this is bbc world news, the headlines. talks between britain and the eu on a post—brexit trade agreement have been temporarily put on hold without agreement. the eu president ursula van der leyen and the british prime minister, borisjohnson, will discuss progress on saturday. the head of the world health organization has called for more funding to ensure worldwide access to coronavirus vaccines. he noted that most spending on health went on tackling diseases in rich countries. clinics in moscow will start offering covid 19 jabs from saturday — after president putin ordered the start of large—scale vaccination in russia for those groups most at risk. russia's sputnik vee vaccine is still undergoing phase 3 trials. us president—electjoe biden has addressed the latest report on us unemployment, which suggests the economic

recovery is slowing. he's called for urgent bipartisan agreement to help those who have lost theirjobs. at ten o'clock, jane hill will be here with a full round up of the day's news. first, as the pandemic continues to destroy lives and livelihoods, wyre davies meets some of those whose futures are on the line. bosses, workers and students reveal the challenges they face. and bbc wales investigates examines new research looking at what it could mean for future jobs in wales. they are queuing down the street for a chance of a job. lots of people have been made redundant given the

situation that we are all in now. we had various qualifications, we had degrees, is coming out of university not able to go into the universities that want to work in. area managers, store managers. not offering any managerial positions best which is offering minimum wage jobs. the shop was flooded by a storm dennis forcing them to close. i would lock down head to keep things going the retreating from home. dining table in our home is become oui’ dining table in our home is become our business so to speak. this is where it all comes from and happens. when the for this can reduce this to the cannot afford to top of the wages and pay for the move. we had to make redundancies

which is a really tough decision to make. they were our staff, and have been with us for quite some time. it was awful, absolutely awful, i've never had to do it again and i certainly wouldn't want to do it again. they used a loan and grants to get the new shop ready. this is the calm before the storm! and in september, with a new team, they finally opened the doors. good luck, everybody, we can do it. at last! it didn't last long. then came the firebreak lockdown. you can't control what the welsh government and what the country are doing at the moment. we've taken on so many new debts, if you like, to be able to survive what we've survived, so, there's only a certain length everybody is scared, everybody is worried, nobody knows what's around the corner.

and in north wales, the picture is no different. what should be the start of a really busy day, the door has been closed, no customers. on the peninsular, this pub had a £1 million refitjust before the first lockdown. we had such a great opening planned, a band coming to play, all the locals had been given tickets to come to a free tasting evening and things like that and everyone variety to come and see what we had to offer. but in march, the grand reopening had to be postponed. brand— new kitchen, everything brand—new in it, down to the crockery. four chef's taken on. and now it lies empty.

as spring became summer, the first lockdown ended, and they could finally open the doors to paying customers. have you got a booking with us? i have, are you going to do my test? yes, there we go. but because the season wasn't so short, they couldn't catch—up. the business was always forecast to take over £1 million over the year. so, we've probably taken a quarter of what we were predicted to take manager heidi had recruited and trained a team for the pub's relaunch. lucy's on the ipad in the marquee as main host, so she doesn't need to come off the floor at all. but with takings so far down, theirjobs were now at risk. i haven't slept the last couple of nights, just through thinking, you know, what are we going to do?

do we share the hours out so they all get a few hours? but it doesn't really work then because it's not enough for them to live on. it is a story being repeated across wales, as workers are being forced onto the jobs market at the worst possible time. unemployment in wales is rising fast and we can reveal new research that warns this could be just the beginning. it forecasts that there may be tens of thousands more people trapped in long—term unemployment next year. in levels not seen for decades, as we continue to pay the price of lockdown. growing up in cardiff, james was determined to turn his love of flying into a career. it's all i've ever really wanted to do since i can first remember.

so, all of the work experience and subjects i took four gcses and a—levels have all been tailored towards the start of the training and becoming an airline pilot. but as he prepares to sit his final pilot exams, his career has been stalled by the pandemic. at the start we didn't really realise how much of an impact the pandemic would have on the industry. how much did you have to borrow to start the course? in the region of around £100,000. and that was to be paid back over about 8—10 years. the starting salary for most downlines was about £a0,000, which meant really there was enough to pay off the loan and also have enough to be able to live well. the loan is bonded to my parents‘ house so it is that extra bit of pressure on top to meet those repayments, so that it doesn't affect my family as well as me. but until aviation picks up again,

james has to look for anyjob. i am just going to try to look to go back into retail because that is what i did before i started the course. one of the jobs i have found is about £8 and our, but the contract is seasonal. so after christmas thatjob will be finished, most likely. so i will have to try and look for something more secure after christmas. james is one of the growing number now looking for work in wales. unemployment is rising faster here than in england. so, are there underlying reasons why wales is so vulnerable? vacancies in some of the big cities, in cardiff, are down about 50%... we ask researchers at the think—tank the work and learning institute to analyse what the pandemic has been doing two jobs in wales. we have found out that one

in five workers are working in the shutdowns sectors, which have been most affected by the first lockdown, hospitality and tourism, aviation, high street retail, about a quarter of a million workers in wales. but then you compare wales to the rest of the uk and the high proportion ofjobs we have got in this area, around one in five, means we are more vulnerable. they are more likely to be letting people go, and also they are more likely not to be hiring new people. wales's tourist industry has been devastated by the covid crisis. the thousands of seasonal jobs normally on offer weren't there this year. 0n anglesey, at the sea zoo, the owner and herfamily had to keep things going during lockdown. i've got bills to pay that

i can't pay, i've got fish to feed that i can't feed, it's incredibly stressful. before the pandemic, frankie was planning to expand the zoo. now, it is just about survival. there was a stage for several weeks where it was hand to mouth, with feeding the animals and with keeping the bills paid. i worked out that i had lost over 200,000 that i normally would have had of income, through easter and the may bank holiday. i could work effectively for free anyway, i do it in the winter, if i can't pay myself, and i furloughed 80% of my staff, but it was an absolute nightmare trying to make sure everything was done because we were absolutely flat out 24/7 just to try and stay on top of things. like many other business owners, she has had grants, but frankie says what she really needed was clearer guidance from the welsh government about when she could open and what the rules would be for it was impossible to plan for anything. you would have to kind of carrot

dangled, it might be like this in a week or two, watch this space... or it would suddenly be thrust on you three days later so you would have no opportunity to plan for it. to keep the public safe, the welsh government says it has given businesses as much notice as it could to help them operate. without tourists, the zoo's cash flow dried up and frankie was unable to take on extra seasonal workers over the summer. i've been doing this for 14 years now, i have a very tight cash flow, i know when i'm doing my maintenance, when i'm paying my big bills, when i am bringing staff in. add all of that was completely thrown out of the window. for now, the zoo's expansion plans are on hold. and at the pub, restrictions and lockdowns have left manager heidi with tough decisions to make. we've still got three chefs at the moment,

and 11 staff out front, i would say it would go down to two sheffs at the most, and we will probably cut our front staff down to five. this waitress was taken on when trade began to pick. my contract is a zero hours contract, there is no guarantee, i suppose, so i willjust have to wait and see i am trying to pass my driving test, and thisjob is my only source of income at the moment, and without the money, i can't get the lessons for the driving licence. bethan, another waitress, has only been in the job for two months. she is worried she could be one of the first to go. i need to pay the rent, i'm struggling, i don't know what's going to happen. as businesses are forced to cut

costs, it is often the so—called gig workers who lose out, that is those on zero—hour, seasonal or agency contracts. one in eight of the workforce in wales are gig workers, that is a higher ratio than in england or scotland. but another sector badly hit one of those laid off because of the crisis had just started an apprenticeship. new house, new baby? new everything. elinjones was training to become a welder, he had just become a dad and had taken on a new mortgage with his fiancee. i even signed a contract with them that i would be there for six years, and then a week after i signed the contract, they laid us off,

which is sickening. you have to go home and tell your wife, i haven't got a job, through no fault of my own. it is worrying, because i thought no one will be taking on now in the middle of the pandemic. although we knew we would be ok for a month or two through our savings, which i thought if we got a job before the end of that month or two then we can't pay the mortgage, you know? this factory in bridgend is where allyn used to work. it specialises in high—tech, green energy products. his former boss had hoped to expand the business. we came into 2020 very positive with a very big order book, the biggest we have ever had, and then of course coronavirus came along and everything sort of stopped. we couldn't shut our doors

because our contracts wouldn't let as, and by the time we needed to cut the workforce, the furlough scheme was no longer available. byjuly, with orders drying up, mark had to break the bad news to allyn and his colleagues. we had 42 employees in this factory and our new factory, which we had just opened injanuary. we had to cut staff down to about 15 now. how difficult was it to let people go? that was very painful. you don't build up the team to then go and lay them off. after losing his apprenticeship, allyn was desperate to find anotherjob in the summer, with taylor—may still on maternity leave, he needed to keep earning. i had applied for 75 plus jobs.

i got maybe five or six call—backs. i had one interview. nothing, got nothing back, because, you know, theyjust weren't hiring, let alone having an interview with someone face—to—face. were fearing the worst, that you might have to give up your new home, just weeks after moving on? yeah, maybe sell it. get something smaller. get something on the market quick before we lost all of it. at least we could get our money back from what we put into it. the banks are not giving out loans because they don't feel that people are to pay them back, so what do you do? like i said, you have a little car boot out of your garage to save a couple of coins, but it's not enough. baby's nappies, he needs food, or his clothing. he grows out of clothes within two or three weeks. unemployment rates are broadly similar in wales and england, but this year the rate has been rising much faster in wales. there's been a 41% increase here.

that's compared to just 18% across the border. the latest estimate is that 20,000 more people are looking for work in wales. that's bad news forjames. until aviation recovers, he needs anyjob, and competition is fierce. the main problem really outside the aviation sector i have noticed really is that a lot of well—paid jobs require university—type degrees, which people like us don't really have. the majority of the wages are around £15,000, which at this point i would definitely take, but i think itjust makes it a lot harder to live comfortably on that wage, especially with the loan that i've got to repay back as well,

for the pilot training. just weeks away from qualifying, james is worried it could now take him years to actually start working as a pilot. i think really the worst case scenario would be that sort of the pilotjobs don't come back, sort of maybe five to six years, because they decide to take the more experienced people first. in port talbot, two generations of the same family are struggling to keep their careers on track. richard has worked as an engineer for british airways for 26 years. his daughter katie is in college, training for a career in health and beauty. richard had been furloughed, but it was just a temporary fix. in the summer, his job is at risk. it looks like i'm going to be out of work. there is only 80 of us

in our position, and there is only 30 going to go forward and keep a job, and my work'sjohn because 747s being stood down so in public going to have to start looking for anotherjob somewhere. katie is halfway through a two—year college course. she thought the beauty industry would be a safe bet but now she is not so sure. it's going to be really tough now, like, leaving college, really, because if it is the way it is now when i leave, i don't really know how it's going to go. ijust have to apply for loads of places and hope that one comes back to me but there is going to be a few of us leaving, so we might all be going, you know, trying the same places, so it's going to be a bit of a competition really. the uncertainty is the hardest part of it now, not knowing what's going to happen in the future, if i'm going to be out of work

or whatjob i'm going to find, if i'm going to be able to find a job, that's the worst part now. it's all closing in on me now really. richard was worried he might become one of wales's 11,000 long—term unemployed, and the learning and work institute forecasts that number could rise dramatically to 114,000 next year, because of the impact of the pandemic. what our modelling shows as it could go up to between 29,000 or 67,000 people being unemployment, so in mid range is about 44,000. what that compares to is that kind of blows out of the water of the 2008 financial crisis, in terms of long—term unemployment numbers. it takes us back to the early 19905 and the kind of recession then. it is important these aren'tjust statistics, not just numbers, they are real people with realjobs and real families, and we know there is a long—term scarring impact.

it has an effect on your physical health, your mental health, so it is absolutely critical government acts quickly in order to stop this kind of modelling potential that we might see during the pandemic, the most common says it has allocated more than £1 billion to support businesses and protect jobs, but what is the economy minister's plan to deal with the long—term fallout? there would be a risk of significant levels of long—term unemployment if we don't tackle that economic challenge. what can you realistically do to prevent that happening? invest in jobs and jobs and more jobs. we have a track record of investing in people, in supporting people through the most difficult of economic times. we are confident that we've got plans, the policies, the schemes in place to again prevent the sort of devastating, devastating long—term scars that mass long—term unemployment can

inflict on a country. what kind of forecasts are you getting from your advisers? are they bleak forecast? no forecast has been rosy, there is no forecast that will suggest we are going to come out of this incredibly rapidly and we are instantly going to bounce back. show me your hacking again. that's it. katie is still pinning her hopes on becoming a beauty therapist. i wanted maybe to own my own salon one day, or may be even work abroad with beauty, so i don't know how it's really going to work. i try my best to just focus as much as possible. it's quite worrying when i think of it, but ijust try to think as positive as possible and hope for the best, really. just a year out of school, katie's still trying to be optimistic. but what about those who are about to leave?

also competing with older adults that are entering to me you made unemployed. all looking for the same sorts ofjobs and if you are an employer who are you going to go for? you're going to go for someone with potentially more experience or more qualifications. going to post on people at the bottom of the labour market already and going to push them out from employment altogether. this peninsula, manager heidi has had to lay off some of her staff. they are a great team, they put such a massive effort in. when they've kind of given you that loyalty and been so fantastic at theirjob, it is really hard to make those decisions. bethan and rhian are still there, but until trade picks up again, they are working fewer hours. here you go. if you could just take the glasses off the tray for me, if that's ok? i understand what it means to them personally within their own families, which is really hard to take

after months of worrying about whether he would keep his job at british airways, richard has had the meeting. it got a bit emotional, because it was the shock of everything really, i just didn't expect to come home and tell the family that i've kept myjob. but some of his colleagues weren't so lucky. it was soul destroying, because you see their faces, and they didn't deserve to lose theirjob. they haven't done anything wrong, they've been really good technicians. it's really sad. there's no words you can put into it, really. to get back into work, they may need to learn new skills. we asked the institute how much it might cost to retrain just half the numbers of predicted long—term unemployed next year. we estimate it could cost around about an extra £280 million a year

from the government, from the welsh government, in order to invest in the retraining opportunities that were going to need. this is investment that goes above and beyond what we have only seen going into schools, colleges already, so this is new money to try and mitigate some of the impact on people losing theirjobs. we are seeing the welsh committee expand training and college places, friendships, in order to try and offset some of this challenge but i think at the moment the scale of the response isn't sufficient to meet the scale the challenge. but could the worst committee for that? scheme such as traineeships, react, personal learning accounts, they will receive additional spend from the worst covenant to support thousands and thousands of people. how much? already an additional spend of £40 million. we understand may be up to £200 million is needed... that is why we hope the uk government would recognise the value that skills training plays in building yourway out of a recession.

governments exist to intervene, to invest, and governments, in the case of recessions, exist to do what they can to combat what experts say is inevitable. the uk government has announced more money for skills and support in england. this, in turn, will mean more money is available for wales. however, there are fears that this alone will fall far short of what is needed. so, for many, the future remains uncertain, but as a vaccine now offers us all a glimmer of hope in the fight against covid, pilot james is determined to keep his ambitions alive. i am very hopeful that the industry will pick back up and people like myself will be able to go into the airlines and do the job that we've always wanted to do. and in bridgend, allyn has finally

found work at another factory. when i took on the apprenticeship, they took me on. how much of a relief was that? it was, it was close this is probably the best luck i've had in a while. and they are all swarovski crystal. as they prepare for christmas, they are hoping their life is about to change too. we need to survive another year until they introduce vaccination and everything else, then we kind of go back to some sort of normality was doubly micro the passion that we've got, we will always survive, but it's apprehension of, you know, what will next year bring? who knows?

hello there. low pressure sticking around overnight is going to bring further bands of rain, showers, also some sleet and snow, mainly over the higher ground. and the strong winds which we've had across northern and western areas will gradually become more confined towards the west and the southwest, slowly easing down through the course of the night. now, it looks like much of the southeast will stay dry, clearing quite cold here, but further north and west, lots of showers, longer spells of rain, some snow for the pennines and over the higher ground of scotland. those temperatures then ranging from around —1 or —2 celsius in the east to around 4 or 5, so we could see a touch of frost across some eastern areas to greet us for saturday morning. the weekend is staying cold for all, but it will gradually turn drier as this area of low pressure slips away southwards and takes the showers and the hill snow with it, so we'll have much lighter winds on sunday with a little bit of mist and fog, perhaps some sunshine too. and it stays chilly and mainly settled as we head on into the start of next week too.

tonight at ten — brexit trade talks have been paused for the evening without an agreement with just four weeks to the end of the transition period. the eu's chief negotiator michel barnier was due to stay in london this weekend to continue talks — businesses say it's causing huge uncertainty. really, it's now getting under 30 days and we're no clearer or further forward as to what's going to happen. the prime minister and the european commission president will talk tomorrow to discuss the state of play. also tonight: a 16—year—old boy is among the four people killed following the explosion at a water treatment plant near bristol. preparing for the covid vaccine rollout — the pfizerjab will be offered in hospitals from next week, and from gps in england