antrim and county down could be enough to cause poor travelling conditions, surface water and spray. the rain will continue to journey northwards and we are back to sunshine and showers, some heavy, thundery and slow—moving with very light winds, sunny spells in between, could see patchy rain gracing the coast of east anglia and temperatures 16 to 21 degrees. for wimbledon tomorrow the chance we could see the logic shower, it may into a play at times but not all the time, there could be spells of sunshine and showers in the mix for wimbledon on friday, as for many others, some heavy and thundery, more of a breeze, rain in the morning in north—east scotland and in the afternoon across parts of ireland, temperatures 15 to 22. when will things settle down? we are waiting for this area of high pressure which is trying to building through the weekend but it is taking

its time to have an effect. still plenty of showers on saturday, not as many on sunday and things should start to turn drier next week and perhaps a touch warmer. a bus, but plenty of showers to come between now and then. plenty of showers to come between now and then-— and that's bbc news at ten on wednesday, june 29. there's more analysis of the day's main stories on newsnight, which isjust getting under way on bbc two. the news continues here on bbc one, as now it's time to join our colleagues across the nations and regions for the news where you are. ki rsty kirsty is standing by with newsnight. but from the ten team, it's goodnight.

hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. with me are the veteran james rampton, features writer at the independent and annabel denham, director of communications at the institute of economic affairs, which is a free market think—tank. tomorrow's front pages. the metro leads with the american decision to station thousands more troops in europe, as part of efforts to deter vladimir putin. the i focuses on british defence spending, saying there will be no more money for the military for another three years, despite the tensions in europe. the financial times reports comments by the governor of the bank of england, who says the era of low inflation

and low interest rates is over. the guardian covers research which links the privatisation of nhs services with higher death rates and a drop in the quality of services. the telegraph has spoken to allies of the prime minister, who fear he won't get a fair hearing, in the inquiry into whether he misled parliament over partygate. annabel, shall we start with you? let's look at the i,a story they did yesterday, no extra uk defence cash until 2025 despite the war. ben wallace admitted a few hours ago that he had been asked to remove some excerpts from his speech. where is this a 0.5% increase above inflation that the government was promising in its manifesto? weill.

promising in its manifesto? well, es, promising in its manifesto? well, yes. exactly. _ promising in its manifesto? well, yes. exactly. as _ promising in its manifesto? well, yes, exactly, as the _ promising in its manifesto? well, yes, exactly, as the i _ promising in its manifesto? well, yes, exactly, as the i is _ promising in its manifesto? well, | yes, exactly, as the i is reporting, the prime minister facing yes, exactly, as the i is reporting, the prime ministerfacing an open revolt from members of his cabinet because this freeze will mean a real terms cut in military funding of around £1.7 billion after inflation, not going to fulfil the manifesto promise and it will give boris johnson yet another headache, after a series of them for as long as i can remember. a number of challenges when it comes to uk defence spending. the great economist adam smith believed defence of the realm was one of the few purposes of the state, along with the administration ofjustice. there is certainly an argument to be made that we ought to be increasing our defence spending given the ongoing threat from the war in ukraine. but of course, the money needs to come from somewhere. in 2019, we were spending around £113

billion on the ministry of defence, but spending 170 billion odd on health and social, and more than that on the department for work and pensions. are we going to be trimming those budgets, and what kind of cabinet revolt would the prime minister faced kind of cabinet revolt would the prime ministerfaced if kind of cabinet revolt would the prime minister faced if that was an action that he was going to try and take? the second challenge is really for the ministry of defence or the defence secretary to ask whether the existing budget is being spent in the best way possible. for instance, do we need things like aircraft carriers for out of area operations? can money within the defence budget be redeployed? no doubt these are the sorts of questions borisjohnson and ben wallace are having to ask themselves and examine at the moment. certainly the pressure is mounting for the prime minister to increase that spending. interesting, james, increase that spending. interesting, james. isn't — increase that spending. interesting, james. isn't it. _ increase that spending. interesting, james, isn't it, that _ increase that spending. interesting, james, isn't it, that so _ increase that spending. interesting, james, isn't it, that so many - james, isn't it, that so many commentators and people within the mod saying that money should be

going on cyber warfare and things like that, when in fact conflict in the uk and, it's howitzers and tanks. ~ , , the uk and, it's howitzers and tanks. absolutely, it's interesting, if ou din tanks. absolutely, it's interesting, if you dig into _ tanks. absolutely, it's interesting, if you dig into these _ tanks. absolutely, it's interesting, if you dig into these figures, - tanks. absolutely, it's interesting, if you dig into these figures, the l tanks. absolutely, it's interesting, if you dig into these figures, the i | if you dig into these figures, the i say no _ if you dig into these figures, the i say no extra cash until 2025, in real_ say no extra cash until 2025, in real terms_ say no extra cash until 2025, in real terms that is a cut in military funding _ real terms that is a cut in military funding of— real terms that is a cut in military funding of {1.7 billion after inflation, not a figure to be sniffed _ inflation, not a figure to be sniffed at. i'm also intrigued that the i_ sniffed at. i'm also intrigued that the i has — sniffed at. i'm also intrigued that the i has quoted ben wallace, the defence _ the i has quoted ben wallace, the defence secretary, saying this is called _ defence secretary, saying this is called defence spending, it doesn't buy any— called defence spending, it doesn't buy any more planes, tanks and ships. _ buy any more planes, tanks and ships, which as you rightly point out is _ ships, which as you rightly point out is what _ ships, which as you rightly point out is what they need in this desperate war in the ukraine. it also _ desperate war in the ukraine. it also says— desperate war in the ukraine. it also says to me that this may be one of the _ also says to me that this may be one of the first— also says to me that this may be one of the first signs of an open cabinet _ of the first signs of an open cabinet revolt. ben wallace rumbling, liz truss agitating for more _ rumbling, liz truss agitating for more money at the nato summit in spain _ more money at the nato summit in spain... after the completely disastrous, in my eyes, millennia

that boris— disastrous, in my eyes, millennia that borisjohnson has been ruling, but certainly the six months, we have _ but certainly the six months, we have had — but certainly the six months, we have had partygate... and another storym _ story... inaudible. and the double by—election loss last week _ and the double by—election loss last week. defence and his support of ukraine _ week. defence and his support of ukraine will seem to be one of johnson's _ ukraine will seem to be one of johnson's sole strong points, but even _ johnson's sole strong points, but even that— johnson's sole strong points, but even that seems to be under threat with the _ even that seems to be under threat with the rumbling is one other cabinet — with the rumbling is one other cabinet ministers. is this the beginning of the end for him? we have _ beginning of the end for him? we have heard — beginning of the end for him? we have heard that before, and david cameron— have heard that before, and david cameron famously called him a greased piglet, so he may well escape — greased piglet, so he may well escape from this as well. that has been _ escape from this as well. that has been asked — escape from this as well. that has been asked many times. with inflation at — been asked many times. with inflation at 996, _ been asked many times. with inflation at 996, the _ been asked many times. with inflation at 996, the idea - been asked many times. with inflation at 996, the idea of i inflation at 9%, the idea of something above that would be completely unrealistic. shall we move on to the metro? europe's new iron curtain. sweden, finland, given

accession status, not clear when they will become new members at number 31 and they will become new members at number31 and 32 they will become new members at number 31 and 32 of nato. how important is that do you think? the accession important is that do you think? tie: accession of sweden important is that do you think? tt;e: accession of sweden and important is that do you think? "tt9: accession of sweden and finland important is that do you think? tt9: accession of sweden and finland is pretty significant. although of course it was the accession of ukraine to nato that some pundits blamed for putin's aggression in that area. the cover of the metro, splashing with the idea that there is a new iron curtain, that the us is a new iron curtain, that the us is promising hundred thousand troops on the russian border... an is promising hundred thousand troops on the russian border...— on the russian border... an extra 300,000, _ on the russian border... an extra 300,000, forgive _ on the russian border... an extra 300,000, forgive me, _ on the russian border... an extra 300,000, forgive me, for- on the russian border... an extra 300,000, forgive me, for the - on the russian border... an extra | 300,000, forgive me, for the new quick response force in total. the uuote quick response force in total. the quote that _ quick response force in total. tt9 quote that stood out to me there was from the president, saying that nato, the us president, saying nato is now needed more than it has ever been. let's not forget, one of

vladimir putin's objectives from the war in ukraine was to stoke division among western nations. and of course, at least since the start of the conflict in ukraine, things have moved in the opposite direction. when it began, we were questioning the strength of our international institutions. nato has seemingly stacked up as a military alliance, and given a pretty robust response. certainly a more robust response than i was expecting. since the start of the war, we have asked whether it marks a turning point in our history, whether it spells the end of the american area, whether we are going to have a new cold war between the west and the russia chinese axis of authoritarians. it's still far too early to say whether thatis still far too early to say whether that is the case. but certainly, it is increasingly looking like the invasion have spelt the end of the post cold war order, and we are now

seeing some kind of new iron curtain being erected, and perhaps that is what has compelled finland and sweden, which have had a more real politic neutral approach to foreign policy, to apply to become members of nato. , :, , ., ., ., of nato. james, that idea of the nato russia _ of nato. james, that idea of the nato russia founding _ of nato. james, that idea of the nato russia founding act - of nato. james, that idea of the nato russia founding act in - of nato. james, that idea of the | nato russia founding act in 1997 where nato said it had no reason to put nuclear weapons or troops in areas that would provoke or cause concern for russia, that is completely different now. do you think nato is united in terms of the war aims, and think nato is united in terms of the waraims, and where think nato is united in terms of the war aims, and where this will end? —— completely defunct now. last -- completely defunct now. last ear, -- completely defunct now. last year, president _ —— completely defunct now. last year, president macron described nato _ year, president macron described nato as— year, president macron described nato as brain dead. in the intervening period, russia has mounted — intervening period, russia has mounted this venus invasion of ukraine, — mounted this venus invasion of ukraine, and everything has changed.

-- this— ukraine, and everything has changed. —— this heinous invasion. since the early— —— this heinous invasion. since the early 60s, — —— this heinous invasion. since the early 60s, for— —— this heinous invasion. since the early 605, for the first time, —— thi5 heinous inva5ion. since the early 605, for the first time, it has a reat— early 605, for the first time, it has a real rai50n d'etre. the russian _ has a real rai50n d'etre. the russian inva5ion has a real rai50n d'etre. the russian invasion of ukraine has ru55ian invasion of ukraine has brought— ru55ian invasion of ukraine has brought sometimes russian invasion of ukraine has brought sometimes fractious nations together— brought sometimes fractious nations together in a way nothing else has. turkey— together in a way nothing else has. turkey for— together in a way nothing else has. turkey for a — together in a way nothing else has. turkey for a while was standing against — turkey for a while was standing against finland and swedenjoining, but they— against finland and swedenjoining, but they have come into line. turkey or course _ but they have come into line. turkey or course have sometimes courted relations with russia. but i agree with annabel, if putin's aims was to create _ with annabel, if putin's aims was to create rifts — with annabel, if putin's aims was to create rifts in the western attiance, _ create rifts in the western alliance, he has actually achieved the opposite. what he has done is bring _ the opposite. what he has done is bring sometimes conflicted nations together— bring sometimes conflicted nations together in a way we haven't seen for a _ together in a way we haven't seen for a generation, and together in a way we haven't seen fora generation, and i'm together in a way we haven't seen for a generation, and i'm delighted about— for a generation, and i'm delighted about that — for a generation, and i'm delighted about that. i'm not delighted we are on the _ about that. i'm not delighted we are on the brink— about that. i'm not delighted we are on the brink of a new cold war, but i'm delighted we have shown such unity, _ i'm delighted we have shown such unity, because a bully like putin will only— unity, because a bully like putin will only be encouraged if people

don't _ will only be encouraged if people don't stand up and defy him. let's look at the — don't stand up and defy him. let's look at the f _ don't stand up and defy him. let's look at the f t. _ don't stand up and defy him. let's look at the f t. andrew _ don't stand up and defy him. l9t�*3 look at the f t. andrew bailey, governor of the bank of england, warning... borisjohnson said he thought inflation would abate early next year. not so, says the governor. next year. not so, says the governor-— next year. not so, says the covernor. ., , ., governor. no, he is saying that the era of low inflation _ governor. no, he is saying that the era of low inflation and _ governor. no, he is saying that the era of low inflation and low- era of low inflation and low interest rates has come to an end, a stark admission from the governor of the bank of england. inflation, of course, in the high single digits, set to rise further later this year when energy prices rise by another 40%. the governor has hinted at a 0.5% increase in official interest rates, which currently sit at 1.25%. that is absolutely appropriate. the current level is too low. what we have seen recently is this continued great or small increases, which are

unlikely to change anything. a half point move would at least send a clear signal that the bank is serious about getting inflation down again. —— this continued grip of small increases. we need to manage people's expectations and not ask for inflation—busting pay rises... fed put theirs up by 0.75%. absolutely, i agree with annabel, the bank— absolutely, i agree with annabel, the bank of england is really having to focus— the bank of england is really having to focus at— the bank of england is really having to focus at the moment on trying to stop this _ to focus at the moment on trying to stop this spiralling inflation. i apologise for my cynicism, but the moment— apologise for my cynicism, but the moment borisjohnson so he can see the end _ moment borisjohnson so he can see the end of— moment borisjohnson so he can see the end of inflation, i fear it will 'u5t the end of inflation, i fear it will just go— the end of inflation, i fear it will just go through the roof. annabel i5 just go through the roof. annabel is absolutely— just go through the roof. annabel is absolutely right, when energy prices io absolutely right, when energy prices go up _ absolutely right, when energy prices go up again in october, it will inevitably— go up again in october, it will inevitably lead to another increase inevitably lead to another increase in inflation. i am really concerned

at the _ in inflation. i am really concerned at the moment about the state of this country. we are already deeply fractured _ this country. we are already deeply fractured because of brexit, and these _ fractured because of brexit, and these absurd culture war is the government is stoking. if there is a serious _ government is stoking. if there is a serious rise — government is stoking. if there is a serious rise in inflation, the cost of living — serious rise in inflation, the cost of living cri5i5 serious rise in inflation, the cost of living crisis is only going to -et of living crisis is only going to get worse, with people already suffering. we are hearing stories about— suffering. we are hearing stories about nurses having to go to food banks _ about nurses having to go to food banks in— about nurses having to go to food banks. in the 21st century, how upsetting — banks. in the 21st century, how upsetting that that is happening. if the government cannot put a stop to this rise — the government cannot put a stop to this rise in _ the government cannot put a stop to this rise in inflation, it doesn't really— this rise in inflation, it doesn't really matter what sort of idiocy boris _ really matter what sort of idiocy boris johnson really matter what sort of idiocy borisjohnson gets up really matter what sort of idiocy boris johnson gets up to, the government will be out on its ear anyway~ — government will be out on its ear anyway~ in — government will be out on its ear an a . ., , government will be out on its ear an a . . , ~ ., , anyway. in the telegraph, annabel, the partygate investigation - anyway. in the telegraph, annabel, the partygate investigation inquiry l the partygate investigation inquiry to be chaired by harriet harman. there were fears that borisjohnson faces a kangaroo court. what do you think? �* ., , �* , ., think? i'm not sure i've seen that in the telegraph... _ think? i'm not sure i've seen that in the telegraph... downing - think? i'm not sure i've seen that. in the telegraph... downing street sources fear _

in the telegraph... downing street sources fear it _ in the telegraph... downing street sources fear it risks _ in the telegraph... downing street sources fear it risks becoming - in the telegraph... downing street sources fear it risks becoming a . sources fear it risks becoming a kangaroo court, the prime minister accused the house of commons privilege committee on relying on hearsay evidence... borisjohnson not able at the moment to challenge any of the witnesses. i'm sorry if you haven't been told about that. james, were you given a copy of this? ., �* ., ., .,, �* this? no, i'm afraid i wasn't... shall we _ this? no, i'm afraid i wasn't... shall we move _ this? no, i'm afraid i wasn't... shall we move on? _ this? no, i'm afraid i wasn't... shall we move on? pointless l this? no, i'm afraid i wasn't... | shall we move on? pointless of me reading it all out then! in the guardian? have you seen that? t guardian? have you seen that? i have! tour _ guardian? have you seen that? i have! tour privatisation - guardian? have you seen that? i have! tour privatisation linked i guardian? have you seen that? i j have! tour privatisation linked to an increase _ have! tour privatisation linked to an increase in _ have! tour privatisation linked to an increase in nhs _ have! tour privatisation linked to an increase in nhs death rates. | have! tour privatisation linked to i an increase in nhs death rates. the lancet investigation. —— tory privatisation. lancet investigation. -- tory privatisation.— lancet investigation. -- tory privatisation. lancet investigation. -- tory rivatisation. , .,~ ,, privatisation. the shake-up of nhs encland in privatisation. the shake-up of nhs england in 2012 — privatisation. the shake-up of nhs england in 2012 under _ privatisation. the shake-up of nhs england in 2012 under andrew - privatisation. the shake-up of nhs i england in 2012 under andrew lansley as the health secretary at the time,

and how this.