we look at by—elections for some sort of a predictive power and it can give us clues as to that but they are variable with a far better predictive power is in its effect on politics immediately and the effect this will have on politics immediately is that boris johnson's authority, already, very, very much weaker and feeble than it was, will the road further still. why is that particularly damaging for the prime minister? any prime minister who starts to lose by—elections, their authority is weakened by particularly damaging for borisjohnson damaging for boris johnson because damaging for borisjohnson because one of his usp, one of the reasons he was put there in the reasons he was put there in the first place, part of a transactional arrangement. the first place, part of a transactionalarrangement. some transactional arrangement. some of the transactionalarrangement. some of the conservative party did not like him but others thought he could really reach to other

parts of the country, the heineken prime minister, with this personality, and that is an important part, a central part and it is being eroded. thank you for watching on bbc world news. just developing that theme, it is weird to see where it will go on the prime minister cannot get home quick enough, canny? he minister cannot get home quick enough. canny?— enough, canny? he is a lucky politician _ enough, canny? he is a lucky politician because _ enough, canny? he is a lucky politician because it - enough, canny? he is a lucky politician because it seems . enough, canny? he is a lucky| politician because it seems to me almost certain that had that attempt to push not happened when it did, and it wasn't particularly organised, it fell over the threshold when it did but if it hadn't happened, will be looking at a no—confidence vote first monday morning and it would have been more difficult for him to do what he has done which is to say look, this is difficult but i can pull it back. when you are losing by—elections in such a

sustained way, it is very difficult for him. we're talking about conservative mps worried about keeping seats but based on these results and local result, they are not looking at them in isolation, particularfor looking at them in isolation, particular for the looking at them in isolation, particularfor the lib dems, all of those places that did well in the local elections, dominic raab, he has a small majority, they are hoping to take that said, michael gove, if the lib dems were going to have a really spectacular resurgence in the south, the surrey seats could be really in trouble, lots of seats, even in cabinet and other senior conservative mps because make no mistake, on the basis of these results if they were to be extrapolated, the conservatives were notjust be losing, they will be looking at annihilation. as were talking earlier, the idea of suddenly a path can be seen to having a

nonconservative majority where you have labour suddenly doing much better on the north, recovering much of the redwall, the lib dems having resurgence in the old heartlands in the south—west, new places in the south—east where they have never been competitive before. the s&p hold on in scotland and the most important thing you can say about these results and election results in previous results, in a way that would have been unimaginable to years ago, even 18 months, one year ago, even 18 months, one year ago, you can seek it quite clear path now to a nonconservative majority in the house and if that happens, they will be out. do house and if that happens, they will be out-— will be out. do we have to look then, will be out. do we have to look then. given — will be out. do we have to look then, given the _ will be out. do we have to look then, given the scale - will be out. do we have to look then, given the scale of - will be out. do we have to look then, given the scale of the . then, given the scale of the results, do we have to look to some of these cabinet members you have mentioned who will have to think about their own constituencies let alone cabinet, whether they are the next step in terms of evolution of the story. what is their response going to be and how willing are they to stick by their cry prime minister? it is

true that historically - their cry prime minister? it 3 true that historically the cabinet was the organ and vessel ultimately is saying to the prime minister the game is up. that is what happened to margaret thatcher and the men in grey suits. so far, the cabinet has proved remarkably resilient. there has not been a senior resignation over partygate and rishi sunak was the person around her most expected there to be most activity but he himself has been deeply damaged by partygate been deeply damaged by pa rtygate affair been deeply damaged by partygate affair and the economy going south. in theory, the cabinet would be the place for that to happen. what is more likely is that although on paper borisjohnson is safe for another year under the rules of the committee meeting, but it didn't do theresa may much good. she had a no—confidence vote and won it, much better in some ways but it did not mean

she was out because ultimately they can change the rules if necessary. but that said, we know boris johnson necessary. but that said, we know borisjohnson is extremely resilient and i can be certain he will fight it till his last political breath.— he will fight it till his last political breath. let's bring in shawn — political breath. let's bring in shawn and _ political breath. let's bring in shawn and what - political breath. let's bring in shawn and what this - political breath. let's bring | in shawn and what this may political breath. let's bring - in shawn and what this may mean about what the lib dems may want and need in the next few months and is it a conservative government with a different leader or is it a conservative government hanging onto the same one?— same one? there is a cynical answer and _ same one? there is a cynical answer and the _ same one? there is a cynical answer and the one - same one? there is a cynical answer and the one that - same one? there is a cynical| answer and the one that they will answer officially. this cynical _ will answer officially. this cynical answer is that boris johnson _ cynical answer is that boris johnson staying on as prime minisler— johnson staying on as prime minister is serving a political purpose _ minister is serving a political purpose for them. really, minister is serving a political purpose forthem. really, if minister is serving a political purpose for them. really, if i was _ purpose for them. really, if i was advising them i would desperately want him to stay on because — desperately want him to stay on because it seems to be working for the — because it seems to be working for the lib— because it seems to be working for the lib dems at the ballot box — for the lib dems at the ballot box as— for the lib dems at the ballot box. as ayesha was saying earlier, _ box. as ayesha was saying earlier, the answer is he must

io earlier, the answer is he must go and — earlier, the answer is he must go and is _ earlier, the answer is he must go and is a _ earlier, the answer is he must go and is a disgrace to the country _ go and is a disgrace to the country. if you are the liberal democrats or labour what you want _ democrats or labour what you want is — democrats or labour what you want is inviting in the conservative party for the next year— conservative party for the next year and — conservative party for the next year and borisjohnson kind of clinging — year and borisjohnson kind of clinging on, like gordon brown, because — clinging on, like gordon brown, because it — clinging on, like gordon brown, because it gives the most political impact. the one thing we know— political impact. the one thing we know about their history of politics — we know about their history of politics is— we know about their history of politics is the conservative party— politics is the conservative party is _ politics is the conservative party is a machine for winning general— party is a machine for winning general elections. you cannot assume — general elections. you cannot assume he won't be able to sort it out— assume he won't be able to sort it out or— assume he won't be able to sort it out or improve or change things— it out or improve or change things but certainly for the liberal— things but certainly for the liberal democrats what you want to be _ liberal democrats what you want to be able — liberal democrats what you want to be able to carry on is keep putting — to be able to carry on is keep putting borisjohnson on to be able to carry on is keep putting boris johnson on your leaflets _ putting boris johnson on your leaflets. �* , , ., , putting boris johnson on your leaflets. �* , , . , . leaflets. ayesha, give us a view to the _ leaflets. ayesha, give us a view to the field _ leaflets. ayesha, give us a view to the field from - leaflets. ayesha, give us a l view to the field from labour on the same issue. we all know the labour position is that borisjohnson should go. it's never a bad thing to have, to be up against a leader in a lot of trouble?— of trouble? absolutely. the official line _

of trouble? absolutely. the official line is _ of trouble? absolutely. the official line is that - of trouble? absolutely. the official line is that this - of trouble? absolutely. the official line is that this man | official line is that this man is thoroughly bad for the country and should go but privately, the champagne corks will be popping because it absolutely suits all the opposition parties, the labour party, the liberal democrats the s&p in scotland as well. it suits to have borisjohnson very wounded by this vote of confidence with a large number of conservative mps voting against him and now another set of very bad by—election results, plus we have this cost—of—living crisis, plus we have inflation going up, there will be a lot of industrial unrest. from a raw, brutal political point of view, yes, it does fit the opposition parties but they have to do more than just rely on boris johnson's unpopularity. this will be a big boost for the labour party. it will be a boost for keir starmer. i think there was a feeling of flatness

in the labour party over the last couple of weeks. this really pick them up, particularly the size of the swing because that is a thing that commentators were really going to be taking over — just picking over and if it were reduced, people would say is that enough for the labour party to do the business? this is very, very good news for keir starmer. i think the labour party will be very, very pleased. the other thing that was interesting was i was hearing from some people in wakefield, this culture war stuff has not cut through in the way the conservatives wanted it to. rwanda did not come up as a big issue on the doorstep in a constituency like wakefield where conservatives were hoping this policy would mobilise that 2019 coalition of leave voters where immigration was a big issue. cost of living was a big issue. cost of living was the number one issue, then

partygate, and wrapped into partygate, and wrapped into partygate, was the character of borisjohnson, the ethics, the used honesty, —— the dishonesty. we wonder and culture issues did not come up. i wonder if the conservatives have overshot on those issues as well. �* , ., ., ., have overshot on those issues as well. �*, ., ., ., ., as well. let's get a flavour of how it went _ as well. let's get a flavour of how it went down _ as well. let's get a flavour of how it went down in - as well. let's get a flavour of l how it went down in wakefield, we arejoined byjames how it went down in wakefield, we are joined byjames vince and our commentator on the ground. you got the vibes pouring out of wakefield, obviously a sense ofjubilation for labour? obviously a sense of “ubilation for mount for labour? yeah, absolutely, everyone _ for labour? yeah, absolutely, everyone has— for labour? yeah, absolutely, everyone has gone _ for labour? yeah, absolutely, everyone has gone home! - for labour? yeah, absolutely, everyone has gone home! all| for labour? yeah, absolutely, i everyone has gone home! all the trestle tables have been broken down and we are the only ones here. huge celebrations or labour. they gave their new winning mp a huge cheer because at the start of the night their faces were slightly different, they were a little bit worried about how this would go, getting briefings from the conservatives that it would be

really tight, maybe as tight as bally and spend was last year, just down the road. but it became clear pretty quickly when the atmosphere changed and everybody, the tension evaporated and the conservatives realise they were were not going to get anywhere near and labour realise they clinched it. the next question was how big with the majority would be, just under 5000 was a majority. they overturned a 3000 majority of the conservatives and that gives the labour party to say we have won here, and won by a decent margin. it will be really interesting for the conservatives because many of the mps and is part of the world that backed borisjohnson and the vote of no—confidence and the vote of no—confidence and did because borisjohnson was a vote winner and an election winner. that has not been the case tonight in wakefield. the conservatives also say this was a specific by—election, not necessarily about the two parties but we are here because the former mp

ahmed carmen was in prison, appealing his conviction, but they will say it was a specific by—election for a specific reason —— khan. labour very happy and they feel they can win back some of the seats like wakefield that they lost in 2019. g . , wakefield that they lost in 2019. , ., ., ~ wakefield that they lost in 2019. , ., ., 2019. james comer thank you very much — 2019. james comer thank you very much indeed, _ 2019. james comer thank you very much indeed, the - 2019. james comer thank you very much indeed, the count| very much indeed, the count there from james vincent. let's bring in mo hussein. party machinery is such that almost after any election result there is the ability to finesse the result itself. what can the conservatives do with these two results in terms of finessing what looks on paper as a very bad night? it what looks on paper as a very bad night?— bad night? it does look like that on paper. _ bad night? it does look like that on paper. i— bad night? it does look like that on paper. i think - bad night? it does look like l that on paper. i think people will be — that on paper. i think people will be feeling that behind the scenes — will be feeling that behind the scenes. the public line will very— scenes. the public line will very much be a bit of what we have —

very much be a bit of what we have already heard that this is midterm — have already heard that this is midterm blues, powerfor12 years— midterm blues, powerfor12 years also, the appalling circumstances as to which we are even— circumstances as to which we are even having a by—election in wakefield. and the disappointing circumstances in tiverton — disappointing circumstances in tiverton. taking a step back, privately. _ tiverton. taking a step back, privately, they will be soul—searching around what do we do — soul—searching around what do we do going forward, how do you move _ we do going forward, how do you move forward, as a party, we have — move forward, as a party, we have such _ move forward, as a party, we have such different support bases, _ have such different support bases, people coming from different places on things. how to bring — different places on things. how to bring that altogether? what is your— to bring that altogether? what is your policy going forward? and — is your policy going forward? and how— is your policy going forward? and how do you campaign again when _ and how do you campaign again when you — and how do you campaign again when you have had this vote of no—confidence, you still have things— no—confidence, you still have things like parliamentary privileges committee hanging over— privileges committee hanging over the — privileges committee hanging over the prime minister's head and chipping away at mps in terms — and chipping away at mps in terms of— and chipping away at mps in terms of how they feel. they are will— terms of how they feel. they are will be a brave face put

on — are will be a brave face put on. elements are right. this is a midterm _ on. elements are right. this is a midterm and there will be people _ a midterm and there will be people protesting. the question then becomes also when you get to a general election, is it just— to a general election, is it just the _ to a general election, is it just the opposition parties capitalising on let's face it, the self—inflicted wounds of the self—inflicted wounds of the government, or do they have a credible — the government, or do they have a credible alternative offer? that — a credible alternative offer? that will— a credible alternative offer? that will be in the minds of people _ that will be in the minds of people at number 10 hq as well. taking _ people at number 10 hq as well. taking you back to your political advisor days, but i don't want to drag up too many bad memories! if you were in downing street tomorrow morning and you are thinking how do we advise the prime minister and communications team on this, what would you be saying and what would you be saying and what would you be saying and what would you be saying privately about what they should be doing about it? publicly, i think i would be advising _ publicly, i think i would be advising them to, as much as they— advising them to, as much as they can, _ advising them to, as much as they can, minimise this. make it sound — they can, minimise this. make it sound routine and it is unusual— it sound routine and it is unusual to have retained

certainly wakefield, operably a bit more — certainly wakefield, operably a bit more circumspect suspect about— bit more circumspect suspect about tiverton. point to the local — about tiverton. point to the local issues, the circumstances as to _ local issues, the circumstances as to why— local issues, the circumstances as to why we are having the elections. privately, we will want — elections. privately, we will want to— elections. privately, we will want to look again at what we are seen— want to look again at what we are seen to be doing, talking about— are seen to be doing, talking about going forward. i don't about going forward. idon't think— about going forward. i don't think you _ about going forward. i don't think you can continuously dine out on — think you can continuously dine out on past achievements. i don't — out on past achievements. i don't think the message around we got — don't think the message around we got brexit dunn is cutting through— we got brexit dunn is cutting through any more. focusing on cost _ through any more. focusing on cost of— through any more. focusing on cost of living and —— done. i agree — cost of living and —— done. i agree with _ cost of living and —— done. i agree with ayesha, the culture wars _ agree with ayesha, the culture wars are — agree with ayesha, the culture wars are not working either. is wars are not working either. [55 there wars are not working either. is there another reshuffle in the air, do you think mo hussein,, it is a step the government would move towards? you have the tools at _

would move towards? you have the tools at your _ would move towards? you have the tools at your disposal - would move towards? you have the tools at your disposal but i the tools at your disposal but you can — the tools at your disposal but you can only use them once and they— you can only use them once and they become quite processing and gimmicky. you have had a reset— and gimmicky. you have had a reset and _ and gimmicky. you have had a reset and people changing their deck— reset and people changing their deck chairs at number 10 and new_ deck chairs at number 10 and new blood coming in and once you have _ new blood coming in and once you have done that and reshuffle that, once you have played — reshuffle that, once you have played that card, you cannot play — played that card, you cannot play it — played that card, you cannot play it again for a while. if things— play it again for a while. if things are still going wrong, what — things are still going wrong, what you do next? it potentially is on the cards. it's certainly been talked about, _ it's certainly been talked about, quite seen actually, but what _ about, quite seen actually, but what happens next i think is a question— what happens next i think is a question and once you change the people and given the same outcomes, people will come back and ask— outcomes, people will come back and ask questions again? i remember after the cheshire and amersham by—election, the first of this trio of remarkable lib dem wins in conservative seats over the course of the last year, i rim of the prime minister in the customary clip over the next day saying something along the lines of something orders happened there. clearly, it's

very characteristic of boris johnson but clearly, this trio cannot be dismissed now. when you put this together with a local election results, not just in 2022 by 2021 as well, there is clearly something happening in the south of england. regardless of what happened in 2019, the mainstay of conservative seats still reside there, that's going to be absolutely terrifying, isn't it? it be absolutely terrifying, isn't it? ., , , be absolutely terrifying, isn't it? . y , ., it? it really will be and i think the _ it? it really will be and i think the public - it? it really will be and i think the public line - it? it really will be and i think the public line will it? it really will be and i i think the public line will be perhaps to minimise that point, there will be safer seated conservatives who have been around for much time, looking at this, looking at their own constituencies and majorities, getting worried about this. what we will see from the government is perhaps a slight cooling down of the levelling up cooling down of the levelling up agenda just being focused on the north and midlands and a

bit more attention and love shown to the south and the more traditional conservative held areas because i do think that is an issue a lot of mps are getting quite frustrated about in terms of so much tension going to these parts of the country which have never really voted conservative before and may not again, so that will be a debate in the weeks to come. john tonge, professor of politics of the university of liverpool is also with us. john, we were discussing earlier about the loss of locally in the way, party loyalty among voters and we've seen these extraordinary swings in the course of today. how difficult nonetheless willard d for the lib dems and the labour to build on this? like for the lib dems and the labour to build on this?— to build on this? like think it's certainly _ to build on this? like think it's certainly possible. - to build on this? like think it's certainly possible. in . it's certainly possible. in some ways by focusing on the problems of the conservatives, not doing justice to the hat—trick of lib dem victories

that lewis just mentioned, quite remarkable swings, and although the liberal democrats had a bad general election in 2019, they did lay the foundations for the sort of revival we are seeing now stop they did include their vote share in every single region, and in each region within those countries, so the performance was perhaps not as bad in 2019 as might have been assumed. the same mistakes asjoe swinson won't be made, running around and saying, i'm your next prime minister, but there will be far more aggressive for the conservatives than they will to labour and also agreed earlier, the odds on a conservative majority government at the next election, a really lengthened this evening, and that's not to say labour will be capable of

forming an overall majority of the next election. yes the size of the swing would put keir starmer into number 10 with a majority but if you factor in by—election actors plus conservative rallying, the likeliest outcome at this stage will be a hung parliament. the problem is that conservatives haveis problem is that conservatives have is that they are friendless, they are friendless otherwise. they have to have an overall majority to govern, otherwise it will be other parties that are governing in coalition. borisjohnson not only has to win, but he has to win big in a sense to get that overall majority. just in terms of his own position, it's an advantage not to have a standout candidate to replace him. it does help in some ways, but in other ways, it can leave the cabinetjostling for position because many cabinet members think they have a chance of replacing him. they

are reluctant, partly because of the ancient adage because of whoever strikes a blow will not wear a crown, but conservative members, some, but not all, they still back borisjohnson. they still back boris johnson. will there be a cabinet they still back borisjohnson. will there be a cabinet member who makes the move against borisjohnson stop there will be the ultimate arbiters of who is the next conservative leader. there is a big reluctance to act against him, given the rules prevent another vote of confidence in the prime ministerfor another vote of confidence in the prime minister for another year. vote of confidence in the prime ministerforanotheryear. he could still cling on, boris johnson but clearly in a wounded position and he's got to rally the party in the autumn, sober. soon after that, you're likely to get the water. back into the full view from the electorate.—

back into the full view from the electorate. john tonge, from the — the electorate. john tonge, from the university - the electorate. john tonge, from the university of- from the university of liverpool, thank you for the analysis. the by—elections have been and gone, the results are in, a win for labour in wakefield, a win for the live gems in tiverton and hobbits. 0n gems in tiverton and hobbits. on both counts, substantial wins. —— hoviton. we are a bit. there are bigger rings. but more of i think both are very good results for the labour party, and the lib dems. the best result _ party, and the lib dems. the best result for _ party, and the lib dems. the best result for the _ party, and the lib dems. the best result for the lib - party, and the lib dems. tie: best result for the lib dems. in terms of the numerical swing. in terms of the size of the majority, in the sense they have never been competitive. but for both, very good result and has been saying, what they point to is the idea that you

can see a very clear path to a non— conservative majority of the next election. as soon as they stop having a majority. it's very likely they are out of office. i think what's really striking about this in a way, if we transport ourselves back two years. we're going to have a situation in two years' time with the labour party takeback wakefield, a redwall seat on 12% swing, and the lib dems take north shropshire, and they take tiverton, all three of those heavily leave voting seats, and the lib dems essentially stood on a policy of revocation, certainly both parties stood on a second referendum policy on the 2019 general election. we would have found that extraordinary, that brexit would continue to be a defining issue. that's not to

say the realignment and what it and still ongoing, there is a realignment ongoing. but brexit is a cardinal issue of british politics, at least with regards to this. it does not seem to be nearly so salient. the fact the live gems and labour are able to be so competitive in these areas proves that to us. i do want to get _ areas proves that to us. i do want to get a _ areas proves that to us. i do want to get a final _ areas proves that to us. i do want to get a final fault - areas proves that to us. i do want to get a final fault will leave from our panel. you've had time to die just and celebrate, i suppose, in terms of the result may lib dem perspective. in a nutshell... they will be absolutely delighted, there will be some cheesy, massive stunt involving blue walls tomorrow or something, they will see it as

another road to recovering the damage they suffered in the 2015 election. m0 damage they suffered in the 2015 election.— damage they suffered in the 2015 election. mo hussein, it's the complete _ 2015 election. mo hussein, it's the complete other— 2015 election. mo hussein, it's the complete other end - 2015 election. mo hussein, it's the complete other end of - 2015 election. mo hussein, it's the complete other end of the | the complete other end of the spectrum for the tories? there will be an _ spectrum for the tories? there will be an attempt _ spectrum for the tories? there will be an attempt to _ spectrum for the tories? there will be an attempt to brush - will be an attempt to brush this off a bit.— will be an attempt to brush this off a bit. put on a brave face. this off a bit. put on a brave face- you — this off a bit. put on a brave face. you will— this off a bit. put on a brave face. you will see _ this off a bit. put on a brave face. you will see the - this off a bit. put on a bravej face. you will see the prime minister— face. you will see the prime minister looking prime ministerial. a lot of soul—searching around our two very _ soul—searching around our two very different seats could be lost in — very different seats could be lost in this way, a significant loss— lost in this way, a significant loss as — lost in this way, a significant loss as well.— loss as well. you want to do win, loss as well. you want to do win. aisha. _ loss as well. you want to do win, aisha, it's _ loss as well. you want to do win, aisha, it's a _ loss as well. you want to do win, aisha, it's a 12% - loss as well. you want to do win, aisha, it's a 12% swing| loss as well. you want to do | win, aisha, it's a 12% swing i think. . y win, aisha, it's a 12% swing i think. . , , .,, , think. absolutely, i was very much managing _ think. absolutely, i was very much managing my - think. absolutely, i was very i much managing my expectation and they— much managing my expectation and they have _ much managing my expectation and they have been _ much managing my expectation and they have been pleasantly. and they have been pleasantly surpassed _ and they have been pleasantly surpassed i_ and they have been pleasantly surpassed. i think— and they have been pleasantly surpassed. i think what - and they have been pleasantly surpassed. i think what we - and they have been pleasantly| surpassed. i think what we can take _ surpassed. i think what we can take from _ surpassed. i think what we can take from this, _ surpassed. i think what we can take from this, if— surpassed. i think what we can take from this, if you - surpassed. i think what we can take from this, if you look- take from this, if you look across— take from this, if you look across the _ take from this, if you look across the broadest -

take from this, if you look| across the broadest areas, take from this, if you look. across the broadest areas, a very— across the broadest areas, a very powerful _ across the broadest areas, a very powerful and _ across the broadest areas, a very powerful and active - very powerful and active motivated _ very powerful and active motivated antivirus - very powerful and active . motivated antivirus johnson alliance _ motivated antivirus johnson alliance which _ motivated antivirus johnson alliance which is _ motivated antivirus johnson| alliance which is assembling motivated antivirus johnson i alliance which is assembling in the country— alliance which is assembling in the country and _ alliance which is assembling in the country and that _ alliance which is assembling in the country and that means, . the country and that means, albeit— the country and that means, albeit in— the country and that means, albeit in a _ the country and that means, albeit in a hung _ the country and that means, albeit in a hung parliament, | albeit in a hung parliament, keir— albeit in a hung parliament, keirstarmer_ albeit in a hung parliament, keir starmer has— albeit in a hung parliament, keir starmer has a - albeit in a hung parliament, keir starmer has a fightingl keir starmer has a fighting chance _ keir starmer has a fighting chance of— keir starmer has a fighting chance of becoming - keir starmer has a fighting chance of becoming prime| chance of becoming prime minister~ _ chance of becoming prime minister-— chance of becoming prime minister. ., ,, , ., , ., minister. thank you, everyone for our minister. thank you, everyone for your contributions - minister. thank you, everyone for your contributions as - minister. thank you, everyonej for your contributions as we've been bringing you the results of the two by—elections in just to remind you once again, wakefield has gone from blue to red, from tory to labour and tiverton has gone from blue to yellow, the yellow of the live gems have overturned a 2a,000 majority day. —— the lib dems. special thank you to lewis. he's been doing his maths through the programme, your mathematica has been great. you very much indeed for your analysis and guiding us through

those results. 0bviously analysis and guiding us through those results. obviously the postmortems, the inquests, all that still to come, will bring it to you on bbc news. let's just find out what the weather is doing. showers have been making their way northwards through the night, accompanied by the odd rumble of thunder. not as warm for the day ahead and there will be some sunshine around, certainly, but equally, a rash of showers will develop as the day goes and that's because we got low pressure moving into the west now and throwing bands of rain oi’ showers oui’ way. we're are also seeing some misty, low cloud and fog coming into eastern scotland and it will be a much warmer start to friday, quite a close night and end to the night. that mist and fog could hang around. cloudy for the northern isles, showers developing quite quickly, turning heavy and thundery, and then more persistent rain pushes into the south west of england, western wales and, more notably, northern ireland later in the day. it turns quite wet and breezy — increasingly breezy, particularly in the west, so it will feel fresher here. we could still see 25—26 in the east but not as warm for northern england,

north wales or scotland as it was during the day on thursday. but still some very high levels of pollen, despite a scattering of showers around across parts of the midlands, east anglia, up into lincolnshire in the south—east. we do see that band of rain turning more showery, pushing northwards during the evening and overnight. that low pressure centred, as you can see, to the west of us, and it's going to stay there. it's going to become stalled, slow—moving, and it's going to continue throw showers across the united kingdom and because its low pressure, it makes the air conducive to seeing showers anyway, so some of them will be heavy, the odd rumble of thunder, but as the breeze increases later today and then through the weekend, certainly, unusually windy for the time of year, it's going to push those showers through quite quickly and freshen the air up. temperatures around about where they should be for the time of year, but some lengthier spells of rain, certainly, close to that area of low pressure across parts of northern ireland and scotland. we could easily see some lengthier spells of thundery rain pushing into the eastern side of england saturday night

into sunday and then brushing close by to the east of scotland but otherwise, the onus on the frequency of the showers, intensity of the showers, will be in northern and western areas. really quite a brisk wind — gusts of 30—a0mph — so that's something to bear in mind if you're out and about through the weekend. 0therwise, temperatures once again into the low 20s. and that low pressure system sat to the west will stay with us into the start of the new week, as you can see. still some showers around, more prevalent in the west. temperatures staying in the low 20s at best.

this is bbc news. i'm tadhg enright with the latest headlines for viewers in the uk and around the world. a crushing double defeat for prime minister borisjohnson, as the conservatives lose long—held seats at by—elections in tiverton and honiton and wakefield. tonight, the people of wakefield have spoken on behalf of the british people and they have said unreservedly, boris johnson, your contempt for this country is no longer tolerated. so where does this leave boris johnson? currently at a commonwealth leaders' summit in rwanda, he had suggested it would be "crazy" for him to quit if the party lost the two seats.

the us supreme court strikes down restrictions on