rating as pm would be the approval rating as pm would be boris _ the approval rating as pm would be borisjohnson —24, rishi sunak —2, which _ borisjohnson —24, rishi sunak —2, which is _ borisjohnson —24, rishi sunak —2, which is quite — borisjohnson —24, rishi sunak —2, which is quite interesting because if that— which is quite interesting because if that is— which is quite interesting because if that is a — which is quite interesting because if that is a reflection of the public— if that is a reflection of the public mood, which it may well be, then the _ public mood, which it may well be, then the idea that borisjohnson is then the idea that borisjohnson is the great — then the idea that borisjohnson is the great winner, which was what attracted — the great winner, which was what attracted many people in the conservative party to him in the first place — conservative party to him in the first place and was proved by the 2019— first place and was proved by the 2019 election, would not appear on the basis _ 2019 election, would not appear on the basis of that, albeit one opinion— the basis of that, albeit one opinion poll, to be the situation today — opinion poll, to be the situation today if— opinion poll, to be the situation today. if people in the conservative party— today. if people in the conservative party believe that to be the case, then that — party believe that to be the case, then that is going to seriously undermine his chances because his bil undermine his chances because his big setting — undermine his chances because his big selling point has always been that he _ big selling point has always been that he is— big selling point has always been that he is quite popular in elections and if he isn't, what is the point? — elections and if he isn't, what is the point?— elections and if he isn't, what is the oint? ., . . . ~ , the point? the old cliche, a week is a lona the point? the old cliche, a week is a long time — the point? the old cliche, a week is a longtime in _ the point? the old cliche, a week is a long time in politics. _ the point? the old cliche, a week is a long time in politics. my - a long time in politics. my goodness, we know that, and how fortunes can turn. can we just go on to the sunday telegraph, we will show the first edition, sue nack and johnson to strike deal... here we

90, johnson to strike deal... here we go, there we go! they have managed to put it up. key point is that, if he does get through to a vote with rishi sunak, borisjohnson would be the favourite for tory party members even though i think some 20,000 of them don't have e—mail addresses so they number would be reduced, because it is an online ballot. the mind boggles _ because it is an online ballot. he: mind boggles as because it is an online ballot. inez mind boggles as to because it is an online ballot. ins: mind boggles as to how because it is an online ballot. ii9 mind boggles as to how they are going to organise the next week if it is the two of them as the front runners on monday, how they will organise, because the 1922 committee are saying that everybody will get their vote but a 20,000 of them are not online that is going to be very tricky, and there are security concerns and things like that. the sunday telegraph, effectively, the headline is a bit of a tease because it sounds like they have more detail on this exciting meeting that we are all salivating over, these are 11th

hour talks, all salivating over, these are 11th hourtalks, i all salivating over, these are 11th hour talks, i still don't know any more about it the article, but there are fears, unless these two frontrunners can come together and agree something, there are fears of an historic split, and the idea that civil war will rain in the party for years if not decades. because there is simply, this disunity cannot go on, we have seen it effectively for the last year, since partygate broke out last november, december, time, and we had ben wallace defence secretary calling for rishi sunak, borisjohnson and penny mordaunt, to form a triumvirate at the top of government, and to avoid the ongoing political infighting. and i think there is a sense among the top tories that there is a real existential crisis how they can ever bring a party back together. you just cannot keep getting rid of prime ministers, and, on either side, whether borisjohnson wins

which is unlikely or rishi sunak, you have mps which is unlikely or rishi sunak, you have mp5 on both sides who, at the moment look as if they will refuse to accept that leadership. from the sunday express, boris is back, hasta la vista baby was what he said when he left the commons, any sense that the express is backing him over period —— penny mordaunt? taste backing him over period -- penny mordaunt?— backing him over period -- penny mordaunt? ~ :, . , mordaunt? we cannot read the inside, the sunday express _ mordaunt? we cannot read the inside, the sunday express has _ mordaunt? we cannot read the inside, the sunday express has always - mordaunt? we cannot read the inside, the sunday express has always been l mordaunt? we cannot read the inside, the sunday express has always been aj the sunday express has always been a boris supporting paper write to the death, _ boris supporting paper write to the death, pretty much, in his premiership, but it would be no surprise, — premiership, but it would be no surprise, and this headline is a perfectly— surprise, and this headline is a perfectly valid headline regardless, but it sort— perfectly valid headline regardless, but it sort of reflects, i suspect and underlying sympathy with boris johnson _ and underlying sympathy with boris johnson and his position, in a way that the _ johnson and his position, in a way that the sunday times, if you read the leader— that the sunday times, if you read the leader column of the sunday times, _ the leader column of the sunday times, i'm — the leader column of the sunday times, i'm speculating here, people can find—

times, i'm speculating here, people can find out— times, i'm speculating here, people can find out by reading it tomorrow, that that _ can find out by reading it tomorrow, that that might well be in favour of sunak. _ that that might well be in favour of sunak, giving the tone of the front story, _ sunak, giving the tone of the front story, so— sunak, giving the tone of the front story, so i— sunak, giving the tone of the front story, so i think that the express will be, — story, so i think that the express will be, but — story, so i think that the express will be, but the story doesn't tell you very— will be, but the story doesn't tell you very much. itjust will be, but the story doesn't tell you very much. it just tells you the straightforward thing that he is back, _ straightforward thing that he is back, there is a a talking of his campaign, _ back, there is a a talking of his campaign, and as you have been reporting — campaign, and as you have been reporting earlier, there are doubts that he _ reporting earlier, there are doubts that he has— reporting earlier, there are doubts that he has got as many supporters declared. _ that he has got as many supporters declared, mps, as people are suggesting, he has on his side. but it is att— suggesting, he has on his side. but it is all about his momentum and clearly, _ it is all about his momentum and clearly, it— it is all about his momentum and clearly, it would be an extraordinary story where they like it or hot. _ extraordinary story where they like it or hot. it— extraordinary story where they like it or not, it would be an extraordinary story if he did come back from — extraordinary story if he did come back from a — extraordinary story if he did come back from a news point of view, so it is a _ back from a news point of view, so it is a very— back from a news point of view, so it is a very dramatic... his suworters _ it is a very dramatic... his suworters say _ it is a very dramatic... his supporters say that - it is a very dramatic... i! 3 supporters say that he has the mandate because he had that thumping victory in 2019. onto the observer, which says top tories say the return of boris could lead to the party's

death. johnson, is a famously self—declared cakeist and in terms of the economic markets' response to his coronation, presumably that would be alarming for some. papers are sa in: would be alarming for some. papers are saying that _ would be alarming for some. papers are saying that the _ would be alarming for some. papers are saying that the markets - would be alarming for some. papers are saying that the markets would . would be alarming for some. papers| are saying that the markets would be spooked by the return borisjohnson. i think there is a lot of confidence in the markets, in the idea of a rishi sunak premiership, withjeremy hunt as chancellor. they come across as serious, maybe a little bit boring, but that is what markets are happy with, serious, experience, capable politicians whereas the idea of borisjohnson, some people think it is dramatic, some people think it is disastrous, some people are horrified by it, there is a real tragedy element that appeals to some people, but, yes, the markets would be very much happier, clearly much happier, with a sorry, rishi sunak and jeremy hunt at the top at number

ten and number”. the and jeremy hunt at the top at number ten and number 11. the observer talking of top tories, that the return ofjohnson would risk the party's def, and william hague, the former conservative leader talking yesterday about the death spiral of the conservative party, and months and years ahead of absolute decline, if not wipe—out, so i think, this is really serious. senior tories are engaged in this frantic campaign to stop the boris comeback, because they are very, very alarmed by it. and the decline in public service, schools, health, defence, that is the side story in the observer splash, and the people talks about schools crippled by costs of living crisis. whichever person gets the crown, whichever party wins the general election, we are in for some very, very tough times. this

general election, we are in for some very, very tough times.— very, very tough times. this is the real world — very, very tough times. this is the real world for _ very, very tough times. this is the real world for the _ very, very tough times. this is the real world for the government. - real world for the government. actuatty — real world for the government. actually no government, whoever is leading _ actually no government, whoever is leading it. _ actually no government, whoever is leading it, is going to have an easy time _ leading it, is going to have an easy time over— leading it, is going to have an easy time over the next year or two at least, _ time over the next year or two at least, and — time over the next year or two at least, and that is because inflation is high, _ least, and that is because inflation is high, energy bills higher, also one of— is high, energy bills higher, also one of the — is high, energy bills higher, also one of the public sector organisations risks that are going to be _ organisations risks that are going to be receiving a subsidy, along other— to be receiving a subsidy, along other businesses and so on, so they will be _ other businesses and so on, so they will be receiving a subsidy but their— will be receiving a subsidy but their fuet— will be receiving a subsidy but their fuel bills will be much higher than they— their fuel bills will be much higher than they were, and at the same time, _ than they were, and at the same time, inflation is pushing up sataries, _ time, inflation is pushing up salaries, teachers' pay will go up, not as— salaries, teachers' pay will go up, not as much— salaries, teachers' pay will go up, not as much as the teachers think they should be getting what it will still be _ they should be getting what it will still be going up by 5%, or more, depending — still be going up by 5%, or more, depending which type of teacher you are and _ depending which type of teacher you are and what stage your career you are, and _ are and what stage your career you are, and that is more than it would have _ are, and that is more than it would have treen— are, and that is more than it would have been going to get up to — three years— have been going to get up to — three years ago— have been going to get up to — three years ago or— have been going to get up to — three years ago or even one year ago so, all years ago or even one year ago so, at! of— years ago or even one year ago so, at! of those — years ago or even one year ago so, all of those pressures are pushing on school— all of those pressures are pushing on school budgets, as you rightly said, _ on school budgets, as you rightly said, overall, the government is

trying _ said, overall, the government is trying to— said, overall, the government is trying to economise and potentially going _ trying to economise and potentially going to _ trying to economise and potentially going to have to come at the very least, _ going to have to come at the very least, not — going to have to come at the very least, not potentially raise government spending in line with inflation, — government spending in line with inflation, which amounts to real terms _ inflation, which amounts to real terms cut— inflation, which amounts to real terms cut so there there was a real terms _ terms cut so there there was a real terms cut— terms cut so there there was a real terms cut coming from the centre, even _ terms cut coming from the centre, even if— terms cut coming from the centre, even if there is not, the head teachers _ even if there is not, the head teachers making individual school budgets _ teachers making individual school budgets will find their budgets under— budgets will find their budgets under pressure, and because staffing is a high _ under pressure, and because staffing is a high proportion of school costs. — is a high proportion of school costs. the _ is a high proportion of school costs, the way, the only way to save that money— costs, the way, the only way to save that money ultimately ends up being on staffing costs, through teachers, teaching _ on staffing costs, through teachers, teaching assistants if they still have _ teaching assistants if they still have them, and teachers, and that is a very— have them, and teachers, and that is a very difficult thing to do. parents— a very difficult thing to do. parents don't like it, i would rather— parents don't like it, i would rather it— parents don't like it, i would rather it not be happening so politically, that is a very uncomfortable situation. that is a -roblem uncomfortable situation. that is a problem for _ uncomfortable situation. that is a problem for labour _ uncomfortable situation. that is a problem for labour as _ uncomfortable situation. that is a problem for labour as well, - uncomfortable situation. that is a problem for labour as well, who l uncomfortable situation. that is a | problem for labour as well, who at the moment, are in this opposition having, because they can just attack what is a very, wide open goal in terms of tory chaos, but if they came to power, they got to deal with

this, and what would they do? malo absolutely, they have to deal with it, it is a terrible economic legacy to inherit. there is no question. they feel like they are in heaven but politically, lots of chaos, lots of open goals, but some would say that they feel that they have had an open goal for 12 months that they feel that they have had an open goalfor12 months now and it feels like the conservatives are losing this whole situation, rather than labour winning it, but at the moment they arejust than labour winning it, but at the moment they are just sitting back and letting it roll, because the conservatives have done a pretty good job of destroying themselves. there is this coverage of 90% of schools running out of cash, nine out of ten head teachers saying that they are already in the red and that salary bills, increased energy costs, have pushed them to the brink by next year, further cuts could push many schools and academies over the cliff, and the head of the national association of head teachers saying that schools are cut

to the bone. this is exactly what martin was saying. and there is real alarm as we head towards the october 31 halloween mini budget, the debt reduction plan from jeremy hunt on halloween, many would call it spook night, i don't know. it is halloween, many would call it spook night, i don't know.— night, i don't know. it is spook niuht night, i don't know. it is spook night two _ night, i don't know. it is spook night two or— night, i don't know. it is spook night two or three, _ night, i don't know. it is spook night two or three, it - night, i don't know. it is spook night two or three, it is - night, i don't know. it is spook night two or three, it is the - night two or three, it is the sequel! finalthought night two or three, it is the sequel! final thought from you, martin. ben wallace said that if the spending on the defence budget did not increase to 3% he would resign. that is off the table now, according to jeremy that is off the table now, according tojeremy hunt, everything is up for negotiation. to jeremy hunt, everything is up for negotiation-— negotiation. everything is up for negotiation _ negotiation. everything is up for negotiation but _ negotiation. everything is up for negotiation but he _ negotiation. everything is up for negotiation but he has - negotiation. everything is up for negotiation but he has not - negotiation. everything is up for negotiation but he has not saidl negotiation. everything is up for - negotiation but he has not said that it is off— negotiation but he has not said that it is off the — negotiation but he has not said that it is off the table. we will see but i it is off the table. we will see but i agree. _ it is off the table. we will see but i agree, they would not want that to happen— i agree, they would not want that to happen and — i agree, they would not want that to happen and there are valid reasons at the _ happen and there are valid reasons at the moment, because of the ukraine — at the moment, because of the ukraine situation and our

involvement in supplying the russians, ukrainians, ishould involvement in supplying the russians, ukrainians, i should say, and leaving — russians, ukrainians, i should say, and leaving aside, we've got to replenish— and leaving aside, we've got to replenish some of our missile stocks and other— replenish some of our missile stocks and other munitions stocks because we have _ and other munitions stocks because we have been supplying the ukrainians with it so there is also the potential threat from russia, to the potential threat from russia, to the west— the potential threat from russia, to the west in general, so it may be thatjeremy hunt or the west in general, so it may be that jeremy hunt or whoever is chancellor under the new government finds a _ chancellor under the new government finds a way— chancellor under the new government finds a way to do that, and certainly. _ finds a way to do that, and certainly, they would not want to lose ben — certainly, they would not want to lose ben wallace, who is a competent and one _ lose ben wallace, who is a competent and one of— lose ben wallace, who is a competent and one of the best performing ministers — and one of the best performing ministers in the government, there are not— ministers in the government, there are not many, perhaps, but he is one of them _ are not many, perhaps, but he is one of them stopped he are not many, perhaps, but he is one of them stopped— of them stopped he has decided not to run the leadership. _ of them stopped he has decided not to run the leadership. thank- of them stopped he has decided not to run the leadership. thank you - to run the leadership. thank you both very much indeed forjoining us for that second look at the papers.

high temperatures on saturday rose to a high of 19 in essex and it will be a mile start to sunday as well but we are dominated by low pressure and that means while it is mild we will get more clout. this is the main feature, this low pressure spinning away to the south—west, pushing cloud our way and bringing outbreaks of rain from the south—west. on sunday, that rain will move its way northwards, it will move its way northwards, it will be heavy, containing the risk of some thunder as well. this is where we have the wet start early in the morning. that rain heavy and thundery, could give a lot of rain in a short space of time. it raises north across northern england and northern ireland, clearing in the afternoon as it heads into central and southern scotland. the rain band followed by some sunshine and some heavy, maybe thundery showers particularly in the south of england in late in the afternoon. temperatures still only mild side but maybe not quite as high as were on saturday. rain continues northwards into scotland into the evening then more rain arriving

across england and wales over night. that area of low pressure moving across the uk heading northwards and out of the way. we will be left with more of a west to south—westerly breeze this time on monday. that means i get a mixture of sunshine and showers, the bulk of the show is coming on across the western side of the uk, feeding through the english channel, some showers reaching eastern areas, and there should be some sunshine between their showers. temperatures reaching highs of around 16 celsius, wylie, across england and wales. we have a bump of high pressure over night as we see those showers fading away and into the start of tuesday before another weather system arrives from the south later in the day. starting off dry, with some mist and fog patches in northern areas on tuesday, then we will see the breeze picking up, living in this cloud and rain to the south—west and wales later, but for many parts of the country, tuesday looks like it will be a dry day with some sunshine and temperatures reaching 18 celsius. the very cold weather is kept way to the north of

the uk, out here in the atlantic, with more southerly breezes bringing that warmer weather all the way up from the azores. temperatures through the rest of the week will be around 4 degrees above normal for this time of year, could make 21 in the south—east of england with the wetter weather further north and west.

this is bbc news with the latest headlines for viewers in the uk and around the world. britain's former chancellor rishi sunak looks set to officially enter the conservative leadership race after securing the backing of more than 100 mp5. rivals of former prime minister borisjohnson dismissed claims by his allies that he has also reached 100 backers. in other news... ukrainian officials say around 1.5 million households are now without power after the latest wave of russian attacks. and at the china congress, former president hu jintao is mysteriously led out of the hall by officials.