it has been at the weather. it has been fantastically warm in many parts of the country. any sign this will come to an end? there are signs we will return to normal later in the week, but it has been a remarkable year so far. this is the oldest instrumental temperature series in the world. the green bars show how the temperature usually varies throughout the year. this is the average. let me put on what has happened so far this year. every single month so far has been warmer than normal. you can see by the size of some of those orange bars, by a considerable degree as well. as we have just mentioned to fiona, there will be some changes later this week. notice on the chart, this is how temperatures compare to normal. we have had orange on the chart for the last few weeks, but blue colours arrive, temperatures could be at or a little bit lower than normal. wet weather to go with it, a really wild night across the english channel. 60 or 70 mph for some. heavy rain around

across many areas, there could be a big puddles around on some minor flooding into the morning, certainly will not be a cold morning. temperatures for many in double figures. what were the first thing, scotland and across north—east england, sunshine and showers elsewhere. through the day, some of scotland, northern england and northern ireland, some of the driest conditions, wales, the midlands, southern england, this is where showers will develop more widely, become heavy and thundery. the wind will be strongest. temperatures down on today's values, but still warmer than you would expect for the first day of november. wednesday brings this developing low pressure system. heavy rain to go with it across western areas initially, pushing eastwards. never quite reaching some parts of eastern england until very late in the day. the big story for many is the strength of the wind, widespread gales, potentially disruptive gales across the west. as a go into wednesday night, across parts of scotland, buffeted by the potentially disruptive wind, using

through thursday, rain lingering in the south. for the end of the week, it is looking cooler. thanks, matt. and that's bbc news at ten on monday the 31st of october, 2022. there's more analysis of the days main stories on newsnight with kirsty wark which isjust getting under way on bbc two. the news continues here on bbc one as now it's time to join our colleagues across the nations and regions for the news where you are. but from the ten team it's goodnight. hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. with me are harriet line, chief political correspondent at the daily mail, and the broadcaster and psychotherapist, lucy beresford. first let's take a quick look at tomorrow's front pages: the metro leads with searing criticism of the manston processing

centre for asylum seekers — from a report by hm inspectorate of prisons. the i has the home secretary fighting for her political survival, with cabinet ministers questioning whether she is up to the job. the guardian says suella braverman is ramping up the rhetoric on asylum seekers and denying that she is to blame for the crisis at the manston refugee centre. the mail, meanwhile, highlights the home secretary's claims that the asylum system is broken and illegal migration is out of control. large tax rises and spending cuts ahead — that's the warning in the telegraph, which says rishi sunak and jeremy hunt have agreed a plan to fill the government's fifty—billion fiscal black hole. while the ft carries news of the troubled uk battery manufacturer britishvolt, apparently on the brink of collapse. so, let's begin.

let's start with the metro which is got a very, arresting and disturbing picture, of course, children behind mesh fence and welcome to the uk migrants camp exposed. are really full in terms of both policy and her political situation. she came to the house of commons today to talk about the situation and what he think she stands? she the situation and what he think she stands? ,, u, the situation and what he think she stands? ,, u, ., the situation and what he think she stands? ,, h, ., u, ., , , stands? she came to the commons this afternoon to — stands? she came to the commons this afternoon to discuss _ stands? she came to the commons this afternoon to discuss the _ stands? she came to the commons this afternoon to discuss the appalling - afternoon to discuss the appalling state of affairs in the asylum

processing centre and is quite a motive but was beneath it are quite shocking speaking of no bets, no access to fresh air exercise but a people were stuck in this processing centre at the moment, they're only meant to be there for 2h hours and some of been there for several weeks and that includes reports suggest mothers with children and stuck unable to move on to the hotels and other accommodation where they should be in sent in fairly swiftly in the conditions are appalling. i think that's a really tricky issue because there's talk about whether or not she locked people moving from there to hotels and that is something she flatly denied and the comments today for this accusation was levelled in newspapers of the week and i think there's still questions about even though she did not pluck it, that she call will and proactively try to remove people and

things much more humane. you proactively try to remove people and things much more humane.- proactively try to remove people and things much more humane. you see the -hotoara-h things much more humane. you see the photograph is — things much more humane. you see the photograph is an — things much more humane. you see the photograph is an emotive _ things much more humane. you see the photograph is an emotive one _ things much more humane. you see the photograph is an emotive one and - things much more humane. you see the photograph is an emotive one and it - photograph is an emotive one and it is an emotive issue, isn't it, assign of asylum—seekers, how you deal with them and brings in all sorts of areas that are both ethical, moraland practical. and sorts of areas that are both ethical, moral and practical. and i wonder which you made of the home secretary's language talking about an invasion of migrants. the language — an invasion of migrants. the language was _ an invasion of migrants. the language was really - an invasion of migrants. the language was really quite shocking and i think they hit the floor when they use — and i think they hit the floor when they use that language and really language speaks to how much we forgotten — language speaks to how much we forgotten that there are people behind — forgotten that there are people behind the situation and that it isn't _ behind the situation and that it isn'tiust— behind the situation and that it isn'tjust about numbers behind the situation and that it isn't just about numbers and i behind the situation and that it isn'tjust about numbers and i may people _ isn'tjust about numbers and i may people come into the boat and the front page —

people come into the boat and the front page of the metro actually does _ front page of the metro actually does talk about how there isn't any compassion and if you're not, if you don't _ compassion and if you're not, if you don't see _ compassion and if you're not, if you don't see a — compassion and if you're not, if you don't see a photo like this words children— don't see a photo like this words children behind the mash, it's very hard to— children behind the mash, it's very hard to engage with the story on the human— hard to engage with the story on the human level and a lot of the humanity— human level and a lot of the humanity is gone out of reporting in this particular story where we lose sight _ this particular story where we lose sight of— this particular story where we lose sight of numbers and the number of boats— sight of numbers and the number of boats and _ sight of numbers and the number of boats and the number of crossings winced _ boats and the number of crossings winced as — boats and the number of crossings winced as the facts really need to on is _ winced as the facts really need to on is the — winced as the facts really need to on is the fact that it's people were coming _ on is the fact that it's people were coming because they have no other choice _ coming because they have no other choice and — coming because they have no other choice and the rhetoric around that is so _ choice and the rhetoric around that is so dehumanizing and also very inflammatory, you can see how this divide _ inflammatory, you can see how this divide is _ inflammatory, you can see how this divide is really exacerbating not 'ust divide is really exacerbating not just for— divide is really exacerbating not just for the situation itself but

how it — just for the situation itself but how it plays on the conservative party— how it plays on the conservative party as — how it plays on the conservative party as well because it is very true _ party as well because it is very true that she had been brought on-site — true that she had been brought on—site by rishi sunak and reinstated in her role as home secretary— reinstated in her role as home secretary because she could bring a particular— secretary because she could bring a particular wing of the conservative party— particular wing of the conservative party with — particular wing of the conservative party with her when he came to the conservative party leadership election— conservative party leadership election and therefore, we should not he _ election and therefore, we should not be that surprised when her language — not be that surprised when her language really plays to that particular gallery. can language really plays to that particular gallery.— bring you end by looking at the front page which has as its headline, cabinet anger front page which has as its headline, cabinetangeras front page which has as its headline, cabinet anger as suella braverman fights for her political life. as lucy puts it, suella braverman represents a certain wing of the party and a wing of the government but we also know that there are people living in town such as dover who are very worried about the increasing numbers of migrants coming in. how does suella braverman

deal with that issue while also having questions hanging over her about her own political conduct? yes, this norm is concerned about this crisis and not to study humanitarian level but also on but they can do about it. i think suella braverman is been brought in for a number of reasons, notjust for following on the party and her commitment to getting the problems off which is electorally something thatis off which is electorally something that is important for the conservatives and some new people coming across in small bits in the year is humanitarian disaster, but it's also incredibly expensive for the government and has a real impact on various places where they're put up. as an impact on that business as well as on the local communities and so, she is trying to face the

particular argument, so, she is trying to face the particularargument, but so, she is trying to face the particular argument, but it is not as they report, going down well amongst her cabinet colleagues and i have a full copy on the front but privately questioning whether suella braverman is up to the job and of course they're going to be some people who think should be the home secretary and that they should be making these decisions instead of her blood, having questions of capabilities and generally quite unusual. . ., capabilities and generally quite unusual. ,, ., �* ., ., , capabilities and generally quite unusual. ,, ., �* ., ., unusual. suella braverman is also facin: unusual. suella braverman is also facing questions _ unusual. suella braverman is also facing questions about _ unusual. suella braverman is also facing questions about her- unusual. suella braverman is also facing questions about her use . unusual. suella braverman is also facing questions about her use of| facing questions about her use of private e—mail accounts to read government documents and the fact that she passed the document onto a backbench tory backbench and peeled for which he had to resign not too long ago and was reinstated by rishi sunak. how important do you think thatis sunak. how important do you think that is in terms of the pressure

that is in terms of the pressure thatis that is in terms of the pressure that is on her? i that is in terms of the pressure that is on her?— that is in terms of the pressure that is on her? i think it's hugely imortant that is on her? i think it's hugely important and — that is on her? i think it's hugely important and we _ that is on her? i think it's hugely important and we were - that is on her? i think it's hugely important and we were aware . that is on her? i think it's hugely. important and we were aware that that is on her? i think it's hugely - important and we were aware that she had to— important and we were aware that she had to resign or was she pushed by liz truss in— had to resign or was she pushed by liz truss in then brought back within— liz truss in then brought back within six— liz truss in then brought back within six days, but i was over one particular— within six days, but i was over one particular e—mail breach and now we know— particular e—mail breach and now we know that _ particular e—mail breach and now we know that there've been multiple breaches— know that there've been multiple breaches and fact, in the days just after— breaches and fact, in the days just after reappointment by rishi sunak, we had _ after reappointment by rishi sunak, we had the — after reappointment by rishi sunak, we had the chairman say that actually, _ we had the chairman say that actually, there been multiple breaches. if you're in a position of high—security and get you appear to be flagrant preaching these protocols and i think it makes it easier— protocols and i think it makes it easier for— protocols and i think it makes it easier for your critics to sustain their— easier for your critics to sustain their attacks on you. so it doesn't necessarily— their attacks on you. so it doesn't necessarily mean that you will be forced _ necessarily mean that you will be forced to — necessarily mean that you will be forced to step aside but it does mean _ forced to step aside but it does mean that your critics have more ammunition and so far, rishi sunak

is standing — ammunition and so far, rishi sunak is standing by suella braverman and i is standing by suella braverman and i suspect— is standing by suella braverman and i suspect that this with any further disclosures could actually put that particular— disclosures could actually put that particular relationship under quite a lot of— particular relationship under quite a lot of pressure.— particular relationship under quite a lot of pressure. before we leave this story. — a lot of pressure. before we leave this story. on _ a lot of pressure. before we leave this story, on the _ a lot of pressure. before we leave this story, on the front _ a lot of pressure. before we leave this story, on the front page - a lot of pressure. before we leave this story, on the front page of. a lot of pressure. before we leave | this story, on the front page of the male, the headlines and channel migrant crisis out of control, you have into the second paragraph, you quarters saying that ministers need to be straight with the public because the asylum system was, as she put it, broken. what do we make of the conservative home secretary saying that the system is broken up in the conservatives have been in government for 12 years? she in the conservatives have been in government for 12 years?- government for 12 years? she is effectively _ government for 12 years? she is effectively going _ government for 12 years? she is effectively going to _ government for 12 years? she is effectively going to war - government for 12 years? she is effectively going to war with - government for 12 years? she is l effectively going to war with their own department. the home office is working on this for years and if he says it's the conservative government that's been in powerfor 12 years, and nothing in the

comments gallery when she made these comments gallery when she made these comments and labour were delighted because there room to point out, that was on the conservatives watch. 0f that was on the conservatives watch. of course, she will argue that it wasn't her and the situation has become significantly worse over the last few years, the numbers have grown exponentially by, describing the system is broken since shows how she is determined to fix it but that's not necessarily an easy thing to do and she's probably not get a lot of time given on the other pressures on to make headway on that to prove that she is able to turn it around. , , , _, , ., around. despite her comments and our around. despite her comments and your letters — around. despite her comments and your letters to _ around. despite her comments and your letters to the _ around. despite her comments and your letters to the home _ around. despite her comments and your letters to the home slick - your letters to the home slick committee, there are more than more questions for the home secretary. let's move onto the front page of the daily telegraph which is looking ahead to the fiscal statement of the chancellors going make next month. sweeping tax rises on rough road

ahead. it is a different headline and possibly not all that surprising. and possibly not all that surprising-— and possibly not all that surrisinu. ., . ., , , , surprising. not all that surprising. but nevertheless, _ surprising. not all that surprising. but nevertheless, as _ surprising. not all that surprising. but nevertheless, as it _ surprising. not all that surprising. | but nevertheless, as it approaches the deadline for the 7th of november, i think the government is doing _ november, i think the government is doing all— november, i think the government is doing all it _ november, i think the government is doing all it can to prepare all of us for— doing all it can to prepare all of us for the — doing all it can to prepare all of us for the fact that it's probably going _ us for the fact that it's probably going to — us for the fact that it's probably going to be grim for most of us and that is— going to be grim for most of us and that is because there is this £50 billion— that is because there is this £50 billion black hole in the finances of the _ billion black hole in the finances of the government and the treasury and particular needs to fill in the daily— and particular needs to fill in the daily telegraph is alerting us to that's— daily telegraph is alerting us to that's going to probably come 50% in the form _ that's going to probably come 50% in the form of— that's going to probably come 50% in the form of increases to taxes at 50% _ the form of increases to taxes at 50% in _ the form of increases to taxes at 50% in the — the form of increases to taxes at 50% in the form of cuts to spending. so, 50% in the form of cuts to spending. so. either— 50% in the form of cuts to spending. so, eitherway, 50% in the form of cuts to spending. so, either way, that 50% in the form of cuts to spending. so, eitherway, that is 50% in the form of cuts to spending. so, either way, that is not a very good _ so, either way, that is not a very good picture and the interesting thing _ good picture and the interesting thing for— good picture and the interesting thing for the round in the article is the _ thing for the round in the article is the fact— thing for the round in the article is the fact that the conservative manifesto 2019, they made it explicit — manifesto 2019, they made it explicit that they did not want to

see these — explicit that they did not want to see these rises and places of things like income — see these rises and places of things like income tax and vat, and the treasury— like income tax and vat, and the treasury going to be super nervous about— treasury going to be super nervous about rolling back on some of those 2019 commitments which then begs the question— 2019 commitments which then begs the question of— 2019 commitments which then begs the question of where are these tax cuts going _ question of where are these tax cuts going to _ question of where are these tax cuts going to come from, tax rates is going _ going to come from, tax rates is going to — going to come from, tax rates is going to come from, tax rates is going to come from? and it's going to he _ going to come from? and it's going to he the _ going to come from? and it's going to be the guessing game of the next two weeks _ to be the guessing game of the next two weeks as people identify either some really big chunky taxes or may be things— some really big chunky taxes or may be things that require more discretionary spending. this doesn't really— discretionary spending. this doesn't really add _ discretionary spending. this doesn't really add up to a very happy winter week— really add up to a very happy winter week referred lots of talked before about _ week referred lots of talked before about the — week referred lots of talked before about the winter of discontent and i was already being picked up things may he _ was already being picked up things may be energy crisis and prices of food _ may be energy crisis and prices of food and — may be energy crisis and prices of food and fuel but now to know that they're _ food and fuel but now to know that they're going to be increased pressures on all of our incomes and all of— pressures on all of our incomes and all of our— pressures on all of our incomes and all of our services, it's just

all of our services, it'sjust going to make — all of our services, it'sjust going to make things more