this is bbc news with the latest headlines. a senior government minister warns the second coronavirus lockdown in england could last more than a month and says any decision would depend on how much the restrictions brought down levels of infection. we need to recognise that we do need to get the infection rate, the r rate below one. we believe on the basis of the evidence that we have that we will be able to do so. the labour leader welcomes the new measures, but calls on the government to use the time to ramp up test and trace. the government has to keep its side of the bargain here. if they don't use the time to fix test, trace and isolate then i think the 2nd of december will be a review date, not an end date. the most powerful storm of the year, typhoon goni, strikes the philippines, bringing wind speeds of up to two hundred

and twenty five kilometres an hour. a major search and rescue effort is now into its third day in the turkish coastal town of izmir following a major earthquake that hit the agean on friday, killing 51 people. and donald trump and joe biden each make a last bid for votes in swing states that could be key to winning the white house. good afternoon. the four—week lockdown in england, which will start on thursday and is scheduled to end on december the 2nd could be extended. the cabinet minister michael gove said ministers will be "guided by the facts". he said the government wanted to get the coronavirus reproduction rate below the critical level of one. borisjohnson announced the latest

round of restrictions at a news conference last night. the strict measures are set to come into effect on thursday. they will see pubs, restaurants, gyms and nonessential shops and places of worship close. however, schools, colleges and universities can stay open. travel and overnight stays in the uk and abroad will be restricted and meeting others indoors or in private gardens is banned. today labour criticised the government for rejecting its call last month for a so—called "circuit—brea ker" — that's a tight set of restrictions for a fixed period of time. for the latest, here's our political correspondent helen catt. they are the headlines the prime minister never wanted to see, arriving at his own door this morning. england will go into a second national lockdown from thursday. it should end on 2nd december. one of the government's most senior ministers indicated that was the hope but a guarantee. if we ensure all the steps we're taking now but taken appropriately,

we will have an opportunity to review the progress we are making and in advance of december the 2nd we can communicate to those areas where some restrictions may be required, what they will be, and other areas where we have it and that the virus, explained whether liberties can be restored. labour will back the new lockdown in a vote in parliament with a degree of frustration. if what they announced yesterday had been announced when i said it should have been three weeks ago, we could have had the lockdown and schools shut because of half—term. people will be waking up this morning and thinking, how on earth did it get to this? he warned the government needs to use the time wisely. the government has to keep its side of the bargain. because if they don't use this time to fix test, trace and isolate, then i think 2nd december will be a review date, not an end date, because for months and months and months that they have promised a world beating test, trace and isolate system, which is vital.

if you don't test you can't trace, if you don't trace you can't isolate. it's been busted for months. use the time to fix it because otherwise we are going to be back in this cycle for months and months and months. particularly, he said, to keep schools open, government commitment with which he agrees. and with which is the big difference between the new lockdown in england and what happened in the spring. that may not be possible, one of the government's scientific advisers has warned, and he cast doubt on their plans to return to regional restrictions after lockdown. what must happen is whenever that day comes, 2nd december, what mustn't happen is whenever that day comes, 2nd december, or a little bit later, that suddenly the world goes back to normal. it's not going to go back to normal immediately. i think it will be at least what is currently called tier 3, tier 3 plus across the country. i don't think it makes sense to go back to regional variation in the restrictions that are in place immediately after this set of more draconian measures are lifted.

in leeds they had been due to move into tier 3 restrictions anyway, but these people seem 0k with tougher national measures. obviously i'd rather it not happen. but if it means the virus reduces i'm all for it. it feels sudden but at the same time we kind of expected it. if it's necessary, it's necessary. long term, it has got to be done, hasn't it? the new lockdown will be debated in parliament this week. expect more questions over how and when it will end, even before it has begun. helen catt, bbc news. this second lockdown has been prompted by rapidly rising infection rates in many areas. our health correspondent, lauren moss, has been looking at the data. preparing for a second national lockdown. from thursday, the message in england will, once again, be stay home to save lives. nonessential shops and hospitality will close. schools and universities will stay open. but some scientists think further measures may be needed to stop the spread of the virus.

we know that transmission, particularly in secondary schools, is high. personally, i think this is definitely the lockdown to put in place now. but if that transmission, particularly in secondary schools, continues to rise, then, that may have to be revisited in the next four weeks. according to the office for national statistics‘ latest household survey, infection rates vary across the uk. in northern ireland one in 80 people is estimated to have covid—i9. in scotland, it's one “1140. in wales, it's one in 120. and in england, the average is one in 100. but in the north—west it's one in 43, and the south—east, it's one in 220 people. the prime minister says the measures are to prevent the nhs being overwhelmed, which would be a medical and moral disaster. currently, there are more than 9,000 people with covid—i9 in english hospitals. almost 500 are on ventilators. i think the prime minister had no choice but to act on very clear evidence that the trajectory of hospital admissions,

demand on the health service, was such that we just would have been overwhelmed in the coming weeks, to the point that it wouldn't just be a case of not managing the surge in patients with covid, but actually the nhs would not have been able to provide services to large numbers of non—covid patients. rapid testing has been pointed to as one of the ways out of the shutdown, and is being trialled at the minute. there are different rules across the uk. wales‘s firebreak is still due to end on 9th november. schools will reopen in northern ireland tomorrow. and other measures are set to be relaxed in two weeks. while scotland will follow a five—tier system. the uk r number is thought to be around 1.2. bringing that down will be just one of the ways of measuring how long this latest lockdown will last. lauren moss, bbc news. i'm joined now by our

political correspondent, helen catt. differing views on this, not least from conservative backbenchers. there are some backbenchers who do support the lockdown but there are several who do not. they are very unhappy with the idea of a second national lockdown. many of them think it would be too destructive to the economy. they worry that there is no clear exit plan, clear strategy to get out of lockdown. the comments from michael gove suggested that the 2nd of december exit date could slip. unlikely to help with the concern there. there are, of course, those in the tory backbenchers who will state that these are big restrictions on civil liberties. to bring in restrictions of that kind on individuals freedoms there needs to be a compelling case. as you had a match report, boris johnson believes the numbers provide

a compelling case. in a message to tory mps last night, he said they would have access to all of that data from briefings from scientists for in the coming days to bring them onside. the next step is that it goes to parliament, discussed and debated before a vote happened which is why there is a gap between the announcement of plans and they come into force. is there likely to be any change to them was this pretty much a done deal. the expectation is that they will pass a vote, not least because labour said they would support it so it depends on how many conservatives will show that they are unhappy and go against it. some said they would but that is quite a big move. what is interesting to watch as the reason why mps are debating this is because conservative backbenchers were quite ci’oss conservative backbenchers were quite cross about the fact that regulations were coming in prior to this without the chance to debate on

this without the chance to debate on this first. their argument was that they could iron out some of the anomalies if they were able to debated before they came in. this will be a test of that, do they actually bring up any oddities and the government says they will change that before the committee. we also saw an extension of the furlough scheme, for many people that will be very important. this is going back to the original furlough scheme which was in place in the lockdown in the spring where they pay 80% of peoples wages. that was due to end yesterday that it will now run all the way through this england wide lockdown. there are now being questions raised by the devolved administrations of scotland and wales for instance. well said that wasn't available to them during their circuit breaker but scotland wa nt to their circuit breaker but scotland want to be assured that that will available to them if they going to

lock quite down. the decision to bring in a second lockdown in england came after concerns about the pressure on the nhs over the winter. let's speak now to dame donna kinnair, the chief executive and general secretary of the royal college of nursing. my my reaction is that it is essential that you are going to a lockdown because numbers are rising. we are going to winter when numbers into hospital rise anyway. in addition to that, we've got pressure from winter, pressure from covid and we have got a tired workforce. we need people to comply with the latest guidance and adhere to the restrictions that are being put in.

we know that the nightingale hospital are being readied. they we re hospital are being readied. they were set up in that first wave earlier in the year and we understand that they will be on hand to help relieve some of the pressure on the standard hospitals but what about the staffing of those? is there any clarity on where the extra staff and nurses will come from, for example? we don't have any clarity is yet. during the first wave we brought over 14,000 people out of retirement and used our student nurses. when the government said there are 13,000 more nurses, while, just for the first wave we had 14,000 just for the first wave we had 111,000 extra people and we were struggling to cope. so they haven't and while we have ventilators and we have got hospitals and beds, we do not yet have clarity on where the nursing staff to nurse these patients are coming from. give us a sense of the mood and the feeling among nurses who you speak to who

are dealing with the situation day to day on the front line. we have particular concerns about specialist nurses. not every nurse can look after patients on ventilation or ones who are critically ill as some can become. when i speak to nurses on the front line every day, they are on the front line every day, they a re really on the front line every day, they are really concerned. not only are they exhausted that they are really concerned about some things they are being asked to do which may be they are not prepared to do. we know that the government already previously cut the education budget for nurses which meant that we now have fewer specialist critically the car chained or trained nurses. the morale is tired and anxious. we have a thousand calls a month from nurses who tell us about the increased

anxiety. their concern for themselves but also about their patients. match side, that presumably the government is taking steps to relieve that pressure by bringing in this england wide lockdown. that will help but we know that doesn't take effect until some time later. even if we start the lockdown today, that doesn't stop the cases rising until people do start complying and it takes some time, probably two weeks also to work through the system. what is happening today will feel the effect still in the future. thank you very much. thank you very much. i'm joined now by craig beaumont from the federation of small businesses. a lot of businesses will be

concerned about the impact on them but as we heard that, the health service absolutely needs this to make sure it is not overwhelmed. we have members of the federation of small businesses all phoning us in dismay about the recent announcements. they want to help their staff and customers. they invested a lot of money in becoming coronavirus secure, all to avoid this moment. they've been trying to find a way through to christmas and this announcement has knocked that back. this isn't health versus business, this is the second deep recession we are facing in 12 months. it is a double dip recession. that the 2nd of december date, as in your reports, suddenly feels less definitive as of this morning. businesses are trying to work out what to do in the next month, whether that month is

actually contained into the 2nd of december. they are really struggling. there are actually struggling. there are actually struggling before the announcement yesterday with two thirds of businesses saying business would be worse off in the next quarter. looking at the guidance issued overnight, there is a lot of communications that needs to be done about this. i was speaking to our political correspondent a little earlier about the extension of the furlough scheme. i'm not entirely clear of what is happening with the situation for people who are self—employed which, of course, will be lots of small business owners. i'm hearing anything from them about what they need and what they are looking for? yes, this is really important. the extension of furlough is important. it took us awhile to get the confirmation that it was 80% of wages but that is now clear. that will last and hopefully that will last however long the restrictions

are. of that, you have got the self—employment income support scheme which has helped 2.7 million people in the first round and 2.4 million in the second. that needs to be created from the current 40% of earnings but it should also be expanded to those who have been excluded. i was contacted by a small business who said they have not had work since march, how do i cope? they said, i have got this situation and my business can't operate. what about these people? there is a very strong case now for the second round of small business grant which were put through the system. the economy is going down and we need something to keep people's businesses alive. we are moving away from recovery now. with the benefit of hindsight, looking back now, do you think the heat out to help out scheme which was meant to help small businesses

and large businesses was now perhaps and large businesses was now perhaps a bad move in that it has created a problem for the longer term? no, i think if you accept that you have to accept that the second wave has been caused by the hospitality sector. it hasn't. when you look at the letter are number, things like how dresses for example within this band. how does this have to close. but closing of hairdressers does not affect the r rate any more than 0.05. there are some questions now in the decision—making process. you decide who closes and then after that, how do you support that business to be ina do you support that business to be in a place where it can recover it later? there is no recovery for the next three months and we are looking ata next three months and we are looking at a bleak winter before christmas. to keep these businesses going will bea to keep these businesses going will be a real challenge for the government. i hope for an

announcement before that thursday vote, sorry that wednesday vote before regulations coming on thursday. where is the economic support package? thank you very much. and if you would like to know more about the new restrictions and what they mean for you, you can learn more on the bbc‘s website by visting www.bbc.co.uk forward slash news. more on the lockdown in england shortly. but first, at least four people are reported to have died as the strongest typhoon so far this year hammers the philippines. typhoon goni made landfall before dawn with what the authorities called "catastrophic" winds of more than 225 kilometres an hour, and intense rain. our correspondent in manila, howard johnson, sent this report. the most powerful storm on earth this year. it hit the small island of catanduanes just before 5am this morning. hours later, it made its second landfall,

tearing through the popular tourist province of albay. famous for its picturesque mayon volcano, today goni turned the region into a watery mess. strong winds whipped and lashed trees and electricity lines. flash floods inundated rivers and roads. people clambered onto roofs of their homes to stay above the water line. the united nations fear that more than 20 million people are in the path of the typhoon. the philippine authorities have urged them to take refuge. translation: i evacuated because it's better to be safe. since i can't walk, i would have to crawl to get out when the winds get stronger. but if i can walk, i would prefer to stay in our place. translation: i'm afraid, because my mother's house is already weak and about to get crushed. goni is now heading to the philippine capital, metro manila. you can see the bands of thick clouds over here on the outer

reaches of the weather system. 13 million people live in the city, but it's unusually quiet today as people begin hunkering down for the night. but the biggest concern remains for the town of virac on catanduanes. it was the first urban area to be hit by the storm, and communications remain down. the municipality is believed to be home to more than 70,000 people. howard johnson, bbc news, manila. a major search and rescue effort is now into its third day in the turkish coastal city of izmir following a major earthquake that hit the aegean coast on friday, killing at least 50 people. the bbc‘s international correspondent orla guerin reports from the scene of one of the collapsed buildings in izmir where a search operation is continuing. well, the rubble here is several storeys high. this is what remains of an apartment block called the riza bey. it was mainly flats, but there were offices on the ground floor.

and this building was eight floors high. looking at all of this crushed concrete, it is hard to imagine that anyone else could be brought out alive. but another survivor was found here overnight. a man in his 70s. now, rescue teams are still working. they are on top of the rubble. they are searching by hand, but also with dogs. they have been using heavy machinery to pull away huge slabs of concrete. and as they are doing all of that, a short distance away relatives are maintaining a vigil. many have been here since the moment of the earthquake — that was 2:51pm on friday afternoon, local time. we have spoken to one man whose sister is missing. she is a woman of 24 and she was working in the dentist's office here at the bottom of the building. now, since the quake happened, more than 100 people have been brought out alive, but local

sources are telling us that as many as 100 are still unaccounted for. and with every hour that passes, the death toll is continuing to rise. lets bring you the latest on coronavirus cases from scotland. 1148 cases have been confirmed in the last 24 hours. six deaths have happened with people who have tested positive in the last 28 days. 1399 people are in hospital. that's an increase of 44 in the previous day. 81 people are in intensive care, thatis 81 people are in intensive care, that is an increase of one. they are the latest figures we have had

regarding coronavirus cases in scotland. more on coronavirus, and a mass testing programme will be rolled out across redcar in north yorkshire with all 36,000 residents being offered a test whether they have symptoms or not. it's part of a move by borisjohnson to hit the target of a million tests a day by the end of the year. if successful it could be rolled out across the uk. i can discuss this further with lawrence young who's a professor of molecular oncology at warwick medical school. what is the benefit of this approach to testing as compared to how it has been up till now? this confined active infections from people who are either presymptomatic or asymptomatic. so far everything has been done with people who have symptoms. but we know that two thirds of infected individuals who can pass on the infection, don't have any symptoms. the time will be screaming with the mass programmes

for people who don't have symptoms but could have the virus. this has been done in some other countries and we have seen amazing examples of this. a few weeks ago in china, an entire city was screened. they identified some cases to start with and then they screened 9 million people in five days. we have heard of similar approaches in slovakia. what impact with this potentially have on schools and universities or is it hard to be that specific?” think it is an interesting one. white we hear about vast numbers of people being screened, what is important is how we use tests locally and how those tests are properly supported by public health and primary care teams and what it means for how we might be able to deal better with infections in

schools or care homes. mass testing is very different from diagnostic testing. what we really need to do is use these testing in a local context so we can deal with the infections in schools, care homes and in businesses. how soon would they be able to take the results of this geographically limited test in yorkshire, decide if it has been a success and then move to rolling it out across the rest of the uk, do you think? i think it will take some time. one of the big issues with these tests is what are they and how specific are they. there is a benchmark test which is being used in hospitals and lighthouse laboratories. some of these more rapid tests are being used on saliva samples but they need to be validated and compared to the benchmark tasks. there is an issue with this because this is where specific safety of the task becomes important. if you roll the test out

to 60 million people, even if it is 99% accurate in terms of detecting the virus, you will still have hundreds of thousands of people who are testing positive when they are actually negative. this will be a way of validating the test and identifying how useful it will be in terms of rolling it out to the general population. it sounds to me that kind of thing, correct me if i'm wrong, but this approach to testing seems the kind of way that perhaps their muse who had crowds of people or people turning up, right now, they can't have that because of the risk of asymptomatic people passing on virus. but if they were able to do mass testing on arrival, is this the sort of thing that would perhaps, months from now, allow those venues to up and operate profitably once again? absolutely, this is the way to do it but it

needs to be a well coordinated system. it has to integrate with what you are doing locally. you need your public health teams locally to do this. it is an interesting way of dealing with quarantine, for example, in slovakia, they are screaming everyone over the age of ten and you wait an hour and then get a result. you are then asked to quarantine or taken off somewhere to quarantine. the basic issue we have here is compliance around isolation. it is important for the next lockdown to buy time to get these tests validated and sort out test, trace and isolating. transport for london which runs the city's buses and tube trains has agreed a deal with the government for a further 1.8 billion pounds of emergency funding. tfl has faced a big fall in fare—paying passengers since the start of the pandemic.

london mayor sadiq khan said the agreement "wasn't ideal" but would avoid measures such as expanding the congestion charge zone or ending free travel for under—18s. london mayor, sadiq khan, has said the government has introduced the forthcoming far too late, and it should have happened weeks ago. of course we will support the government and make sure londoners continue to make the monumental sacrifices we have made of the last seven months. but i am furious at the dither and delay from this government. people like me, more than two and a half weeks ago at the same to the government, listen to your experts. your experts are advising a short national circuit breaker. two weeks of strict restrictions that will avoid long—term restrictions and lo and behold, the prime minister ignored that advice and we now have a

further lockdown from this thursday. london mayor there. now it's time for a look at the weather with matt. hello. some pretty rough conditions around western areas once again later. the winds will be picking up across the country. this morning's rain, though, out of the way, a little bit of sunshine to start the afternoon throughout eastern areas, but more cloud, more rain spirals its way in, northern ireland, southern scotland, northern england, north and west wales, some of the heaviest of the rain through the afternoon. the strongest of the winds, though, through the western isles, touching 80 mph later. 60—65 mph in the north and west of wales to finish the day, which will transfer into northern england for a time through tonight. it stays breezy through the southern half of the country tonight, there is a breeze coming in from the south—west with cloud and outbreaks of rain, an incredibly mild night here, 17 or 18 degrees, could be one of the warmer nights on record. a much chillier start tomorrow for scotland and northern ireland, and that chilly air will work through all of us through the day. the morning cloud and rain in east anglia and the south clears through to sunshine. the rest of the country sunshine and showers, showers most frequent across parts of southern scotland, northern england, north and west