today at one, the government rejects calls to bring back some coronavirus measures in england, despite rising infections and deaths. health leaders warn the nhs could be overwhelmed, without the government's plan b, including mandatory face coverings, and vaccine passports. if we don't take these measures, and things carry on as they are, we will reach a situation where patient safety is threatened. ministers, scientists, experts, are looking at data on an hourly basis, and we don't feel that it is the time for plan b, right now. across the uk, infections, hospitalisations and deaths are rising by at least 10%, week on week. also this lunchtime: the cost of living fell slightly last month, but is itjust a blip?

the queen cancels a trip to northern ireland on doctors�* orders, reluctantly accepting, she needs some rest. the precarious life of some afghan refugees living in the uk. still housed in temporary accomodation, unable to work. the biggest study ever into extreme pregnancy sickness, a condition so severe, some women want to abort their child. and, newcastle united and manager, steve bruce, part ways, a week after the saudi take over. and coming up on the bbc news channel... another manager under pressure — can ole gunnar solskj r get his manchester united side back to winning ways

good afternoon and welcome to the bbc news at one. health leaders are demanding the immediate reintroduction of some covid restrictions in england, to avoid the nhs "stumbling into a winter crisis". the nhs confederation says rising infections means measures, including mandatory face coverings in crowded spaces, should be implemented. week on week, the number of covid cases across the uk, hospital admissions and deaths, are rising at a rate of 10% or more, though that's well below levels seen injanuary. the government says it has no immediate plans to reintroduce covid restrictions. here's our health editor, hugh pym. the nhs confederation says that increases in hospital covid numbers are worrying, and that with other demands on the service and pressure on staff, health leaders are worried about what might be around the corner. the latest government figures show that week on week, uk covid cases, deaths and hospital admissions are all rising at a rate of 10%

or more, though they remain well below levels seen injanuary. some working in intensive care say they are already under pressure. in some hospitals, one in five beds are already occupied with covid patients. at the same time we have increased numbers of non—covid emergency patients appearing at the doors of our hospital and inevitably at the doors of the intensive care unit. and we are also trying to support the restoration of major complex surgery, of which there are many, many people on waiting lists. the nhs confederation has called on the government to take pre—emptive action and enact plan b in england, drawn up by ministers to be implemented if pressure on the nhs becomes unsustainable, with measures including compulsory face coverings in some settings, vaccine passports and more working from home. it's a very simple choice. do we accept the overwhelming evidence from all parts

of the health service and do what we can now to reduce the risks in a way that doesn't disrupt our day—to—day life? or do we somehow cross our fingers and hope that a miracle will happen and then stumble, as we have done before, stumble into crisis? this morning ministers ruled out plan b in england for now. ministers, scientists, experts are looking at data on an hourly basis and we don't feel that it's the time for plan b right now. i think what we are trying to do is get people who haven't been vaccinated, to get those vaccinations up, increase the uptake of the boosterjab. scotland, wales and northern ireland all currently have tighter restrictions, including mandatory face coverings in some public places. yesterday downing street said the government was not complacent and there'd been no discussion about moving to plan b in england, while the key message was the vital importance

of the vaccine booster programme. rising infections, deaths, hospitalisations, how they reached levels at which plan b was supposed to be implemented? it is open to interpretation because the government said plan b for england would be introduced if there was "unsustainable pressure" on the nhs, so that was never spelt out in great detail, but now we have this body, representing many health groups in different parts of the uk, the nhs confederation, saying that in their view we have reached this point, of unsustainable pressure, and what they mean by that is, right now, covid numbers in hospitals have gone up covid numbers in hospitals have gone up a little bit but have been fairly stable for the last few weeks, but they could go up further, and on top of that you have the winter pressures, the possibility of a lot of flu cases and other viruses, and an exhausted workforce, and all of

the work or going through the backlog from cancellations from before which now need to be done so they say that it needs pre—emptive action right now, and the government has basically taken a different view and said, we will carry on looking at the data, but for now, the focus is on getting boosterjabs rolled out to the most vulnerable groups, so a difference of opinion there, between the government and between one group that represents a big voice within the nhs, so i think the next few weeks of data, cases, hospitalisations and deaths, will be very important. hugh pym, our health editor, thank you. the cost of living dipped slightly in september, despite rising prices for fuel and transport. the office for national statistics, says inflation, as measured by the consumer prices index, dipped to 3.1% last month, but still remains well above the bank of england's target of 2%. our business correspondent, nina warhurst, has more details. this is ruth's kitchen where she cooks, mum

and dad come to catch up, jack does his homework and amy checks her messages. like most families, ruth is starting to feel the force of inflation. we arejust we are just starting to notice the pinch a little bit.— we are just starting to notice the i pinch a little bit._ the pinch a little bit. whereabouts? the bi est one pinch a little bit. whereabouts? the biggest one is _ pinch a little bit. whereabouts? the biggest one is energy _ pinch a little bit. whereabouts? the biggest one is energy bill, - pinch a little bit. whereabouts? the biggest one is energy bill, becausel biggest one is energy bill, because we were with an energy company who went bust, so the energy bill is doubling. that is going from £120, up doubling. that is going from £120, up to £250. doubling. that is going from £120, up to 950-— today's figures show that inflation in september was at 3.1%, driven by higher prices in transport, food and home services. that's slightly lower than the august figure but much, much higher than the bank of england target of 2%. it isa it is a real cause of some concern, because clearly, we want inflation rates to be lower, but the critical question is how long is that inflation going to last for? i speak

to the governor of the bank of england. they are hopeful that the inflation rate will be contained. that is something that they are looking at. inflated prices mean that nigel and susan's teacher pension pots are not stretching quite as far, and they would like to see their savings do better.. the cash isa is our effectively losing value. you hope, you suppose, that the stocks and shares isas might go up but there is obviously a risk attached to theirs. the bank of england does look set to increase interest rates soon to slow inflation down. that would encourage saving and deter spending. the idea of interest rates is that if borrowing is less attractive to people and saving is more attractive, then, people will spend slightly less, and that will ease the demand pressure on prices, meaning that the price rise slows. in reality a 0.25% interest rate rise by the bank of england is still very low.

like millions of public sectorworkers, ruth's salary is stuck, for now. and, for lots of busy families, even those with decentjobs, there is a winter ahead of putting on an extra jumper, thinking twice about treats, and wondering whether whether it is worth saving at all, if there's any left to put away. nina warhurst, bbc news, salford. let's get more analysis from our economics correspondent, andy verity, who's here. so have we seen the worst of inflation, or is this just a blip in the figures? i think probably the short answer to thatis i think probably the short answer to that is yes, for now. the subsidence in inflation in the last month is really down to statistical factors. for example in august last year you had eat out to help out, which artificially depressed prices at restaurants and hotels, and comparing that with august this year, inflation was 3.2% but when you get to september, the figures today, that has dropped out of the equation so you don't have such a big impact ? equation so you don't have such a big impact? my comparison, and inflation looks like it has dropped back but opera is pressures on

inflation are very much still dark, and you can see that in what we call producer rises ? my producer prices, so if you look at what they are paying for raw materials, the so—called import prices, they are up 11.4% over the last year, things like petrol, metals, then if you look at the output prices, what they are charging at a factory gate before reaching retailers, they have risen 6.7%. that is the fastest rate of inflation at the factory gate that we have had, for ten years. so, we have definitely got further inflationary pressure coming down the line and that is why on the markets there are thousands of people who spend their life and career is effectively taking a view on when interest rates are going to rise. they are now giving it something like an 80% probability that we will get a rise in interest rates, perhaps going back up to 0.25% by the end of this year but looking further out, the uprising in an rise in interest rates up to 1%

by the end of next year, and we have not seen that level of official interest rates or something like 13 years. interest rates or something like 13 ears. . �* , , at least 1a people have been killed in a bomb attack on a military bus in the syriian capital, damascus. state media say two blasts hit the vehicle as it passed under a bridge — a third device was defused. it's the deadliest attack in damascus since 2017. more than 100 people have now died following several days of flooding and landslides in india and nepal. dozens are still missing after torrential downpours swept away homes, roads and bridges. the himalayan state of uttarakhand in northern india was the worst affected, with a series of landslides killing at least 46 people. in brazil, a new report today is expected to recommend charges, including murder by omission, against the president, jair bolsonaro, in connection with his handling of the covid—19 pandemic. he's accused of failing to take appropriate measures to control the virus, that has so far killed

more than 600,000 people. president bolsonaro has labelled the report, "a joke". the labour leader, sir keir starmer, has spoken at prime minister's questions about "tackling violent extremism". he called on the prime minister to bring forward measures to make it safer for people online. our political correspondent damian grammaticasjoins me. this follows in the wake of the death of sir david amess last month. that's right. sir keir starmer said he wanted to put aside the knock—about party politics and focus on where the two sites might be able to cooperate, and particularly there he was looking at the legislation the government is going to bring forward about online sites, and particularly keir starmer focusing on the issue of violent, extremist comments, and whether those websites, social media sites, most should be made to make them take responsibility, and what keir starmer wants to do is to push the

government about bringing in criminal sanctions for the bosses of those sites to take responsibility for what appears on their websites. the prime minister and the government could stop this by me making _ government could stop this by me making it — government could stop this by me making it clear that directors of companies are criminally liable for failing _ companies are criminally liable for failing to _ companies are criminally liable for failing to tackle this type of material on their sites. we don't need _ material on their sites. we don't need to— material on their sites. we don't need to delay, so in the collaborative spirit we saw in this house _ collaborative spirit we saw in this house on— collaborative spirit we saw in this house on monday, will the prime minisier— house on monday, will the prime minister commit to taking this away, looking _ minister commit to taking this away, looking at_ minister commit to taking this away, looking at it again, and working with all— looking at it again, and working with all of— looking at it again, and working with all of us to strengthen his pronosed — with all of us to strengthen his proposed legislation? | with all of us to strengthen his proposed legislation?- with all of us to strengthen his proposed legislation? i have already said we are looking _ proposed legislation? i have already said we are looking to _ proposed legislation? i have already said we are looking to anything - proposed legislation? i have already said we are looking to anything to i said we are looking to anything to strengthen this and we will bring it forward to a second reading before christmas and yes of course mr speaker, we will have criminal sanctions with tough sentences for those who are responsible for allowing this foul content to permeate the internet, mr speaker, but what we hope for also is that, no matter how tough the proposals we

produce, that the opposition will support it. 5ir produce, that the opposition will su ort it. ,, ,, ., support it. sir keir starmer said he welcomed that _ support it. sir keir starmer said he welcomed that as _ support it. sir keir starmer said he welcomed that as a _ support it. sir keir starmer said he welcomed that as a speeding - support it. sir keir starmer said he welcomed that as a speeding up i support it. sir keir starmer said he welcomed that as a speeding up ofj welcomed that as a speeding up of the process and that there would possibly be an advance in bringing in penalties, but we will wait to see if that comes forward when the legislation is brought forward. buckingham palace says the queen has cancelled her trip to northern ireland today, and has reluctantly accepted medical advice to rest. she's 95 and said to be in good spirits, but disappointed. our royal correspondent, nicholas witchell is here. the suggestion is, nicholas, that this is alljust a precaution. the important _ this is alljust a precaution. the important thing _ this is alljust a precaution. tue: important thing is this is alljust a precaution. tte: important thing is to this is alljust a precaution. tt2 important thing is to say that she is not unwell, but she is 95, and she has to go along at a pace which is sensible for someone of that age. she's had a busy few days since returning from balmoral. last tuesday she was at westminster abbey for the centenary of the royal british legion, last thursday in cardiff for the reopening of the welsh parliament and last night,

hosting a big reception at windsor castle for dozens of global business leaders. she had been due to travel to northern ireland later today for engagements tonight and tomorrow, marking the centenary of the partition of ireland, but a statement this morning from buckingham palace saying that she had reluctantly accepted medical advice to rest for the next few days. she is in good spirits and disappointed not to be going to northern ireland. the palace is not saying anything more than that, but i understand this is not in any way covid related. she has had both vaccinations, we don't know whether she has had the booster vaccination but what will be in the minds of royal officials and doctors is that she is due to attend cop26, to host a reception for all of the global leaders attending that at the end of next week, and they will want to be sure that she is fully rested for that. . ~ . ~ ~ sure that she is fully rested for that. w .. . ., , sure that she is fully rested for that. . ., , .,

that. necklace which many thanks. -- nicholas witchell. _ the time is... our top story this lunchtime: health is —— health leaders warn that the nhs could be overwhelmed without enacting a plan b including mandatory face coverings and vaccine passports. and difficult times ahead for afghan refugees in the uk. coming up on the bbc news channel. it's the last chance for england captain, eoin morgan, to find some form ahead of the start of the 2020 world cup. they're taking on new zealand in theirfinalwarm up. the biggest study ever undertaken in the uk into what's known as �*extreme pregnancy sickness,�* has found that the condition can be so severe, more than half of sufferers consider having abortions. while mild sickness is a common symptom of pregnancy, �*extreme nausea�* can affect between 1 and 3 per cent of pregnant women. the duchess of cambridge was seriously ill during her three pregnancies.

daniela relph has been speaking to one woman, about her experience. i still can�*t eat, and i can�*t drink. and i�*m hungry, and i am stressed, and i can�*t sleep. extreme sickness in pregnancy can be brutal. the condition, known as hg, can overwhelm you. i�*m so cold. two years ago, laura anderson kept a video diary of her pregnancy. it�*s a horrible illness. itjust makes you a complete shadow of who you were. two years on, and laura is now mum to ava. we had to try very hard to get pregnant, and we had had four miscarriages and she was very wanted, and she was what kept me going, because i knew the only way to get a baby was to get to that end point, and that�*s what got me through. but her pregnancy left her feeling isolated and struggling to get help.

she wants other women to get better care and treatment. the mentaljourney is actually harder, because that is still left over at the end of it. that doesn�*t go away as quickly as the physical symptoms. it�*s nine months of isolation and feeling completely useless, because you can�*t do anything. some people have to quit theirjobs. some people have other children, and they feel like they are letting them down. obviously, treat the physicalfirst, because that can be very dangerous if not, but so can the mental part of it. laura had wanted more children, but she was four forever changed by her hg experience. do you think you will have any more children? no, no. i very much at the end of ava�*s pregnancy told myself, i am finally done with hg. i was happy about that. if i could be promised that i wouldn�*t have hg, i would definitely have another baby.

that is the only reason why i�*m not having another baby. it is just too risky for you. yeah. yeah, i can�*t be a mum if i�*ve got hg. daniela will today�*s study help improve things for women who suffer from this condition? the medical team that have put it together hope it will improve the care pregnant women get. it is important to stress, this isn�*tjust bad morning sickness, it is notjust in the morning, it is notjust sickness, it is a chronic condition that can blight an entire pregnancy, leaving women hospitalise in needing rehydration and vulnerable because they are worried about the health of their unborn baby. despite this being a condition thousands of women have suffered with over the years, this makes this study more important in terms of the treatment options open to women at the same medication that can be given. that is why the work being done to work out why is

it a lot of women just get so sick and others breezed through their pregnancy. there is work around any genetic links that suffer from extreme sickness.— genetic links that suffer from extreme sickness. for details of organisations which offer advice and support with pregnancy related issues go online to two people have been arrested on suspicion of manslaughter, after an explosion at a house in lancashire in may, killed five people, including a child. george hinds who was two, died in the blast in heysham. police said the cause of the explosion was a gas pipe which had been cut. a 44—year—old man and 51—year—old woman, have been released on bail, pending further inquiries. managers running care services in england, say staff shortages are so acute, they�*re having to make tough decisions about which patients they can help. the national care forum, which represents many working in the sector,

says pressures on the care system are becoming intolerable. here�*s our social affairs editor, alison holt. these are the empty beds that show the reality of the staffing crisis facing both care homes and home care providers. this plymouth residential home is getting multiple calls each day from hospitals and families asking if they will take new residents. but they don�*t have enough care workers to look after any more people. we have six care homes in north and south devon. we�*ve got 21% of our beds that are empty and that is purely because we cannot staff them. our staff are working tirelessly hard and they are exhausted, they are working overtime. it�*s extremely hard to be making these heartbreaking decisions where we are getting to the point where our care potentially may not be safe and we may have to turn away residents. as society has reopened, it�*s become increasingly difficult for care services to keep and recruit staff. exhaustion from the pandemic, compulsoryjabs in care homes and better pay in other sectors

are all playing their part. that�*s according to 340 care managers with more than 21,000 staff who responded to questions from organisations representing them. they had an average of 17% ofjobs vacant. more than two thirds had stopped or limited some services, including saying no to taking patients from hospital. it�*s estimated together they have turned down nearly 5000 requests for help since september the 1st. we have heard the government in response to other staff shortages talk about moving heaven and earth in order to address those staff shortages. we need to see some of that heavy lifting applying right now to the social care sector. otherwise i fear we will see more people who need care and support right now being unable to access it. the government says it is putting more money into the care system, including investing in training and regular recruitment campaigns for staff. alison holt, bbc news.

the taliban takeover of afghanistan, forced thousands of people to flee their country, with many trying to make new lives here in the uk. but months later, some are still living in hotels that were supposed to be temporary, restricting their their access tojobs, proper healthcare and education. with more, here�*s our home editor, mark easton. a budget hotel in buckinghamshire is currently home to 160 afghan migrants, mostly children. and, after more than two months stuck there, it is the children who often find it hardest. a local primary has offered educational support, but the authorities discourage such arrangements, and that is a source of frustration. my wife, and my seven children, it�*s very difficult for us. nazir�*s children missed a lot of school in afghanistan and, after more than two months stuck in uk hotels, he�*s desperate to get them back into a classroom.

i think a permanent education system is not available at the moment, and we are really keen, and would really press the government to sort this out as soon as possible. finding suitable accommodation for large families is a huge challenge. there are fears that some may be in so called bridging hotels for many months yet. local charities help, but stuck in institutional limbo, it seems like basic safeguarding is not always there. we have visited some families here that have been in the country for three weeks. and children had unseen bullet wounds in their legs, so we were able to muster support, get people to a local walking surgery. in south london, one school has found a way to get afghan children out of a local hotel and into class. after meeting a desperate migrant bad, the head at walworth academy realise that,

if afghan parents applied for and available place, her school was legally bound to take them. so, off we went down to that hotel, and quite literally sat in the lobby with that gentleman, talking to him, which meant that more people and then more people kept coming up, and next day, we got a telephone call here saying, we understand you have been to this hotel. could you come and see us? we would be interested in school places. these three girls, all evacuated from kabul with their families, as the taliban seized control, are thrilled to be in school at last. i am so happy because i love education. our mind is fresh, we get more friends in here, it is a true comfort and it is too good for us. the education department says it is funding extra school places for afghans. and trying to get children into classrooms as soon as possible. but the question is whether the government should be doing more to support the children now. mark easton, bbc news. a key figure in the development of the oxford astra zeneca vaccine,

says the government must stick to spending commitments for science, if future breakthroughs to combat viruses and diseases are to take place. professor sir andrew pollard, has told the bbc, other nations will overtake the uk in research and development, if funding is cut. there are growing fears government plans to double science funding will be reversed, in next week s autumn budget. here s our science correspondent, pallab ghosh. the covid jab has saved millions of lives. its development within the space of a year is one of the clearest illustrations of the value of science. the man who helped develop one of the vaccines is concerned that britain�*s leading role in research could be under threat. that�*s if the government doesn�*t follow through on plans to increase science spending to £22 billion by 202a. we absolutely have to invest in science otherwise we are going to fall behind other countries. indeed, over the months and years ahead, every aspect of our lives will be touched by the investment that happens in science today. and if we aspire to, in the future, build

into a stronger society, we absolutely have to have that science. our very lives depend on it. the promised boost research spending was to help the uk keep up with its international rivals. over the past 20 years or so, the uk has increased research spending by 0.1% of gdp. in south korea, it was 2.6. in china, it was1.5 and in germany, it was 0.8. overall, the uk spends less as a proportion of gdp than nearly every other major industrialised country. speaking to the science select committee, two nobel prize—winning scientists have expressed their concerns. we have to have a country that thrives on its brains and its skills. and that comes and is driven really by science and research, in the most general sense. this would be like the new zealand government not investing in rugby.

we are quite good at it, why wouldn't you invest behind strength? you might get away for awhile with a slightly smaller investment than the other countries, but it's unlikely to last. plans for a big boost to science spending are said to be injeopardy. leading scientists say it�*s now up to the prime minister to decide whether to ask the chancellor to change his mind. pallab ghosh, bbc news, at the oxford vaccine center. the queen of baking, mary berry, has been honoured for a lifetime of cooking and writing. she�*s been made a dame commander by the prince of wales, in a ceremony at windsor castle. the former bake offjudge has published more than 50 books during a career spanning overfive decades. dame mary, has also been recognised for her charity work. newcastle united has confirmed its head coach, steve bruce,

is leaving the club, by mutual consent. it comes less than two weeks after a saudi consortium took over the premier league side. newcastle haven�*t won a game all season. here�*s katie gornall. managing newcastle was steve bruce�*s dream job, but no matter how badly he wanted it to work at his hometown club, it always felt like an uphill battle. bruce�*s departure had been widely expected. our new chairman, yasir al—rumayyan! cheering. he was under pressure even before the saudi arabian led takeover, with his side second from bottom and without a win all season. on sunday, in front of the new owners, his team failed again. commentator: newcastle stay in the bottom three. _ in a statement confirming his departure, bruce said he was... he admitted... bruce succeeded rafa benitez at stjames�*s park in 2019. despite keeping a limited squad in the premier league

for the past two seasons, the former sunderland manager proved a deeply unpopular appointment with fans. i think it is about time, because the club wasn�*t going forward. i feel quite sad for him, but for the club, it will be good. ithink, you know, he had to go, i really, for the club to progressl in the way that the new owners are wanting to go. _ assistant head coach graham jones will take interim charge, while attention will now turn to who next for newcastle. but, as for what next for bruce, given the toll this job has taken on him and his family, his 1000th game in management is likely to be his last. katie gornall, bbc news. time for a look at the weather. here�*s darren bett. despite the sunshine, it is not as warm as yesterday and threw the rest of this week, it is going to feel quite a bit colder. yesterday we saw temperatures of 21 degrees in the south—east. the winds from the south all the way from the tropics. we

have got off that supply of warm