hello, i'm christian fraser. you're watching context on bbc news. there are fears going for the safety of thousands of people trapped in ukrainian cities as another ceasefire fails to hold. residents in the town of irpin, just north of kyiv, were fling of victory under intense bombardment. this is a difficultjourney every step of the way, especially for older people trying to pick their way out across rubble and concrete, having to balance on bits of wood. people queue for hours to escape. the un calls for people to have safe

passage in any direction you choose. the united nations says more than 1.5 million people have now left ukraine since the russian invasion began, russian invasion began, with the uk government under pressure to do more. tonight with the context — katy balls, deputy political editor at the spectator, and the retired lieutenant colonel alexander vindman, who oversaw president trump's ukraine policy. welcome to the programme. three times ukraine and russia have agreed a ceasefire to open humanitarian corridors, and three times the ceasefire has been breached. the ukrainian foreign ministry said this afternoon that civilians were prevented from leaving kyiv, mariupol, kharkiv, volnovakha and mykolayiv because of the continued russian assaults. earlier in the day, moscow had offered the ukrainian government six new "humanitarian corridors". they were rejected. four of the routes lead straight into russia to the east and belarus to the north.

through the same routes the russian columns had taken when they invaded 12 days ago. "completely immoral" said the ukrainians. only two of the suggested routes took people away from the troops that were shelling their homes. and you only need to look at the pictures from the second biggest city, kharkiv, to remind yourself why, a route out, to remind yourself why a route out is so desperately needed. this is video from a residential building on the heavenly hundred, heroes square hit by another massive bombardment last night. large parts of kharkiv are in ruins. is at this precision bombing? so no agreement yet — but with russian troops slowly advancing on the capital, the urgency grows. in towns like irpin — 16 miles from the city limits — from where our correspondent orla guerin sent this report. the only way out. and he stumbles, hands shaking. but he summons his courage and carries on. the desperate exodus from irpin

today across the wreckage of a bridge blown up by ukraine to slow the russian advance. how scared do you have to be to take your child and flee like this? and here a woman lies conscious... ..but immobile. she fell, and there is no stretcher to move her. well, this is a difficultjourney every step of the way. especially for older people trying to pick their way out across rubble and concrete, having to balance on bits of wood. ukrainian troops are trying to help them make their way forward. some are coming with their children, most are coming with a few small things they can carry. they have been under bombardment in irpin for days, and they are not safe now, even as they try to leave. the shelling has been continuing. explosion

--gunfire. some ukrainian forces running for cover. others getting civilians out of the line of fire. kyiv is just half an hour away. if ukraine loses this town, and it has already lost some of it, the russians will be on the road to the capital. and you will see from the map what the russian strategy is. the russian troops edging their way down both sides of the capital city, with a plan to encircle it. but i want to stress — and some of you have made this point — that the areas in red aren't necessarily under russian control. in fact, that ao—mile long convoy of russian military vehicles we have talked about before to the north of the city has made very little progress towards kyiv over the weekend.

the pentagon says that they have not seen seen any progress from the north or the east. and the ukrainian resistance is still strong. you will see from the wider map, the russian advance has been more successful to the south, with troops also coming across the land bridge from crimea. there are still some 300,000 people trapped in mariupol, which is surrounded and has been bombarded for several days now. it was minus four there last night. they have no power, no water, all supplies have been cut off. and attention is beginning to turn to the port city of odesa further to the west. just before i come to the panel, i want to show you pictures from new york which we are getting in. no, i am told of those pictures... that as just have a look at those pictures because this is the un in new york. they are currently having a meeting about the humanitarian situation in ukraine. the us envoy to the un says hospitals are running out of supplies, food is dwindling, and any civilian casualties are mounting. of

course, the russian ambassador to the un are presiding over that meeting. colonel, let me come to you first evolve. russia hasjust announced in the last few minutes that it will supply humanitarian corridors to establish a meditating corridors to establish a meditating corridor is tomorrow, but on the three occasions that they have made assurances —— establish meditating corridors, but on the occasions, they have been breached. tao corridors, but on the occasions, they have been breached. too often they have been breached. too often the russians — they have been breached. too often the russians say _ they have been breached. too often the russians say one _ they have been breached. too often the russians say one thing - they have been breached. too often the russians say one thing and - the russians say one thing and another thing. they have done this same template in assyria, in 2014, 2015. they actually agreed to a truce with ukrainian versus —— in syria. as a ukrainian forces attempted to withdraw, and that is like nothing the russians they can be taken at face value. the reasonable ukrainian demands for a

no—fly zone or a corridor, humanitarian corridor may ultimately be a necessity to secure the evacuation of the population. it would be easier, kernel, to establish a safe passage if ukraine had control of the skies. they want some of these make fighters that the european countries have —— mig fighters. they said they are working with poland on transfers to ukraine, but challenging questions remain. the white house as having ukrainian fighters depart from nato air bases would be problematic. you can see why that would be the case. find would be problematic. you can see why that would be the case. and in, that is what — why that would be the case. and in, that is what they _ why that would be the case. and in, that is what they believe, _ why that would be the case. and in, that is what they believe, but - why that would be the case. and in, that is what they believe, but in - that is what they believe, but in fact it is not that big a deal. i am not being dismissive, but it is the fact that we've continuously provided ukraine with armaments for the past 12 days. this isjust a

different kind of armament. i think the white house in particular is being too touchy about this. when this conversation first came up about seven or eight days ago, the us government was the one who bit the compassionate and froze at the idea of doing so —— put a stop to it. they did not like the idea of adding public and would prefer if it was done quietly and they were to risk averse. even a six or seven days later, this is now a serious topic. wejust days later, this is now a serious topic. we just need to catch up with the fact that there is a large war between the largest country in the world and the largest country in europe and there is no such thing as a no cost, no risk option. everything from here on out is going to be considerably worse, considering the humanitarian crisis explodes, we will have additional pressure to make something happen. so instead of getting it 100% right, assuming a tiny bit of risk, the risk is actually pretty small

because nato is not something the russians want to tom cole with. —— tangle. we need to get those aircraft are ukraine's as soon as possible so they can secure their own airspace. do not sell to tear, talked about the threat my clear, that we tend to over think there is a __ that we tend to over think there is a —— self deter. i have talked about the threat my clear. we need to get these at ukraine so they can clear their own skies. we these at ukraine so they can clear their own skies.— these at ukraine so they can clear their own skies. we watched a press conference today _ their own skies. we watched a press conference today with _ their own skies. we watched a press conference today with boris - their own skies. we watched a press conference today with boris johnson | conference today with boris johnson mark rutte, and at the canadian prime minister as well. you see they are between a rock and a hard place at the moment. the pictures coming out of ukraine are increasingly difficult to watch. but there are some red lines theyjust cannot cross. and energy is one of them. the other seems to be this supply of fighter jets the other seems to be this supply of fighterjets to the other seems to be this supply of fighter jets to the the other seems to be this supply of fighterjets to the ukrainian air force. fighter 'ets to the ukrainian air force. , ., , ,

fighter 'ets to the ukrainian air force. , ~ , , ., force. yes. i think this is one issue that — force. yes. i think this is one issue that you _ force. yes. i think this is one issue that you have _ force. yes. i think this is one issue that you have particular force. yes. i think this is one - issue that you have particular boris johnson _ issue that you have particular boris johnson trying to suggest they are offering _ johnson trying to suggest they are offering important leadership, they are playing a pivotal role, but actually— are playing a pivotal role, but actually are only willing to go so far. actually are only willing to go so fan it _ actually are only willing to go so far. it does mean that i think as the images _ far. it does mean that i think as the images from ukraine get worse, which _ the images from ukraine get worse, which we _ the images from ukraine get worse, which we expect them to do, sadly, i think— which we expect them to do, sadly, i think you _ which we expect them to do, sadly, i think you could start to see the west_ think you could start to see the west look— think you could start to see the west look rather impotent to a degree — west look rather impotent to a degree in— west look rather impotent to a degree in terms of what they can really— degree in terms of what they can really do — degree in terms of what they can really do in this tragic situation. and that — really do in this tragic situation. and that will get worse, colonel benjamin, and some of these bigger cities become encircled —— kernel vindman. i'm thinking, of odesa, thousands of people still in the city, it worships parked outside ukrainian waters. there is a fear they will be fighting on three different fronts.— they will be fighting on three different fronts. that is possible. we have been — different fronts. that is possible. we have been speculating - different fronts. that is possible. we have been speculating about| different fronts. that is possible. - we have been speculating about this unable amphibious assault for several days now. it has not

materialised —— naval and various assault. a lot of it is informed speculation that they are having some difficulties conducting and amphibious landing, which is not an easy thing to do, especially if it is contested and the ukrainian still have a potent artillery and counter attack capability. that could be a very, very difficult landing for the russians. there has also been some interesting commentary and that the naval infantry being reluctant to conduct this amphibious assault against this beautiful city of odesa, many who may be familiar with the city, a jewel in the soviet crown in ukraine. it may be a way to tie down forces, the assault, while the russian forces manoeuvre from the russian forces manoeuvre from the ground but even they are some serious headaches. their lines of

communication, they are called, the logistics are being further and further extended, their front line units are outrunning logistics. they are getting engaged in significant contact and they can't get the resupply, the ammunition, food, feel that they need to sustain those fights. we have seen a slowdown in the offensive operations around the south, the place they were making the biggest headway. the ukrainians continue to punish these unsecured lines and will do so as long as russia does not secure them and moves forward without securing them at their peril or other means. let me brin: at their peril or other means. let me bring in _ at their peril or other means. let me bring in the ukrainian mp lesia vasylenko, who isjoining us tonight. first of all i want to talk tonight. first of all i want to talk to about the corridors. how many people do you still think in the capital city at the moment and what would be their rope out of the city

if they were trying to get to the border? —— route out of the city? it is difficult to estimate the exact number— is difficult to estimate the exact number of— is difficult to estimate the exact number of people _ is difficult to estimate the exact number of people still- is difficult to estimate the exact number of people still in- is difficult to estimate the exact number of people still in the - is difficult to estimate the exactl number of people still in the city as a lot — number of people still in the city as a lot of— number of people still in the city as a lot of people _ number of people still in the city as a lot of people like _ number of people still in the city as a lot of people like myself- number of people still in the city. as a lot of people like myself have moved _ as a lot of people like myself have moved out — as a lot of people like myself have moved out to _ as a lot of people like myself have moved out to sort _ as a lot of people like myself have moved out to sort of— as a lot of people like myself have moved out to sort of stay- as a lot of people like myself have l moved out to sort of stay overnight in the _ moved out to sort of stay overnight in the vicinity — moved out to sort of stay overnight in the vicinity and _ moved out to sort of stay overnight in the vicinity and then _ moved out to sort of stay overnight in the vicinity and then move - moved out to sort of stay overnight in the vicinity and then move back. in the vicinity and then move back and during — in the vicinity and then move back and during the— in the vicinity and then move back and during the day. _ in the vicinity and then move back and during the day. the _ in the vicinity and then move back and during the day. the exact- in the vicinity and then move back- and during the day. the exact number is very. _ and during the day. the exact number is very. very— and during the day. the exact number is very, very difficult _ and during the day. the exact number is very, very difficult to _ and during the day. the exact number is very, very difficult to estimate, - is very, very difficult to estimate, i is very, very difficult to estimate, i don't _ is very, very difficult to estimate, idon't think— is very, very difficult to estimate, i don't think anyone _ is very, very difficult to estimate, i don't think anyone is _ is very, very difficult to estimate, i don't think anyone is able - is very, very difficult to estimate, i don't think anyone is able to - is very, very difficult to estimate, i don't think anyone is able to dol i don't think anyone is able to do that _ i don't think anyone is able to do that as — idon't think anyone is able to do that as to— i don't think anyone is able to do that. as to how _ i don't think anyone is able to do that. as to how to _ i don't think anyone is able to do that. as to how to leave - i don't think anyone is able to do that. as to how to leave the - i don't think anyone is able to do| that. as to how to leave the city, at the _ that. as to how to leave the city, at the moment, _ that. as to how to leave the city, at the moment, there _ that. as to how to leave the city, at the moment, there are - that. as to how to leave the city, at the moment, there are still. at the moment, there are still several— at the moment, there are still several from _ at the moment, there are still several from the _ at the moment, there are still several from the city, - at the moment, there are still several from the city, and - at the moment, there are still several from the city, and are| at the moment, there are still- several from the city, and are there discussions. — several from the city, and are there discussions, given— several from the city, and are there discussions, given that _ several from the city, and are there discussions, given that we - several from the city, and are there discussions, given that we have - several from the city, and are there | discussions, given that we have just shown— discussions, given that we have just shown a _ discussions, given that we have just shown a map — discussions, given that we have just shown a map of— discussions, given that we have just shown a map of the _ discussions, given that we have just shown a map of the russian - discussions, given that we have just shown a map of the russian kind . shown a map of the russian kind western— shown a map of the russian kind western side _ shown a map of the russian kind western side of— shown a map of the russian kind western side of the _ shown a map of the russian kind western side of the city. - shown a map of the russian kind western side of the city. find- shown a map of the russian kind western side of the city. and also that the eastern _ western side of the city. and also that the eastern side, _ western side of the city. and also that the eastern side, other - that the eastern side, other discussions let's understand president zelensky will want to stay in kyiv, but as there are discussion going on within the ukrainian

parliament about moving part of it somewhere safer? so that there is actually a functioning government evenif actually a functioning government even if at the capital is encircled? so the government... right now is actually— so the government... right now is actually in — so the government... right now is actually in a — so the government... right now is actually in a safe _ so the government... right now is actually in a safe place. - so the government... right now is actually in a safe place. and - is actually in a safe place. and actuaiiv — is actually in a safe place. and actually the _ is actually in a safe place. and actually the reason _ is actually in a safe place. and actually the reason it - is actually in a safe place. and actually the reason it is- is actually in a safe place. and actually the reason it is so- is actually in a safe place. and actually the reason it is so is. actually the reason it is so is because _ actually the reason it is so is because it _ actually the reason it is so is because it says _ actually the reason it is so is because it says in— actually the reason it is so is because it says in the - actually the reason it is so is because it says in the rules. actually the reason it is so is. because it says in the rules of actually the reason it is so is- because it says in the rules of the parliament — because it says in the rules of the parliament that— because it says in the rules of the parliament that the _ because it says in the rules of the parliament that the legitimate - parliament that the legitimate decisions _ parliament that the legitimate decisions are _ parliament that the legitimate decisions are only _ parliament that the legitimate decisions are only those - parliament that the legitimate decisions are only those that i parliament that the legitimate . decisions are only those that are taken _ decisions are only those that are taken in — decisions are only those that are taken in the _ decisions are only those that are taken in the parliament - decisions are only those that are | taken in the parliament building, decisions are only those that are i taken in the parliament building, so for us _ taken in the parliament building, so for us to— taken in the parliament building, so for us to be — taken in the parliament building, so for us to be able _ taken in the parliament building, so for us to be able to _ taken in the parliament building, so for us to be able to sit _ taken in the parliament building, so for us to be able to sit and - taken in the parliament building, so for us to be able to sit and make . for us to be able to sit and make decisions — for us to be able to sit and make decisions anywhere _ for us to be able to sit and make decisions anywhere else, - for us to be able to sit and make decisions anywhere else, we - for us to be able to sit and make . decisions anywhere else, we would actually— decisions anywhere else, we would actually need — decisions anywhere else, we would actually need to _ decisions anywhere else, we would actually need to amend _ decisions anywhere else, we would actually need to amend the - decisions anywhere else, we would actually need to amend the rules . decisions anywhere else, we would| actually need to amend the rules of the parliament, _ actually need to amend the rules of the parliament, and— actually need to amend the rules of the parliament, and for— actually need to amend the rules of the parliament, and for that, - actually need to amend the rules of the parliament, and for that, we i the parliament, and for that, we would _ the parliament, and for that, we would have — the parliament, and for that, we would have to _ the parliament, and for that, we would have to meet _ the parliament, and for that, we would have to meet one - the parliament, and for that, we would have to meet one more i the parliament, and for that, we i would have to meet one more time the parliament, and for that, we - would have to meet one more time in the building. — would have to meet one more time in the building. in— would have to meet one more time in the building, in the _ would have to meet one more time in the building, in the central— the building, in the central building _ the building, in the central building of— the building, in the central building of the _ the building, in the centralj building of the parliament. the building, in the central- building of the parliament. so, the building, in the central building of the parliament. so, 'ust to be clear on �* building of the parliament. so, 'ust to be clear on that, iffi building of the parliament. so, 'ust to be clear on that, if key �* building of the parliament. so, just to be clear on that, if key evolves, | to be clear on that, if key evolves, does that mean the government.

essentially, yes. and this is why putin— essentially, yes. and this is why putin has— essentially, yes. and this is why putin has such _ essentially, yes. and this is why putin has such a _ essentially, yes. and this is why putin has such a goal— essentially, yes. and this is why putin has such a goal to- essentially, yes. and this is why putin has such a goal to reach. essentially, yes. and this is why. putin has such a goal to reach kyiv and announce _ putin has such a goal to reach kyiv and announce that _ putin has such a goal to reach kyiv and announce that the _ putin has such a goal to reach kyiv. and announce that the government, the president. — and announce that the government, the president, the _ and announce that the government, the president, the parliament- and announce that the government, the president, the parliament havel the president, the parliament have all capitulated _ the president, the parliament have all capitulated. and _ the president, the parliament have all capitulated. and to _ the president, the parliament have all capitulated. and to install- the president, the parliament have all capitulated. and to install his i all capitulated. and to install his own puppet _ all capitulated. and to install his own puppet government. - all capitulated. and to install his own puppet government. but. all capitulated. and to install his own puppet government. but of| own puppet government. but of course, _ own puppet government. but of course, we're — own puppet government. but of course, we're not _ own puppet government. but of course, we're not going - own puppet government. but of course, we're not going to - own puppet government. but of course, we're not going to let . own puppet government. but of. course, we're not going to let that happen _ course, we're not going to let that ha en, ., ., course, we're not going to let that ha en. ., ., ., course, we're not going to let that hauen. ., ., ., , happen. colonelvindman has 'ust beentauang�* happen. colonelvindman has 'ust been talking about i happen. colonelvindman has 'ust been talking about howfi happen. colonelvindman has 'ust been talking about how the h happen. colonelvindman hasjust i been talking about how the russians have been having difficulties resupplying the lines. we were told that the supplies to the ukrainian military is akin to a berlin airlift, several thousand anti—stinger aircraft coming, and are using evidence it is getting to the trips at the front? clearly it is difficult getting across the border, but does the very fact ukrainian military still controls at the air, does it suggest it is having an effect? it the air, does it suggest it is having an effect? it definitely is havin: an having an effect? it definitely is having an effect _ having an effect? it definitely is having an effect and _

having an effect? it definitely is having an effect and the - having an effect? it definitely is| having an effect and the military having an effect? it definitely is i having an effect and the military is forever— having an effect and the military is forever grateful _ having an effect and the military is forever grateful for _ having an effect and the military is forever grateful for all _ having an effect and the military is forever grateful for all the - forever grateful for all the singers _ forever grateful for all the singers. and _ forever grateful for all the singers. and for— forever grateful for all the singers. and for all- forever grateful for all the singers. and for all the i forever grateful for all the i singers. and for all the other anti-tank— singers. and for all the other anti—tank and _ singers. and for all the other anti—tank and anti—missile i singers. and for all the other- anti—tank and anti—missile weapons -- the _ anti—tank and anti—missile weapons -- the stingers _ anti—tank and anti—missile weapons —— the stingers. some _ anti—tank and anti—missile weapons —— the stingers. some of— anti—tank and anti—missile weapons —— the stingers. some of them, - anti—tank and anti—missile weapons —— the stingers. some of them, asl anti—tank and anti—missile weapons i —— the stingers. some of them, as we speak, _ —— the stingers. some of them, as we speak, and _ —— the stingers. some of them, as we speak, and that — —— the stingers. some of them, as we speak, and that this _ —— the stingers. some of them, as we speak, and that this will— —— the stingers. some of them, as we speak, and that this will continue - speak, and that this will continue to be _ speak, and that this will continue to be the — speak, and that this will continue to be the case _ speak, and that this will continue to be the case and _ speak, and that this will continue to be the case and as _ speak, and that this will continue to be the case and as long - speak, and that this will continue to be the case and as long as - speak, and that this will continuel to be the case and as long as they weapons — to be the case and as long as they weapons are — to be the case and as long as they weapons are coming, _ to be the case and as long as they weapons are coming, ukraine - to be the case and as long as they weapons are coming, ukraine will| to be the case and as long as they. weapons are coming, ukraine will be able to— weapons are coming, ukraine will be able to be _ weapons are coming, ukraine will be able to be standing _ weapons are coming, ukraine will be able to be standing and _ weapons are coming, ukraine will be able to be standing and even- weapons are coming, ukraine will be able to be standing and even able i weapons are coming, ukraine will be able to be standing and even able to| able to be standing and even able to cope with _ able to be standing and even able to cope with this — able to be standing and even able to cope with this massive _ able to be standing and even able to cope with this massive attack - able to be standing and even able to cope with this massive attack and i able to be standing and even able to cope with this massive attack and at| cope with this massive attack and at this massive — cope with this massive attack and at this massive event _ cope with this massive attack and at this massive event that _ cope with this massive attack and at this massive event that is— cope with this massive attack and at| this massive event that is happening here more _ this massive event that is happening here more or— this massive event that is happening here more or less— this massive event that is happening here more or less on— this massive event that is happening here more or less on your— this massive event that is happening here more or less on your own. - this massive event that is happening here more or less on your own. canl this massive event that is happeningj here more or less on your own. can i talk to you — here more or less on your own. can i talk to you that _ here more or less on your own. can i talk to you that your _ here more or less on your own. talk to you that your personal situation? i see on television a lot and i get the impression that you feel a responsibility to get the message out to the west about what is happening in the capital city, but i also follow you on twitter and i know you have small children. one of them very young. what sort of emotional strain is it putting a you personally? the emotional strain is it putting a you personally?— personally? the fact that i have a mission which _

personally? the fact that i have a mission which is _ personally? the fact that i have a mission which is akin _ personally? the fact that i have a mission which is akin to - personally? the fact that i have a mission which is akin to the - personally? the fact that i have a i mission which is akin to the mission that our— mission which is akin to the mission that our soldiers— mission which is akin to the mission that our soldiers are _ mission which is akin to the mission that our soldiers are carrying - mission which is akin to the mission that our soldiers are carrying out i that our soldiers are carrying out any front — that our soldiers are carrying out any front line. _ that our soldiers are carrying out any front line, that _ that our soldiers are carrying out any front line, that actually- that our soldiers are carrying outl any front line, that actually keeps me going — any front line, that actually keeps me going and _ any front line, that actually keeps me going and gives— any front line, that actually keeps me going and gives me _ any front line, that actually keeps me going and gives me a - any front line, that actually keepsl me going and gives me a purpose, any front line, that actually keeps - me going and gives me a purpose, so as our— me going and gives me a purpose, so as our soldiers — me going and gives me a purpose, so as our soldiers are _ me going and gives me a purpose, so as our soldiers are fighting _ me going and gives me a purpose, so as our soldiers are fighting at - me going and gives me a purpose, so as our soldiers are fighting at the - as our soldiers are fighting at the lines _ as our soldiers are fighting at the lines of— as our soldiers are fighting at the lines of combat _ as our soldiers are fighting at the lines of combat and _ as our soldiers are fighting at the lines of combat and being - as our soldiers are fighting at the lines of combat and being underl lines of combat and being under fire, _ lines of combat and being under fire, i_ lines of combat and being under fire, iam— lines of combat and being under fire, i am fighting _ lines of combat and being under fire, i am fighting on _ lines of combat and being under fire, i am fighting on the - fire, i am fighting on the international— fire, i am fighting on the international diplomaticl fire, i am fighting on the - international diplomatic front and really— international diplomatic front and really pushing _ international diplomatic front and really pushing for— international diplomatic front and really pushing for the _ international diplomatic front and i really pushing for the international support— really pushing for the international support for— really pushing for the international support for ukraine. _ really pushing for the international support for ukraine. this - really pushing for the international support for ukraine. this is - really pushing for the international support for ukraine. this is the - support for ukraine. this is the reason — support for ukraine. this is the reason why— support for ukraine. this is the reason why you _ support for ukraine. this is the reason why you see _ support for ukraine. this is the reason why you see me - support for ukraine. this is the reason why you see me on - support for ukraine. this is the reason why you see me on tv i support for ukraine. this is the i reason why you see me on tv so support for ukraine. this is the - reason why you see me on tv so much, the reason _ reason why you see me on tv so much, the reason why— reason why you see me on tv so much, the reason why i— reason why you see me on tv so much, the reason why i have _ reason why you see me on tv so much, the reason why i have so _ reason why you see me on tv so much, the reason why i have so many- the reason why i have so many contacts — the reason why i have so many contacts with _ the reason why i have so many contacts with foreign _ the reason why i have so many contacts with foreign members the reason why i have so many. contacts with foreign members of parliament. — contacts with foreign members of parliament, governments- contacts with foreign members of parliament, governments as - contacts with foreign members ofi parliament, governments as well, contacts with foreign members of- parliament, governments as well, so my main— parliament, governments as well, so my main weapon _ parliament, governments as well, so my main weapon is _ parliament, governments as well, so my main weapon is actually - parliament, governments as well, so my main weapon is actually the - parliament, governments as well, so my main weapon is actually the one i my main weapon is actually the one that i_ my main weapon is actually the one that i am _ my main weapon is actually the one that i am using _ my main weapon is actually the one that i am using right— my main weapon is actually the one that i am using right now, - my main weapon is actually the one that i am using right now, my- my main weapon is actually the one i that i am using right now, my phone, my connection — that i am using right now, my phone, my connection with _ that i am using right now, my phone, my connection with the _ that i am using right now, my phone, my connection with the outside - my connection with the outside world — my connection with the outside world. ., ., ., , . world. you do it with great effect. it aives world. you do it with great effect. it gives me _ world. you do it with great effect. it gives me an _ world. you do it with great effect. it gives me an opportunity - world. you do it with great effect. it gives me an opportunity to - world. you do it with great effect. | it gives me an opportunity to move forward _ it gives me an opportunity to move forward and — it gives me an opportunity to move forward and keep— it gives me an opportunity to move forward and keep working. - it gives me an opportunity to move forward and keep working. yes. i forward and keep working. yes. colonel vindman, _ forward and keep working. yes. colonelvindman, i— forward and keep working. yes. colonel vindman, ijust - forward and keep working. yes. colonel vindman, i just want i forward and keep working.“

colonel vindman, ijust want to forward and keep working._ colonel vindman, ijust want to play colonel vindman, i just want to play to you this recording that we just had a from the white house. we were talking about at the planes that are in poland, which the united states is trying to get to the ukrainian soldiers. just have a listen to what is being said about that effort. i think there is an important effort hit as i talk on where they take off from and where the land, right? there is an air base that is a nato airbase in poland. if you had a planes departing from there, that could be a challenging circumstance. what are the other option is? and where do they land? those are some of the logistical challenges. obviously, the department of defence can speak to this more intensively. but we are looking at all of those factors and we are certainly not preventing or blocking or discouraging poland, that is their sovereign country, they make their own decisions, but it is not as easy as just moving things around. yes. the

. uestion moving things around. yes. the question is _ moving things around. yes. the question is that _ moving things around. yes. the question is that what _ moving things around. yes. the question is that what they - moving things around. yes. the | question is that what they would moving things around. yes. the i question is that what they would do is fill in behind, send other fighters to poland and these mig—29s would be taken off to ukraine. i get the feeling this decision has to be made within the next few days because the russians are pounding the airfields in ukraine. and they have to have somewhere to land. absolutely. and frankly, i really want to support a nearby that administration because of our own domestic political situation and there is only one viable party in there is only one viable party in the united states at the moment, but at the same time, it is hard to not be critical about how much deliberation they are making on these things. but some pilots and planes, put ukrainian pilots in these mig—29s, etc coming from slovakia and bulgaria get them over to ukraine. the russians are not going to knock them out over a nato

air space once they're in kenyan territory. once they are in ukrainian territory, they are the ukrainian territory, they are the ukrainian military�*s business, feel them, arm them and put them into the fight. the deliberation on this is way too much. it is coming to fear, that's really what it comes down to. is a fear of getting involved and a conflagration.— is a fear of getting involved and a conflagration. from vladimir putin, and somehow _ conflagration. from vladimir putin, and somehow this _ conflagration. from vladimir putin, and somehow this is _ conflagration. from vladimir putin, and somehow this is going - conflagration. from vladimir putin, and somehow this is going to - conflagration. from vladimir putin, l and somehow this is going to expand into a broader conflict, it's not. we have nato countries providing combat unmanned vehicles and those are ready to come across. this is just a different platform. but are ready to come across. this is just a different platform.- just a different platform. but let me ut it just a different platform. but let me put it to _ just a different platform. but let me put it to lesia. _ just a different platform. but let me put it to lesia. let _ just a different platform. but let me put it to lesia. let me - just a different platform. but let me put it to lesia. let me put . just a different platform. but let me put it to lesia. let me put itj me put it to lesia. let me put it this way, there have been 600 russian missiles fired into ukraine so far. what difference with these fighters may? presumably, they would not be employed to shut down cruise missiles, with a?—

missiles, with a? cruise missiles aet shot missiles, with a? cruise missiles get shot down — missiles, with a? cruise missiles get shot down from _ missiles, with a? cruise missiles get shot down from the - missiles, with a? cruise missiles get shot down from the ground l missiles, with a? cruise missiles i get shot down from the ground but missiles, with a? cruise missiles - get shot down from the ground but we need at _ get shot down from the ground but we need at the _ get shot down from the ground but we need at the fighter— get shot down from the ground but we need at the fighterjets _ get shot down from the ground but we need at the fighterjets anyway - need at the fighterjets anyway because — need at the fighterjets anyway because russia _ need at the fighterjets anyway because russia is _ need at the fighterjets anyway because russia is hitting - need at the fighterjets anyway because russia is hitting us- need at the fighterjets anyway. because russia is hitting us with all that— because russia is hitting us with all that they _ because russia is hitting us with all that they have _ because russia is hitting us with all that they have and _ because russia is hitting us with all that they have and they - because russia is hitting us with all that they have and they are l all that they have and they are going — all that they have and they are going to — all that they have and they are going to continue _ all that they have and they are going to continue doing - all that they have and they are going to continue doing that i all that they have and they are i going to continue doing that until they run— going to continue doing that until they run out— going to continue doing that until they run out of— going to continue doing that until they run out of weapons. - going to continue doing that until they run out of weapons. so - going to continue doing that until they run out of weapons. so the i going to continue doing that until- they run out of weapons. so the idea would _ they run out of weapons. so the idea would be _ they run out of weapons. so the idea would be for— they run out of weapons. so the idea would be for these _ they run out of weapons. so the idea would be for these planes _ they run out of weapons. so the idea would be for these planes to - they run out of weapons. so the idea would be for these planes to hit thel would be for these planes to hit the convoy— would be for these planes to hit the convoy north — would be for these planes to hit the convoy north of _ would be for these planes to hit the convoy north of kyiv, _ would be for these planes to hit the convoy north of kyiv, that _ would be for these planes to hit the convoy north of kyiv, that sort of i convoy north of kyiv, that sort of thing? _ convoy north of kyiv, that sort of thing? the — convoy north of kyiv, that sort of thing? the convoy— convoy north of kyiv, that sort of thing? the convoy north - convoy north of kyiv, that sort of thing? the convoy north of i convoy north of kyiv, that sort of thing? the convoy north of kyiv. thing? the convoy north of kyiv cannot — thing? the convoy north of kyiv cannot be — thing? the convoy north of kyiv cannot be had _ thing? the convoy north of kyiv cannot be had at— thing? the convoy north of kyiv cannot be had at the _ thing? the convoy north of kyiv cannot be had at the moment l thing? the convoy north of kyiv- cannot be had at the moment because it is also— cannot be had at the moment because it is also located _ cannot be had at the moment because it is also located next _ cannot be had at the moment because it is also located next to _ cannot be had at the moment because it is also located next to suburbia, i it is also located next to suburbia, where _ it is also located next to suburbia, where some — it is also located next to suburbia, where some people _ it is also located next to suburbia, where some people live, - it is also located next to suburbia, where some people live, so- it is also located next to suburbia, where some people live, so oncel it is also located next to suburbia, i where some people live, so once it is hit. _ where some people live, so once it is hit. we _ where some people live, so once it is hit, we already— where some people live, so once it is hit, we already have _ where some people live, so once it is hit, we already have any - is hit, we already have any consequences _ is hit, we already have any consequences after- is hit, we already have any consequences after hitting | is hit, we already have any. consequences after hitting a is hit, we already have any - consequences after hitting a convoy next to _ consequences after hitting a convoy next to villages _ consequences after hitting a convoy next to villages on _ consequences after hitting a convoy next to villages on that _ consequences after hitting a convoy next to villages on that one - consequences after hitting a convoy| next to villages on that one highway and at _ next to villages on that one highway and at this— next to villages on that one highway and at this convoy _ next to villages on that one highway and at this convoy ran _ next to villages on that one highway and at this convoy ran away- next to villages on that one highway and at this convoy ran away and i next to villages on that one highway and at this convoy ran away and the| and at this convoy ran away and the villages, _ and at this convoy ran away and the villages, whole _ and at this convoy ran away and the villages, whole villages _ and at this convoy ran away and the villages, whole villages were - and at this convoy ran away and the villages, whole villages were taken| villages, whole villages were taken hostage _ villages, whole villages were taken hostage. just — villages, whole villages were taken hostage. just yesterday, _ villages, whole villages were taken hostage. just yesterday, membersj villages, whole villages were taken i hostage. just yesterday, members of my family. _ hostage. just yesterday, members of my family. the — hostage. just yesterday, members of my family, the godfather— hostage. just yesterday, members of my family, the godfather of - hostage. just yesterday, members of my family, the godfather of my- hostage. just yesterday, members of my family, the godfather of my babyl my family, the godfather of my baby .irl, my family, the godfather of my baby girl, just— my family, the godfather of my baby girl, just yesterday— my family, the godfather of my baby girl, just yesterday he _ my family, the godfather of my baby girl, just yesterday he managed i my family, the godfather of my baby girl, just yesterday he managed to l girl, just yesterday he managed to .et girl, just yesterday he managed to get out _ girl, just yesterday he managed to get out of— girl, just yesterday he managed to get out of one _ girl, just yesterday he managed to get out of one of— girl, just yesterday he managed to get out of one of those _ girl, just yesterday he managed to get out of one of those villages . get out of one of those villages with his — get out of one of those villages with his family— get out of one of those villages with his family where _ get out of one of those villages with his family where they - get out of one of those villages| with his family where they were sitting — with his family where they were sitting in— with his family where they were sitting in a _ with his family where they were sitting in a basement _ with his family where they were sitting in a basement for- with his family where they were sitting in a basement for seven| sitting in a basement for seven days, _ sitting in a basement for seven days, three _ sitting in a basement for seven days. three of— sitting in a basement for seven days, three of those _ sitting in a basement for seven days, three of those days- sitting in a basement for seven . days, three of those days without li-ht days, three of those days without tight and —

days, three of those days without light and electricity. _ days, three of those days without light and electricity. so _ days, three of those days without light and electricity. so in- days, three of those days without light and electricity. so in order. light and electricity. so in order to spare — light and electricity. so in order to spare civilians _ light and electricity. so in order to spare civilians are _ light and electricity. so in order to spare civilians are such - to spare civilians are such hardships, _ to spare civilians are such hardships, our— to spare civilians are such hardships, our army- to spare civilians are such hardships, our army is . to spare civilians are such hardships, our army is a i to spare civilians are such - hardships, our army is a thinking twice _ hardships, our army is a thinking twice before _ hardships, our army is a thinking twice before hitting _ hardships, our army is a thinking twice before hitting any- hardships, our army is a thinking twice before hitting any convoy. i hardships, our army is a thinking. twice before hitting any convoy. 0k, twice before hitting any convoy. ok. i want to twice before hitting any convoy. ok. i want to talk— twice before hitting any convoy. i want to talk about the refugees. the united nations says more than 1.7 million people have now left ukraine since the russian invasion began 12 days ago. more than a million of those people are now in poland. hungary and slovakia have each received over 100,000 refugees, and moldova, romania and also russia have seen more than 50,000 people cross their respective borders. but not many have yet arrived here in the uk, in fact the numbers by comparison are tiny. the home office says reports this weekend that the uk has granted only around 50 visas was inaccurate. the home secretary, priti patel, says they have received more than 1a,000 completed visa applications and are scrambling officials to eastern europe and france to assist. over the weekend, 150 refugees were reportedly turned away at the port of calais — a move the french authorities called "inhumane". our home editor mark easton has been speaking to some of them, including misha, a british citizen trying to bring his ukrainian wife

and their two children back home to essex. first he came here, and administrative building where he was told refugees might get advice. speaking at the weekend, the home secretary said she had surged a team, false officials here to calais and it was inaccurate to say there was support on the ground —— home office officials. there is no sign of a surge, just a telephone number. misha rang the number and was eventually told there was a refugee support personnel in cali in an empty port building. was this the promised home office help? they did not want us to film what is going on, but their sector peers, is the british surge, three officials, a

box of ready salted crisps, and some kit cats. only a handful of refugees have managed to find and reach this task. . , . have managed to find and reach this task. . , , ., task. clearly there is involving the whole time _ task. clearly there is involving the whole time and _ task. clearly there is involving the whole time and i _ task. clearly there is involving the whole time and i have _ task. clearly there is involving the whole time and i have said - task. clearly there is involving the whole time and i have said before| whole time and i have said before the uk will be as generous as we can possibly be. but we will not do is have a system where people can come into the uk without any checks or any controls at all. i do not think thatis any controls at all. i do not think that is the right approach. but what we will do is have a system that is very, very generous. you we will do is have a system that is very, very generous.— we will do is have a system that is very, very generous. you cannot find out how to — very, very generous. you cannot find out how to get _ very, very generous. you cannot find out how to get hibi _ very, very generous. you cannot find out how to get hibi is _ very, very generous. you cannot find out how to get hibi is a _ very, very generous. you cannot find out how to get hibi is a question - out how to get hibi is a question mark at the moment, i do not know. the home office confirmed what many feared at the moment, there is no, for centre in cali. they must stay here a week and get their visa not here, but in paris. i only have a messier a few moments —— lesia if you were moments. there

is another meditating kuroda been set up tomorrow, do you believe citizens can and get out question might —— humanitarian corridor. mane might -- humanitarian corridor. none whatsoever- — might -- humanitarian corridor. none whatsoever. there _ might -- humanitarian corridor. none whatsoever. there was _ might -- humanitarian corridor. none whatsoever. there was a _ might —— humanitarian corridor. none whatsoever. there was a green corridor — whatsoever. there was a green corridor setup _ whatsoever. there was a green corridor setup for _ whatsoever. there was a green corridor setup for women - whatsoever. there was a green corridor setup for women and i corridor setup for women and children— corridor setup for women and children to _ corridor setup for women and children to pass, _ corridor setup for women and children to pass, it _ corridor setup for women and children to pass, it turned - corridor setup for women and i children to pass, it turned blood red within— children to pass, it turned blood red within minutes. _ children to pass, it turned blood red within minutes. since - children to pass, it turned blood red within minutes. since it - children to pass, it turned blood red within minutes. since it was| children to pass, it turned blood . red within minutes. since it was set up. red within minutes. since it was set on because — red within minutes. since it was set op. because the _ red within minutes. since it was set up. because the russians— red within minutes. since it was set up. because the russians are - up. because the russians are shooting _ up. because the russians are shooting at— up. because the russians are shooting at the _ up. because the russians are shooting at the very - up. because the russians are shooting at the very women i up. because the russians are . shooting at the very women and children— shooting at the very women and children and _ shooting at the very women and children and unarmed _ shooting at the very women and children and unarmed men - shooting at the very women and children and unarmed men who| shooting at the very women and - children and unarmed men who were moving _ children and unarmed men who were moving through _ children and unarmed men who were moving through it _ children and unarmed men who were moving through it. a— children and unarmed men who were moving through it. a second - children and unarmed men who were moving through it. a second corridorj moving through it. a second corridor was set _ moving through it. a second corridor was setup _ moving through it. a second corridor was setup on — moving through it. a second corridor was set up on sunday. _ moving through it. a second corridor was set up on sunday. trial- moving through it. a second corridor was set up on sunday. trial two - moving through it. a second corridor was set up on sunday. trial two also| was set up on sunday. trial two also did not— was set up on sunday. trial two also did not work— was set up on sunday. trial two also did not work out, _ was set up on sunday. trial two also did not work out, also _ was set up on sunday. trial two also did not work out, also again - was set up on sunday. trial two also did not work out, also again at - was set up on sunday. trial two also did not work out, also again at the l did not work out, also again at the russiahs_ did not work out, also again at the russians suddenly— did not work out, also again at the russians suddenly started - did not work out, also again at the i russians suddenly started shooting at ukrainian — russians suddenly started shooting at ukrainian civilians _ russians suddenly started shooting at ukrainian civilians had _ russians suddenly started shooting at ukrainian civilians had nothing. at ukrainian civilians had nothing at ukrainian civilians had nothing at at _ at ukrainian civilians had nothing at at so— at ukrainian civilians had nothing at all. so agreeing _ at ukrainian civilians had nothing at all. so agreeing with - at ukrainian civilians had nothing at all. so agreeing with the - at all. so agreeing with the russiarrs— at all. so agreeing with the russians as _ at all. so agreeing with the russians as well— at all. so agreeing with the russians as well as - vladimir putin is absolutely pointless _ vladimir putin is absolutely pointless. they— vladimir putin is absolutely pointless. theyjust - vladimir putin is absolutely pointless. theyjust make i vladimir putin is absolutely— pointless. theyjust make agreements to break— pointless. theyjust make agreements to breakthem — pointless. theyjust make agreements to breakthem it— pointless. theyjust make agreements to break them. it is _ pointless. theyjust make agreements to break them. it is a _ pointless. theyjust make agreements to break them. it is a fun— pointless. theyjust make agreements to break them. it is a fun game - pointless. theyjust make agreements to break them. it is a fun game at- pointless. theyjust make agreements to break them. it is a fun game at a i to break them. it is a fun game at a play to break them. it is a fun game at a ptayover_ to break them. it is a fun game at a play over there _ to break them. it is a fun game at a play over there in _ to break them. it is a fun game at a play over there in russia, _ to break them. it is a fun game at a play over there in russia, but- to break them. it is a fun game at a play over there in russia, but it - to break them. it is a fun game at a play over there in russia, but it is l play over there in russia, but it is also a _ play over there in russia, but it is also a game — play over there in russia, but it is also a game which _ play over there in russia, but it is also a game which costs - play over there in russia, but it is also a game which costs human . play over there in russia, but it is - also a game which costs human lives, costs _ also a game which costs human lives, costs ukraihiah— also a game which costs human lives, costs ukrainian lives, _ also a game which costs human lives, costs ukrainian lives, children's - costs ukrainian lives, children's lives, _ costs ukrainian lives, children's lives, women's _ costs ukrainian lives, children's lives, women's lives. _ costs ukrainian lives, children's lives, women's lives. i- costs ukrainian lives, children's lives, women's lives. i do- costs ukrainian lives, children's lives, women's lives. i do not. costs ukrainian lives, children's i lives, women's lives. i do not what

is wrong _ lives, women's lives. i do not what is wrong with — lives, women's lives. i do not what is wrong with those _ lives, women's lives. i do not what is wrong with those people, - lives, women's lives. i do not what is wrong with those people, why. is wrong with those people, why they're — is wrong with those people, why they're doing _ is wrong with those people, why they're doing is, _ is wrong with those people, why they're doing is, —— _ is wrong with those people, why they're doing is, —— do- is wrong with those people, why they're doing is, —— do not - is wrong with those people, why they're doing is, —— do not know what _ they're doing is, —— do not know what is — they're doing is, —— do not know what is wrong — they're doing is, —— do not know what is wrong with _ they're doing is, —— do not know what is wrong with those - they're doing is, —— do not knowl what is wrong with those people. anyone _ what is wrong with those people. anyone who _ what is wrong with those people. anyone who has _ what is wrong with those people. anyone who has studied - what is wrong with those people. - anyone who has studied international law, this _ anyone who has studied international law, this pretty— anyone who has studied international law, this pretty much— anyone who has studied international law, this pretty much looks _ anyone who has studied international law, this pretty much looks like - law, this pretty much looks like genocide, — law, this pretty much looks like genocide, the _ law, this pretty much looks like genocide, the genocide - law, this pretty much looks like genocide, the genocide of- law, this pretty much looks like genocide, the genocide of the i genocide, the genocide of the ukrainian _ genocide, the genocide of the ukrainian nation, _ genocide, the genocide of the ukrainian nation, and - genocide, the genocide of the ukrainian nation, and i- genocide, the genocide of the ukrainian nation, and i think. genocide, the genocide of the . ukrainian nation, and i think the world _ ukrainian nation, and i think the world should _ ukrainian nation, and i think the world should do _ ukrainian nation, and i think the world should do more _ ukrainian nation, and i think the world should do more to- ukrainian nation, and i think the world should do more to stop i ukrainian nation, and i think the. world should do more to stop this happening. — world should do more to stop this happening. and _ world should do more to stop this happening, and stop— world should do more to stop this happening, and stop the - world should do more to stop this happening, and stop the defencei world should do more to stop this. happening, and stop the defence and security— happening, and stop the defence and security they — happening, and stop the defence and security they were _ happening, and stop the defence and security they were breaking - happening, and stop the defence and security they were breaking up - security they were breaking up before — security they were breaking up before our— security they were breaking up before our eyes. _ security they were breaking up before our eyes.— security they were breaking up before our eyes. katy, what do you think is going _ before our eyes. katy, what do you think is going on _ before our eyes. katy, what do you think is going on in _ before our eyes. katy, what do you think is going on in the _ before our eyes. katy, what do you think is going on in the home - before our eyes. katy, what do you | think is going on in the home office question mark because the assurances that the home secretary has given us have come to knock today? there that the home secretary has given us have come to knock today?— that the home secretary has given us have come to knock today? there is a lot of confusion _ have come to knock today? there is a lot of confusion and _ have come to knock today? there is a lot of confusion and what _ have come to knock today? there is a lot of confusion and what priti - lot of confusion and what priti patel— lot of confusion and what priti patel talked about on sunday in a newspaper, new schemes, widening the scheme _ newspaper, new schemes, widening the scheme for— newspaper, new schemes, widening the scheme for all of refugees. i think that came — scheme for all of refugees. i think that came as a surprise to some of the figures — that came as a surprise to some of the figures in government. i do not think— the figures in government. i do not think there — the figures in government. i do not think there is a particularjoined up think there is a particularjoined up approach right now and you can see that _ up approach right now and you can see that in — up approach right now and you can see that in what the prime ministers saying _ see that in what the prime ministers saying versus what priti patel are saying _ saying versus what priti patel are saying it — saying versus what priti patel are saying it is— saying versus what priti patel are saying. it isjust breeding confusion. i think there is a sense the uk _ confusion. i think there is a sense the uk government is going to have to go— the uk government is going to have to go further when it comes to the offer— to go further when it comes to the offer to— to go further when it comes to the offer to ukrainian spring. but in

terms _ offer to ukrainian spring. but in terms of— offer to ukrainian spring. but in terms of organisation, there are still some — terms of organisation, there are still some way to go, even if the best— still some way to go, even if the best intentions out there.- best intentions out there. yes, -len best intentions out there. yes, len of best intentions out there. yes, plenty of questions _ best intentions out there. yes, plenty of questions being - best intentions out there. is: plenty of questions being asked. lesia vasylenko, thank you for being with us. it stay with us, more to come. good evening. high pressure at this time of year can quiet the weather story down, but clear skies by day lead to cold and frosty nights. yes, it was minus seven celsius first thing this morning in glasgow with some sunshine, but there was also a hard frost. a little bit further south, we had early morning cloud in southeast england and that drifted its way steadily northwards across the midlands into northern england and it will continue to push its way north over the next few hours. this was the story over the course of the day it in actual fact, that cloud along with the freshening breeze across the southwest up to the irish sea and west facing coast will prevent those temperatures from falling too far through the night tonight. but we have the clearest of the skies perhaps through central and eastern areas north of the lowest temperatures are likely to be with the touch of frost here first thing in the morning.

but at least there will be some sunshine around, as well. as we go through the day, the winds will continue to strengthen and cloud will thicken because as we go to the morning and into the afternoon every summer and pushing into northern ireland and gradually into western fringes of scotland and parts of wales. the winds strengthening to gusts in excess of 45—50 miles an hour. so, the best of the sunshine further east, we may well see temperatures peaking at 11 degrees, but underneath the cloud, the wind and the rain feeling cool and disappointing. seven or eight celsius at the very best. that weather front will ease away as we close out tuesday and wednesday. but it is going to allow more fronts to push in off the atlantic. a spell of wet and windy weather set to continue through the middle parts of the week. so, the good news is a south—westerly flow will bring some milder air with it as those fronts start to push through. i suspect as we go through wednesday, yes, there's a spell of wetter and increasingly windy weather with gale force gusts of winds at times. the best of the brighter weather

perhaps on wednesday will be to the east of the pennines. here, we could see some sunshine clouding over across the midlands with that rain out in the northwest. with highs of 13 celsius. once we leave wednesday and we go into thursday, that front will bump into the high pressure over into the near continent and weaken off a touch. so a little bit of light patchy rain before a ridge of high pressure builds and behind. so, overall on thursday, not a bad day. dry, settled and sunny before wet and windy weather returns by friday.

hello, i'm christian fraser. you're watching context on bbc news. the united nations says the number of people who have fled ukraine has reached 1.7 million injust 11 days. residents in the town of irpin, just north of kyiv, are trying to get out under intense bombardment from russian artillery. well, this is a difficultjourney every step of the way, especially for older people trying to pick their way out across rubble and concrete, having to balance on bits of wood. people queue for hours to escape, but the proposed humanitarian corridors will take people to russia and its ally, belarus. the secretary general of opec says they are working to secure global supply of oil and gas, but the world can't rule

out a disruption caused by the russian federation. tonight with the context, katy balls, deputy political editor at the spectator, and retired lieutenant colonel alexander vindman who oversaw president trump's ukraine policy. welcome back. in the last hour the, secretary general of opec — that's the group of oil—producing countries — said the world is now facing a possible threat to supply from the russian federation, though the war in ukraine he admitted will be a global game changer in the transition to cleaner energy. certainly in western europe, there will be a renewed focus governing on alternative energy sources. so too in america, where the house of representatives could vote tomorrow to ban the import of russian oil. the bill would also give president biden the authority to increase tariffs on goods from russia and also belarus. currently, russia is the world's second top producer of crude oil. it supplies around a third of europe's oil needs. and together, the us and europe pay

russia upwards of $1 billion a day for oil and natural gas. the taxes and tariffs from those revenues accounted for 45% of russia's federal budget injanuary. president zelensky says that is blood money and europe needs to turn off the tap. a discussion the secretary of state, antony blinken said he'd been having with european allies this weekend. we are now in a very active discussions with our european partners about banning the import of russian oil to our countries while, of course, at the same time, maintaining a steady global supply of oil. but cutting off russian oil and gas would cripple the european economy. and today in london, the dutch prime minister, mark rutte, echoed a written statement that issued by the german chancellor, who said there was a very good reason why energy had been left off the sanctions list. the painful reality is that we are still very much dependent on russian gas and oil, and if he now would force european companies to quit doing business with russia, it would have enormous ramifications around europe, including ukraine, but alsoaround the world.

but also around the world. so, we have to dramatically reduce our dependency on gas and oil from russia — that will take time. washington is looking at countries that could ease the pressure, and there's a close neighbour sitting on a vast reserve. venezuela has more oil than any other country in the world — 303 billion barrels — equivalent to 18.2% of global oil reserves. the trump administration tried to topple mr maduro's government by sanctioning venezuelan oil exports. mr maduro responded by seeking economic and diplomatic help from russia, as well as iran and china. senior us officials travelled to caracas this weekend to meet with maduro's government. it's the highest—level visit in many years. well—connected republicans have been involved in the talks, including scott taylor, a former republican congressman from virginia. i spoke to him a little earlier. look, i think there's no question that there are geo— collect —— geopolitical opportunities out of

venezuela. but there is obviously, if the russian supply of oil in jeopardy, a lot of banks are touching it. a lot of people don't understand what the sanctions are, and there is a need for the world to have more supply on the market. ianthem have more supply on the market. when it comes to oil. — have more supply on the market. when it comes to oil, there _ have more supply on the market. when it comes to oil, there is _ have more supply on the market. when it comes to oil, there is some _ it comes to oil, there is some unpalatable decisions to be made. you can either deal with saudi arabia, who killed a journalist, or iran, orvenezuela, but the arabia, who killed a journalist, or iran, or venezuela, but the question is do you think maduro is prepared to re—engage? is do you think maduro is prepared to re-engage?_ is do you think maduro is prepared to re-engage? absolutely. i'm under no illusion that... _ to re-engage? absolutely. i'm under no illusion that... let _ to re-engage? absolutely. i'm under no illusion that... let me _ to re-engage? absolutely. i'm under no illusion that... let me preface - no illusion that... let me preface this by saying i think america should turn our attack on. we should be supplying europe. that being said, there is a geopolitical opportunity. i'm sure maduro wants

to engage. there's the potential for the us to put a wedge in between russian relationships in our own backyard, which is a geopolitical win for us. but venezuela oil is very similar to russia's, and they're sitting on a lot of oil. i think if they would cut a deal and re—engage with both the united states and the international community, i think there's a big opportunity there that could help with some of the— with some of the relief. are you sa in: with some of the relief. are you saying that _ with some of the relief. are you saying that because _ with some of the relief. are you saying that because the - with some of the relief. are you saying that because the russian economy is tanking and they don't have the money to throw around in latin america, there is an opportunity here for america to look at its own security? i opportunity here for america to look at its own security?— at its own security? i look at this from an american _ at its own security? i look at this from an american perspective. l at its own security? i look at this - from an american perspective. there is economic and geopolitical opportunity. venezuelans consider themselves american. they're part of themselves american. they're part of the western hemisphere. they're closer to russia then iran or china.

so i think there's an opportunity to re—engage with them, as well as restart their oil on the markets with some sanction relief to be able to do so. so, i know for a fact that i'm getting signals that there is interest to re—engage and come to the table. irate interest to re-engage and come to the table. ~ . interest to re-engage and come to the table. ~ , . ., the table. we 'ust heard from chancellor — the table. we just heard from chancellor scholz. _ the table. we just heard from chancellor scholz. it's - the table. we just heard from chancellor scholz. it's just - chancellor scholz. it's just economically not possible to turn off russian oil and gas. the economic consideration is very different to the one in the united states. would that fill some of the void? �* . states. would that fill some of the void? �* , ., , ., states. would that fill some of the void? �*, ., , ., . void? there's no question about it. auain, i void? there's no question about it. again. i am — void? there's no question about it. again, i am definitely _ void? there's no question about it. again, i am definitely for _ void? there's no question about it. again, i am definitely for opening i again, i am definitely for opening america and long distribution

agreements with europe. as opposed to other places in the world, but i will say there is political opposition in my own party to re—engage with maduro because they say we turn on our task, that should be enough, but it's pretty clear thatis be enough, but it's pretty clear that is not sufficient enough because we shouldn't just that is not sufficient enough because we shouldn'tjust be looking at america in a vacuum. we also have to look at the energy security for the world, and i think bringing venezuela back online, having some sort of deal that makes sense, etc, would help stabilise the energy crisis across the pond and the united states and throughout the world. . . ,., united states and throughout the world. . . , ., , world. there are also suggestions that america _ world. there are also suggestions that america might _ world. there are also suggestions that america might go _ world. there are also suggestions that america might go it - world. there are also suggestions that america might go it alone. i world. there are also suggestions i that america might go it alone. they might unilaterally make a decision. do you think that's what the president should do?-

do you think that's what the president should do? well, there's a de facto embargo _ president should do? well, there's a de facto embargo right _ president should do? well, there's a de facto embargo right now - president should do? well, there's a de facto embargo right now because| de facto embargo right now because no one really wants to touch russian oil. they won't understand about the sanctions or what the banks would do, and banks preach money, it's a big problem for you. that's why you see why prices are so high. if america does embargo russian oil, you will see prices go a lot higher. it makes sense for our ministration to make sure they have other supply into the market if that's the decision they take. flan into the market if that's the decision they take.- into the market if that's the decision they take. can i get your republican _ decision they take. can i get your republican perspective _ decision they take. can i get your republican perspective on - decision they take. can i get your republican perspective on a - decision they take. can i get your i republican perspective on a couple security issues? you're a former navy seal. 17,000 javelin anti—tank missiles going into ukraine, is almost resembling a berlin airlift. do you think that gives the ukrainians a fighting chance? i’m ukrainians a fighting chance? i'm aualified ukrainians a fighting chance? i“n qualified myself. these missiles are nojoke. aeroplanes only

qualified myself. these missiles are no joke. aeroplanes only have a limited chance. you can only shoot flares. i think it absolutely does. i think for another conversation, there's a debate on how far the west should support ukraine's ascension into nato. however, putin has shattered world order and all those arguments are null and void at this moment. i do think while the ukrainians, it's going to be tough, backing them with things like stingers gives them a fighting chance. ., , , . . ., chance. congressman, gratefulfor our chance. congressman, gratefulfor your time- — chance. congressman, gratefulfor your time. thank _ chance. congressman, gratefulfor your time. thank you _ chance. congressman, gratefulfor your time. thank you very - chance. congressman, gratefulfor your time. thank you very much. l your time. thank you very much. pleasure is mine. scott taylor, former navy seal. katie bowles, this is extraordinary. putin, very bad, maduro, not quite as bad —— katie —— carving up the.

so forth. i think we see a little bit of that, and i think when it comes to who's going to help russia, i think what's being really interesting is the uk and western countries like india... would like that, but finding some of the relationships they've been putting time into, building up ties, are actually not bending in the way they would like at a time of crisis. sol think it's interesting see and not just... think it's interesting see and not 'ust. .. think it's interesting see and not 'ust... ., ., _ , just... the solution obviously is, as boris johnson _ just... the solution obviously is, as boris johnson said, _ just... the solution obviously is, as boris johnson said, we - just... the solution obviously is, as boris johnson said, we stop i as borisjohnson said, we stop transitioning —— and start transitioning —— and start transitioning to new forms of energy, by the americans transitioning to new forms of energy. by the americans are transitioning to new forms of energy, by the americans are talking about opening the taps. are there discussions on going within

westminster about the north sea? are their reserves that we can tap into that aren't being used at the moment? i that aren't being used at the moment?— that aren't being used at the moment? ~ �* . . , moment? i think it's a very life toic. i moment? i think it's a very life topic. ithink— moment? i think it's a very life topic. i think the _ moment? i think it's a very life topic. i think the chancellor - moment? i think it's a very life | topic. i think the chancellor was talking about this before putin launched a full—scale invasion. i think because there has been a cost of living well before this, i think you heard it today from the prime minister to a degree, we might have a plan coming up in the coming days on energy. i think these recent events have focused the prime minister's mind, while he doesn't want to give up on net zero, you definitely get the sense, speaking to mentor visitors, that there is perhaps a grey area in terms of targets you can push a —— speaking to ministers. but also hoping to hit

your longhorn targets —— long—term targets. what is the time crane if you are going to... the does take a long of time. i don't think anything will really fix that in terms of seeing results in the coming weeks or even months. so, is it something that we will live with for years? i think there's a little bit... understood. borisjohnson's understood. boris johnson's six—point plan understood. borisjohnson's six—point plan said what must not happen is that we somehow normalise what's going on in ukraine in the return to russia in the year to come for our oil and gas. that clearly won't happen. there must be people in russia, and you know the country,

who are scratching their head here because you heard mark rutte saying we can never trust russia again. when you look at the receipts from taxes and tariffs on oils and gas exports, it was 45% of the treasury�*s receipts injanuary. that is an awful lot of money that the russians might suddenly be be losing? russians might suddenly be be losin: ? . �* . russians might suddenly be be losin: ? . v . russians might suddenly be be losina? . �*, . . . russians might suddenly be be losin? . �*, . . . ., , losing? that's an amazing oversight on the art losing? that's an amazing oversight on the part of— losing? that's an amazing oversight on the part of vladimir— losing? that's an amazing oversight on the part of vladimir putin - losing? that's an amazing oversight on the part of vladimir putin in - on the part of vladimir putin in conducting this operation, believing there _ conducting this operation, believing there would be no costs. he's actuatty— there would be no costs. he's actually reformatted the world in a way, and _ actually reformatted the world in a way, and it's not in the way that you framed _ way, and it's not in the way that you framed it with regard... i think it's more _ you framed it with regard... i think it's more fundamental. the ideology of self—determination, western and things— of self—determination, western and things of— of self—determination, western and things of that nature, countries have _ things of that nature, countries have to — things of that nature, countries have to decide if they want to be

part of— have to decide if they want to be part of the — have to decide if they want to be part of the order or do they want countries — part of the order or do they want countries like russia being able to use their— countries like russia being able to use their military force to achieve a political— use their military force to achieve a political outcome. even maduro, there's— a political outcome. even maduro, there's an — a political outcome. even maduro, there's an opportunity to reach out to him _ there's an opportunity to reach out to him "do — there's an opportunity to reach out to him. "do you want to be part of this block?" — to him. "do you want to be part of this block?" we are not happy with how you _ this block?" we are not happy with how you performed, but there's an opportunity for you to join and move back towards kind of a society where people _ back towards kind of a society where people do _ back towards kind of a society where people do enjoy some rights. do you want to— people do enjoy some rights. do you want to be _ people do enjoy some rights. do you want to be part of russia's block, where they— want to be part of russia's block, where they are completely isolated? this is— where they are completely isolated? this is fascinating. it might be one of the _ this is fascinating. it might be one of the more — this is fascinating. it might be one of the more enduring outcomes of what _ of the more enduring outcomes of what happened, because it's going to have a _ what happened, because it's going to have a chilling effect on authoritarian leaders that believe there _ authoritarian leaders that believe there are — authoritarian leaders that believe there are no consequences for their actions _ there are no consequences for their actions. whether it's the government, i know our government is in trait, _ government, i know our government is in trail, behind the corporations that we — in trail, behind the corporations that we will not be associated with.

there _ that we will not be associated with. there is _ that we will not be associated with. there is another opportunity to bring _ there is another opportunity to bring maduro over to the other side. that's— bring maduro over to the other side. that's going — bring maduro over to the other side. that's going to be... we will want him to— that's going to be... we will want him to participate in the system if you want— him to participate in the system if you want to enjoy the benefits of trading _ you want to enjoy the benefits of trading with the us and the west, but that's— trading with the us and the west, but that's a kind of opportunity to look but that's a kind of opportunity to took for — but that's a kind of opportunity to look for. we need to give them the same _ look for. we need to give them the same kind — look for. we need to give them the same kind of opportunities. do they want to— same kind of opportunities. do they want to be — same kind of opportunities. do they want to be part of the... 0r same kind of opportunities. do they want to be part of the... or do they want— want to be part of the... or do they want to— want to be part of the... or do they want to be— want to be part of the... or do they want to be part of the... or do they want to be part of the international system _ want to be part of the international system. just 12 days after russia's attack _ system. just 12 days after russia's attack. ., ., , system. just 12 days after russia's attack. ., ., i, attack. from maduromy perspective i would say it's — attack. from maduromy perspective i would say it's about _ would say it's about self—preservation. you need to find money somewhere else. let me show you some live pictures from the house of commons. the house is starting to fill up nicely. the bill will make it easier for the uk to track down

and sanction those russian oligarchs who invested here in london, and often through spurious shell companies. the uk has been criticised, for not moving quickly enough, the mail on sunday reported this weekend that there are around 100 oligarchs under sanctions in europe who are not on a list here in the uk. i'mjoined by neil shearing, chief economist from capital economics. lovely to have you with us. what difference will this will make to what the government wants to do? hello. yes, it's auoin government wants to do? hello. yes, it's going to widen _ government wants to do? hello. yes, it's going to widen the _ government wants to do? hello. yes, it's going to widen the government's. it's going to widen the government's powers in terms of being able to tackle, to identify illicit well orders and so on —— wealth. but really, i think the focus on oligarchs and assets held in the uk,

actually, it's dwarfed by the actions the government has taken in conjunction with other governments in the us and europe in particular. the freezing of russia's reserves is perhaps the biggest.— perhaps the biggest. you're saying the oligarchs _ perhaps the biggest. you're saying the oligarchs get _ perhaps the biggest. you're saying the oligarchs get all— perhaps the biggest. you're saying the oligarchs get all the _ perhaps the biggest. you're saying| the oligarchs get all the headlines, but in reality, the deep pain we're inflicting on the kremlin probably comes with the co—ordinate of acts and on the financial sector. i comes with the co-ordinate of acts and on the financial sector.- and on the financial sector. i think from a macroeconomic _ and on the financial sector. i think i from a macroeconomic perspective, and on the financial sector. i think - from a macroeconomic perspective, if you think about what is causing the pain, is coming from the sanctions that are been placed on the central bank to a lesser extent, the financial system. there is a political question about whether if you tighten the screws on the oligarchs, does that start to drain support from putin? and perhaps more than inflicting pain on the economy. if the question is what is causing maximum amount of pain? it's a fact that the central bank has less

ability now to defend the rouble. that will push up inflation. it's going to squeeze incomes in russia. you think we have a problem here, it's going to 20% in russia pretty soon. that's what will cause the pain for millions of russians. if pain for millions of russians. if you were to be able to cut oil and gas and put hydrocarbons on the sanctions, what difference would that make?— sanctions, what difference would that make? , , . that make? these things cut both wa s. it that make? these things cut both ways- it would — that make? these things cut both ways. it would increase _ that make? these things cut both ways. it would increase the - that make? these things cut both ways. it would increase the cost i that make? these things cut both| ways. it would increase the cost to the uk and europe and the us as well because it would push up the price, i'm sure, of oil and gas. meet with the higher inflation here and the biggest squeeze on real incomes. but by an order of magnitude, oil and gas accounts for about russia's exports. by the time you add in all the associated services, it's about

20% of the economy, so is a huge part of the economy that's missing from this at the moment, and that's on for a reason because western economies and governments are trying to isolate themselves from the worst effects of the sanctions. then you would impose some costs on europe and the us for sure, but the order would be much greaterfor and the us for sure, but the order would be much greater for russia. katy balls, can you explain to me the nervousness in downing street, and why notjust react firts and see what the oligarchs do? clearly, they're not coming back. i what the oligarchs do? clearly, they're not coming back. i think there has been _ they're not coming back. i think there has been some _ they're not coming back. i think there has been some in - they're not coming back. i think- there has been some in government saying _ there has been some in government saying do— there has been some in government saying do now, worry later. i think the fact— saying do now, worry later. i think the fact that — saying do now, worry later. i think the fact that you saw a tory mp using _ the fact that you saw a tory mp using parliamentary play bridge to name _ using parliamentary play bridge to name some of the lawyers ——

privilege. _ name some of the lawyers —— privilege, and i think that you're seeing _ privilege, and i think that you're seeing through what's being looked at tonight in the comments. this effort _ at tonight in the comments. this effort where i think it's been a source — effort where i think it's been a source of— effort where i think it's been a source of embarrassment that you have boris— source of embarrassment that you have borisjohnson source of embarrassment that you have boris johnson talking about source of embarrassment that you have borisjohnson talking about his six-point— have borisjohnson talking about his six—point plan, suggesting he's the one bringing everyone together. they're — one bringing everyone together. they're falling behind both america and the _ they're falling behind both america and the eu on sanctions. i think this to — and the eu on sanctions. i think this to try— and the eu on sanctions. i think this to try and repair that. even if you get— this to try and repair that. even if you get through things at breakneck speed. _ you get through things at breakneck speed, think of the brexit era where you had _ speed, think of the brexit era where you had emergency legislation pushing — you had emergency legislation pushing through, it still won't be until— pushing through, it still won't be until next— pushing through, it still won't be until next week that we really start to see _ until next week that we really start to see any— until next week that we really start to see any results. i think there is an appetite — to see any results. i think there is an appetite partly because of the difficulty in terms of the reaction. there _ difficulty in terms of the reaction. there has— difficulty in terms of the reaction. there has been some reporting that once this bill goes through,

everyone who's on a european list will be on the uk list. is that how you understand it? i will be on the uk list. is that how you understand it?— will be on the uk list. is that how you understand it? i think there is an appetite _ you understand it? i think there is an appetite to _ you understand it? i think there is an appetite to expand. _ you understand it? i think there is an appetite to expand. also, - you understand it? i think there is an appetite to expand. also, the i an appetite to expand. also, the fact that — an appetite to expand. also, the fact that they all of a sudden have the same — fact that they all of a sudden have the same powers as the eu, therefore all those _ the same powers as the eu, therefore all those comparisons will go. i think— all those comparisons will go. i think you're going to start seeing that happen, but alsojust think you're going to start seeing that happen, but also just faster and more — that happen, but also just faster and more names coming out. and it is and more names coming out. and it is a weak— and more names coming out. and it is a weak spot— and more names coming out. and it is a weak spot for the tory party because — a weak spot for the tory party because they are very conscious of the fact— because they are very conscious of the fact that there are so many stories— the fact that there are so many stories of— the fact that there are so many stories of russian links and money that there — stories of russian links and money that there is an appetite to show their— that there is an appetite to show their mps— that there is an appetite to show their mps a. that there is an appetite to show their mps a-_ that there is an appetite to show their mps a. neal, a lot of people have made _ their mps a. neal, a lot of people have made the _ their mps a. neal, a lot of people have made the point _ their mps a. neal, a lot of people have made the point that - their mps a. neal, a lot of people have made the point that with - their mps a. neal, a lot of people j have made the point that with the government dragging its meals, they invest their assets in the city —— dragging its heels. will some of the sanctions in place to catch some of

that money? it’s sanctions in place to catch some of that money?— sanctions in place to catch some of thatmone? , that money? it's possible they might catch some of _ that money? it's possible they might catch some of that _ that money? it's possible they might catch some of that money. _ that money? it's possible they might catch some of that money. frankly, i think, untilthis catch some of that money. frankly, i think, until this point, several oligarchs tried to get out. if it's oligarchs tried to get out. if its property, it's not the most liquid asset. it's not the easiest to divest quickly. it is even more difficult to divest in a fair market price. some of these assets are not easy to get rid of quickly, even if you're not on the sanctions list yet. but i think it's certainly the case that that is the way things are going. i expect to see more of that over the coming months, and if you get an exodus of asset holders and investors, the price goes down. assets go down too. it’s investors, the price goes down. assets go down too.— assets go down too. it's been really aood assets go down too. it's been really good having — assets go down too. it's been really good having you _ assets go down too. it's been really

good having you on _ assets go down too. it's been really good having you on the _ assets go down too. it's been really| good having you on the programme. thank you very much indeed for your company, neil. colonel vindman, i wa nt to want to show you some pictures we've had in the last few minutes. in the last hour ukrainian president volodymyr zelensky has posted another video. he speaks ukrainian i'm hoping you can tell us what he was saying. at least he's wanting to show us he's there in the capital. i least he's wanting to show us he's there in the capital.— there in the capital. i didn't hear any audio. _ there in the capital. i didn't hear any audio. but — there in the capital. i didn't hear any audio, but he's _ there in the capital. i didn't hear any audio, but he's clearly - there in the capital. i didn't hear any audio, but he's clearly from | there in the capital. i didn't hear. any audio, but he's clearly from the administration _ any audio, but he's clearly from the administration building. _ any audio, but he's clearly from the administration building. he's- any audio, but he's clearly from the administration building. he's still. administration building. he's still working _ administration building. he's still working hard. _ administration building. he's still working hard, and _ administration building. he's still working hard, and that's - administration building. he's still working hard, and that's what - administration building. he's still. working hard, and that's what we... this will— working hard, and that's what we... this will be — working hard, and that's what we... this will be decided _ working hard, and that's what we... this will be decided on— working hard, and that's what we... this will be decided on the - working hard, and that's what we... this will be decided on the ground i this will be decided on the ground in ukraine — this will be decided on the ground in ukraine i— know... it's actually far from it. a

berlin _ know... it's actually far from it. a berlin airlift— know... it's actually far from it. a berlin airlift was _ know... it's actually far from it. a berlin airlift was on _ know... it's actually far from it. a berlin airlift was on a _ know... it's actually far from it. a berlin airlift was on a massive - berlin airlift was on a massive scate — berlin airlift was on a massive scale and _ berlin airlift was on a massive scale and provided... - berlin airlift was on a massive scale and provided... we - berlin airlift was on a massive scale and provided. . .- berlin airlift was on a massive scale and provided... we are out of time, but thank _ scale and provided... we are out of time, but thank you _ scale and provided... we are out of time, but thank you very _ scale and provided... we are out of time, but thank you very much - scale and provided... we are out of time, but thank you very much forl time, but thank you very much for filling in on what he was saying. colonel vindman, katy balls, good night. thanks very much for watching. hello there. it was a quiet but rather cold start to the working week, wasn't it? —7 degrees in glasgow first thing on monday morning. there was also a widespread hard frost cross parts of the north, but some beautiful sunshine to go with it. we did have a little bit of cloud and actually it brought a few isolated showers in the south—east first thing. that then drifted its way through the midlands and up into yorkshire. now, as we go through the next couple of days, the high pressure is going to start to release its grip a little and allow weather fronts to push in from the atlantic. the good news is that the wind direction will change to more of a milder south—westerly source. that's going to drive in slightly less cold air across the country. it will be a chilly start, though, through central and eastern areas first thing. a lot of sunshine to begin with, bit more of a freshening breeze

as we go through the afternoon. and northern ireland, western fringes of scotland and wales will start to see some rain, some of it quite heavy at times. it's going to be a windy day as well, particularly into the far north—west. gusts of wind in excess of 50mph, but certainly a noticeable strong wind out there and that's going to make it feel on the chilly side once again. 9—11 degrees the overall high. let's move out of tuesday and into wednesday. as one front clears away, another one is knocking on the door. yet again we're going to see some heavy rain and strong gale force gusts of winds out to the west in particular, and so that rain quite heavy into western scotland, northern ireland. gradually pushing its way steadily eastwards through the day. clouding over ahead of it, but the best of any sunshine perhaps to the east of the pennines, down into the south—east corner. still another windy day, still those gusts of winds close to 40—50mph on exposed coasts. so, as we move out of wednesday afternoon, the temperatures, once again, under the rain are going to struggle, 8 or 9 degrees. highest values likely of 13 celsius

in the far south—east. now, as we move through wednesday, it looks likely that that frontal system will ease away and a ridge of high pressure will build in behind. ahead of it, we'll see a little bit of patchy rain into the south—east corner, but thursday could potentially be the best day in terms of drier, sunnier weather and slightly milder weather as well. so, temperatures widely into double figures. we could see highs of 13 or 1a celsius with that sunshine coming through. but it's all change, once again, as yet more mobile westerly flow starts to develop and we see these frontal systems pushing in off the atlantic. plenty of isobars on the charts, once again, plenty of strong winds particularly out to the west and there will be some rain, some of it heavy at times, as it drifts its way steadily eastwards on friday. so, nowhere immune from catching some showery outbreaks of rain. top temperatures perhaps around 1a degrees, so, again, that southerly flow making it feel just that little bit milder. those fronts are still with us as we move out of friday into the start of the weekend

and we start keep an eye on this plume of heavier rain pushing in from france, which could bring a wet start to the weekend across the south, so london could start off pretty wet and then hopefully improve, with showers for the second half of the weekend further north. let's look further ahead, though, because it does look likely that the high pressure may well drift a little bit further westwards, starting to influence the story. at the same time, high pressure pushing in off the atlantic as well, so basically that translates that we could see some quieter weather, looking further ahead. so, into the weekend, often wet, windy, but on the mild side, and then as we go into next week, it could turn drier and colder. that's it. take care.