hello, i'm shaun ley. you're watching bbc news. here are the latest headlines. a legal document which prince andrew's lawyer believes will stop a civil case against him in the us has been made public. the duke of york has consistenly denied sexually assaulting virginia giuffre when she was 17. the uk prime minister says there is no reason forfurther measures in england despite a surge of cases due to the omicron variant. a fire that devastated the houses of parliament in cape town on sunday has reignited. firefighters are back at the scene, trying to put out the blaze which is now burning through the roof. a blizzard has swept across the east coast of the us, causing a delay to president biden as he returned to washington on air force one. the icy conditions meant he was unable to get off the plane for half an hour.

hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. with me are sonia sodha, the chief leader writer at the observer, and harriet line, who's the chief political correspondent for the daily mail. very warm welcome to both of you. happy new year. nice of you to join us tonight. let me bring you up—to—date with the papers. and we begin with the guardian. it says a number of nhs trusts have now declared "critical incidents", and parts of the health services are in crisis due to mounting pressure and staff shortages caused by coronavirus. the i reports calls from the royal college of nursing for the government to take a more cautious approach to coronavirus, to help ease those pressures. the head of thejoint committee on vaccination and immunisation has told the telegraph that fourth covid jabs shouldn't be given until there's more evidence that they're effective. professor sir andrew pollard also says we'll need to target the most vulnerable,

rather than boosting the whole population in the future. it's as the daily express reports the prime minister saying high vaccination rates will help the country deal with the pandemic. prince andrew is on the front of the metro, as well as many other papers, here opposite virginia guiffre. it's after the publication of a document that the prince's legal team believe will force prosecutors to drop a civil case against him. the paper's other headline looks at what it calls "seismic" increases in energy bills expected this year. and the ft focuses on apple becoming the first company to be valued at $3 trillion. it also reports that the uk will lag behind other countries in recovering from coronavirus, because of political uncertainty and ongoing disruption from brexit. that's the opinion of a number of economists to the ft has pulled. right, let's kick off. sonia, do you

want to kick us off with this new your paper review for tuesday morning? critical incidents, says the guardian, at several and adjust trusts as covid shortage hits. that's right, and it looks like a mixed bag in terms of the news coming out of the nhs. on the one hand there are little bits of good news, which is that the increase in hospitalisations rates we are seeing may be starting, the numbers are still going up, but the rate of increase may be slowing slightly. the other bit of good news is that hospital chiefs are saying that there are not lots of older people coming to hospital with erie severe omicron infections and that outbreaks in care homes are not translating into a hospital admissions, so that's the good news. the bad news, though, is that the nhs is still under very, very severe strain. that's partly because of how it went into this winter, with very,

very little spare capacity, huge waiting lists building up because of the pandemic, but also because people are so... staff working in the nhs, front line nurses, doctors, are increasingly having to take off time to selfishly because they have omicron themselves, so it's those two things, long—term capacity and the long—term lack of funding for the long—term lack of funding for the end adjust any waiting lists that go up as the result of a pandemic, plus extraordinarily high levels of staff absences we are seeing, combining to create this very, very difficult situation for the hs where we have actually got some hospital trusts in the country declaring critical incidents, which means that these trusts are not confident that, without drastic intervention and support, they will be able to continue to provide critical services to all patients. so really, really worrying, i think, for the nhs, so really, really worrying, i think, forthe nhs, but so really, really worrying, i think, for the nhs, but although it is

mixed news in terms of omicron. harriet, it is interesting, isn't it, that there must be some relief in the government that they have not had to go to further measures given the political consequences that the last measures parliament approved? nonetheless, the prime minister saying at that vaccination centre earlier, the pressure on our nhs is going to be critical. there is not the desire for new restrictions. it would almost be academic, the pressure is already there. there are a coule pressure is already there. there are a coume of — pressure is already there. there are a couple of things _ pressure is already there. there are a couple of things at _ pressure is already there. there are a couple of things at play _ pressure is already there. there are a couple of things at play there. - a couple of things at play there. the political will lacking, because we know— the political will lacking, because we know borisjohnson has lost the political will lacking, because we know boris johnson has lost a the political will lacking, because we know borisjohnson has lost a lot of political _ we know borisjohnson has lost a lot of political capital over the last month — of political capital over the last month. overthe of political capital over the last month. over the new year, of political capital over the last month. overthe new year, he of political capital over the last month. over the new year, he wants to regain— month. over the new year, he wants to regain some of that. conservative mps to regain some of that. conservative mp5 do _ to regain some of that. conservative mp5 do not — to regain some of that. conservative mps do not want new restrictions unless_ mps do not want new restrictions unless they are absolutely necessary. couple that with science, which _ necessary. couple that with science, which does _ necessary. couple that with science, which does not seem to show searches

are necessary. yes, case numbers are high. _ are necessary. yes, case numbers are high. but _ are necessary. yes, case numbers are high. but it— are necessary. yes, case numbers are high. but it is— are necessary. yes, case numbers are high, but it is mild compared to previous— high, but it is mild compared to previous variance. that is welcome news _ previous variance. that is welcome news at _ previous variance. that is welcome news at the — previous variance. that is welcome news. at the pressure on the hs previous variance. that is welcome news. at the pressure on the h5 is there. _ news. at the pressure on the h5 is there. but— news. at the pressure on the h5 is there. but a — news. at the pressure on the h5 is there, but a different way, because as sonia was saying, less staff able to work because so many are catching covid and having to isolate, so they are off work. if covid cases are potential platohic— if covid cases are potential platonic in— if covid cases are potential platonic in london, we are heading out of— platonic in london, we are heading out of the — platonic in london, we are heading out of the worst already, in which case: _ out of the worst already, in which case, there — out of the worst already, in which case, there is no point in putting those _ case, there is no point in putting those restrictions in —— potentially plateauihg — those restrictions in —— potentially plateauing in. if you're in the nhs,

it is clearly— plateauing in. if you're in the nhs, it is clearly going to be a really challenging time. find it is clearly going to be a really challenging time.— it is clearly going to be a really challenging time. and after almost two ears challenging time. and after almost two years of _ challenging time. and after almost two years of continuous _ challenging time. and after almost two years of continuous pressure. | two years of continuous pressure. there's a thing on the front of di, not only that the royal college of nursing and other groups are lobbying for a more cautious approach, but i was very struck by this last sub headline. the fourth one down on this paragraph of bullet points, that stage scientists tell the paper it could be drawn out. the idea of a quick spike and then it falls away may not apply here. yeah, which is a concern, _ falls away may not apply here. yeah, which is a concern, especially as - falls away may not apply here. yeah, which is a concern, especially as we i which is a concern, especially as we were _ which is a concern, especially as we were speaking just now about nhs staff _ were speaking just now about nhs staff. also, quite problematic for

the economy because we are seeing the economy because we are seeing the plan _ the economy because we are seeing the plan b— the economy because we are seeing the plan b measures stay in place. there was— the plan b measures stay in place. there was a — the plan b measures stay in place. there was a review due on wednesday. it there was a review due on wednesday. it looks— there was a review due on wednesday. it looks as _ there was a review due on wednesday. it looks as if _ there was a review due on wednesday. it looks as if the pm effectively confirmed that plan b will remain in place until— confirmed that plan b will remain in place until at least the end of january, but if the electron wave does _ january, but if the electron wave does stretch longer, we may end up working from home and wearing face coverings _ working from home and wearing face coverings for longer. going to be a real uphill— coverings for longer. going to be a real uphill struggle for the prime mihister— real uphill struggle for the prime minister to extended research as if that is— minister to extended research as if that is what is required, but that is really— that is what is required, but that is really bad news for the economy. -- extend _ is really bad news for the economy. —— extend the restrictions. ithink it is troubling for the nhs and it is troubling on a number of counts if you _ is troubling on a number of counts if you have — is troubling on a number of counts if you have a — is troubling on a number of counts if you have a more drawn—out wave rather _ if you have a more drawn—out wave rather than — if you have a more drawn—out wave rather than a — if you have a more drawn—out wave rather than a sudden drop off, so hopefully— rather than a sudden drop off, so hopefully that sage scientist has -ot hopefully that sage scientist has got it— hopefully that sage scientist has got it wrong. hopefully that sage scientist has got it wrong-— hopefully that sage scientist has got it wrong. hopefully that sage scientist has uuotitwron. ., ., ., ., got it wrong. sonia, do you want to take on to — got it wrong. sonia, do you want to take on to the _ got it wrong. sonia, do you want to take on to the telegraph _ got it wrong. sonia, do you want to take on to the telegraph of- got it wrong. sonia, do you want to take on to the telegraph of a - got it wrong. sonia, do you want to take on to the telegraph of a story| take on to the telegraph of a story pretty much all the papers have, that photograph which has been haunting the duke of york for these last couple of years? this is the

duke claims half a million us dollars deal between epstein and the woman pictured, put some in the clear. tell us what the telegraph is saying about this. the clear. tell us what the telegraph is saying about this.— saying about this. the telegraph is re ”ortin , saying about this. the telegraph is reporting. as _ saying about this. the telegraph is reporting. as are — saying about this. the telegraph is reporting, as are all _ saying about this. the telegraph is reporting, as are all the _ saying about this. the telegraph is reporting, as are all the papers, i saying about this. the telegraph is reporting, as are all the papers, it| reporting, as are all the papers, it is a really big story, that, essentially, the civil claim against jeffrey epstein that virginia giuffre settled with him, the details of that have now been made public as part of the case, the civil action that she is filing against prince andrew himself, and she has made the allegations around prince andrew, which is that she was forced to sleep with him when she was a child, when she was 17, allegations which she of course denies, so at this sediment reveals first of all is that the value of the settlement, but more importantly for prince andrew's perspective, it would reveals a clause that giuffre

signed which is a sort of clause that says, as part of taking this settlement, she wants take civil action against epstein's associates. so there is now a legal battle under way that prince andrew is pursuing, to basically argue that because she signed that civil settlement with jeffrey epstein, that means she cannot sue him in the american civil courts, so it remains to be seen. the hearing is... we will know then. it will be very bad for prince andrew, i think that if the judge decides her civil action against him can proceed, because there will be all sorts of evidence discovery, etc, around what happened at around the veracity of her allegations against him, that could be direct we don't know, but he could be very bad for prince andrew. and i have to say, i think, for prince andrew. and i have to say, ithink, we for prince andrew. and i have to say, i think, we cannot comment on the truth of the allegations, but

taking a step back, it does not the grade for the prince, does it, that he is using a technicality to evade having to get evidence in the american civil court? —— does not look great for. american civil court? -- does not look great for-— look great for. this is the difficulty _ look great for. this is the difficulty with _ look great for. this is the difficulty with the - look great for. this is the difficulty with the sort - look great for. this is the difficulty with the sort of| look great for. this is the - difficulty with the sort of cases, harriet, isn't it? it is klonopin all kinds of legal detail. she is claiming on a technicality, but he fundamentally disputes the basically ms says he does not know here, there was no sexual contact, and therefore her claims are baseless. this is just an opportunity to prevent it going further, and a discount of lottery, which in the sense is what the... what makes it such a good story for the papers. it is not a story for the papers. it is not a story that is dead today. absolutely for some all — story that is dead today. absolutely for some all eyes _ story that is dead today. absolutely for some all eyes will _ story that is dead today. absolutely for some all eyes will be _ story that is dead today. absolutely for some all eyes will be on - story that is dead today. absolutely for some all eyes will be on that. for some all eyes will be on that hearing — for some all eyes will be on that hearing tomorrow. i don't know if a judge _ hearing tomorrow. i don't know if a judge will— hearing tomorrow. i don't know if a judge will come to that decision tomorrow. residual hopes that is the

case: _ tomorrow. residual hopes that is the case, that— tomorrow. residual hopes that is the case, that it — tomorrow. residual hopes that is the case, that it is andrew hopes that is the case, that it is soonest — andrew hopes that is the case, that it is soonest possible. the civil games— it is soonest possible. the civil games could all be aired and that is going _ games could all be aired and that is going to _ games could all be aired and that is going to be — games could all be aired and that is going to be pretty uncomfortable for the royal _ going to be pretty uncomfortable for the royal family widely, particular for prince — the royal family widely, particular for prince andrew. the royalfamily widely, particular for prince andrew.— the royalfamily widely, particular for prince andrew. these allegations reall killed for prince andrew. these allegations really killed his _ for prince andrew. these allegations really killed his public _ for prince andrew. these allegations really killed his public role. - for prince andrew. these allegations really killed his public role. he - really killed his public role. he has withdrawn from any active role as a royal, he is not really talked about very much, we don't release he met public events at all any more. hopefully, from his point of view, if the cases thrown out in the dust settles, all the of it, but presumably it would be better for the case to go ahead and for him to be found innocent as he claims for him to continue his public role, although he is in his 60s, so you could argue he was not going to be doing much publicly much longer. real stories are good value for the papers. —— royal stories. real stories are good value for the papers. —— royalstories. do editors still believe they sell papers,

harriet? ~ , . , harriet? absolutely. it reflects the ublic's harriet? absolutely. it reflects the public's intrigue _ harriet? absolutely. it reflects the public's intrigue into _ harriet? absolutely. it reflects the public's intrigue into the _ harriet? absolutely. it reflects the public's intrigue into the royal- public's intrigue into the royal family — public's intrigue into the royal family. the royal family are still fascinating. we have known people like prince — fascinating. we have known people like prince andrew for his entire life, _ like prince andrew for his entire life. he — like prince andrew for his entire life. he has— like prince andrew for his entire life, he has been a figure in my life. _ life, he has been a figure in my life. so— life, he has been a figure in my life. so it — life, he has been a figure in my life. so it is _ life, he has been a figure in my life, so it is fascinating to hear the details of any kind of scandal, i the details of any kind of scandal, ithink. _ the details of any kind of scandal, i think, within the royal family, and this— i think, within the royal family, and this one is particularly acute. the allegations are really quite distressing for readers, of course there _ distressing for readers, of course there is— distressing for readers, of course there is intrigue, and we've never seen _ there is intrigue, and we've never seen a _ there is intrigue, and we've never seen a royal— there is intrigue, and we've never seen a royal story like this. sonia? ifi can seen a royal story like this. sonia? lfl can add — seen a royal story like this. sonia? lfl can add to _ seen a royal story like this. sonia? if i can add to what _ seen a royal story like this. sonia? if i can add to what harriet - seen a royal story like this. sonia? if i can add to what harriet was - if i can add to what harriet was saying, it is partly the allegations... but is notjust the allegations... but is notjust the allegations about him and his own conduct, it is also his questionable judgment in associating with now two child sex offenders, ghislaine maxwell and jeffrey epstein. there

are questions about what a member of the british royalfamily was doing three berkeley hardy documentary a birthday party for ghislaine maxwell... pail birthday party for ghislaine maxwell. . ._ birthday party for ghislaine maxwell... �* ., . maxwell... all of which in the newsnight — maxwell... all of which in the newsnight interview - maxwell... all of which in the newsnight interview he - maxwell... all of which in the newsnight interview he gave | maxwell... all of which in the - newsnight interview he gave three years ago now, he denied, but as you say, a matterfor the courts years ago now, he denied, but as you say, a matter for the courts to decide tomorrow. let's move on and talk about energy bills. this is the front page, a story, potentially, sonia, that is going to run through this year, isn't it? the potentially horrible choice some people now face. it horrible choice some people now face. , ., ., , ., , horrible choice some people now face. , ., ., , ., face. it is going to be horrible for lots of families _ face. it is going to be horrible for lots of families on _ face. it is going to be horrible for lots of families on average - face. it is going to be horrible forj lots of families on average or low incomes up—and—down the country, so at this story is saying is that the energy price cap is going up in april and that it is a paralegal to go april and that it is a paralegal to 9° up april and that it is a paralegal to go up again, people think, in august. at the moment, average energy bills in this country are about £1300 a year, so it is really

significant cost for household budgets, the forecast is they will be going up to over £1800 a year in april, that possibly even over 2000 years -- £2000 a —— £2000 a year next august. that is a huge increase. really, really big cost for people who are already living on incredible type household budgets. a situation that is made worse by the government's on policy, the government master cut universal credit by £1000 a year. that is a huge amount for parents to manage, and this is going to come on top of that, so i think, politically, this year, as we look forward, yes, this could be covid, all sorts of issues with brexit and the northern ireland issue, the cost—of—living crisis and how people are feeling economically is going to fuc be something that really affects how people are going -- is —— is going to really be something.

harriet?