hello, i'm kasia madera, this is outside source. ukraine's president issues a statement preparing his country for a russian invasion within 48 hours. vladimir zielinski says ukraine wants freedom and is ready to fight for it. he declares wednesday a day of unity when national flags will be flown. russia continues to expand its military force near the ukraine border with each passing day. this is a ve , border with each passing day. this is a very. very _ border with each passing day. “m 3 is a very, very dangerous and difficult situation. we are on the

edge of a precipice. but there is still time for president putin to step back. in other news — the world anti—doping agency says it's "disappointed" after a 15—year—old russian ice skater is allowed to compete in the winter olympics, despite failing a drugs test. and belgian police blocked a convoy of vehicles from reaching the- of vehicles from reaching the centre of vehicles from reaching the centre of brussels as _ of vehicles from reaching the centre of brussels as canadian _ of vehicles from reaching the centre of brussels as canadian conch - of vehicles from reaching the centre of brussels as canadian conch big i of brussels as canadian conch big cat protests spread. —— copy cat protests spread. we begin in ukraine — and what many are calling a make—or—break week in the crisis. the message from the us is that we could see a russian invasion as soon as wednesday. in the past few minutes, it's announced the closure of its embassy in the ukrainian capital. in the

past hour, in the past hour, the ukrainian president has said... he declares wednesday a day of unity to rally the nation. this is a markedly different tone to his previous statements. here's paul adams. ., , previous statements. here's paul adams. . , ., adams. there have been two developments _ adams. there have been two developments this _ adams. there have been two developments this evening, l adams. there have been two i developments this evening, one adams. there have been two - developments this evening, one with a presidential address in which president zielinski spoke to the people of a great country as he described it, he said that he urged calm once again, saying they are strong and together, and he said that 16 february, wednesday, the very day the american officials in particular seem to be indicating could be the day that russia decides to attack ukraine, president zielinski has declared that to be a day of unity. this was accompanied

by a presidential decree outlining how that day of unity will be marked, with the playing of the national anthem, the raising of the flag of ukraine over government buildings, holding of gatherings outside western embassies and so forth. all of this to me marks a change of tone in that it sounds defiant, wherejust change of tone in that it sounds defiant, where just a change of tone in that it sounds defiant, wherejust a couple change of tone in that it sounds defiant, where just a couple days ago, the president was talking about just about calm and having different information, and not really quite seeing it the way britain and the united states in particular were seeing it. so i think maybe he's been hearing something today or in the last 24 hours or so that perhaps he hasn't heard before. or he's choosing this day, the day cited by the americans in particular, for a day in which he says, "you know, we're talking about 16 february, i'll put a show on for you." i don't know, but it sounds different. pauli know, but it sounds different. paul adams there _ know, but it sounds different. paul adams there on _ know, but it sounds different. paul adams there on the lease

development. this is the latest warning from the uk foreign secretary, who was in moscow over the weekend. we're very clear that russia is the aggressor in this situation. they have 100,000 troops lined up on the ukrainian borders. they need to de—escalate because it will be a cost to russia if they invade ukraine — both in terms of the cost of a long—running war, but the sanctions we would impose which would be severe, and would target oligarchs and companies across russia. diplomatic efforts are continuing today. the latest being a meeting between germany's new leader olaf scholz and ukrainian president zelensky. here's the german chancellor speaking after that meeting. translation: we also see great value in discussion where all states _ concerned can talk to each other on an equal footing in order to resolve security issues on the basis of european cooperation. and we call on russia to make use of the existing offers of dialogue.

at the centre of all this is ukraine's desire tojoin the defensive alliance, nato. russia has long been opposed to that. this map of nato's expansion shows why russia is concerned. russia already shares a small part of its border with nato countries. if ukraine were to join, it would increase the number of countries in the alliance, on russia's borders. but this was the message from the ukrainian president today. —— this was the message from the eu on that today. the -- this was the message from the eu on that today-— on that today. the message of the house today _ on that today. the message of the house today is _ on that today. the message of the house today is clear. _ on that today. the message of the house today is clear. we _ on that today. the message of the house today is clear. we are - on that today. the message of the house today is clear. we are with l house today is clear. we are with ukraine. �* �* ,, ukraine. applause. ukraine _ ukraine. applause. ukraine is _ ukraine. applause. ukraine is a - ukraine. applause. | ukraine is a sovereign ukraine. applause. - ukraine is a sovereign state ukraine. applause. _ ukraine is a sovereign state that must be free to decide on its future for the benefit of its people. no one should undermine that right. the

messare one should undermine that right. the message from the eu. also on the agenda at that meeting is a controversial new pipeline. it's called nord stream ii. as this map shows, it will deliver gas from russia to western europe, via germany. it's not yet been switched on. the us state department has previously warned — "if russia invades ukraine — one way or another, nord stream ii will not move forward." this pipeline would double russia's gas exports to germany. so it's important for both countries. germany has been criticised for putting part of its energy security in the hands of vladimir putin — a message which is echoed by the uk prime minister. what i think all european countries need to do now is either get nord stream out of the bloodstream, yank out that hypodermic drip feed of russian hydrocarbons that is keeping so many european economies going. we need to find alternative sources

of energy, and we need to get ready to impose some very, very severe economic consequences on russia. let's go back to paul adams. the latest briefings _ let's go back to paul adams. tta: latest briefings are let's go back to paul adams. t"'ta: latest briefings are that essentially, an invasion of ukraine could take place, in the words of one official i was talking to earlier today, abaco at the drop of a hat." everything is ready, itjust requires president putin to give the go—ahead. the assembly of forces that they have seen around ukraine can only have one purpose, and that is an invasion. they think that that could unfold with them lightning attack on the city, key of desk you have,in attack on the city, key of desk you have, in the coming days, and would not take much more than a few days with the aim of disabling the ukrainian government dashed

to cut off some of ukraine's most capable forces which are currently facing separatist rebels down there. a lot of detail about how they feel this invasion is being planned. . officials saying still, "we do not know whether vladimir putin intends to do this," but they do think his decision to do so one way or another will come soon. nato allies have responded by bolstering the alliance's eastern flank. this back—up contingent from germany arrived in lithuania earlier today. and the uk is doubling its contribution to the nato force in estonia. here's estonia's president. i think nobody knows that, because there's so many speculations around that i guess the only person who knows is president putin. but he doesn't give an answer — he has given an answer that there won't be any war. so it's difficult to understand

what's going on in russia. as we see all these diplomatic ways of de—escalating the situation, we don't see it at the moment. at the same time, we should continue also with diplomatic ways of talking with russia. at the same time, we have to be ready for deterrence and so forth, because this is the only thing russia probably does understand. russia has denied all along that it's planning an invasion. this is a satellite picture from the border from october last year. and just compare that with this image taken this month. you can see military equipment has increased dramatically. the us estimates the number of russian troops there at 130,000. and we know russian troops have also

been practising joint military drills in belarus, near the ukrainian border — these pictures were released today. here's the assessment of a former us ambassador to ukraine. —— steve rosenberg is in moscow. western leaders may be warning of an imminent military escalation in ukraine, but moscow dismisses all of that as hype, hysteria. and if you look at the way the state media here has been covering the ukraine story, you will see that the picture presented to the russian public is the polar opposite of how the west sees things. so, according to that kremlin picture, russia has no plans for an invasion — instead it's america who is the aggressor and pouring weapons into the ukraine. it's nato that is threatening russia by expanding eastwards. still, that doesn't explain why moscow is massing more than 100,000 troops right now near ukraine's border and why it's launched large—scale military exercises in the region. so what is vladimir putin's aim?

that is a difficult question to answer, because no one's quite sure. some in the west think this is all about russia trying to force ukraine back into moscow's orbit. some believe the kremlin's objective is much wider, to carve out a new sphere of influence for itself in europe — basically to dismantle the post—cold war european security order and to push nato back. today with moscow sensing a lack of unity in europe and perhaps feeling that america's too busy with problems at home, a resurgent russia may feel that this is the moment to take action. but if there was all out war with ukraine, how would the russian public react? it's hard to see the public here supporting a large scale conflict with the ukraine. many russians have said to me that they see ukrainians almost like brothers — there are very deep cultural and historical ties. war is the last thing

that people want here. but it won't be the public that decide this, it will be the president. so what happens next? well, that may depend on whether president putin is willing to compromise over ukraine and european security, even if he doesn't get everything he wants — like an end to nato enlargement eastwards. whether he is willing to reach a deal or determined to continue with coercive diplomacy. steve rosenburg, bbc news, moscow. the world anti—doping agency said it's disappointed that the 15—year—old russian ice skater, kamila valieva, has been allowed to compete at the beijing winter olympics — despite failing a drugs test. the head of wada said the doping of children was "evil and unforgivable" and promised to investigate the case properly.

i'm very disappointed by the ruling of the panel. it is a matter of concern that the panel decided not to apply the terms of the world anti—doping court. —— anti—doping code. and from our perspective, this is another very controversial ruling. the court of arbitration for sport made the decision after a hearing, ruling that exceptional circumstances meant kamila valieva should not be provisionally suspended. it pointed to age, along with issues around timing of the test result announcement, the drug test had been taken in december and the result onlyjust announced now. here's the court announcing its decision. the panel in charge of this matter has decided to let miss valieva continue her participation in the olympic winter

games beijing 2022. it means that no provisional suspension should be imposed on the skater. next, let's hear from the former director of ethics and anti—doping at uk sport, michele verroken. i it really is most incredible that . an athlete is competing at a games when people didn't realise i that her sample had yet to be analysed and the information had yet to come forward. _ so i think, you know, _ the russian disciplinary anti—doping committee have tried it to act in terms of fairness, - because there was no time . for her to mount any defence about whether the suspension should be imposed provisionally, _ and similarly, the ad hoc panel. but this still means - that this athlete will be

facing a full hearing, _ and obviously everybody's announced that they will investigate the circumstances — - as they should, when it's a young person. i look at their entourage, _ look at the circumstances that have led a 15—year—old to use such a serious substance. - let's take a look at how the controversy unfolded. on 25 december, kamila valieva had a sample collected while competing at the russian championships. a week ago, on 7 february, valieva led the russians to gold in the figure skating team event at the beijing olympics. on 9 february, the russian anti doping agency suspended the skater after announcing a banned metabolic agent was found in delayed testing. valieva appealed and later the same day the suspension was lifted. two days after that, the international olympic committee appealed against the russian anti doping agency's move to lift valieva's suspension. then today, 14 february,

the court of arbtitration for sport cleared valieva to carry on competing in beijing. this means the russian figure skater will compete in the women's event that starts on tuesday. but if she wins a medal, there are no guarantees that she won't be stripped of it at a later date once the anti—doping process is complete. our sports news correspondent laura scott is in beijing. in explaining its decision to allow kamila valieva to continue competing here in beijing, the panel from the court of arbitration for sport relied upon a series of exceptional circumstances — including that valieva is only 15, and the fact that her positive drugs test results came back midway through these games, 44 days after her sample was taken — meaning she had little time to mount a defence. they said that provisionally suspending her would cause her irreparable harm. but that decision has prompted widespread criticism, with the world anti—doping agency

saying that the panel had relied upon an exception and its rules that doesn't exist, and that mandatory provisional suspension's applied to adult athletes and minors, as well. the us olympic and paralympic committee said athletes were being denied the right to know if they were competing on a level playing field, and that this appears to be another chapter in russia's pervasive disregard of clean sport. the international olympic committee meanwhile has decided it won't hold a medal ceremony in the figure skating team event, which was won last week by the russian olympic committee, with the usa in silver and japan in bronze. and it says that in the women's singles event, in which valieva is favoured for gold, if she finishes in the top three, they won't hold a medal or flower ceremony in that event either. so while valieva has been cleared to skate again and she's back on the ice, she hasn't been cleared of a scandal that continues to rock these games.

let's turn to protests against mandatory covid vaccines. the cbc is reporting that the prime ministerjustin trudeau pliahs the cbc is reporting that the prime ministerjustin trudeau— ministerjustin trudeau plans to evoke the emergencies - ministerjustin trudeau plans to evoke the emergencies act - ministerjustin trudeau plans to evoke the emergencies act in i evoke the emergencies act in response to the protest. there's also this from afp,... this follows police clearing a blockade of a border bridge between canada and the us. truckers had been protesting against a mandate for covid vaccines. we've also been hearing from the premier of ontario. eider from the premier of ontario. over the weekend. _ from the premier of ontario. over the weekend, i _ from the premier of ontario. over the weekend, i received _ the weekend, i received recommendations from doctor moore on a play in to safely reopen our economy and remove ontario's vaccine

passport system. —— a plan. i excepted these recommendations. today's recommendations is not because of what's happening in ottawa or windsor, but in spite of it. ., �* , ottawa or windsor, but in spite of it. doug ford there, let's speak to katie fraser _ it. doug ford there, let's speak to katie fraser from _ it. doug ford there, let's speak to katie fraser from cbs _ it. doug ford there, let's speak to katie fraser from cbs news. - it. doug ford there, let's speak to | katie fraser from cbs news. bring it. doug ford there, let's speak to i katie fraser from cbs news. bring us katie fraserfrom cbs news. bring us up—to—date, what isjustin trudeau going to implement? so up-to-date, what is justin trudeau going to implement?— going to implement? so this emergencies _ going to implement? so this emergencies act _ going to implement? so this emergencies act was - going to implement? so thisj emergencies act was created going to implement? so this i emergencies act was created in going to implement? so this - emergencies act was created in the 19805, emergencies act was created in the 1980s, this legislation is very rare, it's not been evoked before in canada, it's never been used before. so it's very hard for cbc news to try and figure out what exactly trudeau intends. we do know this replaced a former act in the 1980s, as i mentioned, and this measure now is temporary, it's only for urgent and critical situations that

seriously involve or endanger people a smack lives. and he does need to work with the provincial leaders on this —— people's lives. it gives special powers to the prime minister, but what exactly that looks like it is not entirely clear just yet. looks like it is not entirely clear 'ust et. �* �* looks like it is not entirely clear 'ust et. �* just yet. but i'm assuming there is su ort just yet. but i'm assuming there is support for— just yet. but i'm assuming there is support for this? _ just yet. but i'm assuming there is support for this? doug _ just yet. but i'm assuming there is support for this? doug ford - just yet. but i'm assuming there is support for this? doug ford has i just yet. but i'm assuming there is i support for this? doug ford has been quite outspoken about the protesters, what they�* re quite outspoken about the protesters, what they're doing, the blocking of trade routes. it's been pretty devastating for canada. t can pretty devastating for canada. i can seak pretty devastating for canada. i can speak specifically _ pretty devastating for canada. i can speak specifically to _ pretty devastating for canada. t can speak specifically to here in windsor, ontario, we are right on the border with the usa, and here there's been a terrible blockade for there's been a terrible blockade for the last six days. protesters have blocked the entrance to the ambassador bridge. for all of you viewers, that bridges key to international trade, for movement of goods, forfood and especially international trade, for movement of goods, for food and especially auto industries which are very big in canada. that border had been blocked

for six days and police were finally able to move protesters out of the way and reopen this international border crossing between canada and the usa. now these measures are in part because of the protests here in windsor, also part of the protests happening in ottawa, canada's capital. there's been occupation there for some days now, several weeks. this is a response to those orders, but something that the government has been hesitant to do. like i said, this act is only for very severe issues in cases, it's never been used before. it actually replaced an act that was set in 19805 that was only used during the flq 19805 that was only used during the flo crisis in canada where tensions and canada were getting raised. it's hard to see how far the prime minister will go with this because we've just not seen it before. we've

seen the situation here in windsor and protests elsewhere in the country are for police to take care of. here in windsor, our local police force has had to be backed up by the royal canadian mounted police, by ontario provincial police, police from outside of this midsize city have had to come in and support this effortjust midsize city have had to come in and support this effort just to clear this one border crossing. this is just one of a few happening in canada right now. as i said, prime ministerjustin trudeau just announced this act, it's never been seen before in canadian politics, it's hard to see what measures will come. the prime minister has been very clear he does not want to call in the canadian army on these protesters, despite what they have done. and that's what we saw here in windsor, ontario. six days, there's been about $30 billion in international trade that's been lost, and yet the army was never called in to remove the protesters from this area. so kind of hard to

see if the army might be called and elsewhere in canada. irate see if the army might be called and elsewhere in canada.— elsewhere in canada. we will watch this space. — elsewhere in canada. we will watch this space. good — elsewhere in canada. we will watch this space, good to _ elsewhere in canada. we will watch this space, good to speak - elsewhere in canada. we will watch this space, good to speak to - elsewhere in canada. we will watch this space, good to speak to you, l this space, good to speak to you, thanks very much. the canada blockade has sparked similar movements elsewhere, including in belgium. this is the european freedom convoy, which gathered outside the capital brussels. police are filtering traffic because they're worried the convoy could enter the city and block streets. here's what some of the protesters had to say. we want our freedom, your freedom — my daughter's vaccinated, she's half scottish, i said to her, "it's ok, it's ok, you've done it, you're an adult person, you're a student." but no—one ever will ever force me into anything like that ever. translation: we are against the form that every tourist has to fill _ in before entering belgium, switzerland, and most european countries. we are asking for the restoration

of the true freedom of travelling within the european union. one of the basic principles of europe is the free movement of goods and people within the eu. we believe that with these passes and forms, that freedom is severely hampered. so we've seen protests on the us—canada border and in belgium. they're also happening in new zealand. anti—vaccine mandate demonstrators have been sat outside the country's parliament for almost a week. and this is how authorities there tried to disperse them. # cos i'll never be with you... # mummy shark, doo—doo—doo—doo—doo—doo, that was james blunt, being played there — although it hasn't worked very well as a deterrent. playing music to discourage people from hanging around isn't a new idea.

here's the financial times reporting back in 2008 that a classical music trial on the tube was being extended. it said... and here's the times reporting in 2018 that... for more on this approach, here's music psychologist michael bonshor. there is some research that's shown it can be effective, and i think some of the reasons for that are the way in which our bodies respond to music. we've all got very, very different tastes in music, partly because we have different associations perhaps from our memories or experiences, feelings that are attached to certain music. so you won't be able to find a piece of music that repels everybody, i expect. i probably would perhaps go along with what the berlin railway people tried to do and choose something

really atonal with lots of class records, that's quite uncomfortable for most people to listen to. —— clashy chords. what you think of our music? i'll be back soon. hello, there. it's a week to be battening down the hatches because we have two named storms that will impact the united kingdom. the first one, dudley, on wednesday and thursday, and then eunice on friday. already an amber warning attached to dudley from the met office. and it's because of these powerful upper—level winds, the jet stream at the moment, really strong driving and developing those areas of low pressure to become storms. but ahead of that, relatively quiet this evening as the winds ease and the rain clears away. but we do have more rain and hill snow to come later in the night, sweeping in off the atlantic. so initially a frost and a little bit of ice around, because we've had that temporary chill, but it's a wet spell of weather once

again to start tomorrow morning. still some snow over the hills, maybe bright in eastern areas temporarily, but once the rain arrives, it'll be slow to clear, dragging its heels across southern england and northern scotland. but elsewhere, brighter, sunny spells, scattered showers, little bit wintry over the hills as we are still in february — temperatures around about average for the time of year. and already, the next area of rain is waiting in the wings to come in through tuesday night, and then into wednesday, as well, we've got more rain to come, too. so we could have some chilly weather in the north during the night on tuesday, but milder air�*s arriving tied in with storm dudley, so temperatures on wednesday will be well above where they should be. initially, we've got the rain coming in, yet more rain after what we've had recently, very mild indeed. and then the winds really start to wind themselves up. it looks as if storm dudley will provide the most powerful winds across the northern half of the uk, so parts of northern ireland, scotland, and northern england. but most areas will feel the effects, but they're most

likely to be disruptive and damaging further north. the orange area is where we're expecting the most significant impacts. that's where the amber warning is and, of course, we'll be keeping you up to date on that. the detail warnings are on our website. it still with us into thursday morning's rush, and then gradually, the winds ease a little bit, the weather calms — but not for long because, again, the next low pressure, the next storm is winding itself up for friday, this time affecting more parts of england, wales as well as into scotland, northern ireland, with potentially blizzard conditions and significant snow to the north. as as ever, we'll keep you posted.

hello, i'm kasia madera, this is outside source. ukraine's president issues a statement preparing his country for a russian invasion within 48 hours. zelinski says that ukraine wants freedom and is ready to fight for it. he has declared wednesday as a day of unity went national flags will be flown. g—7 nations step up their warnings to russia as us intelligence says that moscow continues to expand its military force near ukraine's border with each passing day. this is a very dangerous situation,

where on the edge of a precipice but there is still time for president putin to step back.— there is still time for president putin to step back. well, concerns about sanctions _ putin to step back. well, concerns about sanctions against _ putin to step back. well, concerns about sanctions against russia - putin to step back. well, concerns| about sanctions against russia and potential disruption to supplies sends oil prices to a seven year high. we will be live in new york. andy's bowl breaks records for the amount money americans bet on the results. we're going to focus on the tension between russia and ukraine from the perspective of the intelligence we are getting. throughout this crisis, both the us and the uk have repeatedly said they have secret intelligence warning russia is preparing to invade ukraine. for example, this was the british foreign secretary earlier. we are fully aware that there could be a russian invasion almost

immediately. that is why british citizens do need to leave ukraine. and this was the us national security adviser jake sullivan, on sunday. we have seen over the course of the past ten days a dramatic acceleration in the build—up of russian forces and the disposition of those forces in such a way that they could launch a military action essentially at any time they could do so this coming week. but of course, it still awaits the go order. and so therefore, we cannot predict the precise day or time that they may take action. disclosing intelligence on the kremlin's possible next moves is a strategy the uk and us says is designed to stop war. while the tactic isn't new, the scale of it, is. the new york times reports

disclosures amounts to... this unclassified document — first obtained by the washington post warned of a russian offensive in the beginning of 2022, involving 175,000 troops. a few days later, we had this warning from jake sullivan. as we pursue diplomatic channels, we will also prepare for all contingencies just as we have been doing for weeks now including through the preparation of specific responses to russian escalation should they be required. so that was in december. then injanuary the us said it had evidence of a russian plan to release a fake video of a ukrainian attack on its territory.

in conflict this is called a false flag. when they designed to disguise their motive patient. this was said to be here's jake sullivan... we also are watching very carefully for the possibility that there is a pretext or a false flag operation to kick off the russian action in which russian intelligence services conduct some kind of attack on russian proxy forces in eastern ukraine or on russian citizens, and then lame it on the ukrainians. last month the uk an alleged plot by moscow to install a pro kremlin leader and the ukraine.- leader and the ukraine. citing several nations _ leader and the ukraine. citing several nations intelligence i several nations intelligence including the united states. tt

several nations intelligence including the united states. it was since unacceptable _ including the united states. it was since unacceptable including - since unacceptable including unexpected needs to step up to the plate _ unexpected needs to step up to the plate one — unexpected needs to step up to the plate. one of the things you're seeing i— plate. one of the things you're seeing i think the foreign secretary doing _ seeing i think the foreign secretary doing a _ seeing i think the foreign secretary doing a very good job of this is making it _ doing a very good job of this is making it clear what's at stake so other_ making it clear what's at stake so other countries come and support them _ other countries come and support them is — other countries come and support the... , ., ., �* other countries come and support the... , ., ., , . the... is that what you're expecting to happen. — the... is that what you're expecting to happen. and _ the... is that what you're expecting to happen, and invasion? _ the. .. is that what you're expecting to happen, and invasion? i- the... is that what you're expecting to happen, and invasion? i think. to happen, and invasion? ithink there's a very — to happen, and invasion? ithink there's a very significant - to happen, and invasion? ithink there's a very significant risk - to happen, and invasion? ithink there's a very significant risk ofl there's a very significant risk of it. the uk though, declined to provide evidence to back its accusation. the us also hasn't shared its evidence of the alleged disinformation plots its uncovered. have a listen to this exchange between its spokesperson and journalist matt lee. its spokesperson and journalist matt lee. what is the evidence... this is like crisis actors, this is like alex jones territory that you're getting into. what evidence do you have to support the idea that there is some propaganda film in the making? this is derived from information known to the us government, intelligence information that we have declassified. ithink... ok, where is it, where is this information? it is intelligence information that we have declassified. well where is it, where

is the classified information? ijust delivered it. no, you made a series of allegations... would you like us to print out the top or? because you will see a transfer of this briefing that you can print out for yourself. that's not evidence, that you saying it, that's not evidence, i'm sorry. what would you like, matt? i would like to see some proof that you can show... the us argues sharing details could give russia information about how intelligence is gathered. on russias side though, it's dimissed both the us the new york times saying that its allies could release information about mr putin stop lieutenants for example the oligarchs that support him back at so doubt about peoples loyalty or indeed expose their wealth. russia denies its planning to invade, for its part accuses the

us in the uk for information propaganda and madness and scaremongering. his deputy ambassador to the un was also saying something similar. kristine berzina is the head of geopolitics at the independent us think tank, german marshall fund, joining us from washington dc. good of you to speak to us. explain to us your understanding of the scale of the sharing of intelligence by the us and its allies. we've seen it before but the scale of it, it's pretty unprecedented.— pretty unprecedented. you're absolutely — pretty unprecedented. you're absolutely right, _ pretty unprecedented. you're absolutely right, there's - pretty unprecedented. you're absolutely right, there's a i absolutely right, there's a tremendous amount of information and intelligence sharing happening right now from washington to most importantly the public. it is a very stark difference and from what we've seen around 2014 with the invasion of crimea we have heard a lot of the main actors from that time expressed their frustration that he intelligence officials during the

obama administration in 2014 were unwilling to share with citizens in the united states and across the allies and what exactly they were seeing and what russia was doing. we are in a very different position today. part of that is a response to the kind of... more fragmented alliance that we saw at the beginning of this administration, the biden administration following the biden administration following the trump years was up the trump years were marked by more animosity across the atlantic than before. so now we have an unprecedented, possibly century defining aggression that could happen in ukraine and in that could happen in ukraine and in that moment, how do you get the alliance to be as strong as it possibly can? the us can't at this point simply say, "we have our reasons for making in invasion happen, we have ways we think of michael dell but we won't tell you. instead we have a situation where

the us is being incredibly aggressive and de—classifying and sharing information. and unlike in past crises a lot of this information can be verified through open source intelligence. the amount of footage that is available showing tank movements, satellite footage showing positions and the changing positions of the russian forces on the ukrainian border, that is visible, that is out there. so what the usd classifies that you see the state department segment asserting particular beliefs and assumptions about what russia might do but there is now open source intelligence that shows us well, it's not an invention, here are the troops, they have blue, this is their location. and that really creates a much more common body of information for the united states and its european allies used together to try to

preempt and deter any further aggression from russia. irate preempt and deter any further aggression from russia. we saw that exchanre aggression from russia. we saw that exchange where _ aggression from russia. we saw that exchange where the _ aggression from russia. we saw that exchange where the white _ aggression from russia. we saw that exchange where the white house - exchange where the white house wasn't willing to show all of the evidence. i wonder controlling the narrative, the uk as well. if you're going to share that amount of intelligence, don't you share all of it otherwise it will be a lack of complete confidence from the public? the public will always have a gap in complete confidence. after the iraq war i do not begrudge any suspicion upon any of the populations. the us government is being buried for the right and what it is sharing. at the same time, it cannot share so much that it starts to betray its sources or the methods of intelligence gathering and have those cut off. this is the battle that the intelligence services and the administration really needs to find between trying to get allied

leaders, our politicians, allied citizens on board and yet not shoot itself in the foot. which means i don't think there will ever be a situation in which the us government will say here all of our cards, here is everything we heard, this is why we think that. there should be no expectation about whether there will be so much transparency because it would deeply hurt the allies and even the citizens who are interested in this information. it there is going too far and yet it is very useful potentially for preempting the kind of behaviour that president putin could have an false flag operations, other things to really have this out in the open.- have this out in the open. really aood to have this out in the open. really good to talk _ have this out in the open. really good to talk you. _ oil prices have surged to seven—year highs, on concern that a russian invasion of ukraine could trigger

new us and european sanctions against moscow. sanctions could disrupt exports from one of the world's biggest oil producers at a time when supplies are already tight. here's one uk commentator. the tensions between russia and ukraine with pressure being the third biggest oil producer in the world are kind of causing problems with the markets. there's a lot of nerves around what would happen should things escalate and supply could be affected and that's why prices have risen. oil prices had already surged as global demand bounced back after two years of lockdowns and pandemic—related restrictions. now many analysts are warning that should supplies from russia be interrupted, prices could top $100 a barrel for the first time since 2014. here's a quote from egypt's petroleum minister tarek el molla on oil at 100 dollars... for me, being professional i can see it

happening, but i don't want it to happen". let's take a look at one of the oil benchmarks — brent crude — over the past decade it topped $96 a barrel earlier today, a level it hasn't reached since october 2014. all this means higher prices at the pumps. here in the uk, petrol reached a record £1, 48 pence per litre — that's two dollars — over the weekend, while diesel hit more than 151p last week. and there are fears prices could rise further. i think we could well see record petrol and diesel prices being set on a daily basis over the coming weeks due to the tensions. retailers will naturally pass on the wholesale price with up the very quick to do that as we know. in a falling market to very low to pass off as was our december when we return drastically overpaying for fuel. it's a similar story for gas. russia provides around 40%

of europe's gas and any invasion of ukraine could also disrupt those supplies, at a time when prices are already at record levels. that's partly because moscow has been deliberately holding back supplies to europe. now there are warnings that in the worst case scenario, gas prices could rise much further. if sanctions were to include something like refusing to allow north stream to pipeline to open and also there was damage to the infrastructure that goes through ukraine, this would have a serious impact on gas supplies to europe, there's no question about that. we can cross live to new york and our north america business correspondent samira hussain. where do we start with this? right. i think a lot of people are looking at the oil market and wondering just

how high can it go. i think by and large most watchers believe that we are going to cross that $100 a barrel mark. it is significant when a mark that we haven't crossed since 2014. there are... there is a question as to why. match has to do with the pandemic and much as to do with the pandemic and much as to do with the tensions in the ukraine. i think we were already struggling with supply and demand during the pandemic, we saw there was a reduced amount at the height of the pandemic and then the economies roaring back of a huge amount of demand and they just weren't able to produce enough oilfast enough. and now just weren't able to produce enough oil fast enough. and now you just weren't able to produce enough oilfast enough. and now you have the tensions with ukraine. that said, opec which is the grouping of major oil producing nations have said that they are going to ramp up some of their production, they mention that in their last meeting in the month of march. they are going to gradually ease, increase,

as of yet you look at how much they're pumping it's actually not as significant a job as they had hoped. meanwhile stockmarkets reacting themselves. meanwhile stockmarkets reacting themselves-— meanwhile stockmarkets reacting themselves. ~ , themselves. absolutely. if you look at even markets _ themselves. absolutely. if you look at even markets here _ themselves. absolutely. if you look at even markets here they - themselves. absolutely. if you look at even markets here they are - at even markets here they are already down. a lot of that has to do with what is happening in ukraine. now that we are hearing reports that something could happen is soon as wednesday for that bad of course has a lot of people on us financial markets quite anxious was up financial markets quite anxious was up already we've been watching the price of oil slowly make that march upwards towards that 100 mark. and thatis upwards towards that 100 mark. and that is a cause for a lot of concern. that is a cause for a lot of concern-— that is a cause for a lot of concern. ~ , ., i. concern. always good to get your anal sis concern. always good to get your analysis and _ concern. always good to get your analysis and insight. _ stay with us on outside source — still to come... will be looking back at the life of ivan reitman. producer of such comedies as animal house,

ghostbusters who has died at the age of 75. schools and colleges in the indian state of karnataka partially re—opened today — after being closed since last week following protests over the wearing of hijabs in classrooms. it coincides with the state's high court resuming its hearing on the issue. the row was sparked after six female students were barred from entering college premises for wearing hijabs. the bbc�*s divya arya is in karnataka. today was a significant day because grades were open partially up to grades were open partially up to grade ten. the girls and quarter of 11 and 12, so really young girls, not even 18 years of age. the reopening of schools was a mixed bag. in some areas like where i am

it was out any incident but in other parts of the state there were reports from different schools that girls still wore hijabs and were back to school and the teacher stopped them outside school, ask them to remove their hijabs and barkers that's worth remembering because the court is hearing this case. it's past an order say when schools and colleges to gradually reopened students will not wear any religious clothing or marks as they go into classrooms because this court is succumbing to a decision on whether that should be allowed. it seems that people are still very confused about what's going on because the controversy it seems has hit them suddenly. that's right many students accompanied by their parents in fact wore hijabs to school. some came back home choosing not to go to school if they were asked to move their hijabs. it's out on the state in connecticut with her all began in different parts of the country especially states which have a significant muslim population

where the religious issue, it's more close to the heart. but it's worth keeping in mind that there's a lot of criticism about conservative parts overruling this whole situation. they are saying that it's basically not allowed for education... this is outside source live from the bbc newsroom. our lead story is... ukraine's president zielinski issuing a statement preparing his country for a russian invasion within 48 hours and declaring wednesday a day of unity. more on our website. and we are keeping an eye on lots of developments there. and we are keeping an eye on lots of developments there. let's turn to the super bowl, one of the world's greatest sporting events, which took place on sunday. it was won by the los angeles rams. and it was record—breaking because of the amount of money americans bet on the result.

david joins me now from new york. david has been writing about this. put this into context for us. this is a record—breaking amount that americans were gambling. haifa is a record-breaking amount that americans were gambling. how much? the official numbers _ americans were gambling. how much? the official numbers are _ americans were gambling. how much? the official numbers are not _ americans were gambling. how much? the official numbers are not out - the official numbers are not out yet. it's good to be with you, by the way. the preliminary estimates from the american gaming association, which is the industry group said that there would be about $7.6 billion that would be wagered by 31 million americans this weekend. and that's up some 75, 80% over the previous years. by, weekend. and that's up some 75, 8096 over the previous years.— over the previous years. a huge “um - , over the previous years. a huge jump. no _ over the previous years. a huge jump, no question. _ over the previous years. a huge jump, no question. how- over the previous years. a huge jump, no question. how does i over the previous years. a huge jump, no question. how does itj over the previous years. a huge - jump, no question. how does it work? i know they bet on the result but are the elements of a bet on? yes.

this is different _ are the elements of a bet on? yes. this is different from _ are the elements of a bet on? yes. this is different from your- are the elements of a bet on? 123 this is different from your grandma or grandpa was buggy in which you may look to the results and maybe cover a point spread. there are a lot of people who like to bet on the intricacies of the game in terms of things that are happening with each drive or each player, in the middle they can bet on a variety of different things in terms of whether the bengals were going to score on a particular drive or if there be x number of penalties that may be assessed. it's become quite complicated and sophisticated in terms of the kinds of things that people can bet on.— people can bet on. what is fascinating _ people can bet on. what is fascinating is _ people can bet on. what is fascinating is up _ people can bet on. what is fascinating is up until - people can bet on. what is fascinating is up until 2018j people can bet on. what is - fascinating is up until 2018 sports betting was effectively illegal in the us. just talk us through how that's changed. tt’s the us. just talk us through how that's changed.— that's changed. it's quite remarkable, _ that's changed. it's quite remarkable, if— that's changed. it's quite remarkable, if you - that's changed. it's quite remarkable, if you think| that's changed. it's quite - remarkable, if you think about it, until a decade ago the nfl had been very, very adamant in its opposition to sports gambling. they said it

would besmirch the integrity of the game, they were worried they might introduce outside bad influences and there were a whole host of other reasons. but while they were battling that at the same time conceding that gambling had become much more ingrained in american life. it was becoming much more acceptable, especially with the increase of state lotteries making it commonplace for people to wager on different things. by the time the supreme court ruled that states other than nevada can introduce regulated gambling then the nfl and other sports were resigned to the reality that it would just be a natural occurrence so might as well try to cash in on that. ok. natural occurrence so might as well try to cash in on that.— try to cash in on that. ok, they are cashin: try to cash in on that. ok, they are cashing in — try to cash in on that. ok, they are cashing in but— try to cash in on that. ok, they are cashing in but are _ try to cash in on that. ok, they are cashing in but are they _ try to cash in on that. ok, they are cashing in but are they concerned i cashing in but are they concerned about problem gambling? is an issue in europe for example. iloathed about problem gambling? is an issue in europe for example.— in europe for example. what about the us? because _ in europe for example. what about

the us? because it's— in europe for example. what about the us? because it's so _ in europe for example. what about the us? because it's so new, - in europe for example. what about the us? because it's so new, i - in europe for example. what about | the us? because it's so new, i don't know if whaen couldn't say it has become a kind of problem that it has beenin become a kind of problem that it has been in the uk and in europe. but to that end, there's certainly a lot of people that have been looking to europe in terms of some of the lessons that could be learned in the nfl has in fact been working with an advocacy group called the national council on problem gaming this past yearfor the council on problem gaming this past year for the update launched a campaign to... it's called responsible play dartboard to try to warn people about knowing your limits in terms of gambling to advertise there is one 800 help lines for people to turn to a case i think they are very wary of what has happened overseas that are at least addressing it. whether that's affected remains to be seen. thank

ou. the film director and producer, ivan reitman, best known for the comedy ghostbusters has died. he was 75. he was behind many of the box office smashes of the 19805 and 905 including animal house, twins and kindergarden cop. # if there's something' strange in the neighbourhood. ghostbusters was a phenomenon. # ghostbusters! director ivan reitman knew exactly what audience wanted. becoming when teenagers became cinema's most lucrative audience in the 19705 and 19805, reitman had an almost unique understanding of their tastes. he slimed me. that's great! toga, toga, toga! his first big success was producing the raucous national lampoon's animal house in 1977. the movie, about an out—of—control fraternity, incorporated some of reitman's own experiences of college and helped begin audiences�* tastes for gross—out comedy. i'm a zit — get it?

he turned to directing. his working relationship with bill murray, which reached its peak with ghostbusters, began with reitman directing him in films like meatballs and stripes. where the hell have you been, soldier? training, sir! what kind of training, son? army training, sir! he also developed a strong partnership with arnold schwarzenegger. reitman cast him injunior, kindergarten cop, and theirfirst film together, twins. my name isjulius, and i'm your twin brother. 0h, obviously! the moment i sat down, i thought i was looking into a mirror! have you missed us? and last year, he produced ghostbusters sequel, afterlife. he was a film—maker who changed the course of cinema forever.

ivan reitman who has died aged 75. i'll be back tomorrow to join me then. thanks for watching. bye—bye. hello there. it's a week to be battening down the hatches, because we have two named storms that will impact the united kingdom. the first one, dudley, on wednesday and thursday, and then eunice on friday. already an amber warning attached to dudley from the met office. and it's because of these powerful upper—level winds, the jet stream at the moment, really strong driving and developing those areas of low pressure to become storms. but ahead of that, relatively quiet this evening as the winds ease and the rain clears away. but we do have more rain and hill snow to come later in the night, sweeping in off the atlantic. so initially a frost and a little bit of ice around, because we've had that temporary chill, but it's a wet spell of weather once again to start tomorrow morning.

still some snow over the hills, maybe bright in eastern areas temporarily, but once the rain arrives, it'll be slow to clear, dragging its heels across southern england and northern scotland. but elsewhere, brighter, sunny spells, scattered showers, little bit wintry over the hills as we are still in february — temperatures around about average for the time of year. and already, the next area of rain is waiting in the wings to come in through tuesday night, and then into wednesday, as well, we've got more rain to come, too. so we could have some chilly weather in the north during the night on tuesday, but milder air�*s arriving tied in with storm dudley, so temperatures on wednesday will be well above where they should be. initially, we've got the rain coming in, yet more rain after what we've had recently, very mild indeed. and then the winds really start to wind themselves up. it looks as if storm dudley will provide the most powerful winds across the northern half of the uk, so parts of northern ireland, scotland, and northern england. but most areas will feel the effects, but they're most likely to be disruptive and damaging further north.

the orange area is where we're expecting the most significant impacts. that's where the amber warning is and, of course, we'll be keeping you up to date on that. the detail warnings are on our website. it's still with us into thursday morning's rush, and then gradually, the winds ease a little bit, the weather calms — but not for long because, again, the next low pressure, the next storm is winding itself up for friday, this time affecting more parts of england, wales as well as into scotland, northern ireland, with potentially blizzard conditions and significant snow to the north. as ever, we'll keep you posted.

the headlines. as russia continues war games on ukraine's border, diplomatic efforts are readable to stop the prime minister and the us president agree tonight that there remains a crucial window for diplomacy. this is a very difficult and dangerous situation, we are on the edge of a precipice, but there's still time for president putin step back. all the remaining coronavirus restrictions in northern ireland including wearing face covering some proof of vaccination in nightclubs will be scrapped from tomorrow. one family's long quest forjustice as the inquiry opens into how hundreds

of post office managers were