this is bbc news, i'm lukwesa burak, the headlines at eight. the prime minister has announced a month long lockdown in england from thursday — as the uk records its one millionth case of covid since the outbreak took hold. christmas is going to be different this year, perhaps very different, but it's my sincere hope and belief that by taking tough action now we can allow families across the country to be together. non—essential shops, bars and restaurants will close but schools and universities will stay open. the prime minister will take the changes to parliament on monday. england's chief medical officer says there's been a "significant rate of increase" in covid cases across the entire country. the prevalence of this disease has been going up extremely rapidly

over the last few weeks. scotland's first minister, nicola sturgeon has issued new advice that people should not travel to or from england, except for essential purposes. the government is extending the furlough scheme until start of december — following concern on what a second lockdown would mean forjobs. good evening and welcome to bbc news. the prime minister has announced a month—long national lockdown in england. borisjohnson told a news conference at downing street earlier that nobody wanted to introduce tough measures, but that a responsible

prime minister could not ignore the rising numbers of infections. the cabinet met this afternoon to discuss how to tackle non—essential retail and hospitality will be forced to close. schools and universities will be allowed to stay open. it comes as the uk records a further 326 deaths from coronavirus — within 28 days of a positive test — and another 21,915 people have tested positive. that takes the total number of uk cases to over 1 million since the outbreak began. mps will debate and vote on the measures this coming wednesday with the rules set to take effect on thursday morning. a reminder now of what the prime minister had to say earlier. he begins here by explaining that the government had no alternative than to call another lockdown. we will continue, as far as we

possibly can, to adopt a pragmatic and a local approach in the months ahead. but as we have also seen, from those charts, we have got to be humble the face of nature. in this country, alas, as across much of europe, the virus is spreading even faster than the reasonable worst case scenario of our scientific advisers. whose models, as you have just seen, now suggest that unless we act, we could see deaths in this country running at several thousand a day, a peak of mortality, alas, bigger than the one we saw in april. as you have just seen, even in the south—west where incidents was so low, and still is so low, it is now clear though that the current projections mean that hospitals in the south—west will run out of capacity and just

a matter of weeks. unless we act. let me explain why the overrunning of the nhs would be a medical and a moral disaster beyond the raw loss of life. because the huge exponential growth in the number of patients, by no means all of them elderly, by the way, would mean that doctors and nurses would be forced to choose which patients to treat, who would get oxygen and who would not, who would live and who would die. and doctors and nurses would be forced to choose between saving covid patients and non—covid patients, and the sheer weight of covid demand would mean depriving tens of thousands if not hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of non—covid patients of the care they need.

it is crucial to grasp this, that the general threat to public health comes not from focusing too much on covid, but from not focusing enough, from failing to get it under control. if we let the lines on those graphs grow in the way that they could, in the way that they are projected to grow, then the risk is that for the first time in our lives, the nhs will not be there for us and for our families. and even if i could now double capacity overnight, and obviously i am proud that we have massively increased capacity, we do have the nightingales, 13,000 more nurses than we had last year, many more doctors. but it still would not be enough. the virus is doubling faster than we can conceivably add capacity, and so now is the time to take action because there is no alternative.

from thursday until the start of december, you must stay at home, you may only leave home for specific reasons, including education, work, if you cannot work from home, exercise and recreation outdoors with your household or on your own, with one person from another household, for medical reasons, appointments, and to escape injury or harm, to shop for food and essentials, and to provide care for vulnerable people or as a volunteer. i am afraid nonessential shops, leisure and entertainment venues will all be closed, though click and collect services can continue and the central shops will remain open so there is no need to stock up. pubs, bars and restaurants must close, except for takeaway and delivery services. workplaces should stay open where people cannot work

from home. for example, in the construction and manufacturing sectors. single adult households can still form exclusive support bubbles with one other household, and children will still be able to move between homes if their parents are separated. if you are clinically vulnerable or over 60, you should be especially careful to follow the rules and minimise contact with others. i know how tough shielding was and we will not ask people to shield again in the same way, but we are asking those who are clinically extremely vulnerable to minimise their contact with others and not to go to work if they are unable to work from home. i am under no illusions about how difficult this will be for businesses which have already had to endure such hardship this year. i am truly sorry for that. that is why we are going to extend

the furlough system through november, the furlough scheme was a success in the spring, it supported people in a critical time, we will not end it, we will extend furlough until december. that was a prime minister speaking a short while ago. you heard that the furlough scheme will be extended so the key points from that is that it is going to be extended for one month with employees receiving 80% of their colour and salary for hours they haven't worked. the other point is that the mortgage holiday scheme has also been extended to help reassure homeowners. business premises which are legally forced to close to receive grants worth up to £3000 per month again across england and the final point included within

this is that £1.1 billion will also be provided to local authorities to enable them to support businesses because i am sure you are enable them to support businesses because i am sure you are aware enable them to support businesses because i am sure you are aware that the furlough scheme was meant to come to an end today so depending on how parliament vote on wednesday it will now be extended until second december, if that passes through. the chief medical officer had a stark warning for the prevalence of the virus — he said the numbers have been rising rapidly for weeks. the office for national statistics, which is the official data which is done as a survey across the country, shows that the prevalence of this disease has been going up extremely rapidly over the last few weeks, having been very flat due to the work of everybody in the country over spring and summer. and we now have around 50,000

new cases a day and that is rising. the government chief scientific adviser, sir patrick vallance, said that there is currently a very grim picture of what the next six weeks look like. this shows the hospital daily admissions. you can see the first peak on the left—hand side, and then over to the right—hand side you come up to date, today, and then the projections forward over the next six weeks, and this is a consensus view across a number of modelling groups, and what you can see here is a projection that over the next six weeks, into early december, the numbers exceed the numbers of hospitalisations in the first wave peak, and, as chris has already said, in some hospitals you see that already, but this suggests across the country as a whole we would see this. some hospitals earlier than others, some a bit later, but this is the projection in terms of hospital admissions over the next six weeks,

with the uncertainties in the shaded blue area. next slide, please. inevitably, hospitalisations lead unfortunately to deaths in some people. again, you can see the first wave on the left—hand side and the dotted line indicates the top of the first wave. and on the right—hand side, you can see the projection from today going forward in the blue, and, again, the light blue indicates the uncertainty range, but what you can see is the model suggests increasing the models — this is a consensus across models — suggests increasing deaths over the next six weeks, so that by the beginning of december, the 8th of december, this is very close to the first wave peak if nothing is done. now, clearly, if you stop the r from increasing, if you allow the r to come down, then you would flatten this off and then potentially reverse it, but on the current trajectory that is what is thought to be the prediction for deaths over

the next six weeks and, of course, that would continue to go up — because the hospitalisations already exceeded the first wave peak by this time, deaths would follow. so, unfortunately, that's a very grim picture in terms of what this looks like in the absence of action and continued growth. that was the government's chief scientific adviser patrick ballance. we will discuss what was brought up there. our health editor, hugh pym is here. there was so much information, we heard about the stark warning but what new information did we learn? some of those projections from patrick ballance, which he said, we just heard, are very gloomy, were quite striking. even for those of us following it closely knowing there isa following it closely knowing there is a risk to the nhs with these cases going upwards, but the fact

that daily admissions would soon get past, on the current trajectory, the peak reached back in march and april, and that current capacity in hospitals in england, both existing beds and surge capacity, extra beds you bring on, and everything extra created by postponing operations, all of that could run it by early december. remember last time in march and april, all forms of nonurgent operations, procedures and appointments were postponed to clear the decks for covid—19. right now hospitals are continuing with as far as possible they are normal workload and we heard chris whitty say that the message to everyone was if you have got a health issue you must still go and use the nhs and not stay away. so you have hospitals having to deal with covid—19 patients and to the best of their ability deal with other conditions and you have all the winter pressures , and you have all the winter pressures, so there is a huge amount for hospitals and these other parts

of the nhs to face up to. a question a lot of people will be asking is why did they leave it until now? we heard this morning it was going to happen and in terms of timing has he left it a bit late? what did you pick up? he is vulnerable politically to that charge, that his advisers on sage, the committee of expert advisers including chris whitty and patrick ballance said in late september that a two—week circuit breaker would be necessary given the way things are going with cases and hospital admissions. that policy was not adopted. the government for england went ahead with this tiered system, different risk alerts in different areas so areas of high infection were targeted and not those with low, and didn't follow the idea of the circuit breaker. now those same officials are letting it be known that two weeks is not enough which is why they've gone for four weeks. that being said chris whitty was asked about this and said there is never a perfect timer solution. it

is not as easy as saying it will be fine. he said all solutions are bad because they have an impact on people and this lockdown will have an impact on livelihoods and well—being and businesses. i think certainly there is a political front being opened up but certainly now the policy being adopted is one which the scientific world agrees with. was there any good news? there we re with. was there any good news? there were notes of optimism. as far as the prime minister is concerned a mass rapid testing regime will help people get back to in his view a more normal life. patrick vallance and chris whitty pointed to progress with drugs and as chris whitty said, infectious diseases, the master weight of scientific expertise globally normally gets on top of them and finds remedies and vaccines for infectious diseases, so that was the brighter note, but i don't think expect anything until the spring was the message as well. we are getting

lots of reaction to what we heard earlier. so this from keir starmer, leader of the labour party. so that was keir starmer commenting twitter. let's take a look now that the picture in the devolved nations. we will start off in wales. in wales — the 17—day "firebrea k" lockdown — with people only able to leave their homes for limited reasons continues. it is currently set to finish on november the 9th. northern ireland first minister arlene foster has said that the current tightened restrictions there will end — as planned —

on the 13th of november. pubs and restaurants have been closed, and schools, which will re—open on monday, were closed for two weeks. scotland's first minister nicola sturgeon has urged against nonessential travel across the border with england. a new five—level system of restrictions for tackling coronavirus will come into force in scotland on monday, which will see travel restrictions imposed on many scots. sport and we can cross over tojohn watson. england have one hand on the six nations trophy following their bonus point victory over italy this afternoon in rome. they have to wait on the outcome of the france and ireland game which is underway in paris. the latest from there in a moment, but first here'sjim lumsden on how eddiejones's side did

what they needed to do in rome this afternoon. 0ne one of england, ireland or france will be six nations champions at the end of the day. permission for eddie jones's men wasn't complicated. beat italy preferably with a bonus point and then sit in front of a scheme to watch the irish squaring up with the friends. ben youngs coding is 100 match for his country. a stubborn italy answered back. they more than held their own and trailed just 5—10 at the breakso three tries needed for england in the second half. youngs began it as he began the first. another came soon after. confusion over the advertising painted over the line but eventually try given. and irish eyes most certainly wouldn't have been smiling when tom curry scored the precious bonus point winning try. henry slade

also crossed the line and it was mission accomplished for england. will it be enough? paris. england will be watching. it's all in ireland's hands, a bonus point victory or a win by more than six points against france and the title's theirs. they kicked off at 8:05pm in france are leading at the moment 7—0 thanks to an early try ——. to an early try from antoine du pont. live pictures, no crowds in attendance and this is when i point out that france can actually still wa nts. out that france can actually still wants. they need a bonus point win and a big point swing in their favour so all still to play for in paris at the moment. you can see how it all unfolds. it is live on bbc two. three teams in with a chance of winning it. who would have predicted it after a delay of some seven months to the tournament this year.

ireland can do it, france, and wait to see whether england mightjust sneak it as well. it will all be concluded on bbc two this evening. it was a bittersweet day for wales captain alun wyn jones on the day he became the world's most capped international player in his 149th test appearance as scotland went on to claim their first six nations win in wales for 18 years — coming from behind to win14 points to 10 in llanelli, as wales lose four matches in a row in the championship, having won the grand slam last year. following today's announcemnet of a new four week lockdown it's been confirmed the premier league and other elite sport can continue behind closed doors. however indoor leisure facilities will be made to close. the english top flight was halted in march before the first national lockdown and has been played without fans since it restarted in june.

premier league champions liverpool have gone top of the table after coming from behind for the second time in a week to beat west ham 2—1. substitute diogojota got the winner with just five minutes to go at anfield — in what was the third straight game that he's scored in. this after west ham took an early lead before mohamad salah levelled forjurgen klopp's side from the spot. i don't want to say i want is to be brilliant because i know it's not possible. we need to dig in really deep and we have to win the games and we have to collect three points and we have to collect three points and the boys did that and so i am really happy. chelsea are up to fourth, after a comprehensive victory at burnley, summer signing hakim ziyech on the scoresheet — his first league goal for the club. the moroccan got them off

the mark at turf moor with a smart finish here and turned provider for chelsea's third. timo werner with that one. chelsea now with four clean sheets in a row. burnley at the foot of the table, without a win this season. manchester city moved into the top half of the table after a 1—0 win over sheffield united in the lunchtime kick off. kyle walker's goal against his hometown club proving the difference in what was his 100th league appearance for city. sheffield united remain without a win this season, also in the relegation zone. we're into the closing stages of the first scottish cup semi—final of the season. an extra—time penalty sent hearts into the final as they saw off edinburgh rivals hibernian in a hampden thriller. liam boyce made it 2—1. a bit of a sore one for hibs — they missed a spot—kick of their own just minutes earlier. hearts reach the final for a second consecutive year. celtic and aberdeen play tomorrow.

just two matches in the scottish premiership today. nicky clark's double moved dundee united up to fifth, they beat ross county 2—1 and motherwell jump above livingston, to 7th, with a comfortable 2—0 win. callum lang and tony watt with the goals. and valtteri bottas will start on pole at the emilia romagna grand prix at imola tomorrow. the finn was just less than a second quicker than mercedes team—mate lewis hamilton, with red bull's max verstappen third fastest. mercedes could win a seventh consecutive constructors' title tomorrow at imola — which is hosting its first race since the 2006 san marino grand prix. lewis hamilton still with a huge advantage in the drivers championship. that's all the sport for now.

the prime minister has announced a new four—week lockdown across england starting from thursday. let's take a look at some of the new restrictions. bars and restaurants will close, but takeaways can continue to operate — as in the spring lockdown. non—essential retail and hospitality will be forced to close — supermarkets will stay open. households will not be allowed to mix inside — unless for child care reasons. schools and universities will be allowed to stay open. let's discuss this further, we are going to talk to kate nicholls, who works for uk hospitality. first off, what is your reaction to what you heard from the prime minister today? it isa heard from the prime minister today? it is a devastating blow for many of those businesses in the hospitality sector who worked so hard and making

sure they invested then covid secure protocols to keep guests and customers safe and to be put back into a full lockdown is very damaging. many may not recover from that second closure and will be very worried about their businesses and they are people going forward today. you are referring to this is a full fat furlough. is it going to be enough? it is going to be enough and it is very welcome that the chancellor has reverted back to the full furlough at 80% of staff wages rather than the 67% being offered to close to businesses under tier 3. that will be enough to support our teams, but critically with businesses, resilience and cash reserves a re businesses, resilience and cash reserves are at very low levels and we are extremely concerned that what we are extremely concerned that what we are extremely concerned that what we are looking at here is a potential business failure and potential business failure and potential closures so we are urging a full fat grant to go alongside the full fat furlough to make sure that

businesses have a viable future and that they can survive and therefore we can provide long—term job security. 3.2 million in hospitality and another two in our supply chain who are facing an uncertain future at the present point in time unless we can get the support to go through to the other side of this but these businesses will not end on second september. the prime minister is clear we will go back into a tier system and have restrictions for many months to come and it is vital we have that support now. would that grant support go towards your question or concern that the 20% for many is not affordable even with the furlough scheme? we have just heard on the last few minutes the treasury has released the proposals now that we are and going to have to pay the 20% employer contribution, just the nic and auto enrolment. that is still a significant chunk for businesses to pull out at this point in time and they are going to have

to pay in advance to their teams before claiming back from the treasury, so the small grants made available will cover those costs but they won't cover high fixed costs these businesses face, in particular rent and it is important we have a solution that solves the accrued liabilities built up in terms of rent, and it won't help to meet the other fixed costs of running those businesses. it costs a lot to keep businesses. it costs a lot to keep businesses running while they are closed. you are also looking for clarity when it comes to eligibility forfurlough. so clarity when it comes to eligibility for furlough. so where clarity when it comes to eligibility forfurlough. so where is clarity when it comes to eligibility for furlough. so where is the great area for you? the grey area now is around where we come out of these lockdown restrictions. we don't have an exit strategy that is clear for hospitality to come out on second december and we need to make sure that when we do come out we have clarity about what job support will be available for workers longer term. today when we thought the job support scheme is coming through,

many workers in hospitality would be excluded because they had to be on the payroll by 23rd september and also there was in eligibility criteria for companies with more than 250 members of staff related to vat return on business profitability. we need to make sure those are looked at and continue to be fit for purpose as we come out on third december and then crucially we need an exit strategy to get down those restrictions. we can't have hospitality coming back out to a full set of restrictions for many yea rs full set of restrictions for many years to come. very quickly, how are you going to get all those questions answered? you going to get all those questions answered ? are you you going to get all those questions answered? are you in contact with the treasury at all or any of the advisers because you have a lot of questions they so how will you get those answers? there are a huge amount of questions that go unanswered. that is always the challenge when we have these announcements made the devil is a lwa ys announcements made the devil is always on the detail and there are many more to come, particularly if hotels are staying open, what do they do with guests resident when

this kicks in on wednesday? all these kinds of details that we need to go through the fine tuning. yes we have meetings that are scheduled and regular with the business department, with the treasury, with department for culture, media and sport which looks after tourism businesses and we will be speaking urgent clarifications of the course of the weekend to make sure we can advise businesses and this is the real challenge, 80% of businesses and hospitality are sme blue. they are struggling to cope with the detailfrom government, struggling to make sense of it and needing to have that reassuring is to be able to plan for their future and to be able to reassure employees, highly anxious times and we need to make sure the government provides comprehensive details of what is expected and how they can get the support they need to remain viable. can you talk us through the some of the practical ways, for example pubs and small restaurants, actually adapted and survived ?

and small restaurants, actually adapted and survived? they were very agile and trying to react and continued to stay in business. are there adaptations they can again ta ke there adaptations they can again take on to make sure that they keep trading? i think there are adaptations that they were making that will come to the fore again, so many of these businesses, for the first time, over they take away solution, delivery, looked at click and collect for local residents and community. lots of pubs provided meals for wheels for those shielding, elderly customers for whom there are only social experience in the week is coming to the pub for a drink and a meal, they provided those meals on wheels services. 0thers turned to groceries. my local pub provided yeast, flour, fresh fruit and vegetables, not only to help with the local community struggling to access those goods but also to keep their supply chains running. we have to remember there is a huge hinterland behind hospitality

businesses, fresh fruit