stay at home, message is the same. stay at home, protect the nhs and save lives. the prime minister didn't want to be back at the lectin that this is some of what confronted him in recent days. a range of projections from several groups of scientists made public tonight of the number of people who could die each day of nothing changed. one suggested more than 4000 people. all of the projection is more serious than what had been the current worst case scenario shown in black, dwarfing what happened first time round, shown here in blue. the fear shown in this separate document leaked to the bbc which suggests that the nhs in some parts of england could be full within a fortnight and if things continue unchecked, the nhs will not be able to accept any more patient by christmas week. you were told by your own scientists many weeks ago that you would have to ta ke weeks ago that you would have to take national action in order to save lives. prime minister, what took you so long? this is a constant

struggle and a balance that any government has to make between lives and livelihoods. i do think it was right and rational to go for the regional approach. the course of the pandemic has changed and it's also right that the government should change and modulate its response in accordance and i make absolutely no apologies for that. thank you all are very much, stay safe, thank you. until now, the prime minister had resisted the opposition‘s demands. until now, the prime minister had resisted the opposition's demands. demand now will cost, the lockdown will be longer, it will be harder and there is a human cost which will be very, very real. now there is no denying these measures are necessary and i'm glad the government has finally ta ken and i'm glad the government has finally taken the decision it should have ta ken weeks finally taken the decision it should have taken weeks ago. the prime minister can't say he wasn't warned. the opposition, some of his own ministers and some of his own advisers were pushing for a limited lockdown many weeks ago now but he chose instead to hold out, under

pressure from the treasury and tory backbenchers, choosing instead to try and keep the disease at bay with a patchwork effect. different regulations in different parts of the country, an effort to try to guard the economy, too. but that judgment now looks like it was a political accident waiting to happen. there was always a risk of this would happen again. that doesn't make the reality less painful for the doesn't make the reality less painfulfor the public doesn't make the reality less painful for the public or problematic indeed for a prime minister who has spent weeks resisting the move, once again tonight has told england to live life behind closed doors. laura joins me now. as you may clear, this isn't what the prime minister wanted but in the end it was unavoidable?” the prime minister wanted but in the end it was unavoidable? i think by late last night feeling number 10 was there was no moral or political alternative for them here. but there isa alternative for them here. but there is a lot that feels familiar about this. it's not just is a lot that feels familiar about this. it's notjust that the prime minister is basically telling eve ryo ne minister is basically telling everyone they will be living their lives indoors for the next month, it's familiar also because he's left

himself open to accusations from his political rivals that he's been too slow and the delay could be costly. familiar as well for many people watching tonight that there will be another huge cost to the economy and of course all the other terrible personal cost to lockdown, just the impact of having our lives limited in this way. there are three very important ways in which this is different to what happened in the spring. first off, it's not uk wide. wales, northern ireland and scotland have already been living under various forms of lockdown restrictions and have their own timetables and the next month, it's familiar also because he's left himself open to accusations from his political rivals that he's been too slow and the delay could be costly. familiar as well for many people watching tonight that there will be another huge cost to the economy and of course all the other terrible personal cost to lockdown, just the impact of having our lives limited in this way. there are three very important ways in which this is different to what happened in the spring. first off, it's not uk wide. wales, northern ireland and scotland have already been living under various forms of lockdown out of this at the end of a four week period which is, they hope, a dramatic acceleration in mass testing. since the first lockdown, rapid tests have been developed. they do now exist. the challenge for the government is of course to scale

that up rapidly in order to find a way of living our lives with this virus, potentially in four or five weeks when the government wants to live these restrictions. but i have to say the political environment is much more fractious and tougher for the prime minister than this developed the first time round and it is certainly not a moment that anyone in government approaches with anyone in government approaches with any enthusiasm. the temptation of course for the opposition is to say we told you so but it's clearly a very difficult moment for downing street, this. laura, many thanks. our political editor laura kuenssberg there. so, what is the data driving the government's decision to move to a national lockdown? our health correspondent, katharine da costa, has been looking at the statistics. many still exhausted, some still traumatised. nhs staff already seeing the impact of a second surge. they're better prepared than in the spring, with more ppe, treatments, and better understanding of the virus. now hospitals are trying to keep other services running while seeing rising numbers of covid patients.

hospital leaders had been calling for several weeks. it's going to be very difficult to treat a full second covid surge alongside winter, when we know the nhs is at its busiest. that's why we've been arguing very clearly for quick, decisive, clear lockdowns. the two questions are — is this coming quick enough? and, secondly, will people actually follow the rules? this slide from the government press briefing shows the rise in hospital admissions. on the left, it shows a peak of 3000 daily admissions in april. on the right, it shows we're currently at around 1000 admissions a day, with the projection they'll pass the spring peak in the next six weeks — without urgent action. the latest estimates show, even with the tougher tier 3 restrictions in parts of england, the epidemic‘s still growing, with more than 50,000 new infections a day, spreading among all ages, rising rapidly in the south. health officials warn many more hospital admissions and deaths will follow.

an early circuit breaker has been recommended, but government advisers acknowledge it's a difficult decision. there is no doubt, from the point of view of the spread of covid, the earlier you go in, the better. and so that is definitely the case for the spread of the disease, but of course, you know, people have to take into account other things as well, and that's a matter for politicians. the government hopes locking down now will bring the virus under control and buy time to develop mass testing, new treatments, and, ultimately, a vaccine. katharine da costa, bbc news. the latest government figures show there were 21,915 new coronavirus infections recorded in the latest 24—hour period. there have now been more than a million cases of coronavirus in the uk. the average number of new cases reported per day in the last week is 22,522, and 326 deaths were reported — that's people who died within 28 days of a positive covid—i9 test.

it means on average in the past week, 259 deaths were announced every day. it takes the total number of deaths so far across the uk to 46,555. our health editor hugh pym is with me. these measures that we had today announced were very much driven by the fear of what might happen otherwise to the nhs? yes, rita. once again, protect the nhs is at the centre of the meant message justifying a lockdown for that we had these warnings throughout the media conference. professor chris whitty talking about the nhs being an extraordinary trouble in december if action wasn't taken. the prime minister saying the nhs might not be there for people if nothing was done on doctors and nurses might have to choose between patients. patrick valla nce choose between patients. patrick vallance talking about deaths each day reaching the same level as the peak back in april. and, of course, a series of predictions we've been

hearing about about what would happen to hospitals. basically, hospitals in england on these projections, in the event of no action, would run out of beds and extra capacity brought on for covid patients even after postponing operations. so those are the warnings if no official intervention was actually announced. of course, they want to bring down virus case numbers through this lockdown but that might take a couple of weeks. hospital admissions and deaths were lagged behind that because of the two week delay also from the moment someone becomes two week delay also from the moment someone becomes ill if they are going to get seriously ill, before they actually get into hospital. so seeing the results of this might ta ke seeing the results of this might take a little time. nhs hospitals will be extremely busy, particularly because winter is as well. thank you very much. hugh pym there. the treasury's furlough scheme, which has subsidised the wages of up to 9.5 million employees, was due to end tonight. but it's now been extended across the uk for another month,

as our business correspondent katy austin reports. this was the zim braai restaurant in bournemouth in august, busy with eat out to help out diners. from thursday, it will, alongside all other pubs and restaurants in england, have to close for a month and once again put staff on furlough. a lot of businesses onlyjust came out of this last lockdown, a lot of businesses won't come out of this second lockdown. furlough will help employees, it will not save businesses. there will need to be more grants, vat, rates. the owner of this beauty salon in london fears either demand for her services will plummet again or she'll have to close. the furlough will not be enough. yes, it does help and i know it's difficult but it won't be enough. we do need money. we do need to get assistance and support. we won't be able to do it otherwise. we've got to pay... i've got to pay rent. the british retail consortium said the new england—wide restrictions amount to a nightmare before

christmas. it would be a disaster for us all as customers in the lead up to christmas if part of the retail industry were forced to close as part of today's announcement. £1.6 billion a week of retail sales were lost in april, may and june and that would be an even bigger figure with the consequences forjobs. the furlough scheme, which was meant to end today, lives on for another month but for hard—hit sectors, including aviation and hospitality, a fresh lockdown of this length is the nightmare scenario. and katyjoins me now live. katy, the treasury has thrown so much money at the crisis already — and now this extension. that is right. the cost to the public purse continues to mount, as the government tries to limit the damage caused by the coronavirus restrictions it is imposing the fellow scheme was already coming in

with a price tag of around £40 billion. it is unclear exactly what this one—month extension will mean in terms of costs but again, we are likely to be talking in the billions ata time likely to be talking in the billions at a time when government borrowing has soared. in november, employees will receive 80% of their current salary for hours not worked, up to a maximum of £2500. this evening, groups representing self—employed people have been pointing to what had already been announced for the self—employed which was winter grants, which were going to cover 40% of their average trading profits if they were eligible. so those groups are saying that needs to be boosted also, to help the self as well as employees through this new period of lockdown. thank you very much, our correspondent katie austin there. some areas of england were due to move into one of the tiered alert levels this weekend. they include west yorkshire which will now not move into tier 3 — but will instead follow the national restrictions set to be introduced on thursday.

it's yet another change for an area that's been dealing with varying levels of lockdown since july. our correspondent luxmy gopal sent this report from bradford. three months since they entered local lockdown, two days since they were told they'll move to tier 3, now businesses in bradford must get their heads around yet another change. the more i think about it, it's like writing a novel without having any ending to it. you try your best to survive in what you have to do. unfortunately, we have some very mixed guidelines and this is where the real confusion is because i don't think businesses know really what they have to do. bradford's infection rate is among the highest in england and still rising. it's hoped the full lockdown will work where more moderate measures have failed. you know, we need to get a grip of this, so if that's what needs to happen, i'm all for it. ijust think that, you know, lots of people are going to struggle with it, mental health and financially, you know? is it really necessary? do we really need to go

into another national lockdown? is it good for the economy? do we really need to put everything on hold all over again? ishfaq's six restaurants have already lost 30% of business under tier 2, which banned households from mixing indoors. we've lost a lot of business. now, if you go for another lockdown, it's just going to really cripple the business and everyone. businesses have had to adapt and adjust. they've spent the last few days preparing the tier 3 and now the goalposts are moving yet again. and many in west yorkshire whose livelihoods are already on the brink fear that having to close this thursday could mean shutting for good. luxmy gopal, bbc news, bradford. let's have a reminder of what restrictions are in place around the uk. in wales, the 17—day "firebreak" lockdown continues — with people only able to leave their homes for limited reasons. it is currently set to finish on november 9th. northern ireland's first minister, arlene foster, has said

that the current tighter restrictions there will end, as planned, on the 13th november. pubs and restaurants there are closed. schools have been shut for two weeks and will re—open on monday. scotland's first minister, nicola sturgeon, has urged against non—essential travel across the border with england. a new five—level system of restrictions for tackling the virus will come into force in scotland on monday, which will see travel restrictions imposed on many areas. the james bond star sir sean connery has died at the age of 90. he was the first screen actor to play 007, a role that brought him global stardom, and which led to decades as one of hollywood's leading actors. our arts editor, will gompertz, looks back at his life. sean connery was the first and, for many, the pre—eminent... bond. james bond. with the inner snarl of humphrey bogart and the outward charm of cary grant, connery created

a charismatic screen legend. a ladies' man... looking for shells? no, i'm just looking. ..with a killer's instinct. he went from being a jobbing actor in his early 30s to an international movie star. an instantly recognisable global celebrity. the attention and fuss that came with the fame did not sit comfortably with the no—nonsense working class scot, who'd once been a milkman, a model and, briefly, a coffin buffer. i had no awareness of that scale of the kind of reverence and pressure and what have you. i never had a press representative or anything. and ifound it a bit of a nightmare. bond was universally popular, but not with the man playing him. connery felt trapped in 007‘s gilded cage. he wanted out, to test his talents with more challenging roles.

he won plaudits for the man who would be king, playing alongside his old friend, michael caine. we've been all over india, we know her cities, herjungles, herjails and her passes. and we have decided that she isn't big enough for such as we. he won an oscar for the untouchables. want to get capone? here's how you get him. he pulls a knife, you pull a gun. he sends one of yours to the hospital, you send one of his to the morgue. that's the chicago way. i suddenly remembered my charlemagne. might my armies be the rocks and the trees and the birds in the sky. and he won legions more fans in indiana jones. he was a proud scot and a committed member of the snp. he came from humble beginnings, but through charisma, talent, sheer hard work, became one of the world's greatest actors. and, you know, his achievements are absolutely legendary. i know that across scotland today, we are mourning one of our best loved sons. tell me, do you play

any other games? he will always be remembered for playing 007. but james bond didn't make sean connery. sean connery madejames bond. my name is pussy galore. i must be dreaming. a movie icon, established by an intelligent, versatile, exceptionally talented actor. sir sean connery, who has died aged 90. there is a special extended andrew marr show at 9:00 tomorrow morning on bbc one. his guests include the cabinet minster michael gove and labour leader sir kier starmer. that's it from me. goodnight.

hello there, a very stormy when we right across the uk, stormy winds and gales across the country. a full sunday, again widespread gales, maybe not quite as windy as we have had on saturday, but there will be further heavy rain. that day's storm moving away, this new one moving in full sunday actually contains the re m na nts of full sunday actually contains the remnants of what was hurricane vito. we will start off with very windy and wet weather through the morning, could see a bit of brightness through central areas, but more rain will move into parts of northern ireland, certainly wales and the south—west, water really mounting up here, could see some minorflooding problems. another gusty day, and especially across the west of scotla nd especially across the west of scotland here, severe gales likely, with blustery spells and sunny spells. another mild day for central and southern areas, a bit cooler in the north. as we head on into next week, for monday it stays windy, lots of isobars on the charts, this

front will bring a band of pretty heavy rain across parts of england and wales and ahead of it it will be very windy indeed, with widespread gales. as it moves through, it brightens up, lots of bells in northern areas, longer spells at times. another windy day, gusting around 50 miles per hour along the coast, quite windy across the south and south—east as well. earlier on monday, it will be quite mild, cool airsinking its monday, it will be quite mild, cool air sinking its way southwards though during the course of the day. tuesday, more north—westerly winds, still quite brisk, lots of showers, mainly with north—western air. spells of rain here and there, but a better chance of seeing some brighter weather across southern and eastern areas. another windy day though, feeling that colder north—westerly wind, gusts of 40 mph, for many up to 50 mph in

exposure across north—western coast. in much cooler day to come, we have lost those double figures, 9—10. as we move on to wednesday, things start to settle down and that is thanks to this big area of high pressure. it is not going to be as windy for all of us and it is actually going to start quite chilly, and that they could be some frost on wednesday morning, but should be largely dry, quite a bit of sunshine and more clad starts to build for north—western scotland, quite a chilly breeze here. despite the sunshine and light winds, it is going to be a chilly day. the key to what is happening into the weekend is the jet stream, with a huge buckle in it allowing a big area of high pressure to build in and that is what is going to settle things down, really, from wednesday onwards and it is going to move across the uk thursday and friday to bring more dry, but chilly weather and then push on into the near continent as we move into the following weekend. that may allow this low pressure to

drift up from iberia, bringing some southerly winds and some showers into the following weekend. for much of the week ahead, thanks to that area of high pressure it is going to be chilly, but at least largely dry, variable amounts of cloud and it will be dry with some sunshine. so for the week ahead, becoming drier, we lose the stormy weather we have heard through this weekend, it will be less windy, but colder, with morning frost and fog likely as the winds will be light. then it turns mulder into the following weekend. -- it mulder into the following weekend. —— it turns milder. hello, and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. with me are rosamund urwin — senior reporter at the sunday times — and author and journalist yasmin alibhai—brown. i will chat any moment. tomorrow's front pages, starting with. .. the prime minister's "u—turn" puts

the country under a tough new lockdown. that's according to tomorrow's observer. the telegraph says the four—week lockdown will save the nhs, as it warns readers to "stay at home." the paper also notes that millions more will be furloughed, as the government extends the scheme until december. the sunday express describes the impending lockdown in england as a "last—ditch plea" to save christmas and to avoid a medical and moral distaster. a strong stance from the daily mirror with "shockdown" as its headline, as it leads with warnings from experts who say the lockdown delay could cost lives. and the star leads with a tribute to former james bond star, sean connery, who died aged 90. the paper describes him as the, "greatestjames bond of all times," adding that the "world is in mourning." so let's begin. we are going to rattle through this review. an express with you, we have got a longer one at 11:30pm. to both of you, lovely to see you. rosamund

urwin, i wonder if you can kick off with us, the front page of the telegraph, four weeks to save the nhs. yes, they have given over our page to this, quite understandably. asa page to this, quite understandably. as a sundayjournalist, it was not one of the most important people, but it was quite tough in a lot of newsrooms this afternoon because obviously the sort of pushback and people have rushed it onto the front pages. it is, i am afraid, if there very depressing read. the scientific modelling within here that the telegraph quotes says that there would be... the nhs beds would be com pletely full by december the 4th, even taking into account that extra capacity that is coming from the nightingale hospitals, so that would obviously see counselling of even more urgent services. there is anotherfigure more urgent services. there is another figure around that more than 4000 deaths, we would be seen, per day, which is extraordinary and appalling, and of course the big thing here that everyone is going to

be asking is why did it take the government so long to do this? because clearly sage... i think it is 40 days ago, sage, the advisory group, said we need to have a circuit breaker lockdown and obviously keir starmer was attacked by the government for calling for it. yasmin alibhai—brown, you're going to take us alibhai—brown, you're going to take us to the observer, same story, your response there, they are calling this a u—turn. response there, they are calling this a u-turn. yes, i think rosamund urwin has raised quite a lot of important points, and that the observer covers some of them. this was known on the 13th of october and on the 14th, boris johnson was still saying that a national lockdown was a nuclear option. he accused on the zist a nuclear option. he accused on the 21st of october keir starmer of wanting to turn off all the lights of the nation, sol

wanting to turn off all the lights of the nation, so i hated the idea of the nation, so i hated the idea of u—turns, i think government should be able to do what they need to do and change their minds, i don't think... i think this cliche is wrong, but you do need to ask... you knew, the scientists were saying so you knew, the scientists were saying so long ago that it wasn't dumb and now it is being done and it is interesting that all the right wing papers are supportive of him, which is good because it is necessary for the national health service to save lives. but i do wonder was it also because he got exercised by this idea that the north was accusing him of not caring about the south and make it easier in the south? some politics has gone on here. i don't know, but i think this was necessary. 0k, ok, we will go to the sunday mirror, rosamund, and where do you think the shock is, in the economy or that it happened? i suppose it didn't happen

a bit earlier, really, given the path we are on and yes, the economic shockis path we are on and yes, the economic shock is going to be devastating. you have got some businesses who clearly only just survived the first lockdown. they have got massive rent... you know, ithink lockdown. they have got massive rent... you know, i think the government really needs to think about doing something to do with commercial rents because how on earth a shop that has got no takings, you know, if they close on thursday, is supposed to be paying their rent bills, i think that is borderline cruel and the government needs to come up with a plan there. good, obviously, that there is support for staff, but if you are a small business owner today relying on footfall, this is absolutely devastating and also i think we should remember that the original lockdown started this year, i think it was originally supposed to be three weeks, wasn't it? and obviously it went on about three months, so obviously they are saying this is one month, but we don't definitely know that it won't get

extended. 0k, yasmin alibhai-brown, we will just extended. 0k, yasmin alibhai-brown, we willjust finish on your thoughts on this last point. i think yes, it could go on, but the calculation is that kind of like santa claus, boris will deliver a better christmas to us will deliver a better christmas to us by lifting lockdown. that wouldn't be sensible if the science was going the other way. it is not any government's fault that this virus is so unstoppable, but we need oui’ virus is so unstoppable, but we need our government to be doing something clear and giving people really clear messages and this has been a hopeless mess. rosamund and yasmin, thank you so much. like i said, express review for this hour. we have got a much log review coming up at 11:30pm and of tributes to sean connery, but for now thank you both and thank you for tuning in. i will be back at the top of the hour with more news. don't go away!

hello, storm aidan has been bringing torrential rain and gales for a large swathe of the uk today and there is more in the forecast tomorrow, further rain and gales and we had a number of yellow weather warnings for the met office, more details on our website. there is this evening, many will be dry as the rain eases from western scotland, but then more rain starts to pile into northern ireland initially and then into western scotland, wales, the western side of england and slowly transferring eastwards, blustery winds, not a cold night though, temperature is not much lower than 7 degrees. that rain will clear its way eastwards tomorrow morning, leaving some spells of sunshine behind, but also heavy showers and then more persistent rain starts to move in through the afternoon across the western side of scotland, but particularly northern england, wales and the midlands, where we could see some localised flooding. there are strong winds again, particularly in

western scotland, but not a cold day, temperatures 7—11 c. goodbye.

this is bbc news with the latest headlines for viewers in the uk and around the world. the uk prime minister announces a second national lockdown for england — to last for a month. from thursday all non—essential retail and leisure businesses will close — and people will be told to stay indoors. the viruses doubling faster than we can conceivably add capacity so now is the time to take action because there is no alternative. also in the news, donald trump and joe biden criss cross the midwest as the clock counts down to polling day on november 3rd. it is going to be a very interesting

tuesday, the big red