time for a look at the weather. here's matt taylor. according to data from the met office today, september across england and wales, the first time since february that saw eight months —— saw a month with above average rainfall. we will see rain this week but probably not in the areas we need it most. this chart shows how much rainfall will fall through the rest of the week. notice still little to the south and east. the bulk of which, the brighter colours are where the heaviest rain will be and we could see up to 200 millimetres with the risk of flooding in parts of the highlands. the jet stream is governing things and throwing in areas of cloud from the atlantic, meeting the hills in the atlantic, meeting the hills in the west, as it will tonight, with rain becoming heavy and persistent in the west of scotland and northern

ireland into tomorrow morning. pretty mild with the strengthening breeze because top pressure in the south and east but a dry and bright start for much of england and wales will stop in east anglia, south—east england and the channel islands should stay dry and bright through the day and the early rain in the west of scotland and northern ireland should ease with brighter conditions in the north. good stay cloudy in scotland and northern ireland. a blustery day across the board but it's the wind coming in from the south—west that means it should be a mild one. tomorrow evening and overnight, the rain returns northwards and more persistent rain with this developing system that looks like it will develop more when it gets to the east, where the strongest wind will be. but a day of gail's four summers we had through wednesday. cloud and persistent rain for most in the morning, quickly sweeping eastwards. clearing east anglia and the southeast last of all in the afternoon. sunshine and showers developing in its wake but a windy day with winds gusting up to 50 or

60 mph in the west potentially and fresher later in the day with a fresher later in the day with a fresh and showery end to the week. thanks, matt. and that's bbc news at ten on monday the 3rd of october. there's more analysis of the day's main stories on newsnight with victoria derbyshire at the conservative party conference, which isjust getting under way on bbc two. the news also continues here on bbc one, as now it's time to join our colleagues across the nations and regions for the news where you are. but from the ten team, it's goodnight. hello, and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. with me are dame ros altmann,

who's a former pensions minister, and the features writer for the independent, james rampton. welcome to both. and tomorrow's front starting with. .. the chancellor on most of the front pages — his admission of having had a "tough day" during his speech to the conservative party conference leads the metro. the mirror calls it a "calamity conference" after a u—turn on plans to scrap the 45p tax rate for the highest earners — but the paper says the damage to the economy is already done. kwasi kwarteng will bring forward his plans for the economy sooner, the financial times reports. the paper says the conservatives are trying to reassure markets by speeding up debt—cutting proposals. the i says after that u—turn on tax, conservative mps could now threaten liz truss�*s plans on benefits and public spending cuts. that same headline in the guardian, which claims senior tories are warning about rebellions over

reductions in spending. and kwasi kwarteng and liz truss are seen behind the wheel of a noddy car with the number plate "shoddy" on the front of the daily star — the calls the pm a "poundland thatcher" who's been forced into a tax climbdown. so let us begin with some, i think it fair to say, uncomfortable headlines for the government. let's start with the financial times, "kwarteng quickens tax cuts." what the fd have done is rolled two stories into one. on one hand, we've got the announcement coming this evening that although kwasi kwarteng insisted he would wait until the end of november to announce his physical plans, he will now announce them earlier. and now this u—turn on his plan to cut the 45p rate on income tax. what do you make of it all? i’m

tax. what do you make of it all? i'm ve tax. what do you make of it all? in very pleased to see both announcements. the 45p tax rate was something i certainly couldn't, couldn't support in terms of not just the timing, but the way in which it was announced. it's not clear that there is evidence that cutting the rate would increase growth, there were no estimates of what the impact would be. and the fact that after all the turmoil that we had, the chancellor thought he would be able to get the markets to wait until 23 november, which is weeks away — in market terms, that's light years. and only then would they get the plans for how any tax cuts would be funded and what might happen to spending. that was simply unsustainable because the markets would've rebelled. the bank of

england is only intervening until 14 october, so there's got to be a change pretty quickly. and this is the start of that kind of change. james, do you agree that the government was left with no option? absolutely, the moment michael gove and grant _ absolutely, the moment michael gove and grant shapps started doing the rounds_ and grant shapps started doing the rounds yesterday on the first day of the conference in birmingham, i thought— the conference in birmingham, i thought the number was up for liz truss_ thought the number was up for liz truss and — thought the number was up for liz truss and kwasi kwarteng. the breathtaking arrogance of this government continues to astonish me. i thought— government continues to astonish me. i thought all_ government continues to astonish me. i thought all lines have been crossed _ i thought all lines have been crossed. i've been hearing interesting stories, and i don't know— interesting stories, and i don't know about kwarteng's youth, he was an extremely bright pupil at eaton, and apparently he went into his cambridge interview — at the end, the teacher— cambridge interview — at the end, the teacher said," i must be nervous, _ the teacher said," i must be nervous, that was my first

interview," which kwarteng said, "don't _ interview," which kwarteng said, "don't worry, you did fine." he apparently— "don't worry, you did fine." he apparently had at a meeting with bill gates and told him how to run his business. this arrogance seems baked _ his business. this arrogance seems baked into — his business. this arrogance seems baked into this government that we have _ baked into this government that we have. kwarteng wouldn't even say sorry— have. kwarteng wouldn't even say sorry to _ have. kwarteng wouldn't even say sorry to nick robinson after he was asked several times on the today programme, it's like eltonjohn said. _ programme, it's like eltonjohn said. sorry— programme, it's like eltonjohn said, sorry seems to be the hardest word _ said, sorry seems to be the hardest word to _ said, sorry seems to be the hardest word to say, — said, sorry seems to be the hardest word to say, but i agree, there was no way— word to say, but i agree, there was no way they— word to say, but i agree, there was no way they could sustain, the markets — no way they could sustain, the markets were getting currently spooked. as the bbc nottinghamshire said, spooked. as the bbc nottinghamshire said. it _ spooked. as the bbc nottinghamshire said, it was like a reverse robin hood~ _ said, it was like a reverse robin hood~ it — said, it was like a reverse robin hood. it was such a bad look, giving to the _ hood. it was such a bad look, giving to the rituals — hood. it was such a bad look, giving to the rituals taking from the poor. they could — to the rituals taking from the poor. they could not possibly sustain this _ they could not possibly sustain this. ,, ., , they could not possibly sustain this. ,, , ., this. setting aside some personal comments about _ this. setting aside some personal comments about kwasi _ this. setting aside some personal| comments about kwasi kwarteng, this. setting aside some personal- comments about kwasi kwarteng, you mentioned the word arrogant, it's interesting that the financial times uses the complete opposite word, saying he was actually forced to make a humbling u—turn. ithought that was an interesting word, wasn't

it? i that was an interesting word, wasn't it? ., ., ., , , , . it? i thought the tone of his speech today showed _ it? i thought the tone of his speech today showed a _ it? i thought the tone of his speech today showed a degree _ it? i thought the tone of his speech today showed a degree of - today showed a degree of humility. and what is so frustrating and upsetting is that actually, the vast majority of the changes that were announced at the end of last week were things like capping the energy bills for any households. there was a total panic about the scale of the energy price rises, and that sting has been taken out so households at least know there is some cap. yes, the prices are still much higher and there was a misleading way in which it was presented. in addition to that, there's also been a reversal of the national insurance hike — which again would've affected millions of people across the country. that is a pay rise for people that was announced in that

statement. don't forget that the threshold in which national insurance starts to be paid has also increased significantly. that element has stayed about the cut in national insurance was a massive benefit to the ordinary person, and yet because of the way this was bundled together with uncapping bankers bonuses and cutting tax for the highest earners, those things that were really good for millions of people across the country somehow were lost. and i hope that the chancellor and the prime minister recognise that we are a country, and there are millions of people around at the moment that are very concerned and want to know that the government is on their side in trying to help them. and indeed, we need to focus on those measures that are exactly that, to help ordinary people.

are exactly that, to help ordinary eo le. �* ., , are exactly that, to help ordinary -eo-le._, , ., are exactly that, to help ordinary rec-leg. , ., ., , people. james, the i has a fairly aood people. james, the i has a fairly good summary _ people. james, the i has a fairly good summary of— people. james, the i has a fairly good summary of today's - people. james, the i has a fairly | good summary of today's events, people. james, the i has a fairly - good summary of today's events, the u—turn, threats to liz truss's leadership. also its headline, "liz truss faces new tory rebellion on benefits cuts." this is a danger for the government that the rebels might sniff the fact that they can get what they want now?— sniff the fact that they can get what they want now? they've seen a chink in the — what they want now? they've seen a chink in the armour, _ what they want now? they've seen a chink in the armour, and _ what they want now? they've seen a chink in the armour, and i'm - what they want now? they've seen a chink in the armour, and i'm sure . chink in the armour, and i'm sure some— chink in the armour, and i'm sure some would — chink in the armour, and i'm sure some would say it's a sign of weakness that the government has done a _ weakness that the government has done a u—turn. so the rebels will be encouraged — done a u—turn. so the rebels will be encouraged to think they can now take on— encouraged to think they can now take on what, to me, is a completely egregious _ take on what, to me, is a completely egregious idea, to effectively cut benefits — egregious idea, to effectively cut benefits in real terms, if that is indeed — benefits in real terms, if that is indeed the outcome. what a terrible look indeed the outcome. what a terrible took to— indeed the outcome. what a terrible took to be _ indeed the outcome. what a terrible look to be doing that at the same time _ look to be doing that at the same time as— look to be doing that at the same time as you are giving the very richest — time as you are giving the very richest a — time as you are giving the very richest a tax break. so i think the rebels, ted — richest a tax break. so i think the rebels, led by michael gove, may well rebels, led by michael gove, may wetifeei— rebels, led by michael gove, may well feel they've got an opportunity here~ _ well feel they've got an opportunity here but _ well feel they've got an opportunity here but i — well feel they've got an opportunity here. but i take issue with

courting's speech today, i thought he struck— courting's speech today, i thought he struck the wrong tone. i thought trying _ he struck the wrong tone. i thought trying to— he struck the wrong tone. i thought trying to make light of the complete turmoit on— trying to make light of the complete turmoil on the markets, we all know people _ turmoil on the markets, we all know people who — turmoil on the markets, we all know people who are already fearful of losing _ people who are already fearful of losing their houses because of the astronomical rises in mortgage rates. _ astronomical rises in mortgage rates, and _ astronomical rises in mortgage rates, and the quote in the i here, "calling _ rates, and the quote in the i here, "calling the — rates, and the quote in the i here, "calling the markets a little turbulent is like saying the mount vesuvius — turbulent is like saying the mount vesuvius option was a small bonfire" _ vesuvius option was a small bonfire" i— vesuvius option was a small bonfire." i think it was insulting and demeaning of him to try and make li-ht and demeaning of him to try and make light of— and demeaning of him to try and make light of it _ and demeaning of him to try and make light of it in _ and demeaning of him to try and make light of it in that way, and i don't think— light of it in that way, and i don't think he'll— light of it in that way, and i don't think he'll have one any new friends try think he'll have one any new friends by doing _ think he'll have one any new friends by doing that. think he'll have one any new friends by doing that-— by doing that. moving to the guardian. — by doing that. moving to the guardian, it _ by doing that. moving to the guardian, it echoes - by doing that. moving to the guardian, it echoes the - by doing that. moving to the - guardian, it echoes the headlines, "tori halt the cut benefits over top tax rate." according to the guardian, senior mps warned of rebellions over public spending, especially on public benefits. the chancellor has declined to rule them

out. , ., ,., , chancellor has declined to rule them out. , ., , out. yes, and sadly, i actually thinkthat _ out. yes, and sadly, i actually think that it _ out. yes, and sadly, i actually think that it is _ out. yes, and sadly, i actually think that it is quite _ out. yes, and sadly, i actually think that it is quite likely - out. yes, and sadly, i actuallyj think that it is quite likely that there will be ongoing rebellions. clearly michael gove and grant shops where leading the rebellion there that people are trying to say, there is now split in the party —— grant shapps. centrist conservatives who want to look after the wider group of people in the country. and i think what is clear is that, because of what happened in the perception it gave, that this government may actually not really care about ordinary people, but is on the side of the very, very richest has made it, ithink, almost of the very, very richest has made it, i think, almost impossible for the government to decide, in the middle of a cost—of—living crisis, that it's not going to protect the poorest people on benefits in the way that in the past, they would

normally have expected to be protected against the rise in the cost of living. i protected against the rise in the cost of living.— protected against the rise in the cost of livina. , , , ., cost of living. i suppose we should sa that cost of living. i suppose we should say that the _ cost of living. i suppose we should say that the reason _ cost of living. i suppose we should say that the reason the _ cost of living. i suppose we should l say that the reason the government insists it's sticking to its plan is because it's going for growth. but i suppose in terms of these rebellions, where else do you think the government could find themselves in trouble with the backbenchers? i in trouble with the backbenchers? i do think corporation tax is another vulnerability and my eyes. the government may again be accused of favouring _ government may again be accused of favouring rich people. but ijust want _ favouring rich people. but ijust want to— favouring rich people. but ijust want to agree with what roz said there. _ want to agree with what roz said there. i'm — want to agree with what roz said there, i'm old enough to remember a now extinct— there, i'm old enough to remember a now extinct piece called the one nation _ now extinct piece called the one nation tory — they were all purged by boris _ nation tory — they were all purged by borisjohnson and nation tory — they were all purged by boris johnson and his nation tory — they were all purged by borisjohnson and his —— in his appalling — by borisjohnson and his —— in his appalling attempt to force through brexit _ appalling attempt to force through brexit. they all seem to have exited the tory— brexit. they all seem to have exited the tory parties stage left, rather than stage right. now you have a party— than stage right. now you have a

party that— than stage right. now you have a party that seems to be returning to what theresa may wants called "the nasty— what theresa may wants called "the nasty pa rty" what theresa may wants called "the nasty party" that they are only speaking — nasty party" that they are only speaking to people who they think will vote _ speaking to people who they think will vote for them. the impression they give _ will vote for them. the impression they give is— will vote for them. the impression they give is they don't care about people _ they give is they don't care about people who won't vote for them, and it's my— people who won't vote for them, and it's my view— people who won't vote for them, and it's my view that they can go hang, because _ it's my view that they can go hang, because they'll never vote tory anyway — because they'll never vote tory anyway. and i think the impression they are _ anyway. and i think the impression they are creating is very, very damaging _ they are creating is very, very damaging because, as tony blair proved. — damaging because, as tony blair proved, you never, ever win downing street— proved, you never, ever win downing street without taking the centre. and you — street without taking the centre. and you cannot take the centre ground — and you cannot take the centre ground if— and you cannot take the centre ground if you appear to disdain the less advantaged in this society. i absolutely agree with james with what he's just sad. however, there are still plenty of centrist tories, including myself... are still plenty of centrist tories, including myself. . ._ are still plenty of centrist tories, including myself... sorry, i didn't mean to insult _ including myself... sorry, i didn't mean to insult you! _ including myself... sorry, i didn't mean to insult you! i'm _ including myself... sorry, i didn't mean to insult you! i'm not - including myself... sorry, i didn't| mean to insult you! i'm not taking that as an insult _ mean to insult you! i'm not taking that as an insult at _ mean to insult you! i'm not taking that as an insult at all, _ mean to insult you! i'm not taking that as an insult at all, james, - that as an insult at all, james, because there are elements in a

party on the extremes. but what we mustn't have, and what is being forwarded can't testify against right now in plain sight is a party thatis right now in plain sight is a party that is exactly the way you describe, you know, the nasty party or the party that doesn't care about ordinary people. the conservatives that i have joined and was always part of were looking to help the ordinary person. and indeed, an awful lot has been done. but as you know, there's been turbulence around brags that the whole time, i am not one of those who supported brexit, and indeed i still hope we will become closer to the eu, because thatis become closer to the eu, because that is probably the best growth producing strategy we could have. we've been it —— damaged growth significantly, but i'm not talking for the party at all. this isjust significantly, but i'm not talking for the party at all. this is just a personal