this is bbc news. the headlines at 5:00. a senior government minister warns the second coronavirus lockdown in england could last more than a month — and says any decision would depend on how much the restrictions brought down levels of infection. we need to recognise that we do need to get the infection rate, the r rate, below one. we believe on the basis of the evidence that we have that we will be able to do so. the labour leader welcomes the new measures — but calls on the government to use the time to ramp up test and trace. the government has to keep its side of the bargain here. if they don't use the time to fix test, trace and isolate then i think 2nd december will be a review date, not an end date. the most powerful storm of the year — typhoon goni strikes the philippines, bringing wind speeds of up to 225kph.

a major search and rescue effort is now into its third day in the turkish coastal town of izmir, following a major earthquake that hit the aegean on friday, killing at least 50 people. and donald trump and joe biden each make a last bid for votes in swing states that could be key to winning the white house. good afternoon. the four—week lockdown in england, which will start on thursday and is scheduled to end on december 2nd could be extended. the cabinet minister michael gove said ministers will be "guided by the facts". he said the government wanted to get the coronavirus reproduction rate below the critical level of 1. borisjohnson announced the latest round of restrictions at a news

conference last night. it comes as the number of coronavirus infections for the latest 24—hour period stands at 23,254. another 162 people have died within 28 days of a positive test. the strict measures are set to come into effect on thursday. they will see pubs, restaurants, gyms and non—essential shops and places of worship close. however, schools, colleges and universities can stay open. travel and overnight stays in the uk and abroad will be restricted and meeting others indoors or in private gardens is banned. labour criticised the government for rejecting its call — last month — for a so—called "circuit—brea ker" — that's a tight set of restrictions for a fixed period of time. for the latest, here's our political correspondent helen catt. they are the headlines the prime minister never wanted to see, arriving at his own door this morning. england will go into a second national lockdown from thursday.

it should end on 2nd december. one of the government's most senior ministers indicated that was the hope but a guarantee. that was the hope but not a guarantee. if we ensure all the steps we're taking now but taken appropriately, we will have an opportunity to review the progress we are making and in advance of december 2nd we can communicate to those areas where some restrictions may be required, what they will be, and other areas where we have beaten back the virus, explain whether liberties can be restored. labour will back the new lockdown in a vote in parliament with a degree of frustration. if what they announced yesterday had been announced when i said it should have been three weeks ago, we could have had the lockdown and schools shut because of half—term. people will be waking up this morning and thinking, how on earth did it get to this? he warned the government needs to use the time wisely. the government has to keep its side of the bargain.

because if they don't use this time to fix test, trace and isolate, then i think 2nd december will be a review date, not an end date, because for months and months and months that they have promised a world—beating test, trace and isolate system, which is vital. if you don't test you can't trace, if you don't trace you can't isolate. it's been busted for months. use the time to fix it because otherwise we are going to be back in this cycle for months and months and months. particularly, he said, to keep schools open, a government commitment with which he agrees. and which is the big difference between the new lockdown for england and what happened in the spring. that may not be possible, one of the government's scientific advisers has warned, and he cast doubts on their plans to return to regional restrictions after lockdown. what mustn't happen is whenever that day comes, 2nd december, or a little bit later, that suddenly the world goes back to normal. it's not going to go back to normal immediately. i think it will be at least what is currently called tier 3, or tier 3 plus across the country.

i don't think it makes sense to go back to regional variation in the restrictions that are in place immediately after this set of more draconian measures are lifted. in leeds they had been due to move into tier 3 restrictions anyway, but these people seem 0k with tougher national measures. obviously i'd rather it not happen. but if it means the virus reduces i'm all for it. it feels sudden but at the same time we kind of expected it. if it's necessary, it's necessary. long term, it has got to be done, hasn't it? the new lockdown will be debated in parliament this week. expect more questions over how and when it will end, even before it has begun. helen catt, bbc news. that report there from helen catt. the national education union has called for the government to close schools and colleges with the introduction of a national lockdown across england. earlier i spoke to the conservative mp and former education secretary damian hinds who says it's important that schools remain open.

the health effects of school go far beyond this question of covid—i9. when kids are out of school for extended periods that is bad for their mental health in children and young people, being out of the routine, just out of the exercise of going to school and crucially than mixing with other children at school, your friends, mixing with other children at school, yourfriends, growing up, these are all incredibly important aspects. when you do a lockdown you do have to make some very, very difficultjudgments do have to make some very, very difficult judgments about what you are going to prioritise. is it any kind of human interaction? any kind of human interaction carries some risk of the virus spreading but you know that you need to keep essential shops open, you know you need to keep medicalfacilities shops open, you know you need to keep medical facilities open, shops open, you know you need to keep medicalfacilities open, and actually we have really, really prioritised this time making sure that children's education is

prioritised. damian hinds speaking to mea prioritised. damian hinds speaking to me a little earlier. there will be key differences between different nations from thursday — when england enters a second lockdown. we will come to how that breaks down ina we will come to how that breaks down in a moment. the reason is because of the rapidly rising infection rates in many areas, as oui’ of the rapidly rising infection rates in many areas, as our health expert lauren moss explains from looking at the data. preparing for a second national lockdown. from thursday, the message in england will, once again, be stay home to save lives. non—essential shops and hospitality will close. schools and universities will stay open. but some scientists think further measures may be needed to stop the spread of the virus. we know that transmission, particularly in secondary schools, is high. personally, i think this is definitely the lockdown to put in place now. but if that transmission, particularly in secondary schools, continues to rise, then, that may have to be revisited in the next four weeks. according to the office for national statistics' latest

household survey, infection rates vary across the uk. in northern ireland one in 80 people is estimated to have covid—i9. in scotland, it's one in mo. in wales, it's one in 120. and in england, the average is one in 100. but in the north—west it's one in 43, and the south—east, it's one in 220 people. the prime minister says the measures are to prevent the nhs being overwhelmed, which would be a medical and moral disaster. currently, there are more than 9,000 people with covid—19 in english hospitals. almost 500 are on ventilators. i think the prime minister had no choice but to act on very clear evidence that the trajectory of hospital admissions, demand on the health service, was such that we just would have been overwhelmed in the coming weeks, to the point that it wouldn't just be a case of not managing the surge in patients with covid, but actually the nhs would not have been able to provide services to large numbers of non—covid patients.

rapid testing has been pointed to as one of the ways out of the shutdown, and is being trialled at the minute. there are different rules across the uk. wales's firebreak is still due to end on 9th november. schools will reopen in northern ireland tomorrow. and other measures are set to be relaxed in two weeks. while scotland will follow a five—tier system. the uk r number is thought to be around 1.2. bringing that down will be just one of the ways of measuring how long this latest lockdown will last. lauren moss, bbc news. as lauren referred to there, there will be key differences between different nations from thursday when england enters a second lockdown. we will talk to alexandra mackenzie in a moment. and louise cullen in enniskillen but first to james williams in cardiff — where the welsh cabinet have been meeting today to discuss the impact of the month—long

lockdown in england. we are already in lockdown in wales and have been for more than a week now. it is scheduled to end a week tomorrow on the 9th of november. the welsh government was very clear ahead of the borisjohnson government was very clear ahead of the boris johnson announcement government was very clear ahead of the borisjohnson announcement that the borisjohnson announcement that the dates would not change in light of the lockdown in england. but the prime minister's announcement that the furlough scheme would be extended, that has changed things here and quite frankly angered some politicians as well. because at one point we were looking here at wales of the lockdown period bridging two wage support schemes, the furlough scheme that was supposed to end yesterday and the newjob support scheme that was supposed to start today. the welsh government had called on the treasury to extend furlough over the summer. they had asked in recent weeks for the eligibility criteria for furlough to change, orfor thejob eligibility criteria for furlough to change, or for the job support scheme to be brought forward so that workers here didn't lose out. that was not forthcoming. so when it was announced last night that the furlough scheme would be extended ahead of england's lockdown, the first minister said quite simply

that isn't fair, other politicians had more colourful language. as you said the welsh government's cabinet has been meeting today to finalise details of the plan for the new set of rules that we will all be living by at the end of the firebreak lockdown on the 9th of november. we already know that pubs, restaurants, bars, churches and community centres will all be open. the rules will apply across the whole of wales. there will be no more local lockdowns, local restrictions. but they still need to adopt the eyes and crossed that he is. there are a few more meetings this evening ahead of the final meeting tomorrow at lunchtime. alexandra mackenzie is in glasgow. scotland is starting a new five tier system from tomorrow. over the last few weeks we have been living under quite tight restrictions. we haven't been able to go and visit each other in our homes across the country. and here

in the central belt which includes glasgow and edinburgh, pubs and restaurants have been closed. the central belt, as well as the city of dundee, will move into tier 3. there will be nobody in tier 4, which would be the closest to lockdown. areas like the western isles and murray will be brought down into tieri so they murray will be brought down into tier 1 so they will face murray will be brought down into tieri so they will face fewer restrictions because they've had fewer cases. the deputy first minister said today that he is hoping that the results of these tough restrictions, which are beginning to show. he said there is possibly a slight levelling out in the increase in cases. and then also moving into the five tier system. he is hoping that could possibly avoid a lockdown. but he has not ruled out a lockdown. but he has not ruled out a second lockdown in scotland. because of that the first minister nicola sturgeon has welcomed the extension of the furlough scheme for another month. but she has been

asking, what happens if scotland goes into lockdown at a different time to england? will that furlough scheme still apply? the leader of the scottish conservative party douglas ross put out quite a strong statement today. he said that scotland needs to be treated in the same way as england. he said any future lockdown in scotland should be covered by the furlough scheme. now over to my colleague louise culle n now over to my colleague louise cullen for the latest in northern ireland. here in northern ireland boris johnson's announcement has been described as a wake—up call. of course, described as a wake—up call. of course , we are described as a wake—up call. of course, we are halfway through a four week circuit breaker, a period of intense restrictions designed to avoid the need for a lockdown. bars and restaurants, close contact industries like hairdressers, have all been closed for a fortnight already, this is tied in with the

school half term break, they have also been closed for a fortnight. after mrjohnson's also been closed for a fortnight. after mr johnson's announcement on twitter last night the first minister arlene foster confirmed, as the executive agreed last week, that schools will reopen tomorrow and restrictions will be lifted as planned on november 13. those restrictions are starting to have an impact. the number of new cases has plateaued and is starting to decrease very slowly, though. and hospital inpatients are expected to level off in the coming week, although at numbers much higher than we saw during the first wave. but on friday in a statement, seen as something of a warning shot across the boughs of the stormont executive, the ireland health minister said that any progress made during these four weeks must be the central consideration when it comes to deciding what happens next. and he warned that numbers could not be allowed to surge again, whether

through complacency, full compliance with the rules, ora through complacency, full compliance with the rules, or a premature relaxation of all the restrictions. 0k, relaxation of all the restrictions. ok, louise cullen with the picture there in northern ireland and before that we heard from alexandra mackenzie on the scotland situation and from james williams in wales. thank you to you all. well, on the bbc news channel, we'll be answering your questions on the national lockdown in england and restrictions in other parts of the uk. that's at 9.30 tomorrow morning. so send your questions to #bbcyourquestions or email them to yourquestions@bbc.co.uk. with the us election just two days away, president trump is campaigning in five states that he needs if he's to stay in the white house. he's trailing the democrat candidate joe biden in opinion polls, but hopes promises of massive tax cuts will sway undecided voters. let's just take a quick look at how the polls are shaping up. mr trump has yet to narrow the gap

on his democratic challenger — who holds a nine—point lead nationwide. but as ever, it should be remembered that winning the popular vote does not necessarily win you the presidency. well, mrtrump and mr biden have been speaking at their rallies — let's get a flavour of what they've been saying. we have the number one economy in the world right economy in the world right now. cheering by far. and we're not losing it on my watch, i can tell you that. joe biden, sleepyjo spent 47 years outsourcing yourjobs, opening your borders and sacrificing american blood and treasure in endless foreign wars. michigan lost half of its auto jobs thanks to biden's nafta and china disasters. did you know that?

we could put an end to this presidency that has fanned the flames of hate around this nation and made us a laughing stock around the world. millions of americans have already voted. millions more are voting today, tomorrow, and god willing, all the way through to the close of the polls on tuesday. let's get more from our correspondent gary o'donoghue in michigan — where donald trump is holding his rally. gary, a real sense of things ramping up, the campaigning intensifying as we get to these crucial last couple of days, then? yeah, the pace is definitely picking up. five states in one day is a punishing schedule by any measure and it's an indication, of course, of the position the president is in. as you pointed out, he is lagging in the national polls, but more significantly he is lagging in the battle ground poll is as welcome in those key states that get you those

270 electoral college votes. here in michigan, 16 of those votes are up forgrabs, michigan, 16 of those votes are up for grabs, the president is significantly behind here, and brought that sort of message of economic nationalism to the voters here today, telling them that they would lose theirjobs, lose their industries, lose their famed would lose theirjobs, lose their industries, lose theirfamed car industry here in michigan ifjoe biden got into power. also, really mocking his opponent, as he is want to do at these rallies, suggesting joe biden is kind of losing it really. and also complaining about the weather. and that's one thing i can definitely confirm, it is freezing here. indeed, but we have had no complaints from you, gary, so we appreciate that. there is a point i'd like to pick up on about the number of votes that have been cast early. because there are huge numbers, over 90 million people have already voted. so how much difference does the campaigning in these last two days actually make?

that's absolutely right. i mean, 90 million is a huge number of early votes, dwarfing last time around, which i think was around 47 million. but bear in mind, if we only get the turnout we got last time, 138 million, so still 48 million more votes to battle for. people are expecting to turn out to be even higher this time around. the indications are all that, so there could be another ten or 15 million people on top of that, so you are looking in excess, potentially, of 60 million votes still to battle for. that's clearly worth battling for. that's clearly worth battling for. 0k, gary, thanks very much indeed. gary o'donoghue in michigan. the headlines on bbc news — a senior government minister warns the second national lockdown in england could last more than a month — amid fears that the rise in coronavirus cases could overwhelm hospitals. typhoon goni hammers the philippines damaging homes and causing flash flooding and landslides. four people are reported dead. a major search and rescue effort

is now into its third day in the turkish coastal town of izmir following a major earthquake that hit the aegean on friday, killing at least 50 people. there's concern that the second lockdown in england could have an impact on people's mental health — the mental health charity mind say that last week it saw a large increase in calls to their helpline. their chief executive paul farmerjoins us now. paul, give us a sense of how much of an increase this is on top of what you would normally see at this time of year as we go into the darker evenings and shorter days. well, i don't think there is any doubt that we have seen over the last two or three weeks a kind of slow but significant rise in calls to our number, roughly about 15—20% increase in calls over that period of time. and that's at a time when

we know that people's mental health has been quite tested, people's resilience has been tested, and we think that their ability to respond toa think that their ability to respond to a lot of issues has been tested as well. so that's why i think we are concerned that this next period will put a real pressure on our mental health, and that's why it's important that we all take steps to look after our mental health. and give us perhaps two or three practical things we could all do to that end right now. i think for those of us who maybe don't necessarily have a mental health problem at this point, there are two 01’ problem at this point, there are two or three things we can all do to really make sure we really look after our mental health. first of all, although the nights are closing m, all, although the nights are closing in, please do take the opportunity to get out and do some physical activity. we know a lot of people really benefited from that during the first lockdown period. the daylight hours are obviously shorter so daylight hours are obviously shorter so please take the opportunity to ta ke so please take the opportunity to take some physical activity, walk or a run, whatever it might be.

secondly, we know a lot of people found it helpful to kind of turn—off from all the coronavirus noise and do take part in a hobby or a pastime that meant that you can just really concentrate on something that would ta ke concentrate on something that would take your mind off some of the challenges. and thirdly, just making sure you have a really good structure to your day, sleeping well, eating well, really looking after your physical health as well as your mental health. we know these things can make a real difference, just to keeping us in managing and being able to tolerate what we know is going to be a really tough month ahead. paul, if we accept the advice that the government has had from scientists on the data, a lockdown appeared to be the option they felt was necessary. what do you think they could do, or could have done differently, to better support people's worries, fears and anxieties through all this?|j people's worries, fears and anxieties through all this? i think this is the part work we really need to see the government used the next couple of days just to clarify what

mental health support is going to be put in place. we are particularly concerned about people with existing mental health problems. we know that people found the last lockdown period really difficult with roughly two thirds of people with mental health problems saying their mental health problems saying their mental health deteriorated, got even worse during the lockdown period, and that's now becoming clear as the vast majority of mental health services are full to capacity as we speak. we need the government to commit to additional resources to enable people to be getting the right help and support they need at home, also making sure that there is enough capacity inside nhs mental health services so that if somebody finds themselves in crisis they can get the help and support they need. we also need to see particular attention being paid to people who are in the at risk group, so children and young people, we know are particularly at risk, people from black and minority ethnic communities who have suffered particularly during this period, and also people who are worried about

the financial consequences of covid. we really need to see the next few days for the government to clarify the situation when it comes to those key areas and really we need to see a very clear mental health support package that means people are not going to be alone during this very difficult time. 0k, paul, thank you very much. paul farmer of the mental health charity mind. at least four people are reported to have died as the strongest typhoon so far this year hammers the philippines. typhoon goni made landfall before dawn with what the authorities called "catastrophic" winds of more than 225kph and intense rain. our correspondent in manila, howard johnson, sent this report. the most powerful storm on earth this year hit the small island of catanduanes just before 5am this morning. hours later it made its second landfall, tearing through the popular tourism province of albay,

famous for its picturesque mayon volcano, today typhoon goni turned the region into a watery mess. strong winds whipped and lashed trees and electricity lines, flash floods inundated rivers and roads. people clambered onto the roofs of their homes to stay above the water line. the united nations fear that more than 20 million people are in the path of the typhoon. the philippine authorities have urged them to take refuge. translation: philippine authorities have urged them to take refuge. translationzlj evacuated because it's better to be safe. since i can't walk i would have to crawl to get out when the winds get stronger. but if i can what i would prefer to stay in our place. translation: i'm afraid because my mother's house is already weak and about to get crushed. typhoon goni is now heading to the philippine capital metro manila. you can see the bands of thick clouds over here on the outer reaches of the weather system. 13 million

people live in this city but it is unusually quiet today as people begin hunkering down for the night. but the biggest concern remains for the town of virac on catanduanes. it was the first urban area to be hit by the storm and communications remain down. the municipality is believed to be home to more than 70,000 people. howard johnson, bbc news, manila. a major search and rescue effort is now into its third day in the turkish coastal city of izmir following a major earthquake that hit the aegean coast on friday, killing at least 50 people. the bbc‘s international correspondent orla guerin reports from the scene of one of the collapsed buildings in izmir where a search operation is continuing. well, the rubble here is several storeys high. this is what remains of an apartment block called the riza bey. it was mainly flats, but there were offices on the ground floor. and this building was eight floors high.

looking at all of this crushed concrete, it is hard to imagine that anyone else could be brought out alive. but another survivor was found here overnight. a man in his 70s. now, rescue teams are still working. they are on top of the rubble. they are searching by hand, but also with dogs. they have been using heavy machinery to pull away huge slabs of concrete. and as they are doing all of that, a short distance away relatives are maintaining a vigil. many have been here since the moment of the earthquake — that was 2:51pm on friday afternoon, local time. we have spoken to one man whose sister is missing. she is a woman of 24 and she was working in the dentist's office here at the bottom of the building. now, since the quake happened, more than 100 people have been brought out alive, but local sources are telling us that as many as 100 are still unaccounted for.

and with every hour that passes, the death toll is continuing to rise. o rla orla guerin reporting for us. transport for london has secured a bailout from the government worth around £1.7 billion. tfl says the agreement will enable it to continue operating services in the capital until april next year. the exact amount of money involved is subject to passenger revenue. talks on longer—term funding continue. australia has recorded its first day without community transmission of covid—19 in almost five months. saturday was also the fourth day in a week that victoria — the epicentre of the country's second wave — had no community cases. however, travellers from abroad are still bringing the coronavirus into australia. there were a small number of positive cases in hotels used for quarantining them. peru's most popular tourist site, machu picchu, is reopening to tourists today after

being closed for the last seven months because of the coronavirus pandemic. the 15th century inca citadel, which until recently could expect as many as 5,000 visitors a day will now be limited to just under 700. now it's time for a look at the weather with stav. hello, there. part two of the weekend also looking pretty unsettled. we didn't do too badly yesterday afternoon with some sunshine than today. today we will see less sunshine, more cloud and rain, some of that rain will be heavy on hills with the risk of flooding and localised basis. this rain contains the remnants of what was but it is going to bring quite a punch to the north west of scotland is very strong winds. central scotland, north—west of england and wales, some of that main getting into the midlands and the eastern side of england at times. into the midlands and the eastern

another very windy afternoon, even into this evening, gusts of 40—50 mph, in excess of 74 the north—west of scotland, severe gales likely here. temperature wise, even as we end the day and head into the evening, mild for england and wales, 15—17 there. it stays in windy, wild and wet overnight, heavy bursts of rain piling into western hills. the severe gales clear gradually through the night across northern scotland. it turns a little dry here, we have a cool side, single figure values, but further south 11 — 16 degrees in the south—east so very mild indeed. into monday, we start windy with further rainfor monday, we start windy with further rain for england and wales on the cold front clearing through introducing cooler air. the next weather front moving into western areas will enhance the shower activity. we start with gales for england and wales and outbreaks of rain, tending to clear through. the skies will brighten with sunshine into the afternoon but we will see lots of showers into northern and western areas rattling through on that fairly strong westerly wind, some areas with longer spells of rain. fairly windy tomorrow, not as

windy as the weekend come the winds becoming lighter in scotland and northern ireland. temperatures will be coming down. single figure values in the north. after a mild start in the south and east, 10—13 . that will be noticeable. then we are into the much cooler air as we move out of monday for all areas. the cooler aircoming down of monday for all areas. the cooler air coming down from the north—west and round an area of high pressure. these values as we move through the week are not getting much above 11 01’ week are not getting much above 11 or 12 degrees. the windus will be lighter and they will be a fair amount of sunshine too. —— the winds. it is settling down thanks to high pressure, less windy, some sunshine but it will be colder by day and by night.

for longer if coronavirus infection rates don't come down enough. but cabinet minister michael gove says it is his fervent hope that with the strict measures, starting thursday, it will end on december 2nd. if we ensure that all the steps that we're taking now are taken appropriately, we'll have an opportunity — in advance of december 2nd — to review the progress that we're making. with the furlough scheme also extended for lockdown, we hear from businesses, and what it might mean for the economy. the search for survivors in the turkish city worst—hit by the earthquake which killed more than 60 people. what an incredible

achievement, for all of you! and in italy, win number 93 for lewis hamilton helps mercedes secure a record seventh constructors' title. good evening. the four—week lockdown in england, which will start on thursday and is scheduled to end on december 2nd, could last longer. the cabinet minister michael gove said ministers will be guided by the facts. he said the government wanted to get the coronavirus reproduction rate below the critical level of one. the strict measures are set to come into effect on thursday. they will see pubs, restaurants, gyms and nonessential shops and places of worship close. however, schools, colleges and universities can stay open.

travel and overnight stays in the uk and abroad will be restricted, and meeting others indoors or in private gardens is banned. today, labour criticised the government for rejecting its call last month for a so—called circuit breaker, where a tight set of restrictions would have been implemented for a fixed period of time. this report from our political correspondent jonathan blake contains flash photography. a round of golf while it's still allowed. here in hertfordshire, only the minimum restrictions are currently in place, but like the rest of england, people are now preparing for a new national lockdown. i think it's frustrating here, because the cases aren't that bad, and we've all been, you know, following the rules that we were given. golf's just been so fantastic for so many people. while people may not agree with it, we've got to stick with it. so it's a bit frustrating, yes, but rules are rules. well, i wasn't surprised, i think it was inevitable. i'm glad that they're keeping the schools open.

but i think it was needed, really. the lockdown is due to last until the 2nd of december, but a senior government minister said that was a hope, not a guarantee, and left open the option of restrictions staying in place for longer. if we ensure that all the steps that we're taking now are taken appropriately, we'll have an opportunity — in advance of december 2nd — to review the progress that we're making, and in advance of december 2nd, we can then communicate to those areas where some restrictions may be required what they will be and also other areas where we've managed to beat back the virus, we can explain where liberties can be restored. labour say they'll support the plan, but their leader is adamant it should have happened sooner. if what they announced yesterday had been announced when i said it should have been, two or three weeks ago, we could have had the lockdown and schools shut because of the natural break of half term. and, you know, people will be waking up this morning and thinking, "how on earth did it get to this?" the government has to keep its side of the bargain here, because if they don't use this time

to fix test, trace and isolate, then i think the 2nd of december will be a review date, not an end date. some conservative mps remain unconvinced that a lockdown is needed now and may yet vote against it in the house of commons this week. with labour's backing, the plan is likely to pass, but that won't end the debate about whether this month—long lockdown is the right thing to do and where england will be at the end of it. one scientist advising the government said a return to regional restrictions may be unrealistic. what must happen is, whenever that date comes, the 2nd of december or a little bit later, that suddenly the world goes back to normal. it's not going to go back to normal immediately. i think it will be at least what is currently called tier 3, or tier 3 plus, across the country. i don't think it makes sense to go back into regional variation in the restrictions that are in place immediately after this set of more draconian measures are lifted.

schools are staying open, unlike during the national lockdown early in the year. some argue that means it may take longer to bring the virus back under control. although some areas have been living under tighter restrictions for some time, this week will bring new limitations for everyone in england. what was the government's last resort has become a reality. jonathan blake, bbc news. the latest government figures show there were 23,254 new coronavirus infections recorded in the latest 24—hour period. that means that the average number of new cases reported per day in the last week is now 23,016. 162 deaths were reported. that's people who died within 28 days of a positive covid—19 test. it means on average in the past week, 260 deaths were announced every day. it takes the total number of deaths so far across the uk to 46,717.

this latest lockdown has been prompted by the recent rises in infection rates, but what are the other key indicators which would allow restrictions to be eased? here's our health correspondent lauren moss. from thursday, the message in england will once again be stay home to save lives. nonessential shops and hospitality will close. schools and universities will stay open. the prime minister has said the measures are to prevent a medical disaster with the nhs being overwhelmed. i think the prime minister had no choice but to act on very clear evidence that the trajectory of hospital admissions demanded the health service was such that we would have been overwhelmed in the coming weeks, to the point that it wouldn't just in the coming weeks, to the point that it wouldn'tjust be a case of not managing the surge in patients with covid, but actually the nhs

would not have been able to provide services to large numbers of none covid patients. there are more than 9000 patience with covid currently in english hospitals. getting the reproduction number of the virus below one is crucial. anything above that means it is spreading. in september, scientists looked at the effect different interventions could have on the r number, which is thought to be about 1.2 at the minute. a full lockdown like we had in march, that included schools closing, would have the biggest impact. it's thought the measures introduced in spring reduce the r by about 75%. they estimated closing pubs, restaurants, bars and cafes would have a moderate impact on transmission, bringing r down by 0.1 - 0.2. but transmission, bringing r down by 0.1 — 0.2. but they also considered the closure of nonessential retail and found that on its own it would have a minimal impact. there is a level

of uncertainty around these figures, and they're of uncertainty around these figures, and they‘ re based of uncertainty around these figures, and they're based on data before cases reached the severity they are at now. but it's helped the measures being introduced will bring that r number down. lockdown isn't a long—term solution, though. number down. lockdown isn't a long-term solution, though. you have to use it as an opportunity to improve the test, trace and isolation, and that is an exit strategy, and until we get mass testing up and running, fast turnaround is, and it is the fast turnaround, no use having a system that wait five days for a test return, because you can't get ahead of the virus. the prime minister has promised that a roll—out of rapid testing, which will give results within 15 minutes, is imminent. care has also advanced since march. the sickest patients can now be treated with the steroid dexamethasone, and some nightingale hospitals are on standby. many hopes are pinned on a vaccine, with scientists predicting positive results by the end of the year. until then, reducing

positive results by the end of the year. untilthen, reducing the spread of the virus and limiting its effect are the only ways of indicating how long this latest lockdown will last. lauren moss, bbc news. even a one—month lockdown will cost the government billions of pounds in extra support for businesses and employees. our business correspondent katy austin has been analysing where the money will be spent and what impact it will have. when pubs and restaurants have to shut, there is an impact the diners don't see — for firms in the supply chain. like this hampshire food wholesaler. we depend on hospitality for about 80% of our trade and the other 20% is care homes, hospitals, schools, so this is a big body blow. takeaways will still be allowed, to the relief of this owner of this restaurant in essex. we will simply revert our business back to takeaways and deliveries and hopefully we will do be doing a lot better than we did earlier in the year. and what about jobs?

furlough continuing will undoubtedly save many of them, but it comes too late for others. airport workerjake got his redundancy notice this week. it was gut—wrenching when i got it and obviously at the moment, with the fact that we are entering the second lockdown, finding anotherjob is going to ultimately be quite difficult. people being told not to travel abroad is another blow to aviation, while the shutdown comes just when retailers hoped to benefit from pre—christmas shopping. the original furlough scheme cost at least £40 billion. and the extended version looks set to add further billions to that price tag. there will also be grants available to businesses in england which are forced to close, up to £3000 a month. and there is an extension to mortgage holidays for struggling homeowners. again, the government is spending to try to minimise the damage of its restrictions. before yesterday's announcement, the government had committed something in the order of £200 billion for the economy over this year.

now, that is a staggering, big number. additional amounts over the next... if it's just another month will be a relatively small fraction of that, but again if it is two or three or four months, that is going to push that number from 200 billion up into 210,220,230 billion. in april, under the first lockdown, the uk economy shrank by a fifth. that sort of figure isn't expected again this time, but some industries fear a bleak winter. katy austin, bbc news. rescue teams are continuing to search for around a hundred people missing since friday's earthquake which struck turkey's aegean coast and several greek islands. at least 62 people were killed, and thousands have been made homeless. in the turkish city of izmir, survivors have been pulled out of the rubble of collapsed buildings, including a 70—year—old. our international correspondent orla guerin reports from the scene. they have been praying here for miracle rescues.

overnight, they got one — a 70—year—old man called ahmet citim who had been buried for 33 hours, carried out alive. he was reclaimed from this — the wreckage of an eight—storey apartment block, now all but erased from the landscape. a local official told us residents were worried and asked for an inspection over a year ago. it concluded the building wouldn't survive an earthquake. well, the search is continuing here, hour after hour. the rubble is several storeys high, and standing here, seeing all of this crushed concrete, it's hard to imagine that anyone else could be brought out alive. but the teams are still searching by hand, with heavy equipment, and with dogs. nearby, relatives are keeping

an anguished vigil. many haven't left the site since the moment of the earthquake at 2:51pm on friday afternoon. erdil is one of them — waiting for news of his beloved sister. she worked in a dental office on the ground floor of the building. my sister's university and other friend, every time call me, every time calling me, writing, on instagram, on the phone, every time, writing, calling, every people call me. we arejust waiting. some here are still clinging to hope, but the death toll is rising, and across this ea rthquake—prone country, many are now asking, could we be next? orla guerin, bbc news, izmir. england world cup winner and manchester united legend sir bobby charlton has been

diagnosed with dementia. sir bobby spent 17 years at old trafford, winning three league titles. his wife norma said she hopes the diagnosis could help others. the news follows the deaths with dementia of his older brotherjack injuly and fellow world cup winner nobby stiles on friday. manchester city retained the women's fa cup after beating everton 3—1 in extra time at wembley. despite a string of excellent saves from everton goalkeeper sandy mciver, georgia sta nway put the holders ahead, before janine beckie sealed the victory. city lifting the trophy for a third time. all talk in formula 1 recently has been about breaking records, and it was another one that was secured today. lewis hamilton's victory at imola helped seal a record seventh successive constructors' title for mercedes. and that win also puts hamilton on the brink of a seventh drivers' title,

as adam wild reports. this was formula 1's return to italy's famed imola circuit, a fitting place for lewis hamilton, who at every corner this season makes a little more history. as he races towards another world title, the team surrounding him are setting records of their own. it's lights out, and away we go! mercedes entirely dominant, although it was their other driver, valtteri bottas, who started out front. but the strength of the team is in the strategy as well as the speed, and when others made their stops, hamilton just kept going, leaving all the other drivers and the drama behind. max verstappen crashing out started a chaotic few moments. britain's george russell inexplicably losing control behind the safety car, and even in the pits the problems persisted. but for hamilton, no such issues leading home a mercedes 1—2, and yet more history. seven consecutive constructors' championships for mercedes! what an incredible achievement! another win for hamilton,

another title for mercedes — formula 1's unstoppable force. adam wild, bbc news. there's more throughout the evening on the bbc news channel. we're back with the late news at ten. now on bbc one, it's time for the news where you are. goodbye.

hello, this is bbc news.

let's get more now on the four—week lockdown in england, which will start on thursday, and is scheduled to end on december the 2nd. professor calum semple is a virologist at the university of liverpool — and a member of sage — the scientific advisory group for emergencies — which advises the government. he's been explaining to my colleague shaun ley about why he believes this second lockdown is necessary. we have gone to the line and held off as long as possible. this is what i can see between making this important decision. and nobody wants a lockdown but speaking in medical terms, the country is sick and it needs this medicine, nobody likes the taste of it, but it needs it. if we delayed any longer, we would go past a point of no return where it would become inevitable that the nhs would be overwhelmed by cases of covid, leaving no room for important other treatments such as the car crashes, that people that need intensive care beds after cancer treatment, after major operations. it's clearly a judgment call in the end, when a decision is made to do this. sage were advising this should be done perhaps, some members of sage advising it should

be done several weeks ago, the government waited to see its judgment of all the evidence taken together. what difference, i know this is hypothetical, i appreciate that, but from the scientific modelling, what difference might it have made if this had happened, if we had gone into lockdown may be six weeks ago or four weeks ago, that's the weeks ago, that sort of period, before we started to see this big rise? i think it is a mistake to think it is hypothetical, it is well proven, we know this from previous outbreaks in other countries and in the uk, that the earlier you make a decisive intervention, the lower you push the numbers and if you leave that intervention to a later point, because you are at a higher part of the curve, you only come down slightly less so inevitably with these issues, the earlier you act, the better it is for controlling the outbreak. but the challenge is then balancing the impact on society and other parts of the economy, and that's the political decision, and

that's what we've seen happen, the political decision was to leave it a little later, keep the economy going and try the tiered approach. dt had approached, then, has been tried, we are now going for a nationwide lockdown. as you said, it is driven in large measure by the desire to ensure the nhs can cope with the numbers because those numbers are going to come, however we kind of handle this period. in terms of then our capacity to deal with that, what is your sense of the ability of us to maintain a service in the circumstances? it is still going to be very challenging, and even the tiered approach came later than we would have ideally wanted. and the tiered approach, in some areas, was showing signs of working, we we re areas, was showing signs of working, we were seeing plateauing of cases, but because the tiered system was

brought in relatively late that plateauing occurred at a high level, so plateauing occurred at a high level, so you plateauing occurred at a high level, so you are plateauing occurred at a high level, so you are having stable, but a high—level activity and that is what was hitting manchester and liverpool and causing severe stress in our staff in these hospitals. and then it has to be understood that when levels of sickness prize, if we did nothing at all, apart from the stress on the nhs we would then see other problems in other sectors of society, as general sickness just goes through the community and then you start to find that shifts for the fire brigade and police service become harder to fill and itjust ta kes become harder to fill and itjust takes one or two isolated incidences of stupidity and then a failure of the fire brigade to be gay were able to attend on time or a police car on time and then very rapidly you get a cascade of that behaviour or lack of confidence in civic organisations to maintain order. and that is that next phase, and that is inevitable, if we did nothing. so it is

difficult medicine, it is unpalatable medicine, but it is incredibly necessary. unpalatable medicine, but it is incredibly necessarylj unpalatable medicine, but it is incredibly necessary. i suppose the challenge that has to be made in terms of the debate you have with whether it is the politicians or us as members of the public is that it is not necessarily just as members of the public is that it is not necessarilyjust a case between doing this or doing nothing, there were other options that were tried on other things that could still be tried. how do you deal with that? because there will be that residual feeling by a that? because there will be that residualfeeling by a lot that? because there will be that residual feeling by a lot of people, who will say, hang on a minute, we have had this tiered system and it hasn't been a place very long, we have had things like the will of six, which has been in place a bit longer. people will ask this question of are there other ways we could do this? it is not a case of doing nothing, but kind of alternative to the full england white lockdown? not today, not yesterday and probably not last week. we ran out of wiggle room to try other things. we had got into a position where unfortunately the sledgehammer of lockdown is necessary , sledgehammer of lockdown is necessary, and none of us like this

asa necessary, and none of us like this as a control mechanism, it is the least worst of solutions, but it is bad. we don't like this. hello, there. yesterday afternoon we did see some sunshine break through, but today widespread turning very windy across scotla nd widespread turning very windy across scotland later on, that is because it is closer to this new area of low pressure. further south more rain, large portions of england and wales with that. very windy, 40 or 50 mph widely, in excess of 70 mph in north scotland, and that wind and rain moves north across scotland over night, windy with outbreaks of rain, and into monday we start off with windy weather and rain in the south—east, clearing to allow some brightness through, so sunshine and showers to the afternoon, some showers to the afternoon, some showers merging together to produce longer spells of rain in places and

heavy as well. it will feel cool after a mild start in the south, highs of 13 degrees in the north, but it starts to come down through the week, as high building, it will feel colder, but lighter winds with some sunshine.

or three this is bbc news the headlines at six. the government says that england's four—week lockdown could be extended for longer, if coronavirus infection rates don't come down enough. we need to recognise that we do need to get the infection rate, the r rate, below one. we believe come on the basis of the evidence that we have, that we will be able to do so. the labour leader welcomes the new measures — but calls on the government to use the time to ramp up test and trace. the government has to keep its side of the bargain here because if they don't use this time to fix test, trace and isolate, then i think 2nd december will be a review date, not an end date. with the furlough scheme also extended for lockdown, we hearfrom businesses — and what it might