harmful air pollution as far away as new york. thousands of people have been evacuated in oregon, where the largest active wildfire has burned 1500 square kilometres. the uk government has announced that hundreds of thousands of nurses and other nhs staff in england will receive a three per cent pay rise. there had been outrage at an earlier proposal for a one percent increase. the eu has rejected demands by the uk government to redraw the post—brexit trading arrangements it agreed for northern ireland. hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be bringing us tomorrow.

with me are lizzy burden, economics reporterfor bloomberg geraldine scott, political correspondent at the press association. tomorrow's front pages, starting with... a global boom for the private equity industry leads on the front of the ft as it reports on the soaring shares of bridgepoint advisors. reports on the soaring shares meanwhile, the metro focuses on the impact self isolations are having on superarkets — which it illustrates with empty shelves as stocks as staff are caught up in the �*pingdemic�*. on the same story, the sun reports supermarkets�* warnings to the prime minister that there's 48 hours left to resolve the pings or face empty shelves. and business chiefs�* calls for store workers to be included on the isolation exemption list lead on the front of the telegraph, as it also leads on strains on supermarkets.

supermarket shelves laid bare is also the front of the mail — it reports 1.7 million workers are thought to be in quarantine. the mirror also reflects the same story on its front, but leads on the pay rise for nhs staff. it asks �*is that really all they are worth' as it reports the 3% increase. on the same story — the guardian reports nurses are likely to reject the award as too low and may take industrial action in protest. so let's begin... i think we should start with the sun because the paintings are running out. this is a story that's on almost all of the front pages. geraldine, if i start with you, pings are running out. this of course is after huge numbers of people have been pinged by the nhs covid app. an illustrated with a picture of the empty shelves. yes. picture of the empty shelves. yes, that's not the _ picture of the empty shelves. yes, that's not the first _ picture of the empty shelves. yes, that's not the first time _ picture of the empty shelves. yes that's not the first time we'd seen

empty shelves during this pandemic, is a? but for a completely different reason. i think any of us really don't know someone who is now been pained as we opened up. of course that was to be expected in the government has said that that is to be expected all along. i think what was maybe not anticipated is the massive impact that is can have on the food supply chain for whether that's lorry drivers, people that work in factories, people work and processing plants. it's causing massive problems and businesses are crying out for help. the massive problems and businesses are crying out for help-— crying out for help. the pictures of the empty shelves _ crying out for help. the pictures of the empty shelves around - crying out for help. the pictures of the empty shelves around several| crying out for help. the pictures of. the empty shelves around several of the empty shelves around several of the front pages. it doesn't mean that every shot in the country has empty shelves. these photographers happen to have found some, haven't they? happen to have found some, haven't the ? ., , ., �* ., they? know, but i wouldn't want to underestimate _ they? know, but i wouldn't want to underestimate this _ they? know, but i wouldn't want to underestimate this problem - they? know, but i wouldn't want to underestimate this problem of- they? know, but i wouldn't want to underestimate this problem of the | underestimate this problem of the scale _ underestimate this problem of the scale that— underestimate this problem of the scale that brings a get a wake to tomorrow — scale that brings a get a wake to tomorrow. this is affecting 1.7 million — tomorrow. this is affecting 1.7 million workers. and it's

exacerbated in the case of the lori drivers _ exacerbated in the case of the lori drivers by— exacerbated in the case of the lori drivers by brexit because lots of those _ drivers by brexit because lots of those truck drivers have gone home. the problem is the government isn't nudging _ the problem is the government isn't nudging on— the problem is the government isn't budging on demands to adjust the apps sensitivity, it works on bluetooth. and then even if there have been— bluetooth. and then even if there have been demands to exclude some people. _ have been demands to exclude some people, exempt some people, that won't _ people, exempt some people, that won't happen until august the 16th. and it's _ won't happen until august the 16th. and it's not — won't happen until august the 16th. and it's not going to be blanket isolations— and it's not going to be blanket isolations for sectors or roles. it isolations for sectors or roles. it is going — isolations for sectors or roles. it is going to, _ isolations for sectors or roles. it is going to, it's already having a massive — is going to, it's already having a massive effect notjust on business but on _ massive effect notjust on business but on the — massive effect notjust on business but on the police, royal mail deliveries, it will affect people up and down — deliveries, it will affect people up and down the country even, whether or not— and down the country even, whether or not they've been pained. the same sto on or not they've been pained. the same story on the — or not they've been pained. the same story on the front _ or not they've been pained. the same story on the front of _ or not they've been pained. the same story on the front of the _ or not they've been pained. the same story on the front of the daily - story on the front of the daily terror to enact telegraph which goes into more detail. also makes the point that the government has yet to publish guidance on which industries would benefit from any exemption scheme. in other words,

would benefit from any exemption scheme. in otherwords, if would benefit from any exemption scheme. in other words, if you are at pained. you would necessarily have to self—isolate. —— pained. have you heard any more when we might get the detail on that? we've been exneeting _ might get the detail on that? we've been exneeting a — might get the detail on that? we've been expecting a list _ might get the detail on that? we've been expecting a list but _ might get the detail on that? we've been expecting a list but it - might get the detail on that? we've been expecting a list but it hasn't i been expecting a list but it hasn't materialised yet. one of the problems is that number ten has been saying that these are industries that already speak to government on a regular basis. whether that's food sunpiv, a regular basis. whether that's food supply, traffic or all those industries was up when he was asked today the prime minister couldn't actually provide a list of sectors. and could give any examples where exemptions were already in place outside of the healthcare. you can see why people are getting a little bit touchy about it. especially if we've got 48—hour warnings. august 16 is going to be far too long to wait to fix these problems. interesting picking up on what you're saying a little bit more detail in the telegraph story. bp saying several of its petro stations had to close temporarily after running low fuel and tesco saying it

has run out of bottled water in its warehouses. 1's got to guard against a kind of panic, as in one? definitely. when toilet rolls were running _ definitely. when toilet rolls were running out earlier in the pandemic. but the _ running out earlier in the pandemic. but the way— running out earlier in the pandemic. but the way to stop panic is for the government to respond nimbly. as geraldine — government to respond nimbly. as geraldine says, there isn't that clarity— geraldine says, there isn't that clarity yet. there was even confusion _ clarity yet. there was even confusion about whether people need to isolate _ confusion about whether people need to isolate if they been pinged. the business _ to isolate if they been pinged. the business minister said people should make an _ business minister said people should make an informed decision on whether the quarantine for ten days and then later on— the quarantine for ten days and then later on the — the quarantine for ten days and then later on the government said everyone _ later on the government said everyone pinged should self—isolate and accept people giving the exemption. so that clarity is going to he _ exemption. so that clarity is going to be really important for businesses to avoid the pandemic, the panic— businesses to avoid the pandemic, the panic spreading.— the panic spreading. absolutely. let's move _ the panic spreading. absolutely. let's move onto _ the panic spreading. absolutely. let's move onto the _ the panic spreading. absolutely. let's move onto the front - the panic spreading. absolutely. let's move onto the front of - the panic spreading. absolutely. let's move onto the front of the | let's move onto the front of the mirror. they have got a of empty

shelves seeming a lack of bananas in the shot that they found. but they are leading onto the 3% pay rise for nhs staff. is that really all they are worth? i want to come to the meet, if you will of the pay deal in a minute. it might be worth you giving us a little bit of political background to this. because we are expecting this announcement all day, it was on, off, what was going on behind the scenes? do it was on, off, what was going on behind the scenes?— it was on, off, what was going on behind the scenes? do you know? i know a little _ behind the scenes? do you know? i know a little bear. _ behind the scenes? do you know? i know a little bear. i _ behind the scenes? do you know? i know a little bear. i can _ behind the scenes? do you know? i know a little bear. i can set - behind the scenes? do you know? i know a little bear. i can set all- know a little bear. i can set all the details. yes, we were expecting a statement to the comments and do reveal what pay offer the government was going to make for nhs staff was going to make for nhs staff. then she stood up and gave her speech and there was no mention of it which was a little bit perplexing. in every expected there wasn't going to be announcement today and then this afternoon this press release dropped with some details, i would say. although we've now got the figure,

what we don't have is more detail on how this is going to be paid for. and exactly the details surrounding that. there's still a lot of meat to get on the bones fair. the initial reaction from the unions hasn't been positive at all. and they are afraid of strikes already. i don't think we for the last of them.— for the last of them. yes, absolutely. _ for the last of them. yes, absolutely. that - for the last of them. yes, absolutely. that mirror i for the last of them. yes, - absolutely. that mirror quotes the royal college of nursing saying staff will not take this lying down. we spoke to pat a little earlier on bbc news in the nursing unions have asked for a 12.5% pay rise. 3% a little bit up on what the government had originally offered a 1%, is it a? but still... i5 had originally offered a1%, is it a? but still...— a? but still... is less than the four presented _ a? but still... is less than the four presented nhs _ a? but still. .. is less than the four presented nhs staff- a? but still... is less than the four presented nhs staff or . a? but still... is less than the - four presented nhs staff or scotland are getting at. it four presented nhs staff or scotland are getting at— are getting at. it still excludes “unior are getting at. it still excludes junior doctors _ are getting at. it still excludes junior doctors and _ are getting at. it still excludes junior doctors and girls - are getting at. it still excludes junior doctors and girls that i are getting at. it still excludes| junior doctors and girls that are outsourced by cleaners and borders. and if— outsourced by cleaners and borders. and if you _ outsourced by cleaners and borders. and if you think about the forecasts

for inflation for some of the bank of england and policy members they are saying for scent. actually this would _ are saying for scent. actually this would he a — are saying for scent. actually this would be a pay rise for nhs staff if you believe what they're predicting stop -- _ you believe what they're predicting stop -- for— you believe what they're predicting stop —— for present mac this strike action— stop —— for present mac this strike action that's — stop —— for present mac this strike action that's going to be really damaging if there is another wave of covid _ damaging if there is another wave of covid. when you've already got record — covid. when you've already got record long waiting lists. but you can understand why they are saying it's a _ can understand why they are saying it's a slap— can understand why they are saying it's a slap in— can understand why they are saying it's a slap in the face when already 100,000 _ it's a slap in the face when already 100,000 vacancies in the nhs, given this how— 100,000 vacancies in the nhs, given this how does it expect to fill them? — this how does it expect to fill them? l _ this how does it expect to fill them? ~ , this how does it expect to fill them? ~' , ., this how does it expect to fill them? ~ , ., ., , ., , ., , them? i think is going to be a story we hear more _ them? i think is going to be a story we hear more and _ them? i think is going to be a story we hear more and more _ them? i think is going to be a story we hear more and more about. - them? i think is going to be a story we hear more and more about. it i we hear more and more about. it broke about six o'clock this evening. the daily telegraph, a story here with the headline, johnson vaccine passport scheme facing collapse. geraldine, this is

a scheme of borisjohnson's. tell us a scheme of borisjohnson's. tell us a little bit more about it. and i'm assuming it's facing collapse because labour is threatening to vote against it. is that the size of the? , ., ., the? yes, on monday we had the prime minister nouns from _ the? yes, on monday we had the prime minister nouns from september- the? yes, on monday we had the prime minister nouns from september night i minister nouns from september night clubs and other venues which are yet to be defined, if you double vaccinated to get in and you'll be able to prove that and already we know that there are a lot of tory rebels who are very much against the idea and said they would vote against the government. what we didn't know is what labourers position was on it. we do now know that and it does mean that the governments majority really is under threat there. it's a real prospect that they could lose this vote. they have already been at least 42 conservative mps sign a petition saying they would vote against any such proposals with labour opposing it as well. there are sub—lib dem

mps that are very happy. they may well have the numbers but when it gets to vote it can be close to government. gets to vote it can be close to government-— gets to vote it can be close to government. gets to vote it can be close to rovernment. �* , .., ., , ., government. but this could all be a storm in a teacup. _ government. but this could all be a storm in a teacup. will _ government. but this could all be a storm in a teacup. will boris - storm in a teacup. will boris johnson actually push i with this plan in september if enough young people have been paying job to? this might all go away. people have been paying “0b to? this might all go awayh might all go away. exactly. the whole argument _ might all go away. exactly. the whole argument behind - might all go away. exactly. the whole argument behind it - might all go away. exactly. the whole argument behind it is - might all go away. exactly. the whole argument behind it is try might all go away. exactly. the i whole argument behind it is try to incentivise — whole argument behind it is try to incentivise young people to get the 'ob incentivise young people to get the job so— incentivise young people to get the job so they can go clubbing, finally _ job so they can go clubbing, finally. the argument from tory backbenchers and when you combine it with labour _ backbenchers and when you combine it with labour is it really makes a risk of— with labour is it really makes a risk of an— with labour is it really makes a risk of an embarrassment to the government. but the tory backbenchers are saying this could be a hop— backbenchers are saying this could be a hop skip and a jump to compulsory vaccination which is obviously— compulsory vaccination which is obviously completely against their principles. some are even threatening to wipe out tory party conference because they are saying shirley— conference because they are saying

shirley and a mass like that would have to _ shirley and a mass like that would have to show that we've got a vaccine — have to show that we've got a vaccine passport. as well, businesses are angry, it's notjust politicians — businesses are angry, it's notjust politicians. hospitality buses are saying _ politicians. hospitality buses are saying this is going to create tension _ saying this is going to create tension between staff and clubbers, it's going _ tension between staff and clubbers, it's going to create job losses, potentially. so exactly, it could be a storm _ potentially. so exactly, it could be a storm in — potentially. so exactly, it could be a storm in a — potentially. so exactly, it could be a storm in a teacup if the uptake is hi-h a storm in a teacup if the uptake is high enough after this threat, maybe we won't _ high enough after this threat, maybe we won't even get to this point. interesting again, it will be interesting to see what happens there. let me find the guardian and a story that we've been covering all day here on the bbc news channel. this may is the headline at attempts to ask brexit protocol. —— acts. in the way the guardian is rushing the stores the audacious part of the uk

to rewrite a key plank of the brexit deal saying that the northern island protocol was flawed at conception. but served its purpose to get the uk out of the eu as one country. geraldine, this is that he says, she says, is it? the european commission have ruled out a renegotiation. it’s have ruled out a renegotiation. it's an have ruled out a renegotiation. it�*s an impasse, is any? it is but we've seen a lot of these deadlines and cliff edges in the whole brexit saga. this does seem just like the latest one. what the uk is proposing is kind of a whole scrapping of the northern island protocol and the rewriting of it. you say they won't do that. they will be a bit flexible within it. maybe there is some wiggle room there. the uk side is clear that this is it working, businesses and it's really become a

mess. ministersaid businesses and it's really become a mess. minister said today can't go on as it is and things need to change. they are proposing this standstill where everything kind of reasons for a bit so they can take the pressure off and have a proper chat about it. it doesn't sound like were going to get a break for any time soon, i don't think. the guardian _ time soon, i don't think. the guardian says _ time soon, i don't think. the guardian says the _ time soon, i don't think. the guardian says the european commission is understood to be open to some changes on the special arrangements for northern island but new tail but not no detail on the front page. on the outside seems to be difficult how they can find a way all doing that through all of this. the eu is basically saying we will work— the eu is basically saying we will work within what you have negotiated says it's audacious. of course the uk side was goin you negotiated but we _ work within what you have negotiated but we won't start all over again. work within what you have negotiated but we _ work within what you have negotiated but we won't start all over again. the uk _ but we won't start all over again. the uk negotiated this, it signed the uk _ but we won't start all over again. the uk negotiated this, it signed this northern island protocol. you this northern island protocol. you uk side was going to can understand the eu side but on can understand the eu side but on the other— the other— can understand the eu side but on the other side of it the guardian can understand the eu side but on the other side of it the guardian

says— the other side of it the guardian says it's audacious. of course the uk side was — says— the other side of it the guardian says it's audacious. of course the uk side was — says it's audacious. of course the says it's audacious. of course the uk side was going to start with tall demands— uk side was going to start with tall demands because this isjust a wish list, demands because this isjust a wish list. this— demands because this isjust a wish list. this is— demands because this isjust a wish list, this is the starting point for the talks — list, this is the starting point for the talks i_ list, this is the starting point for the talks. i don't think either side would _ the talks. i don't think either side would deny, the eu side has actually accepted _ would deny, the eu side has actually accepted that this isn't working, as david _ accepted that this isn't working, as david frost — accepted that this isn't working, as david frost says. it's causing major headaches — david frost says. it's causing major headaches for businesses. and an asset— headaches for businesses. and an asset saying that to get a sandwich in they— asset saying that to get a sandwich in they are — asset saying that to get a sandwich in they are having three birth certificates. trucks are being stopped _ certificates. trucks are being stopped because there the wrong pen inc. stopped because there the wrong pen inc and _ stopped because there the wrong pen inc and its— stopped because there the wrong pen inc. and its on literal paperwork, it's not— inc. and its on literal paperwork, it's not even— inc. and its on literal paperwork, it's not even digital forms. as you say, _ it's not even digital forms. as you say this— it's not even digital forms. as you say this is— it's not even digital forms. as you say this is a _ it's not even digital forms. as you say, this is a real hard went to resolve, — say, this is a real hard went to resolve, it _ say, this is a real hard went to resolve, it has been the whole time, we always— resolve, it has been the whole time, we always knew that northern ireland