tv Political Thinking with Nick... BBC News June 5, 2022 10:30am-11:01am BST
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parts of wales, as well. england. parts of wales, as well. heavier showers. england. parts of wales, as well. heaviershowers. skies england. parts of wales, as well. heavier showers. skies are brighton a bit at times,. highest of the temperatures, west of scotland and west of northern ireland. through this evening and overnight. the showers will clear through into tomorrow morning. heavy rain pushing towards east anglia to the end of the night. the clueless weather to start monday. outbreaks of rain and drizzle across eastern parts of england, rather chilly wind. most of you will have a dry day on monday, a few showers, in the sunshine, starting to feel a touch warmer. hello, this is bbc news. the headlines... a platinum party at the palace
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to celebrate an historic 70—year reign, the elizabethean age. the nation's favourite bear kicked off the concert with a private audience with the queen, marmalade and all. happyjubilee, ma'am. and thank you. for everything. that's very kind. the final day ofjubilee celebrations will end with a huge pageant near buckingham palace later. street parties are also set to be held across the uk in what is being called the big jubilee lunch. explosions shake kyiv, in the first russian assault on ukraine's capital for weeks. forever holidays, or so it would seem, as half terms grind air travel down to a halt.
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now on bbc news, dateline london with shaun ley. hello and welcome to the programme, which brings together leading commentators in the uk with the journalists from overseas who write, blog and broadcast from the dateline london. this week, as this country marks the 70—year long reign of queen elizabeth, what future for queens and kings here and globally? from king mswati, who's used his absolute power to rename his country eswatini to the imperial family ofjapan, gods made mortal by an occupying power. from the often absent thai monarch to king felipe of spain, embarrassed by his dad. in the studio thisjubilee weekend,
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are catherine pepinster whose new book defenders of the faith, addresses one of the reasons this queen does not contemplate retirement and herfaith. yasmin alibhai—brown, a british columnist who is a committed republican, and henry chu from the la times in the united states, a country formed in revolt from the then english monarch. welcome to you all. thank you very much for coming in, particularly on such a busy weekend. catherine, can i start with you? there's no doubt that this weekend feels like a very public affirmation of this queen. but is it also consciously, do you think, for the monarchy, at least, a moment of transition? it does feel like that. it's been feeling like that for a while now. we saw the prince of wales represent his mother at the state opening of parliament, another major occasion, and this one too, so i think transition is a good word for it, but he's not being a replacement. he's representing her. and i'm intrigued that there hasn't been a suggestion
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of there being a regency. in other words when the monarch continues, but because they are no longer able to carry out their duties to the same level, the person who's due to succeed when they die fills in for them. exactly. part of that might be because everybody feels, the queen herself, particularly, that she's not completely incapacitated, as happened, for example, with george iii, when he was seriously ill and the person who became actually george iv, his son and heir became the prince regent, so they haven't gone down that path at the moment. perhaps they remember the history of it because he wasn't a terribly popular figure when he was regent, was he? no, he was not. and in those days, the monarch had more political power, and he didn't use it in ways that were particularly impressive. but i think it's also to do with the fact that this queen has this very strong sense
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that she signed up to this for life, and so i think there's possibly an unwillingness to to stand down. but we may yet see that happen, we may yet see a regency act. because nobody can know the state of how her health may change over the coming... i find that so interesting only because, catherine, knowing that you were an editor of a catholic publication probably ten years ago we would you have said a pope would resign? no, he's in it for life. and yet that happened. and so never say never in these situations where we're in uncharted waters for a monarch to be this old, really and having been on the throne this long, and what happens next, it's really hard to say. interestingly, the queen will be well aware of how queen victoria disappeared from view for quite some time after the death of her husband, prince albert, and became very unpopular. and it was only when she had her golden and diamond jubilee, the other monarch that reigned
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a very long time, that she came out for those and she was popular again, so i guess this queen knows the importance of what she phrases as being seen to be believed. which raises, in a sense, the unspoken part of all this weekend's events, doesn't it, yasmin, which is the nervousness, perhaps, that this could be a moment when the queen dies in the coming years where people start saying, "do we want to hang around with this institution any longer?" so in a sense that, just as with queen victoria, the big pomp and circumstance and celebration restored the monarchy to a certain extent. i think, oh, by the way, i i'm wearing this, in case viewers are worried... you haven't been attacked by a mob. i haven't been attacked. i had a fall and i've. broken some bones. sorry for the clumsy look. i think one has to remember not |to overstate the popularity evenj of the queen, because recent surveys
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have shown, like in almost _ every other major issue, - this is a country now divided. sometimes it's showing 50, 49, whatever it is, 52, - sometimes it's showing, you know... but there is much more of a sense, i think, - that after this queen dies... |and i respect her because she'sj old and also because she's been through the most astonishing history — but beyond that, i think onej shouldn't overstate that this is a totally inclusive, j 100%joyousjubilee, especially coming at this time i when there are so many people feeling economically insecure. an anachronism for you, then? i think it's very insensitive. i wouldn't have gone so big at a time like this. -
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and a lot of people are saying that. a lot of people are saying that. and when you say anachronism, that's a reflection of time. and i think what the surveys that you were referring to, yasmin, show that it's also a generational thing, that support for the monarchy as an institution is less amongst young people. and that's notjust here in britain, but in other realms where she technically reigns as well. i'm interested what the attitude is in the united states, because the networks are going big on this, the television networks. is that generational difference too? because, i mean, one of the little known bits of the early development of the us, which i didn't know about until steve richards on this programme pointed it out a while ago, was that at one point, some of the founders of the united states contemplated getting that rather unlucky figure from british monarchical history bonnie prince charlie, who was not very bonnie and certainly not very successful in his time, having fled scotland after the defeat at culloden, getting him to be their king.
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i think in the us actually there's a fascination with the royalty, with the royal family here that actually transcends generations, in part because they're not our royal family and it's not about whether we're having them as our kings and queens or not. or having to pay for them! correct. i do find it mystifying sometimes the fawning coverage that our networks give to a family that i feel like i need to remind my fellow americans their oppressive yoke was what we threw off nearly 250 years ago, and yet there is this real obsession with them. i think, though, therein also lies the answer for why there is this fascination. and that's because we are still relatively a young country compared to european nations. many of our institutions obviously pale on the timeline in comparison to the monarchy here, which is over 1000 years. we read about and study as children king john and the magna carta and realise that actually is a direct line to our declaration of independence, and so there is that cultural affinity between the us and britain that i think helps explain this.
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and also it is a soap opera, and i come from a city where we manufacture dreams and myths, hollywood, and this is part of that. but, henry, from what i hear from my american friends, . the way the meghan story has really affected americans. - i mean, a lot of them. feel a lot of sympathy. young, mixed—race american actress who marries into the british royal family and it doesn't go well. yeah, and very unfairly treated, i think. - sorry, it sounds like i'm writing a plot synopsis for a soap opera! but it is a soap opera. but it's very, very interesting because i've written - for the american press about this. in fact, i wrote before they married | that the only way they will survive | this family and this country is if they leave. _ this was in the cover story in the time magazine. - but i think the meghan thing has
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really woken up people. - you know, they were kind i of pie—eyed about the crown and the glory and the pomp, which everybody loves. - you know, everybody loves that. i think the meghan thing has made a difference. i well, it's interesting you say it's made a difference. and i think it is a blow for the royal family that didn't work because it was effectively an innovation, wasn't it, to have this mixed—race person join the royalfamily, this young woman who'd had her own career beforehand? and i'm very interested to see how they were back today for this service of thanksgiving, and i wonder to what extent there's a certain amount of rapprochement now, because i think the royal family does have to think about where the monarchy is going in the future. and without them, actually, the burden is on very few shoulders. and shoulders that - don't quite understand. i mean, if meghan and harry had gone
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to the caribbean, i can guarantee - you that the reception would have | been very different because theyl kind of understand, she understands. because it's part of her own heritage. yeah, and it wouldn't have been so embarrassing, you know, - some of the tone deaf interactions. this is a good point to bring up because we are, as i said, potentially at a point of transition, and the royal family must know this. there's a danger that at this point, perhaps unlikely at the moment, the uk says actually we don't want to carry on with the monarchy, but certainly other parts of the world are doing it. we've got anthony albanese, the new prime minister in australia, appointing a minister, an assistant minister and i know everybody sort of said it's a sop to republicanism, but it was in the labor kind of policy position way back in the run—up to the election that they would support a transition to a republic. we have those caribbean islands, caribbean nations, some
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of which have really broken away. others are saying we are going to have our own head of state, no longer have the queen. i mean, this is a significant moment. because she represents thatjunction from the end of empire... yeah. ..to this moment, which could be the end of the monarchy. quite a large part of of the globe. well, as as regards this country, although yasmin has said that there are declining numbers of people who support the monarchy, it isn't that considerable. i think what you do have is you have some people who are very vocal about republicanism and some people, the kind who camp out for three days in advance of something happening on the mall, ardent royalists. but there's a rump in the middle who like the queen, who like the sense of stability and continuity that it brings, and i think what we're seeing at the moment is some management going on by the government, by the royal family to try and ensure that charles seems to be part of that continuity and stability that his mother has represented. things overseas are rather different and i think we're looking towards australia saying, "thanks, but no thanks."
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but it does suggest that there will be more effort made to try and keep the commonwealth of nations together, because of course there are many countries that belong to that that are republics, the queen is not their head of state. i am thinking uganda, of course. but they still want to be in the commonwealth. but you see, i always think - that the commonwealth was a real sop, a kind of not giving up - on a virtual empire, if you like. and i'm sorry, you know, l everybody says the queen hasn't put a foot wrong. actually, she has. i think to insist, as she did two years ago, that charles should | inherit her place was wrong _ because the commonwealth was ready then to elect its own person and they are very respectfulj of the queen, but i thought that was so undemocratic. i and that's my primary...
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your primary objection? my primary objection _ is that it is totally undemocratic for a person to be born into onei family, to be at the top of a very class—ridden society, _ and therefore no other child born in the same minute has that privilege, and that principle| is deeply undemocratic. yet we have a democracy that thrives in this country alongside... yes and no. alongside the monarchy. yes and no, because a lot. of the informal powers that are taken by charles actually, - you remember, the spider letters. letters he wrote when he was younger to the government, criticising government policy. that the queen has managed - to negotiate with the government. i think it was cameron- that the royal family is exempt from foi, freedom of information. how is this ok in a democracy? and where they can't even
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mention the monarchy in the house of commons? i think it was starmer was actually reprimanded a few months ago. the labour leader, for doing so. correct. ijust wanted to pick up on exactly that point, catherine. just this week we had a cabinet minister, the culture secretary, talking about the jubilee celebrations. when she was asked a particular question about an individual member of the family, she said, "we're not allowed to talk about that". similarly, the finances of the royal family are opaque. and there's also this question about these powers, which i think you were alluding to. on two occasions, the queen summoned somebody to form a government. there have been two occasions in her career already where there's been some debate over which party leader she should summon. and in a sense, that's a real political power which has to be exercised with great caution. you might argue was done, but it's a power beyond, in a sense, the democratic system. well, i think when it comes to prime ministers that... well, on occasions when there's been a problem, it's actually been more of an issue of what those
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politicians have been saying and doing. i don't know if you were referring there to... february �*74 and 2010. well, i was thinking more that actually the one that was really the most serious is �*63 when macmillan stood down for health reasons. there wasn't a general election, and it was all a bit of a muddle. and he effectively recommended to her that she ask douglas hume to to replace him. but there was a whole group of people who wanted it to be rab butler, and she went for hume. and it seemed on that occasion that it was more the problems caused by the then set—up in the conservative party rather than her saying, "i must have hume because i want hume". and i think that �*74 and 2010, with those attempts by heath and brown to stay in office
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were more of their making than hers. that's a fair criticism. the point is a fair one. but recalling 2010, huge efforts were made behind the scenes between downing street and the palace to agree the protocols, to draw up a document, and all of this was kind of hidden from the public. commentators talked about it, but we weren't allowed to see it. nobody codified what the rules were, so it was almost like a gentleman's agreement, and i wonder at the beginning of the 21st century, how people would feel about that if we had the next general election, a really contested election, where it's one, two seats between the two big parties. the issue, though, is probably that maybe we need a written constitution more than anything. yeah, an unwritten constitution is great until you actually need to find the rules to govern things. and then a written constitution has its own pitfalls, as we see in my country. as we are seeing again right now. yeah, absolutely. and i understand that there is this urge for countries to have a unifying figure,
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someone who seems to be beyond politics who can really rally the nation in times of great need or crisis, and that happens in other countries. there are elected presidents or otherwise chosen heads of state who are not part of a dynasty that we see here. although, there are one or two where they are, it can feel almost dynastic. that is true. and also i was once based in south asia and saw two monarchies fall. i mean, well, one, it was a republican revolution that got rid of an unelected dynast in nepal, and in bhutan, it was actually a king who said, "it's time for me to give up absolute power and for this to become a constitutional monarchy". but that is the way of the world is heading towards democracy. although, of course we see setbacks. when india became independent, l the minute it became independent, it declared itself a republic and it got rid of all the maharajas, - who were very autocratic and incredibly wealthy, i gave them a palace each. and did that stop the i
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tourists from visiting? no, it made it into a modern state. now, i understand that people say, "oh, do you want trump, then?" i no. this is a model of a titular head like you have in ireland. - you had the wonderful mary robinson, for example, who was elected, - and after her time was done, somebody else was elected. i i can imagine david attenborough being a wonderful president - of the united kingdom, could you not? - yes. yes, it's a good thought, actually. we'll make a note to save that one for when the time comes. the point about the monarchy was made very well by the late duke of edinburgh, when somebody once said to him, "how long do you think the monarchy will last?" and he said, "as long as you want us." so they can envisage a time when they won't be in the position they're in.
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but if we don't want them any more, we've got to work out cogently what we're going to have in its place and how we're going to unravel this, because we've had the setup we've had for such a long time, unless you want a bloody revolution, actually dismantling it is going to be a considerablejob. you could just start by looking at it, looking at the system. . just because something has been . around for a long time is not a good reason not to properly examine it and see, you know, what else - could be more democratic, fairer and more palatable? but i take your point, catherine, in that it is so woven into british life, public life, whether it's the honour system or whatever, this is everywhere that to actually untangle it will be quite a task. it doesn't mean you don't try, if you're so inclined. you know, you can try to do this, but we saw that that might have helped sink it in australia when they had a referendum in 1999. there was no good agreement as to what would actually replace it
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and i think that also hurt the chances of that happening. and so to thoroughly overhaul a system, you need to have something else in place. but we also need really the media. to be less fawning and to really ask the tough questions, the same questions. they ask of politicians. what seems to me, you know, . why did the queen award andrew all these multiple medals? each time you saw him, _ his mum had given him another medal. we need more interrogation. you know, you have these special correspondents, . royal correspondents _ who leave their critical faculties behind, whereas a science - correspondent or an environment correspondent or a legal l correspondent is expected to give you both sides, - to examine, forensically explain. we need to get to| that point, i think. let's talk a bit more in the last few minutes about, because henry raised it and it's a very good point, well, two points actually,
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we'll come to the one about the rest of the world in a moment, if we can. butjust very quickly, on this question of transition, this used to be a really nervous time for monarchs, didn't it, when when an old king or queen was coming to the end of their life, because they worried that at that point, another member of their enormous family from some other branch would turn up and say, "actually, we think our claim is bigger than the claim of the next person you've lined up." it's not quite the same now, but presumably there's still an issue about why it passes the way it does. the queen got it because her uncle had it and he then abdicated and his brother picked up, and then it went through her line. presumably... the duke of kent's line. and there are all kinds of people, presumably, who could could say, actually, if you have a hereditary system, our claim is better than that. well, you mentioned bonnie prince, charlie earlier, and there are certain people who think his descendants should be brought back. but they're a minority. i don't think there is quite that claim.
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i think if there is a nervousness around, it will be about the extent to which charles will be fully accepted. and i think that's notjust to do with the republican feelings that yasmin has been talking about. i think that's an issue about who he is. and some people aren't that well inclined. and because we no longer accept the idea of the divine right of kings. i mean, which we effectively cut a king's head off. or you can argue back to the days of the civil war, but there was an element of we no longer accept that principle. well, indeed. and therefore, presumably that guarantee for him isn't there? well, indeed. but i think it's if there is nervousness, it's more is he fully accepted? and again, ifound it extremely interesting that the queen made a comment in her accession anniversary statement earlier this year about how much she wished to see camilla become the queen consort, not somebody strangely on the sidelines. it did feel like a bit of management of the process, trying to ensure that camilla
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was accepted, because if the queen gives camilla her imprimatur, it's harder for others to object. but i think what will happen when we see a new monarch is that prior to any coronation, if they have one, of that monarch, we're going to get opinion polls, i would think, about them. millions of people have never forgotten diana. | you know, they've wiped her out of history. - prince charles's first wife, who died in a car accident. and that's why camilla _ being installed again by the queen, kind of given this, i think- is to misread how many people really feel passionately. that diana was wronged. i think that's true, but i think that has somewhat faded. no. it's not as strong as it once was.
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and now, interestingly, the prince has been married to his second wife for longer than he was married to diana, so i think, if you like, they've had time on their side. i think she's been bedded in as this member of the royal family. there are people who still feel, as you're suggesting, yasmin, but i don't think it's quite as powerful as it once was. henry, ijust wanted to, as we close, talk very briefly about the rest of the world. it's a bit unfair, but this weekend of all weekends, this is very much a domestic—focused edition of dateline. unusualfor us. butjust on that you gave a great example of asia, where you've got monarchies who voluntarily gave up, monarchies who were deposed. we have a monarchy that's proving very supportive in thailand of the militaryjunta there that seized powerfrom a democracy. i mean, just an observation from you, perhaps on the uses and abuses of monarchy internationally. having a monarch is no guarantee of either the good or the evil of a monarch, of the monarchy.
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you do have thailand, where they're in support of a military dictatorship. on the other hand, although he was an embarrassment a few years ago, the king in spain, juan carlos, actually helped transition that country to democracy from fascism, and so there have been examples of good kings and queens and bad kings and queens. and sometimes it's the same person. correct! exactly. but they are not elected and there is no way to get rid of them unless it is a bloody revolution or some other kind of mechanism that few countries have managed to actually successfully do in a bloodless way, so you cannot get rid of these kings and queens very easily, and i think that's what we're seeing is a problem. i've got 30 seconds, yasmin. how much longer will it last as an institution, do you think, in this country? it will...one generation, i think. catherine? the duke of edinburgh said as long as you want us. but it's also, of course, as long as they want to do it, and will younger generations want to do it? great thought to end on. thank you all very much.
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yasmin, in particular, thank you very much for soldiering on through your discomfort. love your programme. bless you, thank you very much. i hope you love it too at home. that's dateline london for this week. if you do, please come back again same time next week, goodbye. hello. the sunshine continues through much of scotland and northern ireland through the afternoon. england and wales, though, a lot more cloud around and for some of you it stays on the soggy side. outbreaks of rain across some parts of northern england. the far north will stay dry. parts of wales, as well. heavier showers to south wales and south—west england. you can't rule out the odd isolated shower elsewhere, but skies will brighten a bit at times, lifting temperatures to around 19 in the south—east.
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the highest temperatures in the west of scotland and the west of northern ireland, where it could get to around 20 to 22 degrees. through this evening and overnight, well, this evening some heavier showers and thunderstorms possible across southern counties of england to end the day. they will clear through into tomorrow morning. heavy rain in northern england, which pushes towards east anglia and lincolnshire by the end of the night. the clearest conditions across scotland, where you will see the coolest weather to start monday. for monday itself, outbreaks of rain, drizzle across eastern parts of england. a brisk and rather chilly north to north—easterly wind, only slowly easing through the day. most of you do have a dry day on monday, a few showers in the south and through wales, but in the sunshine starting to feel a touch warmer again.
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i'm annita mcveigh outside buckingham palace where the queen's platinum jubilee celebration continue. platinum party at the palace to celebrate an historic 70—year reign. prince charles pays a heartfelt tribute to mummy. you have been where there is a no difficult times and you bring us together to celebrate moments of pride, joy and happiness. the nation's favourite bear kicked off the concert with a private audience with the queen — marmalade and all. happyjubilee, ma'am.
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