this is bbc news with the latest headlines. after a chaotic week on the financial markets. the prime minister and chancellor will today meet the head of britain's independent economic forecaster. the government continues to defend its plans. we to defend its plans. had to act really quickly last friday we had to act really quickly last friday to give people the confidence on energy. with the price of energy going up tomorrow... how is the current economic uncertainty affecting you? let me know any thoughts or questions you have on energy bills. you can reach me on twitter, @annitabbc, or using the hashtag bbcyourquestions. moscow prepares to hold a ceremony to mark the annexation of occupied

territories in ukraine, but the us says it will never recognise russia's claims. meanwhile ukraine says 23 people were killed when a russian missile hit a convoy of vehicles carrying civilians. search and rescue efforts continue in florida, after hurricane ian caused widespread destruction. record numbers of nurses are quitting the nhs in england — more than 40,000 have left in the last year. steve wright will host his final radio 2 weekday show this afternoon, but stressed he is not retiring and will continue at the station.

the prime minister liz truss and chancellor kwasi kwarteng will meet the head of the office for budget responsibility, the uk's independent financial forecaster this morning. they'll discuss the fallout frpm last week's mini—budget. while the watchdog offered to prepare a draft forecast in time for last friday's mini—budget, that offer wasn't taken up. forecasts from the 0br give an indication of the state of the nation's finances and there have been calls for a forecast to be published in the last week. since it was announced at the end of last week, the mini—budget has faced widespread criticism — including from the international monetary fund and former bank of england governor mark carney. the turmoil has seen a large gap in the polls open up between labour and the conservatives just days ahead of the conservatives�* conference that begins this weekend. energy prices will rise for millions of households on saturday, but the increase has been cushioned by a government cap on the cost per unit. a typical annual bill will go up from £1,971 to £2,500 but will be further mitigated by

cost—of—living payments. it stepped in after an 80% increase in domestic gas and electricity bills was earmarked for the first half of winter. this report from simonjones. seeking to regain the confidence of the markets. in an unusual move, both the prime minister and the chancellor will meet the chairman of the office for budget responsibility after a slump in the value of the pound, uncertainty over mortgages, and a week of extreme financial volatility. the watchdog had offered to prepare a draft forecast in time for last friday's mini budget, but that was rejected by the government. forecasts of the uk's economic outlook are usually published to accompany major financial announcements. it's led to accusations ministers were trying to avoid scrutiny, and that that has in part driven the lack of confidence in the markets. now the 0br, its costings methods

and forecasts is seen by many as central to the plan to restore stability. but in a series of bbc interviews yesterday, the prime minister seemed keener to talk about cutting taxes and capping energy bills than surging mortgage costs. prime minister, it sounds like you're saying, "crisis? what crisis?" i'm not saying that at all. i think we're in a very serious situation. it's a global crisis which has been brought about by the aftermath of covid and putin's war in ukraine. the government says the bank of england independently sets interest rates. but more than 1,000 mortgage products have been withdrawn due to forecasts of big rises. and listen to the reaction of the question time audience when one woman describes the impact it's having on her. i was actually in the process of getting a mortgage as a young person, and i was told my initial interest rate would be 4.5%. and i was told today that the lender has pulled that offer. and now the best offer that i can get is about 10.5%. gasps. whoa! wow.

the chancellor has told conservative mps the government is working at pace to show the markets it has a clear plan. but as they prepare to gather for their conference in birmingham, with labour well ahead in the polls, some tory mps need convincing, too, that the government is on the right path. simon jones, bbc news. to discuss the 0br meeting further... i'mjoined by sir to discuss the 0br meeting further... i'm joined by sir charles bean. who is a former deputy governor of the bank of england for monetary policy. how good have 0br forecast been previously forgiving credibility for government plans to the economy? you omitted to government plans to the economy? 7m. omitted to mention in your introduction that after leaving the bank i served a term of five years at the 0br on the budget responsibility committee so i have seen this process from the inside.

the key thing about the formation of the 0br is that it took forecasting outside the treasury and gave it to an independent agency. and that meant it wasn't subject to some of the pressures and wishful thinking that has been plaguing treasury forecasts in the past. you can't claim that 0br forecasters are bound with greater wisdom or anything. their forecasts won't necessarily come to pass, but the key thing is they are not particularly biased in any direction and they are based on the best available evidence at the time. because of that, they lend credibility to the government's fiscal and economic strategy. 50 credibility to the government's fiscal and economic strategy. so the independence _ fiscal and economic strategy. so the independence gives _ fiscal and economic strategy. so the independence gives credibility. -

fiscal and economic strategy. so the independence gives credibility. do l independence gives credibility. do you think the 0br in this instance has been undermined at all by the decision of the prime minister and chancellor not to use its most recent forecast and the existence of that wasn't officially confirmed on the record until yesterday? 0r that wasn't officially confirmed on the record until yesterday? or does it actually emerge in a stronger position from this because of the meeting happening today? i position from this because of the meeting happening today? i think the thin that meeting happening today? i think the thing that has — meeting happening today? i think the thing that has been _ meeting happening today? i think the thing that has been undermined - meeting happening today? i think the thing that has been undermined is - thing that has been undermined is not the 0br but the government's credibility, frankly. the government has made several missteps. it's not just the contents of last week's fiscal event, but also the apparent downplaying and degrading of the surrounding institutional contexts, so there has been rubbishing of the bank and attempt to blame it for letting inflation rise so much when clearly that is mainly driven by what is happening in ukraine,

sacking the permanent secretary of the treasury on the new chancellor's first day sent a very bad signal. and finally, obviously, not publishing the 0br assessment alongside the mini budget last week was treated badly by the markets. i think it is worth saying that if all last friday had contained was basically the details of the energy price guarantee and some commentary about the general direction of the government's thinking about reigniting growth, the reception probably would have been a lot better. although the energy price guarantee is very expensive, it is temporary. the thing that really spooked the market in my view was accompanying that with permanent

reductions in taxes relative to what was previously planned, from the lack of national insurance increase, the rolling back of the planned increase in corporate income taxes, both of which together were supposed to pay for higher health and social care spending, coupled with cutting the basic rate and getting rid of the basic rate and getting rid of the top rate of income tax. all of which i think raise questions in investors�* minds as to whether the public finance is on a sustainable track. d0 public finance is on a sustainable track. , ., ~ , track. do you think we will see the forecast prepared _ track. do you think we will see the forecast prepared for— track. do you think we will see the forecast prepared for last - track. do you think we will see the forecast prepared for last friday i track. do you think we will see the j forecast prepared for last friday or will there be any value in seeing that now?— will there be any value in seeing that now? , ., , , , that now? there will probably be some value- _ that now? there will probably be some value. i— that now? there will probably be some value. i don't _ that now? there will probably be some value. i don't think - that now? there will probably be some value. i don't think it - that now? there will probably be some value. i don't think it will. some value. i don�*t think it will necessarily add credibility to the government�*s stance. the forecasts that had been prepared would have been a so—called pre—measures

forecast, which is an update of the last forecast that was produced back in the spring for all the more recent economic developments, the news on the wholesale energy prices, on market interest rates, all of that. now at the time of the spring budget, the chancellor rishi sunak had left himself 30 billion so—called headroom against his objective of having debt to gdp falling three years out. that was potentially money that could be spent if everything transpired along their trajectory of the forecast. however, since then, the economic outlook has deteriorated significantly, obviously, with a much higher inflation, slower growth

in prospect, much higher debt interest. and that 30 billion headroom, which liz truss during the leadership campaign had claimed could be used to finance tax cuts, in my view it is highly unlikely to be in there. in fact it can only be a shortfall until we see the numbers but we don�*t know. hahn a shortfall until we see the numbers but we don't know.— but we don't know. how important then is it that — but we don't know. how important then is it that the _ but we don't know. how important then is it that the obr _ but we don't know. how important then is it that the obr can - but we don't know. how important then is it that the obr can talk- then is it that the 0br can talk frankly about today�*s meeting, because the prime minister and chancellor will go to the party conference starting this weekend and they could say we are in discussions with the 0br, but unless we know the details of those discussions, any disagreements or points of difference, that statement on its own wouldn�*t mean much. so how important is it that we can hear frank accounts of what the discussions are that are taking place today? i discussions are that are taking place today?— place today? i suspect the discussions _ place today? i suspect the discussions will _ place today? i suspect the discussions will revolve i place today? i suspect the - discussions will revolve around what they want the 0br to produce over

they want the 0br to produce over the coming weeks. 0riginally they want the 0br to produce over the coming weeks. originally the government had said it didn�*t want a full 0br forecast to be published until all the other elements were in place alongside its november 23 full fiscal statement. that would be the perfectly reasonable stance to take if they haven�*t announced the permanent reductions in taxes last week, as i say, if it had just been about the energy price component. as it is, now the government is saying, you are only seeing half of what we will do and we are actually rolling out other measures particularly relating to the growth agenda in the next few weeks and then we will see how it all fits together when we come to november the 23rd. in a

word, come to november the 23rd. in a word. can — come to november the 23rd. in a word. can your— come to november the 23rd. in a word, can your forecast people just in time for that question yellow yes, absolutely, no problem at all. the 0br had the base three measures forecast and they can update that to incorporate measures relatively quickly. and what the chancellor and the prime minister and richard hughes will probably be discussing is what is the best process going forward, the best timetable for any 0br pronouncements and whether they want to stick to just saying you have to wait until november 23, which in my view i think is unsustainable politically. sir charles bean, we must leave it there but thank you for your thoughts this morning, former deputy governor of the bank of england and a former member of the office for budget responsibility. we can speak to our political correspond to leila nathoo

now. interested to get that assessment from sir charles bean. clearly the prime minister and chancellor are going to the party conference this weekend during a time of turmoil. how significant do you think discussions with the 0br today will be as they head to their annual conference? it is today will be as they head to their annual conference?— annual conference? it is definitely annual conference? it is definitely a sitnal to annual conference? it is definitely a signal to the _ annual conference? it is definitely a signal to the wider— annual conference? it is definitely a signal to the wider world - annual conference? it is definitely a signal to the wider world but. annual conference? it is definitely | a signal to the wider world but two tory mps as well that they are taking something on board in terms of the criticism of the plans. remember, the reason we are not calling it a budget on friday, even though it was so hugely consequential and held such significance announcements in it, because if it was called a budget they would have to provide those independent forecasts. the whole point of having an independent forecaster is to provide credibility to what is announced. the fact the prime minister is taking the unusual step of meeting the 0br, going along to meetings that you would expect to happen between the chancellor and the independent forecaster, that�*s a

signal the 0br is being brought back into the fold, if you like, even though their projections were rejected last week. we know that the prime minister and chancellor will include the forecast in the budget announcement they intend to make at the end of november which will include more medium—term plans for that we had from treasury minister andrew griffith this morning saying the full growth plan wasn�*t ready because they still want to announce all sorts of other reforms they say will stimulate growth but i think getting the 0br forecast out in public, that�*s something some tory mps want to put pressure on because they think that will be key to restoring the economic credibility that has been so damaged since last friday�*s announcement and there is pressure on the chancellor to do so, to bring forward those forecasts and actually bring forward the whole announcement he intends to make in november which certainly seems a long way off. but it does not appear to be the best backdrop for the tory

party to go into their conference beginning this sunday. you have certainly had a set of opinion polls that look very gloomy for the tory party. they are a snapshot, and an election is far off but a yougov survey puts the labour party lead at 33 points, that�*s very grim reading ahead of the tory party conference beginning on sunday. leila nathoo, thank ou. our business correspondent caroline davies is with me. leila nathoo talking about liz truss�*s internal audience, the tory party, but there will be other members she will want to speak to as well, including the markets and the business world. what do you think they will make of these discussions happening between the prime minister and chancellor and the 0br today. some might say this is trying to close the stable door after the horse has bolted.— close the stable door after the horse has bolted. possibly. but the fact they are _ horse has bolted. possibly. but the fact they are having _ horse has bolted. possibly. but the fact they are having these - fact they are having these discussions is probably seen as a

bit reassuring and we have seen some rallying on the market in terms of how the pound has done compared to the dollar when asian markets opened this morning, up briefly to around 1.12, similar levels to where it was before the minute budget last friday, which some are seeing partly as a response to the bank of england stepping in and they see it as a reassurance will stop some see it as the fact this meeting is going head and comments from mel stride this morning saying it was a big turning point will have reassured people, but at the same time that reassurance doesn�*t necessarily match with the sort of things we have heard from liz truss and her camp this morning who seem to be repeatedly saying, as we have seen on the front pages of the papers, that they will not change their minds, they will not change the policy. so the markets are waiting to see. this is a level of reassurance but without having some of the focus, which a lot of the markets will want to see, and without hearing exactly how the chancellor is planning to pay for some tax cuts and what the measures

of growth will be, why does he think they will be able to compensate for they will be able to compensate for the level of tax cuts that they are introducing on the level of spending they are doing, that is clearly what they are doing, that is clearly what the markets want to hear more information about. innate the markets want to hear more information about.— information about. we will talk about this _ information about. we will talk about this next, _ information about. we will talk about this next, the _ information about. we will talk about this next, the new - information about. we will talkl about this next, the new energy price cap comes into effect tomorrow so remind everyone what is happening with that. the so remind everyone what is happening with that. , , . , with that. the new energy price cap means that — with that. the new energy price cap means that the _ with that. the new energy price cap means that the typical _ with that. the new energy price cap means that the typical household . means that the typical household will pay around £2500. that is not a complete cap. people who use more will pay more than that. but this is a massivejump, given prices we had before, the prices are going up again tomorrow. caroline davies, thank you. the new energy price cap comes into effect at midnight, meaning higher bills for millions of people on standard and default tariffs. the annual bill for a typical household will rise to £2,500 — double what it was last winter. that figure is a rough guide because the price cap is applied to a unit of gas or electricity —

so the more you use, the more you�*ll pay, as colletta smith explains. as energy prices go up, everyone�*s talking about how they�*re trying to keep their bills down. use the dryer quite often, but now i�*m tending to leave the washing overnight on the maiden and then finishing off only for ten minutes in the dryer. as i'm on my own, i don't really want to put the central heating on — just put the gas fire on instead. i've got a wood burner so, yeah, i am economising. just became a way of life, of having things running, i not turning things off. and i think that's. now had to change. the government has limited tomorrow�*s energy rise, but a typical bill is still going up byjust over £500. this is the weekend that those price rises will start to feel real for millions more households. as the weather gets colder outside and people stick the heating on, it�*s much tougher decisions that

will have to be made — limiting baths, timing showers, avoiding the oven, and putting on a lot more layers inside the house just to make sure that bills don�*t get out of hand. the new cap is on the price your supplier can charge you per unit of energy. for dual—fuel customers paying by direct debit, it�*ll be 34p per kilowatt hour for electricity, and for gas it�*s 10.3p per kilowatt hour. and then daily standing charges are added on top of that. so everyone�*s bill will look totally different, depending on how much energy they use. if you use more energy, you�*ll be charged more — there�*s no maximum price for a bill. there is a bit of extra help, with £400 gradually being knocked off your bills for the next six months. there�*s no need to contact energy suppliers to receive the government support packages, but the advice does remain the same — that if people are worried

about their energy bills, then their supplier should be their first port of call. but those working with the most vulnerable say for people already in fuel poverty, that isn�*t enough help. we are seeing, increasingly, individuals going to unregulated lending, such as...typically loan sharks. helen�*s organisation is trying to get people who are financially, physically or emotionally vulnerable to register with them, so that energy firms can do more to help them. some people don't want to have their circumstances taken into account, but a lot do. and i think the onus is on large organisations to take that into consideration when it's put in front of them to prevent foreseeable harm, to really give people the support that they need if they're asking for it. pre—payment customers can still buy at the cheaper rate if you top up today, and for everyone else without a smart meter or a fixed deal, then it�*s worth taking a meter reading this weekend to make sure you�*re billed correctly. and keep on with those

little savings. where we fill the kettle, joe tends to fill it up a little bit too much, as if our neighbours are coming in for coffee! laughter. colletta smith, bbc news in manchester. well, joining me now are abbyjitendra, principal policy manager on energy at citizens advice and jo alsop, who is the founder of the heating hub and also used to own a heating company. thank you forjoining us today. i will try to bring in some viewers questions if i may as well. 0bviously people continue to have lots of questions as they try to navigate their way through this cost of living crisis. abby first of all, in general terms what is your advice to people today as they know that from midnight prices and energy bills will go up again? are there any key things they could do today?

the first thing i would say is have a look at your bill, your energy company should have got in touch with you to save costs are going up. make sure that the energy rebate is on their and if you can, try to give a metre reading today or in the next few days to make sure your bills are accurate. if you look at your bill and think there is no way you are able to pay it, get in touch with your energy company because they can offer you support. finally i would say if that doesn�*t work, get in touch with citizens advice because we can give you the support you need. i we can give you the support you need. ~ ., ., , ., , need. i know from previous conversations _ need. i know from previous conversations with - need. i know from previous conversations with you, - need. i know from previous conversations with you, jo, j need. i know from previous - conversations with you, jo, you are all about giving advice to people on how they can use energy more efficiently, how they can absolutely maximise the heating in their home if they can afford to turn it on, because we know many people are simply saying they can�*t afford to do that. what is your advice today with people facing the prospect of

energy bills going up?— with people facing the prospect of energy bills going up? there's a few different ways _ energy bills going up? there's a few different ways that _ energy bills going up? there's a few different ways that households - energy bills going up? there's a few different ways that households can i different ways that households can minimise _ different ways that households can minimise their energy bills and still remain in some level of comfort _ still remain in some level of comfort. there is often a debate around _ comfort. there is often a debate around whether households should have their — around whether households should have their heating on for a few hours — have their heating on for a few hours while they occupy the house or whether_ hours while they occupy the house or whether they should leave it on at a low level~ _ whether they should leave it on at a low level. there are some test results — low level. there are some test results coming out later in the year that show_ results coming out later in the year that showjust having your heating on for— that showjust having your heating on for the — that showjust having your heating on for the hours you occupy the home uses less— on for the hours you occupy the home uses less gas. that is the first tip. turning down the trvs. if you have _ tip. turning down the trvs. if you have thermostatic radiator valves on your radiators, they will have numbers _ your radiators, they will have numbers one to six. number two will be about— numbers one to six. number two will be about 15_ numbers one to six. number two will be about 15 degrees, number three is about— be about 15 degrees, number three is about 20 _ be about 15 degrees, number three is about 20 so — be about 15 degrees, number three is about 20. so turn down your trvs in rooms— about 20. so turn down your trvs in rooms you _ about 20. so turn down your trvs in rooms you don't use much. also shut the door~ _ rooms you don't use much. also shut the door~ if_ rooms you don't use much. also shut the door. if you don't use certain bedrooms —

the door. if you don't use certain bedrooms then turn it down or turn it off— bedrooms then turn it down or turn it off and _ bedrooms then turn it down or turn it off and shut the door because warm _ it off and shut the door because warm air— it off and shut the door because warm air will still transfer to colder— warm air will still transfer to colder spaces and you will end up indirectly— colder spaces and you will end up indirectly heating those rooms. if you have — indirectly heating those rooms. if you have a — indirectly heating those rooms. if you have a hot water cylinder you can try _ you have a hot water cylinder you can try to — you have a hot water cylinder you can try to time it for the time you use it _ can try to time it for the time you use it to— can try to time it for the time you use it to the _ can try to time it for the time you use it to the most. if you shower in the morning — use it to the most. if you shower in the morning then have it once a day for those _ the morning then have it once a day for those showers and then try to leave _ for those showers and then try to leave it _ for those showers and then try to leave it and try to use very little hot water~ — leave it and try to use very little hot water. just have a quick shower and don't _ hot water. just have a quick shower and don't let it come on for another 24 hours _ and don't let it come on for another 24 hours it— and don't let it come on for another 24 hours. it will lose 5—7 over a 24-hour— 24 hours. it will lose 5—7 over a 24—hour period so you should be able to make _ 24—hour period so you should be able to make it _ 24—hour period so you should be able to make it last. make sure the cylinder— to make it last. make sure the cylinder is— to make it last. make sure the cylinder is well insulated. if you have _ cylinder is well insulated. if you have a — cylinder is well insulated. if you have a combi boiler, households with a boiler— have a combi boiler, households with a boiler fitted in the last 17 years. _ a boiler fitted in the last 17 years, and it has worked without a hot water — years, and it has worked without a hot water cylinder, then you can turn _ hot water cylinder, then you can turn the — hot water cylinder, then you can turn the flow temperature down in heating _ turn the flow temperature down in heating and we have talked about that a _ heating and we have talked about that a lot — heating and we have talked about that a lot and there are lots more specific— that a lot and there are lots more specific guidance on our website. essentially you are turning down the temperature of the water that goes out to _

temperature of the water that goes out to the _ temperature of the water that goes out to the radiators and that helps the boiler— out to the radiators and that helps the boiler work more efficiently. tests _ the boiler work more efficiently. tests have found that saves around between _ tests have found that saves around between six and 8%. anecdotally we have people coming through our business — have people coming through our business and social media sites who have reported saving much more. these _ have reported saving much more. these are — have reported saving much more. these are simple things you can do. back to _ these are simple things you can do. back to abby, a question from a twitter user, who says, i am not sure what the cap is. my energy bill will increase to £448 from october and i am with british gas but in credit. in terms of explaining what the cap is, can you have a go? we have had lots of explanations of what exactly it is but it is really important to remind people that this is just a cap and important to remind people that this isjust a cap and if important to remind people that this is just a cap and if you use important to remind people that this isjust a cap and if you use more energy then your bill will go up. you�*re absolutely right. the more energy you use, the more your bill will be. this is a cap on the unit price of energy, not an overall cap, as the prime minister said

yesterday. it is really important to remember that because people shouldn�*t be using more than they need because obviously that will be very expensive for them. that £400 bill, i don�*t know the specific details on that household�*s usage, but my understanding will be that because usage goes up in winter and the actual cost of energy is going up the actual cost of energy is going up around twice what it was last year, that means the cost is going up year, that means the cost is going up and i would say if that customer is looking at their bill and thinks it doesn�*t reflect their usage or there is something wrong, get in touch with british gas and speak to them and you can query the bill. if you can�*t afford it you might be able to negotiate a payment plan thatis able to negotiate a payment plan that is more affordable to you. this is from david _ that is more affordable to you. this is from david finnan. it's a similar is from david finnan. it�*s a similar theme, jo will stop people think they will not pay more than £2500 for their gas and electricity. this

is wrong. please explain, this is a cap on unit price, if you use more then you will pay more. people don�*t understand, says david, and it bears repetition that this is not a limit on your bill. your bill could be much higher than that. absolutely. we have had _ much higher than that. absolutely. we have had lots _ much higher than that. absolutely. we have had lots of— much higher than that. absolutely. we have had lots of queries - much higher than that. absolutely. we have had lots of queries on - much higher than that. absolutely. j we have had lots of queries on this and people — we have had lots of queries on this and people generally think they will not pay— and people generally think they will not pay more than £2500 this winter. that is— not pay more than £2500 this winter. that is the _ not pay more than £2500 this winter. that is the average cost. that relates — that is the average cost. that relates to _ that is the average cost. that relates to the average home that would _ relates to the average home that would use — relates to the average home that would use 12,000 kilowatt hours of a-s would use 12,000 kilowatt hours of gas and _ would use 12,000 kilowatt hours of gas and around 3000 kilowatt hours of electricity. that means they would — of electricity. that means they would pay around £2500. for a larger home _ would pay around £2500. for a larger home or— would pay around £2500. for a larger home or rate — would pay around £2500. for a larger home or rate more draughty home 0ren older home, _ home or rate more draughty home 0ren older home, they might use 17,000 kitowatt— older home, they might use 17,000 kilowatt hours of gas and 4000 kilowatt — kilowatt hours of gas and 4000 kilowatt hours of gas and 4000 kilowatt hours of gas and 4000 kilowatt hours of electricity so they— kilowatt hours of electricity so they will— kilowatt hours of electricity so they will pay around £3400 for their

energy _ they will pay around £3400 for their energy. the messaging has to be reinforced — energy. the messaging has to be reinforced to get that across. thank ou to ou reinforced to get that across. thank you to you both _ reinforced to get that across. thank you to you both for _ reinforced to get that across. thank you to you both forjoining - reinforced to get that across. thank you to you both forjoining us. - the governor of the zaporizhzhia region in southern ukraine says 23 people have been killed in a russian missile strike on a convoy carrying civilians. he says dozens more are injured. parts of zaporizhzhia are to be formally declared russian territory later today by president putin, along with other occupied ukrainian regions. kyiv says it won�*t stop fighting for their liberation. 0ur ukraine correspondent james waterhouse told us what he saw at the scene. it isa it is a scene that is difficult to immediately process. you have a row of vehicles next to an enormous crater and the smell of burning in the air. it immediately seems clear

what has happened but what is less clear it initially is the devastation. and then you almost stumble across bodies. some are covered and some are not. there are people�*s coats, bags and belongings strewn across a wide area. people who have survived are sat on suitcases in a state of shock. zaporizhzhia is a city that has always tried to carry on as normal. it has actually felt a lot more full over the past couple of months. people have gained in confidence and come back. then you have moments like this. at the moment all signs seem to point to a very deliberate targeting. most victims are civilians. this area had been used as a holding station for those who wanted to head back into russian occupied territory, eitherfor wanted to head back into russian occupied territory, either for work, to see relatives or otherwise. it does suggest this is a targeted

strike. we are told four missiles landed here and we are told at least 23 people have been killed. many more have been injured. it is a very difficult site to see.— difficult site to see. james waterhouse. _ let�*s speak to our correspondent, hugo bachega, who�*s in kyiv. i wonder what people are reading into the missile strike and location given that parts of zaporizhzhia are to be formally declared russian territory later today in this annexation process. the city is very close to the front line so it is a major hub for people leaving those areas. but also for people who want to bring humanitarian supplies, medicine, to those who are in towns and cities in russian hands, and it is inferred this sort —— but this was what happened today, this was a gathering

point for this convoy of civilians, for these people who are trying to bring some humanitarian supplies a medicine to areas under russian occupation so again, the local governor saying that 23 people have been killed, 28 people have been injured as the site was attacked early today. this happened just hours before this announcement that is expected to be made by president putin later today in moscow, the formal annexation of these areas that are now under russian occupation in the east, donetsk and luhansk, and in the south, kherson and also parts of zaporizhzhia. so again it seems that this gathering point was targeted, and those people were waiting to deliver, to bring some humanitarian supplies to areas under russian occupation.— under russian occupation. hugo, thank you- _ thank you. and sarah raynsford joins me now.

good morning to you. what do you think president putin ultimately hopes to achieve by going through with this formal annexation of these parts of ukraine? i with this formal annexation of these parts of ukraine?— parts of ukraine? i think this is a move by president _ parts of ukraine? i think this is a move by president putin - parts of ukraine? i think this is a move by president putin to - parts of ukraine? i think this is a i move by president putin to reverse its fortunes in ukraine, if you like. it is coming at a time when russia has lost territory that it controlled there on the ground in the battles, so ukraine has mounted this counteroffensive in recent weeks which has been very successful and russia is basically on the back foot so put in a strain to turn things around, he�*s trying to draw a line in ukraine, trying to say this is a whole new stage in this game, if you like. he is claiming ukrainian territory and he is saying to ukraine, stop now, don�*t push forward any further, this is russia and if you do push i�*m going to hit back. he said he will defend that territory with every means possible, which obviously is implying a nuclear threat, which obviously is implying a nuclearthreat, he which obviously is implying a nuclear threat, he made that very explicit. it is a line in the sand

but it is coming from a position of weakness and i think it�*s important to remember that context. thtnd weakness and i think it's important to remember that context. and risks for him of course _ to remember that context. and risks for him of course with _ to remember that context. and risks for him of course with this _ to remember that context. and risks for him of course with this move - to remember that context. and risks for him of course with this move as i for him of course with this move as well, he might be able to go to the russian people and say, look, we are gaining this territory, in his view, but it brings risks. it gaining this territory, in his view, but it brings risks.— but it brings risks. it does and i think it's also _ but it brings risks. it does and i think it's also quite _ but it brings risks. it does and i think it's also quite hard - but it brings risks. it does and i think it's also quite hard to - think it�*s also quite hard to actually sell this to the russian population in quite the way he was able to sell the crimean occupation and annexation in 2014. the playbook is exactly the same, thick referendums, stage—managed by the criminal, massive show of supposed support in these regions forjoining russia. it happened in premier, it was followed by annexation. so putting is doing the same. he had planned this but wasn�*t supposed to happen just yet, planned this but wasn�*t supposed to happenjust yet, he planned this but wasn�*t supposed to happen just yet, he was pushed planned this but wasn�*t supposed to happenjust yet, he was pushed into this because the ukrainians have been successful on the battlefield so it is russia, it�*s happening at a time when a good chunk of the donetsk region and these average region including the city itself is under ukrainian control, so it�*s a

complete mess. to try to say this is russia and russian forces on the ground don�*t even control those areas exists in very big questions about what happens next. but it is also happening at a time and domestically, his narrative of huge pager to support for this war in ukraine, which he will not call a war, is there because he is now calling on russian reservists, russian men, to go and join the fight and they are not keen on that, a lot of them. do fight and they are not keen on that, a lot of them-— a lot of them. do you think this will tive a lot of them. do you think this will give president _ a lot of them. do you think this will give president zelensky - a lot of them. do you think this i will give president zelensky pause for thought in terms of strategy? he says he is going to defend these territories, the people these territories, the people these territories, but with this annexation, any defence of those territories brings further risk from his perspective as well, doesn�*t it? so what do you think ukraine are�*s next moves might be? i so what do you think ukraine are's next moves might be?— next moves might be? i think the risk is real. _ next moves might be? i think the risk is real, it _ next moves might be? i think the risk is real, it cannot _ next moves might be? i think the risk is real, it cannot be - risk is real, it cannot be dismissed. certainly i know people in ukraine are worried about potential a nuclear escalation, which is obviously a massive new step. i think people in russia are

worried about that as well. we can�*t exclude the fact that russians don�*t really want to have an all—out nuclear war, really want to have an all—out nuclearwar, it�*sjust really want to have an all—out nuclear war, it�*s just not what people want. so i think the rhetoric from ukraine has been very clear, they�*re going to continue to push forward, they want liberate their territory and they have a very fundamental fact that they are even inside what russia is about to declare russian territory now, so come three o�*clock this afternoon in moscow, vladimir putin will claim this is russia and yet there are ukrainian forces on the ground and even those areas. so ukraine has no choice but to carry on, because it is occupied and it has said quite clearly that it will liberate those territories. it has the support of the west, we have heard from president biden and the un secretary general that the referendums were a sham and that the annexation will also be illegal. so for the moment western support is firmly there for ukraine to carry on exactly as it is doing. ukraine to carry on exactly as it is doint _ ., ukraine to carry on exactly as it is doint. ., ., ~' i., , .

doing. sarah, thank you very much. the time is — doing. sarah, thank you very much. the time is 9:36, _ doing. sarah, thank you very much. the time is 9:36, time _ doing. sarah, thank you very much. the time is 9:36, time for- doing. sarah, thank you very much. the time is 9:36, time for the - the time is 9:36, time for the sport. domestic football returns after the international break, and with the nights drawing in, the football league met yesterday to discuss whether or not to bring kick—off times forward to avoid having to turn their floodlights on, but they concluded that they won�*t actually save money, because of the knock—on effect on ticket sales and hospitality. league two side mansfield will trial the idea next month but the majority of clubs have ruled out shifting their kick—off times. when you actually look at the price of putting on a game, floodlight situation is not one of the big costs of the match. it is quite small in comparison to everything else. so i don�*t think that we would have really got as much from it as

people are suggesting. it�*s another anxious day for the rugby union premiership side worcester warriors. the players�* union want clarity as to whether the players will get their wages — they are due today. the company that owns the club went into administration on monday but player salaries are paid by a separate business. if players don�*t get their september pay—packet, they have the option of moving elsewhere after completing a two—week notice period. the men�*s and women�*s sides are currently suspended from all competitions. there are plenty of concerns about the future and relevance of county cricket as the ecb looks to restructure the domestic calendar, but yesterday afternoon, on the final day of the season, warwickshire�*s liam norwell was trending on social media above the prime minister. it was an incredible game at edgbaston, where warwickshire, last year�*s champions, had to beat hampshire to avoid relegation. norwell took nine wickets as they won the match byjust five runs. that victory means

yorkshire go down instead. it is great to have the plaudits, i�*m chuffed, managed to put in a performance that kept us in division one but it means so much of this team in these members in this club that we are in division one. for me to be able to do something to help us stay there after an average season from us means everything. i�*m just so glad i managed to put in a performance and that this club are in division one again next year. snooker�*s british open is taking place in milton keynes, and mark selby made a perfect start to his match in the last 16 against jack lisowski. the four time world champion recored a maximum break in the very first frame. 15 reds, 15 blacks and all the colours. it�*s the fourth 147 of his career and unsurprisingly he went onto win by four frames to one. he�*ll play northern ireland�*s mark allen next.

formula one returns this weekend. max verstappen will steal many of the headlines in singapore, he could retain the world championship with five races to spare, but there�*s also a welcome return for alex albon. earlier this month, the williams driver was placed in an induced coma after suffering respiratory failure following surgery for appendicitis. i felt ready, i feel as fit as i can be. we had a good week of training, or two weeks almost, to get back to where we are today. we will see how it goes. 0bviously where we are today. we will see how it goes. obviously we are realistic and we know that we are coming to the most difficult race of the year, so you do have to be mindful of that. the second round of the alfred dunhill links championship is under way in scotland. the tournament takes place over three different courses, and there was an incedible round at st andrews as the frenchman romain langasque

recovered from an early bogey to equal the course record. he went round in 61,11—under, to top the leaderboard by a single shot. we�*ll see how he gets on at carnoustie today. kingsbarns is the other links course. the final round is back at st andrews on sunday for those that make the cut. you can follow the very latest from the gulf on the bbc sport website. also, a bit of bad news for the british number one cameron norrie, the last hour or so he�*s had to pull out the korean 0pen, about an hour before his quarterfinal, due to illness. that is a big blow to his hopes of reaching the atp tour finals. he�*s been wasting a lot of tennis in the next few weeks in the far east looking to gain ranking points to get into the world because my top eight. he currently lies 11th in the race to those finals at the end of the season. i will be back in

the next hour or so. at least 19 people have been killed in an explosion outside an education centre in the afghan capital, kabul. officials say the suicide bombing injured another 27 people. the blast targeted students who were preparing for a mock university entrance exam. 0ur south asia correspondent yogita limaye has been giving us the latest. preliminary information is that this bomb went off in an education centre, the kaaj education centre in kabul. and what we�*re being told is that students had gathered there to take a mock exam in preparation for university admissions. according to the taliban�*s police chief, at least 19 people have been killed, dozens have been injured. we�*ve had eyewitnesses from the hospitals nearby tell us that the number of dead could possibly rise. and this attack, this explosion, took place in a neighbourhood dominated

by the hazara ethnic minority. so far no group has claimed responsibility for this attack but previously we�*ve had several attacks in hazara neighbourhoods, in hazara mosques. earlier this year, in april, there was an attack in a large public school where most of the students who went to that school were hazaras as well. and many of these attacks have been claimed by iskp, islamic state khorasan province, which is the regional affiliate of the islamic state group. the number of nurses leaving the profession in england has hit a record high according to new analysis by the nuffield trust for the bbc. in the year tojune 2022, over 40,000 qualified nurses left nhs employment, that�*s 11.5% percent of the total workforce. 0ur health editor hugh pym reports. ijust had to just leave this poor mum who�*s just left her brand—new—diagnosed child with cancer and just say,

"i�*m really sorry, there�*s nobody to look after you." and thatjust felt like i�*d failed that mum so much. from front—line care to running a coffee shop. amanda, after 20 years as a paediatric nurse in west yorkshire, decided the stress and strain of nhs work was too much, and it was time for a new career. for me, i wanted to leave because i was burnt out. i was completely burnt out. i didn�*t feel that i was meeting the mark any more. i felt like i was letting families down, i was letting parents down. the profession has changed immeasurably over probably the last ten years. nobody could say they�*re truly happy in the nhs. amanda isn�*t alone in quitting the nursing profession. over the last year, more than 40,000 nurses in england left nhs employment. according to the nuffield trust think tank, the number of nursesjoining — shown here by the blue line — is rising, but the total leaving — including for maternity leave, the red line — is going up fast. this latest research comes at a time when nhs providers,

representing trusts in england, has voiced concern about the impact of the rising cost of living on staff. employers are finding it�*s difficult sometimes to hang on to skilled healthcare workers who want to leave to take less—stressful and better—paid jobs. we�*ve heard some heart—rending stories around a nurse having to skip meals to fund school uniforms, for example, and about people being worried about covering the cost of getting into work. all of that is having a chilling effect on recruitment and retention in the nhs at almost the worst possible moment, when we�*ve already got over 130,000 vacancies and we are trying to gear up for quite a challenging winter ahead. the nuffield trust said the proportion of nurses quitting in scotland was almost the same as in england. similar data is not available for wales and northern ireland. the department of health said nurse numbers had increased in england since 2019, and there would be a long—term workforce plan to help recruit and retain more staff. hugh pym, bbc news.

a 34—year—old man has been arrested on suspicion of the murder of olivia pratt—korbel. the nine—year—old was killed as her mother tried to stop a gunman — who was unknown to the family — entering their home in liverpool last month. merseyside police has now arrested ten men as part of the investigation, but no charges have so far been brought. detectives continue to appeal for information, and a £200,000 reward is on offer. mairead smyth reports from merseyside police headquarters. the 34—year—old man was arrested in liverpool last night in the area where a nine—year—old 0livia pratt—korbel was killed on monday the 22nd of august. it happened after her mother had opened the door to a man who was being chased by gunmen, then in that gun was fired, the shots hit 0livia�*s mother

injuring her hand and sadly killing the manual girl. since then, ten men have been questioned in connection with 0livia�*s murder but nobody has been charged. this latest arrest comes a week after the charity crimestoppers had offered a £2000 reward for any information that led to the conviction of my world�*s —— nine—year—old 0livia�*s killer. a huge rescue effort is taking place in the us state of florida in the wake of hurricane ian. fears are growing that there may have been many deaths — at least ten have been recorded since the storm struck. president biden said ian could prove to be the deadliest hurricane in florida�*s history. it is expected to crash into south carolina on friday. nadia tawfik reports. this was fort myers just days ago and this is it after hurricane ian came through. the scale of the devastation has rocked this

community, the hardest hit on florida�*s west coast, as it deals with what has been described as a 500 year flood event. with what has been described as a 500 yearflood event. residents with what has been described as a 500 year flood event. residents were under mandatory evacuation, but those who choose to stay described how quickly they were overtaken by water and the fear they felt. indie how quickly they were overtaken by water and the fear they felt. we got out the door. _ water and the fear they felt. we got out the door, the _ water and the fear they felt. we got out the door, the water _ water and the fear they felt. we got out the door, the water was - water and the fear they felt. we got out the door, the water was here. i out the door, the water was here. the magut round to this, and we want read the whole side of the house to the roof line. and then swim over that too. so the roof line. and then swim over that too. ., ., , i: i: that too. so far there have been 700 rescues across _ that too. so far there have been 700 rescues across the _ that too. so far there have been 700 rescues across the state. _ that too. so far there have been 700 rescues across the state. the - rescues across the state. the national guard and the coastguard used boats and in some places helicopters to reach those trapped. when ireland wasn�*t the off from the mainland after the storm destroyed sections of this bridge. —— one of the islands. president biden has ordered federal aid to help with the recovery and descending an emergency administrator to florida today to checkin administrator to florida today to check in on response efforts. this

could be the _ check in on response efforts. this could be the deadliest hurricane in florida's_ could be the deadliest hurricane in florida's history. the numbers are still unclear, but we are hearing other— still unclear, but we are hearing other reports of what may be substantial loss of life. the triori substantial loss of life. the priority for _ substantial loss of life. tis: priority for emergency response teams is the search and rescue effort, the clean up and getting basic services back up and running. but looking at the widespread damage, it is clear that a full recovery will take years. ian has regained hurricane strength and is now moving towards georgia and is now moving towards georgia and the carolinas. more low lying areas vulnerable to flooding. parents in england whose children miss school face harsher penalties depending on where they live — that�*s according to a new bbc investigation. at least £8.6 million worth of fines were handed out last year, but new research shows huge regional variations — as our education editor, bra nwen jeffreys reports. smiley, happy people — love to see it. come on in.

girls, have you got your planner? yeah. not chewing, are we? no. superb. every child checked in every morning. good morning. morning. all right? yeah. yeah? well done. the register shows who hasn�*t arrived. it's attendance. i'm just letting you know that...not arrived as yet. is he on his way? any child they�*re worried about, the attendance team put on the list for a visit. ok, so if we just look at the home—visit log, so we've got our visits for today. checking on children, offering help. so she should be back in school today. 0n the next visit, mum joanne agreed to talk to me. she told me her daughter�*s become anxious since the lockdowns. many times when i�*ve been stood at the bus stop with her, i�*ve been saying, "you�*ve got to get on the bus." you know, we�*ll get in trouble, as well — it�*s not, you know, it�*s not you. i mean, it�*s affecting, obviously, your education, but if we get fined, how would we afford it? or, you know, you don�*t get

the education you need, you can�*t get the job you want. joanne�*s daughter has been in school since the visit. did the house look empty when you went yesterday? some need help, but 50 families had also taken children on holiday at the start of term. post a note — it's a suspected holiday, we'll put a note - through the letterbox. a lot of the times, they don't complete a holiday form. - i think it's almost fear of the fine. l quite a lot of our families do have identified needs — coming into the winter, no gas, no electric, no heating. so i think we just never know what we're going to be faced with, day to day. but i think we're quite good at then identifying that support. i spoke to the children�*s commissioner for bbc panorama. she�*s worried the pandemic has left some children struggling to attend. i really think the prime minister needs to make this one of her top priorities. the numbers are huge. we absolutely owe it

to these children. all the other things in education cannot happen if children aren�*t in school. our investigation shows the use of fines varies hugely across england. the government wants new national standards for when they�*re used. why does it matter so much to you as a head teacher that you have the final say over which families end up being fined? yeah. we know ourfamilies, and that�*s important. and we know what that fine could do to a family. and if we are working very closely with them, and then you put in place a fine, that breaks that relationship between home and school, and it�*s so important that we keep that positive. jack. gracie. jacob. schools in england have been given new guidelines — told by the government to make attendance a top priority. that also means removing the barriers for some children. branwen jeffreys, bbc news.

you can see more of this story on bbc panorama�*s �*why kids miss school�* programme — tonight at 7.30 on bbc one. the first coins featuring king charles iii have been unveiled by the royal mint. a special commemorative crown and a 50p will be the first coins to feature the king�*s portrait. the 50 pence coin is expected to go into circulation within weeks. the coins will also commemorate the life and legacy of her late majesty queen elizabeth ii. early next week, we will be launching the memorial range — which, as i say, is commemorative, but also going into circulation. and people should start to see the circulation coins. it�*s a 50p — circulation memorial 50p — going out in a couple of months�* time, and the commemorative coins should start to go out in about six weeks�* time. when you think ofjames bond — you probably think of action,

adventure, and of course preposterously attractive cars. to celebrate the sixtieth anniversary of doctor no, a charity auction has been taking place in london. among the items up for grabs, one of bond�*s famous aston martins — as the bbc�*s tim allman explains. bond theme plays the theme tune almost as iconic as the man himself. 007, licence to kill, you know the rest. it�*s 60 years since james bond first appeared on the silver screen and a secret agent can collect quite a lot of stuff in that time. so an auction in london of clothes, props and a very special automobile. it�*s one of eight aston martin replicas that were made especially for no time to die and used in matera on location in italy for the chase scene,

so it is one of the stunt cars with some gadgets on it as well. and so we come to the sensational aston martin db5 replica stunt car. there was plenty of interest with bids coming in from all around the world. eventually the price reaching, if not an all—time high, but close enough. 2,400,000, this bidder has it, is against you in the uae, if you want to come back in, last chance, the cameras are up. it's not quite gone. it is now. sold to you. add on commission, and this rather battered stunt car sold for more than $3 million. as for the bond franchise, it will continue and soon with a brand—new leading man. after all, nobody does it better. the name�*s allman — tim allman, bbc news.

after 23 years on bbc radio two, presenter steve wright will host his final afternoon show today. he announced back injuly he would be stepping down from his show as part of the station�*s schedule shake—up — but has assured fans that he�*s not retiring from broadcasting, but instead taking a break. time now for a look at the weather, let�*s get the very latest from matt taylor. nice to see you. nice to see you as well. may be of little comfort if you get caught in the ring but we desperately need the rain at the moment especially across parts of england. the national drought group have said that nearly half of the reservoirs in england are classed as exceptionally low, 11 out of 14 areas are still in drought in this we get a decent amount of rain for the rest of the autumn and winter, droughts will continue into 2023, as

will restrictions. how much rain will restrictions. how much rain will be seated a? here are the forecasts for today. notice how it spreads across the country in 24 hours, the darkest blue colours to the west, could see up to around 14 millimetres. the south—east corner around to 10. byjust about every single area will see some rain and of course every drop some is very much welcome at the moment. rain spreading eastwards will come as a very strong winds and taking away the bright start we got at the moment, still if you mist and fog patches across parts of central and eastern england. as the breeze picks up eastern england. as the breeze picks up they will clear. wet and windy through northern ireland, the west of scotland and increasingly so in the rac, some of the rain heavy at times. winds up to around 70 miles an hourfor a times. winds up to around 70 miles an hourfora time times. winds up to around 70 miles an hourfor a time of the times. winds up to around 70 miles an hour for a time of the west. wet and windy weather spreads across much of england during the afternoon, the midlands around lunchtime. doesn�*t quite reach the south—east by the end of the afternoon but the breeze will pick up afternoon but the breeze will pick up here. raises down a little bit for scotland and northern ireland later, finishing the day here with

sunshine and showers. a better journey home than one into work and temperatures in the around 12 to 14. 16 or 17 before the rain arrives in the south—east. it will arrive, a wet and in east anglia and the south and the channel islands. the rainbow club at than a measure of clear skies and showers for the rest of the night. the choice cheesy in the north and west. temperatures tonight down on last night, but the breeze will keep things well and truly clear of frost. another blustery day on saturday, not as windy as today. a few showers dotted around scotland and northern ireland, northern england especially. further south isolated showers, mustard century, feeling warmer but later cloud increasing towards the far and south—west. that is all tied with an approaching weather system which is causing us ulcers of issues for sunday. here it is developing here, the question is how far north or south it will gradually get. at the moment it looks like we could see some rain across the london area for the marathon, that rain across many southern counties, but it could be

further south, could be a bit drier, certainly for the in a dry and bright day on sunday. —— for further north.

this is bbc news — these are the latest headlines in the uk and around the world. in the afghan capital, kabul, a blast targetting students ukrainian officials in the zaporizhzhia region say there has been a russian missile attack. the rocket attack comes on the day when president putin is to complete his illegal annexation of parts of four ukrainian regions seized by force. liz truss and kwasi kwarteng are today meeting ahead of the uk�*s independent financial forecaster after a week of turmoil in the markets. meanwhile, ministers

continue to defend plans. hate markets. meanwhile, ministers continue to defend plans. we had to act really quickly _ continue to defend plans. we had to act really quickly last _ continue to defend plans. we had to act really quickly last friday - continue to defend plans. we had to act really quickly last friday to -