prices becoming embedded. the uk is forecast to fall into recession later this year, with a huge impact on family finances. we're going to see a couple of years, notjust one year, but this year and next year, when household incomes in real terms are squeezed much more severely than we've seen in other times before, since the second world war. we'll be hearing more about the rising cost of living. also this lunchtime... the parents of archie battersbee lose their legal attempt to transfer him to a hospice — doctors say a move is risky because his condition is unstable. one, two, three, four, five...

more than a third of doctors whojoined the nhs in england last year came from overseas, according to bbc research — unions say it's unsustainable. the first hosepipe ban of the year comes into force shortly, in southern england, after the driestjuly in more than 80 years. 0h! superb! and it's commonwealth gold for england's jack laugher and andrew harding — in the men's synchro three—metre springboard. and coming up in sport on the bbc news channel, targetting herfirst commonwealth games medal. scotland's laura muir qualifies for the women's 1500 metres final.

good afternoon and welcome to the bbc news at one. the governor of the bank of england has defended the decision to raise interest rates, saying there is a real risk of soaring prices becoming embedded. the bank has forecast that the uk economy will fall into recession in the last three months of this year — and that it will last well into next year. it also anticipates a further climb in inflation — to more than 13%, the highest for more than a0 years. it's because of that, that the bank set interest rates at 1.75% — the increase of half a percentage point was the biggest rate hike for 27 years. as our economics correspondent andy verity reports, the hope is that making it more expensive for us to borrow money will make us less likely to spend.

even during hard times. in withernsea on the yorkshire coast, jayne nendick runs the shores community centre, where every day she tries to help people struggling to feed themselves. can i sort a food parcel, please? the community centre gave out 200 food parcels this month, double what they gave out this time last year, and the community pantry sells surplus stock from supermarkets at cheap prices to working people struggling to cope. we have nurses coming in, we have teachers coming in, we have people who do long shifts every day, they are on their knees. please, trust me on this, i'm not saying it forfun — they are on their knees. a pensioner who came here to enjoy retirement, lucy, already switched off her heating last winter because she couldn't afford the bills. now, the bank of england's forecast they'll rise by another 75% to an average of £300 a month and she says, like last winter, she'll again be relying on her dogs to keep her warm. it was absolutely freezing. we had damp coming up through the windows and i made

patchwork blankets for us. we're just struggling to live. even before the recession forecast to begin this autumn, living standards are falling faster than they have for decades. they're now expected to continue to fall through next year. we're going to see a couple of years, notjust one year but this year and next year, when household incomes in real terms are squeezed much more severely than we've seen in other times before since the second world war. this morning, the conservative leadership contender liz truss said the bank of england's warning of a long recession throughout next year underlined the need for tax cuts. we are facing a recession if we carry on with our business as usual policies and people are struggling. you know, whether it's to pay food bills orfuel bills — that's why it's very important that we reverse the national insurance increase, that we have a temporary moratorium on the green energy levy, to help people with their fuel bills. but critics say neither she nor

rishi sunak are being realistic about the economy and what the government needs to do. at the moment, what we need are support for families for energy costs and for inflation and we're going to need support for public services. if you're looking at tax cuts, they must come well after that — well after we've got inflation under control. while the recession forecast for next year is barely a tenth of the size of the recession in 2020, caused by the lockdowns in the pandemic, there's a difference. this time, the government isn't currently planning to offer anything like the same levels of financial support to shelter businesses and people from the storm. andy verity, bbc news. let's talk more about this with our political correspondent damian grammaticas. it's all about the economy, but the two possible next prime ministers differ on all of this.— differ on all of this. yes, that's riaht, differ on all of this. yes, that's right. and _ differ on all of this. yes, that's right, and their _ differ on all of this. yes, that's right, and their differences - differ on all of this. yes, that's .

right, and their differences thrown into stark relief by those projections from the bank, the forecast from the bank of england. so liz truss today doubling down, saying that she thinks this shows it even more important to keep taxes low, she said, because she says tackling the threat of recession is the thing that is really important. 0n the other hand, what we've seen of rishi sunak last night, saying that will be throwing fuel on the fire, today, james cartlidge mp, a sunak supporter who worked alongside mr sunak and the treasury tackling the covert pandemic, he said that would amount to a massive giveaway and borrowing spree and said mr sunak was the one who had the experience necessary. its also i think worth noting that we still haven't seen and heard from one camera the prime minister and the current chancellor, who are both away. current chancellor, who are both awa . , . , ., away. yes, and in terms of the leadership _ away. yes, and in terms of the leadership campaign _ away. yes, and in terms of the leadership campaign trail, - away. yes, and in terms of the leadership campaign trail, tell| away. yes, and in terms of the i leadership campaign trail, tell us more about rishi sunak and what he's been saying, something about funding

for different areas? yes. been saying, something about funding for different areas?— for different areas? yes, this is a video that _ for different areas? yes, this is a video that has _ for different areas? yes, this is a video that has emerged - for different areas? yes, this is a video that has emerged today - for different areas? yes, this is a video that has emerged today offj for different areas? yes, this is a i video that has emerged today off mr sunak talking to some conservative party member that an event last week in which he said that when he became chancellor he said he managed to change funding rules inherited from labour, he said, which he said shoved all the funding into deprived urban areas and he changed it so that money could go to areas where he was, like royal tunbridge wells instead. labour have said this shows he was, they said, fixing the rules to funnel taxpayers upon the money to funnel taxpayers upon the money to prosperous tory shires. mr sunak�*s campaign say no, what he was doing was making sure that everyone gets to benefit and that is what he would do as prime minister. mil would do as prime minister. all riaht, would do as prime minister. all right, damian thank you. the family of 12—year—old archie battersbee, who's been unconscious since april, have lost a high court attempt to have him transferred to a hospice to die. his mother had said she wanted her son to be in a hospice to say a peaceful goodbye, but doctors warned that there

was significant risk in moving him because his condition is unstable. 0ur correspondent helena wilkinson is at the high court. well, in her ruling mrsjustice theis said archie's best interest must be at the core of any conclusions reached by the courts and she has refused, as you said there, permission for the family to be able to move archie from the royal london hospital, where he is being treated for nearly four months, to a hospice which is what the family had wished for. in her ruling, handed down earlier here today, thejudge said ruling, handed down earlier here today, the judge said she ruling, handed down earlier here today, thejudge said she hopes now that she can be afforded the opportunity for him to die in peaceful circumstances with the family who meant so much to him as he clearly does to them. we have heard, from archie's mother hollie dance after the ruling and she said all their wishes as a family have

been denied by the authorities, they are broken but they are keeping going, she says, because we love archie and refused to give up on him. in court early other family had attempted to seek permission to appeal thejudges permission, that appeal the judges permission, that was appeal thejudges permission, that was denied, but the judge appeal thejudges permission, that was denied, but thejudge has put a pause on the withdrawal of archie's treatment until 2pm this afternoon, and that is to give the family the opportunity if they wish to go directly to the court of appeal to make an application. iwan helena wilkinson, thank you. unions have warned the increasing reliance on foreign staff by the nhs in england is unsustainable — after research by the bbc found that more than a third of doctors who joined the health service last year came from overseas. in 2014, that figure was less than a fifth. the government says international recruitment has long been part of the nhs workforce strategy. 0ur health correspondent jim reed has the details. one, two, three, four, five...

a group of nurses from india is being put through training at sheffield's children's hospital. these recruits arrived in may and have tests next week. we are a little bit stressed because we are preparing for an exam. so after we've done that, we are really happy to stay here. there are a lot of opportunities in the uk for nurses. this trust alone has already recruited 2a staff from india this year, with another a0 due to start this autumn. we give them three months' accommodation, activities to socialise them into the city, show them around — all of those things that you need as a solid base to be able to come to work and give your best. this approach isn't new, of course. in the 1960s, many nurses came from the caribbean, many doctors from southeast asia. now, the numbers arriving from countries like india have again been going up sharply, as the nhs tries to plug big staffing gaps. brexit may also have been a factor,

with fewer eu workers joining since the referendum. last year in england, one in three new nurses came from outside europe, with smaller rises elsewhere in the uk. the largest numbers were trained in india or the philippines, but thousands also qualified in states like nigeria and ghana, with fragile health services. the uk is not allowed to actively recruit from those countries, though staff can still apply forjobs directly. some say the only long—term answer is to train up more medics here. we know that staffing is the major problem in the nhs. it's also the major problem in health systems abroad, so we can't steal their workforce to plug our gaps. last 0ctober, sumaira, a consultant radiologist, moved her young family from pakistan to huddersfield. i thought, why not? it'll be an adventure, it'll be a change to what i'm used to. it'll be good for the children, as well. they'll be exposed to a new culture,

new environment, you know, they'll learn how the world works. she says the work at the local hospital is more specialised but as a doctor, her ideals and motivations haven't changed. for me, patients are the same. patients are patients? patients are patients. they deserve the best possible care, whether, you know, they're paying a lot or they're being treated for free, they are patients and they need to be treated with dignity and respect. the government says it is funding more training places for medical students in this country, but international recruitment will continue to be important as demand for nhs services keeps growing in the future. jim reed, bbc news. sexual health charities and lgbt groups are urging the government to do more to tackle the monkeypox outbreak in the uk. in an open letter to the health secretary, they say without a quicker and wider vaccine roll—out, the virus could become endemic.

there have been more than 2,600 cases of monkeypox here, most of them among men who have sex with men. josh parry reports. queues like these have become a familiar sight at guy's and saint thomas hospital as thousands of gay and bisexual men line up to get vaccinated against monkeypox. so far the uk has given out more than 14,000 of the jabs, which were originally designed to combat smallpox. they are targeting those most at risk and in areas with the highest numbers of cases. in the us, where numbers have grown rapidly, it's officially been declared a public emergency. it's a very important signal to that community that all hands are on deck now with regard to monkeypox, that everybody understands that this is a very high priority. and now sexual health charities and lgbt groups here have written to the government to ask that the uk does the same, warning

that the disease could become endemic here if they don't. the great thing is that we have the tools in place, there is a vaccine for the monkeypox virus so we have an opportunity to stop it in its tracks, to stop it from spreading and to stop it becoming any worse but at the moment it doesn't seem like there is enough attention on _ the virus so that opportunity is being missed. the department of health and social care says it's working rapidly to vaccinate those at greatest risk and that they are targeting the lgbtq+ community with messaging around the jab. there have been around 2600 cases of monkeypox in the uk so far and around two thirds of those are in london. those outside the city also believe themselves to be at risk have told the bbc they found it difficult to get vaccinated at smaller local clinics. i completely support the fact that the vaccine is currently centred on london given that is where the majority of cases are but it massively ignores the fact that people are very mobile, especially people in these high risk groups. there is a lot of travelling

between different cities in the uk. lots of my friends from london come up to manchester for the weekend. the uk is expected to get an extra 100,000 doses in september. those eager to get one are told to look for information about their local clinic online, with those at highest risk contacted when one is available. josh parry, bbc news. four vietnamese men who are believed to have been in a mill in 0ldham when it caught fire in may have been named by police. cuong van chu was in contact with his family until seventh may, the day of the fire, while nam thanh le's last contact was three days earlier. duong van nguyen told family he was living in an abandoned house, and uoc van nguyen told his wife he was in a mill. human remains were found by demolition workers sent to clean up the area in the wake of the fire.

taiwan's foreign minister has hailed the visit by us house speaker, nancy pelosi, as extremely significant, saying taiwan would continue to welcome democratic politicians from around the world. speaking to the bbc, joseph wu condemned the military exercises launched by china in response as highly provocative, and a threat to peace and stability in asia. taiwan said 68 chinese planes and 13 warships today crossed the median line, which separates the island from the mainland today. 0ur china correspondent stephen mcdonell has been following events from beijing. a mock exercise with injured soldiers being treated on a high speed train has formed part of china's military drills. the people's liberation army has been staging vast live—fire war games in response to a visit to taiwan by the us house speaker.

nancy pelosi went to the island, which beijing considers a rogue province, during this trip to asia. in response, the chinese government has now placed personal sanctions on her and her immediate family. in taiwan, people say they've become accustomed to increased threats from mainland china. despite a potential deterioration of the security situation, the government in taipei has defended the visit. the taiwanese government, especially the ministry of foreign affairs, has been working very hard in expanding taiwan's international space, making friends with important international leaders, or trying to connect more with like—minded partners around the world. the pla's missiles have indeed crossed taiwan's landmass, according to the national defence university in beijing. this marks a sharp escalation. however, the chinese government has blamed the us for increased tensions.

translation: the g7 gathered and issued a so-called - statement on the current situation across the taiwan strait. china firmly opposes this statement because it confounds the right with the wrong and confuses black and white. if this tone is allowed to continue, regional peace and world peace will be seriously damaged. in mainland china, there's been a lot of interest in the events unfolding around taiwan with people glued to their phone apps waiting for the next update. naturally, you have nationalists cheering on the pla, but on social media, there are also a surprising number of people saying that the government shouldn't be exaggerating the country's military prowess in order to garner their support. with the exercises continuing, china's foreign ministry has announced that high level military

dialogue with the us has been suspended, along with cooperation on cross—border crime and anti—drug measures. crucially, climate change cooperation talks have also been cancelled. stephen mcdonell, bbc news, beijing. the time is 1:19. our top story this lunchtime: the bank of england has defended its decision to raise interest rates to curb soaring prices, warning the uk faces a lengthy recession. conspiracy theorist alex jones is ordered to pay millions in damages after falsely claiming the 2012 sandy hook school shooting was a hoax. coming up in sport on the bbc news channel: the latest from the commonwealth games, where some superb running from england's cindy sember sees her secure her place in the final of the women's 100m hurdles.

the first in a series of hosepipe bans comes into force today, as a lack of rainfall continues to put pressure on water supplies. today's ban affects customers of southern water — but companies in other parts of the country are planning similar moves in the coming weeks. people who break the rules could receive a warning — or in extreme cases a fine, as zoe conway reports. i've actually used the hosepipe more... from today, people living here near alresford in hampshire will be banned from using a hosepipe in their gardens. frances, do you think people will follow the rules? absolutely not. a garden gives people a lot ofjoy, and to see everything, you know, dying in front of you, i think it's quite an issue for quite a lot of people. southern water says the ban is to protect local rivers and their precious habitats from the effects of a drought. butjohn thinks the company is partly to blame — for wasting water through lea ks.

i'm disappointed in as much that it's us lawn—lovers who are going to sort of pay the price for mismanagement, maybe — allowing the leakage to continue over years and years. southern water says it's investing £2 billion in its water network. so we are fixing about 250 leaks a day at the moment and, you know, pipes run under where i'm standing right now, under offices, under houses, under roads, and so it's really quite difficult to find those leaks. so we've got more technology being deployed, we've got something called acoustic loggers, which can actually hear when there's a leak coming out of a pipe. but locals here feel they're being penalised for the water waste. i think when hosepipe bans are announced, people want to do their bit for the environment and they want to help. but there's the issue in our community that people have seen years, if not decades, of the water company not doing their bit. so at a time when bills are high and people are already wondering where their money is going,

being asked additionally to stop using their hosepipes is going to be raising eyebrows for a lot of people on the south coast. from today, households in much of hampshire and the isle of wight will be affected by the hosepipe ban. from next friday, more than a million homes in kent and sussex will also have a ban enforced. and from august 19th, a hosepipe ban will be introduced in wales — in pembrokeshire and a small part of carmarthenshire. this is what much of southern england looks like now — instead of grass, fields of hay. the country is not yet in drought, but the met office are predicting higher temperatures next week — especially in the south — and not much rainfall. zoe conway, bbc news. our correspondent celestina olulode is in hampshire, where that ban will come into effect in a few hours time.

that is right. look, it is a beautiful day here in hampshire. this reservoir itself could be used to provide water to people in this local area if the nearby... levels at the nearby reveller deplete further. this reservoir can hold up to 217 million litres of water. i should say, though, that for this time of year, levels here are a little lower than they should be but strictly speaking we are not in a drought at the moment. but that has not stopped some people changing the way that they work. farmers are for example, some of them reporting that they have had to harvest earlier than usual, others are saying that they have lost crops as a result of all of theirs. but crucially, as you say, if you are caught ignoring this hosepipe ban, you could face a

maximum penalty of £1000. celestina olulode, thank— maximum penalty of £1000. celestina olulode, thank you _ maximum penalty of £1000. celestina olulode, thank you very _ maximum penalty of £1000. celestina olulode, thank you very much. - sir keir starmer has been found to have breached the mps' code of conduct, by failing to register several of his interests within the specified time limit. these included gifts from football teams and the sale of a plot of land. our political correspondent, jonathan blake, is at westminster. so explain more, what it all means. it was back injune the parliamentary commissioner katherine stone began an investigation after a complaint that sir keir starmer had failed to register financial gifts or hospitality he had received in time at the four—week deadline. as the investigation got under way, further examples of him missing the deadline to declare had come to light. there were eight in total and included tickets to football matches, including a directors box at crystal palace worth £720, where he had to watch his team arsenal

lose 3—0. in £18,000 advance for writing a book and a ticket to the british kebabs awards which had been given to a member of staff. katherine stone the commissioner found there were breaches of the parliamentary code of conduct but they were all either minor and or inadvertent, as she put it, and there was no deliberate attempt on sir keir starmer�*s part to mislead. he has apologised and said he takes full responsibility, although these were administrative errors on behalf of his office and he won't face any further action. of his office and he won't face any furtheraction. but of his office and he won't face any further action. but it is perhaps a little awkward or embarrassing for sir keir starmer, a politician who prides himself usually on playing by the rules. , ., ., ., ., ~ , ., the rules. jonathan, thank you. jonathan blake. _ the us talk show host and conspiracy theorist alexjones has been ordered by a court in texas to make an initial payment of more than $4 million in damages following his claims that the sandy hook school shooting, in which 26 people were killed, didn't happen.

the case was brought by the parents of one of the children who died in the attack. peter bowes sent us this report. the sandy hook massacre was one of america's worst ever mass shootings. 20 children and six adults died when a gunman went on the rampage, firing a semiautomatic rifle before killing himself. alexjones has repeatedly argued that the shooting was a hoax, organised by the us government to deny americans their gun ownership rights. he claimed the parents of the dead children were crisis actors. the case against him was brought by the parents of a six—year—old who died in the shooting. they argued they'd endured harassment and emotional distress because of the conspiracy theorist�*s comments. ..that this tragedy and this murder didn't happen and that jesse wasn't killed. people accused myself and the others of being crisis actors, fake, phony...

in court, alexjones admitted he was wrong, conceding that the killings were real. i've said before that there have been so many lies and so many things in the past and i was under a lot of pressure and i truly, when i said those statements — when i say something, i mean it — that i really could believe that it was totally staged at that point. the founder of the infowars website had portrayed the case as an attack on his right to free speech, butjones also blamed the media for, as he saw it, not allowing him to retract his false claim. it's100% real, and the media still ran with lies that i was saying it wasn't real, it's incredible. they won't let me take it back. theyjust want to keep me in the position of being the sandy hook man. earlier in the week, the case took an unexpected turn when a lawyer for the parents revealed jones' lawyer had sent him

two years' worth of his client's mobile phone messages and texts and they revealed he'd been lying in court. and that is how i know you lied to me when you said you didn't have text messages about sandy hook, did you know that? see, i told you the truth. this is your perry mason moment. i gave them my phone. the case isn't over yet. the jury will now consider punitive damages againstjones — a sum of money to punish the broadcasterfor the distress he caused. peter bowes, bbc news. the new premier league season starts tonight, with arsenal travelling to crystal palace for the opening game. there's a host of new players in the competition, including one of the most sought after strikers in the world — manchester city's erling haaland, who was signed from borussia dortmund for £51 million. and nottingham forest are back in the top flight for the first time this century.

and now day eight of the commonwealth games in birmingham. england's jack laugher and ant harding have won gold in the in the three metre syncronised diving. it's laugher�*s second gold of the games after he won the individual 1m springboard yesterday. our sports correspondent, laura scott, is watching the athletics at alexander stadium... laura. yes, the highlights at the moment at the commonwealth games come from jack laugher and laura muir. lorimer made it through to the final of the 1500 metres. she isjust a fortnight on from winning world championship bronze in the event and today she did nothing more than she had to. she knew she had to finish in the top five and she came fifth but she says she is feeling good ahead of sunday's final where she will be by four as athletes from the home nations. also the 800 metres. cindy

sember turns 28 today and won her heat and the crowd joined in a rendition of happy birthday for her. there will be three athletes from team england in the final of the women's long jump after they qualified this morning. there has been more diving dominance forjack laugher bust up last night, he made it three successive wins in the one metre platform and today he made it a hat—trick of golds in the three metres synchronised event with his new partner anthony harding. but right now, the focus is all on the lawn bowls and that is because today the commonwealth games will crown a new oldest gold medallist. spare a thought for rosemary lenton, the pensioner from thought for rosemary lenton, the pensionerfrom dumfries, she is only held the honour for two days and today she will be overtaken by a 75—year—old. we don't know yet. it will be scotland's george miller or gordon llewelyn from wales. they are battling out in the mixed para— pairs. who will be successful in the septuagenarian stakes today?

fantastic, thank you so much.