the national guard have been called up to help with major rescue efforts on the east coast of the united states. at least 20 people have died as a result of flooding caused by remnants of hurricane ida. president biden hasjoined leading politicians in new york state in blaming global warming for the intense rainfall. new york city's mayor, bill de blasio said the brutality of the weather was the biggest of wake—up calls. biden is launching a "whole—of—government effort" to ensure women in texas have access to safe and legal abortions. the state implemented a law that bans almost all abortions from six weeks into a pregnancy. and, one of the most successful pop groups of all time, abba, are reforming. the swedish superstars have revealed their first new song in forty years and will perform as holograms in concerts in london from may.

hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. with me arejoanna jarjue, tv and radio commentator and anne ashworth, property & personal finance commentator. tomorrow's front pages, starting with... the telegraph says it expects borisjohnspon to announce a manifesto—breaking tax rise next week to pay for the biggest overhaul in social care funding in a generation and bring down nhs waiting lists. that's alongside its picture story of abba in motion capture suits to allow them to appear as their younger selves a warning that there is no housing available for six down f again refugees. the ft carries a warning from british gas. of soaring prices for uk households and businesses caused by global supply issues. 1.6

millionjobs go back and caused by global supply issues. 1.6 million jobs go back and the headlines upon unfilled jobs in a range of sectors including carols and transport. coronavirus and brexit are to blame. the paper says. it's the males take on the app is revival. below that people who kidnapped dogs will be sent it's up to seven years in prison. that's new laws to be introduced. i was waiting for all the above ponds. we will look at the metro first of all with that headline there. 1.66 million jobs go begging. take through, please. this is about the rices take through, please. this is about the prices we've _ take through, please. this is about the prices we've gotten _ take through, please. this is about the prices we've gotten the - take through, please. this is about i the prices we've gotten the moment. i know that a lot people are familiar with the problem which hgb drivers and their pandemic. obviously we seen a lot of the

impact and supermarket stores with all the empty shells. but the story actually covers a wide range of different professions that essentially in crisis. in terms of the shortages. and that includes care homes as well and the social sector. this is basically a combination between the pandemic but also brexit is being blamed for it. both with the drivers and the shopping shortages there. also with care workers because we know that a lot of them are eastern europeans obviously used to work quite heavily in that sector. a combination of that. the staffing crisis is something that labour particularly has criticised obviously with the government and hopefully with something that we can resolve, brexit aside.— brexit aside. the government recently told _ brexit aside. the government recently told a _ brexit aside. the government recently told a ticket - brexit aside. the government recently told a ticket was - brexit aside. the government| recently told a ticket was lorry driver companies, hire more british

people. is that happening? weill. driver companies, hire more british people. is that happening? well, we know there is _ people. is that happening? well, we know there is a _ people. is that happening? well, we know there is a huge _ people. is that happening? well, we know there is a huge slowdown - people. is that happening? well, we know there is a huge slowdown in i people. is that happening? well, we| know there is a huge slowdown in the conducting _ know there is a huge slowdown in the conducting of tests to drive a lorry — conducting of tests to drive a low i— conducting of tests to drive a lorry. i cannot see that being salt anytime — lorry. i cannot see that being salt anytime soon. this story on the front_ anytime soon. this story on the front of— anytime soon. this story on the front of this paper and similar stories— front of this paper and similar storiesjust a whole front of this paper and similar stories just a whole series of problems facing the government in the autumn. with tax sizes coming, problems— the autumn. with tax sizes coming, problems withjobs and the autumn. with tax sizes coming, problems with jobs and the numbers of people _ problems with jobs and the numbers of people unemployed being equivalent to the numbers ofjobs that are _ equivalent to the numbers ofjobs that are on — equivalent to the numbers ofjobs that are on offer. there is a mismatch— that are on offer. there is a mismatch between the skills that people _ mismatch between the skills that people have. and the skills that are needed _ people have. and the skills that are needed for— people have. and the skills that are needed for the jobs that need to be fitted _ needed for the “obs that need to be filled. ., ~ needed for the “obs that need to be filled. . ~ ., ,., needed for the “obs that need to be filled. . ~ ., ., , , filled. talking then about tax sizes cominu in filled. talking then about tax sizes coming in the _ filled. talking then about tax sizes coming in the autumn _ filled. talking then about tax sizes coming in the autumn was - filled. talking then about tax sizes coming in the autumn was up - coming in the autumn was up that leads us to our next paper, the daily telegraph whose headline reads tax rise for 25 million people to

pay for social care. of course it's hard to focus on that headline if you look at it in one go and not try to look at the abba people tested cyber soldiers to the right. nevertheless we will focus on that tax rise for 25 million people for social care. in greek care we are told that the government promised to the amount an individual will ever pay in social care costs. might even be known as a social care premium. will it work? i be known as a social care premium. will it work?— will it work? i think that is the only option — will it work? i think that is the only option they've _ will it work? i think that is the only option they've got - will it work? i think that is the only option they've got left, i only option they've got left, really. they try to find a silver lining somewhere in this. this is actually a break in the prime ministers manifesto pledge. we know that within the conservative party when they were all running some 28 social care was something that was brought up as a huge topic during all of the debate. what they're trying to do really is tackle the impact of the pandemic particularly with nhs waiting lists and making sure that social care does not fall

short. also the previous story that talked about staff shortages there is probably going to be quite a lot of investment in terms of trying to train people up. maybe they are here to try and combat the impact of brexit. but this is a massive u—turn for the prime minister but i don't think it's good to be a massive surprise to most people given the impacts of brexit. i think that a lot of people social care aside are going to be expecting in the next couple of years to basically brace themselves for the impact of what themselves for the impact of what the pandemic is going to bring in terms of tax rises. especially with the amount of people that have been on furlough. i think everybody right now isjust on furlough. i think everybody right now is just waiting to see what's nextin now is just waiting to see what's next in terms of the amount of rises that will come for everybody in their day—to—day life it really matters what taxes are called, is in a? ., matters what taxes are called, is in a? . , ., ., ., a? tax rise for 25 million, that something _ a? tax rise for 25 million, that something everyone _ a? tax rise for 25 million, that something everyone will - a? tax rise for 25 million, that something everyone will think| a? tax rise for 25 million, that - something everyone will think they particularly don't want to pay your

taxes up but when the government potentially calls it a health and social care premium, might that change peoples minds are not? it’s change peoples minds are not? it's very interesting. national insurance is the _ very interesting. national insurance is the income tax that they not speak— is the income tax that they not speak its— is the income tax that they not speak its name. within the british taxes _ speak its name. within the british taxes we — speak its name. within the british taxes we don't have high qualification, you don't pay a certain— qualification, you don't pay a certain amount of tax to fund a liability— certain amount of tax to fund a liability in _ certain amount of tax to fund a liability in the future. and this would — liability in the future. and this would he _ liability in the future. and this would be besides brexit manifesto budgets _ would be besides brexit manifesto budgets on income tax rises it would also he _ budgets on income tax rises it would also he a _ budgets on income tax rises it would also be a huge promise to all those workers _ also be a huge promise to all those workers who are required to pay another— workers who are required to pay another 1.25% of income tax that they would be saved. with the owners bills they would be saved. with the owners hills in— they would be saved. with the owners hills in the _ they would be saved. with the owners bills in the future. that is a huge promise — bills in the future. that is a huge promise. most of this will be paid lry promise. most of this will be paid by younger workers who are contributing national insurance towards — contributing national insurance towards a basic pension which they

may not— towards a basic pension which they may not receive in its current form. so is _ may not receive in its current form. so is a _ may not receive in its current form. so is a very— may not receive in its current form. so is a very big bet on the goodwill of younger— so is a very big bet on the goodwill of younger workers. meanwhile older people _ of younger workers. meanwhile older people don't pay national insurance, they pay— people don't pay national insurance, they pay income tax. there may be a huge _ they pay income tax. there may be a huge amount of controversy over that _ huge amount of controversy over that. �* . , . . huge amount of controversy over that. �* . ,. . ,, huge amount of controversy over that. �* ., _ that. i'm fascinated by the point that. i'm fascinated by the point that joanna _ that. i'm fascinated by the point that joanna raised _ that. i'm fascinated by the point that joanna raised that - that. i'm fascinated by the point that joanna raised that this - that. i'm fascinated by the point| that joanna raised that this being that. i'm fascinated by the point i that joanna raised that this being a thatjoanna raised that this being a breach of the 2019 coit manifesto. other people sit there with the old manifestos look and say oh that's a break, that's not a break, it does the public mind about that? we know years ago nick clegg with the change in promise on tuition fees would it affect the tory government when they said it will not happen and it might now even if it's relabeled? this said it will not happen and it might now even if it's relabeled?- now even if it's relabeled? this is the time in _ now even if it's relabeled? this is the time in the _ now even if it's relabeled? this is the time in the government - now even if it's relabeled? this is the time in the government when j now even if it's relabeled? this is - the time in the government when they can possibly start breaking some pledges — can possibly start breaking some pledges. also i think there is the perception in government that a lot of people _ perception in government that a lot of people had quite an easy lockdown. we seen people in fairly

affluent _ lockdown. we seen people in fairly affluent households build up billions _ affluent households build up billions in lockdown savings. and it would _ billions in lockdown savings. and it would seem to me that maybe that they are _ would seem to me that maybe that they are seeing the right from our taxation — they are seeing the right from our taxation in— they are seeing the right from our taxation. in my view this will not be taxation. in my view this will not he the _ taxation. in my view this will not he the only— taxation. in my view this will not be the only tax increase that is coming — be the only tax increase that is coming that because we've got a great _ coming that because we've got a great deal to be paid for. social care, _ great deal to be paid for. social care, infrastructure, leveling up, it's all— care, infrastructure, leveling up, it's all going to cost a lot of money— it's all going to cost a lot of money so _ it's all going to cost a lot of money so we need to get ready to be taxed _ money so we need to get ready to be taxed more _ money so we need to get ready to be taxed more heavily. and the prime minister— taxed more heavily. and the prime minister will do one of his shrugs, he'll ruffle — minister will do one of his shrugs, he'll ruffle his hair and probably try and get rishi sunak to take the rap for— try and get rishi sunak to take the rap for it _ try and get rishi sunak to take the rap for it all. try and get rishi sunak to take the rap for it all-— rap for it all. three things are certain in _ rap for it all. three things are certain in life _ rap for it all. three things are certain in life just _ rap for it all. three things are certain in life just taxes - rap for it all. three things are certain in life just taxes and l rap for it all. three things are - certain in life just taxes and heavy rains now. let's look at the independent newspaper was up there is a big picture there are other touching picture of a man potentially with his child walking through rain put up dozens dead as floods deluged new york. the mayor of new york said this is a wake—up call. we are in a new world now. we

have to reflect that. your thoughts. it is a massive wake—up call. i think with pictures like this whether it's to do with any crisis or climate change, when you see the impact and the human side of it particularly using a child in the image, it really is a reminder that if we don't get a hold of this, it is children that he could be affected in the future. and as adults we kind of bang on about we need to do something about it, without these targets for 2030 and 2035, 2050. but it is a sobering image and it shows that climate change doesn't discriminate. we saw the floods that happened in germany. we see the impacts of climate change in our day—to—day lives. some of us are lucky we don't have severe impacts like seen in this picture. but it really does bring it home that this is something that could affect any of us. and the people that you have children, it affect your children in the future. let’s

your children in the future. let's sta with your children in the future. let's stay with her — your children in the future. let's stay with her story _ your children in the future. let's stay with her story and - your children in the future. let's stay with her story and see - your children in the future. let's stay with her story and see how the ft has covered it on its front page. the picture the paper uses. it's actually a still from a video posted online of essentially a wall of water, a tide of water in a new york subway station which looks to be about shoulder or even head height. giving us an impression of the amount of water but also the speed of which things happen. and new yorkers we've been speaking to over the days that they were completely surprised and unprepared for what happened. the cost to insurers is expected to be 50 billion —— 15. we might have to get used to more of this. , , ., this. the big bill for climate chance this. the big bill for climate change is — this. the big bill for climate change is coming _ this. the big bill for climate change is coming down - this. the big bill for climate change is coming down the | this. the big bill for climate - change is coming down the road. it's interesting _ change is coming down the road. it's interesting or new york in particular, they've had their tax takers — particular, they've had their tax takers going to be lowered because an awful— takers going to be lowered because an awful lot of well—to—do people have _ an awful lot of well—to—do people have left — an awful lot of well—to—do people have left the city, gone to live in florida _ have left the city, gone to live in florida and — have left the city, gone to live in florida and other places. so their

tax base — florida and other places. so their tax base has been lowered. meanwhile will he _ tax base has been lowered. meanwhile will be looking to insurers to put some _ will be looking to insurers to put some of— will be looking to insurers to put some of the bills for this. and that will probably mean worldwide premiums going out for everyone. but the interesting thing is, this does strengthen the hand of politician at next month's cup 26 summit which is all about— next month's cup 26 summit which is all about climate change to really try and _ all about climate change to really try and drive through some measures that address this. for us and for our children. it is in an extraordinary summer with so many bil extraordinary summer with so many big stories _ extraordinary summer with so many big stories breaking. afghanistan, the weather, we have never known in august— the weather, we have never known in august and _ the weather, we have never known in august and september like it. whatever happened... august and september like it. whatever happened. . .- august and september like it. whatever happened... you're right. i have not heard _ whatever happened... you're right. i have not heard one _ whatever happened... you're right. i have not heard one reference - whatever happened... you're right. i have not heard one reference to - have not heard one reference to the season at all. it didn't actually feel like a summer in any way whatsoever. you talked about

premiums let's look at the ft and see what else is going up. on the front page on the left—hand side, centric outworn supply crunch signals higher winterfuel centric outworn supply crunch signals higher winter fuel bills. centric outworn supply crunch signals higher winterfuel bills. we get to the summer with all this rain, the weather turns and never have to worry about the heating bills. ~ ., , , ., have to worry about the heating bills. ., , i: i: bills. where does it stop? 2020, 'ust bills. where does it stop? 2020, just wondering — bills. where does it stop? 2020, just wondering after _ bills. where does it stop? 2020, just wondering after the - bills. where does it stop? 2020, just wondering after the other. i bills. where does it stop? 2020, i just wondering after the other. i'm not sure i can take anymore. i actually remember a few weeks ago a similar story came out about this. and i think it's largely based on this but it was focused on families. but the fts focus with the story is based on businesses stop obviously we've already covered about the shortages in terms of food but also manufacturer's and certain providers could be forced to halt production because of these hikes in fuel prices. it's basically, you've got central heating are at home and the prices are getting hiked up and you

also might not be able to get what you want when you go in the shots on the shelves because of the same reasons as well. it really is coming from every direction. but hopefully this is something that can be tackled from a government level. because it seems as if it's notjust a uk —based problem it's also going to be affecting quite a few countries in europe as well. you've also not countries in europe as well. you've also got to — countries in europe as well. you've also got to pay _ countries in europe as well. you've also got to pay roof _ countries in europe as well. you've also got to pay roof repairs - countries in europe as well. you've also got to pay roof repairs after i also got to pay roof repairs after all the rain. how much more difficult is it to be in the winter with these potential price rises? i think we need to see this against the bigger round of soaring inflation. inflation is something that we — inflation. inflation is something that we used to talk about and be worried _ that we used to talk about and be worried about about 13 years ago. nohody— worried about about 13 years ago. nobody has really been very much concerned — nobody has really been very much concerned about it sense. but as a result _ concerned about it sense. but as a result of— concerned about it sense. but as a result of the pandemic and supply shortages throughout the world with all kinds _ shortages throughout the world with all kinds of materials and labour we are going _ all kinds of materials and labour we are going to see prices rise.

whether— are going to see prices rise. whether that will be temporary or whether— whether that will be temporary or whether we are now in a more inflationary environment is a very interesting — inflationary environment is a very interesting question. so that's yet another— interesting question. so that's yet another big economic issue that the government is going to have to confront— government is going to have to confront in the autumn. today it felt a _ confront in the autumn. today it felt a hit — confront in the autumn. today it felt a bit chilly outside and it's as if— felt a bit chilly outside and it's as if everything is becoming real. but inflation which was in double digits— but inflation which was in double digits in— but inflation which was in double digits in about 1985 or so, we cannot— digits in about 1985 or so, we cannot remember really what that is like. cannot remember really what that is like most _ cannot remember really what that is like. most people have no memory of it anymore _ like. most people have no memory of it anymore. and if we see fuel prices — it anymore. and if we see fuel prices going up, that will bring up the cause — prices going up, that will bring up the cause not only of our household bills the cause not only of our household hills but _ the cause not only of our household hills but all— the cause not only of our household bills but all the other goods we buy _ bills but all the other goods we buy. they— bills but all the other goods we buy. they are talking about in this story— buy. they are talking about in this story goods to generate electricity which _ story goods to generate electricity which is _ story goods to generate electricity which is required throughout ——. | which is required throughout ——. i did which is required throughout ——. did spend which is required throughout ——. i did spend time in that is well aware prices change several times a day.

which was something