this is bbc news. the headlines... a russian invasion of ukraine is �*highly likely�*. that's the assessment of the uk defence secretary, as more than a dozen countries urge their citizens to leave and diplomatic efforts intensify. thirteen people are injured after a mezzanine floor collapses at a pub in east london. the uk prime minister's new chief of staff says the government will "take a step back" from people's lives post—pandemic and pursue a smaller state canada's prime minister says all options remain on the table — as efforts continue to remove protesters blocking key trade routes. let's have a look at the sport. england take on italy this

afternoon in the last of this weekend's six nations ties.. ireland's nine—game winning streak came to an end in paris yesterday with defeat to france — while reigning champions wales got their first win — at scotland's expense. here's our sports correspondentjoe wilson. cardiff, with all the atmosphere one stadium could summon. but for the welsh players, for the captain, will that be enough? because the visitors were scotland. england—beating scotland. out to the wing and just a just a glimmer, enough for him. the genius of darcy graham. you can dive for the line like that or you can pirouette like this. with the weight of the forwards behind him, thomas francis, half—time, iii—all. whistle blows now look at finn russell's arm here. the officials decided the scottish player knocked the ball on deliberately. yellow card. so scores level, but wales with a man advantage. dan biggar, and his 100th

international, tried the drop goal. scores the points! that put wales in front. the match—winning point. yes, wales are back. it's been a really difficult week. we've had to put up with a lot of flak and rightly so. but to come back here with this crowd and put on a show like that, just rolled our sleeves up, it's one of my best victories in my hundred. now in paris, france scored against ireland after just 67 seconds. antoine du point. don't take your eyes of this for a moment. france did. mack hanson watched the ball right into his hands and to the line. france landed penalties. ireland kept going with the tries, cutting the french lead to just a point at one point. but with a crashing run and an outstretched arm, france stayed ahead, just. try for france! yes, says the referee. watch the referee tumble but turn his eyes to the line. brilliant. it is two matches,

two wins for france. joe wilson, bbc news. so england are in rome for their game at three o'clock this afternoon...one they simply must not lose, after scotland beat them at murrayfield last week. eddiejones has made wholesale changes to the team, eight in total, harry randall will replace ben youngs at scrum—half and earn his third england cap. attack coach martin gleeson has promised that england will play their own game, and use the defeat against scotland in a positive way. you learn, don't you? you figure things out and think, what can we get better? and you learn more in a defeat than you do in a victory. hopefully in the long run, it could be good for us. but, yeah, there was a lot of learning from that, and a lot of things to take forward going into this week. now to the winter olympics where heavy snow in beijing has caused havoc to the ski schedule, with a number of events delayed or cancelled on day 9.

it means team gb�*s katie summerhayes and kirsty muir will go tomorrow in the ski slopestyle qualification instead. but things haven't been affected inside the ice cube, where it's been a good day so far for britian�*s curlers. eve muirhead and her rink comfortably beat denmark 7—2 to get their games back on track. after two early defeats they've now won 3 of their 5 round robin matches. and things are going even betterfor the men... bruce mouat and his side beat hosts china 7—6, to make it 3 wins from their 4 matches so far. they are back on the ice against denmark at around 12 o'clock this afternoon. chelsea manager thomas tuchel said the credit had to go to roman abramovic, after they took the only honour they'd yet to secure under his ownership, the club world cup. they beat palmeiras 2—1 in abu dhabi — romelu lukaku put them ahead but the brazilian side levelled and it went to extra time.

and kai havertz scored from the penalty spot to give chelsea the victory that makes them only the fifth club to win every major competition. yeah, it is for him. there is no doubt that it's for him. and we met, like, shortly on the pitch after the final and i said congratulations, he said congratulations and said "it's for you, it's your club, and it's your input and your passion who made this possible and we are happy to be part of it". so of course the trophy is for him. it didn't take long for manchester city to restore their 12—point lead at the top of the premier league. raheem sterling scored a hat—trick as they won a—nil at norwich. they're unbeaten in the league since october — but their closest challengers liverpool do have two games in hand — one of those is this afternoon at burnley. manchester united dropped more points at old trafford — jadon sancho's first home goal gave them the lead over southampton

but that was wiped out soon after half time, thanks to che adams. that's the second league game in a row united have let slip after going ahead. everton manager frank lampard said their performance made him "really happy", after they beat leeds 3—0 — that's their first league win since he took over. captain seamus coleman set them on their way to victory, which moves them five points clear of the relegation zone. roy hodgson is yet to see watford score in his three games in charge— they were comfortably beaten by brighton yesterday — neal maupay�*s excellent finish helping the seagulls to a 2—nil win. watford remain second from bottom. rangers had little trouble in reaching the last eight of the scottish cup, beating annan athletic 3-0. fashion sakala scored the third —

catching the league two keeper by surprise not sure whether that was a cross or a shot! details of all the day's games are on the bbc sport website. there was a terrific game in the super league, with warrington coming from behind late on to beat i2—man leeds rhinos by 22 points to 20. they drew level with six minutes left on the clock, when connor wrench crossed the line. that was converted, to secure warrington�*s victory. that's all the sport for now. now on bbc news, here's a look at the papers. hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. with me are the journalist and commentator shyama perera

tomorrow's front pages, starting with... the sunday times leads with comments from the defence secretary ben wallace, who's likened western efforts to counter russian aggression against ukraine to appeasement before world war two. the sunday telegraph claims russia is planning a "false flag" attack as a pretext for an invasion of ukraine as soon as wednesday. the independent has president biden calling on russia to pull its troops back. its front page also marks the occasion of chelsea becoming football's club world champions. the sunday express says brexit�*s big wins are coming soon — that's according to new brexit 0pportunities ministerjacob rees mogg, who's been speaking to the paper. the sunday mirror quotes a source as saying that murderer levi bellfield's alleged confession to carrying out the murders of lin and megan russell was — in the paper's words — "a sickjoke". the people says a book by prince harry due to be published later this year will contain criticism of his stepmother the duchess of cornwall. and the mail on sunday also leads

with the royal family — the paper says prince charles and his wife camilla plan to be crowned in a small—scale, cut—price coronation. with me is thejournalist and commentator shyama perera. welcome. nice to see you. thank you forjoining us. it is only as two this morning so we have plenty to talk about. i thought we could bring together the front pages of the sunday times and telegraph to kick off. they have both based their main story on the comments from the defence secretary who is likening the western efforts to prevent the russian invasion of ukraine to appeasement. the court on the front of the sunday times, referring to the agreement with hitler in september of 1938. to try to avert war, this field and led to claims of

appeasement against neville chamberlain. what is your take on what is in the papers on that front? 0bviously, ben wallace has come out with an interesting line on this. i'm not sure how close it is to appeasement because we are working hand—in—hand with our nato alliance partners. what this really has been as the wife of nato falling apart which probably started with joe which probably started withjoe biden which probably started with joe biden pulling the which probably started withjoe biden pulling the american troops out of afghanistan without consulting last year. and now, it feels like there are many prolonged consultations going on across a very long table. everybody representing themselves individually rather than us talking in the united way and presenting a united front. at the very least, i don't know if it is appeasement, but we have given russian intelligence a very clear

insight into what is happening between the partners in nato currently. and how that will help them, how that may aid their intentions across the coming years starting with ukraine but going the sunday telegraph takes the aspect of what is being saying is a conflict is inevitable and the suggestion of a false flag attack by russia to provoke war. attacking one of its own interest and saying we need to go in, we have heard this before from the united states and now it is coming from here as well. it is a set out in normal parlance. create a fake situation where intervention is required. could it happen? everybody assumes it could happen. the amassing of troops as far as we understand it is part of

that setting up because there is no reason to gather around the borders of ukraine at the moment, but they are and they are claiming they have reason to be there. and we are obviously getting intelligence saying that they are going to go in on wednesday, that is the latest, my source says. take it in good faith, it is reasonable to not take it in good faith when russia says it has not got plans to invade. it is not unexpected, it is not surprising, i think we should be looking at as much as russia and ukraine, is what it says about the way europe is fragmenting and whether our relations with the us are as strong as we think they are. are they actually particularly good? it's hard to know.— actually particularly good? it's hard to know. the observer front .ae.

hard to know. the observer front -ae~ has hard to know. the observer front page has got _ hard to know. the observer front page has got sadiq _ hard to know. the observer front page has got sadiq khan - hard to know. the observer front page has got sadiq khan the - hard to know. the observer front i page has got sadiq khan the mayor hard to know. the observer front - page has got sadiq khan the mayor of london warning about his views on the next head of the metropolitan police service having been so instrumental in the ousting of cressida dick and that he would not support any successor to her who does not understand the deep cultural programmes within the beleaguered force. this is an exclusive for the observer. it is really interesting area to look at in terms of how much power he wields on this. we have seen the power he wielded in her resignation but it is the home secretary who ultimately makes the call on who the next commander should be and how are they working together on this? this commander should be and how are they working together on this?— working together on this? this whole kind of argument _ working together on this? this whole kind of argument or _ working together on this? this whole kind of argument or impression - working together on this? this whole kind of argument or impression of. kind of argument or impression of fragmentation and compartmentalising, this is another

case where it is writ large, sadiq khan should have stepped on a long time ago, he has complained and sat on the sidelines and done nothing and then shortly after saying he has full confidence in her, he comes in and tells her he has no confidence. do we have any more confidence in the ability of sadiq khan to prophesy to the next commander of the metropolitan police should be any more than we do in priti patel? i doubt it very much. what is interesting about cressida dick as she is an oxford woman, she went to oxford university, she doesn't really know london, she never worked before the metropolitan police in a large urban very diverse very pure sprawl. the reason she has got on so very well with this current cabinet is she is very much in the sense of her background of them, they shore each other up and that has kept

cressida dick going on for longer when she should have been kicked out. what does sadiq khan say? why is it so hard to fix a toxic culture in the metropolitan police? i'm not sure that sadiq khan is covered in any more glory than the home office in les. ,, ._ any more glory than the home office in les. ,, , ,, ., in les. the sunday express front .ae. in les. the sunday express front -ae~ has in les. the sunday express front page has jacob _ in les. the sunday express front page has jacob rees-mogg, - in les. the sunday express front - page has jacob rees-m099, brexit's page has jacob rees—mogg, brexit�*s big wins for britain. what he is doing in the paper, he is quoted saying, in orderfor me to do my job, i need your wisdom. saying, in orderfor me to do my job, i need yourwisdom. a saying, in orderfor me to do my job, i need your wisdom. a direct appeal to the public. i ask you to write to me for the regulations you want abolished. it is an interesting approach. he wants to know what people want but can it be delivered? what it tells you he has not got an idea in his head beyond these headlines. he has been pro—except

for years now and the fact that he does not walk in with an agenda tells you an awful lot about him. he makes a lot of noise, hot air, privilege and education but not very much intellect and analytical brain. these are all my personal views. the point is, he has done nothing to disabuse one of that impression about his abilities. he is incredibly good at getting headlines, he is photogenic in the sense that he is the top of we all watch, but now he says his feet are being held to the fire on fort i have always said politically. and thatis have always said politically. and that is why he is tackling it in this way. he has never been interested in what the public think. the fact that he is turning to the public for suggestions tells me that he has not got an idea in his head.

we will have to see what happens, what response he gets and what gets delivered. the mail on sunday, charles and camilla to be round side by side. the first king and queen consort to be crowned since george vi in 1937. it is billed as a cut price coronation. not a real budget affair but things have been cut back? to affair but things have been cut back? ., , ., ., ., , back? to “ump ahead in our paper order, back? to jump ahead in our paper order, we have _ back? to jump ahead in our paper order, we have got _ back? to jump ahead in our paper order, we have got a _ back? to jump ahead in our paper order, we have got a story - back? to jump ahead in our paper| order, we have got a story coming back? to jump ahead in our paper. order, we have got a story coming up later which says that a cheap wedding last longer than an expensive waiting and i wonder if thatis expensive waiting and i wonder if that is true with the coronation, except that the expensive coronation has given us a queen who has been here for 17 years and done brilliantly, i am here for 17 years and done brilliantly, iam not here for 17 years and done brilliantly, i am not quite sure what the portents are if you then

have a cheap coronation. 0bviously, have a cheap coronation. obviously, the last queen was the —— last queen consort was the queen mother. it is charming that prince charles wants to be crowned side by side with camilla parker bowles, how that union came about, whatever your views are, she has behaved extremely well in the intervening years and she has got a lot of public support. i think the prince needs her support on an equal basis, unlike the queen who had prince philip is always walking a few steps behind her. i think it is a great idea. she is shoring him up. it is lovely that they will get enthroned side by side, but i hope it is not for a very, very long time. and if it is cheaper than the last coronation, in one way, that is sad, because we do not have enough pomp and ceremony and joy at the moment and no doubt forfuture years. bus but

and joy at the moment and no doubt for future years. bus but we must cut our cloth to fit.— cut our cloth to fit. lets move on to the headline _ cut our cloth to fit. lets move on to the headline on _ cut our cloth to fit. lets move on to the headline on the _ cut our cloth to fit. lets move on to the headline on the sunday i cut our cloth to fit. lets move on - to the headline on the sunday times, if you want to stay married, have a cheap wedding. katy perry and russell brand in india included elephants and a gift of a bengal tigerfor the bright and one elephants and a gift of a bengal tiger for the bright and one year later they were divorced. expensive weddings are twice as likely to end in divorce within three years according to a study by the marriage foundation. why is that? the? according to a study by the marriage foundation. why is that?— according to a study by the marriage foundation. why is that? they do not know wh . foundation. why is that? they do not know why- it — foundation. why is that? they do not know why- it may _ foundation. why is that? they do not know why. it may be, _ foundation. why is that? they do not know why. it may be, this _ foundation. why is that? they do not know why. it may be, this is - know why. it may be, this is anecdotal, it may be that the couple are more in love with the idea of getting married and turning it into a giant celebration than they are with the nuts and bolts of everyday marriage. i rememberwhen with the nuts and bolts of everyday marriage. i remember when my failed marriage. i remember when my failed

marriage happen, i got a letterfrom my auntie saying the waiting is just the start of it, you have to work on it every single day or it will fall apart which was true. it doesn't yet have enough evidence that can point to why this happens. we can only guess at it. but it does seem to me that it becomes top—heavy, if a marriage, you have so much expectation, the bigger it is, people turn up and it becomes more public which means there is more pressure on you, and if you are going to get married, just get married. there are too many bridal shows on television, thankfully not on the bbc, that are making people think that a big wedding is the only wedding. it is think that a big wedding is the only weddina. , . . think that a big wedding is the only weddina. , ., . ., wedding. it is a nice thing to end on the mail _ wedding. it is a nice thing to end on the mail on _ wedding. it is a nice thing to end on the mail on sunday, - wedding. it is a nice thing to end on the mail on sunday, talking l wedding. it is a nice thing to end - on the mail on sunday, talking about her marriage. it is really beautiful. the headline on the front

of the the mail on sunday, we found a new way to be in love. she is in this magazine, she talks about the difficulties that have been encountered since he was in hospital for so long with covid—19. he now puts huge trust in me, hejust for so long with covid—19. he now puts huge trust in me, he just says whatever you think which is wonderful but i get cheerful about it. ithink, i hope i wonderful but i get cheerful about it. i think, i hope i am worthy of that trust, but i have got his act. that is a relationship in itself, how many times do couple have doubts about each other? to have that certainty of each other, that is so positive, he and i are very close. i am at an age where friends and partners are becoming ill, getting dementia, it is enviable when you look at those couples, often couples who have fought their way through a0

years, coming together in adversity and finding love in a new way. i think that story has been one that engrossed us all because of her to true dedication to him. ijust think it is a great story for valentines, just if you work at it, stay with it, and keep on, you know, it will work for you. and you can go through many different permutations of what love is beyond that moment of the wedding. it is not all fireworks, often it is roadworks and you are being held up, but if you can get through them, you are great, it will work. . ~ through them, you are great, it will work. ., ~ , ., through them, you are great, it will work. ., ~' , ., , through them, you are great, it will work. ., ~ i. , . through them, you are great, it will work. ., ~ , . ., , _ work. thank you very much. happy valentines day. _ work. thank you very much. happy valentines day. thank _ work. thank you very much. happy valentines day. thank you - work. thank you very much. happy valentines day. thank you for - valentines day. thank you for watching the papers with us this morning.

back to our main news, the allegations are provocative speculation. what is the role of nato at this time?— nato at this time? russia is amassing — nato at this time? russia is amassing troops _ nato at this time? russia is amassing troops close - nato at this time? russia is amassing troops close to i nato at this time? russia is | amassing troops close to the nato at this time? russia is - amassing troops close to the border of ukraine, carrying out military exercises with belarus. president biden has this message. if russia makes a choice _ biden has this message. if russia makes a choice to _ biden has this message. if russia makes a choice to invade - biden has this message. if russia | makes a choice to invade ukraine, biden has this message. if russia - makes a choice to invade ukraine, we are jointly— makes a choice to invade ukraine, we are jointly ready, all of nato is readx — are jointly ready, all of nato is read . , , are jointly ready, all of nato is read. , , ., .,., ready. the president says that nato is read . ready. the president says that nato is ready- and _ ready. the president says that nato is ready. and russia _ ready. the president says that nato is ready. and russia is _ ready. the president says that nato is ready. and russia is focused - ready. the president says that nato is ready. and russia is focused on | is ready. and russia is focused on this too. , . is ready. and russia is focused on this too. ,. ., ., this too. the scent of modern weapons _ this too. the scent of modern weapons to — this too. the scent of modern weapons to ukraine _ this too. the scent of modern weapons to ukraine to - this too. the scent of modern . weapons to ukraine to contribute this too. the scent of modern - weapons to ukraine to contribute to the modernisation the military. they are fl in: the modernisation the military. they are flying in — the modernisation the military. they are flying in lethal _ the modernisation the military. iie: are flying in lethal aid

the modernisation the military. tie: are flying in lethal aid to the modernisation the military. ti21: are flying in lethal aid to you crane, these are british forces on the poland belarus border. russian concerns about nato and eastern europe are not new. irate concerns about nato and eastern europe are not new.— concerns about nato and eastern europe are not new. we will have to look at those _ europe are not new. we will have to look at those installations _ europe are not new. we will have to look at those installations in - look at those installations in romanian poland or anywhere. gn romanian poland or anywhere. on nato, romanian poland or anywhere. nato, russia romanian poland or anywhere. q�*i nato, russia is looking to the future and the past. it wants nato to promise that ukraine will never join and nato should withdraw military deployments from eastern europe. there is no chance of either demand being made, and to understand why, we need to go back to the aftermath of the second world war. nato was set up in 19a9 by 12 countries, their mission was to secure peace in europe, to promote cooperation among its members and to guard theirfreedom. in reality, countering the growing power of the soviet union and at the heart of nato strategy to do this was and is article five. it says an attack on one member is considered an attack one member is considered an attack on all members. the idea is

collective defence. and there were 13 members, nato continues to state its purpose. 13 members, nato continues to state its --urose. ., 13 members, nato continues to state its purpose-— its purpose. together we are 5096 of the world military _ its purpose. together we are 5096 of the world military might _ its purpose. together we are 5096 of the world military might and - the world military might and economic might, as long as we stand together, _ economic might, as long as we stand together, in— economic might, as long as we stand together, in nato, we are all safe. in together, in nato, we are all safe. in recent _ together, in nato, we are all safe. in recent years, the purpose of nato has been questioned. donald trump said the us might leave, emmanuel mccrone said it was brain dead. and commitment, some members are behind on the military spending targets and then there is afghanistan, in response to the 9/11 attacks, nato triggered article five. they supported the american attack on al-qaeda and the taliban, 20 years later, the us chose to leave afghanistan unilaterally. for this reason and other reasons too, the longevity of the current show of unity between western allies is not a guarantee. if russia sees that as

a guarantee. if russia sees that as a chance, we cannot know. some argue this has galvanised the nato alliance. the expansion of nato has angered vladimir putin. we alliance. the expansion of nato has angered vladimir putin.— angered vladimir putin. we will not move towards _ angered vladimir putin. we will not move towards the _ angered vladimir putin. we will not move towards the east _ angered vladimir putin. we will not move towards the east they - angered vladimir putin. we will not move towards the east they told i angered vladimir putin. we will not move towards the east they told us j move towards the east they told us in the _ move towards the east they told us in the 1990s. and what happened? they deceived us. they brazenly tricked _ they deceived us. they brazenly tricked us — they deceived us. they brazenly tricked us— they deceived us. they brazenly tricked us. ., . ., , , , tricked us. that claim is disputed. nato's expansion, _ tricked us. that claim is disputed. nato's expansion, though, - tricked us. that claim is disputed. nato's expansion, though, is - tricked us. that claim is disputed. nato's expansion, though, is not. | nato's expansion, though, is not. the countries and purple joint before 1997, since then the other 1a had their request accepted. many are former soviet states and five share a border with russia. moscow sees all of this as a major threat to security. all of this as a ma'or threat to securi . . ., ., ., all of this as a ma'or threat to securi . _, ., ., ., ., ., security. the continuation of nato 0 en security. the continuation of nato open border _ security. the continuation of nato open border policy _ security. the continuation of nato open border policy and _ security. the continuation of nato open border policy and move - security. the continuation of nato . open border policy and move towards our borders— open border policy and move towards our borders is what threatens us. nato _ our borders is what threatens us. nato is _ our borders is what threatens us. nato is not — our borders is what threatens us. nato is not a development institution, it is an instrument of confrontation. it is obvious the expansion— confrontation. it is obvious the expansion poses a threat to us. russia — expansion poses a threat to us. russia does not see nato as

defensive but an extension of american power, its very existence as a reduction of russian para—, and ukraine finds itself right in the middle of russian efforts to resist that. it shares borders with russia and the european union and while it is not in nato member, it is what nato calls a partner country. it could join in the future, and russia is using its military to make it clear that that must not happen. which brings the eu to this conclusion.— which brings the eu to this conclusion. ~ ., ., ., , conclusion. we are leaving to my understanding — conclusion. we are leaving to my understanding the _ conclusion. we are leaving to my understanding the most - conclusion. we are leaving to my i understanding the most dangerous moment— understanding the most dangerous moment for the security in europe after— moment for the security in europe after the _ moment for the security in europe after the end of the cold war. in this after the end of the cold war. i�*i this dangerous moment, russia sees nato aggression, nato only sees defence. we all see nato and russia playing their part in a global power struggle where china is coming and the american superpower is being put to the test.

he argues that... and nato stands in the way of the new world that president putin would like. whatever the rights or wrongs, the causes and outcomes of this crisis both connect to nato. it isa it is a soggy sunday. dry in east anglia and the south east, but rain will spread and in the afternoon. the heaviest of the rain drying out later, some sun at times, maybe some sunshine. northern ireland less rain but a wet afternoon in central south—eastern scotland. the rain continues tonight, east anglia and cited clear skies, showers further north and west. it is going to turn

cold. some frost around, the best of morning sunshine. sunshine and showers on monday, wintry in nature, especially in scotland, some parts of scotland staying dry. dry weather in northern england, rain across south england and wales, the rain is hit and miss but it will feel colder as the day goes on.

this is bbc news broadcasting in the uk and around the globe. our top stories... a russian invasion of ukraine is �*highly likely�*. that�*s the assessment of the uk defence secretary, as more than a dozen countries urge their citizens to leave and diplomatic efforts intensify. the us evacuates most of its embassy staff in kyiv as it expects that a russian military incusion could come �*any day�*. warcan take an war can take an unpredictable path and if russia does act in the way we fear it will it will bring tremendous hardship and greater insecurity into the heart of europe. 13 people are injured after a mezzanine floor collapses

at a pub in east london.