this is bbc news — these are the latest headlines in the uk and around the world. in the afghan capital, kabul, a blast targetting students ukrainian officials in the zaporizhzhia region say there has been a russian missile attack. the rocket attack comes on the day when president putin is to complete his illegal annexation of parts of four ukrainian regions seized by force. liz truss and kwasi kwarteng are today meeting ahead of the uk's independent financial forecaster after a week of turmoil in the markets. meanwhile, ministers continue to defend plans. we

markets. meanwhile, ministers continue to defend plans. we had to act really quickly _ continue to defend plans. we had to act really quickly last _ continue to defend plans. we had to act really quickly last friday - continue to defend plans. we had to act really quickly last friday to - act really quickly last friday to give people confidence on energy. in give people confidence on energy. in the afghan capital kabul a blast targeting students preparing for exams kills at least 19 people. record numbers of nurses are quitting the nhs in england with more than 40,000 leaving in the last year. hello and welcome if you're watching in the uk or around the world. in ukraine, 23 civilians have been killed in the southern city of zaporizhzhia after a russian missile struck a convoy of vehicles. that's according to the governor of the province. initial pictures that have started coming in show ambulances

arriving at the scene. 0ur correspondent who's just arrived there reports that the victims seem to be civilians. the attack comes just hours before president putin is expected to hold a ceremony to declare that four partially occupied regions, including zaporizhzhia where this attack took place in the last couple of hours, will become part of russia. the kremlin says luhansk, donetsk, zaporizhzhia and kherson voted overwhelmingly to join russia in recent, self—styled referendums. but ukraine and the west have dismissed the votes as a sham. ukraine insists its goal of fully liberating its territory will never change, regardless of any statements from moscow. earlier we spoke to james waterhouse who is in zaphorizhzhia at the scene where the missile attack took place. it is a scene that is difficult to immediately process. you have a row of vehicles next to an enormous crater and the smell of burning in the air.

it immediately seems clear what has happened but what is less clear initially is the devastation. and then you almost stumble across bodies. some are covered and some are not. there are people's coats, bags and belongings strewn across a wide area. people who have survived are sat on suitcases in a state of shock. zaporizhzhia is a city that has always tried to carry on as normal. it has actually felt a lot more full over the past couple of months. people have gained in confidence and come back. then you have moments like this. at the moment all signs seem to point to a very deliberate targeting. most victims are civilians. this area had been used as a holding station for those who wanted to head back into russian occupied territory, either for work, or to see relatives or otherwise. it does suggest this

is a targeted strike. we are told four missiles landed here and we are told at least 23 people have been killed. many more have been injured. it is a very difficult site to see. it is a very difficult sight to see. james waterhouse. 0ur ukraine correspondent is in the capital of kyiv and told me what people are thinking of the missile strike. ., ,., ., people are thinking of the missile strike. ., ., , ., . , . strike. zaporizhzhia is a city close to the front _ strike. zaporizhzhia is a city close to the front line _ strike. zaporizhzhia is a city close to the front line so _ strike. zaporizhzhia is a city close to the front line so it _ strike. zaporizhzhia is a city close to the front line so it is _ strike. zaporizhzhia is a city close to the front line so it is a - strike. zaporizhzhia is a city close to the front line so it is a major i to the front line so it is a major hub for people leaving the areas under russian occupation but also for people who want to bring in the humanitarian supplies and medicine for those areas, towns and cities in russian hands. it seems this is what happened today, this was a gathering point for this convoy of civilians, for those people trying to bring some humanitarian supplies and medicine to areas under russian occupation. again, the local

governor has said 23 people have been killed, 28 people have been injured, as this site was attacked earlier today. this happened just hours before this announcement that is expected to be made by president putin later today in moscow, the formal annexation of these areas that are now under russian occupation in the east, donetsk and luhansk, and in the south, kherson and parts of zaporizhzhia. it seems this gathering point was targeted and those people were waiting to deliver, to bring humanitarian supplies to areas under russian occupation in the south.- occupation in the south. hugo bachega- _ occupation in the south. hugo bachega. sarah _ occupation in the south. hugo bachega. sarah rainsford - occupation in the south. hugo bachega. sarah rainsford is i occupation in the south. hugo i bachega. sarah rainsford is our occupation in the south. hugo bachega. sarah rainsford is our east europe correspondent and i asked her earlier about the attack and annexation plans.— earlier about the attack and annexation plans. earlier about the attack and annexation lans. , , ., ., _ annexation plans. this is a move by president putin _ annexation plans. this is a move by president putin to _ annexation plans. this is a move by president putin to reverse - annexation plans. this is a move by president putin to reverse his - president putin to reverse his fortunes in ukraine, if you like. it

comes at a time when russia has lost territory that it controlled there on the ground in battles. ukraine has mounted a counteroffensive in recent weeks that has been very successful and vladimir putin and russia are on the back foot. he is trying to turn things around and draw a line in ukraine and say this isa draw a line in ukraine and say this is a whole new stage in this game, if you like. he is claiming ukrainian territory and is saying to ukraine, stop now, stop there, don't push forward any further. this is russia and if you push i will hit back. he has said he will defend the territory with every means possible, which implies a nuclear threat, he made that very explicit. it is a line in the sand but is coming from a position of weakness and it's important to remember that context. and it risks for him with this move as well, he will be able to go to the russian people and say, we are gaining this territory, in his view, but it brings risks. it gaining this territory, in his view,

but it brings risks.— but it brings risks. it does, and it is uuite but it brings risks. it does, and it is quite hard _ but it brings risks. it does, and it is quite hard to _ but it brings risks. it does, and it is quite hard to sell— but it brings risks. it does, and it is quite hard to sell this - but it brings risks. it does, and it is quite hard to sell this to - but it brings risks. it does, and it is quite hard to sell this to the i is quite hard to sell this to the russian population in the way he could sell the crimean occupation and annexation in 2014. the playbook is the same, fake referendums, stage—managed by the kremlin, a massive suppose that show of support from these regions forjoining russia. it happened in crimea and was followed by annexation. vladimir putin is doing the same. he had planned this but wasn't planning to do itjust yet. he has been pushed into it because ukraine has been successful on the battlefield. it has been rushed, and is happening at a time when a big chunk of the donetsk and zaporizhzhia regions, including the zaporizhzhia city, is under control of ukraine. it is difficult to say that this is russia when russian forces on the ground don't control those areas and it raises questions about what happens next. it happens at a time when domestically his narrative of huge patriotically support for the war in ukraine, which he will not call a

war, is there, because he is now calling on russian reservists, russian men, tojoin the calling on russian reservists, russian men, to join the fight, calling on russian reservists, russian men, tojoin the fight, and a lot of them are not keen on that. will this give president zelensky pause for thought in terms of strategy? he says he will defend these territories and their people, but with this annexation, any defence of those territories, that brings further risk from his perspective as well. what do you think ukraine's next moves might be? i think the risk is real and can't be dismissed. i know people in ukraine are worried about potential nuclear escalations, which is a massive new step. i think people in russia are worried about that as well. you can't exclude the fact that russians don't want to have an all—out nuclear war. it is not what people want. the rhetoric from ukraine has been very clear. they will continue to push forward, they want to liberate their territory, and they have a very fundamental

fact that they are even inside what russia is about to declare what is russian territory now. at three o'clock in moscow vladimir putin will claim this is russia but there are ukrainian forces on the ground in those areas. ukraine has no choice but to carry on because it is occupied and it has said clearly that it will liberate those territories. it has the support of the west. we have heard from president biden and the un secretary—general that the referendums were a sham and the annexations will be illegal. at the moment western support is firmly there for ukraine to carry on exactly as it is doing now. sarah rainsford speaking _ exactly as it is doing now. sarah rainsford speaking to _ exactly as it is doing now. sarah rainsford speaking to me - exactly as it is doing now. sarahl rainsford speaking to me earlier. exactly as it is doing now. sarah rainsford speaking to me earlier. in a few moments i will speak to the former british ambassador to russia, sir roderic lyne. britain's prime minister, liz truss, and chancellor, kwasi kwarteng, will meet the head of the office for budget responsibility, the uk's independent financial forecaster tday. they'll discuss the fallout from last week's mini—budget. while the watchdog offered

to prepare a draft forecast in time for last friday's mini—budget, that offer wasn't taken up. forecasts from the 0br give an indication of the state of the nation's finances and there have been calls for a forecast to be published in the last week. since it was announced at the end of last week, the mini—budget has faced widespread criticism — including from the international monetary fund and former bank of england governor mark carney. the turmoil has seen a large gap in the polls open up between labour and the conservatives just days ahead of the conservatives' conference that begins this weekend. energy prices will rise for millions of households on saturday, but the increase has been cushioned by a government cap on the cost per unit. a typical annual bill will go up from just under £2,000 to £2,500, but will be further mitigated by cost—of—living payments. ministers stepped in after an 80% increase in domestic gas and electricity bills was anticipated, following a hike in wholesale prices. this report from simonjones.

seeking to regain the confidence of the markets. in an unusual move, both the prime minister and the chancellor will meet the chairman of the office for budget responsibility after a slump in the value of the pound, uncertainty over mortgages, and a week of extreme financial volatility. the watchdog had offered to prepare a draft forecast in time for last friday's mini budget, but that was rejected by the government. forecasts of the uk's economic outlook are usually published to accompany major financial announcements. it's led to accusations ministers were trying to avoid scrutiny, and that that has in part driven the lack of confidence in the markets. now the 0br, its costings methods and forecasts is seen by many as central to the plan to restore stability. but in a series of bbc interviews yesterday, the prime minister seemed keener to talk about cutting taxes and capping energy bills than surging mortgage costs. prime minister, it sounds like you're saying, "crisis? what crisis?" i'm not saying that at all. i think we're in a very

serious situation. it's a global crisis which has been brought about by the aftermath of covid and putin's war in ukraine. the government says the bank of england independently sets interest rates. but more than 1,000 mortgage products have been withdrawn due to forecasts of big rises. and listen to the reaction of the question time audience when one woman describes the impact it's having on her. i was actually in the process of getting a mortgage as a young person, and i was told my initial interest rate would be 4.5%. and i was told today that the lender has pulled that offer. and now the best offer that i can get is about 10.5%. gasps. whoa! wow. the chancellor has told conservative mps the government is working at pace to show the markets it has a clear plan. but as they prepare to gather for their conference in birmingham, with labour well ahead in the polls, some tory mps need convincing, too, that the government is on the right path. simonjones, bbc simon jones, bbc news.

earlier i spoke to sir charles bean — he worked at the 0br for five years on the budget responsibility committee. he told me how important theirforcasts are... the key thing about the formation of the 0br is that it took forecasting outside the treasury and gave it to an independent agency. and that meant it wasn't subject to some of the pressures and wishful thinking that has been plaguing treasury forecasts in the past. you can't claim that 0br forecasters are endowed with greater wisdom or anything. their forecasts won't necessarily come to pass, but the key thing is they are not particularly biased in any direction and they are based on the best available evidence at the time. because of that, they lend

credibility to the government's fiscal and economic strategy. so independence gives credibility. do you think the 0br in this instance has been undermined at all by the decision of the prime minister and chancellor not to use its most recent forecast and the existence of that wasn't officially confirmed on the record until yesterday? or does it actually emerge in a stronger position from this because of the meeting happening today? i think the thing that has been undermined is not the 0br but the government's credibility, frankly. the government has made several missteps. it's notjust the contents of last week's fiscal event, but also the apparent downplaying and degrading of the surrounding institutional contexts, so there has been rubbishing

of the bank and attempt to blame it for letting inflation rise so much when clearly that is mainly driven by what is happening in ukraine, sacking tom scholar, the permanent secretary of the treasury on the new chancellor's first day sent a very bad signal. and finally, obviously, not publishing the 0br assessment alongside the mini budget last week was treated badly by the markets. i think it is worth saying that if all last friday had contained was basically the details of the energy price guarantee and some commentary about the general direction of the government's thinking about reigniting growth, the reception probably would have been a lot better. although the energy price guarantee

is very expensive, it is temporary. the thing that really spooked the market in my view was accompanying that with permanent reductions in taxes relative to what was previously planned, rolling back the national insurance increase, the rolling back of the planned increase in corporate income taxes, both of which together were supposed to pay for higher health and social care spending, coupled with cutting the basic rate and getting rid of the top rate of income tax. all of which i think raise questions in investors' minds as to whether the public finance is on a sustainable track. do you think we will see the forecast prepared for last friday or will there be any value in seeing that now? there will probably be some value.

i don't think it will necessarily add credibility to the government's stance. the forecasts that had been prepared would have been a so—called pre—measures forecast, which is an update of the last forecast that was produced back in the spring for all the more recent economic developments, the news on the wholesale energy prices, on market interest rates, all of that. now at the time of the spring budget, the chancellor rishi sunak had left himself 30 billion so—called headroom against his objective of having debt to gdp falling three years out. that was potentially money that could be spent if everything transpired along their trajectory of the forecast. however, since then,

the economic outlook has deteriorated significantly, obviously, with a much higher inflation, slower growth in prospect, much higher debt interest. and that 30 billion headroom, which liz truss during the leadership campaign had claimed could be used to finance tax cuts, in my view it is highly unlikely to be in there. in fact it could well be a shortfall until we see the numbers but we don't know. how important then is it that the 0br can talk frankly about today's meeting, because the prime minister and chancellor will go to the party conference starting this weekend and they could say we are in discussions with the 0br, but unless we know the details of those discussions, any disagreements or points of difference, that statement on its own wouldn't mean much. so how important is it that we can hear frank accounts of what the discussions are that

are taking place today? i suspect the discussions will revolve around what they want the 0br to produce over the coming weeks. originally the government had said it didn't want a full 0br forecast to be published until all the other elements were in place alongside its november 23rd full fiscal statement. that would be the perfectly reasonable stance to take if they haven't announced the permanent reductions in taxes

in a word, can your forecast be produced in time for that? yes, absolutely, no problem at all. the 0br had the base pre—measures forecast and they can update that to incorporate measures relatively quickly. and what the chancellor and the prime minister and richard hughes will probably be discussing is what is the best process going forward, the best timetable for any 0br pronouncements and whether they want to stick to just saying you have to wait until november 23rd, which in my view i think is unsustainable politically. sir charles bean.

formerly of the office for budget responsibility. financial secretary to the treasury, andrew griffiths mp spoke to the bbc, this morning. we asked him about speculation over whether benefit rates would change in line with earnings rather than the rate of inflation that was promised by previous chancellor, rishi sunak. the promise you make is we will go through the normal process for operating benefits and allowing the secretary of state to decide and bring forward their own plans. the secretary of _ bring forward their own plans. the secretary of state bring did to bring — secretary of state bring did to bring forward a plan. it is simply adherin: bring forward a plan. it is simply adhering to _ bring forward a plan. it is simply adhering to the _ bring forward a plan. it is simply adhering to the process - bring forward a plan. it is simply adhering to the process and - bring forward a plan. it is simply adhering to the process and not| adhering to the process and not commenting on speculation. we have pictures of members of the office for budget response ability arriving at downing street this morning for a meeting with the prime minister and the chancellor. this meeting happening as the pound returned to pre—mini budget levels,

hitting $1.12 this morning, returning to the same level the currency was at before the mini budget a week ago today. joining me now is the conservative mp and chairman of the treasury committee, mel stride. thank you forjoining us today. how confident are you this meeting with the 0br will help steady nerves further? i the obr will help steady nerves further? ~ , ., ., ., the obr will help steady nerves further? ~ , ., , further? i think it is a good sign because it _ further? i think it is a good sign because it shows _ further? i think it is a good sign because it shows the _ further? i think it is a good sign i because it shows the government further? i think it is a good sign - because it shows the government is clearly recognising now that something needs to be done about the credibility of the proposals they have come forward with, those announced last friday by the chancellor, and a recognition of the importance of the independent forecasting body, the office for budget responsibility. i imagine conversations there will be around firstly perhaps bringing forward the date of the next forecast we are expecting currently on the 23rd of november and i think that's important for a variety of reasons, not least for steadying the markets.

secondly, having a really hard conversation about whether what the government has come forward with thus far stacks up fiscally, do the numbers work, given whatever the fiscal targets are that the chancellor decides he is aiming for? do the current proposals of all these unfunded tax cuts and the growth assumptions the government is making all add up to meeting these targets? i suspect the 0br will probably say they don't and that leads to a difficult discussion about whether there will need to therefore be changes in the government's approach. making a chance government's approach. making a change isn't _ government's approach. making a change isn't necessarily _ government's approach. making a change isn't necessarily a - government's approach. making a change isn't necessarily a sign - government's approach. making a change isn't necessarily a sign ofl change isn't necessarily a sign of weakness, is it? i change isn't necessarily a sign of weakness, is it?— change isn't necessarily a sign of weakness, is it? i think under the current circumstances _ weakness, is it? i think under the current circumstances definitely l weakness, is it? i think under the l current circumstances definitely not because there is an awful lot at play. we have seen some extraordinary reactions from the markets in just a short number of days, a spiking in gilt yields, meaning higher costs for businesses and mortgage borrowers and the cost of servicing the government's debt. we have seen a lot of pressure on

the pound and just a couple of days ago we saw some emerging signs of financial instability at the long end of the gilt market and the impact it has on pension funds. these are very big cogs in play and it's very important the government now moves very quickly to do the kind of things it needs to do to reassure the markets that what it is doing at the moment is fiscally responsible. doing at the moment is fiscally reaponsible-— doing at the moment is fiscally resonsible. �* ., ,, , , . responsible. and reassure the public as well. responsible. and reassure the public as well- we — responsible. and reassure the public as well. we have _ responsible. and reassure the public as well. we have talked _ responsible. and reassure the public as well. we have talked a _ responsible. and reassure the public as well. we have talked a lot - responsible. and reassure the public as well. we have talked a lot about i as well. we have talked a lot about markets today but reassure the public. do you think there has been a lack of emotional intelligence in what has been said by the prime minister and the chancellor, what we have heard from them? we hadn't heard until yesterday from the prime minister since last friday's mini budget. is there an effort to reach out and reassure the public? i think the chancellor _ out and reassure the public? i think the chancellor and _ out and reassure the public? i think the chancellor and prime _ out and reassure the public? i think the chancellor and prime minister l the chancellor and prime minister will have been under a huge amount of pressure with a lot of fast—moving elements here,

particularly market—driven elements. i think under those circumstances it is very difficult because you have to take quick decisions and go into internal meetings with lots of discussions between the treasury and number ten and so on. i think there is a key point here, which is that government has got to be really forward leaning when it comes to providing reassurance and explaining things in a way that people can grasp and understand. explaining things and doing things that soothe the market and calm things down. those things can be done. my hope as i said earlier is that this meeting with the 0br is some early evidence that the government is perhaps about to do something that will reset the view of the government's economic policy in the eyes of the markets. as i reflected with charles bean, unless we get a fairly frank readout of what the discussions are today, the fact that the meeting is happening in itself doesn't really

tell us much, or do much to offer that sort of reassurance, does it? what it does, i think, is it raises expectations that something is about to happen because it is very unusual for the prime minister and chancellor to meet with richard hughes, the head of the 0br, and it is against the background of this economic uncertainty. i think the raising of expectations here therefore leads to a ramping up of therefore leads to a ramping up of the pressure to actually move rather quickly to make the changes that may be necessary to restore that confidence. i would be necessary to restore that confidence. iwould be be necessary to restore that confidence. i would be surprised if the meeting isjust held confidence. i would be surprised if the meeting is just held them confidence. i would be surprised if the meeting isjust held them is not much is said afterwards, and the message is that we are sticking to our plan and we will have an 0br forecast on the 23rd of november. i would expect, particularly as the markets expect something positive to emerge from this, is they will come out and say something perhaps along the lines of, we will bring forward the lines of, we will bring forward the forecast, which they can do, incidentally, a full forecast by the

end of october, which incidentally would have the advantage of giving the forecast to the monetary policy committee, who won the 3rd of november will take decisions around the base rate, that is to say, what the base rate, that is to say, what the interest rate is the bank of england going to set, which affects people around the country. i would expect something concrete to come out of the meeting and if it doesn't i think that would be an error, i'm afraid. ~ , ., , afraid. we saw several polls yesterday — afraid. we saw several polls yesterday is _ afraid. we saw several polls yesterday is suggesting - afraid. we saw several polls i yesterday is suggesting really substantial gaps in the polls between your party, the conservatives, and labour. the conservatives, and labour. the conservative party conference is getting under way this weekend. can you say hand on heart that you are heading into that with confidence? i think clearly if any political party is in a situation where it is trailing by 20 or 30 points in the polls, and one has to add to the usual caveat that this is not a general election result, it is a set

of polls, but clearly under those circumstances it is a cause for huge concern and conservative parliamentarians at the moment are very anxious about things. this brings me back to the earlier discussion, the keys to moving forward are two things for the conservative party. 0ne forward are two things for the conservative party. one is to reassure the markets and get a credible fiscal plan out there, that the 0br signs off on and we can get back to some sound economics. the second thing is not to panic ourselves into political disunity. so the conservative parliamentary party needs to unite in a positive way, await developments and throw ourselves into a mission of growing the economy, and that is something that can happen across all departments in government. that internal audience, _ departments in government. that internal audience, the conservative party for liz truss, over coming days, how crucial is it that she reassures that audience, that she hits all the right notes? i reassures that audience, that she hits all the right notes?— hits all the right notes? i think it's hugely _ hits all the right notes? i think it's hugely important. -

hits all the right notes? i think it's hugely important. but - hits all the right notes? i think it's hugely important. but on l hits all the right notes? i think it's hugely important. but on a positive point, just as markets can suddenly vote and turn on a sixpence and do something that's really brutal to governments and economies, and we have seen that recently, once they are assured and pointed in another direction, they can just as quickly turn the other ways so i wouldn't discount the possibility that if the government does the right things, gets involved with the 0br in the way i have described, gets the forecast out early and shows the markets that things are now beginning to stack up, then things might start to swing in a more positive direction relatively quickly. and people might be feeling very different about it. but the coming hours and days are critical and the government needs to act quickly. and the government needs to act cuickl . ~ ,, ., , ., ~ quickly. mel stride, conservative mp and chair of— quickly. mel stride, conservative mp and chair of the _ quickly. mel stride, conservative mp and chair of the treasury _ quickly. mel stride, conservative mp and chair of the treasury select - and chair of the treasury select committee, thank you. let's return to that breaking news in ukraine — that 23 civilians have been killed in the southern city of zaporizhzhia after a russian missile struck a convoy of vehicles.

i'm joined now by former british ambassador to the russian federation, sir roderic lyne, in london. thank you very much for your time today. ijust want thank you very much for your time today. i just want to get your reaction to that missile strike in these upper asia region, and what do you think we can read into it, given that parts of zapper asia are among those being annexed by russia, illegally annexed by russia today? —— zaporizhzhia. i think putin will go on pummelling ukraine in any way he can and the more his forces are on the back foot the more he will lash out in this rather inhumane way. but this annexation is going to be announced today is pure alice in wonderland, it is farcical but it is also tragic. you will remember that in lewis carol's story, alice sees not a cat with a grin but a grin without a cat, and what we are having today is putin announcing

annexation without a territory. he has lost in kyiv, he has lost in kharkiv, he is losing in kherson, he has lost half its original invasion force, his mobilisation has turned into a disaster with hundreds of thousands of russian men fleeing for the borders. so what does he do? he announces he is annexing territory, but russia —— that russia doesn't even occupy, most of it. then he is going to make a big speech in three hours' time, which i think will be very triumphant, tinged with a certain amount of menace and threat, then we will have a celebration concert, all this to mask a series of defeats. concert, all this to mask a series of defeats-— of defeats. what is in it for him, then, of defeats. what is in it for him, then. beyond — of defeats. what is in it for him, then, beyond masking _ of defeats. what is in it for him, then, beyond masking defeats? | of defeats. what is in it for him, - then, beyond masking defeats? what is in it for him — then, beyond masking defeats? what is in it for him is _ then, beyond masking defeats? what is in it for him is that _ then, beyond masking defeats? twat is in it for him is that he is then, beyond masking defeats? turisgt is in it for him is that he is in this for the long run. he is i think trying to warn ukrainians and the

west that he is now considering these four provinces of ukraine, which as i say he does not fully occupy, to be russian territory and therefore any attack on them is going to be treated as an attack on russia's territorial integrity, and as he has said explicitly, he would use any means to defend russia's territory. so i think that's part of his purpose. i wouldn't be surprised if at some point down the road, maybe early next year, putin tries to divide the west by offering some kind of peace negotiations, that if we will only recognise the annexation of this amount of territory and lift sanctions, and there could be an end to the war. the ukrainians will never accept that. there are people in the west, and we are all desperate to see an end to this war, who might be tempted by it. and putin knows that his route to avoiding ultimate

defeat in what life is going to be a very long drawn—out conflict is going to be to split off the west from supporting ukraine. so we're going to see a lot of manoeuvring in that direction as time goes on. what that direction as time goes on. what about his nuclear— that direction as time goes on. what about his nuclear threats how do you think that will inform post annexation, how do you think that will inform the response of ukraine andindeed will inform the response of ukraine and indeed its backers in the west? i think and indeed its backers in the west? ithink ukraine and indeed its backers in the west? i think ukraine is going to go on as it has been doing, in a very determined and very brave way, try to regain its own territory, and it is doing that incrementally, i think the russians are in to defend parts that they held over the course of the winter, they will wait until they get more troops coming in in they get more troops coming in in the spring of next year. i think these nuclear threats have to be taken seriously, any nuclear threat

has to be. actually using nuclear weapons would have massive downsides for russia. i wouldn't like to go into too much detail on that! but it is designed to intimidate people in the west to try to build up the pressure in western public opinion, just as i think threatening western critical infrastructure is, if russia were behind the bombing, the explosions in the gas pipeline, to undermine western support for ukraine. . ~ undermine western support for ukraine. ., ,, , ., , undermine western support for ukraine. ., ,, , . ,, ukraine. thank you very much, sir roderick. at least 19 people have been killed in an explosion outside an education centre in the afghan capital, kabul. officials say the suicide bombing injured another 27 people. the blast targeted students who were preparing for a mock university entrance exam. 0ur south asia correspondent yogita limaye has been giving us the latest.

preliminary information is that this bomb went off in an education centre, the kaaj education centre in kabul. we are being told that this was a suicide bombing and the person who carried out the bombing run into this education centre quite early in the morning, shot at the guards and then detonated the explosive device. and most of those who have been killed are students and many of them female students. fridays are normally holidays in afghanistan, but this particular education centre was a private education centre, and essentially what students had gathered here to do is to take a mock exam in preparation for the actual entrance exam for university admissions. so it was a hall full of students, and i've seen some images of the aftermath of the explosion and what you can see there are really wooden benches have been

ripped apart, a few rows of benches have been completely ripped apart. at the hospital doctors are saying that the number of dead could rise because some of those who have been injured are in quite a serious condition. the attack took place in an area dominated by the hazara ethnic minority community, and what we have seen in the past year is numerous attacks on the hazara minority, numerous attacks in this particular area in mosques, and other public places but also in a school in april this year, and i think it raises serious questions about the talla ban's claim of improving the security situation in castan. there are reports of heavy gunfire at the main military camp and some residential areas of burkina faso's capital, 0ugadougou. shots have been heard in various city neighbourhoods and many areas have been cordoned off. armed soldiers have been seen along the main avenue leading to the presidential

and governmental buildings. burkina faso's national television has stopped broadcasting since this morning. burkina faso's national television has stopped broadcasting since this morning. burkina faso's national television has stopped broadcasting since this morning. the west african nation saw a military coup injanuary this year, with paul—henri sandaogo damiba seizing power. a huge rescue effort is taking place in the us state of florida in the wake of hurricane ian. fears are growing that there may have been many deaths — at least ten have been recorded since the storm struck. president biden said ian could prove to be the deadliest hurricane in florida's history. it is expected to crash into south carolina on friday. nada tawfik reports. this was fort myers just days ago. and this is it after hurricane ian barrelled through. the scale of the devastation has rocked this community, the hardest—hit on florida's west coast, as it deals with what's been described as a 500—year flood event. residents were under mandatory evacuation, but those who chose to stay

described how quickly they were overtaken by water, and the fear they felt. we got out the door — swam out the door, because the water was here — and then we got over onto this, and then we walked our way around the whole side of the house from the roof line, and then swam over to that pontoon. so far, there have been 700 rescues across the state. the national guard and the coastguard used boats and, in some places, helicopters to reach those trapped. sanibel island was completely cut off from the mainland after the storm destroyed sections of this bridge. president biden has ordered federal aid to help with the recovery, and is sending an emergency administrator to florida today to check in on response efforts. this could be the deadliest hurricane in florida's history. the numbers are still unclear, but we're hearing early reports of what may be substantial

loss of life. the priority for emergency response teams is the search—and—rescue effort, the clean—up, and getting basic services back up and running. but looking at the widespread damage, it's clear that a full recovery will take years. ian has regained hurricane strength, and is now moving towards georgia and the carolinas, more low—lying areas vulnerable to flooding. nada tawfik, bbc news, on florida's west coast. the number of nurses leaving the profession in england has hit a record high according to new analysis by the nuffield trust for the bbc. in the year tojune 2022, over 40,000 qualified nurses left nhs employment — that's11.5% of the total workforce. 0ur health editor hugh pym reports. ijust had to just leave this poor mum who's just left her brand—new—diagnosed child with cancer and just say, "i'm really sorry, there's nobody to look after you."

and thatjust felt like i'd failed that mum so much. from front—line care to running a coffee shop. amanda, after 20 years as a paediatric nurse in west yorkshire, decided the stress and strain of nhs work was too much, and it was time for a new career. for me, i wanted to leave because i was burnt out. i was completely burnt out. i didn't feel that i was meeting the mark any more. i felt like i was letting families down, i was letting parents down. the profession has changed immeasurably over probably the last ten years. nobody could say they're truly happy in the nhs. amanda isn't alone in quitting the nursing profession. over the last year, more than 40,000 nurses in england left nhs employment. according to the nuffield trust think tank, the number of nursesjoining — shown here by the blue line — is rising, but the total leaving — including for maternity leave, the red line — is going up fast. this latest research comes at a time when nhs providers, representing trusts in england, has voiced concern about

the impact of the rising cost of living on staff. employers are finding it's difficult sometimes to hang on to skilled healthcare workers who want to leave to take less—stressful and better—paid jobs. we've heard some heart—rending stories around a nurse having to skip meals to fund school uniforms, for example, and about people being worried about covering the cost of getting into work. all of that is having a chilling effect on recruitment and retention in the nhs at almost the worst possible moment, when we've already got over 130,000 vacancies and we are trying to gear up for quite a challenging winter ahead. the nuffield trust said the proportion of nurses quitting in scotland was almost the same as in england. similar data is not available for wales and northern ireland. the department of health said nurse numbers had increased in england since 2019, and there would be a long—term workforce plan to help recruit and retain more staff. hugh pym, bbc news. the uk's new energy price cap comes

into effect from tomorrow, meaning higher bills for millions of people on standard and default tariffs. the annual bill for a typical household will rise to £2,500 — double what it was last winter. that figure is a rough guide, because the price cap is applied to a unit of gas or electircity — so the more you use, the more you'll pay, as coletta smith explains. joining me now to discuss this further is gareth mcnab. he is the director of external affairs at the charity christians against poverty, which provides consumer advice and help with debt. gareth, thank you for talking to us today. i think it is really important to emphasise that point that bills are not going to be capped at £2500, the more you use, the more you will pay.— the more you will pay. that's quite ri . ht. the the more you will pay. that's quite right- the typical _ the more you will pay. that's quite right. the typical household - the more you will pay. that's quite right. the typical household is - the more you will pay. that's quite | right. the typical household is what that relates to. but there is no such thing, really, is a typical household. if you have children at home, if you have people with

long—term health difficulties, maybe you work from home, your usage will not be typical, you will pay for what you use. what that really means, we've got a family who are working with us, the mother has an autoimmune condition and brittle bone disease so she has a need to keep the heating on all year round at a healthy level. the price she will pay for her energy this winter from tomorrow will be more than £6,000 across the year. that's why it's really important. 50 £6,000 across the year. that's why it's really important.— it's really important. so there is an energy _ it's really important. so there is an energy price _ it's really important. so there is an energy price cap, _ it's really important. so there is an energy price cap, nata - it's really important. so there is an energy price cap, nata on . it's really important. so there is i an energy price cap, nata on bills, gas is another way of putting it. quite right foot of the unit price, you will pay for what you use. the exam - le you will pay for what you use. the example you _ you will pay for what you use. the example you have just mentioned, how are you helping that particular woman, how are you helping other people who have reached out to the charity with requests for advice, how are they going to cope, they're asking, i presume?— asking, i presume? well, our

standard _ asking, i presume? well, our standard service _ asking, i presume? well, our standard service in _ asking, i presume? well, our standard service in terms - asking, i presume? well, our standard service in terms of. asking, i presume? well, our. standard service in terms of the debt advice across all four nations of the uk would involve helping people get to grips with the budget, the changing costs within it, helping it maximise their income and claim any benefits or social security they are entitled to, then if they're not able to pay all of the debt, we will negotiate with those creditors to help keep the wolf from the door but increasingly that standard service is reaching out into crisis help, call as to us have doubled this year from last summer, we are giving it emergency patches to help keep the fridge running, keep the lights on, those vouchers are going at quest —— twice the level of last summer. we are seeing winter levels of demand for crisis energy help in the height of summer, that's a real concern going into the winter. pare summer, that's a real concern going into the winter.— into the winter. are there even enou:h into the winter. are there even enough of _ into the winter. are there even enough of you _ into the winter. are there even enough of you in _ into the winter. are there even enough of you in the _ into the winter. are there even enough of you in the charity i into the winter. are there even enough of you in the charity to | enough of you in the charity to actually deal with the sheer volume of calls, requests for help you're getting? of calls, requests for help you're caettin ? ., , ., . getting? funding for debt advice across the uk _ getting? funding for debt advice across the uk is _ getting? funding for debt advice across the uk is something i getting? funding for debt advice

across the uk is something we l getting? funding for debt advice i across the uk is something we need more of. our generous donors and supporters have put their shoulder in and continue to give to our work, we do have enough staff, we have new debt advisers starting even just later this month in our new head office in bradford. but it is a concern, that front—line workers and charities like ours are expected to pick up the slack that should be covered by things like a fair energy price guarantee and increasingly a social security system that is crumbling. without the guarantees from government it will be there in the future we are really concerned. we can help as charities but there is a role for the state, our social security system needs to be there for all of us when we have need of it so it can be guaranteed by government that social security will be operated by the rate of inflation in april next year. it's a real travesty of justice. in april next year. it's a real travesty ofjustice. the poorest shouldn't be experiencing pay cuts to pay for tax cuts for rich. so shouldn't be experiencing pay cuts to pay for tax cuts for rich.- to pay for tax cuts for rich. so you will be, for _ to pay for tax cuts for rich. so you will be, for the _ to pay for tax cuts for rich. so you will be, for the government i to pay for tax cuts for rich. so you will be, for the government to i to pay for tax cuts for rich. so you will be, for the government to be | will be, for the government to be really clear on that as soon as possible, the issue of operating and

linking that to inflation, which was promised by rishi sunak, but hasn't been fully committed to by the current chancellor?— been fully committed to by the current chancellor? that's quite ri . ht. current chancellor? that's quite right- the _ current chancellor? that's quite right. the bare _ current chancellor? that's quite right. the bare minimum, i current chancellor? that's quite right. the bare minimum, that. right. the bare minimum, that patients needs to be given to the millions of households who receive social security because it isn't just out of work benefits, this is in work benefits like universal credits, and also pensions, that the commitment to operating will follow the plan committed to by the previous chancellor, that's the least they could do. by rights they should bring forward that up—rating to this side of the winter so that low—income households can pay for the other household essentials but of the energy price guarantee takes away some worry for many households about the cost of energy but food and fuel and housing are still escalating in cost at a rapid rate, with no additional support. gareth, thank ou with no additional support. gareth, thank you very _ with no additional support. gareth, thank you very much. _ a 34—year—old man has been arrested on suspicion of the murder of olivia pratt—korbel. the nine—year—old was killed as her mother tried to stop a gunman — who was unknown to the family — entering their home

in liverpool last month. merseyside police has now arrested ten men as part of the investigation, but no charges have so far been brought. detectives continue to appeal for information and a £200,000 reward is on offer. mairead smyth reports from merseyside police headquarters. the 34—year—old man was arrested in liverpool in the dovecot area of liverpool last night, that's the area where nine—year—old 0livia pratt—korbel was killed on monday the 22nd of august. it happened after her mother had opened the door to a man who was being chased by a gunman, and when that gun was fired, the shots hit 0livia's mother, cheryl, injuring her hand and sadly killing the nine—year—old girl. since then, ten men have been questioned in connection with 0livia's murder but nobody has been charged. this latest arrest comes a week after the charity crimestoppers had offered a £200,000 reward for any information that leads

to the conviction of nine—year—old 0livia pratt—korbel�*s killer. an investigation by the bbc has uncovered the scale of undeclared emissions of greenhouse gases by the oil industry. bbc news arabic and the bbc climate and data teams have found dozens of sites involving major companies where millions of tonnes of emissions from gas flaring from oil drilling have gone unreported. the companies say it's standard practice to only declare emissions where they're the official operator, even if they own the field. esme stallard reports. these oil fields in southern iraq are amongst the worst culprits for gas flaring in the world. this professor and environmental scientist has seen the impact this flaring has had on his home. translation: when i was a child, this was really beautiful. _ if we continue to pollute at this rate, we'll see more climate change.

flaring is when oil companies burn off the gases released from oil drilling. it wastes an expensive natural resource and contributes to climate change. the five major oil companies — bp, annie, exxon mobile, chevron, and shell — are all committed to end routine flaring on their oil fields by 2030. but these oil giants say that in fields where they get another company to run the day—to—day operations, it is the other firm's responsibility to report flaring emissions. the bbc found the rumaila oilfield in southern iraq has more flaring than any other site in the world. bp's annual report makes it look to investors and the public like its flaring emissions are going down overall. but because it doesn't count emissions from sites where it's not the official operator, those aren't included. this is the case with rumaila. bp, the lead contractor here,

doesn't declare the emissions. neither does the operator which they've jointly founded. bp's global admissions from gas flaring in 2021 were 4 million tonnes of c02. but if rumaila were included, it would be double. bbc news arabic and the bbc climate and data teams investigated how many more sites there were globally where neither the oil company nor the official operator were declaring the emissions. using satellite data, we found dozens of sites globally belonging to the five major oil companies, where flaring emissions are not being reported. this amounted to almost 20 million tonnes of carbon dioxide — that's as much as 4 million cars would produce in a year. in response to our findings, the oil companies said they followed the standard approach to take it across the industry. in addition, shell and eni said they do include all of their flaring in their official emissions reports, but don't report flaring separately

where they're not the operator, and they've not committed to producing that flaring. —— reducing that flaring. there are a range of solutions to tackle gas flaring. the first and most obvious is to cap the gas and put into a nearby gas pipeline, which can be initially expensive. but if all the gas was captured, it would be nearly as much as the eu's total gas imports from russia. back in iraq, those living under the polluted skies hope the burning will end. you can find the full bbc news arabic investigation on the bbc website. just go to bbc.co.uk in britain or bbc.com around the world and search under poisoned skies. the first coins featuring king charles iii have been unveiled by the royal mint. a special commemorative crown and a 50p will be the first coins

to feature the king's portrait. the 50p coin is expected to go into circulation within weeks. the coins will also commemorate the life and legacy of her late majesty queen elizabeth the second. early next week, we will be launching the memorial range — which, as i say, is commemorative, but also going into circulation. and people should start to see the circulation coins. it's a 50p — circulation memorial 50p — going out in a couple of months' time, and the commemorative coins should start to go out in about six weeks' time. denmark's queen margrethe, who is europe's only reigning queen and the continent's longest serving monarch, has decided to strip four of her eight grandchildren of their titles. they are the children of the queen's second son, princejoachim. the official reason given was to allow the four children to live more normal lives, but countess alexandra,

the mother of two of the boys, said she was shocked, adding that the children couldn't understand why they were losing their royal identity. a fire has seriously damaged the headquarters of paraguay�*s national electoral commission in the capital, asuncion. the building houses hundreds of staff and the voting machines used in elections. there are no reports of casualties, but the fire has raised questions about the timing of upcoming primaries and of paraguay�*s general and presidential elections, due in april next year. australia is scrapping rules requiring people to isolate for five days if they test positive for covid, one of its last remaining pandemic restrictions. the change will come into effect in two weeks' time. support payments for people infected with covid will also end, with exceptions for vulnerable people and care workers. when you think ofjames bond, you probably think of action, adventure, and of course, preposterously attractive cars.

to celebrate the 60th anniversary of dr no a charity auction has been taking place in london. among the items up for grabs — one of bonds famous aston martins — as the bbc�*s tim allman explains. bond theme plays the theme tune almost as iconic as the man himself. 007, licence to kill, you know the rest. it's 60 years since james bond first appeared on the silver screen and a secret agent can collect quite a lot of stuff in that time. so an auction in london of clothes, props and a very special automobile. it's one of eight aston martin replicas that were made especially for no time to die and used in matera on location in italy for the chase scene, so it is one of the stunt cars

with some gadgets on it as well. and so we come to the sensational aston martin db5 replica stunt car. there was plenty of interest with bids coming in from all around the world. eventually the price reaching, if not an all—time high, but close enough. 2,400,000, this bidder has it, is against you in the uae, if you want to come back in, last chance, the cameras are up. it's not quite gone. it is now. sold to you. add on commission, and this rather battered stunt car sold for more than $3 million. as for the bond franchise, it will continue and soon with a brand—new leading man. after all, nobody does it better. the name's allman — tim allman, bbc news.

and you are watching bbc news. hello, you might not think it when you're caught in it today but many areas, especially across england, desperately need the rain. many still in drought, 11 of 14 environment agency areas, and nearly half the reservoirs in england are still classed as exceptionally low. so how much rain will fall today? this is our rainfall amount chart. notice how that rainfall spreads across the country. darker blue out to the west, could see up to 40 millimetres of rain on the hills. around 5—10 towards the south and east. but every drop counts. and with that there will be some pretty strong winds. whilst it remains breezy, it will brighten up across parts of the north and west later. that process begins this afternoon in northern ireland and western scotland, and heavy rain elsewhere. turning wetter across much of england and wales. some of that rain heavy at times.

even the odd rumble of thunder. notice though, while it creeps towards the south—east, parts of east anglia and the south—east will stay dry until late afternoon and into the evening. gusty winds around that. strongest this morning will have been across western scotland, but gale force winds are still possible. here with brighter conditions developing, a drop in temperature, 12 or 13 this afternoon. as we go into this evening and overnight, a wet evening commute across east anglia, the south—east and other southern counties of england. that rain clears by midnight and then clear spells and a few showers. showers mainly across parts of scotland, northern ireland and north—west england. a bit fresher here than last night with a breeze keeping the frost at bay. into saturday, a blustery day but nowhere near as windy as today. a lot drier for many of you, particularly across southern and eastern areas. very few showers around. the north and west, showers will come and go, very much hit and miss. showers most frequent in western scotland and northern ireland. temperatures again only around 12 or 13 in the breeze but a warmer day further south with more in the way of sunshine and the wind is lighter. at the end of the day, we see cloud

push in towards the south—west. that's this developing feature here. gives a big question mark as to what will happen on sunday and the impact, but it could potentially bring a pretty wet race for the london marathon. if you are heading off to support, take the waterproofs, but make sure you do get out there and support those running away. we will update the forecast throughout this weekend. here is how that rain plays out on sunday, working its way north and eastwards. big question marks how far north it gets and how quickly that will gradually clear. away from it, though, a lot of you will have a dry day with some sunny spells. just the odd shower in north—west scotland, but a warmer day compared to what we've got at the moment for scotland and northern ireland. goodbye for now.

this is bbc news. the headlines at 11am: the prime minister, liz truss, and the chancellor, kwasi kwarteng, have this morning met top officials from the office for budget responsibility. the pound has rallied and reached the same level against the dollar before the mini budget one week ago. ministers are defending their plans. we have to act really quickly last friday to give people the confidence on energy. ukrainian officials in the zaporizhzhia region say a russian missile attack on a humanitarian convoy has killed more than 20 people queuing to bring aid and pick up their relatives. the rocket attack comes

on the the day when president putin is to complete his illegal annexation of parts of four ukrainian regions seized by force. a verdict�*s expected in to the death of school girl molly russell — the 14—year—old viewed thousands of posts online in the months before she took her own life in 2017. record numbers of nurses are quitting the nhs in england — more than 40,000 have left in the last year. steve wright will host his final radio 2 weekday show this afternoon — but stresses he's not retiring and will continue at the station. a coroner will shortly outline whether he thinks social media contributed to the death of 14—year—old schoolgirl molly russell.

the teenager saw more than 2,000 posts relating to depression, suicide or self harm in the six months before her death in 2017. 0ur correspondent frances read is outside the coroner's court. molly russell was just 14 years old but had to be able to access on her phone thousands of posts relating to depression, suicide and self—harm. the schoolgirl from north london took her own life in 2017. it's taken five years to get to this point at the inquest. in part because of the length of time it's taken to because of the length of time it's ta ken to access because of the length of time it's taken to access data about what she was looking at online. we know the coroner today will look at suggestions as to how to protect others and molly's family have always hoped that their case would provide some kind of change. in inquest has repeatedly heard about the graphic material available to

children online. we know an online bill is going through the house of commons at the moment and we hope that this will change things not just for children in the uk but globally as well and will be a watershed moment for the safety of children online. we are expecting the corner to start delivering the verdict any time now, is expected to take around one hour and we will bring you any information as soon as we get it. the prime minister, liz truss and chancellor kwasi kwarteng have met the head of the office for budget responsibility, the uk's independent financial forecaster this morning. they discussed the fallout from last week's mini—budget. while the watchdog offered to prepare a draft forecast in time for last friday's mini—budget, that offer wasn't taken up. forecasts from the 0br give an indication of the state of the nation's finances and there have been calls for a forecast to be published in the last week. since it was announced at the end of last week, the mini—budget has faced widespread criticism — including from the international monetary fund and former bank of england governor mark carney.

the turmoil has seen a large gap in the polls open up between labour and the conservatives just days ahead of the conservatives' conference that begins this weekend. energy prices will rise for millions of households on saturday, but the increase has been cushioned by a government cap on the cost per unit. a typical annual bill will go up from just under £2,000 to £2,500 will be further mitigated by cost—of—living payments. ministers stepped in after an 80% increase in domestic gas and electricity bills was anticipated — following a hike in wholesale prices. this report from simonjones. u nfortu nately we unfortunately we don't have that report. let me bring in our business correspondent instead. our business correspondent caroline davies is with me. it's been likened to closing the

stable door after the horse has bolted. what's on the agenda? thea;r bolted. what's on the agenda? they said they would _ bolted. what's on the agenda? they said they would be _ bolted. what's on the agenda? true: said they would be ready bolted. what's on the agenda? ti31: said they would be ready to give a forecast before the mini budget. as it was being referred to, by the chancellor last week, and many people are being critical about the fact that that forecast was not without at that stage a mass reason there's been so much turmoil in the market and there was some level which the market seem to respond to and welcomed the idea that they were meeting to see what that sort of discussion might bring. there were hopes that there would be a forecast coming out later on in the next few months and that would be earlier. there is no indication that will happen and even a suggestion this morning from the treasury select committee hoping this would lead to a change of heart by the prime minister or potentially seeing some of those plans reversed that we'd been talking about. at the same time there's been no indication from the prime minister orfrom

there's been no indication from the prime minister or from the chancellor that that is exactly what they are planning to do. as we heard yesterday on multiple interviews they seemed adamant they were sticking to their plan. the front page of many newspapers today talking about the fact she is not going to change your mind or go in another direction. it is is going to come out of this 0p are meeting, we do not know yet. the 0pr could come out and say, yes, we will continue to work towards a forecast and not give any details of it. we to work towards a forecast and not give any details of it.— give any details of it. we are 'ust caettin a give any details of it. we are 'ust getting a couple i give any details of it. we are 'ust getting a couple ofi give any details of it. we are 'ust getting a couple of lines i give any details of it. we are 'ust getting a couple of lines out i give any details of it. we are just| getting a couple of lines out from the meeting. the chairman richard to use said that we talked about the economic and fiscal outlook with quasi—quire tang and his trust and they will look out a timetable for they will look out a timetable for the forecast next week. —— kwasi kwarteng. they say that will be based on the impact of the policies. to confirm, there will be a report, but

obviously it is coming after what they have announced they are going to be doing in terms of big spending plans. the analysis now is going to be different now from what it would have been if it had come prior to the announcement because the economic picture has changed, interest rates have changed. this is all about the _ interest rates have changed. this is all about the government _ interest rates have changed. this is all about the government trying i interest rates have changed. this is all about the government trying to l all about the government trying to reassure the markets. its reassurance to the markets of saying hold on, we will give you a bit more detail next week, we can break it down about when you were expecting all of these forecasts to come. that reassurance about independence from the government than themselves talking about the importance of them being independent, that is really what gives it some level of credibility because the markets can then trust that the 0pr have a look to the figures. there were suggestions on papers this morning

that the fact that the prime minister and the chancellor were meeting face—to—face could suggest they were leaning on the 0pr. that is something that the government is very clearly saying is not the case, they will be looking at the figures and giving their own independent judgment on it. mcmichael what has happened in the last week since that mini budget was announced last week. the pound went down and has now gone back up to where it was before the mini budget. is that steadying because of the report? it is difficult to know. it's gone back up to around one dollar and 12 cents. that's possibly a positive sign but at the same time it's difficult. we shouldn't read too much into it, because there's still a lot of volatility in the market. a lot of economists are saying the underlying are still there, there is uncertainty about how these numbers are going to add up, what are the plans the chancellor will put in

place? we've heard a lot of things the chancellor has talked about wanting to do but no details because that will be quite crucial because the hope on the government has is that they are going to try and grow their way out of this situation. if those plans are not assessed to be strong enough to be able to quickly get the economy to that station and there are going to be questions from the markets about that. so at the moment this is a positive sign, the meeting, some of the moves being made by the bank of england to shore up made by the bank of england to shore up the markets have reassure the markets to a degree, but whether or not... that doesn't necessarily mean we are on a clear path out of this. earlier sir charles bean, worked at the 0br for five years on the budgest responsibility committee. we asked him whether the 0br has been undermined by the government by the prime minster�*s and the chancellor's decision not to use their economic forecast. i think the thing that's

been undermined is not the 0br but the government's credibility, frankly. the government has made several missteps. it's notjust the contents of last week's fiscal event, but also the apparent downplaying, degrading of the surrounding institutional context. and then finally, obviously not publishing last week was treated badly by the markets.

i think it's worth saying that if all last friday had contained was basically the details of the energy price guarantee and some commentary about the general direction of the government's thinking about reigniting growth, the reception probably would have been a lot better. joining me now is ben zaranko, economist at the institute for fiscal studies, the leading economic research group. which helps people understand the impact that policy—making has on individuals and businesses. there has been this meeting between liz truss and the chancellor this morning. a couple of lines that don't tell us a huge amount, the chairman richard hughes says they

talked about economic and fiscal outlook and they are going to be setting out a timetable for the forecast next week and that forecast will always be based on independent judgment about economic and fiscal prospects and the impact of the governments policies. how significant is this meeting. i think the significance _ significant is this meeting. i think the significance of— significant is this meeting. i think the significance of the _ significant is this meeting. i think the significance of the meeting i the significance of the meeting perhaps shouldn't be overplayed. i don't think it should be a sign of the government trying to lean on thing—macro. i think there will be tensions arising. the government is extremely focused on wanting to promote economic growth, it announced a package of tax rises next week. tax cuts for the very highest earners as an example of the richest people in society was billed as a way of trying to boost economic growth and then some more vague promises about

boosting supply to the economy. tension could arise if they are not quite as optimistic as the government, if they don't believe that it will bring as much growth, they are not going to build it into their forecast and it could lead to their forecast and it could lead to the government having to make big decisions elsewhere to make the finance numbers add up. it’s decisions elsewhere to make the finance numbers add up. it's easy to anic finance numbers add up. it's easy to panic when — finance numbers add up. it's easy to panic when something _ finance numbers add up. it's easy to panic when something dramatic i panic when something dramatic happens and what we have seen is dramatic, particularly with the pound pointed at low of $1.03, but it's now back up to where it was before the mini budget, $1.12 stop how much should we read into the markets? we how much should we read into the markets? ~ :, ~ , :, markets? we talk indeed terms about the markets. — markets? we talk indeed terms about the markets, but _ markets? we talk indeed terms about the markets, but the _ markets? we talk indeed terms about the markets, but the markets - markets? we talk indeed terms about the markets, but the markets are i markets? we talk indeed terms about the markets, but the markets are in l the markets, but the markets are in effect who the government is going to have to borrow money from plug

the gaps. while the pound exchange rate is not. some very big changes in what are called gilt yields, the cost of borrowing for the uk government. they have been going up very shortly. there is a risk premium. they are saying lending to the uk government is riskier than they thought because they are not convinced of the credibility of the governments fiscal plans, whether it's going to have debt, they don't particularly by its plans for growth it seems. it's notjust the point we would be looking at, other things as well. it's very volatile at the moment and we shouldn't read too much into day—to—day changes perhaps, but there is a clear sense of direction here in that the markets have taken a look at what was announced last week and they're not especially pleased. itruiith was announced last week and they're not especially pleased.— not especially pleased. with the stated goal— not especially pleased. with the stated goal of _ not especially pleased. with the stated goal of liz _ not especially pleased. with the stated goal of liz truss - not especially pleased. with the stated goal of liz truss and i not especially pleased. with the l stated goal of liz truss and kwasi

kwarteng to get economic growth, is it feasible now that they continue in your view on the trajectory they wanted to go on, which is actually bringing more cuts along to taxes? we are hearing about the start of a conversation around cutting public spending. 0rwill they conversation around cutting public spending. or will they have to change direction? i spending. or will they have to change direction?— spending. or will they have to change direction? spending. or will they have to chance direction? ~ :, :, change direction? i think one way to t and change direction? i think one way to try and think — change direction? i think one way to try and think about _ change direction? i think one way to try and think about it _ change direction? i think one way to try and think about it is _ change direction? i think one way to try and think about it is that - change direction? i think one way to try and think about it is that the i try and think about it is that the government affects and last week chancellor effectively said we are going to increase spending in the nhs has previously spat greek planned. —— as previously planned. now the markets are saying that is an unsustainable path, we want you to establish fiscal responsibility. now the chancellor has to decide whether to roll back some tax cuts or take a look at spending and cut spending on such a way as to restore

credibility in the uk is finances. the difficulty is there are no easy cuts to spending available, you are either looking at cuts to belt benefits, to working age benefit recipients, pensions, public services, cutting back on things like capital spending which may well be good for growth. some honesty, transparency about what those options are, what chance to take rather than assuming all the difficult choices away. this government needs to make sure they have a serious and economic responsibility. energy prices will rise for millions of households on saturday. let's talk to holly mackay, ceo and founder of boring money. it's really important to keep saying this thing of £2500 being the

maximum for an energy bill isn't a guarantee that no one is going to spend more than £2500. that is a cap on what would be a typical energy bill, but there is no limit to what someone could be charged if they don't rain on their energy use. that is absolutely _ don't rain on their energy use. that is absolutely key _ don't rain on their energy use. tisgt is absolutely key to get across, it's been a bit unclear. that £2500, thatis it's been a bit unclear. that £2500, that is just the average bill that people might expect to pay. as you said, it's really important that people know if you leave the heating on all day, if that thermostat is not high, that bill could be endless. that £2500 is the average household, but for many people out there of course it will be higher, so it's a reminderfor us there of course it will be higher, so it's a reminder for us all that energy from tomorrow, our bills will go energy from tomorrow, our bills will 9° up energy from tomorrow, our bills will go up by about 25%. be super careful about what we use, what we don't need to use when we turn the heating off, its to remember that. the

need to use when we turn the heating off, its to remember that.— off, its to remember that. the first thing people _ off, its to remember that. the first thing people are — off, its to remember that. the first thing people are being _ off, its to remember that. the first thing people are being told - off, its to remember that. the first thing people are being told this i off, its to remember that. the first thing people are being told this to| thing people are being told this to make sure they have submitted energy readings before the price change tomorrow. :, �* , :, , readings before the price change tomorrow. :, �*, :, , :, tomorrow. that's really important. eve one tomorrow. that's really important. everyone out _ tomorrow. that's really important. everyone out there, _ tomorrow. that's really important. everyone out there, please, i tomorrow. that's really important. i everyone out there, please, please, please take a metre reading today. sometimes people rush to do this, millions of people trying to get online at the same time to do it. you will typically have a few days' grace to do it. if you cannot do it today take a metre reading today and certainly submitted over the next few days. certainly submitted over the next few da s. ~ :, , certainly submitted over the next fewda s. ~ :, , , :, certainly submitted over the next fewda s. :, , , :, :, few days. what else can people do to kee their few days. what else can people do to keep their energy _ few days. what else can people do to keep their energy costs _ few days. what else can people do to keep their energy costs down? i keep their energy costs down? insulation is something we all need to look at. there's obviously a... evenif to look at. there's obviously a... even if you just turn your thermostat down by1 degrees, that could make hundreds of pounds of difference. not having things in front of radiators or heaters is key. insulation is going to become increasingly important for all of us to think about what we could do

there. my kids don't like it at the moment but they are wearing jumpers more than they used to, so i think it's just that cost again going up by 25%, sojust it's just that cost again going up by 25%, so just being super aware that whenever we can keep the thermostat down, turn the heating off, it's worth doing.— thermostat down, turn the heating off, it's worth doing. when you talk about insulation, _ off, it's worth doing. when you talk about insulation, obviously - off, it's worth doing. when you talk about insulation, obviously you i off, it's worth doing. when you talk about insulation, obviously you can | about insulation, obviously you can spend a lot of money on stuff like that but there are simple ways of doing it like locking windows that perhaps aren't particularly well fitted with a blanket or something, keeping curtains closed to keep the heat in. :, �* , keeping curtains closed to keep the heat in. :, �*, , keeping curtains closed to keep the heatin. :, �*, , ,:, heat in. that's exactly right. draft excluded as _ heat in. that's exactly right. draft excluded as you _ heat in. that's exactly right. draft excluded as you can _ heat in. that's exactly right. draft excluded as you can put _ heat in. that's exactly right. draft excluded as you can put around i excluded as you can put around doors, keeping the curtains closed as a great one. if there are gaps at the front doors. i think we can do quick, relatively low—cost things ourselves because doing a full installation project can be expensive but looking about the

house, insulation, curtains, draft exposures well worth investing in. holly, thank you very much. do get in touch with what you're doing to save money on energy bills, any tips you want to share, you can get in touch with me on twitter and i can share them with yours. in ukraine — 23 civilians have been killed in the southern city of zaporizhzhia — after a russian missile struck a convoy of vehicles. that's according to the governor of the province. initial pictures that have started coming in show ambulances arriving at the scene. our correspondent who's just arrived there reports that the victims seem to be civilians. the attack comes just hours before president putin is expected to hold a ceremony to declare that four partially occupied regions including zaporizhzhia where this attack took place over the last couple of hours — will become part of russia. the kremlin says luhansk, donetsk, zaporizhzhia and kherson voted overwhelmingly to join russia

in recent, self—styled referendums. but ukraine and the west have dismissed the votes as a sham. ukraine insists its goal of fully liberating its territory will never change, regardless of any statements from moscow. earlier we spoke to james waterhouse who is in zaphorizhzhia at the scene where the missile attack took place. it is a scene that is difficult to immediately process. you have a row of vehicles next to an enormous crater and the smell of burning in the air. it immediately seems clear what has happened but what is less clear initially is the devastation. and then you almost stumble across bodies. some are covered and some are not. there are people's coats, bags and belongings strewn across a wide area. people who have survived are sat on suitcases in a state of shock. zaporizhzhia is a city that has always tried to carry on as normal. it has actually felt a lot more full over the past couple of months. people have gained in confidence and come back. then you have moments like this.

at the moment all signs seem to point to a very deliberate targeting. most victims are civilians. this area had been used as a holding station for those who wanted to head back into russian occupied territory, either for work, or to see relatives or otherwise. it does suggest this is a targeted strike. we are told four missiles landed here and we are told at least 23 people have been killed. many more have been injured. it is a very difficult sight to see. let's speak to our correspondent, hugo bachega, who's in kyiv. what's the latest reaction on this? we had an update from the prosecutors office saying that 25 people have now been confirmed dead. 50 people have been injured as a result of these attacks. we said

from... we heard from james saying that this was a gathering point of people trying to enter russian —controlled territory near the city of zaporizhzhia. zaporizhzhia is a hub for people leaving russian —controlled territory but also people who want to deliver humanitarian aid, and remain in towns and villages under russian occupation. it seemed this was the case with this convoy, people were trying to get into russian territory. taking humanitarian supplies to those people in those towns and villages and we had reaction from president zelensky calling russia a terrorist state as a result of these attacks. what calling russia a terrorist state as a result of these attacks. what is the message _ a result of these attacks. what is the message it — a result of these attacks. what is the message it sends _ a result of these attacks. what is the message it sends happeningl a result of these attacks. what is i the message it sends happening on the message it sends happening on the day of the ceremonies when russia is claiming the ukrainian territory as its own?— territory as its own? ukrainians have been _ territory as its own? ukrainians have been saying _ territory as its own? ukrainians

have been saying this - territory as its own? ukrainians have been saying this is - territory as its own? ukrainians have been saying this is the - territory as its own? ukrainians| have been saying this is the way moscow is responding to recent military defeats on the battlefield, attacks like these, attacks of civilian infrastructure. we've seen a number of civilian targets being hit in recent weeks and also with the annexation of these occupied territories. we are expecting president putin later today to sign a deal recognising the independence of these areas and under russian occupation and the annexation of those regions in the east and south. something ukrainians have rejected. they say there is no legal value in this announcement, no legitimacy in this announcement, no legitimacy in this process and they say that nothing is going to change as a result of these announcements by russia. they say they will continue with the counter offence, to retake territory under russian occupation. president zelensky had a meeting of his cabinet earlier today. you just release a statement saying that we

have the situation under control and everything will be ukraine. lets talk more about _ everything will be ukraine. lets talk more about the _ everything will be ukraine. lets talk more about the annexation of that territory whether eastern european correspondence, sarah raynsford. what you read into that attack, sarah? also in the context of what's happening with the annexation. i of what's happening with the annexation.— of what's happening with the annexation. . , ., ., , annexation. i have been to that site was targeted. _ annexation. i have been to that site was targeted. i _ annexation. i have been to that site was targeted, i know _ annexation. i have been to that site was targeted, i know it _ annexation. i have been to that site was targeted, i know it is. - annexation. i have been to that site was targeted, i know it is. i- annexation. i have been to that site was targeted, i know it is. i think i was targeted, i know it is. i think every body in ukraine knows that spot because it's where people have been gathering for months to join a long convoy of cars as hugo was saying there, heading into occupied territory. many people, refugees, had enough of being refugees, trying to return home, thinking it would be better at home, people sending aid, going to rescue relatives. everyone knew where those cars where every single morning and clearly it looks like it's been targeted, this was a

multiple rocket attack, it looks like a rushing attack and if it was, is sending a strong signal that russia has not given up and is prepared to keep committing atrocities inside ukraine that president putin doesn't know how to step back, he's only going to escalate this further. it's yet another terrible scene in ukraine and there will be more to come. the annexation — and there will be more to come. the annexation of _ and there will be more to come. the annexation of territory, those referendums dismissed as a sham. but russia still persisting as a formal ceremony today when it persisting that those areas are now russian. ukraine says it will resist that and will continue to fight for those territories. what will it mean in terms of russian positioning and russian action?— terms of russian positioning and russian action? russia, vladimir putin, russian action? russia, vladimir putin. loves _ russian action? russia, vladimir putin, loves to _ russian action? russia, vladimir putin, loves to have _ russian action? russia, vladimir putin, loves to have a _ russian action? russia, vladimir putin, loves to have a pseudo- l russian action? russia, vladimir - putin, loves to have a pseudo- legal putin, loves to have a pseudo— legal framework for everything he does. this is a very scripted process whereby he has recognised the

independence of these territories, he has held, stage—managed, faked referendums in those territories which are now asking to be incorporated into russia which he will now sign into effect, but the script has been brushed, is happening at a time when russia doesn't control any of those regions. some of them are mostly controlled but there is fighting ongoing, places like zaporizhzhia and donny x, massive chunks of those territories are so controlled by ukrainian troops. it is a messy process. vladimir putin wants to make this a legal line, you want to say this is russia and if you continue to attack then we have the right to respond with extraordinary force. it's a threat. his escalating this because he doesn't want the word go on forever, he wants to draw a line and scare into stopping. ukraine has said quite clearly it

will continue to push forward. it's a dangerous point because obviously the threats are real and there is a risk, but also it's happening at a time when vladimir putin is under pressure, he has mobilised people to join this site, russian men will have to die for this new cause, that is a hard sell at home in russia because it's not like crimea which they annexed without any blood being shed, this is a full on war where people will have to die to defend these borders. do they care enough to continue to fight and die? we have seen indications that perhaps port for this war inside russia is not strong. port for this war inside russia is not strong-— port for this war inside russia is not stronu. ., ~' ,, ., �*, not strong. thank you, sarah. let's catch u- not strong. thank you, sarah. let's catch up with the weather. - hello. today is probably the most widely wet and windy day we've had in some time. not everywhere at the moment, though. still across some parts of east and south east will stay dry as we head towards the evening rush hour. rain clearing away from western scotland and northern ireland gradually through the afternoon to sunshine and showers, but very windy as that rain pushes

eastwards into much of england. wales heavy at times, too. it's not going to feel perhaps as warm as 13 to 17 celsius would suggest. when that rain is failing, the breeze is picking up, but the breeze eases down a little bit. but it turns cooler for scotland. northern ireland finance the today here just one or two showers. rain clears away this evening from east anglia, the southeast. but here, whilst it's dry it will still be a little bit on the breezy side as it will be for many. that will stop temperatures from falling too much and no frost expected for tomorrow. a lot of dry and bright weather to start saturday, but showers will come and go throughout the day, especially scotland, northern ireland, northwest england, perhaps north wales, one or two isolated ones elsewhere. cloud increases towards the south west later, but overall a warmer day than today by for now.

hello, this is bbc news with joanna gosling. the headlines. the prime minister, liz truss, and the chancellor, kwasi kwarteng, have this morning met top officials from — the office for

budget responsibility — the office for budget responsibility confirm they will issue a timetable next week 0br statement confirms will issue timetable next week 0n the markets, the pound has rallied and has reached the same level against the dollar that it was before the mini—budget a week ago. ministers are defending those plans. we had to act really quickly last friday to give people the confidence on energy. ukrainian officials in the zaporizhzhia region say a russian missile attack on a humanitarian convoy has killed more than 20 people queuing to bring aid and pick up their relatives. the rocket attack comes on the the day when president putin is to complete his illegal annexation of parts of four ukranian regions seized by force. an inquest in to the death of schoolgirl molly russell is coming to its conclusion. the 14—year—old viewed thousands of posts online in the months before she took her own life in 2017. record numbers of nurses are quitting the nhs in england —

more than 40,000 have left in the last year. steve wright will host his final radio 2 weekday show this afternoon, but stresses he's not retiring and will continue at the station. sport now, and a full round—up from the bbc sport centre. administrators at worcester warriors rugby union club say they expect many players to serve breach of contract notices after not getting paid today which would allow them to serve a ia day period of notice before leaving. the company that owns the club went into administration on monday but players salaries are paid by a separate business. that is also facing a winding—up petition from hmrc. the men's and women's sides are currently suspended from all competition. england rugby league head coach sean wayne has named his 2a man squad for next month's rugby

league world cup with andy akers are amongst six debutants. sam tomkins is confirmed as captain. six of the squad, including victor radley, ply their trade in the australia, new zealand —based nrl. england begin their campaign against samoa in newcastle on october the 15th, the opening match of the tournament. the full squad list is on the website. domestic football returns after the international break and with the nights drawing in and energy costs rising the football league met yesterday to discuss whether or not to bring kick—off times forward to avoid having to turn floodlights on during games. but they concluded that they won't actually save that much money, because of the knock—on effect of ticket sales and hospitality. mansfield are going to trial the idea next month but the majority of clubs have ruled out shifting their kick—off times. 1anthem shifting their kick-off times. when ou shifting their kick-off times. when you actually _ shifting their kick-off times. when you actually look _ shifting their kick-off times. when you actually look at _ shifting their kick-off times. when you actually look at the _ shifting their kick-off times. when you actually look at the price - shifting their kick-off times. when you actually look at the price of. you actually look at the price of putting on a game, the floodlight

situation is not one of the big costs of the match. it's quite small in comparison to everything else, so i don't think we would have really got as much from it as people are suggesting. £371 got as much from it as people are suggesting-— got as much from it as people are sunestina. ~ suggesting. of the american football team, suggesting. of the american football team. miami — suggesting. of the american football team, miami dolphins, _ suggesting. of the american football team, miami dolphins, have - suggesting. of the american football team, miami dolphins, have been i team, miami dolphins, have been heavily criticised after their player was treated for concussion during a game overnight, just four days after he had been evaluated for concussion in another match. the nfl players association is investigating a potential protocol violation. he was sacked, tackled, in the first half against the cincinnati bengals last night, hitting his head heavily on the turf and instantly displayed all the symptoms of a head injury and concussion. the 2a—year—old was treated on the field for ten minutes and taken to hospital where concussion was confirmed but was

later discharged. the miami dolphins deny they took a risk with his welfare, allowing him to play after that injury last weekend.— welfare, allowing him to play after that injury last weekend. that in'ury last weekend. that's why the that injury last weekend. that's why the nfl has — that injury last weekend. that's why the nfl has these _ that injury last weekend. that's why the nfl has these protocols, - that injury last weekend. that's why the nfl has these protocols, and i the nfl has these protocols, and there is not, like every other single nfl game that is played, there is an independent specialist that specialises in the specialty of brain matter. so, for me, as long as i am coaching here, i'm brain matter. so, for me, as long as iam coaching here, i'm not brain matter. so, for me, as long as i am coaching here, i'm not going to fudge the whole situation. if there is any sort of inclination that someone has the concussion protocol, it's very strict, that vary or straight, we don't mess with that and we never have and as long as i'm

the head coach that will never be. it's not an issue you guys have to worry about. it's not an issue you guys have to worry about-— it's not an issue you guys have to worry about. formula 1 returns this weekend and _ worry about. formula 1 returns this weekend and max _ worry about. formula 1 returns this weekend and max verstappen - worry about. formula 1 returns this weekend and max verstappen willl weekend and max verstappen will steal the headlines in singapore as he could retain the world championship with five races to spare but also a welcome return for alex albon. earlier this month the williams driver was placed in an induced coma after suffering respiratory failure following surgery for appendicitis. respiratory failure following surgery forappendicitis. i respiratory failure following surgery for appendicitis. i feel read , i surgery for appendicitis. i feel ready. i feel _ surgery for appendicitis. i feel ready, i feel as _ surgery for appendicitis. i feel ready, i feel as fit _ surgery for appendicitis. i feel ready, i feel as fit as - surgery for appendicitis. i feel ready, i feel as fit as i - surgery for appendicitis. i feel ready, i feel as fit as i can - surgery for appendicitis. i feel ready, i feel as fit as i can be | ready, ifeel as fit as i can be and we had a good week of training, two weeks, almost to get back to where weeks, almost to get back to where we are today, so we will see how it goes. obviously we are realistic and we know we are coming to the most difficult race of the year, so we have to be mindful of that. first ractice have to be mindful of that. first practice in _ have to be mindful of that. first practice in singapore _ have to be mindful of that. first practice in singapore for sundays race has just started and is under way right now and you can follow that on the bbc sport website. i will be back in the next hour. let

me bring you a statement from the 0br following the meeting between them and to the prime minister and them and to the prime minister and the chancellor. the short statement reads, the obr's budget responsibility committee met with the prime minister and chancellor this morning and we discussed the economic and fiscal outlook and the forecast we are preparing for the chancellor's medium—term fiscal plan. we will deliver the first iteration of that forecast to the chancellor on friday the 7th of october, and we will set out the full timetable up to the 23rd of november next week. the forecast will, as always, be based on our independentjudgment about independent judgment about independent judgment about independent economic fiscal prospects and the impact of government policies. sojust prospects and the impact of government policies. so just a reminder that the 0br set up in 2010 to provide independent and authoritative analysis of the uk's public finances, and that analysis would normally accompany a budget, but what we saw a week ago today was

described as a mini budget and was not accompanied by that analysis and there was a lot of criticism of that at the time and that has been has happening on the markets ever since has been attributed in no small part to the absence of that analysis from the 0br, so that meeting happened this morning, an unusual meeting to have happened, but they have discussed the economic and fiscal outlook and now a report is being prepared, and we have seen this morning the pound stabilising against the dollar, having hit record lows following the publication of the mini budget and it has now gone up to the level that it has now gone up to the level that it was at before the mini budget. we will keep across that and just to say at ten past 12 we will have a special programme looking at what has happened since the mini budget a week ago, and really cutting through the jargon and trying to explain

clearly what is affecting what has been happening on the markets and wide, so dojoin us for that. we have some experts who will be answering your questions on that as well. the number of nurses leaving the profession in england has hit a record high according to new analysis by the nuffield trust for the bbc. in the year tojune 2022, over a0,000 qualified nurses left nhs employment, that's11.5% percent of the total workforce. our health editor hugh pym reports. ijust had to just leave this poor mum who's just left her brand—new—diagnosed child with cancer and just say, "i'm really sorry, there's nobody to look after you." and thatjust felt like i'd failed that mum so much. from front—line care to running a coffee shop. amanda, after 20 years as a paediatric nurse in west yorkshire, decided the stress and strain of nhs work was too much, and it was time for a new career. for me, i wanted to leave because i was burnt out. i was completely burnt out. i didn't feel that i was

meeting the mark any more. i felt like i was letting families down, i was letting parents down. the profession has changed immeasurably over probably the last ten years. nobody could say they're truly happy in the nhs. amanda isn't alone in quitting the nursing profession. over the last year, more than a0,000 nurses in england left nhs employment. according to the nuffield trust think tank, the number of nursesjoining — shown here by the blue line — is rising, but the total leaving — including for maternity leave, the red line — is going up fast. this latest research comes at a time when nhs providers, representing trusts in england, has voiced concern about the impact of the rising cost of living on staff. employers are finding it's difficult sometimes to hang on to skilled healthcare workers who want to leave to take less—stressful and better—paid jobs. we've heard some heart—rending stories around a nurse having to skip meals to fund school uniforms, for example, and about people being worried about covering the cost

of getting into work. all of that is having a chilling effect on recruitment and retention in the nhs at almost the worst possible moment, when we've already got over 130,000 vacancies and we are trying to gear up for quite a challenging winter ahead. the nuffield trust said the proportion of nurses quitting in scotland was almost the same as in england. similar data is not available for wales and northern ireland. the department of health said nurse numbers had increased in england since 2019, and there would be a long—term workforce plan to help recruit and retain more staff. hugh pym, bbc news. parents in england whose children miss school face harsher penalties depending on where they live — that's according to a new bbc investigation. at least £8.6 million worth of fines were handed out last year, but new research shows huge regional variations — as our education editor, bra nwen jeffreys reports. smiley, happy people — love to see it. come on in. girls, have you got your planner?

yeah. not chewing, are we? no. superb. every child checked in every morning. good morning. morning. all right? yeah. yeah? well done. the register shows who hasn't arrived. it's about attendance. i'm just letting you know that...not arrived as yet. is he on his way? any child they're worried about, the attendance team put on the list for a visit. ok, so if we just look at the home—visit log, so we've got our visits for today. checking on children, offering help. so she should be back in school today. on the next visit, mum joanne agreed to talk to me. she told me her daughter's become anxious since the lockdowns. many times when i've been stood at the bus stop with her, i've been saying, "you've got to get on the bus." you know, we'll get in trouble, as well — it's not, you know, it's not you. i mean, it's affecting, obviously, your education, but if we get fined, how would we afford it? or, you know, you don't get

the education you need, you can't get the job you want. joanne's daughter has been in school since the visit. did the house look empty when you went yesterday? some need help, but 50 families had also taken children on holiday at the start of term. post a note — it's a suspected holiday, we'll put a note - through the letterbox. a lot of the times, they don't complete a holiday form. - i think it's almost fear of the fine. l quite a lot of our families do have identified needs — coming into the winter, no gas, no electric, no heating. so i think we just never know what we're going to be faced with, day to day. but i think we're quite good at then identifying that support. i spoke to the children's commissioner for bbc panorama. she's worried the pandemic has left some children struggling to attend. i really think the prime minister needs to make this one of her top priorities. the numbers are huge. we absolutely owe it to these children.

all the other things in education cannot happen if children aren't in school. our investigation shows the use of fines varies hugely across england. the government wants new national standards for when they're used. why does it matter so much to you as a head teacher that you have the final say over which families end up being fined? yeah. we know our families, and that's important. and we know what that fine could do to a family. and if we are working very closely with them, and then you put in place a fine, that breaks that relationship between home and school, and it's so important that we keep that positive. jack. gracie. jacob. schools in england have been given new guidelines — told by the government to make attendance a top priority. that also means removing the barriers for some children. branwen jeffreys, bbc news.

viewers in the uk can see more of this story on bbc panorama's �*why kids miss school�* programme — tonight at 730 on bbc one. we are getting the first words through from the coroner into the inquest into the death of schoolgirl molly russell, who was 1a when she took her own life in 2017 having viewed extensive amounts of online content relating to suicide, depression and self—harm and we are hearing that the senior coroner, andrew walker, has said that online material viewed by her was not safe and should not have been available for a child to see. that is the first of what we expect to be a lengthy verdict and analysis from andrew walker, who has spoken previously during the inquest about

what she was able to see, and he outlined a series of concerns about the impact of social media on children, including the use of algorithms to push content to their accounts. a lack of age verification and a lack of content regulation, and a lack of content regulation, and he said the inquest must serve as a catalyst for protecting children from the risk that the internet has brought into family homes. he said that the home used to be a place when a child came through the front door, it was a place of safety. he said with the internet we brought into our home is a source of risk and we did so without appreciating the sense of that risk. so, over two weeks, the inquest heard the extent of the material that molly russell viewed, and one psychiatrist said that they viewed the material and did not sleep well for days afterwards because it was so distressing. molly's father has

been campaigning for change to come as a result, and seniorfigures been campaigning for change to come as a result, and senior figures from social media companies were called to give evidence in person at that inquest. this is going to be a very significant ruling now from the coroner and the detail of that is going to be very important because the coroner sees this as an important moment to push back on online content for children. it's the first line we have had from the senior coroner, andrew walker, that that it was not safe for a child to see. we will bring you more as it comes through. they're a lifeline for many visually impaired people, but a backlog in the waiting list for new guide dogs means users are now facing a wait of up to two years for a new one. they include bbc news correspondent sean dilley, whose guide dog sammy

is going into retirement after eight years. he's been telling gem o'reilly why sammy is so important to him.. we lose our dogs twice. we we lose them when they hang up the harness, and we lose them when they pass on. and we know that's the reality, and so when we sign up to train with our dogs, we know that one day, this day is coming. come on. let's go. good. good boy. after more than eight years of working with sean, guide dog sammy is set to retire, and sean may have to wait two years for his next dog. i'm inviting you along to do something which i don't think has been done before. you're going tojoin me and sammy on our final working walk. i've been doing this for 22 years with you and your predecessor, sammy. good boy. i was born with congenital blindness with a number of conditions. i lost poor partial sight that i had by the time i was 1a. and so my guide dog journey

started when i was 16. a dog has a working life, and they would come to a point where they slowed down. sammy is slowing down. he's ten. i don't think the words actually exist to express the gratitude i have for sammy and my mobility, and i know i'm slightly struggling to say this, because when sammy leaves me, it will leave a huge hole in my heart. potentially two years without a guide dog is... it's a big thing. since the pandemic, guide dog partnerships in the uk have decreased from around 5,000 to a,000 because puppy breeding was stopped for volu nteer a nd staff safety, so it will take longer for sean to find his partnership. we would want him to be getting a dog as soon as we could. i think the most important thing to say, though, is that it is absolutely the right do- for the right person at the right time. a dog is not for everybody, but for me, it means i can live the life i want to live

and have the independence i need to have. the charity guide dogs is now in the process of finding sean a new dog. i trust sammy with my life, and he trusts his with mine, and what we have is a partnership beyond any words that exist. this so when i hang that harness up, it's going to say, "that's your end of watch, that is, sammy. that's your service done, and you deserve your retirement." lets go back to what we are hearing from the coroner in the inquest in the death of molly russell, the teenager who died in 2017 after viewing an excessive amount of content relating to suicide, self—harm and depression online. we have just heard that the senior coroner, andrew walker, says i cannot safely conclude that molly russell died by suicide. she died as a result of self—harm while suffering from depression and the

negative effects of online content. so that is a very significant comment from the coroner, saying that he cannot safely say that she intended to take her own life, that she died by suicide, that she died, he said, from an act of self—harm while suffering from depression and the negative effects of online content. he has said that the material she saw was not safe and should not have been available for a child to see. andrew walker has previously said that the two week interest provided a rare opportunity to see the extent to which risk has invaded all aspects of young peoples lives. talking about that content that molly russell have reviewed on social media platforms including instagram and pinterest. the coroner said it was an opportunity to make this part of the internet safe and

we should not lose it or let it slip away. so, there were representatives from the social media companies who gave evidence at the inquest, and they had said that the company is ready to listen carefully to any concerns raised from the inquest and that the platform, the instagram platform owner, mehta is committed to make improvements on safety, and we are hearing that this coroner's ruling is going to give them a lot that they need to think about in terms of going forward, because the coroner is saying that he cannot say that she died by suicide. she died from an act of self—harm while suffering from depression and the negative effects of online content. let's go to the london coroner's court. francis, bring us up to date with the latest you are hearing from the coroner. yes, exactly. as you

are saying, molly was just 1a years old when she was able to access thousands of posts on her phone relating to suicide, self—harm or depression and she took her own life in 2017 and it's taken five years to get to this point of the inquest, in part because of the length of time it's taken to get the data about what she was viewing online, but finally today the coroner was able to make the conclusion that she died from an act of self—harm while suffering depression, and from the negative effect of online harm. the senior coroner, andrew walker, added that molly was able to see websites that molly was able to see websites that no a1—year—old should be able to see and that she was able to binge watch video clips or text without molly requesting them that romanticised self—harm and discouraged any discussion with those who could help her. molly's

family have always hoped that this would be a watershed moment and change the future of safety for children. at the moment an online bill is going through the commons and its yet to see how much impact this will have in the uk and how much impact it will have globally, but this is what the family were really hoping for, that there would be real change and today the coroner, making that conclusion is what they wanted, and they hope that this will be used going forward to keep other children say. and just another line that we are getting from the coroner, saying it is likely the material contributed to the death of molly russell in a more than minimal way. this is hard—hitting, isn't it? and as you say, molly's family wanted this to be a watershed moment and the coroner, andrew walker, had also previously said that this is an opportunity to make this part of the internet safe, and he is giving the

online companies a lot that they are going to have to think about going forward. and in terms of forcing change, that is another question, isn't it? but this is really going to add a very important context to that debate when the coroner has said it was simply not safe that molly russell viewed the social media posts that she did and therefore he cannot conclude that she intentionally took her own life. yes, exactly. make no mistake, this is significant. the coroner could have concluded suicide because she took her own life, but he said that he did not feel it was appropriate and i think the point of that was to put pressure on governments, whether in the uk to make sure they can regulate social media sites that children have access to properly but

also send a huge message to big tech, to silicon valley, to those involved in making the sites, running the sites and one of the themes throughout the inquest is these protections should be built in to the sites before they even go out, not thought about as an afterthought or something to regulate afterwards and a key point was that children should have the same safety online that they do in the real world and i don't think the coroner seemed satisfied that that was the case, and i think that was the point of the conclusion he drew today. the point of the conclusion he drew toda . ., ., .,, ., , , today. you mentioned, obviously, her family wanted — today. you mentioned, obviously, her family wanted this _ today. you mentioned, obviously, her family wanted this to _ today. you mentioned, obviously, her family wanted this to come _ today. you mentioned, obviously, her family wanted this to come out - today. you mentioned, obviously, her family wanted this to come out of- family wanted this to come out of what happened to their child, so there is some comfort in that, but nonetheless, absolutely horrific what they have been through and it must be awful for them to have to be sitting here listening to this. how have they been? it’s sitting here listening to this. how have they been? it's unimaginable, isn't it? this _ have they been? it's unimaginable, isn't it? this has _ have they been? it's unimaginable, isn't it? this has been _ have they been? it's unimaginable, isn't it? this has been five - have they been? it's unimaginable, isn't it? this has been five years . isn't it? this has been five years and they have had to fight for the data to even prove what molly was

looking out on her phone and it was only by happenstance that she had logged into a family computer and looked at certain things that they were able to link the two things. that was another point made, that there is no link between what families can control. if a child account is not linked to an adult account is not linked to an adult account so the parents can keep an eye on what children are looking up but absolutely unimaginable and we expect to hear from molly's father, ian russell, in the next couple of hours, but truly this is a watershed moment for them.— moment for them. thank you very much, moment for them. thank you very much. frances _ moment for them. thank you very much, frances reid _ moment for them. thank you very much, frances reid at _ moment for them. thank you very much, frances reid at the - moment for them. thank you very | much, frances reid at the inquest, into the ruling over the death of molly russell. we will bring you more on that, that significant ruling from the coroner, saying that he cannot safely conclude that molly russell intended to take her own life by suicide. she died as a result of health —— self—harm. and he said that the impact of the material she was viewing online, he

said, you cannot even be described as a minimal impact on her state of mind and what happened. we will bring you more on that. we will also be looking at what has been happening on the markets since the mini budget. we have a special programme coming up at ten past 12 with that, so plenty to come, so do stay with us, but let's catch up with the weather. hello. today is probably the most widely wet and windy day we've had in some time. not everywhere at the moment, though. still across some parts of east and south east will stay dry as we head towards the evening rush hour. rain clearing away from western scotland and northern ireland gradually through the afternoon to sunshine and showers, but very windy as that rain pushes eastwards into much of england. wales heavy at times, too. it's not going to feel perhaps as warm as 13 to 17 celsius would suggest. when that rain is failing, the breeze is picking up, but the breeze eases down a little bit.

but it turns cooler for scotland. northern ireland finance the today here just one or two showers. rain clears away this evening from east anglia, the southeast. but here, whilst it's dry it will still be a little bit on the breezy side as it will be for many. that will stop temperatures from falling too much and no frost expected for tomorrow. a lot of dry and bright weather to start saturday, but showers will come and go throughout the day, especially scotland, northern ireland, northwest england, perhaps north wales, one or two isolated ones elsewhere. cloud increases towards the south west later, but overall a warmer day than today by for now.

this is bbc news. the headlines: an inquest in to the death of schoolgirl molly russell concluded. it was decided that the material she viewed was not safe to see. the government's independent financial foreacsters say they'll give their first assessment of the chancellor's mini budget in a week's time. it follows a a5 minute meeting the obr's officials had with the prime minister, liz truss, and kwasi kwarteng. ukrainian officials in the zaporizhzhia region say a russian missile attack on a humanitarian convoy has killed more than 20 people queuing to bring aid and pick up their relatives. and coming up at 12.1apm, we'll have special programme looking at the financial turmoil we find

ourselves in with a panel of experts to answer your questions. the prime minister, liz truss and chancellor kwasi kwarteng have online material viewed by schoolgirl molly russell was not safe and shouldn't have been available for a child to see, senior coroner andrew walker has concluded. he also said he cannot say molly died from suicide — she died from an act of self—harm while suffering from depression and the negative effects of online content. the teenager saw more than 2,000 posts relating to depression, suicide or self harm in the six months before her death in 2017. our correspondent, frances read, is at the court.

as frances read, is at the court. you said, molly was�* old as you said, molly was just 1a years old when she was able to access thousands of posts on her phone relating to suicide, self—harm or depression. she took her own life in 2017, it's taken five years to get this point of the inquest in part because of the length of time taken to get the data about what she was feeling online, but finally today the coroner was able to make that conclusion that she died from an act of self—harm while suffering depression and from the negative effects of online harm. the senior coroner andrew walker added molly was able to see site that no 1a—year—old should be able to see and that she was able to binge watch video clips or text without molly requesting them that romanticised self—harm and discouraged any discussion with those who could help her. herfamily have discussion with those who could help her. her family have always hoped that this would be a watershed

moment, that this would change the future of online safety for children. at the moment, an online bill is going through comments that is yet to be seen how much impact this will have, how much impact it will have in the uk, how much impact this will have globally, but this is what the family were really hoping for, that there would be real change. today the coroner making that conclusion is what they wanted and what they will use going forward to keep other children safe. just another line _ to keep other children safe. just another line that we are getting from the coroner saying it is likely the material contributed to the death of molly russell in a more than minimal way. this is hard—hitting, isn't it? and as you say, molly's family wanted this to be a watershed moment. the coroner andrew walker had also previously said this is an opportunity to make this part of the internet safe and he is giving the online companies a

lot that they are going to have to think about going forward and in terms of forcing change, that's another question, isn't it? but this is really going to add very important context to that debate where the coroner has said it was simply not safe that molly russell viewed the social media posts that she did and therefore he cannot conclude that she intentionally took her own life. conclude that she intentionally took her own life-— her own life. yes, exactly. make no mistake, her own life. yes, exactly. make no mistake. this _ her own life. yes, exactly. make no mistake, this is _ her own life. yes, exactly. make no mistake, this is significant. - her own life. yes, exactly. make no mistake, this is significant. the - mistake, this is significant. the coroner could have concluded suicide, that she took her own life, but he said he didn't feel that was appropriate. i think the point of that really was to put pressure on the government, in the uk, to make sure they can regulate social media sites that children have access to properly. but also to send a huge

message to big tech, silicon valley, to those involved in making these sites. one of the throughout the inquest was that protection should be built into the sites before they even go out, not brought about as an afterthought or something to regulate afterwards. the key point is that children should have the same safety online that they do in the real world and i don't think the coroner seemed satisfied that was the case. i think that was the point of the conclusion he has drawn today. of the conclusion he has drawn toda . ~ , , , ., ., today. we will be bringing you more from the findings _ today. we will be bringing you more from the findings of _ today. we will be bringing you more from the findings of the _ today. we will be bringing you more from the findings of the coroner - today. we will be bringing you more from the findings of the coroner at l from the findings of the coroner at that very significant inquest into the death of molly russell. the coroner saying that he cannot say that she intended to take her own life. he cannot say it was suicide. he said she died as a result of an act of self—harm through depression having viewed all my material that was not safe and should not have been available for a child to see. we will bring you more on that.

there are calls for forecast to be published over the next week. since it was announced at the end of last week, the mini budget has faced widespread criticism including from the international monetary fund and the international monetary fund and the former bank of england governor. the turmoil has seen a large gap in the polls open up between labour and the polls open up between labour and the conservatives just days ahead of the conservatives just days ahead of the conservatives just days ahead of the conservatives conference this weekend. meanwhile, energy prices will rise on saturday with the increase has been commissioned by the cap on cost per unit. a typical bill will go up to £2500. it is

important to remember that is not the maximum though you might face if you use more energy. ministers stepped in after an 8% increase in gas and electricity bills was anticipated following a hike in wholesale prices. our business correspondent caroline davies is with me. so much has happened since that budget. one of the criticisms was that there was the analysis to accompany it. there has been a morning between kwasi kwarteng and liz truss. what has happened? the obr have liz truss. what has happened? tue: 0br have pointed liz truss. what has happened? tte: 0br have pointed out liz truss. what has happened? t"t2 0br have pointed out that liz truss. what has happened? tt2 0br have pointed out that we liz truss. what has happened? t“t2 0br have pointed out that we need to talk about economic and fiscal outlook, the tax outlook. they are going to deliver the first iteration of the forecast to the chancellor on

friday the 7th of october. to be clear, that doesn't mean we get to see the forecast, it's something that can be passed on to the chancellor to have a look at and we had a statement from the government which makes it very clear at the moment that we are not going to see that forecast until the 23rd of november. so the original plan and in some senses nothing has directly changed as a result of this. maybe the fact that the 0br met with the prime minister and the chancellor might be seen as reassuring for the markets because if there had been a clash with the to that would be bad for the markets. at this stage we won't get any more information about what the 0br thinks about the governments plans. both the tax cuts announced in the many budgets last friday, but also that there are different methods they are talking about to grow the economy and the other sorts of potential measures they got in place to balance their books, that is the key thing here, because during the course of the last week, what is generally being seen as a reaction to that mini

budget and the fact that because there wasn't this response, this wasn't, we didn't have a forecast from the 0br, we normally look at things like the budget. because this was a mini budget they didn't look at those numbers and so many people including the former governor of the bank of england suggested those were critical and the markets would have known whether or not they seemed like a good idea, they would have had more confidence. the fact they didn't have those numbers meant that a large amount of people lost confidence in the uk economy and that's part of the reason why the uk pound fell against the us dollar. we have seen that it has regained back to a similar point to where it was before the mini budget which was seen as a positive thing. at the same time it's quite volatile in the markets at the moment, we don't know where it's going to go and how they are going to react as well. we are still in some level of uncertainty here. we don't have that level of

detail from the chancellor and it's pretty clear from him and the prime minister that they are not planning to change their plan, they are pretty adamant they are continuing to go with this one that will grow the economy, they think. so at the moment the markets don't have that forecast. 50 moment the markets don't have that forecast. ., , , ., forecast. so we are basically enough holdin: forecast. so we are basically enough holding position _ forecast. so we are basically enough holding position to _ forecast. so we are basically enough holding position to see _ forecast. so we are basically enough holding position to see how - forecast. so we are basically enough holding position to see how the - holding position to see how the markets responded whether they are prepared to wait until the 23rd of november? why is it nelson told den? the government want to make sure they have all these details on the close of the get that date the more detailed planning they will be able to have. there's a lot of pressure to have. there's a lot of pressure to get more details and more forecast so the market can see how it adds up. we forecast so the market can see how it adds u -. ~ , forecast so the market can see how itaddsu-.~ , it adds up. we will be looking in more detail— it adds up. we will be looking in more detail at _ it adds up. we will be looking in more detail at what _ it adds up. we will be looking in more detail at what has - it adds up. we will be looking in l more detail at what has happened it adds up. we will be looking in - more detail at what has happened on the markets and in terms of what the mini budget means for you in about four minutes' time. we will answer your questions on that with experts

and have some analysis of it.