hello and welcome to the programme which brings together columnists from uk newspapers with the foreign correspondents who write, blog and broadcast to audiences in their home country from the dateline: london. this was the week when sue gray delivered her report into whether downing street partied during the covid lockdowns — did the gray report deliver? we learnt the likely impact of surging energy prices — a doubling of the numbers in fuel poverty in the uk. the goverment�*s answer to it — throw money at the problem. is it proportionate —

or inflationary? and what about those other sharply rising bills: is inflation stalking the globe? to discuss all that, in the studio are: the american journalist stephanie baker, a senior writer with bloomberg markets. steve richards, a political commentator who presents the podcast rock and roll politics; and ian martin, who founded and edits the news website reaction, and is a columist for the times. straight in. at the end of the week, much predicted and much debated, where is the prime ministers position now? he where is the prime ministers position now?— where is the prime ministers position now? where is the prime ministers osition now? , ~ position now? he has survived. all this h -e position now? he has survived. all this hype about — position now? he has survived. all this hype about sue _ position now? he has survived. all this hype about sue grey, - position now? he has survived. all this hype about sue grey, an - this hype about sue grey, an official conducting about these parties and in the end, the report and didn't exonerate him but let them off the hook it's a classic borisjohnson situation where he just sort of delays, creates confusion, we all felt we knew what was in the report by the end and her conclusion was fairly bland and he

is free again. in that sense, the survivals was to be a week that if this had been a month ago, it might bring them down. but hejust bring them down. but he just gets away with it again, which boris johnson always seems to have a knack of doing. i think underneath the surface, there's more complexity than that big shifts in british politics going on personally that i think you'll start to see the beginning of not a settled consensus but does people saying to each other, in and around whitehall and the media in the uk that there is a labour government coming because even though it has a finished of borisjohnson, it has trashed the tory brand and trashed his personal brand i think it's going to be very difficult for them to recover longer—term and he may attempt to fight the next general election but abortion members as a personality, i side with them years ago on the telegraph, boris is very much in

terms of getting to the next day in particular scrapes so at the end of this week, he'll be pretty please the survived.— this week, he'll be pretty please the survived._ in | this week, he'll be pretty please l the survived._ in my the survived. should he be? in my view, no the survived. should he be? in my view. no but _ the survived. should he be? in my view. no but my — the survived. should he be? in my view, no but my view— the survived. should he be? in my view, no but my view was - the survived. should he be? in my view, no but my view was an - the survived. should he be? in my view, no but my view was an and i view, no but my view was an and irrelevant — view, no but my view was an and irrelevant. we view, no but my view was an and irrelevant-— view, no but my view was an and irrelevant. ~ , ., , ., ., irrelevant. we brought you on here to hear your— irrelevant. we brought you on here to hear your opinion. _ irrelevant. we brought you on here to hear your opinion. he _ irrelevant. we brought you on here to hear your opinion. he made - irrelevant. we brought you on here to hear your opinion. he made the| to hear your opinion. he made the rules, to hear your opinion. he made the rules. broke _ to hear your opinion. he made the rules, broke the _ to hear your opinion. he made the rules, broke the rules _ to hear your opinion. he made the rules, broke the rules and - to hear your opinion. he made the rules, broke the rules and in - to hear your opinion. he made the rules, broke the rules and in the l rules, broke the rules and in the view_ rules, broke the rules and in the view of— rules, broke the rules and in the view of many, lied about doing so. but the _ view of many, lied about doing so. but the thing is, why has he survived. _ but the thing is, why has he survived, given that? and it's worth remembering that british prime ministers — remembering that british prime ministers rarely offer their own resignation. harold wilson did it and no _ resignation. harold wilson did it and no one else in modern times. and therefore. _ and no one else in modern times. and therefore. i_ and no one else in modern times. and therefore, i think it is wholly unsurprising that he is still there. prime _ unsurprising that he is still there. prime ministers, when they are in deep _ prime ministers, when they are in deep trouble, reach the conclusion that it's _ deep trouble, reach the conclusion that it's within the national interest— that it's within the national interest that they carry on and he has reached that. but interest that they carry on and he has reached that.— interest that they carry on and he has reached that. but why are those who owning —

has reached that. but why are those who owning a _ has reached that. but why are those who owning a position _ has reached that. but why are those who owning a position not _ has reached that. but why are those who owning a position not sharing . who owning a position not sharing that view, have not, as they have done before, acted on it? that that view, have not, as they have done before, acted on it?- done before, acted on it? that is the other interesting _ done before, acted on it? that is the other interesting question i done before, acted on it? that is. the other interesting question and they have — the other interesting question and they have done this before with margaret thatcher. she had won three elections and ruled for 11 years. this— elections and ruled for 11 years. this was— elections and ruled for 11 years. this was two and a half years after he won— this was two and a half years after he won them a huge majority. so, again. _ he won them a huge majority. so, again. i_ he won them a huge majority. so, again, ithink he won them a huge majority. so, again, i think it's unsurprising at this point— again, i think it's unsurprising at this point that the tory mps have not moved — this point that the tory mps have not moved to topple him and this is a weird _ not moved to topple him and this is a weird conservative parliamentary partv _ a weird conservative parliamentary party. lots of people are there new to nationai— party. lots of people are there new to national politics and it is a very— to national politics and it is a very big _ to national politics and it is a very big thing to topple a prime minister~ — very big thing to topple a prime minister. so, i'm not surprised he still there — minister. so, i'm not surprised he stiiithere i— minister. so, i'm not surprised he stillthere. i don't minister. so, i'm not surprised he still there. i don't think it's this. — still there. i don't think it's this. hes— still there. i don't think it's this, he's a genius of getting out of holes. — this, he's a genius of getting out of holes, he follows a pattern very famiiiar— of holes, he follows a pattern very familiar in — of holes, he follows a pattern very familiar in british politics. that doesn't — familiar in british politics. that doesn't mean tory mps might still move _ doesn't mean tory mps might still move against him because in my view, triviai— move against him because in my view, trivial as _ move against him because in my view, trivial as that _ move against him because in my view, trivial as that is, what is so

transparently appalling is otis will notice _ transparently appalling is otis will notice and that may lead to things. the torv— notice and that may lead to things. the tory tribe is divided. it does know what to do. the the tory tribe is divided. it does know what to do.— the tory tribe is divided. it does know what to do. ., , ., ~ , ., know what to do. the reason mps have not moved against _ know what to do. the reason mps have not moved against him _ know what to do. the reason mps have not moved against him in _ know what to do. the reason mps have not moved against him in sufficient - not moved against him in sufficient numbers as they're not sure who would replace him. a few months ago, that might�*ve been rishi sunak, but rishi sunak has taken a huge knock and the face of these economic problems, so there is potential successors but not obvious front runner and so they are waiting. and there's a part of the tribe that believe that ultimately, he is a winner and that force in the past is always kind of weird that and somehow, they can throw these problems and they don't want to remove someone who has extraordinary charisma and is proven themselves a winner and one brexit, by a majority in 2019 and given one last go. i

think that approach is a bit misguided because the view that is settling in with voters of this trust is so serious that ultimately, i think is going to be very hard for him to bounce back and win the next election. ., , ., ., , ., ,, ., ., election. polls are a snapshot of the opinion _ election. polls are a snapshot of the opinion that _ election. polls are a snapshot of the opinion that the _ election. polls are a snapshot of the opinion that the times - election. polls are a snapshot of the opinion that the times and l election. polls are a snapshot of. the opinion that the times and after the opinion that the times and after the report and they suggested that the report and they suggested that the service 65% of voters think borisjohnson should resign and this is all voters so regardless of which party support. they are a snapshot of a passing mood that it may not matter but if there is snapshot of his shift based on the perceptions of the prime minister, then they really ought to worry. the of the prime minister, then they really ought to worry.— really ought to worry. the thing that surprised _ really ought to worry. the thing that surprised me _ really ought to worry. the thing that surprised me is _ really ought to worry. the thing that surprised me is that - really ought to worry. the thing that surprised me is that you i really ought to worry. the thing | that surprised me is that you did not have — that surprised me is that you did not have more _ that surprised me is that you did not have more tory— that surprised me is that you did not have more tory mps - that surprised me is that you did i not have more tory mps standing that surprised me is that you did - not have more tory mps standing up in parliament— not have more tory mps standing up in parliament criticising _ not have more tory mps standing up in parliament criticising him, - not have more tory mps standing up in parliament criticising him, given l in parliament criticising him, given what _ in parliament criticising him, given what we _ in parliament criticising him, given what we all— in parliament criticising him, given what we all know— in parliament criticising him, given what we all know is _ in parliament criticising him, given what we all know is the _ in parliament criticising him, given what we all know is the public- in parliament criticising him, given. what we all know is the public mood on this _

what we all know is the public mood on this you — what we all know is the public mood on this. you had _ what we all know is the public mood on this. you had some _ what we all know is the public mood on this. you had some mps- what we all know is the public mood on this. you had some mps come i what we all know is the public mood i on this. you had some mps come out afterwards— on this. you had some mps come out afterwards make _ on this. you had some mps come out afterwards make the _ on this. you had some mps come out afterwards make the statements - on this. you had some mps come out afterwards make the statements and| afterwards make the statements and criticise _ afterwards make the statements and criticise him — afterwards make the statements and criticise him but— afterwards make the statements and criticise him but using _ afterwards make the statements and criticise him but using the _ afterwards make the statements and criticise him but using the floor- afterwards make the statements and criticise him but using the floor of. criticise him but using the floor of thousands— criticise him but using the floor of thousands commons, _ criticise him but using the floor of thousands commons, they - criticise him but using the floor of thousands commons, they seeml criticise him but using the floor of. thousands commons, they seem to shy to do this _ thousands commons, they seem to shy to do this and — thousands commons, they seem to shy to do this and i— thousands commons, they seem to shy to do this. and i think— thousands commons, they seem to shy to do this. and i think the _ thousands commons, they seem to shy to do this. and i think the real- to do this. and i think the real test _ to do this. and i think the real test will— to do this. and i think the real test will come _ to do this. and i think the real test will come when _ to do this. and i think the real test will come when this - test will come when this parliamentary— test will come when thisl parliamentary committee test will come when this _ parliamentary committee convenes. the privileges — parliamentary committee convenes. the privileges committee. _ parliamentary committee convenes. the privileges committee. that - parliamentary committee convenes. the privileges committee. that he l the privileges committee. that he may have missed that parliament. t0 may have missed that parliament. to determine whether or not he intentionally— determine whether or not he intentionally misled - determine whether or not he . intentionally misled parliament determine whether or not he - intentionally misled parliament and left to— intentionally misled parliament and left to testify — intentionally misled parliament and left to testify against _ intentionally misled parliament and left to testify against the _ left to testify against the committee. _ left to testify against the committee. ._ left to testify against the committee. . and- left to testify against the committee. . and i- left to testify against the j committee. . and i could left to testify against the - committee. . and i could take a left to testify against the _ committee. . and i could take a very lon- committee. . and i could take a very long time _ committee. . and i could take a very long time to — committee. . and i could take a very long time to come _ committee. . and i could take a very long time to come to _ committee. . and i could take a very long time to come to the _ long time to come to the conclusion it will— long time to come to the conclusion it will probably _ long time to come to the conclusion it will probably try— long time to come to the conclusion it will probably try to _ long time to come to the conclusion it will probably try to wiggle - long time to come to the conclusion it will probably try to wiggle his - it will probably try to wiggle his way out — it will probably try to wiggle his way out of— it will probably try to wiggle his way out of it— it will probably try to wiggle his way out of it and _ it will probably try to wiggle his way out of it and like _ it will probably try to wiggle his way out of it and like usual, - way out of it and like usual, disperses _ way out of it and like usual, disperses words _ way out of it and like usual, disperses words and - way out of it and like usual, disperses words and fudge. way out of it and like usual, i disperses words and fudge it way out of it and like usual, - disperses words and fudge it and hopefully— disperses words and fudge it and hopefully hy— disperses words and fudge it and hopefully by the _ disperses words and fudge it and hopefully by the time _ disperses words and fudge it and hopefully by the time he - disperses words and fudge it and hopefully by the time he comes. hopefully by the time he comes around. — hopefully by the time he comes around. people— hopefully by the time he comes around, people have _ hopefully by the time he comes around, people have forgotten. j hopefully by the time he comes - around, people have forgotten. what about the culture _ around, people have forgotten. what about the culture of _ around, people have forgotten. about the culture of government. i was interested by weight a very

seniorfigure in parliament said a very deep mistrust and this toxic culture that is seemed to have active in downing street and he worried about and this report, the criticism of the civil as it is in the sue grey report, whether there is a sense that this is damaged, not just an individual party but is damaged the practice of government. that's a reality of the british system that is to reflect the personality of whoever is prime minister and boris is, let's face it, a fairly shambolic figure. and i think what the sue gray report revealed is that a lot of those officials make quite like boris in a chum way but they do not fear him. and it is impossible to imagine that

culture that behaviour under margaret thatcher or theresa may or anyone since the war, goodness, churchill drink during the war of the staff number ten really respected him and thought they were doing something.— doing something. given the excruciating _ doing something. given the excruciating detail- doing something. given the excruciating detail of - doing something. given the l excruciating detail of drunken parties — excruciating detail of drunken parties going _ excruciating detail of drunken parties going on— excruciating detail of drunken parties going on late - excruciating detail of drunken parties going on late into- excruciating detail of drunken parties going on late into the| parties going on late into the night — parties going on late into the night and _ parties going on late into the night. and saying _ parties going on late into the night. and saying there - parties going on late into the i night. and saying there should parties going on late into the - night. and saying there should be a ban on _ night. and saying there should be a ban on drinking _ night. and saying there should be a ban on drinking and _ night. and saying there should be a ban on drinking and saying - night. and saying there should be a ban on drinking and saying that - ban on drinking and saying that boris _ ban on drinking and saying that borisjohnson _ ban on drinking and saying that boris johnson dismissed - ban on drinking and saying that boris johnson dismissed the i ban on drinking and saying that i borisjohnson dismissed the idea saying _ borisjohnson dismissed the idea saying that — borisjohnson dismissed the idea saying that britain _ borisjohnson dismissed the idea saying that britain never- boris johnson dismissed the ideal saying that britain never would've gone _ saying that britain never would've gone through _ saying that britain never would've gone through world _ saying that britain never would've gone through world war- saying that britain never would've gone through world war ii - saying that britain never would'vel gone through world war ii without drink to _ gone through world war ii without drink to take — gone through world war ii without drink to take off _ gone through world war ii without drink to take off the _ gone through world war ii without drink to take off the strain - gone through world war ii without drink to take off the strain and - gone through world war ii without drink to take off the strain and so, buti— drink to take off the strain and so, but i find— drink to take off the strain and so, but i find very— drink to take off the strain and so, but i find very disturbing _ drink to take off the strain and so, but i find very disturbing is- drink to take off the strain and so, but i find very disturbing is this . but i find very disturbing is this is a part— but i find very disturbing is this is a part of— but i find very disturbing is this is a part of a _ but i find very disturbing is this is a part of a broader— but i find very disturbing is this is a part of a broader pattern . but i find very disturbing is this l is a part of a broader pattern and an alarming _ is a part of a broader pattern and an alarming number— is a part of a broader pattern and an alarming numberof_ is a part of a broader pattern and an alarming number of tory - is a part of a broader pattern and an alarming number of tory mps| is a part of a broader pattern and - an alarming number of tory mps have run afoul— an alarming number of tory mps have run afoul of— an alarming number of tory mps have run afoul of the — an alarming number of tory mps have run afoul of the law _ an alarming number of tory mps have run afoul of the law and _ an alarming number of tory mps have run afoul of the law and it's _ an alarming number of tory mps have run afoul of the law and it's a - an alarming number of tory mps have run afoul of the law and it's a real - run afoul of the law and it's a real si-n run afoul of the law and it's a real sign of— run afoul of the law and it's a real sign of a — run afoul of the law and it's a real sign ofa party— run afoul of the law and it's a real sign of a party that _ run afoul of the law and it's a real sign of a party that it's _ run afoul of the law and it's a real sign of a party that it's been - run afoul of the law and it's a real sign of a party that it's been in i sign of a party that it's been in power— sign of a party that it's been in power for— sign of a party that it's been in power for too _ sign of a party that it's been in power for too long _ sign of a party that it's been in power for too long and - sign of a party that it's been in power for too long and this - sign of a party that it's been in power for too long and this is. sign of a party that it's been in| power for too long and this is a sign of a party that it's been in i power for too long and this is a to be power for too long and this is a to he the _ power for too long and this is a to he the party— power for too long and this is a to he the party of— power for too long and this is a to be the party of law and _ power for too long and this is a to be the party of law and order- be the party of law and order and this is— be the party of law and order and

this is what— be the party of law and order and this is what we _ be the party of law and order and this is what we get? _ be the party of law and order and this is what we get? the - be the party of law and order and this is what we get?— this is what we get? the sounds h sterical this is what we get? the sounds hysterical but britain _ this is what we get? the sounds hysterical but britain doesn't - hysterical but britain doesn't really have a functioning government at the moment by which the system only really works that only the person at the top knows exactly what they're doing and this flows through they're doing and this flows through the system. the they're doing and this flows through the s stem. . , ., , ,., the system. the matter is really so much about — the system. the matter is really so much about the _ the system. the matter is really so much about the operation - the system. the matter is really so much about the operation of- much about the operation of government and the academics and also exposing the code of conduct in an article that he thought was a good chap version and they have the right values. and it can be distorted by those. it’s

right values. and it can be distorted by those. it's quite an authority figure _ distorted by those. it's quite an authority figure trying - distorted by those. it's quite an authority figure trying to - distorted by those. it's quite an authority figure trying to get. distorted by those. it's quite an authority figure trying to get rid of harold — authority figure trying to get rid of harold wilson in 1969 when he employed a bigger majority. and would _ employed a bigger majority. and would be — employed a bigger majority. and would be talking about whether or not they— would be talking about whether or not they would survive another eight years _ not they would survive another eight years and _ not they would survive another eight years. and what makes us interesting is there's_ years. and what makes us interesting is there's lots of moving parts you have _ is there's lots of moving parts you have number ten. and this is both a neurotic— have number ten. and this is both a neurotic paranoid place and they would say— neurotic paranoid place and they would say yes, i've done it. we've gotten _ would say yes, i've done it. we've gotten through it. they have tory mps talking to their constituencies of the _ mps talking to their constituencies of the weekend and party workers and that provides them with quite a cold reality _ that provides them with quite a cold reality. and one of us stephanie mentioned, the report coming up. by

elections _ mentioned, the report coming up. by elections. there are a lot of moving parts _ elections. there are a lot of moving parts which — elections. there are a lot of moving parts which i'm sure number ten will brief the _ parts which i'm sure number ten will brief the sunday papers on in the of the economic crisis and coming onto it and _ the economic crisis and coming onto it and propelled the self—proclaimed fiscal conservative chancellor. and so, fiscal conservative chancellor. and so. that _ fiscal conservative chancellor. and so. that is — fiscal conservative chancellor. and so, that is another fascinating ingredient which makes it incredibly hard to— ingredient which makes it incredibly hard to read. in a ingredient which makes it incredibly hard to read-— hard to read. in a month's time, he looked at the _ hard to read. in a month's time, he looked at the same _ hard to read. in a month's time, he looked at the same board _ hard to read. in a month's time, he looked at the same board could - looked at the same board could look very different. looked at the same board could look very different-— very different. when it comes to boris johnson. _ very different. when it comes to boris johnson, the _ very different. when it comes to boris johnson, the other - very different. when it comes to boris johnson, the other factors | borisjohnson, the other factors ukraine — boris johnson, the other factors ukraine. . �* . boris johnson, the other factors ukraine. . �* , , , boris johnson, the other factors ukraine. . �*, , , ., ukraine. that's the biggest factor in, follows to _ ukraine. that's the biggest factor in, follows to defend _ ukraine. that's the biggest factor in, follows to defend boris - ukraine. that's the biggest factor i in, follows to defend boris johnson, in, follows to defend borisjohnson, not something i've done very often recently. his response and the uk response in alliance with the us and canada has been, if not exemplary, pretty close to it for standing up

for ukraine. so the defender of borisjohnson would say what for ukraine. so the defender of boris johnson would say what about the plane where he is leading well and it's in the middle of a geopolitical situation where he and his advisers called broadly and correctly. that's a big factor. does the british population _ correctly. that's a big factor. does the british population care - correctly. that's a big factor. does the british population care about that and — the british population care about that and where _ the british population care about that and where he _ the british population care about that and where he has _ the british population care about that and where he has and - the british population care about that and where he has and i- the british population care about . that and where he has and i agree, he has _ that and where he has and i agree, he has done — that and where he has and i agree, he has done an— that and where he has and i agree, he has done an exemplary- that and where he has and i agree, he has done an exemplaryjob - that and where he has and i agree, he has done an exemplaryjob in i he has done an exemplaryjob in leading — he has done an exemplaryjob in leading british _ he has done an exemplaryjob in leading british response - he has done an exemplaryjob in leading british response to i he has done an exemplaryjob in leading british response to the i he has done an exemplaryjob in i leading british response to the war in ukraine — leading british response to the war in ukraine but— leading british response to the war in ukraine but is— leading british response to the war in ukraine but is the _ leading british response to the war in ukraine but is the salient- leading british response to the war in ukraine but is the salient issue i in ukraine but is the salient issue the cost—of—living _ in ukraine but is the salient issue the cost—of—living and _ in ukraine but is the salient issue the cost—of—living and the - in ukraine but is the salient issue the cost—of—living and the nhs. i the cost—of—living and the nhs. ukraine — the cost—of—living and the nhs. ukraine is— the cost—of—living and the nhs. ukraine is not— the cost—of—living and the nhs. ukraine is not going _ the cost—of—living and the nhs. ukraine is not going to- the cost—of—living and the nhs. ukraine is not going to decide l the cost—of—living and the nhs. l ukraine is not going to decide the next result of the general election. he both referred to rishi sunak sync his reputation is not what it was. e—mail flyer to salvage it but it certainly is an important announcement for in the uk was been concerned about the massive increase in energy bills and the cost of living. what do you make of that announcement and the implications of it because even on the conservative

side, we are grateful for the it because even on the conservative side, we are gratefulfor the money but we don't want be the party but we don't want to be the party responsible for doing this and throwing money at the problem. it is slit throwing money at the problem. it is s - lit the throwing money at the problem. ft 3 split the tourist down the middle with what you would call a one nation wing and actually liking the fact that the government is throwing money at the problem. i think ultimately those on the other side of the free market were saying, this is a ridiculous splurge, i think they're missing the point. but is about to be felt by the parsons country in the situation which is not just country in the situation which is notjust unique to britain but the scale of what is coming, merit some kind of response in the windfall tax in 1981 in 1982 in the depths of the recession where people were hurting and i think there is a logic to it but people don't know how to respond to it. ~ . ., , .,

to it. windfall tax, conservative, we want to _ to it. windfall tax, conservative, we want to it. _ to it. windfall tax, conservative, we want to it. and _ to it. windfall tax, conservative, we want to it. and i _ to it. windfall tax, conservative, we want to it. and i were - to it. windfall tax, conservative, we want to it. and i were doing l to it. windfall tax, conservative, | we want to it. and i were doing it giving it a different name. in essence, that is what it is. it’s giving it a different name. in essence, that is what it is. it's a sli . htl essence, that is what it is. it's a slightly chaotic _ essence, that is what it is. it's a slightly chaotic approach - essence, that is what it is. it's a slightly chaotic approach to the | slightly chaotic approach to the problem and that's the problem with the party, it's been very preoccupied with the war ukraine. when she had something to vote on, whether or not there should be, your neighbour should be building or changing their house next door to you, whether or not this is a good idea because it's too controversial for us to do it. so, the absence of if there's enough public anger about this, policy will follow that. you have in rishi _ this, policy will follow that. you have in rishi sunak, _ this, policy will follow that. you have in rishi sunak, the self—proclaimed fiscal conservative. and in a statement which was a minimalist approach to the economic crisis _ minimalist approach to the economic crisis with— minimalist approach to the economic crisis with him, borisjohnson minimalist approach to the economic crisis with him, boris johnson was weak. _ crisis with him, boris johnson was weak. he — crisis with him, boris johnson was weak, he cannot be this, call me at roosevelt— weak, he cannot be this, call me at roosevelt and spend, spend, spend and rishi _ roosevelt and spend, spend, spend and rishi sunak come within weeks is

said to _ and rishi sunak come within weeks is said to come — and rishi sunak come within weeks is said to come back at the big package which _ said to come back at the big package which has _ said to come back at the big package which has been acknowledged by the institute _ which has been acknowledged by the institute for fiscal studies as being — institute for fiscal studies as being pretty redistributive, targeting poor incomes and spending a lot of— targeting poor incomes and spending a lot of money and this used to be a reverse _ a lot of money and this used to be a reverse of— a lot of money and this used to be a reverse of the 19705 where we have the then _ reverse of the 19705 where we have the then prime minister and margaret the then prime mini5ter and margaret thatcher— the then prime minister and margaret thatcher leaping on it and the title waves _ thatcher leaping on it and the title wave5 moving right words in his direction — wave5 moving right words in his direction. and. pure waves moving right words in his direction. and.— waves moving right words in his direction. and. . ., direction. and. are doing the same. and to seize — direction. and. are doing the same. and to seize the _ direction. and. are doing the same. and to seize the moment. - direction. and. are doing the same. and to seize the moment. that's i and to seize the moment. that's where the _ and to seize the moment. that's where the biggest _ and to seize the moment. that's where the biggest in _ and to seize the moment. that's where the biggest in the - and to seize the moment. that's where the biggest in the year i and to seize the moment. that's where the biggest in the year or| and to seize the moment. that's i where the biggest in the year or so. and fascinating, i think. in where the biggest in the year or so. and fascinating, i think.— and fascinating, i think. in the market, and fascinating, i think. in the market. you — and fascinating, i think. in the market, you look _ and fascinating, i think. in the market, you look at _ and fascinating, i think. in the market, you look at the i and fascinating, i think. in the i market, you look at the broader picture rather through the political

perspective. what are the markets making of the judgment of chancellors made and what other policymakers are facing similar problems, how are they reacting to notjust problems, how are they reacting to not just the same problems, how are they reacting to notjust the same problems but similar problems. this used to be stalking the globe.— stalking the globe. there's a feelin: stalking the globe. there's a feeling that _ stalking the globe. there's a feeling that if _ stalking the globe. there's a feeling that if he _ stalking the globe. there's a feeling that if he had - stalking the globe. there's a feeling that if he had not i stalking the globe. there's a i feeling that if he had not acted, the risk— feeling that if he had not acted, the risk of— feeling that if he had not acted, the risk of a _ feeling that if he had not acted, the risk of a recession - feeling that if he had not acted, the risk of a recession would'vej the risk of a recession would've been _ the risk of a recession would've been hired _ the risk of a recession would've been hired because _ the risk of a recession would've been hired because you - the risk of a recession would've been hired because you are i the risk of a recession would've i been hired because you are taking the risk of a recession would've - been hired because you are taking so much _ been hired because you are taking so much money— been hired because you are taking so much money out _ been hired because you are taking so much money out of _ been hired because you are taking so much money out of the _ been hired because you are taking so much money out of the economy- much money out of the economy because — much money out of the economy because they _ much money out of the economy because they would _ much money out of the economy because they would not - much money out of the economy because they would not be - much money out of the economy because they would not be up i much money out of the economy because they would not be up to| because they would not be up to spend _ because they would not be up to spend money— because they would not be up to spend money on— because they would not be up to spend money on other— because they would not be up to spend money on other things. . because they would not be up to - spend money on other things. broadly speaking. _ spend money on other things. broadly speaking. we — spend money on other things. broadly speaking. we are— spend money on other things. broadly speaking. we are in— spend money on other things. broadly speaking, we are in this _ spend money on other things. broadly speaking, we are in this big _ spend money on other things. broadly speaking, we are in this big debate i speaking, we are in this big debate i’ilht speaking, we are in this big debate right now— speaking, we are in this big debate right now and — speaking, we are in this big debate right now and are _ speaking, we are in this big debate right now and are we _ speaking, we are in this big debate right now and are we headed - speaking, we are in this big debate right now and are we headed for. right now and are we headed for stagflation — right now and are we headed for stagflation of _ right now and are we headed for stagflation of the _ right now and are we headed for stagflation of the 19705. - right now and are we headed for stagflation of the 1970s.- right now and are we headed for stagflation of the 1970s. where you but hiuh stagflation of the 1970s. where you but high inflation. _ stagflation of the 1970s. where you but high inflation. beginning i stagflation of the 1970s. where you but high inflation. beginning of i but high inflation. beginning of recession- _ but high inflation. beginning of recession. and _ but high inflation. beginning of recession. and it's _ but high inflation. beginning of recession. and it's too - but high inflation. beginning of recession. and it's too early i but high inflation. beginning of recession. and it's too early to | recession. and it's too early to say, _ recession. and it's too early to say. the — recession. and it's too early to say, the outcome _ recession. and it's too early to say, the outcome of— recession. and it's too early to say, the outcome of the - recession. and it's too early to say, the outcome of the war. recession. and it's too early to say, the outcome of the war in ukraine — say, the outcome of the war in ukraine and _ 5ay, the outcome of the war in ukraine and how— 5ay, the outcome of the war in ukraine and how central- say, the outcome of the war in ukraine and how central banksj say, the outcome of the war in- ukraine and how central banks will respond _ ukraine and how central banks will respond will — ukraine and how central banks will respond will have _ ukraine and how central banks will respond will have a _ ukraine and how central banks will respond will have a bearing - ukraine and how central banks will respond will have a bearing on i ukraine and how central banks will. respond will have a bearing on that.

in respond will have a bearing on that. in one _ respond will have a bearing on that. in one of— respond will have a bearing on that. in one of the — respond will have a bearing on that. in one of the hallmarks _ respond will have a bearing on that. in one of the hallmarks of _ in one of the hallmarks of stagflation _ in one of the hallmarks of stagflation in _ in one of the hallmarks of stagflation in the - in one of the hallmarks of i stagflation in the hallmarks of stagflation _ stagflation in the hallmarks of stagflation and _ stagflation in the hallmarks of stagflation and 705 _ stagflation in the hallmarks of stagflation and 705 as - stagflation in the hallmarks of stagflation and 705 as high i stagflation and 705 as high unemployment _ stagflation and 705 as high unemployment which i stagflation and 705 as high unemployment which is i stagflation and 705 as high . unemployment which is what stagflation and 705 as high i unemployment which is what we stagflation and 705 as high - unemployment which is what we do stagflation and 705 as high _ unemployment which is what we do not have right _ unemployment which is what we do not have right now — unemployment which is what we do not have right now. the?— unemployment which is what we do not have right now— have right now. they don't have it in the uk or— have right now. they don't have it in the uk or the _ have right now. they don't have it in the uk or the united states. i have right now. they don't have it| in the uk or the united states. the been trying to basically hit a sweet spot where they try to curb inflation, but we do not drive business, drive businesses and seek joblessness going on.— joblessness going on. some economists _ joblessness going on. some economists are _ joblessness going on. some economists are looking i joblessness going on. some economists are looking at l joblessness going on. some i economists are looking at inflation already— economists are looking at inflation already having _ economists are looking at inflation already having cooling _ economists are looking at inflation already having cooling effect - economists are looking at inflation already having cooling effect on i economists are looking at inflationl already having cooling effect on the economy— already having cooling effect on the economy in — already having cooling effect on the economy in some _ already having cooling effect on the economy in some respects - already having cooling effect on the economy in some respects and i already having cooling effect on the economy in some respects and so, i economy in some respects and so, maybe _ economy in some respects and so, maybe inflation— economy in some respects and so, maybe inflation has— economy in some respects and so, maybe inflation has peaked - economy in some respects and so, maybe inflation has peaked but. economy in some respects and so, | maybe inflation has peaked but it's very hard _ maybe inflation has peaked but it's very hard to — maybe inflation has peaked but it's very hard to tell— maybe inflation has peaked but it's very hard to tell how _ maybe inflation has peaked but it's very hard to tell how it's _ maybe inflation has peaked but it's very hard to tell how it's going i maybe inflation has peaked but it's very hard to tell how it's going to l very hard to tell how it's going to play out — very hard to tell how it's going to play out i — very hard to tell how it's going to play out i think— very hard to tell how it's going to play out i think globally, - very hard to tell how it's going to play out i think globally, the i very hard to tell how it's going to| play out i think globally, the big? is play out i think globally, the big? is what— play out i think globally, the big? is what happens _ play out i think globally, the big? is what happens with _ play out i think globally, the big? is what happens with china. - play out i think globally, the big? is what happens with china. the i is what happens with china. the chinese — is what happens with china. the chinese economy— is what happens with china. the chinese economy is _ is what happens with china. the chinese economy is slowing i is what happens with china. the i chinese economy is slowing down in is what happens with china. the - chinese economy is slowing down in a way that— chinese economy is slowing down in a way that we _ chinese economy is slowing down in a way that we haven't _ chinese economy is slowing down in a way that we haven't seen _ chinese economy is slowing down in a way that we haven't seen for - chinese economy is slowing down in a way that we haven't seen for years i way that we haven't seen for years and bloomberg _ way that we haven't seen for years and bloomberg i5 _ way that we haven't seen for years and bloomberg is projecting - way that we haven't seen for years and bloomberg is projecting that l and bloomberg is projecting that chinas— and bloomberg is projecting that china's economy— and bloomberg is projecting that china's economy will— and bloomberg is projecting that china's economy will grow- and bloomberg is projecting that china's economy will grow by. and bloomberg is projecting thati china's economy will grow by only and bloomberg is projecting that i china's economy will grow by only 2% this year— china's economy will grow by only 2% this year and — china's economy will grow by only 2% this year and that _ china's economy will grow by only 2% this year and that the _ china's economy will grow by only 2% this year and that the us _ china's economy will grow by only 2% this year and that the us would - this year and that the us would actually— this year and that the us would actually outpace _ this year and that the us would actually outpace chinese - this year and that the us wouldi actually outpace chinese growth this year and that the us would i actually outpace chinese growth for the first _ actually outpace chinese growth for the first time — actually outpace chinese growth for the first time since _ actually outpace chinese growth for the first time since the _ actually outpace chinese growth forj

the first time since the mid—19 705. so, the first time since the mid—19 705. so. that— the first time since the mid—19 705. so. thatiust — the first time since the mid—19 705. so, that just turns _ the first time since the mid—19 705. so, that just turns the _ the first time since the mid—19 705. so, that just turns the whole - so, that just turns the whole global economy— so, that just turns the whole global economy on— so, that just turns the whole global economy on its _ so, that just turns the whole global economy on its head _ so, that just turns the whole global economy on its head and _ so, that just turns the whole global economy on its head and we - so, that just turns the whole global economy on its head and we have l so, that just turns the whole global l economy on its head and we have not been here _ economy on its head and we have not been here before. _ economy on its head and we have not been here before. the _ economy on its head and we have not been here before. the vote _ economy on its head and we have not been here before. the vote counted i been here before. the vote counted on china _ been here before. the vote counted on china as — been here before. the vote counted on china as the _ been here before. the vote counted on china as the world _ been here before. the vote counted on china as the world economy i on china as the world economy saviour— on china as the world economy saviour and _ on china as the world economy saviour and it's _ on china as the world economy saviour and it's facing - on china as the world economy saviour and it's facing some i on china as the world economy i saviour and it's facing some really tough _ saviour and it's facing some really tough challenges. _ saviour and it's facing some really tough challenges. a _ saviour and it's facing some really tough challenges. a big _ saviour and it's facing some really tough challenges. a big one - saviour and it's facing some really tough challenges. a big one is i saviour and it's facing some really| tough challenges. a big one is the demographic— tough challenges. a big one is the demographic challenges _ tough challenges. a big one is the demographic challenges of- tough challenges. a big one is the demographic challenges of their . demographic challenges of their child policy— demographic challenges of their child policy which _ demographic challenges of their child policy which they - demographic challenges of their child policy which they reversed | demographic challenges of their i child policy which they reversed but it's going _ child policy which they reversed but it's going to — child policy which they reversed but it's going to take _ child policy which they reversed but it's going to take years _ child policy which they reversed but it's going to take years to. - child policy which they reversed but it's going to take years to.- it's going to take years to. cream i can still have _ it's going to take years to. cream i can still have falling _ it's going to take years to. cream i can still have falling birth - it's going to take years to. cream i can still have falling birth rates i can still have falling birth rates and the broader structural change shifting from coal to gas which will keep energy prices high. find shifting from coal to gas which will keep energy prices high.— keep energy prices high. and so, that whole _ keep energy prices high. and so, that whole production _ keep energy prices high. and so, that whole production of - keep energy prices high. and so, that whole production of china i that whole production of china overtaking _ that whole production of china overtaking the _ that whole production of china overtaking the us _ that whole production of china overtaking the us as - that whole production of china overtaking the us as the - that whole production of china| overtaking the us as the world global— overtaking the us as the world global economy— overtaking the us as the world global economy standards, i. overtaking the us as the world i global economy standards, i think that may— global economy standards, i think that may not _ global economy standards, i think that may not happen— global economy standards, i think that may not happen now. - global economy standards, i think that may not happen now. in i global economy standards, i think i that may not happen now. in volatile inflation _ that may not happen now. in volatile inflation if— that may not happen now. in volatile inflation if you — that may not happen now. in volatile inflation if you look— that may not happen now. in volatile inflation if you look at _ that may not happen now. in volatile inflation if you look at the _ that may not happen now. in volatile inflation if you look at the 19705, i inflation if you look at the 19705, inflation — inflation if you look at the 19705, inflationjumped _ inflation if you look at the 19705, inflationjumped up— inflation if you look at the 19705, inflation jumped up and - inflation if you look at the 19705, inflation jumped up and down i inflation if you look at the 19705, i inflationjumped up and down quite a bit of— inflationjumped up and down quite a bit of a _ inflationjumped up and down quite a bit ofa number— inflationjumped up and down quite a bit of a number of _ inflationjumped up and down quite a bit of a number of years. _ inflationjumped up and down quite a bit of a number of years. so, - inflationjumped up and down quite a bit of a number of years. so, even i bit of a number of years. so, even if it comes — bit of a number of years. so, even if it comes down _ bit of a number of years. so, even if it comes down in _ bit of a number of years. so, even if it comes down in the _ bit of a number of years. so, even if it comes down in the next - bit of a number of years. so, even if it comes down in the next few. if it comes down in the next few months. — if it comes down in the next few months. it— if it comes down in the next few months. it can _ if it comes down in the next few

months, it can pop— if it comes down in the next few months, it can pop up— if it comes down in the next few months, it can pop up again i if it comes down in the next few. months, it can pop up again fairly soon _ months, it can pop up again fairly soon and — months, it can pop up again fairly soon and i— months, it can pop up again fairly soon and i think— months, it can pop up again fairly soon and i think the _ months, it can pop up again fairly soon and i think the uk— months, it can pop up again fairly soon and i think the uk and - months, it can pop up again fairly soon and i think the uk and rishi| soon and i think the uk and rishi sunak. _ soon and i think the uk and rishi sunak. what— soon and i think the uk and rishi sunak. what i— soon and i think the uk and rishi sunak, what i would _ soon and i think the uk and rishi sunak, what i would expect i soon and i think the uk and rishi sunak, what i would expect is i soon and i think the uk and rishi i sunak, what i would expect is he may have to come — sunak, what i would expect is he may have to come back— sunak, what i would expect is he may have to come back and _ sunak, what i would expect is he may have to come back and spend - sunak, what i would expect is he may have to come back and spend more i have to come back and spend more money _ have to come back and spend more mone . . have to come back and spend more mone . , ., , money. the interesting thing now but the uk economy _ money. the interesting thing now but the uk economy is _ money. the interesting thing now but the uk economy is that _ money. the interesting thing now but the uk economy is that there - money. the interesting thing now but the uk economy is that there is i money. the interesting thing now but the uk economy is that there is a i the uk economy is that there is a labour— the uk economy is that there is a labour shortage and so, in the early 805. _ labour shortage and so, in the early 805, margaret thatcher could use unemployment as a way of controlling inflation _ unemployment as a way of controlling inflation. people were desperate to -et inflation. people were desperate to getiobs _ inflation. people were desperate to getjobs and take inflation. people were desperate to get jobs and take low—paid jobs to do back— get jobs and take low—paid jobs to do back in — get jobs and take low—paid jobs to do back in. that mechanism is not available — do back in. that mechanism is not available now. it is the opposite. they— available now. it is the opposite. they need — available now. it is the opposite. they need to get people intojobs. to drive _ they need to get people intojobs. to drive the economy that people hope will emerge from this and the economy that might make us more resilient to this type of pressure. those who opted out during covid—19 coming back into it. this is been a feature of the covid—19 economy is that people just stopped driving

things like caps. 0pted out of the economy in the midst of the come back in. and you're right we make the china point because it's not just that there's this huge shift with the word ukraine that undoes the global order. it also, we're at the global order. it also, we're at the end of essentially a 25 year process or model of how western economy is run. from globalisation to the globalisation and they are connected to ukrainian things and you start to see countries that are allies sticking together in shorter supply and lines of supply greater emphasis and trade security. that disruption and inflation which is something that is, i remember going thousand greenspan lecturing nearly 20 years ago and we lived in that period at the end of inflation and just something that is been banished in the method had been found for the

economy was never too hard enough to court and thus the reality. i economy was never too hard enough to court and thus the reality.— court and thus the reality. i would do one sentence _ court and thus the reality. i would do one sentence only. _ court and thus the reality. i would do one sentence only. trade - court and thus the reality. i would l do one sentence only. trade closer at home? �* , ., ., w ., at home? brexit is another factor that the british _ at home? brexit is another factor that the british economy, - at home? brexit is another factor that the british economy, it - at home? brexit is another factor that the british economy, it was l that the british economy, it was going _ that the british economy, it was going to — that the british economy, it was going to be a seismic shift. everyone _ going to be a seismic shift. everyone acknowledges it's going to be a big _ everyone acknowledges it's going to be a big shift. and that's another facton _ be a big shift. and that's another facton we — be a big shift. and that's another factor. we have opted not to maintain _ factor. we have opted not to maintain trade with people close to home _ maintain trade with people close to home in— maintain trade with people close to home in the same way and so, i believe — home in the same way and so, i believe that's another factor that you may— believe that's another factor that you may disagree with the shortages of the _ you may disagree with the shortages of the labour market. and you may disagree with the shortages of the labour market.— of the labour market. and some are uuite of the labour market. and some are quite candid — of the labour market. and some are quite candid about _ of the labour market. and some are quite candid about this _ of the labour market. and some are quite candid about this at _ of the labour market. and some are quite candid about this at the - of the labour market. and some are quite candid about this at the time. | quite candid about this at the time. there will be changes and we are in a period of transition and we believe there is plan ahead ahead we don't know how we can chart the next one. and how that path looked six years ago. it one. and how that path looked six ears a . o. ., one. and how that path looked six ears auo. ., , one. and how that path looked six earsauo. ., , . ., , years ago. it would be ridiculous of some brexiteers _

years ago. it would be ridiculous of some brexiteers did _ years ago. it would be ridiculous of some brexiteers did not _ years ago. it would be ridiculous of some brexiteers did not admit - some brexiteers did not admit that it's created some difficulties and created trade barriers and for me, is never really about that, it is by democratic fundamentals and greater autonomy. balanced and economic issues and the deal needs to be improved and so, if you look at to disasters that have been since brexit and both of them, covid—i9 vaccines we should not overstate this spirit ukraine. you see evidence of the benefits of slightly of greater national autonomy. if it's a state of mind in a way of pursuing geopolitics. but it's a state of mind in a way of pursuing geopolitics.- it's a state of mind in a way of pursuing geopolitics. but on the issue, as pursuing geopolitics. but on the issue. as an _ pursuing geopolitics. but on the issue, as an island, _ pursuing geopolitics. but on the issue, as an island, if— pursuing geopolitics. but on the issue, as an island, if this - pursuing geopolitics. but on the issue, as an island, if this to - issue, as an island, if this to globalisation, how best to do we cope with that. islands, getting people from outside. i would

redict that getting people from outside. i would predict that five _ getting people from outside. i would predict that five or _ getting people from outside. i would predict that five or ten _ getting people from outside. i would predict that five or ten years, - getting people from outside. i would predict that five or ten years, it - predict that five or ten years, it will be re—examining britain bringing down some of those trade barriers that's very difficult because the labour party will be accused of trying that in the site is going to be a labour government at some point in the next few years, of the attempt to do that, the try to reverse brexit but i think the direction of travel is heading back towards this. i direction of travel is heading back towards this.— direction of travel is heading back towards this. i think rishi sunak is under huge _ towards this. i think rishi sunak is under huge pressure _ towards this. i think rishi sunak is under huge pressure due - towards this. i think rishi sunak is under huge pressure due to - towards this. i think rishi sunak is under huge pressure due to this i under huge pressure due to this spending — under huge pressure due to this spending and _ under huge pressure due to this spending and i— under huge pressure due to this spending and i think— under huge pressure due to this spending and i think one - under huge pressure due to this spending and i think one of- under huge pressure due to this spending and i think one of the i spending and i think one of the things— spending and i think one of the things that _ spending and i think one of the things that he _ spending and i think one of the things that he can _ spending and i think one of the things that he can do— spending and i think one of the things that he can do to - spending and i think one of the things that he can do to show i spending and i think one of the i things that he can do to show that he is _ things that he can do to show that he is different— things that he can do to show that he is different from _ things that he can do to show that he is different from a _ things that he can do to show that he is different from a labour- he is different from a labour spending _ he is different from a labour spending government- he is different from a labour spending government is- he is different from a labour spending government is to i he is different from a labour- spending government is to change the tax system _ spending government is to change the tax system that — spending government is to change the tax system that encourages _ tax system that encourages investment— tax system that encourages investment and _ tax system that encourages investment and he - tax system that encourages investment and he did - tax system that encourages investment and he did thisl tax system that encourages - investment and he did this with the windfait— investment and he did this with the windfatt tax — investment and he did this with the windfall tax on— investment and he did this with the windfall tax on oil— investment and he did this with the windfall tax on oil and _ investment and he did this with the windfall tax on oil and gas - windfall tax on oil and gas companies _ windfall tax on oil and gas companies but _ windfall tax on oil and gas companies but there - windfall tax on oil and gas companies but there so i windfall tax on oil and gas . companies but there so much windfall tax on oil and gas - companies but there so much more that he _ companies but there so much more that he can — companies but there so much more that he can do _ companies but there so much more that he can do to— companies but there so much more that he can do to change _ companies but there so much more

that he can do to change the - that he can do to change the incentives _ that he can do to change the incentives and _ that he can do to change the incentives and the _ that he can do to change the incentives and the tax - that he can do to change the . incentives and the tax systems that he can do to change the - incentives and the tax systems and so that— incentives and the tax systems and so that people _ incentives and the tax systems and so that people are _ incentives and the tax systems and so that people are incentivised - incentives and the tax systems and so that people are incentivised to i so that people are incentivised to invest— so that people are incentivised to invest because _ so that people are incentivised to invest because there _ so that people are incentivised to invest because there is— so that people are incentivised to invest because there is been- so that people are incentivised to invest because there is been a i invest because there is been a terrible — invest because there is been a terrible problem _ invest because there is been a terrible problem of— invest because there is been a terrible problem of low- invest because there is been a - terrible problem of low productivity he could _ terrible problem of low productivity he could be — terrible problem of low productivity he could be board _ terrible problem of low productivity he could be board and _ terrible problem of low productivity he could be board and come - terrible problem of low productivity he could be board and come out. terrible problem of low productivity. he could be board and come out with the susa _ he could be board and come out with the susa proposals— he could be board and come out with the susa proposals *_ he could be board and come out with the susa proposals * by— he could be board and come out with the susa proposals * by theme - he could be board and come out with the susa proposals * by theme and l the susa proposals * by theme and budget, _ the susa proposals * by theme and budget, i_ the susa proposals * by theme and budget, iwas— the susa proposals * by theme and budget, i was suspect. _ the susa proposals * by theme and budget, i was suspect. ._ the susa proposals * by theme and budget, i was suspect. . in- the susa proposals " by theme and budget, iwas suspect. ._ budget, iwas suspect. . in this buduet budget, iwas suspect. . in this budget and _ budget, iwas suspect. . in this budget and by _ budget, iwas suspect. . in this budget and by the _ budget, iwas suspect. . in this budget and by the way, - budget, iwas suspect. . in this budget and by the way, the - budget and by the way, the globalisation on top of everything. what a half hour. the back at the same time next week. goodbye.

hello there. for most of us today, it was a lovely day. in the sunshine, overthe it was a lovely day. in the sunshine, over the weekend, the weather was going to start to change. some sunshine but temperatures are going to be dropping particularly on sunday and by then, there could be more showers as well. not really a cloud in the sky across other parts of the uk, temperatures reaching 20 degrees in the sunshine and a bit more cloud further north with most sunshine in northern scotland and that's where we'll keep one or more going well into the night as well. 0ther showers across northern areas would tend to fade away in the skies were clearfor tend to fade away in the skies were clear for most of us but little bit more cloud perhaps coming into northern ireland and the winds would be dropping in so it will turn quite chilly once again. temperatures down to six or 7 degrees. 0ver chilly once again. temperatures down to six or 7 degrees. over the region, high—pressure close to the uk butjust not in the right place and if anything, uk butjust not in the right place and ifanything, it uk butjust not in the right place and if anything, it will push back up towards iceland. but that's the position, we look at the northerly breeze on saturday on sunday, that

cooler air in the north would push its way further south. starting the weekend of the bright and sunny note for many places and while we will see some patchy cloud developing, much of the country will stay dry with sunny spells. just the chance of one or two showers priest in scotland and perhaps eastern parts of england. across northern scotland, elsewhere is six or 18 degrees should feel pleasant enough in the sunshine. but we've still got some high pollen levels in its grass pollen at this time of the year. through the midlands and across parts of southern england once again. the second half of the week and will probably see more cloud around it will be thicker as well and we have a greater chance of catching some showers especially across eastern areas of the uk. the northerly breeze will be corridor i think on sunday and we could squeeze 16 in south wales at 11 or 12 degrees at best and eastern parts of england in eastern scotland. it should be there for the time of year. pressure continues to fall as we head into monday as well as the

high—pressure moving further away from the uk. we are left with later winds in the struggle and still towards the far northwest of the uk. but otherwise, later winds in a limited amount of sunshine and will be some showers perhaps two and limited mess, perhaps with more cloud and the focus of rain, temperatures will be lower as we head into next week.

this is bbc news, i'm shaun ley. the headlines at 8pm. after the mass shooting in texas, police admit they waited too long to respond to the call for help. for the benefit _ respond to the call for help. for the benefit of _ respond to the call for help. er?" the benefit of hindsight, where i'm sitting now, of course it was not the right decision, it was the wrong one. a, ., the right decision, it was the wrong one. �* ., ., ., , the right decision, it was the wrong one. ., ., , ., ., , one. major failings and maternity services for _ one. major failings and maternity services for the _ one. major failings and maternity services for the regulator - one. major failings and maternity services for the regulator to - services for the regulator to intervene at one nhs trust, distract family speak at after dozens of baby deaths. , ., ,., deaths. telling you something terrible went _ deaths. telling you something terrible went wrong. - deaths. telling you something terrible went wrong. he - deaths. telling you something terrible went wrong. he went | deaths. telling you something i terrible went wrong. he went to deaths. telling you something - terrible went wrong. he went to as a perfectly healthy baby, and how does a perfectly healthy baby not survive? ~ ., a perfectly healthy baby not survive? a, , ,, a perfectly healthy baby not survive? , ,, ., the prime minister tonight is a ministerial aide resigns and another mps admits a letter of no confidence

in his leadership following