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tv   Dateline London  BBC News  April 3, 2022 2:30am-3:00am BST

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this is bbc news, the headlines. ukraine says its forces have retaken the entire region around the capital kyiv, with russian forces withdrawing from key towns. but, as russian troops retreat, the evidence of civilian killings is growing, with reporters in the nearby town of bucha finding at least 20 bodies in the streets. hundreds of people have managed to escape the bombardment of the southern city of mariupol and reach safety in private cars. but, a third consecutive attempt by the international red cross to drive buses to the city to evacuate people from the area has once again failed. a two—month truce has been agreed in yemen for the first time since 2016, in a war which has killed an estimated 400,000 people. the deal between the saudi—led coalition and iran—backed
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houthi rebels coincided with the first day of the muslim holy month of ramadan. now on bbc news, dateline london. hello. i'm shaun ley. welcome to the programme which brings together newspaper columnists from the uk with foreign correspondents who write, blog and broadcast to audiences in their home countries from the dateline: london. here in the studio are: stefanie bolzen, uk and ireland correspondent for germany's die welt media group. polly toynbee, who writes a weekly column for the british newspaper, the guardian. henry chu, deputy news editor at the la times in the united states.
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welcome to all of you. lovely to have you back for round the table again with us for this programme. 0n the home front, during world war ii, posters admonished civilians, "careless talk costs lives." could it in this war, too? us presidentjoe biden�*s howl of anger in warsaw last weekend — "for god's sake, this man cannot remain in power!" — was greeted with horror by america's allies. they fear that if vladimir putin thinks regime change is nato�*s ambition, the chance of a negotiated peace will be lost. 0n the russian side this week, careful, deliberate calibrated talk — talk of "a decision to radically, by a large margin, reduce military activity in the kyiv area." more of that in a minute. let's start with the news that has bubbled around affecting germany, but other european countries as well over the last couple of days. was there or wasn't there a threat by putin to switch off the gas if he did not get paid in rubles? for the time being, it does not look like he will switch off
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the gas, but it's really important to understand it's not only germany, it's pretty much the whole of europe — especially central europe, eastern europe and some countries that are almost 100% dependent on russian gas deliveries. for germany, of course, being the economic powerhouse in europe, it's very important to get the gas to power manufacturing, so in many senses it's a big challenge. putin then demanded that from now on his customers had to pay in rubles, which helped him a bit because the ruble went up and energy prices soared even more, but he found in the case of the german government and the chancellor being very strict, saying "no, we are going to continue paying in euros, these are the contracts" and actually now there has been a radical
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change because they now have... they have to pay on gazprombank, not in the euro. it is not a sanctioned bank. no—one really understands why putin did this. the german government said, "we have to take time to look into these new instructions we are getting." it's important to say i think it was tuesday this week that the german government triggered the first level of emergencies, so germany is getting ready for the worst case that gas is not coming from russia. the economy minister was quoted on thursday saying, "we're not going to be blackmailed by russia." polly, there is a bigger issue here, regardless of whether or not there is a deal and other western countries said "we are going to wean ourselves off russian energy." is there a risk that that's not a peace incentive for putin? why would he settle early if we will abandon his cash cow anyway? it's a self—defeating policy for him. it's quite difficult for him to technically turn it off — the ft has been writing
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about this, that if he switches it off, it becomes very expensive and very difficult to turn it back on again. but certainly, europe needs to learn the lesson — and fast — that we have got to get off gas, wherever it comes from. wherever it comes from in the world, it's mostly from unpleasant governments who will blackmail us in one form or another. it's got to be sustainable energy and i think the germans probably made a mistake in deciding they were going to go no—nuclear. this goes back to merkel and fukushima. she said no, which would be ok if it had been other sustainable things instead, but the idea of substituting that with extra dependency on russia looked like a bad mistake. what about this winter? is there worry in, whether it's in berlin or in brussels or elsewhere, that actually regardless of what happens in ukraine, president putin... president putin could up the ante? there is a worry and
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that's the reality. germany does not have enough fuel to heat households, especially when it comes to industry and actually the german industry, of course, while they are supporting the government by saying there is much more at stake than the german economy, but they are saying it could take at least four or five years until we could manufacture without russian gas. i share your point about that. europe needs to be independent of russian gas, but you have to guarantee social peace and it cannot have millions of people losing theirjobs and people sitting in cold houses. that's also a challenge for governments. didn't they already say. they would perhaps start institution rationing because of what's l going to happen? that is the sense that the taps can be turned off or at least i turned down and this - could present a real problem
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for the governments both in germany and austria? i of course. that's the reality as well and that's why on the big international level it's now a question some countries who say we should actually bring this war to an end that putin really has to fail, and others are saying we need peace faster in order to secure our peace back home. that raises the question, henry, about the peace negotiations that were on again in turkey on friday. how much risk is there that this level of unity we have seen on the western side on this question begins to fracture, and what level zelensky should be prepared to compromise, at what level and how quickly we should move to some kind of peace agreement and what kind of normally unacceptable compromises may have to be made on both sides and for the west to accept? i think the precept underlying all this is whether you accept| these peace negotiations - are for real, and they are not just smoke and mirrors, - certainly by the russian side, to try to be a delaying tactic .
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of some kind so they can keep on with the military . pressure and continue the offensive in ukraine. i think when you look - at what russia is demanding, it is still maximalist. there has been no| real come—down in the kremlin's position i and you've already heard zelensky, the ukrainian president, talk about. concessions he would be willing to make, although even then i those would be subject - to referendum, perhaps in terms of giving up nato membership. and having guarantee of peace, which are the precise missions in nato that russia _ already objects to. so this seems to be part i of the games being played. it's all inconclusive after five rounds. i only the ukrainians and zelensky can decide what they can tolerate and what they can bear. for those of us watching, it looks unbearable. you look at what's happening. you look at the tens of thousands of people being bombed and trapped in mariupol and elsewhere and the horror is so dreadful that it's very difficult for us to decide at what point it's enough.
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only they can decide that, and for as long as they want to go on fighting, we are morally bound to give them everything we possibly can to help them go on fighting. it's very important to us that putin should be clearly seen to have lost and seen by his own people. but it's no good us saying, "we will fight to the last ukrainian," it's not our blood, it's theirs. i hope he does not give away because putin will feel that he could take crimea or take the donbas or take more and more places each time and coax a bit more. encroach a bit more. as...is to be have watched how putin now controls - all of the media in russia i and so to say he needs to be seen by his own people . as having lost that will be very difficult to get i that message through even if that's the case because of the leversl he has now. picking up what you said about how we need to give ukraine everything we can to help them. he has complained most recently in an interview published this
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weekend that he needs more weapons in particular tanks and aeroplanes and the west is not giving it to him. i think macron was quoted as saying the danger is if we give them these weapons we turn ukraine into co—belligerents, what do you make of that? this is one of the very difficult questions especially in the case of germany, because germany was very reluctant for a very long time to give any weapons to ukraine. they even stopped other countries to deliver weapons because of german history and rightly so, you may say, although you might ask for how long or how much longer? germany has a law that you cannot... even weapons that go through another country, if they go into a conflict they may not be delivered. in germany there was this legendary speech by the german chancellor on the sunday after the invasion and it was a complete turn around and germany is now starting to deliver and give more weapons but they don't have much.
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this is one thing and then of course it comes back to the question how long do you want the war to drag on. 0n the one hand yes you want this to stop, but the ukrainians they will need someone to guarantee their security as well, they'll not be able to guarantee security themselves. so it's very complex and everybody will be dragged into it. guarantee is pretty much impossible unless putin has been beaten. we see it with the minsk agreement that he won't keep to any agreement. or else the other danger is a proxy arrangement ukraine actuallyjoins nato but we have to give them such guarantees, that it's the equivalent of them being in nato and then the terror is that we are then drawn into a third world war. so it's a very tricky and not clear to anybody what the ultimate negotiation should be like short of the only thing that
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would work would be putting would work would be putin actually being visibly beaten so that he was not in the strong negotiations. i assume none of you is terribly convinced by the statement from the defence ministry that they have to ease off on kyiv and their attention is in the south. let's pick up on the question of whatjoe biden said. why the horror, why the fits of the vapours by the world leaders, whenjoe biden presumably said what everybody else is thinking, can this man possibly stay in power and we would really rather you didn't? it came from the heart. it was spontaneous at the end of the speech and it just came out of the man
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because you felt... you know, the grief and horror of what is happening there, the butchery is so disgusting and of course putin's gameplan is that he can take more butchery than we can and ukrainians can, that he is willing to bomb any number of civilians and ukrainians can, that he is willing to bomb any number of civilians until we can't take it any more, until it is unbearable and for that outpouring, i thought, but good god, is it all about diplomacy? well, i think diplomacy - and statecraft are a big part of it, though, let's remember this wasn't his first _ statement. at the end of the state i of union address it said, go get him, which a lot| of people were not sure what that meant, but it. could have sounded like, somebody go in and take putin out, so if you are sitting - at the head of that huge table where nobody else someone i you once, shame on them, if you threaten them twice | shame on you if you if you don't use it for. propaganda purposes, - which is is the danger there.
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he does say to his people, look, they are bent - on getting rid of me, . coming and humiliating entertaining rush as a power and we can't have that. - so from a presidency - and administration whose supporters certainly criticised president trump for his - intemperate remarks, - i felt these were a little bit unfortunate, although theymay be, as you say, what plenty- of people are thinking around i the world, but we don't always say what we think when it comes to statecraft. - in the end, putin needs to fail and somehow be taken away from power by his own people. the question is how the sanctions can work? i mean, there is no ideology in russia, except for prosperity and wealth and living a western life and the question is, will people get to the point and say, we can't go on a holiday in turkey any more, we cannot buy the goods we were to. in nazi time, i really compare it to that, that people have the same propaganda, they believe the same thing, but now they are missing the life they were having before.
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is that enough? i have been reading just as a side bar german book that was published in germany just after the war in berlin and that is crying out for adaptation, an extraordinary story of people compromising and not seeing things because they are just trying to hold onto what gives them security. it is really valuable to remember that, that very rarely are dictators overthrown, we keep looking at the outside, we keep having this optimism bias, surely the people will rise up and get rid of this monster, but no, it doesn't happen. in fact, the more they feel attacked, the more they defend their strong leader, so don't think we should put an awful lot of hope in the idea that putin is going to go. i think in the end if they have a loss and they feel humiliated, they're not going to rise up tomorrow about what he's doing. but then i think the polls have been showing, to the extent l
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there are independent polls in russia, that indeed his. approval ratings have gone up, you would have thought - they would have i fallen because... they haven't been good for quite a while. yes, there is that rally. round the flag mentality and again when you control- all levels of media expression, then it is easier to control. can ijust pick up on what is happening in the united states? present biden has published a new spending plan after his failure to get the last run—through. partly it was predicated on saying, well, well, big defence spending and also strengthen our own armed forces and support ukraine. mitch mcconnell, the leader of the senate minority group for the republicans, has said, we're not going to support it, it is not enough money for defence, on position in ukraine and military matters. how come it has vanished so quickly? so much for even the partisan position because actually - biden is having trouble within his own party, . amongst the democrats, there are hawks who are absolutely.
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siding with the republicans - who say it needs to be a larger increase, even though i it is a record peacetime military budget that is being proposed, over $800 billionj and yet they still say it is not enough. - there are others in i the democratic party on the left side who are more progressive, saying, look- we pulled out of afghanistan last year and now you want i is to keep spending militarily, so it is notjust republicans . with whom biden needs . to contend, it is within his own ranks and so that is going to be a hard circle to square. i you have got a government in germany that is multiparty, traffic light coalition, greens, the liberals and the social democrats. can they hold together in this? that is a very good question, especially with the greens pacifist party very much renewables and now you are actually thinking about even bringing back nuclear power. i mean, it is a discussion and certainly now having more fuel than coal and so on used for manufacturing, but i think public opinion is so strongly
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to be now bold about russia that this is carrying them for now and as long as the war drags on, i think that hopefully we will stay like that. here in the uk? i think our government has been caught on the hop - because they are cutting the army by another 10,000 to the smallest it has been in living memory and now it looks like a bad mistake. and i think labour has been in rather a strong position, saying what have you been doing? because they were saying before ukraine, you shouldn't cut defence to that degree, so the old idea that labour is somehow not patriotic or weak on defence, i don't think you're going to find it from this labour party. one last thought, then. still in for the long haul with this war? i don't see it - ending anytime soon. it really has become a war of attrition, i think. - 0n the battlefield and round the negotiating table. - is there anything you think might change that? should have the change
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we were talking about, short of the regime change we were talking about, which is properly not going to happen, in the resume? yes, a regime change, but as you say, if you think it to the end, you say, it won't come from within. how can it come from outside? it is almost unbearable to think about, but yes, a war of attrition. it's not our blood and we are kind of saying, we will hold yourjacket or we will give you a few weapons, but we are not sending our boys in. it is a very awkward position to be in, a morally awkward position, ithink, for all of us. but, you know, ukrainians have been the heroes and the question is how long they can bear to be heroes for. we have a few minutes in hand, so let's talk about other things that have been happening because goodness knows there has been plenty of news happening over the last weeks and this is an opportunity to touch on some of the other things that maybe you think we should be paying more attention to. perhaps we already are, but you think it is worth
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restating, polly first? i think without doubt, it is the great recession. you know, the ukraine war has just come at the worst possible time, supply chains, everything broken, relations with china. for britain, particularly, after brexit, this could not come at a worse time and today, friday, is the day when the switch is turned for people's electricity prices and gas prices, which will shoot through the roof. you know, people by the end of this year will be paying another £2,000 for an ordinary household. you know, this has been for ordinary families no families, and for large numbers of families who are less than average pay, absolute poverty. interesting listening to lord debdon on the radio, who was once the artist forming known asjohn gummer, who was formerly under margaret thatcher in the cabinet, and has become
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a big champion of green issues saying actually if the government as part of austerity hadn't cancelled the insulation programme britons would be paying about £50 less, maybe even £200 less eventually for their energy bills and they are otherwise paying, which is a reminder of the long—term, short—term thing. you talked about it with merkel�*s use of power, but it is true in the uk as well. david cameron suddenly decided green policies were a bit expensive, he said cut the green crap and all of the programme, the massive programme for inflating people's houses, for onshore wind, which is the cheapest, and for solar energy fell apart overnight. it was catastrophic. we would be in quite a different place now if those programmes had followed on through from where they had been founded in 2010. given the way inflation is going and economic growth is not going, are you now worried about the possibility of stagflation, which was a horrible thing that was experienced in the 1970s? i think it is very hard to see
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where new productivity - is going to come from, unless you have a government that is — willing to borrow and invest in productive industries. i think we are in real trouble. we have got another austerity government making the same mistakes, that they cut into... to be fair, arguably, and you could have a debate about this time, not this week, but you could say the same of the labour government in the 1970s, that it found itself trapped in that thinking we have got to make cuts because if we don't make cuts is going to be even worse. well, it was imposed on it by the imf, it had no choice at that point, but it was the wrong thing to do. as keynes said, you borrow, you spend, even if you have to dig holes on the floor and fill them up again, you promote your economy and everywhere you can and you pull borrowing back when it begins to have a good effect. there are no doubt some people throwing things at the television even as you say that, but you have made your point.
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stephanie, what has been catching your eyes? a bit of a lighter story and i must say, being a forest an foreign correspondent in uk, of course you have to royal family should people might not like it here, but there i really enjoy it because they have given me a lot of good stories lately. and they were german originally expected they were german originally. but no, really, with harry and meghan, the queen, of course, it is a mirror of our present a lot and i have to admit i was in front of westminster abbey on tuesday because i had hoped to see the queen at least from afar, but to use the side entrance because she was very frail. this was for a memorial service for her late husband, who died one year ago. yes, and of course it one year ago she could not have guests because of the pandemic, but this time there were lots of royalty there the interesting thing about it is of course she chose her son, prince andrew, the duke of york, to bring her into the church and that was a very interesting...
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given his problems with his private life and having to settle a claim in a sexual assault court against him in the united states by virginia giuffre. exactly, it was seen as a very deliberate decision by the queen to show love for her son and bring them back into the family. if anybody could get away with that, i guess it is the queen because of their own personal popularity, an interesting point. it is a funny year as a republican, ajubilee year like this, isn't it? well, yes. we will take the holidays they give us, but, you know, it is going to be elizabeth the last. i love the souvenirs, when they managed to misspell, but apparentlyjubilee is misspelt, so they have become a collectors item because they were printed wrong, which is a slightly ironic touch on royalty. henry, finally, you have got something that is even... that was light, yours is really euphoric? i well, in the sense that we have l spent so much of this programme talking about the inhumanityj of war, whereas i think there was an incredible achievement talking about our common - i humanity and that what makes us| human that was the announcement that the human genome has been entirely sequenced, 100%. -
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we had had an announcement over 20 years ago when they had - the big breakthrough| of what they said was the sequencing, but there i were still sections left that were not actually fully done. explain what it means because when you get into the genome stuff, people go, oh that is very good, but i don't know what that really means. it is looking at the building blocks of human dna - that we have that make us who we are and different l from chimpanzees, for example, and in fact this last section - they finally did a breakthrough i with that was about 8% may be, it was considered junk dna or dark matter that didn't i really have much significance, | but they have since discovered that actually part of those - sequences show how we evolved into human beings, it also could tell us more about l ageing, but neurological- conditions, cancer, perhaps, so this is a real triumph ofjust human ingenuityj and scientific collaboration i because it was a collaborative effort and shows that. when humans really pull
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together, as opposed. to try to kill each other on the battlefield, amazing things can happen. - last thought from either of you that is about good as you can get and it is... a scientific collaboration is the great hope for us in britain, the great tragedy is that we have pulled away from it with brexit and we no longer have the same level of scientific collaboration that we did have. ijust, with the word sequencing, i always think of the pandemic and this country was very good sequencing and much better and many other countries. and got us to the vaccines. which is why we are back in the studio together after two years of not being in the studio. stefanie bolzen, polly toynbee, henry chu, thank you all very much. lovely to see you again and lovely to see you as well back home, whether you're throwing things at the television or not, the fact that you're watching or listening we really appreciate that. back same time next weekend, from dateline london. goodbye.
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hello, there. another cold day on saturday but not as bitter as it has been because the wind was not as strong. we started with blue skies and a frost but as the day went by we had clouds building to bring scattered showers and even some hailstorms. for quite a few of you the weather is going to follow a similar pattern on sunday. right now we have clear skies for the majority. temperatures already below freezing. in the first part of sunday morning, a widespread and sharp frost, temperatures down to “4 in some towns and cities. there could be one or two icy stretches around first thing. for many of you, a lovely start
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to the day if somewhat cold. blue skies and plenty of sunshine. through the day, cloud bubbling up in england and wales and we may see some showers, the odd one with hail. in the north—west, outbreaks of rain moving into northern ireland and scotland. heaviest rain in the highlands. temperatures similar to saturday, about 10 degrees. sunday night, the rain pushing south and east across the uk, introducing for many parts of the country milder atlantic air. the heaviest rain in western parts of the uk although some in the east which won't amount to much. a lot of cloud and perhaps some hill fog. also a lot milder than it has been, top temperatures around 1a or 15. in shetland, still cold. tuesday, we have some colder air moving down into the north of the country. for many of us, we are in this
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milder air with a lot of cloud and outbreaks of rain. something of a battle zone building in. with cloud and rain, some mist and hill fog. for most parts on tuesday it looks like it will be a mild day with temperatures of around 12—15 across england, wales and northern ireland. in the far north of scotland, colder, down into the single figures. in the latter part of tuesday afternoon, the rain bumps into the colder air and looks like we'll see some hill snow in scotland, probably north of the central belt.
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welcome to bbc news — i'm lucy grey. our top stories... ukraine says it has retaken control from russian forces of the entire area around the capital kyiv — including this airport panic must have ensued. look how this armoured vehicle has ended up ramming that one. they had no idea what the ukrainians had in store for them. relief as hundreds of people manage to escape the bombardment of the southern city of mariupol and reach safety. these people have been escaping any way they can, from cities, towns, villages that have been under russian bombardment. a two—month truce is agreed by warring parties in yemen for the first time since 2016, in a conflict which has killed an estimated 400,000 people.

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