it could get hot again next week. we've got the hosepipe ban because that's due to start tomorrow across hampshire and the isle of wight, more bands on the way for south—east england next week in parts of wales could be seeing them as well. this is why, really, so far this year we've only had two thirds of the normal rainfall across england. it was even drier back in 1976, but yeah, no rain at the forecast for the next five days and to be honest even next week it looks bone dry across england and wales. those areas that desperately need rain are not going to get any, so things will get worse before they get better. today, lots of sunshine across england and wales to come, a few showers for scotland and northern ireland so the weather a bit more mixed here. a fresh feel to the weather compared to yesterday across east anglia and south—east england where it was very humid, today feels more comfortable, temperature is about 25 in the warmest spots. overnight showers become more

widespread and heavy for northern ireland, western scotland, a few getting in to the north—west for england and wales but still dry where we need that rain. temperatures 8—111, a comfortable night ahead, and tomorrow, weather—wise it's almost exactly a carbon copy repeat of what we'll have to day. we'll see further showers for scotland and northern ireland, maybe a few for the north west england and wales but the further south you go across the midlands, southern wales, east anglia and the south, it's another dry day with sunshine and temperatures not really changing much either, where the sunshine comes out it will continue to feel pretty warm. it means for the commonwealth games tomorrow, no problems for the athletics, almost perfect conditions with like winds and lots of dry weather. for the start of the week and something of a change for the north of scotland with thick cloud on the way here with thick cloud on the way here with the weather front moving in, we'll see a bit of rain for a time but further south where we need the rain it's dry with more in the way of sunshine. temperatures still into the high teens across northern oreos of the country but peaking at around

26 towards the south—east of england. beyond that as we head through sunday and into next week this area of high pressure builds and dominates and it's this that's going to bring some much warmer weather. in fact, going to bring some much warmer weather. infact, by going to bring some much warmer weather. in fact, by tuesday we'll start to see the winds coming up from the south and that will boost the temperature is particularly across england and wales but we'll get much warmerfor across england and wales but we'll get much warmer for scotland and northern ireland, so next week we see those temperatures return into the low 30s across parts of england, not far off that for wales, high 20s here, and it will get warmer for northern ireland and scotland. some fine weather to get out and about but of course we need the rain and as you can see we are not a reminder of our top story... going to see any next week. the latest weather. the bank of england predicts a recession later this year. predicts a recession later this ear. , predicts a recession later this ear, , ., . ., , predicts a recession later this ear. , ., , ., .,

year. uk is forecast to enter a recession _ year. uk is forecast to enter a recession later _ year. uk is forecast to enter a recession later this _ year. uk is forecast to enter a recession later this year. - year. uk is forecast to enter a recession later this year. on | year. uk is forecast to enter a i recession later this year. on bbc one we good afternoon. it's 1.30pm and here's your latest sports news. england's anna henderson has won the first home nations medal of the day, taking silver in the women's cycling time trial. henderson impressed during the women's tour de france recently, and did the same this morning across the 28.8 km circuit at wolverhampton�*s west park. australia's grace brown took gold, winning in a fraction over a0 minutes, with henderson 33 seconds behind, while georgia williams of new zealand came third.

lets ta ke lets take you to the first day of diving. l on your screen at the moment. jack law, the defending champion here is outside the top eight after his first dive, but remember only 11 competitors will advance to the final. let's hang on this. look at the timing. it has all worked out. here is jack law. it is his second dive. everyone will be in the final, but this is deciding the order that they go in, and i'm not sure he will be particularly happy with that one either. this is all in preparation for tonight's final, and you can watch how he gets on on the bbc iplayer at the moment. very much

install as the favourite for now let's move away from the diving. 15 gold medals are up to grab his here. on day seven of these commonwealth games. next to the women's 200m heats. there's no english representation after 100m medalist darryl neita withdrew, following her bronze last night (embedded object, wales' hannah brier here and guernsey's abi galpin both booked their place in the semi—finals after a successful start to the day.. england's zharnel hughes and adam gemilli have both made it through their heats of the mens 200 metres. hughes here qualified comfortably in his heat. he finished first in the 2018 final, but was disqualified afterwards for impeding the eventual champion jereem richards. gemilli won his heat comfortably to reach the semi finals too. it is ridiculous. it's a morning session, and we've got a full

stadium full of fans. why are we not having more events in the uk? it is outrageous. it was so humbling the reception i got. it did rival that that they gave me in 2012 as well. i can't complain. it's a busy day of boxing quarter finals at the nec hall four, where victory guarantees a fighter a bronze medal. one of those is scotland's matthew mchale who produced a dominant display against malaysia's muhammad ahmad shaharom to move into the semi—finals of the bantamweight. mchale, from edinburgh, won the first round on alljudges' scorecards and then the second by a 10—8 margin. northern ireland teenager dylan eagleson is also guaranteed at least bronze after winning his ba ntamweight fight today, ba ntamweight fight today. england women have thrashed wales 5—0 to qualify for the knockouts of the hockey as group a winners. grace balsdon scored

a hat—trick with hannah martin and giselle ansley also on target as england continued their unbeaten start in birmingham. they'll now play the defending champions new zealand in the semifinals. to the netball and a shock result — jamaica have beaten the top seeds and three—time champions australia to finish top of their group. jamaica — known as the the sunshine girls — were 5 goals down after the third quarter but put in a huge final 15 minutes to win 57—55. if england beat new zealand later on tonight they'll face jamaica in the semifinal on saturday. elsewhere wales may not have made it to the semi—finals, but they got their second win in pool a, beating barbados 60—44. it's an improvement on the 2018 competition where they didn't win any of their pool matches. one story to bring you away from the games, and ahead of the start of the new premier league season,

chelsea have signed the highly—rated young english midfielder carney chukwuemeka from aston villa. the 18—year—old was a key player in the england under 195 team that won the european championships injuly and he's signed a six—year deal. it's after he refused to sign a new contract at villa. chukwuemeka had been linked with barcelona, ac milan and borussia dortmund. the new chelsea chairman todd boehly described him as one of the "most exciting young players in europe". my my reaction to that over the bbc sport website. you my reaction to that over the bbc sport website-— my reaction to that over the bbc sport website. you can follow that alon: with sport website. you can follow that along with all _ sport website. you can follow that along with all that _ sport website. you can follow that along with all that is _ sport website. you can follow that along with all that is happening i sport website. you can follow that along with all that is happening in| along with all that is happening in the games on iplayer at the moment. that's all the sport for now. in the last few minutes, the chancellor says that he understands people will find these forecasts

concerning, but he said addressing the cost of living is the government's priority. the governor of the bank of england has been speaking earlier at the bank of england press conference. cpi inflation is now expected to peak atjust over 13% in q for this year and remain and to remain at very elevated levels throughout much of 2023. the bulk of that further increase reflects higher wholesale prices feeding through to retail energy prices, with a further large rise in the off gem price gap projected in october. i should stress that our forecasts and projections take into account the new method announced by of gem this morning. so, you can see in the next chart, the direct impact of energy prices on cpi inflation in our recent forecasts, and the extent of the latest upward revisions.

you will see the green line. i will come back to the dashed green line later because that shows an alternative projection which uses their full futures curve rather than the fixing of the line. but you can see obviously there are clearly what has gone on in recent forecasts, and i would emphasise also, i use the word direct impact of energy. of course it is not the total impact of energy. this is the direct impact of energy. now, this rising energy prices has exacerbated the falling real incomes, and so led to a significant deterioration in the outlook for activity in the uk and in the rest of europe. gdp growth in the uk is slow and the economy is now forecast to enter into recession later this year. as illustrated by the white line in this chart. this chart is showing what we are projecting. i am using the baseline projection here with the fixed line of energy prices and comparing it with past recessions. so, the white line shows the projected peak to trough fall

in output of 0.25%. it would be similar to that experienced in the early 19905 recession, which is in green if you can see it, although less than the global financial crisis which is shown in pink. now, in marked contrast to these previous episodes, this predominantly reflects the adverse impact of the very sharp rise in global energy and tradable goods prices on uk real income spending. and as shown in the chart for inflation, these elements are further accentuated the extent to which the mpc baseline projection, uk cpi inflation is well above the target in the first ab 18 months and well below the target in three years time. cpi inflation is projected to fullbacks from its peak to nine and a half percent in four years time but domestic pressures are outweighed by assume stabilisation of energy prices and falls in tray

with double goods prices. then fall sharply to the... domestic factors also fade. and then it falls well below the target in four years time reflecting a further weakening in domestic pressures. going back to my introductory remark, the uncertainty around the outlook is exceptionally high, especially for energy prices. under our standard conditioning assumption, energy prices would be extremely high by historical standards throughout the whole of the three—year period. and that's without fixing the price. therefore, as in a recent report, we have also set out an alternative projection in which energy prices follow the downward sloping previous curves. although they are still above their pre—pandemic levels throughout. you can see that in this part chart. as shown in the green to blue line in

this chart, the contribution from energy prices implies cpi inflation of around one percentage point below the 2% target at the two year point and even further below the target at year three. this would result in a smaller fall year three. this would result in a smallerfall in year three. this would result in a smaller fall in households year three. this would result in a smallerfall in households real incomes and spending. in gdp would be somewhat higher than the projection. at 230 we will be speaking further on the cost of living. much of europe is in the grip of another heatwave.

and this time there are worries over a potential drought. france has seen record low rainfall — and parts of england are now facing a hosepipe ban. the european commission has warned member states to re—use treated urban wastewater to irrigate farmland. the bbc�*s tim allman reports. in the city of toulouse, you can almost walk on water. the garonne is at such a low level now, fishermen are able to wade out, the river barely covering their ankles. weeks of hot weather, and crucially no rain, has had a dramatic impact. translation: we are seeing record levels of drought. - that is to say, we've never seen the ground as dry as it is at the moment. over the coming days, there's not a lot of rain expected, so there's no end in sight to this drought. so, how bad has it got? well, according to meteorologists, in the month ofjuly... france only saw 9.7 millimetres of rainfall. that is 84% down on average levels for that month, making it the driest on record in more than 60 years. the country's

environment minister said that only 12% of the rainfall required fell in july. in this part of northern france, not far from dunkirk, water shortages aren't usually a problem. but even here, the yser river is below its usual level. the local authorities have placed the area under a drought crisis alert for the first time, pointing the finger of blame in one direction. translation: the effects of drought are a direct - consequence of global warming, which is only intensifying. we hear about it, we see the physical effects on the ground. it's undoubtedly one of the effects of global warming, which is accelerating and intensifying. lack of water has all sorts of consequences. this is denis bollengier, a local farmer whose potato crop is in serious danger. translation: if it doesn't rain - between now and the 15th of august, meaning in 10—12 days, we can easily lose up

to 50% of our crop. it's notjust france facing a potential drought. this was the river ver in southern england, which has now run completely dry. water companies have already imposed hosepipe bans on customers in several counties and london could be next. unless rain arrives soon, the impact of the potential drought will only become more severe. tim allman, bbc news. australia is counting the cost of catastrophic floods this year — which may be the most expensive natural disaster in the country's history. the multi—billion—dollar rebuilding effort could take years. and for victims without property insurance — the future is uncertain. the insurance council of australia has told the bbc that some flood—prone areas might have to be abandoned because the risks are too high. phil mercer reports from sydney. so this whole back area and the bottom level was submerged

in water and basically everything that was downstairs was destroyed. murky brown floodwaters have invaded this woman's property three times this year. her home isn't insured because the premiums are too expensive and cover is hard to find. i don't have flood insurance, and you would be very hard—pressed to find any company that will cover you in a flood zone, even in a one in 100 yearflood zone because you're very high—risk. it is very unsettling and it is hard to start over because you are like, is it worth fixing, is it worth replacing things? if i sell my house, can i sell my house? there is a lot of uncertainty. it is estimated that one in ten australian homes are now vulnerable to flooding. some might have to be abandoned. there is a case already that there are areas where insurance

is simply unaffordable because of the flood factor. we could take a more extreme view and that is start drawing lines around areas that we know are going to be flood—prone, and there is simply no engineering solution. and at that point step in and offer those people the opportunity to sell their homes to government and move to other areas. thousands of people were forced to leave their homes in record—breaking floods that swamped parts of eastern australia. here in windsor, the bridge, which is a main thoroughfare, was completely submerged. the waters have obviously receded but what they have left behind is financial pain that many residents will be feeling for years. this man is working to revive his famous floating restaurant on the hawkesbury river near sydney. financially it has been an absolute disaster. as it stands, due to the floods, i haven't operated since february 2021. probably over $1 million i've lost, three majorfloods, two lots of covid shutdowns

and bushfires, and with very little assistance at all. australia is a land well used to nature's extremes, but for many, back—to—back disasters are testing their resilience like never before. let's ta ke let's take a look now at some of the stories from across the uk. she's been described as a lovely girl who was always happy and dancing. lilia valutyte was stabbed to death a week ago, and today those who knew her have been paying tribute. jessica lane reports. i am here on fountain lane in the centre of boston and this is where lilia was found about 20 past six a week ago on thursday evening. i'm joined by some people who knew her.

what are your memories of her? my memories are the best of her because she was a shy, lovely girl who had lots of beautiful dreams. she loved to dance, very active in our community events, she was a really lovely child, like an angel. and you knew her personally really well and you said as well she was always dancing. yes, she was a really good dancer. she was a beautiful creature. our children are friends. and out of this awful tragedy, what has happened, you would like to do something positive for the community and for everyone. yes, after this tragic, we want to remind people that there are good things that can happen in the world and just remind from this tragedy

that it cannot happen again. we want to place an angel memorial, not just for lilia, but for everyone to be aware that things like this can happen. and somewhere for people to come to and to gather. yes, and we would like that this memorial would a symbol of peace and light and everybody could come and remember how valuable is the person's life, how we have to support each other, how we have to love each other, care about each other. thank you very much. the inquest into lilia's death will open later this afternoon.

police in bangladesh believe that a family from cardiff and died in a family from cardiff and died in a family visit last month. the family are still coming to terms with the lofts in cardiff and bangladesh. they were on a two month visit to the country when a relative found them unconscious in bed in their flat. the 51—year—old who was a taxi driver in cardiff and the sun died on the way to hospital. his older son says he does not know what happened. i son says he does not know what happened-— son says he does not know what ha ened. ., �* ~ ., ., ., ,, happened. i don't know what happened but i went to — happened. i don't know what happened but i went to sleep _ happened. i don't know what happened but i went to sleep around _ happened. i don't know what happened but i went to sleep around 11 _ happened. i don't know what happened but i went to sleep around 11 or- happened. i don't know what happened but i went to sleep around 11 or 12 - but i went to sleep around 11 or 12 o'clock, and then ijust woke up in the hospital. o'clock, and then i 'ust woke up in the hospital._ o'clock, and then i 'ust woke up in the hespttet._ the hospital. hundreds of people attended the _ the hospital. hundreds of people attended the funeral _ the hospital. hundreds of people attended the funeral in _ the hospital. hundreds of people i attended the funeral in bangladesh. police initially believed they had

been poisoned. now officers believe their deaths had been caused by carbon monoxide or smoke from a faulty generator. police say they are waiting to see if smoke samples from the generator match samples found on their bodies. if tare from the generator match samples found on their bodies.— from the generator match samples found on their bodies. if we can get the results — found on their bodies. if we can get the results from _ found on their bodies. if we can get the results from the _ found on their bodies. if we can get the results from the sample - found on their bodies. if we can get the results from the sample we i found on their bodies. if we can get the results from the sample we can say whether it was poisoning or suffocation. we already collected the smoke sample from the generator and sent_ the smoke sample from the generator and sent it _ the smoke sample from the generator and sent it to the fire service and they will— and sent it to the fire service and they will tell us what kind of chemical is produced by the generator. chemical is produced by the generator-— chemical is produced by the tenerator. ., �* , ., , , generator. the man's wife has been released from _ generator. the man's wife has been released from hospital _ generator. the man's wife has been released from hospital but - generator. the man's wife has been released from hospital but they i generator. the man's wife has been released from hospital but they say| released from hospital but they say their daughter is still in intensive care. new data shows antisemitic hate fell by more than a third in london in the first six months of the year.

research by the charity community security trust found incidents against the jewish community dropped by 39% between january and june. it comes after they hit an all time high last year. but the findings suggest a growth in the number of issues involving under 18s. our report shows that the proportion of incidents involving children, both as victims and perpetrators, is going up year—on—year. so, it is mainly school—age children on the streets and online, and i do think that that age children are more present and are no media and get a lot more information and ideas from our world and the online space and that is probally driving the strain. twins elma and thelma from stockport turned 103 today. they've lived through second world war, the coronation and say their secret is a sip of brandy before bed each night.

they could be the oldest twins in the uk. and of course such a big milestone deserves a party...so we sent our reporter davinia ramos along. # happy birthday to you. cheering. enjoy life, don't let anything get you down, but don't worry, that's it. wise words from elma and thelma on day at birthday, they were born on the 3rd of august 1919 and grew up together in stockport, and although times were tough, they had fun, played together and bickered like most siblings. what are your best memories? we did play together, didn't we? we did. we did have our little troubles and little fights. our mother used to bang our heads together. elma and thelma have lived through the second world war, seen 20 prime ministers come

and go and say it is surreal looking back of their lives. the bombs used to come over at night, we used to have to go to the river and we used to have to go into the caves, go in there, out of the bombs, we could hear them falling. and in the cave the water used to run down the walls, it was like cold, we had to sit there all night, then go to work the next morning. i remember standing at the back bedroom window, looking out, and the planes were going over. today is a far cry away from that. they are able to celebrate with their loved ones and meet the youngest member of the family, their great—great—grandson who is just seven weeks old. so pleased to see them talking and go through their _ stories, so interesting. somebody has lived that long and been through so much.

it is so interesting. we lived fairly close to each other, didn't we? yeah. what were they like growing up? wonderful. laughter and the secret to a long and happy life? the odd tipple, apparently. i like my food, put it that way. i like a brandy at night. i think i could get on board with that, too. # catch a falling star and put it in your pocket # save it for a rainy day. congratulations both. now it's time for a look at the weather with chris fawkes. hello, there. hosepipe bans come into force

across parts of hampshire, the isle of wight tomorrow. we could do with some we could do with some rainfall. for scotland and northern ireland, it is sunny spells and a few passing showers. the majority of the showers to the north of northern ireland. the hebrides, highlands, orkney and shetland. but there is otherwise a lot of dry weather. it will feel a lot less humid across england and wales and. the showers across northern ireland and scotland will continue overnight and scotland will continue overnight and will spread to northern england and will spread to northern england and wales as well. a comfortable night sleeper head. tomorrow, the weather is almost identical to today's weather. there will be some showers across scotland and northern ireland. most of england and wales will stay dry. the temperatures have not changed much either. that's the

latest.

this is bbc news. the headlines: the bank of england says inflation is likely to peak at 13% later this year. gdp growth in the uk has slowed and the economy is forecast to enter a recession later this year. and the bank of england today raised interest rates by 0.5% to 1.75%. some businesses voice concern at the change. it is crippling. interest rate rises are something that could really stop a small business like us. we'll be answering your questions on all of that and the cost of living crisis. the family of british 12—year—old archie battersbee seek legal permission to move their son to a hospice, after losing their fight to keep him on life support.