this is bbc news, i'm shaun ley. the headlines at 8. the health secretary, sajid javid says around five million people over the age of 16 have still not had the jab and stresses the pandemic is farfrom over. we've been in the race, a race between a vaccine and a virus. and although we are heading that race, the gap is narrowing. it comes as health leaders urge the return of some restrictions in england like compulsory mask wearing in certain settings. this is the lesson we must learn from the past, to prepare for what looks like an inevitable challenging period, ratherthan looks like an inevitable challenging period, rather than to cross our fingers and stumble into a crisis. but the government says it won't yet bring in it's plan b for england. so, what are the picture

from where you are? we'll be discussing the situation from all parts of the uk. also tonight. the home secretary, priti patel is preparing to make a statement to in commons on mps security. we'll bring it to you later in the programme. a woman claims she was injected with a drug at a nightclub as the home secretary urges police to assess urgently a reported rise in drink and needle spiking — we'll speak to her live. buckingham palace says the queen has reluctantly cancelled a two day visit to northern ireland on medical advice — to rest. and a mission to rescue dogs trapped by lava on the spanish island — la palma

the health secretary has warned that there could be up to 100 thousand covid cases a day this winter, as the number of new cases keeps rising. sajid javid urged millions of people who are still unvaccinated to come forward saying the uk is in a race between the virus and the vaccine, but the gap is narrowing. mrjavid said tighter restrictions under the government's plan b — such as the return of compulsory face coverings in england and a return to working from home — will not be introduced at this point. although he did advise wearing face masks in crowded settings. the number of cases across the uk has been rising sharply and the seven—day average is standing at 45,799 cases per day 7 one of the highest weekly figures of new reported cases in the world — although deaths are well below the winter peak. here's our health editor, hugh pym. reflecting mounting pressure on the

nhs because of a range of conditions of notjust covid—19, neither are demands for a tightening of the rules, plan b in england. we demands for a tightening of the rules, plan b in england. we have a combination — rules, plan b in england. we have a combination of— rules, plan b in england. we have a combination of winter— rules, plan b in england. we have a combination of winter pressures, i combination of winter pressures, covid—19 pressures and the backlog, put all of that together, you have a perfect storm and we have to do everything we can to reduce the pressure and that is what we need plan b now. pressure and that is what we need plan b nova— plan b now. medical leaders are talkin: plan b now. medical leaders are talking about — plan b now. medical leaders are talking about the _ plan b now. medical leaders are talking about the serious - plan b now. medical leaders are talking about the serious strain | plan b now. medical leaders are l talking about the serious strain on hospitals and gp practises and say that some intervention may well be required. that some intervention may well be reuuired. ~ _, , that some intervention may well be reuuired. ~ , ., , ., that some intervention may well be reuuired. , ., , ., �* required. when it comes to plan b, soon will be _ required. when it comes to plan b, soon will be better— required. when it comes to plan b, soon will be better than _ required. when it comes to plan b, soon will be better than later - required. when it comes to plan b, soon will be better than later in - soon will be better than later in the nhs — soon will be better than later in the nhs is precarious right now, it is still_ the nhs is precarious right now, it is still raging i would urge everyone to take personal responsibility right now irrespective of what national guidelines are.— irrespective of what national guidelines are. they'll introduce plan b if this — guidelines are. they'll introduce plan b if this unsustainable - plan b if this unsustainable pressure on the nhs in england, with steps like making face coverings mandatory in some settings and asking people to work from home and

introducing vaccine passports in northern ireland, face coverings remain a legal requirement and spaces and it is the same for masks and whales, nightclubs needed to, and whales, nightclubs needed to, and people are encouraged to work from home. scotland's strategy involves vaccine passports and face masks in schools and other settings. the health secretary warned cases could get hit 100,000 today while stopping short of announcing new measures. we stopping short of announcing new measures. ~ ., . , ., measures. we are looking closely at the data and — measures. we are looking closely at the data and we _ measures. we are looking closely at the data and we won't _ measures. we are looking closely at the data and we won't be _ the data and we won't be implementing _ the data and we won't be implementing our- the data and we won't be implementing our plan . the data and we won't be implementing our plan b| the data and we won't be . implementing our plan b of contingency— implementing our plan b of contingency measures- implementing our plan b of contingency measures at i implementing our plan b of. contingency measures at this implementing our plan b of- contingency measures at this point. but we _ contingency measures at this point. but we will— contingency measures at this point. but we will be — contingency measures at this point. but we will be staying _ contingency measures at this point. but we will be staying vigilant - contingency measures at this point. but we will be staying vigilant in - but we will be staying vigilant in preparing — but we will be staying vigilant in preparing all _ but we will be staying vigilant in preparing all eventualities - but we will be staying vigilant in preparing all eventualities while| preparing all eventualities while strengthening _ preparing all eventualities while strengthening our— preparing all eventualities while strengthening our vital- preparing all eventualities while| strengthening our vital defences that can — strengthening our vital defences that can help— strengthening our vital defences that can help us— strengthening our vital defences that can help us fight _ strengthening our vital defences that can help us fight back - strengthening our vital defences l that can help us fight back against this virus — that can help us fight back against this virus he— that can help us fight back against this virus. ., ,., that can help us fight back against this virus. ., ., ., . ., , this virus. he also announced deals to secure to — this virus. he also announced deals to secure to new— this virus. he also announced deals to secure to new treatments - this virus. he also announced deals to secure to new treatments for - to secure to new treatments for covid—19 patients which could be available soon if approved by regulators. ministers save the strategy is to focus on the

continued roll—out of vaccines, booster jabs and first continued roll—out of vaccines, boosterjabs and first and second doses of those who have not already have them. but the big unknown is whether that can happen fast enough to slow any future spread of the virus. here, garrett the skin the third dose and is eligible because he is undergoing treatment for cancer and his immune system has been compromised. i cancer and his immune system has been compromised.— been compromised. i feel great actuall , been compromised. i feel great actually. i _ been compromised. i feel great actually, ifeel_ been compromised. i feel great actually, i feel more _ been compromised. i feel great actually, i feel more confident. actually, i feel more confident going forward and i'm a great believer into the vaccination programme. in believer into the vaccination programme-— believer into the vaccination programme. believer into the vaccination rorramme. . , ., ,, , programme. in a bid to speed up the rocess, programme. in a bid to speed up the process. the — programme. in a bid to speed up the process, the system _ programme. in a bid to speed up the process, the system for _ programme. in a bid to speed up the process, the system for booster - process, the system for booster jabs. any credible specific or imminent threati any credible specific or imminent threa- , , ., ., , ., threat i must update the house that the threat level _ threat i must update the house that the threat level facing _ threat i must update the house that the threat level facing members - threat i must update the house that the threat level facing members ofl the threat level facing members of this house is now deemed to be

substantial. this is the same level as the current national threat to the united kingdom as a whole and so, i will assure the house that the world—class security and intelligence agencies will now ensure that this change will properly be reflected in the operational posture. properly be reflected in the oerational osture. ~ , , , . ~' operational posture. mister speaker, i will operational posture. mister speaker, i will always — operational posture. mister speaker, i will always ensure _ operational posture. mister speaker, i will always ensure face-to-face - i will always ensure face—to—face contact robust debate and the benefits of our democracy are defended and protected. but we must all take this change and risk seriously. so, iwould all take this change and risk seriously. so, i would ask them for all seriously. so, i would ask them fr?" all provisions and support available under operation through the parliamentary and parliamentary liaison and investigation team. as well as for her own sake, a duty to protect our staff and the general public. i know that every single

member will take registers and act upon the advice that is given to help our country be kept safe from terror and of course, to enable our own conduct when it comes to making sure that democracy is defended and protected. i commend the statement to the house. protected. i commend the statement to the house-— to the house. thank you, mister seaker, to the house. thank you, mister speaker. i _ to the house. thank you, mister speaker, i would _ to the house. thank you, mister speaker, i would like _ to the house. thank you, mister speaker, i would like to - to the house. thank you, mister speaker, i would like to think i to the house. thank you, mister| speaker, i would like to think the home secretary for the advanced briefing before the statement and also to thank her for the time she has taken to speak to many members of the house on an individual basis and we are brought together this evening in the most devastating of circumstances and we are all shaking to the core by sir david's death. it is difficult not to be moved by the powerful tribute of his many friends. they comes so quickly after the murder of ourfriend

friends. they comes so quickly after the murder of our friend jo cox. many people whose lives will never be the same again but will always remember the contributions they made to this country. in the face of such unspeakable hatred, we stand united and unshakeable in this house that those who use violence who attempt to divide us will never win and we refuse to be intimidated by these dark forces and yes, mister speaker, this goes for the vile individual or individuals who erected a noose in parliament square today. in order to stand firm in these threats, we must do everything possible to guard against these violent positions. not just here but as the home secretary and set out, the threat level to mps has risen to substantial levels and access made. we must take steps notjust for own safety but for staff and

constituents as well. i would like to take a moment to thank the police and security service common staff for the extraordinary work they do to protect us and i'm grateful to policing representatives for the briefings they have afforded me and thank them for all they do. a few questions for the home secretary, if she is confident that our police security and member security will have the resources they need to guard against this increased threat. can the home secretary also say to members who have additional guidance and support may now be required. can the home secretary also update the house on where the wider view can be announced and also outline looking more widely in the protection of all of those who are in public life, including those serving in local government. i do welcome the swift

action promised by the prime minister that the online harms bill will be developed swiftly and i was particularly glad to see criminal sanctions and a much—needed reform needed on these benches. but we are committed to doing everything possible to address these challenges as we know how high the stakes are. and we are committed to doing everything possible to address those awful events of last friday, hatred and division will never overcome us and division will never overcome us and in that spirit, we work together collectively to do all we can to make sure something like that can never happen again. i make sure something like that can never happen again.— never happen again. i think the honourable _ never happen again. i think the honourable gentlemen - never happen again. i think the honourable gentlemen for- never happen again. i think the honourable gentlemen for his l honourable gentlemen for his comments, remarks and actually the joint and collective recognition that we have a shared responsibility in terms of how we conduct ourselves and how we act mister speaker, that has been reflected by the way in

which organisations and everyone has come together from everyone across the house, mister speaker, team, the support of mister speaker and board speaker as well as the other end of parliament and policing support, the teams that actually we all depend upon when it comes to mp security in our own constituencies as well and there has been an incredible effort nationwide and ijust there has been an incredible effort nationwide and i just want to pay tribute to all police operatives under this for the work that they have been doing and my thanks go to the intelligence agencies and the security services and ct policing, the work is been quite remarkable, it really has. and the right honorable gentlemen has made points that we touch on in the house of chambers on monday as well. and it is a very sombre point actually that the fact that we have the statement today on this terrible tragedy which

took place on friday. and as a recognition around the fact that we want our democracy to be defended and rightfully so, want to conduct our business and an open and transparent way that all members of successfully done so over so many generations. so on that note, mister speaker, that is exactly why through the agencies, through government structures, the wider work on the defending democracy team which would look at other elected representatives of the right honourable gentlemen on monday, on the house, counsellors and other elected representatives, we will collectively acknowledge and know because many of us have been in some of those

roles, previously in public life that their public servants and the society in our country who day in and day out do a great deal of work representing their communities and importantly, delivering public services. they themselves have been subject to abuse and that is part of the wider work that is taking place. in terms of the wider review which is taking place within policing, thatis is taking place within policing, that is linked to operations and rightly so because that is a structure that was set up and has been set—up and is effective and we are constantly working to enhance that. we will close down any perceived gaps around security or even risks around mps or wider assessments that may materialise and thatis assessments that may materialise and that is a collective effort. my final point that i would like to make damn sure all of my right honourable colleagues will appreciate the context with which i make this remark, it is not for us to publicly and openly discuss our security measures. we protect ourselves by working with agencies and policing and we act in a responsible way and terms of the advice and guidance that we are

given and also i should at the support that we are given as members of this house to function and to do ourjobs as elected representatives. so i would just like to emphasise that point to all colleagues and understand the context with which i make the remark. finally, mister speaker, it is through your office as well, your good offices and the support teams that you have that all members should be continuing to keep all members of this house updated because of course there is measures and packages available to members will also be sharing once again, reiterating the support that is available to all members. that is priti patel and _ available to all members. that is priti patel and you _ available to all members. that is priti patel and you heard - available to all members. that is priti patel and you heard from i available to all members. that is l priti patel and you heard from nick thomas, the shadow home secretary with coverage continuing on bbc parliament. we will leave it there for now. the essence of it that the review into security is continuing

in the threat level to mps is no different from the threat level for the country more generally and hopefully that will come with some reassurance to mps and there is a heightened risk but there is a risk level at the same as that for the country as a whole. the headlines on bbc news... the health secretary, sajid javid says around five million people over the age of 16 have still not had the jab and stresses the pandemic is farfrom over. a woman claims she was injected with a drug at a nightclub as the home secretary urges police to assess urgently a reported rise in drink and needle spiking. sport and for a full round up, from the bbc sport centre,

good evening. we start with the champions league, with both chelsea and manchester united in action tonight. and defending champions chelsea have taken the lead against swedish side malmo. defender andreas christensen putting thomas tuchel�*s side in front after 9 minutes. manchester united are hosting italian club atalanta — it is still goalless there. marcus rashford making his first start of the season, as the pressure continues to mount on 0le gunnar solskj r. you can listen to that match live on bbc radio 5 live in the europa league, four goals from patson daka saved leicester as they pulled off a brilliant comebak to beat spartak moscow 4—3 to get theirfirst win in europe of the season. they were two—nil down before daka began the fightback just before the half time break and three more followed in the second half — this one proving to be the winner because spartak did pull one back but leicester held on to get the win which takes them second in their group.

newcastle's search for a new manager is underway, the club parted company with steve bruce earlier, just 13 days after the saudi arabia—backed takeover on tyneside. bruce leaves after two years in charge, with the club second from bottom in the premier league table without a win. our correspondent katie gornall has more. managing newcastle was his dream job managing newcastle was his dream job and no matter how badly he wanted it to work in his hometown club, he always felt like an uphill battle. his departure has been widely expected. he was under pressure even before the saudi arabia lead to takeover. and without a win on season, with the new owners, his team failed again. philip make newcastle stay in the bottom three. in a statement confirming his departure he said:

bruce succeeded in 2019. but despite keeping a limited squad in the premier league for the past two seasons, the manager proved a deeply unpopular appointment with fans. the club wasn't going forward. i _ unpopular appointment with fans. the club wasn't going forward. i feel- club wasn't going forward. i feel ruite club wasn't going forward. i feel quite sorry _ club wasn't going forward. i feel quite sorry for— club wasn't going forward. i feel quite sorry for him _ club wasn't going forward. i feel quite sorry for him but, - club wasn't going forward. i feel quite sorry for him but, yeah, . club wasn't going forward. i feel quite sorry for him but, yeah, the club, _ quite sorry for him but, yeah, the club, it's— quite sorry for him but, yeah, the club, it's good _ quite sorry for him but, yeah, the club, it's good. he— quite sorry for him but, yeah, the club. it's good-— club, it's good. he had to go for the club to _ club, it's good. he had to go for the club to progress _ club, it's good. he had to go for the club to progress and - club, it's good. he had to go for the club to progress and they i club, it's good. he had to go for i the club to progress and they were wanting them to go.— the club to progress and they were wanting them to go. assistant head coach will take _ wanting them to go. assistant head coach will take interim _ wanting them to go. assistant head coach will take interim charge - wanting them to go. assistant head coach will take interim charge while they will go to who next fruit newcastle. but as for what next for bruce, given the toll this job is taken on him and his family, his 1000th game and management is likely to be his last. ireland's t20 world cup hopes hang in the balance — after they were beaten by sri lanka who've qualified for the super 12's stage in abu dhabi. ireland made a brilliant start.

bowling first, they had sri lanka 8 for 3 at one point, but the sri lankans fought back to make 171. ireland were all gone for 101, losing by 70 runs. they'll now have to beat namibia on friday if they're to qualify for the next stage of the competition. meanwhile, england beat new zealand by 13 runs in their final warm—up match for the t20 world cup in abu dhabi. but captain eoin morgan's barren run with the bat continued. he madejust 10 in england's innings of 163 for 6. morgan said he'd consider dropping himself if his poor form continues. england face the defending champions west indies in their first super 12's match on saturday. and scotland head coach gregor townsend has named 12 uncapped players in their a2—man squad for the autumn nations series. townsend said its "exciting" to have a blend of experience within the team. scotland host tonga first at the end of the month — before facing australia, south africa and japan. that's all the sport for now.

lateral flow test. and people should work from home where possible. joining me now is doctor christine tait—burkard, an expert in infection and immunity at the university of edinburgh's roslin institute. professorjennifer rohn, cell biologist at university college london.

dr meng khaw, national director of health protection and screening services at public health walesand dr lindsay broadbent, virologist at queen's university belfast. you'll have a lot in common but there are differences. first of all, if i may, just a snapshot of how things look at the moment. christine, if you would take us off first in scotland.— christine, if you would take us off first in scotland. scotland has seen a aood fall first in scotland. scotland has seen a good fall in _ first in scotland. scotland has seen a good fall in cases _ first in scotland. scotland has seen a good fall in cases until— first in scotland. scotland has seen a good fall in cases until about - first in scotland. scotland has seen a good fall in cases until about two | a good fall in cases until about two weeks ago and at the moment we are pretty level, slightly undulating but scotland's currently in the autumn holidays and we after break before the potential next line that we may see in the south just with the change of weather conditions and people gathering more indoors. you've also got more regulations still in place to prevent or at

least curb the spread of covid—19 and generally, looking 0k and stable at the moment but school will go back soon and we will see cases rise very likely at that point. we are seeinr a very likely at that point. we are seeing a steady _ very likely at that point. we are seeing a steady rise _ very likely at that point. we are seeing a steady rise in - very likely at that point. we are seeing a steady rise in the - very likely at that point. we are i seeing a steady rise in the number of cases— seeing a steady rise in the number of cases reported in wales and this started _ of cases reported in wales and this started a _ of cases reported in wales and this started a few weeks ago and this followed — started a few weeks ago and this followed on from the schools reopening. it a similar curve that we have — reopening. it a similar curve that we have seen in other countries as well triggered by schools reopening and on _ well triggered by schools reopening and on the seventh of august, we announced — and on the seventh of august, we announced the move to the alert level— announced the move to the alert level zero— announced the move to the alert level zero which meant that the measures— level zero which meant that the measures taken to maintain these coverings— measures taken to maintain these coverings in certain situations which — coverings in certain situations which are _ coverings in certain situations which are described earlier. and i think— which are described earlier. and i think that — which are described earlier. and i think that has gone a long way to protect— think that has gone a long way to protect transmission but clearly, there _ protect transmission but clearly, there were other measures that we continue _ there were other measures that we continue to— there were other measures that we continue to consider in wash government continues its 21 day review— government continues its 21 day review cycle of measures that will

be put _ review cycle of measures that will be put in — review cycle of measures that will be put in place. review cycle of measures that will be put in place-— review cycle of measures that will be put in place. lindsay in northern ireland, if be put in place. lindsay in northern ireland. if you _ be put in place. lindsay in northern ireland, if you would. _ be put in place. lindsay in northern ireland, if you would. here - be put in place. lindsay in northern ireland, if you would. here in - ireland, if you would. here in northern _ ireland, if you would. here in northern ireland, _ ireland, if you would. here in northern ireland, we - ireland, if you would. here in northern ireland, we have i ireland, if you would. here in i northern ireland, we have seen ireland, if you would. here in - northern ireland, we have seen a steady— northern ireland, we have seen a steady rate — northern ireland, we have seen a steady rate of— northern ireland, we have seen a steady rate of over _ northern ireland, we have seen a steady rate of over a _ northern ireland, we have seen a steady rate of over a day - northern ireland, we have seen a steady rate of over a day for - northern ireland, we have seen a| steady rate of over a day for quite some _ steady rate of over a day for quite some time — steady rate of over a day for quite some time. primarily, _ steady rate of over a day for quite some time. primarily, that - steady rate of over a day for quite some time. primarily, that is - steady rate of over a day for quite some time. primarily, that is in i steady rate of over a day for quite i some time. primarily, that is in the under 20 _ some time. primarily, that is in the under 20 age — some time. primarily, that is in the under 20 age group _ some time. primarily, that is in the under 20 age group and _ some time. primarily, that is in the under 20 age group and so - some time. primarily, that is in the under 20 age group and so over- some time. primarily, that is in thel under 20 age group and so over 43% of cases— under 20 age group and so over 43% of cases in_ under 20 age group and so over 43% of cases in the — under 20 age group and so over 43% of cases in the under— under 20 age group and so over 43% of cases in the under '20s _ under 20 age group and so over 43% of cases in the under '20s and - of cases in the under '20s and within that, _ of cases in the under '20s and within that, witnessing - of cases in the under '20s and within that, witnessing the . of cases in the under '20s and - within that, witnessing the majority of the _ within that, witnessing the majority of the cases— within that, witnessing the majority of the cases in— within that, witnessing the majority of the cases in the _ within that, witnessing the majority of the cases in the ten _ within that, witnessing the majority of the cases in the ten to _ within that, witnessing the majority of the cases in the ten to 14 - within that, witnessing the majority of the cases in the ten to 14 age - of the cases in the ten to 14 age group _ of the cases in the ten to 14 age group and — of the cases in the ten to 14 age group and in _ of the cases in the ten to 14 age group and in terms of— group and in terms of hospitalizations, - group and in terms of hospitalizations, we i group and in terms of. hospitalizations, we have group and in terms of— hospitalizations, we have actually seen _ hospitalizations, we have actually seen a _ hospitalizations, we have actually seen a bit — hospitalizations, we have actually seen a bit of— hospitalizations, we have actually seen a bit ofa _ hospitalizations, we have actually seen a bit of a decrease - hospitalizations, we have actually seen a bit of a decrease but - hospitalizations, we have actually seen a bit of a decrease but what| seen a bit of a decrease but what has been — seen a bit of a decrease but what has been worrying _ seen a bit of a decrease but what has been worrying is _ seen a bit of a decrease but what has been worrying is the - seen a bit of a decrease but what has been worrying is the fact - seen a bit of a decrease but what| has been worrying is the fact that we have — has been worrying is the fact that we have seen— has been worrying is the fact that we have seen an _ has been worrying is the fact that we have seen an increase - has been worrying is the fact that we have seen an increase in- has been worrying is the fact that we have seen an increase in the i we have seen an increase in the number— we have seen an increase in the number of— we have seen an increase in the number of deaths _ we have seen an increase in the number of deaths and - we have seen an increase in the number of deaths and a - we have seen an increase in the number of deaths and a 10% - we have seen an increase in the - number of deaths and a 10% increase in the _ number of deaths and a 10% increase in the past _ number of deaths and a 10% increase in the past seven— number of deaths and a 10% increase in the past seven days _ number of deaths and a 10% increase in the past seven days to _ number of deaths and a 10% increase in the past seven days to the seven l in the past seven days to the seven days previous — in the past seven days to the seven days previous to _ in the past seven days to the seven days previous to that. _ in the past seven days to the seven days previous to that. and - in the past seven days to the seven days previous to that. and of - days previous to that. and of course, — days previous to that. and of course, we're _ days previous to that. and of course, we're a _ days previous to that. and of course, we're a little - days previous to that. and of course, we're a little bit - days previous to that. and of. course, we're a little bit worried about _ course, we're a little bit worried about your — course, we're a little bit worried about your northern _ course, we're a little bit worried about your northern ireland - course, we're a little bit worried about your northern ireland is l course, we're a little bit worried l about your northern ireland is the vaccine _ about your northern ireland is the vaccine coverage _ about your northern ireland is the vaccine coverage is— about your northern ireland is the vaccine coverage is lower- about your northern ireland is the vaccine coverage is lower than - about your northern ireland is the j vaccine coverage is lower than the rest of— vaccine coverage is lower than the rest of the — vaccine coverage is lower than the rest of the uk _ vaccine coverage is lower than the rest of the uk and _ vaccine coverage is lower than the rest of the uk and we _ vaccine coverage is lower than the rest of the uk and we have - vaccine coverage is lower than thej rest of the uk and we have 82% of the over— rest of the uk and we have 82% of the over 12 — rest of the uk and we have 82% of the over 12 population— rest of the uk and we have 82% of the over 12 population with - rest of the uk and we have 82% of| the over 12 population with at least one dose _ the over 12 population with at least one dose was— the over 12 population with at least one dose was the _ the over 12 population with at least

one dose was the uk— the over 12 population with at least one dose was the uk average - the over 12 population with at least one dose was the uk average is- one dose was the uk average is 86. so, one dose was the uk average is 86. so. that— one dose was the uk average is 86. so. that is— one dose was the uk average is 86. so, that is something _ one dose was the uk average is 86. so, that is something we _ one dose was the uk average is 86. so, that is something we need - so, that is something we need to work— so, that is something we need to work on — so, that is something we need to work on. �* , so, that is something we need to work on. v . ., so, that is something we need to work on. �*, ., ,, ., , ., work on. let's talk finally to jennifer in _ work on. let's talk finally to jennifer in england. - work on. let's talk finally to jennifer in england. much i work on. let's talk finally to i jennifer in england. much like work on. let's talk finally to - jennifer in england. much like the other countries, _ jennifer in england. much like the other countries, we _ jennifer in england. much like the other countries, we were - jennifer in england. much like the other countries, we were stable l jennifer in england. much like the. other countries, we were stable for a while but cases have been rising again, this is probably triggered by the return to school and very high case numbers and number places up to approaching 100 or thousand or 100,000 which is quite high and ipswich is currently the highest area and the only good thing on the horizon for most areas next week, that should act as a mini firebrick. ijust wanted to pick up on the figures, we had regionalfigures across england and quite worrying, not least in the southwest but we're talking about well over 500 cases per 100,000 and is that a trend that is starting to cause concern in

england? i is starting to cause concern in encland? ., �* , is starting to cause concern in encland? ., v . is starting to cause concern in encland? ~ �*, ., . ., england? i think it's a reflection ofthe england? i think it's a reflection of the fact _ england? i think it's a reflection of the fact that _ england? i think it's a reflection of the fact that england - england? i think it's a reflection of the fact that england has - england? i think it's a reflection of the fact that england has the | of the fact that england has the fewest— of the fact that england has the fewest restrictions of any of other countries — fewest restrictions of any of other countries and also in the world, it's probably not surprising that our cases— it's probably not surprising that our cases are getting high were doing _ our cases are getting high were doing nothing except vaccines and as you know. _ doing nothing except vaccines and as you know, the roll—out has plateaued a bit and _ you know, the roll—out has plateaued a bit and so _ you know, the roll—out has plateaued a bit and so since we have no face coverings. — a bit and so since we have no face coverings, we have no vaccine passports, _ coverings, we have no vaccine passports, everyone is going back to work, _ passports, everyone is going back to work. and _ passports, everyone is going back to work, and we are going into winter when _ work, and we are going into winter when coronavirus is coming into its own, _ when coronavirus is coming into its own. it's _ when coronavirus is coming into its own. it's not — when coronavirus is coming into its own, it's not surprising cases are high _ own, it's not surprising cases are high in _ own, it's not surprising cases are high in england. let own, it's not surprising cases are high in england-— high in england. let me talk a little bit about _ high in england. let me talk a little bit about vaccinations i high in england. let me talk a i little bit about vaccinations now. there is a debate about vaccination cover, which is already referred to slightly lower in northern ireland, but also absent boosters and what is happening in wells with that in that looking in terms of a roll—out for boosters and the amount of vaccines that the number of people have accepted and gone ahead with

vaccination? brute accepted and gone ahead with vaccination?— accepted and gone ahead with vaccination? ~ ., , ., ., vaccination? we are proud of the achievement _ vaccination? we are proud of the achievement that _ vaccination? we are proud of the achievement that we _ vaccination? we are proud of the achievement that we have - vaccination? we are proud of the achievement that we have had i vaccination? we are proud of the achievement that we have had in j achievement that we have had in welis— achievement that we have had in wells and — achievement that we have had in wells and our current vaccination rates _ wells and our current vaccination rates are — wells and our current vaccination rates are 93% and having had one dose _ rates are 93% and having had one dose at _ rates are 93% and having had one dose at least an 86% who had two doses _ dose at least an 86% who had two doses and — dose at least an 86% who had two doses. and that is in the over 16 a-e doses. and that is in the over 16 age group — doses. and that is in the over 16 age group and clearly, we are monitoring our 12 to 15 —year—old uptake _ monitoring our 12 to 15 —year—old uptake and — monitoring our 12 to 15 —year—old uptake and will be shortly publishing figures on that and also publishing figures on that and also publishing figures on that and also publishing figures later in the week on our— publishing figures later in the week on our uptake with the booster rates by the _ on our uptake with the booster rates by the early — on our uptake with the booster rates by the early indications are that it has been — by the early indications are that it has been very positively received with very— has been very positively received with very good uptake rates across the area _ with very good uptake rates across the area. and as i said, we are monitoring _ the area. and as i said, we are monitoring the booster and i know that the _ monitoring the booster and i know that the actual number of doses given— that the actual number of doses given is— that the actual number of doses given is very high across wells and so we _ given is very high across wells and so we are — given is very high across wells and so we are recording the rates of that leader in the week. in that leader in the week. scotland, that leader in the week. in scotland, what is happening with vaccination in scotland because there's been quite a considerable

drive. it there's been quite a considerable drive. , . ., ., there's been quite a considerable drive. , _, ., . drive. it is continuing at pace, especially _ drive. it is continuing at pace, especially the _ drive. it is continuing at pace, especially the younger - drive. it is continuing at pace, - especially the younger generation with 15, _ especially the younger generation with 15, i2 — especially the younger generation with 15, 12 to _ especially the younger generation with 15, 12 to 15— especially the younger generation with 15, 12 to 15 —year—olds. - especially the younger generation i with 15, 12 to 15 —year—olds. almost a par— with 15, 12 to 15 —year—olds. almost a par with _ with 15, 12 to 15 —year—olds. almost a par with the — with 15, 12 to 15 —year—olds. almost a par with the 18_ with 15, 12 to 15 —year—olds. almost a par with the 18 to _ with 15, 12 to 15 —year—olds. almost a par with the 18 to 26 —year—olds l a par with the 18 to 26 —year—olds in the _ a par with the 18 to 26 —year—olds in the i6— a par with the 18 to 26 —year—olds in the 16 to — a par with the 18 to 26 —year—olds in the 16 to 17 _ a par with the 18 to 26 —year—olds in the 16 to 17 —year—old age - a par with the 18 to 26 —year—olds i in the 16 to 17 —year—old age group. what _ in the 16 to 17 —year—old age group. what is _ in the 16 to 17 —year—old age group. what is concerning _ in the 16 to 17 —year—old age group. what is concerning in— in the 16 to 17 —year—old age group. what is concerning in the _ in the 16 to 17 —year—old age group. what is concerning in the younger. what is concerning in the younger generations — what is concerning in the younger generations which _ what is concerning in the younger generations which reflects - what is concerning in the younger generations which reflects the - what is concerning in the younger. generations which reflects the order generations — generations which reflects the order generations if— generations which reflects the order generations if i _ generations which reflects the order generations if i may— generations which reflects the order generations if i may add _ generations which reflects the order generations if i may add that - generations which reflects the order generations if i may add that is - generations which reflects the order generations if i may add that is we i generations if i may add that is we see around — generations if i may add that is we see around 20% _ generations if i may add that is we see around 20% difference - generations if i may add that is we. see around 20% difference between the most _ see around 20% difference between the most affluent _ see around 20% difference between the most affluent and _ see around 20% difference between the most affluent and the _ see around 20% difference between the most affluent and the most - the most affluent and the most deprived — the most affluent and the most deprived areas, _ the most affluent and the most deprived areas, which - the most affluent and the most deprived areas, which is- the most affluent and the most deprived areas, which is a - the most affluent and the most - deprived areas, which is a problem that we _ deprived areas, which is a problem that we still— deprived areas, which is a problem that we still see _ deprived areas, which is a problem that we still see and _ deprived areas, which is a problem that we still see and there - deprived areas, which is a problem that we still see and there are - that we still see and there are still pockets _ that we still see and there are still pockets of _ that we still see and there are still pockets of the _ that we still see and there are still pockets of the population| that we still see and there are - still pockets of the population that are at _ still pockets of the population that are at a _ still pockets of the population that are at a much— still pockets of the population that are at a much lower— still pockets of the population that are at a much lower vaccination i still pockets of the population that. are at a much lower vaccination rate and that— are at a much lower vaccination rate and that is— are at a much lower vaccination rate and that is sadly— are at a much lower vaccination rate and that is sadly reflected _ are at a much lower vaccination rate and that is sadly reflected in - are at a much lower vaccination rate and that is sadly reflected in the - and that is sadly reflected in the hospitalisation _ and that is sadly reflected in the hospitalisation numbers. - and that is sadly reflected in the hospitalisation numbers. the i hospitalisation numbers. the boosters _ hospitalisation numbers. the boosters rolling _ hospitalisation numbers. the boosters rolling out - hospitalisation numbers. the boosters rolling out with - hospitalisation numbers. the boosters rolling out with the i boosters rolling out with the administrative _ boosters rolling out with the administrative doses - boosters rolling out with the administrative doses at - boosters rolling out with the - administrative doses at present, it is slower— administrative doses at present, it is slower than _ administrative doses at present, it is slower than some _ administrative doses at present, it is slower than some people - administrative doses at present, it is slower than some people have i is slower than some people have expected — is slower than some people have expected and _ is slower than some people have expected and it _ is slower than some people have expected and it is _ is slower than some people have expected and it is several-

is slower than some people have. expected and it is several reasons and we _ expected and it is several reasons and we have — expected and it is several reasons and we have seen— expected and it is several reasons and we have seen the _ expected and it is several reasons and we have seen the booster- expected and it is several reasons and we have seen the boosterjab| expected and it is several reasons - and we have seen the boosterjab and the oldest _ and we have seen the boosterjab and the oldest generations _ and we have seen the boosterjab and the oldest generations of _ and we have seen the boosterjab and the oldest generations of the - and we have seen the boosterjab and| the oldest generations of the moment because _ the oldest generations of the moment because they — the oldest generations of the moment because they are _ the oldest generations of the moment because they are the _ the oldest generations of the moment because they are the first _ the oldest generations of the moment because they are the first ones - the oldest generations of the moment because they are the first ones that i because they are the first ones that are six— because they are the first ones that are six mohths_ because they are the first ones that are six months past— because they are the first ones that are six months past their— because they are the first ones that are six months past their second i are six months past their second dose _ are six months past their second dose and — are six months past their second dose and health _ are six months past their second dose and health care _ are six months past their second i dose and health care professionals and be _ dose and health care professionals and be of— dose and health care professionals and be of seen— dose and health care professionals and be of seen the _ dose and health care professionals and be of seen the first _ dose and health care professionals and be of seen the first rule - dose and health care professionals and be of seen the first rule that i and be of seen the first rule that the party— and be of seen the first rule that the party of— and be of seen the first rule that the party of scotland _ and be of seen the first rule that the party of scotland is - and be of seen the first rule that the party of scotland is always i and be of seen the first rule that the party of scotland is always a | the party of scotland is always a bit slow — the party of scotland is always a bit slow because _ the party of scotland is always a bit slow because it _ the party of scotland is always a bit slow because it is _ the party of scotland is always a bit slow because it is a - the party of scotland is always a i bit slow because it is a community and the _ bit slow because it is a community and the roll—out _ bit slow because it is a community and the roll—out and _ bit slow because it is a community and the roll—out and care - bit slow because it is a community and the roll—out and care homes. and the roll—out and care homes which _ and the roll—out and care homes which is — and the roll—out and care homes which is always _ and the roll—out and care homes which is always a _ and the roll—out and care homes which is always a bit _ and the roll—out and care homes which is always a bit slower. - and the roll—out and care homes which is always a bit slower. in i which is always a bit slower. northern ireland, i know that which is always a bit slower.“ northern ireland, i know that you've been concerned about the take—up question among teenagers, what is happening with that at the moment? at the roll—out has been incredibly slow. 0ne at the roll—out has been incredibly slow. one of the reasons is northern ireland are doing their own thing here. they're involving schools very heavily. i think a lot of us are looking on at scotland quite jealously, that there roll—out has gone incredibly well, but in terms of the boosters, it's going pretty

well here. gps have done an incrediblejob at well here. gps have done an incredible job at communicating to those people that need boosters and getting the vaccines into arms. but what we need to remember is we need people to take up the option of this when this becomes available. that’s when this becomes available. that's a aood when this becomes available. that's a good point — when this becomes available. that's a good point because _ when this becomes available. that's a good point because you _ when this becomes available. that's a good point because you are - when this becomes available. that's a good point because you are seeing a good point because you are seeing a rise in hospitalisation of over 45—year—old? a rise in hospitalisation of over lts-vear-old?_ a rise in hospitalisation of over 45-year-old? a rise in hospitalisation of over 45- ear-old? , , ., 45-year-old? yes, in both cases and hospitalizations. _ 45-year-old? yes, in both cases and hospitalizations. in _ 45-year-old? yes, in both cases and hospitalizations. in the _ 45-year-old? yes, in both cases and hospitalizations. in the last - 45-year-old? yes, in both cases and hospitalizations. in the last month, i hospitalizations. in the last month, we've seen a 20% increase in cases in the over 45 so. that is obviously worrying because people who are older are more likely to suffer severe disease, and we are seeing that people that are older are more likely... from initial doses they received. , , ., ., received. jennifer, this question of u take in received. jennifer, this question of uptake in england, _ received. jennifer, this question of uptake in england, you _ received. jennifer, this question of uptake in england, you i— received. jennifer, this question of uptake in england, you i think- received. jennifer, this question of| uptake in england, you i think think it's partly because of the messaging from government. it hasn't been

consistent on the ongoing threat from the pandemic. i consistent on the ongoing threat from the pandemic.— consistent on the ongoing threat from the pandemic. i think that's true. we have _ from the pandemic. i think that's true. we have pretty _ from the pandemic. i think that's true. we have pretty good - from the pandemic. i think that's| true. we have pretty good uptake from the pandemic. i think that's i true. we have pretty good uptake in the older— true. we have pretty good uptake in the older age groups, but like other countries, _ the older age groups, but like other countries, we're not doing so well with the _ countries, we're not doing so well with the younger people. it's been said that _ with the younger people. it's been said that this is because this is difficult — said that this is because this is difficult to access in schools. but ithink— difficult to access in schools. but i think it's — difficult to access in schools. but i think it's confusing that we have a government saying essentially, it's over. — a government saying essentially, it's over, just go out and do whatever you want. it's all under control~ — whatever you want. it's all under control. and people are going to think— control. and people are going to think it's — control. and people are going to think it's over. sol control. and people are going to think it's over. so i am worried about— think it's over. so i am worried about messaging, and i think now, there _ about messaging, and i think now, there may— about messaging, and i think now, there may need to be a u—turn. but will people — there may need to be a u—turn. but will people take it seriously? what are people going to do? the other ruestion i are people going to do? the other question i was _ are people going to do? the other question i was going _ are people going to do? the other question i was going to _ are people going to do? the other question i was going to ask, - are people going to do? the other question i was going to ask, and i | question i was going to ask, and i think i might put this to christine and scotland, what do you think people in england are missing out by

the way the restrictions have been lifted? there's an argument that lifting restrictions has increased the spread of the virus, but that may be a good thing. get the spread into the community with large proportions vaccinated, and that gets us towards the stage of endemic coronavirus infection, which then helps build common immunity. weill. helps build common immunity. well, the problem — helps build common immunity. well, the problem we _ helps build common immunity. well, the problem we have _ helps build common immunity. well, the problem we have is _ helps build common immunity. well, the problem we have is 5 _ the problem we have is 5 million people _ the problem we have is 5 million people who _ the problem we have is 5 million people who are _ the problem we have is 5 million people who are unvaccinated. ifl people who are unvaccinated. if they all get _ people who are unvaccinated. if they all get the _ people who are unvaccinated. if they all get the virus _ people who are unvaccinated. if they all get the virus and _ people who are unvaccinated. if they all get the virus and the _ all get the virus and the percentages— all get the virus and the percentages of- all get the virus and the percentages of going i all get the virus and the percentages of going to| all get the virus and the - percentages of going to hospital all get the virus and the _ percentages of going to hospital may be low— percentages of going to hospital may be low -ish. — percentages of going to hospital may below -ish. but _ percentages of going to hospital may be low —ish, but that— percentages of going to hospital may be low —ish, but that is— percentages of going to hospital may be low —ish, but that is more - percentages of going to hospital may be low —ish, but that is more than. be low —ish, but that is more than we had _ be low —ish, but that is more than we had to— be low —ish, but that is more than we had to face _ be low —ish, but that is more than we had to face in— be low —ish, but that is more than we had to face in the _ be low —ish, but that is more than we had to face in the hospital. - we had to face in the hospital. at the same — we had to face in the hospital. at the same time, _ we had to face in the hospital. at the same time, we _ we had to face in the hospital. at the same time, we currently- we had to face in the hospital. at the same time, we currently seel the same time, we currently see a strong _ the same time, we currently see a strong increase _ the same time, we currently see a strong increase in— the same time, we currently see a strong increase in cancer- the same time, we currently see a i strong increase in cancer diagnoses, people _ strong increase in cancer diagnoses, people who — strong increase in cancer diagnoses, people who need _ strong increase in cancer diagnoses, people who need treatment - strong increase in cancer diagnoses, . people who need treatment urgently. we also _ people who need treatment urgently. we also people — people who need treatment urgently. we also people who _ people who need treatment urgently. we also people who are _ people who need treatment urgently. we also people who are more - people who need treatment urgently. . we also people who are more severely ill than— we also people who are more severely ill than they _ we also people who are more severely ill than they should _ we also people who are more severely ill than they should have _ ill than they should have potentially _ ill than they should have potentially been. - ill than they should have potentially been. they i ill than they should have - potentially been. they could have potentially — potentially been. they could have potentially been _ potentially been. they could have potentially been diagnosed -

potentially been. they could have | potentially been diagnosed earlier or need _ potentially been diagnosed earlier or need hospital— potentially been diagnosed earlier or need hospital care, _ potentially been diagnosed earlier or need hospital care, and - potentially been diagnosed earlier or need hospital care, and that. potentially been diagnosed earlier or need hospital care, and that is| or need hospital care, and that is 'ust or need hospital care, and that is just the _ or need hospital care, and that is just the perfect— or need hospital care, and that is just the perfect storm, _ or need hospital care, and that is just the perfect storm, but - or need hospital care, and that is just the perfect storm, but head. or need hospital care, and that is i just the perfect storm, but head of winter. _ just the perfect storm, but head of winter. when — just the perfect storm, but head of winter, when we _ just the perfect storm, but head of winter, when we don't _ just the perfect storm, but head of winter, when we don't know- just the perfect storm, but head of winter, when we don't know how. just the perfect storm, but head of- winter, when we don't know how other cold viruses _ winter, when we don't know how other cold viruses improve. _ winter, when we don't know how other cold viruses improve. everything - cold viruses improve. everything else comes _ cold viruses improve. everything else comes back— cold viruses improve. everything else comes back to _ cold viruses improve. everything else comes back to haunt- cold viruses improve. everything else comes back to haunt us, . else comes back to haunt us, basically, _ else comes back to haunt us, basically, and _ else comes back to haunt us, basically, and now— else comes back to haunt us, basically, and now we - else comes back to haunt us, basically, and now we have i else comes back to haunt us, basically, and now we have a| basically, and now we have a preseason— basically, and now we have a preseason after— basically, and now we have a preseason after 20 _ basically, and now we have a preseason after 20 months i basically, and now we have a| preseason after 20 months of basically, and now we have a - preseason after 20 months of hard -raft preseason after 20 months of hard graft for— preseason after 20 months of hard graft for everyone _ preseason after 20 months of hard graft for everyone working - preseason after 20 months of hard graft for everyone working in - preseason after 20 months of hard graft for everyone working in the i graft for everyone working in the health _ graft for everyone working in the health care — graft for everyone working in the health care sector, _ graft for everyone working in the health care sector, and - graft for everyone working in the health care sector, and that's . graft for everyone working in the | health care sector, and that'sjust the perfect — health care sector, and that'sjust the perfect winter— health care sector, and that'sjust the perfect winter storm - health care sector, and that'sjust the perfect winter storm that - health care sector, and that'sjust the perfect winter storm that we. the perfect winter storm that we don't _ the perfect winter storm that we don't need _ the perfect winter storm that we don't need-— the perfect winter storm that we don'tneed. ., ., ., , don't need. you're national director of health protection, _ don't need. you're national director of health protection, so _ don't need. you're national director of health protection, so kind - don't need. you're national director of health protection, so kind of - don't need. you're national director of health protection, so kind of an i of health protection, so kind of an official hat as it were. what was the calculation in wales for the decision to require people to still wear face masks decision to require people to still wearface masks in shops decision to require people to still wear face masks in shops and decision to require people to still wearface masks in shops and public transport and events? wear face masks in shops and public transport and events?— transport and events? clearly, we rive transport and events? clearly, we give advice _ transport and events? clearly, we give advice to _ transport and events? clearly, we give advice to welsh _ transport and events? clearly, wej give advice to welsh government. transport and events? clearly, we - give advice to welsh government. we make decisions about control measures as part of the policy decisions announced on the 21 day cycle i mentioned. and the advice we

gave included a description of the epidemiology and the controlled measures we felt we needed to still have in place to control transmission. the reality here is the best thing you can do is protect yourself through vaccination and take out the offer of vaccine when it is available. now, what we know from vaccination is that it does prevent severe disease, so we know from our data in wales that there are three times the number of hospital admissions from those that are not vaccinated, and that's a start figure which has meant that when we look at our hospital admission rates in wales, we are seeing that mild in comparison to the previous waves. so we know that vaccination protects against severe illness and hospital admissions. so in the scheme of the decision—making process, clearly, there are elements around the fizz and making that take

into other factors such as the economy and wellbeing — — decision—making. public health wales continues to provide advice to inform that. fin continues to provide advice to inform that.— continues to provide advice to inform that. .,. . ., , ., inform that. on face coverings, what was our inform that. on face coverings, what was your advice? _ inform that. on face coverings, what was your advice? so, _ inform that. on face coverings, what was your advice? so, the _ inform that. on face coverings, what was your advice? so, the base - was your advice? so, the base around face coverings — was your advice? so, the base around face coverings is _ was your advice? so, the base around face coverings is clearly _ was your advice? so, the base around face coverings is clearly something i face coverings is clearly something that we continue to get all information around. how it protects against transmission. but let's not forget that it's a visible reminder of the need to continue to take precautions. it's a reminder that we continue to sanitiser hands, continue to sanitiser hands, continue to sanitiser hands, continue to maintain social distancing and encouraging people to use open spaces. as a rule, face coverings have a purpose. the evidence in relation to transmission prevention, i think, evidence in relation to transmission prevention, ithink, is mixed, buti

think the overall benefit is that if we have the constant reminder that covid transmission is still around and continues to be a threat, then that for me is a benefit.— that for me is a benefit. thank you very much. — that for me is a benefit. thank you very much. all— that for me is a benefit. thank you very much, all of— that for me is a benefit. thank you very much, all of you. _ that for me is a benefit. thank you very much, all of you. in _ very much, all of you. in conclusion, give us your sense of where you're part of the uk may be heading in the winter. i appreciate this is a bit of a prediction, but it would give us a sense of what you think are the kind of stress points we need to consider. let's start in england withjennifer. i we need to consider. let's start in england with jennifer.— england with jennifer. i think we are likely to _ england with jennifer. i think we are likely to be _ england with jennifer. i think we are likely to be heading - england with jennifer. i think we are likely to be heading for- england with jennifer. i think we are likely to be heading for a - are likely to be heading for a day of many— are likely to be heading for a day of many more cases, possibly 100,000 _ of many more cases, possibly 100,000. i think it's almost inevitable if we don't do anything. if inevitable if we don't do anything. if plan _ inevitable if we don't do anything. if plan b— inevitable if we don't do anything. if plan b is— inevitable if we don't do anything. if plan b is not brought in and people — if plan b is not brought in and people think it's still all over, our cases— people think it's still all over, our cases will go up and there will be pressures on the nhs, so i think the government needs to remember that the _ the government needs to remember that the sooner we act on certain things. _ that the sooner we act on certain things. the — that the sooner we act on certain things, the better. it's best they

don't _ things, the better. it's best they don't wait — things, the better. it's best they don't wait too long if they want tom _ don't wait too long if they want tom i— don't wait too long if they want tom ithink— don't wait too long if they want to... i think it's time to think about— to... i think it's time to think about that _ to. .. i think it's time to think about that.— to... i think it's time to think about that. �* , about that. lindsay broadbent in belfast. yes, _ about that. lindsay broadbent in belfast. yes, i— about that. lindsay broadbent in belfast. yes, i think _ about that. lindsay broadbent in belfast. yes, i think the - about that. lindsay broadbent in belfast. yes, i think the renteri belfast. yes, i think the renter reall is belfast. yes, i think the renter really is going _ belfast. yes, i think the renter really is going to _ belfast. yes, i think the renter really is going to bring - belfast. yes, i think the renter really is going to bring more i really is going to bring more pressures— really is going to bring more pressures across _ really is going to bring more pressures across the - really is going to bring more pressures across the board. | really is going to bring more. pressures across the board. — really is going to bring more i pressures across the board. — — really is going to bring more - pressures across the board. — — the winter i_ pressures across the board. — — the winter idon't— pressures across the board. — — the winter. i don't have _ pressures across the board. — — the winter. i don't have a _ pressures across the board. — — the winter. i don't have a crystal- winter. i don't have a crystal ball, but i _ winter. i don't have a crystal ball, but i would — winter. i don't have a crystal ball, but i would like _ winter. i don't have a crystal ball, but i would like to hope _ winter. i don't have a crystal ball, but i would like to hope for- but i would like to hope for something _ but i would like to hope for something here _ but i would like to hope for something here in - but i would like to hope for| something here in northern but i would like to hope for- something here in northern ireland, it's that _ something here in northern ireland, it's that we — something here in northern ireland, it's that we see _ something here in northern ireland, it's that we see an _ something here in northern ireland, it's that we see an emphasis - something here in northern ireland, it's that we see an emphasis on - it's that we see an emphasis on things— it's that we see an emphasis on things like _ it's that we see an emphasis on things like infection _ it's that we see an emphasis on things like infection control- it's that we see an emphasis on| things like infection control that don't _ things like infection control that don't necessarily— things like infection control that don't necessarily impede - things like infection control that i don't necessarily impede people's lives _ don't necessarily impede people's lives things _ don't necessarily impede people's lives. things like _ don't necessarily impede people's lives. things like masks, - don't necessarily impede people's lives. things like masks, better. lives. things like masks, better ventilation, _ lives. things like masks, better ventilation, faster— lives. things like masks, better ventilation, faster roll—out - lives. things like masks, better ventilation, faster roll—out of i ventilation, faster roll—out of boosters. _ ventilation, faster roll—out of boosters, and _ ventilation, faster roll—out of boosters, and distributing. ventilation, faster roll—out of i boosters, and distributing lfts liberally— boosters, and distributing lfts liberally to _ boosters, and distributing lfts liberally to everyone _ boosters, and distributing lfts liberally to everyone and - liberally to everyone and encouraging _ liberally to everyone and encouraging people - liberally to everyone and encouraging people if. liberally to everyone and i encouraging people if they liberally to everyone and - encouraging people if they test positive, — encouraging people if they test positive, that _ encouraging people if they test positive, that they— encouraging people if they test positive, that they isolate. - encouraging people if they test positive, that they isolate. and encouraging people if they test. positive, that they isolate. and i hope _ positive, that they isolate. and i hope there — positive, that they isolate. and i hope there will— positive, that they isolate. and i hope there will be _ positive, that they isolate. and i hope there will be support - positive, that they isolate. and i hope there will be support theirl positive, that they isolate. and i. hope there will be support their for the people — hope there will be support their for the people to — hope there will be support their for the people to do _ hope there will be support their for the people to do that. _ hope there will be support their for the people to do that.— the people to do that. thank you very much- _ the people to do that. thank you very much. christine? _ the people to do that. thank you very much. christine? i- the people to do that. thank you

very much. christine? ithink- the people to do that. thank you very much. christine? i think we| very much. christine? i think we will have a _ very much. christine? i think we will have a winter— very much. christine? i think we will have a winter of _ very much. christine? i think we will have a winter of undulations ahead of us with peaks and troughs. people are in the scotland seem to be receptive to the warning signs, which is a good thing, but there is a chance that some will be put to place, including a widening of the vesting passports.— place, including a widening of the vesting passports. thank you very much. vesting passports. thank you very much- so. — vesting passports. thank you very much- so. i _ vesting passports. thank you very much. so, ithink— vesting passports. thank you very much. so, i think we're _ vesting passports. thank you very much. so, i think we're on - vesting passports. thank you very much. so, i think we're on the i much. so, i think we're on the rise, but it may — much. so, i think we're on the rise, but it may plateau _ much. so, i think we're on the rise, but it may plateau in _ much. so, i think we're on the rise, but it may plateau in the _ much. so, i think we're on the rise, but it may plateau in the next - much. so, i think we're on the rise, but it may plateau in the next few i but it may plateau in the next few days or weeks. that's my sense from the curve that we're seeing. there is no doubt that the threats from other respiratory illnesses is something we need to keep a careful watch on, and the preventive measures that we're taking around covid will also prevent the spread of influenza and other respiratory illnesses. so we remain vigilant and we mustn't forget there are other diseases that have benefits through

vaccination programmes, particularly around the flu.— around the flu. thank you very much to all of you- — the number of new cases has been rising fast across the uk — with infections in the last week up 17% compared to the week before. the latest daily figures show there were 49,139 new infections recorded in the latest 24—hours, which means there were 45,799 cases on average per day, in the past week. the number of people in hospital with covid is slowly rising — it's now 7,891. there were another 179 deaths recorded, days of a positive test (an15) on average there were 136 deaths per day, in the past week.

just to give you an idea of the range of figures, the real latest figures for the southwest show the infection rate is 579.9 per 100,000 people, compared to 515 in the east midlands, 491 in yorkshire, london has the lowest of 248 infections for every 100,000 people. morocco has announced it's banning flights to and from the uk from midnight because of the number of cases of coronavirus here. flights between morocco and germany and the netherlands have also been suspended. 0ur transport correspondent, caroline davies, says airlines have been told the measure will be in place until further notice. the moroccan government hasn't said when this man on flights will end. this is not a ban on uas because it ascends going to morocco. — — us citizens. they've also banned direct

between the we know a couple thousand uk travellers are in morocco. in morocco, it's said they have reduced the daily infection rates around ten and 100,000 weekly, and 445 in the uk. international travel isn'tjust and 445 in the uk. international travel isn't just about the policy about the uk, it's also about how the uk is looked at abroad. there's been a slight fall in the rate at which prices are rising. that's according to the office for national statistics, which says inflation fell to 3.1% in september. it's still way above the bank of england's target rate of 2% and economists expect it to rise again. here's our economics editor, faisal islam. it was events last year that drove this month's surprise dip in inflation. in september, the slight fall resulted from the comparison with last september's high inflation number, when prices for eating outjumped after taxpayer—funded

discounts ended. that flattered this year's figures — all of which shows the numbers during the pandemic are volatile. but from this month, they will inevitably resume their upwards trajectory, which to families up and down the country facing energy price hikes will come as no surprise. the biggest one for us is energy bill, because we are with people's energy, who went bust. so the energy bill is doubling every month. the prices are higher for the overall shop, but where prices stay the same for things like grapes and strawberries and things that come in a punnet, the punnets have shrunk, so you don't get as much. industry, unlike ordinary consumers, has no protection from energy price rises, contributing to a perfect storm alongside shortages of hauliers and warehouse workers. a food industry boss warned mps yesterday of what was coming. i really think that the committee needs to think seriously about inflation. in hospitality, which is a precursor

of retail, inflation is currently running somewhere between 14—18%. that is terrifying. all of which is starting to get the bank of england to reassess just how short—lived high inflation could be and how quickly interest rates will go up. i continue to believe that high inflation will be temporary - because it's in the nature of the underlying causes. but the energy story particularly means that it will last longer - and that's why we at the bank of england have signalled, - and this is another such signal, that we will have to act. - so, a rate rise this year is possible to take the heat out of inflection expected to go up to 5%. what the bank is looking out for in particular is wage rises notjust in the sectors affected by shortages, but across the economy. faisal islam, bbc news. the home secretary has asked police to assess urgently the scale

of drink spiking at nightclubs and parties amid reports of a rise in the number of cases in recent weeks. there've been claims too that some have even been drugged by injection in cities including nottingham, edinburgh, liverpool and glasgow. jo black reports. after covid, it was supposed to be the freshers' week they never had. but on this night out at a club in nottingham, second—year university student sarah buckle became so unwell, she ended up in hospital. out of nowhere, i seemed to just stop communicating. i couldn't talk. it was as if someone had just turned a switch. the 19—year—old believes she was the victim of an injection spiking. i was almost screaming out for help and then almost going unconscious and coming back round and choking, and they could just tell immediately, wait, it's not that she's had too much to drink, something's really, really wrong. i have no memory of anything. i think my earliest memory will have been around 9am. my hand was throbbing and a bruise was starting to develop.

posts on social media talk of similar incidents, and now a petition calling for compulsory searches at nightclubs has been signed by more than 130,000 people. and groups from more than 30 universities around the uk have joined a campaign calling for a boycott of nightclubs at the end of this month. the problem of people having their drinks spiked in night—time venues has been reported for many years, but now there are new fears about the rise of injection spiking. however, only a small number of police forces across the uk say they've had reports of this happening. despite this, young people we spoke to today in nottingham said they were worried. i won't go out. i won't. it's too worrying. you shouldn't have in the back of your thought, is someone going to stab me with a needle and spike my drink? 0r anything like that. so, it's really concerning. it's one thing to worry- about your drink being spiked, but having stuff injected - into you that you don't know

what it is, anything i could happen to you. it's terrifying. the home secretary priti patel has now asked police forces for an urgent update on this issue. and today, at the home affairs select committee, questions about the scale of the problem. do you think police forces are taking this seriously enough? every chief constable takes this as a top priority. violence against women in general. sarah says it will be a long time before she can enjoy another night out, but she hopes her story will be a warning to others. if you feel unwell, slightly, orjust think you've had a bit too much to drink, go home, and if you think something more sinister might have happened, do not be afraid to contact the police. jo black, bbc news, nottingham. the financial services regulator, the fca, is to be investigated over its role in the british steel pensions scandal. thousands of workers lost money when they were advised to transfer out of the pension in 2017. some say they have been failed again by the authorities.

the national audit office will look at the fca to see if they've given enough support. more from our wales correspondent, hywel griffith. it's a cloud that hangs over britain's steel industry — thousands of its workers who were saving for their future had their pensions preyed upon by a few financial advisers looking for a quick profit. we all earn the same amount of money and they all had £85,000 and i had zero. how's that fair? richie pugh from port talbot is one of nearly 8,000 workers who followed the advice to cash in his pension and invest — a decision which now means he may have to work longer. he's received no compensation. it's a long, long battle and it shouldn't be so difficult to get fairness for all steelworkers. it's a lottery on who gets what. i mean, my pension's dropped £20,000 in the last two weeks because of the markets. that's not right, you know? there's no stability

for myself and that's the same for everybody else. workers like richy were told to transfer out of their pension in 2017, after being warned it could fail. many took bad advice and depended on a regulator being there to protect them. that regulator, the financial conduct authority, is now being investigated to see whether it acted properly and has done enough since to support the workers. it means we are no longer banging on the door of the regulator and the compensators, it means that someone else is of equal standing. for many steelworkers, this will, or should, mean there's light at the end of the tunnel. what happened in the steel industry was one of britain's worst ever mis—selling scandals, but it only really came to light because so many of the workers were all in one place and realised together something had gone wrong. the fear is that other people in other industries may still be vulnerable to a few unscrupulous advisers when it comes to trying to secure their future. the fca says it's already changed the rules on advice over pension

transfers and will work with the national audit office's investigation. the findings are due in the spring. hywel griffith, bbc news, port talbot. feeling sick during pregnancy is common, but extreme nausea and sickness means that women can't keep down food and fluid can be debilitating — and last the entire pregnancy. thousands of women in the uk sufferfrom hyperemesis gravidarum every year, including the duchess of cambridge. now, a study of 5000 women has found that more than half of them considered having an abortion because their symptoms were so bad. daniela relph has been talking to some sufferers. i vomited anything from ten to 30 times a day at least the 259 days. i couldn't keep anything down. i used to vomitjust from my spit alone. i i lost three stone with my first i

pregnancy and four stone with my most recent pregnancy- which was also in lockdown. extreme pregnancy sickness can overwhelm you. these women let as listening to their online support group. for laura and her unborn both baby boy, both their lives were at risk and she terminated her pregnancy. with two other kids at home, the decision was i couldn't leave them without a mum. i also considered termination, i had really bad anxiety and depression. i met with a consultant - who told me i need to eat more. she asked me if i had a eatingi disorder because i was so tiny, the baby was struggling to grow properly. - the new research based on testimony the bbc helped to collect shows the impact of extreme pregnancy sickness. 68% of women said they were bedridden most of the time needed extra support every day. more than half had considered a termination during their pregnancy and just over a quarter of women

felt so unwell, they contemplated suicide. devastating for these women who are having to come into hospital so many times. we showed one of the report's author is what one of the women told us. we showed one of the report's authors what one of the women told us. i had 60 admissions into the hospital over the course of nine months. women are really suffering and we know there is increasing amounts of evidence now that the medications we use are safe and there is an increasing amount of evidence for that. we need to share it with the patients to empower them to look for more help but also with health care professionals in primary and secondary care, so that they can feel empowered to provide these treatments. my name is laura. i'm 15 weeks and five days pregnant. two years ago, laura was pregnant and suffering from hg. she kept a video diary for the bbc which vividly showed her anguish. i still can't eat and i can't drink. and i'm hungry and i'm i stressed and i can't sleep.

she got through it and now has daughter, ava, but the experience has forever changed. do you think you will have anymore children? no. if i could be promised i wouldn't have hg i would definitely have. another baby, but that is the only. reason i am not having another baby. it is just too risky for you? yes, i can't be a mum if have hg. that report by daniela relph. for details of organisations which offer advice and support with pregnancy—related issues, go online to bbc.co.uk/actionline. the queen has cancelled a two—day trip to northern ireland today. buckingham palace said she had 'reluctantly�* accepted medical advice to rest for a few days after what has already been a busy few weeks for the 95—year—old monarch. 0ur royal correspondent, nicholas witchell, reports.

the queen at windsor castle last night, hosting a reception for global business and other leaders, doing what she's done for nearly 70 years now — representing and gently canvassing support for britain. she was, by all accounts, in good spirits. it was the latest in a series of engagements over the past eight days. she was at westminster abbey last tuesday, using a walking stick for the first time at a public engagement. two days later, she was in cardiff, for the opening of the welsh parliament. at every engagement, there are lines of guests, all of them anxious to meet her and have a few moments of conversation. in addition, there's the daily business of monarchy — audiences, many of them now by video call. ah, there you are. this was earlier this week. the queen in windsor, speaking via cyberspace to the new governor—general of new zealand. good morning, how are you? oh, gosh, it's good morning, isn't it, to you?

this afternoon, this 95—year—old monarch should have been boarding a flight to northern ireland, for a series of engagements there tonight and tomorrow. but this morning, buckingham palace issued this short statement. the queen is not unwell, but she is 95, and there's obviously a need for anyone of that age to pace themselves sensibly. and that's all, officials insist, that's happening here. there are, it's understood, no covid—related concerns. the queen has, of course, received her double vaccination. what royal officials and doctors will be focused on is her role at the forthcoming cop26 summit, when the queen will be hosting all the visiting leaders. they will want to be sure that she is fully rested for that. nicholas witchell, bbc news.

it's been more than a month since the volcano there erupted on the spanish canary island of la palma. it's destroyed almost 2,000 buildings on the island, but miraculously, there've been no fatalities. a rescue mission using drones is being planned to save three dogs that have been trapped there. danjohnson has been following the story. all life has been caught in this eruption and these three got left behind, trapped by lava. they have been fed by a drone and are now looking to be skive for rescue. and here it is, the flying retriever, a snare from the air coming to lower the pups in and lift them up, up and away. very, very, very good. we are positive. we are motivated and we are going to try, we're going try, 0k? there's sort of rescue mission can only be considered because of the fact human life has

been so successfully protected here so far, but that doesn't mean that this eruption is without any risk. so, scientific teams are busy monitoring every aspect of the volcano, its lava and its gases, the silent, unseen, airborne threat. anna is here from manchester. i am starting my second year of my phd, so i never imagined i would be able to come here and see a live volcano. so, it's incredible experience for me. really bad for people, of course. i'm really sad about all the loss, but for me, an amazing experience. pulling off this daring dog rescue is not easy and the canine airlift is currently on pause because they can't actually find them. i think we can do it, we can do it, ok? i i think we can do it, we can do it, ok? but like so many people here, this team is dedicated and determined.

dan johnson, bbc news. good news story to end. now it's time for a look at the weather with susan powell. hello. a marked change in our weather coming through right now. we are switching air masses. don't worry, it's not particularly painful, but it will be noticeable for the end of the week. it's going to feel much cooler and fresher. we sat in basically tropical air earlier on in the week, with a southerly or south—westerly airstream. for thursday and friday, we're into a plunging northerly. you get the picture, as we switch around to that blue shading in our graphic, moving into cooler air for thursday. stormy conditions across southern britain overnight. widespread gales, more heavy rain, a weather front sinks south. it's been across scotland through wednesday. it gets down into england and wales by the end of the night. behind it, much colder air. patchy frost to start the day for scotland and then quite a nagging northerly wind through the course of the day. some rain early on across southern counties. for many, beautiful blue

skies and sunshine, but there will be some showers, and those showers will be wintry across mountains of scotland, such is the change in our air. gusts of wind up to 40 to 50 mph. these are the temperatures as you'd read them on the thermometer. take those with a pinch of salt. down the north sea coasts, probably going to feel closer to just 5 or six degrees. now, as we look at friday, things do shift on somewhat. a little ridge of high pressure builds in. itjust puts the brakes on those northerly winds somewhat. we will still be sitting in some relatively chilly air, but i think friday will feel a shade milder. there will be a few showers around, particular towards the northwest. there'll also be some patchy cloud, but a fine day for friday, lighter winds than thursday. again, perhaps a little cooler than these temperatures would imply. for something milder, we need to look towards the weekend, when this ridge of high pressure will start to shuffle off towards the continent and we'll start to pick up a south—westerly airstream once again. quite a windy weekend overall, a south—westerly airstream means

it should feel warmer, but there will be more cloud around towards the west through saturday and perhaps some heavier outbreaks of rain getting into the west by the time we look at the afternoon. for sunday, we still have the south—westerly winds, our temperatures will typically be in the mid—teens. perhaps, if anything, on sunday, a more widespread risk of seeing some showers, but they should be interspersed with seeing some pleasant spells of sunshine. the showers heaviest and most frequent across the western side of the uk.

this is bbc news with me christian fraser. the uk health secretary warns covid cases could reach 100 thousand a day this winter — as he urges more people to get vaccinated. i will do what it takes to make sure that this pressure doesn't become unsustainable and it that we don't allow the nhs to become overwhelmed. hospital admissions are rising sharply in the uk, up 23% this week. nhs leaders are calling on the government to trigger plan b now. buckingham palace says the queen has reluctantly cancelled a two day visit to northern ireland and has been order to rest on the advice of her doctors. the man who carried out america's worst high school shooting three years ago in parkland, florida pleads guilty to 17 murders. and a mission to rescue the dogs trapped by lava on the spanish island — la palma.