this is bbc news with the latest headlines. cabinet ministers are meeting to consider plans for a national lockdown in england after a warning that coronavirus is "running riot" across the country. the prime minister and his senior advisors are due to hold a press conference later this afternoon. we'll bring you that live here on bbc news. scotland's first minister nicola sturgeon has issued new advice that people should not travel to or from england, except for essential purposes. as the government's furlough scheme ends, there's concern from business leaders on what a second lockdown would mean forjobs. rescue teams search through the rubble for survivors after a powerful earthquake hits turkey and greece — at least 27 people are confirmed dead.

bond, james bond. tributes are paid to sir sean connery who has died at the age of 90. welcome to bbc news. the prime minister is chairing a cabinet meeting now and will be holding a press briefing later this afternoon as the government is considering a new "stay at home" order across england. it's thought schools, colleges and universities could be exempt. it comes as official documents, seen by the bbc, suggest the uk is on course for a daily coronavirus death toll of more than 4,000 unless further restrictions are introduced, much higher than

during the first wave. scientists predict that hospitalisations are likely to peak in mid—december, with deaths rising until at least late december, before falling from early january. a separate document circulating in government, based on nhs england modelling, warns that the nhs would be unable to accept any more patients by christmas, even if the nightingale hospitals are used and non—urgent procedures cancelled. this morning, scotland's first minister nicola sturgeon advised people there not to travel to and from england unless essential. our political correspondent chris mason reports. asimilar a similar message appeared imminent again. this is why the projections of different scientist if there are

not any further restrictions. the low black line was the reasonable worst—case scenario. low black line was the reasonable worst—case scenario. but all of the projections now suggest things could be much, much worse than that. compare them with the blue shaded curve on the left of this graph. that is what happened earlier this year. we have been saying it for about three or four weeks that it's really important the government moves quickly and does have to lock downs as quickly as possible, otherwise the nhs won't have the capacity it needs. it is thought schools colleges and universities will stay open during what could be a month long lockdown for england. the cabinet is discussing the plans this afternoon. the prime minister will hold a news conference at four o'clock. because action was not taken when it should have been, we now ina taken when it should have been, we now in a harder place and the tier 3 approach essentially levels us off

ata approach essentially levels us off at a bad place. and the rest of the country is coming up to that bad place. it is the recognition of that scenario that is leading to what has been discussed today. scotland's first minister nicola sturgeon urged people to comply with current restrictions and said people should not travel to or from england unless essential. wales is already one week into a lockdown, northern irish schools will reopen as planned on monday. current restrictions will end a week on friday as planned. in recent weeks in england, the government's focus has been on a regional response to the virus. that it seems is about to radically change. our political correspondent helen catt is in downing street. helen, waiting for that news conference this afternoon, what are we expecting to hear? what discussions do we believe are taking

place since this story broke late last night? certainly feels like there has been a lot more activity in the last couple of hours. the cabinet has been meeting to discuss this. we know yesterday boris johnson and the chancellor rishi sunak discussed these projections that we heard in the report, and the grass there showing the potential peak in the number of deaths being a lot higher than the current worst—case scenario lot higher than the current worst—case scenario the government had been working on. and also a lot higher than the first wave in the spring. we know those discussions have taken place. we have also seen one of the more lockdown sceptic conservative backbenchers, steve baker, in downing street this morning. that suggest things might not be plain sailing for the prime minister if he intends to go down this route of a national lockdown, with his own backbenchers, a significant number of them in recent weeks expressing concern about the idea of bringing in more restrictions. particularly those in

areas where the spread of the virus has not been so fast, and cases are not so high. certainly a lot of talking today. the press conference that was scheduled for four o'clock will now happen at five o'clock this afternoon. we will be hearing from back. a lot of discussion as a result of those documents having been leaked. the shift in the timetable suggests still a lot of pieces to be put together, a lot of discussions to be had, a lot of additional planning so that when the prime minister does speak, he has the detail at his fingertips and he can answer what are likely to be fairly searching questions? yes, and i'm sure people will have a lot of questions. my phone has been pinging from friends and family is asking what is going to happen with job support, and will this be allowed and that be allowed? it will generate an awful lot of questions, the answers to which we will see if those are forthcoming a bit later this afternoon. but of course it does mark, as you heard in the

report, a huge shift in the government approach to dealing with this virus. ever since the lockdown restrictions were lifted injune, borisjohnson has restrictions were lifted injune, boris johnson has been restrictions were lifted injune, borisjohnson has been adamant he did not want to reimpose a second national lockdown. he has reiterated time and again about the damage that would cause to the economy, is concerns about people's health and mental health, and even as recently asa mental health, and even as recently as a couple of weeks ago, when labour were pushing for a two—week circuit breaker, and wales and northern ireland went ahead with their circuit breaks, boris johnson was adamantly maintaining that was not the right course for england. if he now comes out and said it is something we need to do, that is going to take quite a lot of explaining and a lot of preparation. helen, thanks very much. the point there... the government were desperate for this strategy not to end up in this position. how did we end up in this position. how did we end up in this position. how did we end up in this position? why is it

now seemingly inevitable that we will have further restrictions? yes, in late september, the government advisers on sage recommended a short two—week circuit rate to slow the spread of the virus and to buy time to strengthen the test and trace system. the government opted for the tiered regional approach in england. but even the toughest restrictions in level three, tier 3, have not been enough to stop infections and bring numbers down quickly enough. the new data, the r number, how many people and infected person passes the virus to, that is still one across the uk, which means the epidemic are still growing. it is estimated there are between 50-100,000 new estimated there are between 50—100,000 new infections every day in england. experts are saying that feeds into hospital admissions and deaths, that is baked into the system and we will continue to see the rise. the new data that has been shown to the prime minister projected daily deaths in the second

wave could double the 1000 per day figure we saw in april. we can see a graph, the black line is the reasonable worst—case scenario. graph, the black line is the reasonable worst-case scenario. that is the one nearer the bottom. you can see the new models exceed that. several of the lines suggest 2000 deaths per day, with one model suggesting there could be as many as 4000 deaths per day if no immediate action is taken. know what will that mean, what does a lockdown potentially look like? experts say the longer you leave it, the harder it is to turn things around. professorjohn edmonds, who sits on sage, he helped to draw up some of the models. he says a two—week circuit rate would not now be enough. he says we would need to lockdown harder and for longer to bring cases down to an acceptable level. presumably that explains why we got the briefing last night suggesting the government was looking at a month? that's right. it

is understood the government is considering a full week lockdown, but keeping schools and universities open. could we have a regional lockdown? well, we could, but professor edmonds says a national lockdown would probably have better compliance, the stay at home message. it is very simple, everybody would adopt it is easy to understand. it would help everyone in england, because the warnings we would have, the hospitals in the south—west could run out of beds. would have, the hospitals in the south—west could run out of bedslj have just come back up from the west country a couple of days ago and people there were talking about how, relatively speaking, the numbers are low. but the hospitalfacilities, in a largely rural area, cornwall has only one hospital in truro, presumably the capacity would be hit ata presumably the capacity would be hit at a much earlier stage in a region like that, even if overall the rate of infection was lower compared to other regions? exactly. it depends how many hospitals, the facilities

and the capacity. it is also worth remembering that while we have seen the highest level in the north, it is rising rapidly in the south. that's not to say people in the south—west can take it easy. absolutely. it is rising everywhere, and as you say, it is down to the hospitals and the capacity. they are looking at whether you cancel non—urgent procedures? there is extra capacity brought in with the nightingale feel hospitals. extra capacity brought in with the nightingale feel hospitalsm extra capacity brought in with the nightingale feel hospitals. it is worth saying, although people think of the big cities, quite a few cities have those plans. presumably they can be got back out of mothballs relatively quickly this time around. that's right. the nightingale hospital in greater manchester is due to come online within days. there are these extra field hospitals, but you have to start them. the new data says, the report from nhs england, even with

the extra capacity, it's looking very critical right now that they could exceed capacity in weeks. —— you have to start them. as katherine said, these are modelling figures. nobody knows there would be this number of deaths even if this scenario came out, but they are the planning options and the planning criteria, the ideas on which the prime minister is making the decision to be announced later this afternoon. scotland's first minister nicola sturgeon has told scots not to travel south to england unless essential. writing on twitter, she said the government in edinburgh would contine to consider data on the spread of the virus in the coming days — and take account of any developments in england. live to glasgow and our correspondent alexandra mackenzie. give us the details of this. not usually surprising, but nonetheless important. yes, and nicola sturgeon sent out a lengthy message on twitter this morning in reaction to the discussion ongoing in london

today. one of the things she did say on twitter is people should not be travelling to and from england at this stage, except for essential purposes. by essential purposes, the scottish government usually means things like dental appointments, if you are caring for someone, if you are having to travel or work. apart from these things, nicola sturgeon has said, don't travel between scotla nd has said, don't travel between scotland and england. the first minister also on twitter said, in her words, in regards to speculation about lockdown in england, the scottish government will also always ta ke scottish government will also always take account of any developments. now, as you know, boris is due to speak later today. if england does go into lockdown, the big question is what will scotland do next? there is what will scotland do next? there is sometimes a lot of talk about a four nations approach, but as nicola sturgeon also pointed out this

morning, scotland does seem to be doing better than other parts of the uk at the moment. because of tough restrictions that have been in place. particularly in the central belt. so she has said that things do seem belt. so she has said that things do seem to be flattening out in a number of cases, the cases are not rising as much as they thought they might be. she also said that one of the things she would be thinking about would be financial support. if scotla nd about would be financial support. if scotland does remain in step with england, would that financial support only be available then or if scotla nd ta kes support only be available then or if scotland takes a different position and possibly goes into lockdown at a later date, with financial support be available for scotland then? so i think there's a lot to think about for the scottish government. the eyes a re for the scottish government. the eyes are very much on westminster today to see what they say later. alexandra, how much political consensus is there in scotland? we

are seeing less and less of it in england, in the debate at westminster. how are the opposition parties at holyrood taking the sort of line, as you said, quite top if you weeks earlier that the snp government has pursued? haven't seen much reaction to what's going on today, but as you said, there has been an awful lot discussion in holyrood this week, discussion about the five tier system that scotland is due to move onto on monday. there will be some changes throughout the country, for much of the central belt that will remain the equivalent of tier 3, which is the highest anyone is in. no one is in tier 4, at the moment, which is more like lockdown. those changes are due to come in on monday, big changes on monday. we will be thinking, well, is that going to change now depending what comes out of

westminster later today? alexandra, thank you. the headlines on bbc news. cabinet ministers are meeting this afternoon as the government considered introducing a month long lockdown for england, after winning that coronavirus is running riot across the country. the prime minister is due to hold a news conference later this afternoon. we will bring it to you live on bbc news. tributes are being paid to the formerjames bond actor sir sean connery, who has died at the age of 90. the number of deaths in turkey has risen to 25, following the earthquake that struck in the aegean sea on friday. rescue teams in the turkish city of izmir are continuing to search through the wreckage of collapsed buildings for survivors, as these pictures show.

a man brought out of the being found alive buried in the rubble. big debate happening because of concerns about whether building regulations, which were tightened significantly after the 1999 earthquake in turkey which killed 17,000 people, whether those building standards have been properly enforced. a number of the buildings are reported to have collapsed relatively simply in a quake that was not thought to have been a threat to the buildings. bbc turkish‘s esra yalcinalp is on the ground in izmir, and gave us this update. search and rescue has been going on since the earthquake happened at about 3:30pm. 17 buildings had com pletely about 3:30pm. 17 buildings had completely collapsed. right now, nine all the efforts have been completed. after 23 hours of the earthquake, three young people were rescued from the rubble of an apartment building. this gave a lot of hope about other people who are

missing at the moment. the efforts are being continued at eight buildings still. many people are still reluctant to go back to their houses because there are a lot of after—shocks happening. there have been more than 500 after—shocks since yesterday. at 8:30am this morning, local time, we felt one that was 5.0 scale on the richter. still the efforts to fight the coronavirus also very active in turkey, and in izmir. so the government agencies and workers are distributing masks and sanitary objects to fight against the coronavirus. people are in the

dilemma about whether to stay at home and risk the earthquake, the after—shocks, or risk going out in the city and risk coronavirus. so that's the dilemma local people are right now. the prospect of a new national lockdown comes on the final day of the treasury's furlough scheme, which has subsidised the wages of up to 9.5 million employees. the less generousjob support scheme replaces it, and business leaders are warning that much more financial help will be needed from the government in the months ahead. our business correspondent katy austin reports. today was a big date in businesses' diaries because the furlough scheme is closing. this lighting firm will use its replacement, the job support scheme. aimed at keeping workers in theirjobs on reduced hours, it is less generous. the government will pay 62% of hours they're not working and the employer 5%. we used to have 85 staff working in the two warehouses. we think we've only got enough work

for about 25 butjss means we can actually keep 45 staff on, working part—time, which means that we've got those 45 skilled staff when the work comes back in the new year. there's a different version for firms forced to close by law because of restrictions. for them, the government will fund two thirds of workers' wages. but, overnight, the landscape has changed. my heart sank because it is devastating news for business. the boss of one hotel group told me a further support package would be needed if there's a further england—wide lockdown. the grants need to be reviewed. the furlough scheme really needs to be back to where it was in march, where they were covering 80% of our staff's wages. we really need that vat and business rate relief extended for hospitality to come out of this crisis and recover over the number of years it's going to take to repay all the debt. it is unsettling news, too, for this london beauty salon. we had just started to see the light at the end of the tunnel.

and the fact that we may have to lock down and close for however long is a real concern to us. we still have to pay rent. i wasn't given a rent period, a holiday period for rent. if a second national lockdown does happen, the big questions now are whether the chancellor will have to announce another round of financial support and how that would be paid for. the actor sir sean connery has died at the age of 90. the originaljames bond, 007 in the adaptation of ian fleming's novel, brought him global stardom and was followed by decades as one of hollywood's leading actors. david sillitoe has looked back at his life and career. bond... james bond. sean connery — a star whose life and career was defined by one word,

bond. are you looking for shells? no, i'm just looking. as the suave but ruthless 007, he spent the ‘60s saving the world and dealing with power—crazed evil geniuses. but the sudden success... you expect me to talk? ..caught him by surprise. no, mr bond, i expect you to die. i had no awareness of that scale of reverence and pressure and what have you. his family today confirmed he had died aged 90 at his home in nassau — the end of a long and successful career. there was much more to him thanjust bond — an oscar for his role in the untouchables. he sends one of yours to the hospital, you send one of his to the morgue. but 007 always cast a shadow. sean connery had set the benchmark against which all others would bejudged. my name is pussy galore.

i must be dreaming. i'm pleased to say david is with me. so much to talk about and so little time. what would you say are the key moments in the connery story? when he was chosen for bond, for doctor no, ian fleming was absolutely appalled. because he felt bond was posh, english, went to eton, and he changed the plot once he realised what his on—screen presence was like. and decided, yes, he had had some scottish ancestry and would accept he would rewrite it to fit around sean connery. that tells you around sean connery. that tells you a little something about the impact he had. there was a note of menace with connery and bond, and wit. you

kinda believe on screen. it is kind of amazing that, really, he had been struggling before that. he had had a long, tough time making it as an actor. getting small parts? his first major role was a disney musical which he thought was going to get him there. his first big stage role was south pacific. he tried everything trying to get there. quite hard to imagine... as far removed from bond as you can get, but totally believable. anyone who has played him ever since has a lwa ys who has played him ever since has always said, are they going to be as good as connery? but it's also a helluva thing for an actor to have hung around your neck, you are so associated with one role. it must become very difficult to get beyond it. i know he had other things, his

golf, his passion for scottish nationalism. there was a moment when friends or sean connery would say, don't mention the b word in his presence, because he was heartily sick of it by the end. never say never again is all about one thing, not going back to bond. and tha nkfully not going back to bond. and thankfully he had some really successful screen roles. the man who would be king, the untouchables. he wasn't a perfect man. i mean, there have been many questions raised about comments he made in the 60s about comments he made in the 60s about how you treat women. he distanced himself from them and said he would never countenance abuse in later years, but it was always a question. i remember covering the opening of the film the league of extraordinary gentlemen. the only way to describe it is they were definitely some bruised feelings... he knew what a good film was, and he was not afraid of telling people what that was. he could be fairly

uncompromising. but you know, he was a real hollywood star. alex salmond, a real hollywood star. alex salmond, a good friend of his, scottish nationalists, described him today as the world's greatest scot. the producers of bond said he was the original bond, who made it the success it was, and they are devastated at the loss today. success it was, and they are devastated at the loss todaylj should imagine they are. david, thank you. let's get reactions from the fans. i can get reaction to this news from ajay chowdhury who's the editor of the james bond international fan club. a sad day. yes, the worldwide community of bond fans, mourning the loss of the last king of scotland. sean connery lived to the right old age of 90 and accomplished more than most people would. he was the first, the originaljames bond. ian fleming's bond books were hugely

popular, but sean connery created an indelible screen icon, very much of its time, a regional british actor, not the usual rada trained thespian. masculinity, an international face that the world responded to. he was the eliza doolittle to the director terence young's professor higgins. he was very much a creation of the cinema. and the director. but connery made it his own, he was an essentialist, he dominated the screen and he created a character thatis screen and he created a character that is still being evoked years later, all action heroes owe their roots to sean connery‘s james bond. not least james bond by roots to sean connery‘s james bond. not leastjames bond by daniel craig, no time to die is due out in 2021, and we will see the sean connery dna. and i am sure they will in some way pay tribute in the edit to the man who has died since the

previous was made. we have lost roger moore, we have lost sean connery, two of the three bond flomax. did connery struggled to move on from bond? —— two of the three bonds. there were four of the beatles but only one sean connery. he took time to emerge, anyone would, but in later years he created a life for himself that was far beyond james bond, he was into politics, a painter and a writer, he accomplished a huge amount of personal satisfaction and personal wealth. he did come back for never say never again, but he also came backin say never again, but he also came back ina say never again, but he also came back in a from russia with love video game in 2000. so he enjoyed the money. you only live twice, to paraphrase ian fleming. he lived a life on screen, and forever in our

souls. he was a hero to us all. you have ten seconds to tell me you're famous sean connery scene. when he finds fiona in a barand famous sean connery scene. when he finds fiona in a bar and she asks him to give her something to wear, so him to give her something to wear, so he hands her slippers. iconic james bond! —— in a bath. so he hands her slippers. iconic james bond! -- in a bath. thank you for being with us your tribute to sirsean for being with us your tribute to sir sean connery who has died at the age of 90. now, the weather. likely to see some disruption from the rain and the winds this weekend. particularly western health, a bit of minorflooding in places and we will see the strongest winds around the irish sea coast. some disruption is likely, stay tuned. today, stormer aidan will bring very strong winds up to northern ireland and western scotland. 70—80 mph gusts, very blustery end to the day for all

areas. the storm moves away, it will turn more dry tonight, but the next area of low pressure hurtles in on sunday. a wet and windy start to the day, a bit of brightness greatly through the morning before more rain twitches into northern ireland, northern and western england and wales, where we could see minor flooding. very windy with severe gales later in western scotland, and elsewhere windy too, mild in the south. things calmed down next week at high pressure builds in, less windy, cold with some mist and fog. the headlines: cabinet ministers are meeting to consider plans for a national lockdown in england after a warning that coronavirus is ‘running riot‘ across the country. the prime minister and his senior advisors are due to hold a press conference later this afternoon. we'll bring you that live here on bbc news. scotland's first minister, nicola sturgeon has issued