be cheaper, faster, while supporting and creating thousands of high—skilled jobs, according to the people who want to build it. sizewell bjust there, and presumably this is where sizewell c will sit?

yeah, that's right. so, nuclear design takes a long time to get approval for each individual country, but the great news is, we've got a design approved for hinkley and we're building it, and at hinkley you can see replication, the copy effect in action, and that's what we want to bring to sizewell. we want to bring the known design and that great experience so that sizewell starts where unit two of hinkley stops. more productive, great uk content and really building skills. this spot right here is where reactor number two of sizewell c will go. it'll take around ten years to build and cost the best part of £20 billion. there are cheaper ways of making electricity and arguably, there are greener ways, but in the future we're going to need gigantic amounts of low carbon electricity and once they're up and running, that's what nuclear gives you. just a few miles up the coast, you can find one big reason why nuclear is controversial. if you head out to sea, 30 miles offshore from lowestoft, wind farms like this have been a game changer. the price of electricity produced by these turbines has fallen by over 70% in the last ten years.

a single blade on there is bigger than a football pitch. the tips might not look like it, but are moving at more than 200 mph. a single rotation can power a home for two days and, as these turbines have become bigger, so they've become more efficient and the cost‘s come down, making this one of the greenest and cheapest ways of making electricity. the government wants to see tens of thousands of new and bigger turbines around the coast of the uk, enough to power every home. it can be done, says the operator here, but it's an formidable target. there has to be a colossal investment into the grid to get it ready. what you can't do and they can't afford to do as a country is build the wind farms, electrify all the cars and electrify all the heating and then find you can't plug it into the system. wind power is cheaper than nuclear but the wind doesn't always blow which is why blunt comparisons with nuclear are unhelpful, according to energy experts. simply an either/or discussion

is quite a crude way of trying to work out how to get over the next 30 years from here to there. nobody thinks that nuclear is going to solve all the problems but then it's quite hard to work out how offshore wind can solve all the problems and indeed, neither of them claim that to be the case. unions say there is compelling industrial logic to transfer jobs, skills and new opportunities from somerset to suffolk. local reaction is divided between jobs and disruption but the government insists new nuclear will be part of a low carbon mix which is why sizewell c looks increasingly likely to get a green light, to be part of a green energy future. now time for a look at the weather with matt. hi, peter, yes, it will be in many ways. wind and rain for northern areas which might put a damper on

things.